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Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Resources, Conservation and Recycling


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/resconrec

Case study: Determination of the economic and operational feasibility of a


material recovery facility for municipal recycling in Lucas County, Ohio, USA
Matthew J. Franchetti ∗
The University of Toledo, College of Engineering, Mechanical, Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering Department, 2801 West Bancroft Street, Toledo, OH 43606, USA

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Solid waste minimization and recycling goals for municipalities are achievable through the installation of
Received 6 March 2008 material recovery facilities (MRFs) and in certain solid waste management systems, government owned
Received in revised form 31 August 2008 and operated MRFs are feasible and cost justified. The aim of this paper is to demonstrate a structured
Accepted 5 April 2009
process to evaluate and determine the operational and economic feasibly of a government owned MRF
Available online 12 May 2009
that is based on financial engineering. As a companion, a case study from Lucas County, Ohio (USA) is
provided that demonstrated this analysis process. In addition, the paper explores the impact of uncer-
Keywords:
tainty in decision alternatives by placing a strong emphasis on economic efficiencies and a sensitivity
Material recovery facility
Municipality recycling
analysis of the results to changes in the data inputs, specifically inflation, recycling levels, and recycling
Economic analysis commodity market shifts. The key findings from the research indicate that the municipality will achieve a
payback period of approximately 4 years, and a 10 years internal rate of return of 20.5%, versus the current
system of out souring. The consequences of these findings, stemming from the economic and operational
justification, led to the actual purchase of a MRF site for Lucas County, Ohio (USA). This research may serve
as an example or model for other local governments considering the implementation of such a system.
Published by Elsevier B.V.

1. Introduction policy decisions. The second paper was published in 2005 and titled
“Sustainable pattern analysis of a publicly owned material recovery
In 2008, the Lucas County Solid Waste Management District facility in a fast-growing urban setting under uncertainty” (Davila
(District) purchased a material recovery facility (MRF) to sort and and Chang, 2005). This research applied grey integer programming
sell nearly 10,000 tons recyclable materials that were collected per techniques to screen optimal shipping patterns and an ideal MRF
year from its municipal recycling programs. This paper analyzes the location and capacity. The final paper was a report published in
economic and operational feasibility of the MRF as an option for 1994 by the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
processing recyclable materials and may serve as an example for and titled “Lycoming County Material Recovery Facility Evaluation”
other local governments considering the implementation of such a (Beck, 2004). This research evaluated the operational efficiency and
system. A strong emphasis is placed on economic efficiencies and cost/revenue of the Lycoming County MRF in order to identify ways
a sensitivity analysis of the results to changes in the data inputs is that the facility, and others like it, could be made more financially
explored. A breakeven analysis is also discussed to determine the sustainable over the long term. Key findings from these three papers
degree by which existing conditions would need to change in order were included in the methodology of this analysis.
to allow such a facility to become feasible or infeasible. This paper includes relevant background information, including
In a literature review of previous research conducted in this a discussion of the previous system as well as the recycling levels,
field, three relevant articles were found. The first was published cost, and revenue of operation. An overview of the methodology to
in 1995 and titled “The development of material recovery facili- design the process is also provided. In addition, a complete financial
ties in the United States: status and cost structure analysis” (Chang and performance comparison between the previous and modified
and Wang, 1995). This article examined fast track MRF develop- systems is discussed.
ment in the US and the related operating and cost structures. The
purpose of the paper was to aid in creating solid waste manage-
2. Background
ment strategies and to aid in future investment forecasting and

2.1. History of the Lucas County solid waste management District

∗ Tel.: +1 419 530 8051; fax: +1 419 530 8206. The District was formed on March 6, 1989 by the Lucas County
E-mail address: matthew.franchetti@utoledo.edu. Board of Commissioners under the Ohio Solid Waste Disposal Act

0921-3449/$ – see front matter. Published by Elsevier B.V.


doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2009.04.004
536 M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543

