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S P C F: Ystems LUS Ollege Oundation
S P C F: Ystems LUS Ollege Oundation
Introduction
The contemporary world is an ever-changing mix of social and political changes. While
religious, political, and ethnic conflicts continue, we are currently living in one of the
most peaceful eras in the history of the planet. Challenges of the 21st century include
emerging technologies, health care, overpopulation, climate change, poverty, illiteracy,
disease, and migration. How we choose to deal with these emerging frontiers will shape
this unit for future generations.1
This lesson aims to trace how economic globalization came about. It will also address
this globalization system, and examine who benefits it and who is left out.
2
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization of 189 countries, working to foster global
monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment
and sustainable economic growth, and reduce poverty around the world.
Created in 1945, the IMF is governed by and accountable to the 189 countries that make up its near-
global membership.
The IMF's primary purpose is to ensure the stability of the international monetary system—the system of
exchange rates and international payments that enables countries (and their citizens) to transact with
each other. The Fund's mandate was updated in 2012 to include all macroeconomic and financial sector
issues that bear on global stability.
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movement of goods, services, and capital across the borders. These changes are the
product of people, organizations, institution and technologies.
70
60
50
According to the IMF the value of trade as a
40 percentage of world’s GDO increases from 42.1
world GDP
30 percent in 1980 to 62.1 percent in 2007. Increased
20 trade also means that investments are moving all
over the word at faster speeds.
10
0
1980 2007
According to the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), the
amount of foreign direct investments flowing acrros the word was US$ 57 billiom in
1982 by 2015, that the number was $1.76 trillion.
Apart from the sheer magnitude of commerce, it must be noted that the increased
speed and frequency of trading. These days, supercomputers can execute millions of
stock purchases and sales between different cities in a matter of seconds through a
process called high-frequency trading.
3
https://unctad.org/en/Pages/DITC/TNCD/International-trading-system.aspx
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Silk Road
However, while the Silk Road was international, it was not truly “global” because
it had no ocean routes that could reach the American continent.
According to historians Dennis O. Flynn and Arturo Giraldez, the age of full
economic globalization began when “all important populated continents began to
exchange products continuously –both with each other directly and indirectly via
other continents –and in values sufficient to generate crucial impacts on all
trading partners. Flynn and Giraldez trace back to 1571 with establishments of
the galleon trade that connected Manila in the Philippines and Acapulco in
Mexico. This was the first time that the Americas were directly connected to
Asian Trading routes. For Filipinos, it is crucial to note that economic
globalization began on the country’s shores.
The Galleon trade was part of the age of mercantilism. From the 16 th century to
the 18th century, countries primarily in Europe, competed with one another to sell
more goods as a means to boost their country’s income (called monetary
reserves4 later on). To defend their product from competitors who sold goods
more cheaply, these regimes (mainly monarchies) imposed the following:
(a) imposed high tariffs; (b) forbade colonies to trade with other nations; (c)
restricted trade routes; and (d) subsidized its exports. Mercantilism was thus also
a system of global trade with multiple restrictions.
A more open trade systems emerged in 1867 when, following the lead of the
United Kingdom, the United States and other European nations adopted the gold
standard at an international monetary conference in Paris. Broadly, it goal was to
4
The total worth of foreign currency and gold and other precious metal, stockpiled by the government for setting
international obligation and transactions.
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create a common system that would allow for more efficient trade and prevent
the isolationism – a policy of remaining apart from the affairs or interests of
other groups, especially the political affairs of other countries., of the mercantilist
era. The countries thus established a common basis for currency prices and a
fixed exchange rate system – all based on the value of gold.
Despite facilitating simpler trade, the gold standard was still very restrictive
system, as it compelled countries to back to their currencies with fixed gold
reserves. During World War I, when countries depleted their gold reserves to
fund their armies, many were forced to abandon the gold standards. Since
European countries had low gold reserves, they adopted floating currencies that
were no longer redeemable in gold.
Floating currencies have a floating exchange rate, which changes based on the
demand and supply mechanisms of the foreign exchange market. When the
demand for a currency is high, the currency appreciates in value, thus impacting
the country’s exports. A strong currency shifts consumers to a cheaper currency,
thus lowering the demand for the exported goods.
In the long run, exporters have to lower their prices to attract consumers, thus
lowering their profits and facing the risk of going out of business. Conversely,
when the demand for a currency is low, the currency depreciates in value, thus
impacting the country’s importers. A weak currency makes imported goods
expensive. Therefore, consumers buy domestic goods, thus stimulating the
domestic economy. In both cases, a floating currency tends to be volatile. 5
In July 1944, the Bretton Woods Agreement introduced the concept of pegged
currencies against the US dollar that was tied to the price of gold. In 1973, the
system collapsed following a sharp appreciation in the price of the US dollar that
raised a red flag with respect to exchange rates and the ties of the US dollar to
the price of gold. From 1973 until today, countries are free to choose their
exchange agreement.
Today, most of the widely traded currencies, such as the US dollar, the Euro, the
British pound or the Japanese yen, have a floating exchange rate. However,
central banks often raise concerns about the implications of adopting a floating
exchange rate and how floating currencies can affect global foreign investment
and monetary policies.
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market.
Returning to a full pure standard became more difficult as the global economic
crisis called the Great Depression started during the 1920s and extended up to
the 1930s, further emptying government coffers. Thus depression was the worst
and longest recession ever experienced by the western world. Some economist
argued that it was largely caused by the gold standards, since it limited the
amount of circulating money and, therefore, reduced demand and consumption.
