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Software Application in Business: Project Report Current Poverty Rate in Pakistan
Software Application in Business: Project Report Current Poverty Rate in Pakistan
SOFTWARE APPLICATION IN
BUSINESS
PROJECT REPORT
CURRENT POVERTY RATE IN
PAKISTAN
GROUP MEMBERS:
SUBMITTED TO:
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Table of Contents
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT.....................................................................3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY....................................................................4
INTRODUCTION:.................................................................................5
BACKGROUND:....................................................................................8
CAUSES OF POVERTY IN PAKISTAN:........................................8
EFFECTS OF POVERTY IN PAKISTAN:....................................12
HISTORY..............................................................................................15
FINDINGS OF CURRENT POVERTY RATE IN PAKISTAN:....19
ANALYSIS OF POVERTY RATE IN PAKISTAN:........................30
SOLUTION:..........................................................................................32
CONCLUSION:....................................................................................34
REFERENCES:....................................................................................35
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First of all, we would like to thank Allah who has always guided us to work on the
right path of life. Without his grace, this project could not become reality. Now, we
are thankful to Sir Faiz Ahmed for providing us the opportunity and motivation to
gain knowledge through this self-learning project. It will also be beneficial and
helpful to us in our future.
Then I would like to add a few words of appreciation for all the group members
who have been a part of this project right from its inception. It would be
impossible to complete this project without their support, patience and guidance.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Poverty has been one of the biggest problems that Pakistan faces today. It is rightly
said that poverty anywhere is a threat to prosperity everywhere. Nearly 60 per cent
of the population of Pakistan lives in villages. According to an analysis, poverty
has increased roughly from 30% to 40% during the past decade. It means that 40
per cent of the country’s population is earning their livelihood below the poverty
line. In such condition people are depressed of their basic necessities of life.
21.0 % population is much poor and spending their lives below poverty line in
Pakistan. Poverty line refers to one dollar per day. Last year population below
poverty line was 23.9 %.
More than 12 million people were added to the poor in Pakistan between 1993 and
1999. The rising poverty was the result of poor governance and slow economic
growth.
In 2019-20, the GDP growth rate is expected to be close to 2.4%, therefore there
will be no increase in per capita income.
There is a real risk that the incidence of poverty could increase by almost 5
percentage points from the level of 35% in 2018-19. Therefore, by the end of
2019-20, the level of poverty in Pakistan could once again approach 40%.
Government should provide credit facilities and use labor intensives techniques of
production to reduce the poverty. Alone leadership is not enough for its solution.
People of Pakistan have too got responsibility with equal share.
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INTRODUCTION:
In Islam, poverty is a great curse and unfortunate. Our beloved Prophet Hazrat
Muhammad (PBUH) also prayed to Allah to save him (PBUH) from Poverty.
Poverty is the state in which one lacks a usual or socially acceptable amount of
money or material possessions. Poverty is said to exist when people lack the means
to satisfy their basic needs.
Definition:
TYPES OF POVERTY:
These are the major types of poverty:
1) General Poverty
General poverty refers to the existence of poverty in almost all the sectors of
economy. As in case of Pakistan, 21.0 % population is much poor.
2) Absolute Poverty
It is meant to represent a specific minimum level of income needed to satisfy
the basic physical needs of food, clothing and shelter in order to ensure survival.
3) Cyclical Poverty
Cyclical poverty refers to poverty that may be widespread throughout a
population, but its occurrence itself is of limited duration.
4) Collective Poverty
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Poverty refers to the state of being poor, including deficiency of capital and
lack of the means of providing material needs and comforts. In developing
countries poverty is common in all the regions.
The word poverty derived from Latin word pauper means poor. Poverty refers to
the condition of not having the means to afford basic human needs such as clean
water, nutrition, health care, clothing and shelter. Poverty is the condition of
having fewer resources or less income than others within a society or country, or
compared to worldwide averages. Poverty is one of the major social problems
which Pakistan is facing. It is one of the most important and sensitive issue not
only for Pakistan but for the whole world. Poverty can cause other social problems
like theft, bribe, corruption, adultery, lawlessness, injustice etc.