(Amended House Ohio House Bill 592). The District includes all The first phase of the analysis process involved estimating the
incorporated and unincorporated territory in Lucas County, Ohio. current recycling levels in terms of materials compositions and
The Ohio Solid Waste Disposal Act established a system to plan for volumes (annual tonnages). These data were collected from Dis-
the proper disposal of the solid waste generated in the State of Ohio trict records from the 2006 fiscal year and included operating cost
while reducing the reliance on landfills through increased waste and revenue data. Once combined, this information provided a
reduction activities, including recycling. The Ohio Solid Waste Dis- complete baseline of the operations of the current system utiliz-
posal Act mandates that all Ohio counties establish a Solid Waste ing outsourced processing. This baseline was used to compare the
Policy Committee to prepare, adopt, and ratify initial plans (and cost structure of acquiring a county owned and operated MRF. The
subsequent plans) and levy fees to fund mandated activities. The baseline data all annualized costs and revenues associated with the
two goals of the District are to: drop-off recycling program, specifically:

• Ensure the availability of reduction, recycling and other waste • Revenue paid from third party processors for recyclable materials.
reduction methods that are alternatives to landfilling for residen- • Third party processing fees.
tial and commercial solid waste. • Labor costs.
• Reduce and/or recycle at least 50% of the total solid waste gener- • Administrative costs.
ated in Lucas County by achieving a 25% waste reduction rate for • Vehicle costs (fuel, maintenance, repair).
the residential/commercial sector and a 50% waste reduction rate • Drop-off container and material costs.
for the industrial sector.
The second phase involved identifying potential MRF sites. A
The District began to explore methods to achieve the waste local business realtor was contacted for assistance. After a list of
reduction goals stated above. Many creative solutions were devel- potential MRF sites was identified, each site was ranked utilizing a
oped and implemented to accomplish these goals, such as a District layout planning algorithm discussed in Section 5. Upon the identifi-
Drop Off Collection Program, City of Toledo Residential Recycling cation of the optimal MRF site, a complete annual cost and revenue
Program, Yard Waste Drop Off Program, Commercial/Industrial projection was conducted to operate the MRF over a 20-year period.
Outreach Program, Outreach and Education Program, Household This analysis included the following annualized costs and revenues:
Hazardous Waste Collection Program, and the Scrap Tire Manage-
• Revenue paid from third party recycling material commodity bro-
ment Program.
kers.
• Building purchase cost (including realtor fees).
2.2. Current recycling levels in Lucas County
• Building modification and renovation costs.
• Equipment and inspection/repair costs.
Currently the county recycles two classes of materials, commin-
• Labor costs (including driver and processors).
gled fiber and commingled used beverage containers. In 2006, the
• Administrative costs.
District recycled 9755 tons of materials. 7280 tons were commin-
• Utility costs.
gled fiber (mixed office paper, newspaper, and OCC) and 2475 tons
• Vehicle costs (fuel, maintenance, repair).
were commingled used beverage containers (plastic bottles and
• Drop-off container and material costs.
aluminum cans).

This financial projection of the proposed MRF was compared


3. Methodology with the current system baseline. In essence, the analysis answered
the question whether the additional revenue earned from the sale
The methodology used to conduct this research was based on of the processed recyclable materials will outweigh the additional
the principles outlined in the third edition of “Facilities Plan- capital and operating costs over the projected 20-year life of the
ning” (Tompkins et al., 2003). This book provides an industrial project at a 15% minimum attractive rate of return. To accomplish
engineering basis for defining facility requirements, identifying this analysis, a net present worth (NPW) was conducted. The NPW
equipment needs, developing layouts, and implementing facility is the difference between the present worth of all cash inflows and
plans. This research examined the hypothesis that a county owned outflows of a project. Since all cash flows are discounted to the
MRF could be cost justified versus the current system of outsourc- present the NPW method is also known as the discounted cash
ing the processing of recyclable materials in Lucas County, Ohio. flow technique. This method not only allows the selection of a single
The assumptions for this research included: project based on the NPW value but also a selection of the most eco-
nomical project from a list of more than one alternative projects, in
• The useful life of the MRF is 20 years (2007–2027). the case of this research, the existing system of outsourcing versus
• A minimum attractive rate of return (MARR) of 15% was fixed over purchasing and operating a government owned MRF.
the 20-year project life for financial decisions. To find the NPW of a project an interest rate is needed to discount
• Recycling levels would increase at annual rates of 5% for fiber, 3% future cash flows. The most appropriate value to use for this interest
for plastics, 2% for glass, and remain constant for metals over the rate is the rate of return that one can obtain from investing the
20-year project life. money somewhere. Alternatively, it can also be the rate that you
• Recycling commodity prices would remain increase at a rate of will be charged if you had to borrow the money. The selection of
2.5% the 20-year project life. this rate is a policy decision.
• Utility costs would increase at a rate of 2.5% per year over the The NPW analysis procedure is used to determine the NPW of
20-year project life (inflation). an investment project we need to know the net cash flow in each
• Labor and benefit costs would increase at a rate of 3.5% per year period over the service life of the project. Knowing the MARR, each
over the 20-year project life (inflation). of these net cash flows can be discounted back to the present. The
present worth of all the cash flow transactions in the analysis period
The following is a brief summary of this methodology used to is the net present worth.
analyze the economic and operational feasibility of a municipality The magnitude of NPW determines whether the project is
owned MRF in Lucas County, Ohio, USA. accepted or rejected. If NPW is positive, the decision is to accept the
M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543 537

