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decide each case in what he perceives to scriptive. A legal rule provided, in the-
be the correct manner.19 ory, an accurate description of how
On the other hand, Llewellyn's main a judge or judges had acted in a past
argument with the traditional doctrine situation. This assumption was widely
of precedent was that it preached the disputed by this time.2"It seemed fair-
existence of certainty where little ex- ly obvious that judges do not think in
isted. "Paper" rules that purported to syllogistic terms and that, even if they
describe past judicial behavior and per- did, formal logic by no means guaran-
mit prediction of future action were tees the correctness of the result. The
so open to judicial manipulation that selection of the major premise (the
they made prediction extremely diffi- binding rule) is dependent upon the
cult. In Llewellyn's eyes it was not be- initiation of the actor. Without laboring
cause paper rules were incorrect but what today is an obvious point, let
because they contained only a partial us assume that the "law in books"
truth. Traditional rules did guide did accurately portray judicial action:
judges in their decisions, but not to the should this past judicial behavior be
extent claimed.20If, as Llewellyn be- used as a norm for future decision-mak-
lieved, relative predictability and cer- ing? The underlying assumption of the
tainty are both possible and desirable notion of stare decisis is that it should.
traits in any legal system, the obvious Contained in this assumption are the
area of investigation lies beyond paper suppositions that (a) fact situations
rules in the objectively observable be- are repetitive and (b) the judge (or
havior of judges. Perhaps here empir- judges) acted "correctly" in his past
ical generalizationsmore accurately de- decision.
scriptive of their behavior can be found. First, if the binding legal rule is to
Such generalizations, supplemented by provide an ought dictate which pre-
traditional rules, might lead to hypo- scribes future judicial action, the fact
theses which would make prediction situation which was an integral part of
more accurate. The orientation of the that decision must be sufficiently simi-
rule skeptic is thus totally different lar to a present situation that the same
from that of the "left-wing" fact skep- rule may be applied. Notice that such
tic. The former presupposes the exist- a view assumes a rather static view of
ence of relatively similar fact situations society insofar as the facts in both in-
and concerns himself with discovering stances must be almost identical to
ways by which uniformities in judicial provide a "just" decision. If the fact
behavior may be discovered. The lat- situation in a present case is materially
ter despairs of the possibility of insur- differentin any way, what was a correct
ing any kind of uniformity. This dis- ruling in the past may be completely
tinction between realists becomes even unjust under new circumstances. The
clearer if one examines the relative po- early demands of the realists for "nar-
sitions of Frank and Llewellyn on the rower categories" of legal norms indi-
component elements of a legal rule. cated their desire to "stick close to the
The traditional conception of rules facts" of cases to insure that a rule
and the doctrine of stare decisis con- was not applied arbitrarily to differing
tained two often undifferentiated as- factual situations.22
pects, one descriptive, the other pre- Second, if a precedent is to have any
That notion is traceable to the basic cretion. The realists contended such
legal myth. We shall have better law regularity might be found by introduc-
when, by riddingourselves of that myth, ing materials and methods of analysis
we come to recognize the relatively sub- from outside the traditional conception
ordinate importance of rules." To of law. The rule skeptics found such
Frank's mind the fact uncertainty of methods of analysis in the rapidly grow-
the trial stage of any legal proceeding ing area of social-science methodology.
raised an insuperablebarrier to any no- Thus, while the fact skeptics concen-
tion of regularity in the law. trated upon the uniqueness of individ-
In contrast to the fact skepticism of ual decisions and fact uncertainty, the
Frank, Llewellyn's criticisms of the rule skeptics turned to the social sci-
doctrine of precedent do indeed seem to ences for methods and information
come merely from a "left wing adherent which would help them introduce great-
of the tradition."27If one can conceive er continuity into the study of legal
of a spectrum of positions on the com- phenomena. This is not to say that the
position of fact and value elements in fact skeptics did not engage in similar
legal rules, Pound would be on the investigations of the judicial process.