It is the fundamental duty and responsibility of the country to fulfill the basic needs
of its people. Basic needs of man comprises of shelter, food and clothing. When
these needs are not fulfilled they bring about problems termed as socio-economic
problems. Pakistan has also been suffering from these problems. The real issue is
not the presence of these problems in the society. But the extent to which they are
being paid attention and solved. When these problems are not met timely the
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results in the form of deviant behavior, drug abuse, smuggling, corruption, poverty,
illiteracy and many other social evils.
21.0 % population is much poor and spending their lives below poverty line in
Pakistan. Poverty line refers to one dollar per day. Last year population below
poverty line was 23.9 %.
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BACKGROUND:
CAUSES OF POVERTY IN PAKISTAN:
It is difficult to point out all causes of poverty in Pakistan but the major causes of
are given below:
Government:
Education:
Education sector plays a very vital role in the progress of any country.
Unfortunately, the condition of education sector in Pakistan is very miserable. The
lack of quality education our country is unable of dealing with the challenges of
the 21st century. Due to poverty people are unable to afford quality education for
their children. In addition, government’s negligence is frustrating the situation
further. Even though various steps taken by different governments for the
promotion of education, literacy rate lingers at 56% over
the decade. Owing to low investment, government run
schools are poor of basic facilities like proper classrooms,
water and sanitation facilities, electricity. Private sector is
doing an admirable job in this regard. But the money
making objective of this sector, education has been beyond
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poor’s reach. The primary completion rate in Pakistan given by UNESCO is 33.8
% in females and 47% in males, which shows that people in the 6th largest country
of the world are unable to get the basic education.
Overpopulation:
Unemployment:
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educated people are out of job. There are no opportunities for youth to utilize their
capabilities or abilities in right direction. Pakistan is facing the problem of brain
drain due to unemployment because we are unable to utilize their precious hands in
the progress of the country. The most horrible part is that it is rising every year it
will show to be risky for the economy of Pakistan. It has negative impact on
society. It creates frustration and revengeful attitude.
Judiciary System:
Owing to poor governance, the government is losing control over law and order
situation. When individuals put themselves in front of institutions, they set a bad
example. Suicide attacks, target killing, robbery and other crimes have become
norm of the day. And government seems helpless in this regard.
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There are lot of problems regarding law and order. Terrorist attacks create
uncertainty in stock markets and people earning from stock are getting loss due to
which the whole country faces uncertain increase in commodity prices.
Corruption:
Some of the most corrupt institutions and areas in Pakistan identified by TI are:
police, power sector, land administration, communications, education, local
government, judiciary, health, taxation and custom. According to TI’s survey, there
has taken place manifold increase in corruption in the present government than the
previous one. Neither foreign national nor over-seas Pakistanis who may be
interested in investing in this country are simply discouraged when they encounter
large-scale corruption in the shape of bribery and kickbacks.
Excess Imports:
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Foreign Investors:
Foreign investor comes to local markets. They invest millions of dollars in stock
markets and stock market gets rise in index. Then the investor withdraws his
money with profit and market suddenly collapses. The after math always is faced
by poor people.
The most common effect of poverty is malnutrition and this effect is particularly
seen in children of poor families. People living in poverty they have no access for
highly nutritious foods. The healthiest foods are usually the most expensive, that’s
why family on a very small budget is much more likely to purchase food that is
less nutritious, simply people can afford. In other hand people in poverty are
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malnourished because they do not eat sufficient of anything. For some people
around the world, quality food is luxury.
Child Labor:
The first and most immediate Effects of Poverty in Pakistani Society is that People
will not send their child to Schools. As we know that "CHILD IS THE FATHER
OF TOMORROW", if our child wasted in this way then not only our Society but
Country will face problems in the future. Today in Pakistan about 4 million
Children in the age group of 5-14 years are working (Federal Bureau of Statistics).
This is poverty which force them to work in the formative years at very risky
places i.e. Underground mines, work with live electrical wires over 50 V, Cement
Crime and violence is the direct Effect of Poverty in Pakistan. The most common
form of human trafficking is for prostitution (violence), which is largely fueled by
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poverty. According to a survey, most of poor men violence on their wives for
income purposes. They force their women family members to earn something even
by selling their bodies. Street crime is also the ultimate Effect of Poverty in
Pakistan.