Fig. 1. Lucas County recycling streams.

project. If it is negative, then the investment is not worthwhile eco-


nomically. If it is zero, then the project does not make a difference Fig. 2. Current recycling system costs (annual).
economically.
It is also possible to conduct a breakeven interest rate analysis by
varying the value of the interest rate while computing the present commingled paper stream and one truck is dedicated to the com-
worth (PW) of a project. The breakeven interest rate is the rate at mingled container stream. The third truck is reserved as a spare for
which (PW) is zero. The breakeven interest rate is also known as schedules repairs and breakdowns. Each site is collected on a daily
the internal rate of return. The formula for NPW is or weekly cycle based on volumes. Annually, these trucks drive over
180,000 combined miles throughout Lucas County.
Ct
At the end of the day or once a truck has reached capacity, the
(1 + r)t materials are transported to one of three privately owned com-
where t is the time of the cash flow; r is the discount rate (the rate panies in Lucas County for processing and sale. The trucks are
of return that could be earned on an investment in the financial unloaded at these facilities and the materials are weighed and
markets with similar risk); Ct is the net cash flow (the amount of recorded for payment and/or billing to the District based upon
cash, inflow minus outflow) at time t (for educational purposes; C0 agreed terms in a signed contract. The contracts are negotiated
is commonly placed to the left of the sum to emphasize its role as annually and the District receives a portion of the revenue for the
the initial investment). sale of the recyclable materials to brokers.
The calculations using the NPW equation are provided in Section
7. 4.2. Current system cost and revenue analysis

4. Overview of the current recycling process Under the current system the District’s drop-off program is
operating at a $425,462 loss per year considering revenue minus
4.1. Process overview expenses. The loss is offset by additional revenue generated by the
District. The additional revenue is primarily generated from a $3
Recycling services provided by the District to the local commu- per ton surcharge on all solid waste generated in Lucas County. This
nity are accomplished via a drop-off program. In Lucas County, the surcharge is collected by the landfills that serve Lucas County and
District collects two recycling streams from over 60 drop-off sites amounts to approximately $1.5 million per year.
throughout the community. These two material streams are com- Under the current contract the District has entered with a third
mingled paper products and commingled containers, as shown in party processor, the District generates the following revenue per ton
Fig. 1. of material (please note the District is paid based on commingled
The drop-off sites are located at grocery stores, schools, metro materials that require additional sorts):
parks, township offices, and large apartment complexes. Each drop-
off site has at least two five-cubic yard dumpsters, one for each • $37.08 per ton of commingled fiber (OCC, MOP, ONP).
recycling stream. At high volume sites, multiple containers are uti- • $23.35 per ton of commingled containers (aluminum/steel can
lized for the two recycling streams. Below is a summary of the total and plastic).
tons of each waste collected in 2006 at the drop-off sites:
Per year, the District generates $327,734 from the sale of recy-
• 4368 tons of ONP and MOP.1 clables to the third party processor. This revenue is offset by the
• 2912 tons of OCC. following annual costs:
• 1493 tons of glass bottles.
• 677 tons of plastic bottles. • $350,196 for truck diesel fuel costs.
• 235 tons of steel cans. • $5500 for annual maintenance costs.
• 70 tons of aluminum cans. • $7500 for drop-off site container costs and maintenance.
• $240,000 for truck driver salaries and benefits for the four drivers
The drop-off dumpsters are owned and maintained by the Dis- employed by the District (one drive is a team leader that operates
trict. The recyclable materials at these drop-off sites are collected a vehicle as needed).
by three District owned trucks. Daily, one truck is dedicated to the • $150,000 for administrative costs which include the Solid Waste
District Manager’s and administrative assistant’s salary and ben-
efits in addition to supply costs.
1
The current process reports ONP and MOP as one combined item and provides
one unit price per ton. The following table summaries the current system costs (Fig. 2).
538 M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543