"right," Llewellyn in the "center," and Indeed, as will be indicated, some of
Frank on the far "left." Llewellyn's em- Frank's analyses were leading contribu-
phasis on the factual components of le- tions to the scholarship. Both the fact
gal rules was dictated by the overem- skeptics and rule skeptics were con-
phasis of the legal tradition on the value cerned with discovering social and psy-
components. Frank, however, placed chological factors which influenced ju-
such a great emphasis on the factual dicial activity. Their purposes in under-
component that he was prone to deny taking this type of study were quite
the efficacy of any normative doctrine different, however. Frank used the in-
of rules. He thus was led to a study of formation that indicated a vague corre-
the psychological, sociological, and eco- lation between judicial attitudes and
nomic factors which play upon individ- types of decisions rendered to support
ual judicial decision-making. Many of his thesis that the judge should be freed
the charges of the advocacy of "judicial from great reliance on rules and be per-
oligarchy"which were advancedagainst mitted to dispense openly "justice" in
the realists had as their basis Frank's individual cases. Llewellyn, on the other
notion of the unfettered judge, dispens- hand, used such data to enhance the
ing justice unguided by institutional doctrine of precedent. He argued that if
restraints. Frank's obvious approval of the judge could be made aware of the
many of the aspects of the "free-law" effects of his attitudinal preferences on
movement on the Continent only added his behavior he would be able to com-
to the perception of legal realism as a pensate for them in his activity, instead
movement advocating unrestrained ju- of hiding them under the cloak of stare
dicial law-making.28Those who charged decisis.29Thus the rule skeptic was us-
the realists in general with advancing ing information to establish patterns of
the cause of judicial oligarchy neglect regularity in decision-making, the fact
the significant point that what the rule skeptic to decry the possibility of regu-
skeptics sought was greater predictabil- larity. In this pursuit of methodological
ity and greater control over judicial dis- devices which might provide a clearer
actions. Indeed, he counselled this type promised the greatest yield was socio-
of approachas the one way to return to logical investigation.
a really viable doctrine of state de- Concepts such as class, economic sta-
cisis.34 Certainly Llewellyn's early defi- tus, and length of service on the bench
nition of law in Bramble Bush had be- were consideredpossible areas to be in-
havioristic overtones. "What these offi- vestigated to discover, if, indeed, they
cials do about disputes is, to my mind, produced attitudes which affected deci-
the law itself."35It may be reasonably sions made on the bench. Although the
inferred from these thirteen words that realists were loud in proclaiming their
adequate understandingof the law may desire for such studies, most of what
be achieved by mere observation of the was accomplished in this area came
physical actions of "officials."Yet this from persons who were not specifically
sentence is not an adequate indication associated with the movement.37Lle-
of Llewellyn's meaning, as he has point- wellyn was particularly concerned with
ed out. "In my own case, a single sen- conveying the basic notion that law was
tence from page 3 of the original 'Bram- an integral part of any social system.
ble Bush' . . . became, without any- The prior tradition had long considered
body's reading either the context or the the legal system to be a self-contained
rest of the 'Bramble Bush' . . . this lone body of rules, subject to the little
lorn sentence became, internationally, change affordedby legislation and con-
the cited goblin-painting of realism."36 stitutional amendment.There was little,
Despite such disclaimers, the natural if any concern with the reciprocal ef-
tendency of realists to be sympathetic fects between legal norms and social or-
to the aims of a movement which de- ganization. In order to change this con-
preciated "words" and studied "ac- ception of the role of law, Llewellyn
tions" is not to be denied. However, it "borrowed"from sociology the concept
might well be argued that an acid bath of an "institution." In contrast to the
of behavioral study was precisely what traditionalists, who tended to concen-
the "word-oriented" legal tradition trate their efforts on the structural as-
needed. It might further be added that pects of the law, he used this notion of
an emphasis on overt behavior does not a social institution to place great weight
necessarily exclude the utilization of upon the functional aspects of any body
introspective reports from participants of law. In a particularly aptly titled
or the study of "motivation"as a factor article, "Law and the Social Sciences:
in action. It is but a short step from Especially Sociology," Llewellyn indi-
cated this emphasis. "The central as-
such an emphasis on "doing"to the em-
pect of an 'institution' is organized ac-
ployment of sociological techniques in
tivity, activity organized around clean-
the analysis of judicial and institutional
ing up some job. In the case of the
function. The realists, following the major institutions (of which the institu-
lead of Pound, asked that greater em- tion of law is one), the jobs concerned
phasis be placed upon factors which are vital to the continued existence of
might influence a judge in his decision- the society or group."38
making. Frank and others had talked Although the concept of "institution"
primarily in terms of psychological in- seems vague and ill-defined in compari-
fluences on judges, but the area which son to the more sophisticated sociologi-
cal terminology of today, the use of mony both to the foresight and the au-
such a notion did place the study of dacity of some of the realists that they
legal phenomena well within the pur- tried to apply such techniques to "the
view of the behaviorally oriented ideas most tradition bound of all disci-
of social science. The law is then made plines."42
fast to its proper role as one of the in- Perhaps the most "natural" social-
stitutions (if not the major one) which science discipline from which to borrow
comprise what Llewellyn called "Law- methodological devices was anthropol-
Government." If certain types of de- ogy. The study of legal institutions in
vices could then be discovered to meas- other cultures had been one of the pro-
ure relationships between institutions, found contributions of the "historical
intra-institutionalpressures,and the re- school" of jurisprudence,and this type
sults of judicial activity in society, law- of investigation was carriedon by advo-
yers and politicians would have an ex- cates of Pound's sociological school.