HISTORY
It is generally accepted that the declining trend in poverty in Pakistan during the
1970s and 1980s was reversed in the 1990s. The incidence of poverty increased
from 26.6 percent in FY1993 to 32.2 percent in FY1999 and the number of poor
increased by over 12 million people during this period. Since FY1999, economic
growth has slowed further, development spending has continued to decline, and the
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country has experienced a severe drought. It is therefore highly likely that the
incidence of poverty in Pakistan today is significantly higher than in FY1999.
Poverty in Pakistan has historically been higher in rural than urban areas. Poverty
rose more sharply in the rural areas in the 1990s, and in FY1999 the incidence of
rural poverty (36.3 percent) was significantly higher than urban poverty (22.6
percent). Inequality also increased in Pakistan during the 1990s, in both urban and
rural areas, which enhanced the negative impact on poverty of the slowdown in
growth during this period. While agriculture is the predominant activity in rural
society, a substantial proportion of the rural labor force, estimated at more than 40
percent, depends entirely on non-farm activities. The growth of non-farm activities
appears to have been severely affected by low economic growth, decline in public
sector development spending, and lower worker remittances during the 1990s.
In line with the national picture, poverty in the provinces (apart from Balochistan
for which the poverty estimates were considered to have been affected by sample
selection issues) also registered an increase between FY1993 and FY1999. In this
period, the incidence of poverty in the Punjab increased from 25.2 percent to 33.0
percent; in Sindh from 24.1 percent to 26.6 percent; and in North West Frontier
Province (NWFP) from 35.5 percent to 42.6 percent.
The last four decades can be grouped into two broad periods with respect to
poverty trends. The first period is from FY1964 to FY1988, while the second
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covers the years from FY1988 to FY1999 (the last year for which data is
available). During the first period, poverty declined in the urban areas until
FY1970, but increased in the rural areas leading to an increase in overall poverty in
the country. Subsequently, between FY1970 and FY1988, poverty declined in both
rural and urban areas. A number of factors, including the green revolution, increase
in employment due to a boom in the housing and construction sectors, as well as
rapid expansion of the public sector, and the inflow of workers' remittances from
the Middle East contributed to poverty reduction during this period.
During the second period, data from various studies indicates that the incidence of
poverty increased from 22 - 26 percent in FY1991 to 32 - 35 percent in FY1999 as
4 shown in Table 2.1. As mentioned earlier, most of the increase in poverty in this
period seems to have taken place between FY1997 and FY1999, a period of slow
growth and macroeconomic instability in Pakistan. Since FY1999, growth has
slowed even further, the fiscal squeeze has intensified, development spending has
declined, and the country has experienced a severe drought. It is highly likely,
therefore, that the incidence of poverty in Pakistan now is higher than in FY1999.
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Although great strides have been made, millions of Pakistanis remain vulnerable to
falling into absolute poverty.
Pakistan has made remarkable progress in reducing absolute poverty. Fifty million
fewer people lived in poverty in 2011 than in 1991 and the share of the poor living
on less than $1.25 a day plummeted from 66.5% in 1987 to 12.7% in 2011.
Despite these advances, the number of Pakistanis vulnerable to falling into poverty
remains high and the recent series of natural disasters that have hit Pakistan will
slow future progress.
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While absolute poverty levels have substantially decreased, more than half of
Pakistan’s population – almost 90 million people – was still living on less than $2 a
day in 2011.However, the latest income poverty data has raised caution over the
accuracy of the 2011 poverty estimates.
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators. Poverty lines are in 2005
international dollars.