Fig. 5. Historical recycling collection amounts.

between the District and the IE Department, the following process


was developed to estimate the costs:

• Forecast the annual amounts of recyclable materials collected by


Fig. 3. MRF photograph (exterior).
the District for the commingled paper and commingled contain-
ers streams.
• Estimate the annual amounts of the separated waste streams to be
5. Identification of potential MRF sites
sorted at the MRF under the new process (MOP, OCC, newspapers,
Potential MRF sites were identified with a local commercial glass, plastic, and metals).
• Develop a process flow chart for the MRF.
realty company. Several sites were visited and analyzed by a cross
• Calculate the machine requirements to process these materials
functional team consisting of the District Manager, an industrial
engineer, appraiser, and an equipment specialist. One site had been for a baler system.
• Calculate labor requirements by performing a time study
previously used as a processing site for recyclable materials and
contained several pieces of useful equipment including a baler and on the processing of the recyclable materials based on the
sort line. annual material amounts, process flow chart, and machine
During the identification and analysis process the sites were requirements.
• Gather labor quotes from local contractors.
ranked on size (in square footage), asking price, condition/age, loca-
tion, access to freeways, existing equipment, dock space, office
space, projected utility costs, expected upgrade costs, maintenance 6.2. Forecasts of the District’s recycling levels
costs, and safety. A spreadsheet was developed to rate each site
based upon the criteria. The site that had been previously used as Before developing the process plan, the machine requirements,
a recycling site was identified at the top choice based on size, cost, and the labor requirements for the MRF, forecasts were made to
location, and the availability of a baler, sort line, scale and fork lift estimate the compositions and weights of recyclable materials that
truck (Figs. 3 and 4). the facility would process each year. The forecasts were developed
based on the amounts of materials collected at the drop-off sites
6. Overview of the proposed recycling process in 2006 and 2007. Trends were also determined from the histor-
ical data to estimate increases for decreases from the previous
6.1. Methodology to create the new process year (Fig. 5). In addition, a 1-week sampling of the commingled
MOP and OCC stream was conducted to estimate the percent-
To establish the proposed recycling process extensive data were age of each. In the current system, these two materials are not
collected and analyzed. The data included volumes, costs, and pro- reported separately by the current processor. The 1-week sam-
cess parameters. To assist in calculation and analysis of the data, the pling indicated that 70% of the commingled stream was OCC and
Industrial Engineering (IE) Department at The University of Toledo the remaining 30% was MOP. The following table provides the find-
was contacted for support the District. Based on several meetings ings of the analysis based on 2006 and 2007 data (in tons per year)
(Fig. 6).
As shown in the preceding table, overall collections are expected
to increase by 4.2% from 9755 tons per year to 10,169 tons per year
in 2008. The largest growths are expected in ONP, OCC, and MOP
based on the historical data. These increases are results of increased
community awareness and participation.

Fig. 4. MRF photograph (interior). Fig. 6. 2008 recycling collection forecast.


M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543 539

Fig. 7. MRF flow chart.