tremely valuable device with which to Anthropology offered the realists the
pursue their craft. Although such de- possibility of investigating the interac-
vices were never adequately explored tion between legal norms and social-be-
by the lawyer Llewellyn, there was little havior patterns in differing social mi-
doubt in his mind that sophisticated lieu. Llewellyn in particular spent a
statistical techniques could provide vi- good deal of time and effort in study-
tal information.Indeed, as early as 1930 ing these relationships in the subcul-
Pound was accusing the realists of hav- tures of the American Indians. His ex-
ing too much "faith in masses of fig- tensive field surveys and empirical
ures."9 Some rather elementary statis- studies of Cheyenne law led to his col-
tical studies and field surveys were car- laborationin a book with anthropologist
ried out by other realists. In 1929 E. Adamson Hoebel on the law of the
Herman Oliphant, Walter Wheeler Cheyenne.43In this work the authors
Cook, and Yntema established the Insti- attempted to correlate, on a rather im-
tute of Law at Johns Hopkins Univer- pressionistic level to be sure, the legal
sity for the purpose of investigating norms of the Cheyenne with the chang-
numerous aspects of the legal process. ing behavior patterns of the members
As Edwin Patterson has noted: "The of the tribe. They concentrated on the
publications of the short-lived Hopkins existence of continuity in the Cheyenne
Institute ... revealed the empirical-sta- approach to legal matters and conclud-
tistical bent of its founders."40 ed that one of the significant features
The studies produced by the Insti- of Cheyennelaw was its ability to adapt
tute of Law, as well as W. 0. Douglas' legal norms successfully to often subtle
investigation of bankruptcyand Under- changes in factual situations. Llewellyn
hill Moore's concern with the effects of has left little doubt of the impact of this
legal symbols on social action, were study on his own development.44The
prime attempts to develop methodologi- discovery of the existence of "reasona-
cal devices which might shed light on ble regularity"in a mature legal system
certain aspects of the legal process.4 led Llewellyn to formulate a theory of
During an era when these types of in- proper legal function and ultimately to
vestigations were just being developed a theory of justice based upon the
in their parent disciplines it is a testi- "Cheyenne way.45
In later life Llewellyn's concern fo- other disciplines than those rather
cused on the role of judicially perceived crude tools employed by the realists.