While the number of people living under $1.25 a day plummeted, the number of
people living under $2 has barely declined and those under $2.50 actually
increased
Income growth in Pakistan has been the main driver of poverty reduction,
according to a World Bank report. Pakistan’s Gini coefficient and Palma ratio (the
ratio of income held by the top 10% compared to income held by the bottom 40%)
have fluctuated over time, but has followed a general downward trend, indicating
that income inequality has declined. The Benazir Income Support Program may be
partly responsible for this improvement. Unlike its predecessors, the program
transfers money to the female head in each household, the idea being to increase
women’s empowerment. The BISP significantly increased the amount of social
welfare the Pakistani government was spending on the poor. Through a
combination of continued economic growth, income support programs and large
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Figure 2: Poverty headcount ratio and GDP per capita growth in Pakistan,
1987-2011
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Poverty has steadily declined even when income growth was volatile in the 1990s.
Growth in the new millennium did not alter the pace of poverty reduction,
demonstrating that the responsiveness (or elasticity) of poverty to growth has
declined. Going forward, even stronger growth, coupled with direct interventions,
may be needed to achieve further falls in poverty.
Provincial poverty data indicate that poverty rates have converged across the
country. According to a World Bank report, in 1999, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa had a
much higher poverty rate (41%) than other provinces in Pakistan. Next highest
were Punjab (30%), Sindh (26%) and Balochistan (22%). The poverty data from
2011 shows a marked improvement: Balochistan province had the highest poverty
rate (17.7%), followed by KPK (14%), Punjab (13.7%) and Sindh with the lowest
rate (12%).
Pakistan has its own national poverty line, measured by calculating the basket of
goods that meet the minimum number of calories for an adult. The line is adjusted
for inflation using the Consumer Price Index, which does not place adequate
weight on food prices, since the poor spend proportionately more on food than
non-food items. Pakistan’s Bureau of Statistics does not collect CPI data from rural
areas, which means that there is one uniform poverty line for rural and urban
households, even if they spend different amounts to meet their minimum
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requirement of calories. Furthermore, there has not been a census in Pakistan since
1998, meaning the population weights and sample sizes become increasingly
imprecise. These apparent flaws in the methodology have led to some skepticism
over the Bureau of Statistics’ latest poverty data. The larger issue is that if the
government cannot collect reliable poverty data, then it cannot be sure of whether
its poverty eradication policies are achieving the desired results.
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Foreign aid has been massive, but it has not always been well spent
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Aid Data provides geocoded data on aid projects in order to reveal which regions
of a country are underserved, as well as aggregate information on the size of aid,
foreign direct investment, and remittance inflows into a country. While some of
Pakistan’s aid projects have already been mapped, Aid Data also applies purpose
and activity codes to data drawn from the OECD’s Creditor Reporting Systems
which allows for a simple comparison of what types of poverty related projects
have been prominent (see Figure 4 below).
Cumulatively, the energy sector has been the largest sector recipient of
development related aid, which is not surprising given Pakistan’s chronic problems
with reliable electricity supplies. Health and education do not get as much attention
as they probably should, given their historically poor performance and the
likelihood that investment in these two would achieve the biggest payoffs
for poverty reduction and economic growth.
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Poverty headcount ratio at $5.50 a day is the percentage of the population living on
less than $5.50 a day at 2011 international prices. As a result of revisions in PPP
exchange rates, poverty rates for individual countries cannot be compared with
poverty rates reported in earlier editions.
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National poverty rate is the percentage of the population living below the national
poverty line. National estimates are based on population-weighted subgroup
estimates from household surveys.
According to a UNDP report, 65.5 percent population of Pakistan earns less than
2$ per day.
According to the 2011 statistics of the World Bank, due to the global financial
recession poverty ratio is increased especially of USA and the EU countries have
pushed millions of people around the world into deeper poverty. Almost 40% of
107 developing countries are highly exposed to the poverty. Pakistan is ranked
among the 43 countries who are most exposed to poverty.
According to the ADB report, poverty is spreading in Pakistan due to the rising
population, Pakistan’s internal situation, agriculture backwardness, unequal
income distribution, defiance expenditure, and increase in utility charges and rise
in unproductive activities.
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Pakistan’s Planning Commission (2011), poverty rate has jumped from 23.9 to
37.5 percent in the last three years. The commission has estimated that in 2007
there were 35.5 million people living below the poverty line but in 2010 their
number increased to over 64 million.
At the end of two years of the current government, 18 million more people may
slip into abject poverty due to low economic growth and double-digit food
inflation.