6.3. Development of the process flow chart sort line system. The sort line system is comprised of a 2 ft wide con-
veyor belt that will transport the containers to a raised mezzanine
Recycling services provided by the District to the local commu- sorting platform. On the sorting platform three contract employees
nity would continue to be accomplished via a drop-off program as will sort the plastic, metal, glass and rubbish and drop them down
in the current process. The District would continue to collect the chutes at each workstation. These chutes will lead to four cubic feet
two recycling streams (commingled paper and commingled con- wire containers where the materials will be deposited. The wire
tainers) from the same 60 drop-off sites throughout the community containers storing the plastics and metals will be transported to
as specified in the overview of the current process section. the baler for processing and then dispatched to the outgoing dock.
The material collection phase of the process would not be The wire container storing the glass will be transported directly to
altered. The recyclable materials at these drop-off sites is collected the outgoing dock (Fig. 7).
by three District owned trucks. The modification to the transporta- After the materials have been sorted and baled they will be
tion process would occur only at the end point. At the end of the loaded onto 50-ft trailers provided by contracted commodity bro-
day or once a truck has reached capacity, the materials will be kers. Once the trucks have reached capacity the commodity brokers
transported to the County owned MRF. will replace the trailers and pay the District the current market
Upon arrival at the MRF, the trucks will be unloaded at desig- value of the materials based on the current Chicago material prices.
nated areas for the commingled paper and commingled containers.
A team of four contract employees will sort and bale the materials 6.4. Equipment requirements
into eight streams:
Once the expected annual processing volumes were determined,
• Mixed office paper the equipment requirements were analyzed and determined. The
• White ledger equipment currently at the proposed MRF site was analyzed and
• Newspaper its capability was determined for the baler, sort line, and fork lift.
• Cardboard The baler was analyzed first. A team of contract engineers and
• Aluminum cans maintenance technicians studied the machine performance and
• Steel cans determined if it was adequate the meet the processing needs of
• Plastic bottles the county. In general, equipment requirements are a function of
• Glass bottles the quantity processed, standardized cycle times, equipment effi-
ciency rating to the standard, equipment reliability, and the time
Following is a flow chart depicting the MRF processes. Materials available for processing (below is a summary of the equation) [4].
will arrive at the incoming dock on the East side of the building. The
SQ
commingled paper truck will deposit its load in a staging area where F=
EHR
contract employees will remove all OCC and stage it in a holding
area and the MOP in a separate holding area near the baler. Next where S = standard processing time per cycle (min); Q = annual
the OCC or MOP will be loaded into the baler and processed into quantity to be processed (tons); E = machine efficiency rating to the
1500 pound (0.75 ton) bales. These bales will then be transported standard time (%); H = annual time available for processing per year
to the outgoing dock on the West site of the building and loaded (min); R = machine reliability (%).
into trailers provided by the recycling commodity brokers. This concept was applied and the above statistics were collected
Commingled containers will be processed differently. These for the current baler. Cycle times were measured to determine the
containers will arrive at the incoming dock and be deposited into times needed to bale each of the components collected as well on
four cubic feet wire cages. These wire cages will be transported to a the baler reliability and how efficient it was in regards to the stan-
540 M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543

Fig. 8. Baler processing analysis summary.

dard cycle time. The data indicated the machine was 85% reliable,
in other words, 15% of the available time the machine was down
due to unscheduled maintenance, repairs, or to dislodge jammed
materials. Overall throughput on the machine also indicated that is
was 90% efficient in terms of the standard cycle time measured. In
other words, the machine was processing 10% less than its potential
due to process delays. Fig. 8 states the summary for the baler.
As shown from the analysis above, the baler will be used to pro-
cess at total of 11,470 bales per year. Based on the standard cycle
times and assuming an 8-h work day and 250 days per year the Fig. 9. Annual staffing requirements.