concepts of "proper" function in the What seems to be new in the behavioral
behavior of judges. He spoke in terms approach is the fact that existing hy-
of the "craft" of law and certain "law- potheses and current tools that can be
jobs" which formed a definite part of borrowed from behavioral science are
the value structure of the judiciary. No sufficiently refined to enable the legal
analysis of judicial attitudes would be researcherto develop modes of analysis
correct without the inclusion of these which show promising signs of predict-
institutional and professional values. In ability. S. Sidney Ulmer contends "that
his final major work Llewellyn outlined if students of the judicial process, in
fourteen institutional factors which sufficientnumbers,shift the focus to be-
comprise not only internalized norms havioral regularities and the possibili-
for judges but external checks on the ties of using quantitative techniques for
behaviorof any single judge. These fac- analysis, then theories and predictive
tors-length of service, legal training, devices far superior to anything sug-
group decision-making,etc.-provide a gested here may be discovered."46The
valuable starting point for the study of contributions of the behavioral move-
institutional norms and judicial role. ment and analyses of their findings
Although many of the concepts and have been summarized in many publi-
methodologicaldevices borrowedby the cations; there is no need to attempt to
realists led them to relatively insignifi- add to that literature.47It is worthwhile
cant conclusions, their emphasis on the however, to note some of the parallels
study of legal phenomena as another in method of approach between the be-
aspect of human behavior opened the havioralists and the realists. They both
door to future use of concepts from begin with the assumption that legal
other disciplines which today form a behavior is susceptible of study with
growing part of legal literature. In par- behavioral techniques-that law, to a
ticular the enthusiasm of the rule skep- certain extent, is a part of social stud-
tics for a scientific study of legal phe- ies. Llewellyn's statement of the orien-
nomena, and their groping attempts in tation of the rule skeptics could well be
that direction, provided a very real stated as the prime assumption of legal
sense of precedent for current, more behavioralism. "The behavior side of
sophisticated attempts to analyze judi- matters legal is the same behavior
cial behavior. which is susceptible of analysis also
One of the prime distinctions be- by a psychologist, an economist, or a
tween the legal realists of the twenties sociologist."48Today one might add to
and thirties and the legal behavioralists Llewellyn's list a political scientist and
of today is that the formerwere for the a mathematician, but the spirit of the
most part lawyers and law professors inquiry would be the same. The con-
where the latter are social scientists ap- cern of the behavioralists is avowedly
proaching the law from other disci- judicial behavior, their focus is on ac-
plines. In addition to providing a differ- tion, and a prime concern is the predic-
ent perspective, such an orientationper- tion of future judicial decisions. Fred
mits the utilization of far more sophisti- Kort in his "Analysis of Judicial Opin-
cated methodologicaldevices learned in ions and Rules of Law" provides an ex-
cellent example of all these emphases: disillusioned with legal rules as an ex-
"The object of the present study is to planation of judicial conduct, the new
provide a quantitative formulation of behavioralists seek understanding by
rules of law.... More specifically, the mathematicalanalysis of judges' voting
proposed quantitative formulationis-di- records-often regardless of judicial
rected at that part of the rule of law talk.""5It is impossible to read such
which refers to various possible combi- statements without recalling a vague
nations of the specified set of circum- echo from the past: "It is argued [by
stances. Each combination of circum- this group of men] that the only objec-
stances represents the facts of the case tively valid phenomena are those dis-
to which the rule of law is applied.... coverable by statistical investigation of
The quantitative formulation in ques- the operations of judicial institutions,
tion will attempt to weigh numerically and the one valid method is a formula-
each possible combination of circum- tion of exact propositions on the basis
stances."49 thus afforded."52In addition to their
Kort's aim in this particulararticle is other affinities the realists and the be-
to focus attention on the factual com- havioralists stand condemned on simi-
ponent of the fact-value totality of a lar grounds.
rule in order to shed greater light upon To term legal realism a "successful"
the various fact clusters, with the even- movement courts presumption after
tual -hope of predicting how a given stating that its intellectual progeny in
court will act when confronted with a the form of behavioralismis the center
similar set of fact components. of a present-day controversy. Yet real-
Kort's work is fairly representative ism has succeeded in at least making
of current analysis in the behavioralist legal scholars aware of the potentially
"movement." As Schubert has noted, fruitful results to be obtained through
the methods of approachmay vary, but the use of "extra-legal"methods of in-
their orientationis quite similar.50They vestigation. The very existence of a cur-
seek to discover "real" rules and "real" rent movement which is adopting such
reasons for judicial action, perhaps in devices as mathematical models and
contrast to the written opinions of symbolic logic attests to realism's
judges. The prime thrust of the behav- "ground-breaking"powers. Of course,
ioral movement at present seems to be legal realism was assisted in its drive
in the study of on-and-off-the-benchju- for an empirical study of law by simul-
dicial attitudes and the correlation of taneous developments both in law and
those attitudinal preferences with en- in the social sciences. Yet it is difficult
suing behavior on the part of the judge. not to consider the realist movement a
Certainly this was a prime concern of prime initiator of the empirical study
all the legal realists. of judicial behavior, for the major
Finally, one cannot help but note the themes of the realist revolt remain the
similarity of the criticisms which are central concerns of the behavioral
advanced against contemporarybehav- movement today.