The national poverty ratio, which was 31.3% in June 2018, would sharply jump
to over 40% by June 2020. In absolute terms, people living in poverty will
increase from 69 million in June 2018 to 87 million by June 2020, indicating 26%
increase in poverty or an addition of 18 million people in first two years of the
current government.
Eight million people have already been added to the ranks of the poor by the end
of the first year of the current government. 10 million more people will slip
below the poverty line by the end of the current fiscal year.
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The situation is very alarming due to an economic growth rate that is close to the
population growth rate and an exponential increase in prices of perishable food
items.
The country was exiting a severe balance of payments crisis which had its own
implications. Current government accelerated the poverty alleviation measures
aimed at protecting the poor and vulnerable people from the adverse impact of
macroeconomic adjustments.
By June next year, four out of every ten Pakistanis will be poor. At the end of the
formal government, three out of ten Pakistanis were living in poverty when the
poverty ratio had been estimated at 31.3%.
The food inflation was recorded at 16.6% in cities and 19.3% in rural areas in
November over a year ago, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics.
The official poverty figures are missing since 2014-15 – a year after start of the
last IMF programme.
The incidence of poverty fell from 36.8% in 2015 to 31.3% in 2017-18. The
decline of 5.5 percentage points implied that almost six million people were taken
out of poverty in these three years.
The year 2018-19 has, unfortunately, witnessed a change in the trend. The per
capita income growth was only 0.9% and more recent estimates indicated that it
may have been even lower.
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There was an increase in the incidence of poverty by 3.7 percentage points, from
31.3% in 2017-18 to 35% in 2018-19. This implies that almost eight million
people fell below the poverty line in 2018-19.
In 2019-20, the GDP growth rate is expected to be close to 2.4%, therefore there
will be no increase in per capita income.
There is a real risk that the incidence of poverty could increase by almost 5
percentage points from the level of 35% in 2018-19. Therefore, by the end of
2019-20, the level of poverty in Pakistan could once again approach 40%.
SOLUTION:
Policies regarding poverty reduction Marshaled by different government could
not calculate the desire results. Crudely speaking, this is the gravest problem
being faced by Pakistani nation, if not handled with diligent care and implicit
faith, will swell and devour the entire mechanism of the state. For a welfare
state to get stronger, policies as regards development of poor strata should be
the top of the checklist’s behold a time when we shall be steadily hauling our
downtrodden economy towards heights, provided that we chalk out such
policies that not only project the welfare of effected spots but also transpose
their outlook .I propose following measures for extermination of this menace
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1. Promote industrialization
11. Establishing more and more technical institute in order to get people well
skilled.
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CONCLUSION:
Leadership has got central importance here; with proper planning and
good government policies the problem can be solved. All they need to do is to
appoint competent and well qualified economists to help them tackle this issue
and obviously their sincerity for its solution cannot be ignored as well. A
country economy is the backbone of its country with its solution when it is
saved many problems will automatically. Poverty is not bad but to remain poor
and to accept poverty is really bad. In Pakistan, poverty is increasing day by day.
Effective steps of government are required to reduce it. Government should
provide credit facilities and use labor intensives techniques of production to reduce
the poverty. Alone leadership is not enough for its solution. People of Pakistan
have too got responsibility with equal share. People need to cooperate fully with
government and should be sincere with their own country and put all their
energies for eradication of poverty.
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REFERENCES:
1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poverty_in_Pakistan
2. https://nation.com.pk/04-Jul-2019/poverty-in-pakistan
3. https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/poverty-rate
4. https://tradingeconomics.com/pakistan/poverty-headcount-ratio-at-national-
poverty-line-percent-of-population-wb-data.html
5. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/
24046177_A_Sectoral_Analysis_of_Poverty_in_Pakistan
https://www.aiddata.org/blog/poverty-in-pakistan-numerous-efforts-many-
numbers-not-enough-results
6. https://mettisglobal.news/poverty-rate-in-pakistan-falls-from-64-3-to-29-5-
world-bank
7. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/
269704774_Determinants_of_Poverty_in_Pakistan
8. https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/454891-poverty-and-pakistan
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