baler will be 89.3% utilized. In conclusion, the current baler will be


sufficient to handle the anticipated annual workload.
As shown in the analysis above, 1409 forklift hours will be
The sort line was analyzed next. The current sort line consists of a
required for material handling within the MRF. Assuming an 8-h
conveyor belt and six sorting stations. The sort line will be used to
work day and 250 working days per year 2000 forklift hours will be
separate plastic, metal, glass and rubbish. A time study indicated
available. This indicates that one forklift will be adequate to handle
that an average employee could sort approximately 5 pound of
the annual workload and the one forklift will be utilized 70.4% of
material per minute. For the purpose of the analysis, this value was
the work day.
reduced to 4 pounds per hour to compensate for employee delays
(restroom and water) and fatigue. Based on a work rate of 4 pound
per minute, an average worker could sort 240 pounds or 0.12 tons 6.5. Labor requirements
per hour. Assuming an 8-h work day and 250 working days per year,
one employee could sort 240 tons per year. The annual workload of Labor requirements were determined based on the annual vol-
materials to be sorted on the line is 1002 tons (1162 tons of plas- umes to be processed and the machine requirements. A total of 10
tic bottles, 362 tons of steel cans, and 70 tons of aluminum cans). employees plus one supervisor would be required to operate the
Based on these factors, five of the six workstations would need to MRF. A breakdown is provided in Fig. 9.
be staffed per day to process the materials. This would allow for Several local companies were contracted to tour the proposed
processing capability of 1200 tons per year which is 198 tons above MRF site and provide bids to staff the MRF. A local company that
the annual workload requirements of 1002. This indicates the five employs individuals with mental or physical disabilities provided
workers hired to sort the materials will be utilized or 83.5% based a very cost effective bid and has been involved with similar sorting
on the determined time standards. operations. The company also provided a supervisor for the employ-
Finally, the forklifts were analyzed. Time studies were taken to ees at no cost to the District due to financial support from the Lucas
determine the time required for a forklift to: County Board of Mental Retardation. Fig. 10 shows the summary of
the annual labor costs to operate the MRF.
• Load materials into the baler.
• Transport materials to the sort line. 6.6. Proposed system cost and revenue analysis
• Transport materials from the sort line.
• Unload bales from the baler. Under the proposed system the District’s drop-off program will
• Transport bales to the broker trailer. operate at a $189,327 loss per year considering revenue minus
expenses. The revenue generated from the sale of the sorted recy-
The table below summarizes the findings: clable materials was calculated using the current values of the
Chicago material prices listed below (current as of 2/2008):
Forklift task Quantity per Time require Time required Hours
year (bales) per move per year (min) required
(min) per year

Bales loaded 11,470 2.0 22,940 382


Bales transported to 1,660 3.0 4,980 83
the sort line
Baled transported to 1,660 3.0 4,980 83
the sort line
Baled unloaded 11,470 2.0 22,940 382
Bales transported to 11,470 2.5 28,675 478
the broker trailer
Totals 37,730 84,515 1,409
Fig. 10. Annual staffing requirements with wages.
M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543 541

Fig. 11. Monthly facility operating costs.

• Mixed office paper—$82/baled ton. 7.1. Performance and customer service analysis
• White ledger—$102/baled ton.
• Newspaper—$55/baled ton. From a customer service standpoint, the residents of Lucas
• Cardboard—$110/baled ton. County that utilize the drop-off sites will not be impacted or see
• Aluminum cans—$180/crushed and baled ton. a degradation in service level with the new system. The portion of
• Steel cans—$180/crushed and baled ton. the collection and processing system that has direct contact with
• Plastic bottles—$180/crushed and baled ton. the residents is not being modified. The additional revenue gener-
• Glass bottles—$25/ton. ated by the District will be used to reduce the surcharge per ton of
solid waste generated in Lucas County, hence reducing the trickle
Based on the forecasted volumes and commodity prices the Dis- down costs to consumers.
trict will generate $844,197 annually from the sale of the recyclable
materials to commodity brokers.
7.2. Financial analysis
From an expense standpoint, the new system will require addi-
tional money to operate and maintain the MRF. Specifically, the cost
To complete the financial analysis the Full Cost Accounting for
of the building, labor costs, utility, costs, maintenance costs, and
Municipal Solid Waste, published the US Environmental Protection
management/administrative costs. The cost of the building will be
Agency, was used as a guide (US EPA, 2006). The proposed system
addressed in the comparison and justification portion of this paper.
will result in an annual cost savings of $236,135 versus the existing
Specifically, the costs for the proposed system are:
system of outsourcing. This was calculated by taking the projected
annual net revenue (cost) of the proposed system minus the annual
• $365,100 for truck diesel fuel costs (this is up slightly from the net revenue (cost) of the current system. Both system will result in a
current system due to the location of the proposed MRF and the net cost for the District (−$189,327 for the proposed system minus
additional required miles for the trucks to deposit material there). −$425,462 of the current system).
• $5500 for annual maintenance costs (no change from the current The initial investment for the proposed system, which includes
system). the cost of the building and renovations, is $973,050. The break-
• $7500 for drop-off site container costs and maintenance (no down for this amount is $900,000 for the building and equipment
change from the current system). and an additional $73,050 to refurbish the building and equipment.
• $240,000 for truck driver salaries and benefits for the four drivers The $73,050 is the total amount provided by contactors based on
employed by the District (no change from the current system). inspection of the building and equipment.
• $186,400 in labor costs for employees to operate the MRF (these
were discussed in the previous section).
• $190,000 for administrative costs which include the Solid Waste
District Manager’s and administrative assistant’s salary and ben-
efits in addition to supply costs (the proposed system includes
$40,000 for a District employee to supervise the MRF).
• $39,024 in utility and building maintenance costs for the MRF.