ioralism and those mustered against the In particular,the rule skeptics' desire
realists. Wallace Mendelson, unsympa- for a scientific approach to legal phe-
thetic to much in the behavioral move- nomena, coupled with their attempts to
ment has recently stated: "Apparently discover concepts which would explain
and predict judicial behavior, provided tivated by a desire to improve the study
the impetus for continuing empirical in- of legal phenomena and to increase the
vestigations. Whereas the legal profes- degree of regularity in the judicial proc-
sion as a whole is by no means willing to ess. In this endeavor they were in the
welcome behavioralistswith open arms, mainstream of the best American legal
there are at least indications that em- scholarship. Llewellyn best expresses
pirical analyses of legal phenomena are the constructively skeptical attitude of
no longer dismissed out-of-hand. Some the realist enterprise: "But I should
of the credit for this grudging accept-
think it a cheap valuation of our way-
ance must go to the realists.
ward, wilful, charming Mistress [the
Finally, the picture of legal realism
law] to think that she must be kept
as a movement designed to "destroy"
continuity and regularityin the analysis from comparison,or even scrutiny, lest
of law must be dismissed. The rule her charm should fail."53
skeptics within the movement were mo- UNIVERSITY OF DELAWARE
NOTES
1. The phrase "legal behavioralists" is commonly duplicated many times, but they will serve to in-
used to designate a group of social scientists who dicate the type of analysis of legal realism current.
seek to apply techniques developed in the social 9. Frank, op. cit., pp. x-xii.
sciences in an analysis of the judicial process. 10. Roscoe Pound, "The Scope and Purpose of
Among their number are Glendon Schubert, Fred Sociological Jurisprudence," HarvardLaw Review,
Kort, Stuart Nagle, David Danielski, S. Sidney XXV (1912), 514.
Ulmer, Harold J. Spaeth, and Lee Loevinger. 11. Initially and most profoundly by 0. W.
2. Membership in the movement was ill-defined Holmes in both his speeches and writings.
at best. However, it is generally agreed that the 12. This "spirit" of well-settled law is ex-
following were at one time or another advocates pressed in a variety of publications, particularly
of a "realistic method" in approaching legal phe- the journal of the American Bar Association of
nomena: Karl Llewellyn, Jerome Frank, Hessel the period. Interesting in its analysis of this ques-
Yntema, Thurman Arnold, Walter W. Cook, Her- tion is Frederic R. Coudert's Certainty and Jus-
man Oliphant, and Underhill Moore. tice (New York: D. Appleton & Co., 1914).
3. Thurman H. Arnold, "Jerome Frank," Uni- 13. See, e.g., Karl Llewellyn's discussion of
versity of Chicago Law Review, XXIV (1957), "stare decisis" in Bramble Bush (3d ed.; New
633. York: Oceana Publications, 1960).
4. Hessel Yntema, "American Legal Realism in 14. Frank, op. cit., p. xxi.
Retrospect," Vanderbilt Law Review, XIV (1960), 15. Ibid., p. xvi.
329. 16. Ibid., p. xiv.
5. Glendon Schubert (ed.), Judicial Decision- 17. Ibid., p. xvi.
Making (London: Collier-Macmillan Ltd., 1963), 18. Ibid., p. xxvi.
p. 1. 19. Note Frank's sympathetic treatment of the
6. Glendon Schubert, "Judicial Attitudes and Continental "free-law movement," which, in his
Voting Behavior: The 1961 Term of the United words, "considers equity and discretion the cen-
States Supreme Court," in Hans W. Baade, (ed.), tral factors in the work of judges" (op. cit., p.
Jurimetrics, (Durham, N.C.: Duke University, 301).
1963), pp. 100-101. 20. "Do I suggest that the 'accepted rules,' the
7. Jerome Frank, Law and the Modern Mind rules the judges say that they apply, are without
(6th ed.; Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday & Co., influence upon their actual behavior? I do not.
1963), p. xii. I do not even say that, sometimes, these 'ac-
8. See Harold Gill Reuschlein, Jurisprudence: cepted rules' may not be a very accurate descrip-
Its American Prophets (Indianapolis, Ind.: Bobbs tion of the judges' actual behavior. What I say is
Merrill Co., Inc., 1951), pp. 184-93; Julius Paul, that such accuracy of description is rare" (Karl
"Foundations of American Legal Realism," West Llewellyn, "A Realistic Jurisprudence-The Next
Virginia Law Review, LX (1957), 48; Bernie R. Step," ColumbiaLaw Review XXX [1930], 444).
Burrus, "American Legal Realism," Howard Law 21. Ibid., p. 450. Of course, Holmes may be cited
Review, VIII (1962), 43. These examples could be as precedent for disputing such notions.