The utility and building maintenance costs were estimated from


the current costs of the proposed site as determined from records
shown in Fig. 11.
The following table summaries the proposed revenues gener-
ated and cost to operate the MRF (Fig. 12).

7. Process comparison and justification analysis

This section discusses a comparison between the existing and


the proposed system in terms of:

• Customer service impacts.


• Financial impacts including payback period and internal rate of
return (IRR).
• A 5-year financial performance projection.
• Benefits and drawbacks of the proposed system.
• A discussion of the decision process. Fig. 12. Proposed system costs and revenues.
542 M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543

meaningful projects to increase recycling and reduce solid waste


from entering the landfills. Other benefits include more control for
the District in terms of the materials collected and the ability to
employ local employees at the MRF.
The primary drawback of the new system involves increased
managerial complexity. The District will now have to devote
resources to the MRF to monitor and manage the processes and
personnel as well as the commodity brokers. Additionally, the Dis-
trict will be subject to the fluctuations in the recycling commodity
market, this in turn could impact operational revenues and the rate
of return.

7.4. Breakeven and sensitivity analysis

From a financially standpoint, the proposed system has a pay-


back period 4.12 years and an internal rate of return of 20.5% over
10 years based on the market assumptions stated in Section 6.6. A
critical question involves determining the breakeven point sensitiv-
ity of the proposed system based on changes in market conditions.
From a breakeven standpoint, two market changes were analyzed:

• The lowest level that the amounts of material recycled (in tons)
by the District could fall and still achieve a 10-year IRR of 6.5%.
• The lowest level that the dollar values of the waste commodities
could fall and still achieve a 10-year IRR of 6.5%.

The breakeven point for the amount of materials collected by


the District and the dollar values for the waste commodities was
analyzed. An analysis of the data indicated that the amount of
materials collected by the District could drop by 13% or 1300 tons
from the estimate to achieve an IRR of 6.5%. This would amount
to an $110,000 reduction in revenue per year for the District. On
average, the amount of materials collected by the District has
increase by 3–5%, so this is not a large concern. Similarly, the
Fig. 13. Cost comparison.
dollar values provided by the commodity brokers based on the
market rates could drop and average of 13% for each material type
from the current conditions to achieve an IRR of 6.5%. This would
The payback period for the proposed system is 4.12 years (or also amount to an $110,000 reduction in revenue per year for the
4 years and 1.5 months) and the internal rate of return for the District.
first 5 years of operation is 6.8% and 20.5% for the first 10 years A sensitivity analysis was also conducted to determine which
of operation. variables would have the largest impact on the revenue target,
Working with the Lucas County Commissioners a $1,000,000 hence meeting the IRR, if they were reduced. To accomplish this,
bond at 6% interest will be established with a 20-year payback each variable was reduced by 5% while all other variables were
period to acquire the fund for the initial investment of $973,050. held constant and the percent change in revenue was measured.
The following table provides a summary of the financial comparison The variables analyzed were:
between the two systems (Fig. 13).
• Amounts of materials collected (measured in tons).
7.3. Benefit and drawback comparison • Dollar value per ton of recycling material.

The primary benefit of the proposed system is the cost savings. As displayed in the following table, OCC amounts and price are
The money saved can be used to reduce the tax burden or fund other most sensitive to changes and therefore have the largest impact

Fig. 14. Sensitivity analysis.


M.J. Franchetti / Resources, Conservation and Recycling 53 (2009) 535–543 543

on total revenue and IRR. A 5% reduction in the amount collected 10. Conclusions
annually or the dollar value per ton of OCC reduces total revenue
by 2%. Likewise, a 5% reduction in ONP reduced total revenue and This article demonstrated the process for municipalities to eco-
IRR by 1%. All other variables did not indicate level a high level of nomically justify the purchase and operation of a government
sensitivity (Fig. 14). owned MRF. Key findings from this research revolve around a case
study from the 2007 purchase of a government owned MRF in
7.5. Decision Toledo, Ohio, USA. The key findings were demonstrated through
a complete financial analysis. Specifically, the financial analysis
Based on the financial benefits of the proposed system and the indicated that the municipality will achieve a payback period of
minimal impact to customer service the decision was made to move approximately 4 years, and a 10-year internal rate of return of 20.5%.
forward with the system. The consequences of these findings, stemming from the economic
and operational justification, led to the actual purchase of the MRF
8. Business plan development and approval site and subsequent operation in 2007 through early 2008. This
research may serve as an example or model for other local govern-
A formal business plan was developed with the aid of The Uni- ments considering the implementation of such a system.
versity of Toledo, College of Engineering that provided the following A strong emphasis was placed on economic efficiencies and a
key sections: sensitivity analysis of the results to changes in the data inputs,
specifically inflation, recycling levels, and recycling commodity
• Executive summary. market shifts. A breakeven analysis of the data indicates that the
• Organization summary. amount of materials collected by the District or the commodity
• Services. prices could drop by 13% ($110,000) from the estimate to achieve
• Market analysis summary. an IRR of 6.5%. On average, the amount of materials collected by
• Strategy and implementation summary. the District has increase by 3–5%, so this is not a large concern. The
• Planned workflow. sensitivity analysis indicated that OCC amounts and price are most
• Management summary. sensitive to changes and therefore have the largest impact on total
• Financial plan. revenue and IRR. A 5% reduction in the amount collected annually
• Five-year proforma financial plan. or the dollar value per ton of OCC reduces total revenue by 2%. All
• Facility equipment list. other variables did not indicate level a high level of sensitivity.
• Additional calculations. Reservations of limitations of this research include:

The contents of the sections in the business plan were discussed • Location and the cost of business in various geographical areas.
in the pervious sections of this paper. The business plan was created • Inflation.
as a formal document to present to the Lucas County Commission- • Recycling commodity market shifts.
ers for review and approval. The approval would also secure the • Competition.
initial investment to purchase and upgrade the facility. During the
weekly open-chamber meeting (open to the public), the business This research and MRF analysis was conducted in the Midwest,
plan was presented and discussed with the Commissioners and which has a relatively lower business and real estate costs versus
their advisors. the East or West Cost. Conducting a similar study in these areas
The Commissioners requested clarification on a few items, such may not be economically justified based on these higher costs.
expected growth in the amount of recyclable materials collected Major changes in inflation (labor and operating costs) or com-
annually and whether the facility could handle the increased work- modity market shifts may alter the economics of the 10-year cost
load. After deliberation, the Commissions unanimously approved structure. Finally, unforeseen competition arising in the area could
the business plan and purchase of the building. reduce material collection amounts, hence reducing revenues. This
competition could present itself as a new private sector recycling
9. Implementation collector/processor or as modified fee structures from existing com-
panies. The likelihood of these events over the 10-year time frame
The Implementation of this business plan began on February 4, is relatively low due to these companies current cost structures and
2008 and began with approval from the Lucas County Commission- taxation rates.
ers. Below is a summary of the implementation process:
References
• Prepare business plan and presentation for Lucas County Com-
Beck, R.W. Lycoming County material recovery facility evaluation. Pennsylvania
missioners: 4 weeks. Department of Environmental Protection. Final report; 2004.
• Approval by Lucas County Commissioners: 1 day. Chang N, Wang SF. The development of material recovery facilities in the United
• Purchase of building and equipment: 1 week. States: status and cost structure analysis. Resources, Conservation and Recycling
1995;13:115–28.
• Hire of contractors to renovate and repair the building and equip-
Davila E, Chang N. Sustainable pattern analysis of a publicly owned material recovery
ment: 2 weeks. facility in a fast-growing urban setting under uncertainty. Journal of Environ-
• Hiring of workers to sort materials: 4 weeks. mental Management 2005;75:337–51.
• Contract with recycling commodity brokers: 3 weeks. Tompkins, White, Bozer, Tanchoco. Facilities planning. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley
and Sons, Inc; 2003.
• Adjust collection truck routes: 1 week. US Environmental Protection Agency. Full cost accounting for municipal solid waste
• Start operations: 1 week. management; 2006.

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