If government could only spend money that was equivalent to gold, its capacity
to print money and increase the money supply was severely curtailed.
Economic historian Barry Eichengreen argues that the recovery of the United
States really began when, having abandoned the gold standards, the US
government was able to free up money to spend in reviving the economy. At the
height of World War II, other major industrialized countries followed.
Through the more indirect versions of the gold standards were used until as late
as the 1970s, the world never returned to the gold standard of the early 20 th
century. Today, the world economy operates based on what are called fiat
currencies –currencies that are not backed by precious metals and whose value
is determined by their cost relative to other currencies. This system allows
government to freely and actively manage their economies by increasing or
decreasing the amount of money in circulation as they see fit.
After the world wars, world leaders sought to create a global economic system
that would ensure a longer-lasting global peace. They believed that one of the
way to achieve this goal was to set up a network of global financial institution
that would promote economic interdependence and prosperity. The Bretton
Woods system (BWS) was inaugurated in 1944 during the United Nations
Monetary and Financial Conference to prevent the catastrophes of the early
decades of the century from reoccurring and affecting internal ties.
6 John Maynard
John Maynard KeynesKeynes
was an early 20th-century British economist, known as the father of Keynesian economics.
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7
Austerity is a set of political-economic policies that aim to reduce government budget deficits
through spending cuts, tax increases, or a combination of both
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The high point of global Keynesianism came in the mid-1940s to the early 1970s.
During this period, government poured money into their economies, allowing
people to purchase more goods, and in the process, increase demand of these
goods. Western and some Asian countries like Japan accepted this rise in prices
because it was accompanied by general economic growth and reduced
unemployment. The theory went that, as prices increased, companies would
earn more, and would have more money to hire workers. Keynesian economist
believed that all this was a necessary trade-off for economic development.
In the early 1970s, however the prices of oil rose sharply as a result of the
Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Council (OAPEC) compose of, UAE,
Bahrain, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Iraq, Qatar, Kuwait, Libya and Egypt,
imposition of an embargo in response to the decision of the United States and
other countries to resupply the Israeli military with the needed arms during the
Yom Kippur War. Arab countries also used the embargo to stabilize their
economies and growth. The “oil embargo” affected the Western economies that
were reliant on oil. To make matter worse, the stock markets crashed in 1973 –
1974 after the United States stopped linking the dollar to gold, effectively ending
the Bretton Woods system. The result was a phenomenon that Keynesian
economics could not have predicted the following: (a) stagflation –decline of
economic growth; and (b) stagnation –decline of employment growth which
takes place alongside a sharp increase in prices (inflation).
Around this time, a new form of economic thinking was beginning to challenge
the Keynesian orthodoxy. Economist such as Friedrich Hayek and Milton
Friedman argued that the government practice of pouring money into their
economies had cause inflation by increasing demand for goods without
necessary increasing supply. More profoundly, they argued that government
intervention in economies distort the proper functioning of the market.
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Economist like Friedman used the economic turmoil to challenge the consensus
around Keyne’s idea. What emerge was a new form of economic thinking that
critic labeled neoliberalism. From the 1980 onward, neoliberalism became the
codified strategy of the United States Treasury Department, the World Bank, the
IMF and eventually the World Trade Organization (WTO) –a new organization
founded in 1995 to continue the tariff reduction under the GATT. The policies
they forwarded came to be called the Washington Consensus.
The ideas were intended to help developing countries that faced economic crises.
In summary, The Washington Consensus recommended structural reforms that
increased the role of market forces in exchange for immediate financial help.
Some examples include free-floating exchange rates and free trade. 8
The Washington Consensus dominated global economic policies from the 1980s
until the early 2000s. It advocates pushed for minimal government spending to
reduce government debt, they also called for privatization of government-
controlled services like water, power, communication and transport, believing
that the free market can produce the best results.
8
https://www.intelligenteconomist.com/washington-consensus/
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Problem with the household analogy is that government are not household: (1)
government can print money, while household cannot; and (2) the constant
taxation systems of governments provide them a steady flow of income that
allows them to pay and refinance debts steadily.
Despite the initial success of neoliberal politicians like Thatcher and Reagan, the
defects of the Washing Consensus became immediately palpable. A good
example is that of post-communist Russia. After the Communism had collapsed
in 1990s, the IMF called for the immediate privatization of all government
industries. The IMF assumed that such move would free these industries form
corrupt bureaucrats and pass them on the more dynamic and independent
private investors. What happened, however, was that only individuals and groups
who had accumulated wealth under the previous communist order had the
money to purchase these industries. In some cases, the economic elite relied on
easy access to government funds to take over the industries. This practice has
entrenched an oligarchy that still dominates the Russian economy to this very
day.
Russia’s case is an example how “shock therapy” of neoliberalism did not lead to
outcomes predicted by economists who believed in perfectly free markets. The
greatest recent repudiation of this thinking was the recent global financial crisis
of 2008-2009.
Neoliberalism came under significant strain during the global financial crisis of
2007-2008 when the world experienced the greatest economic downturn since
the Great Depression. The crisis can be traced back to the 1980s when the
United States systematically removed carious baking and investment restrictions.
The scaling back of restrictions continued until the 2000s, paving the way for a
brewing crisis. In their attempt to promote the free market, government
authorities failed to regulate bad investments occurring in the US housing
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To mitigate the risk of these loans, banks that were lending house owner’s
money pooled these mortgage payments and sold them as “mortgage-backed
securities” (MBSs). One MBS would be combination of multiple mortgages that
they assumed would pay a steady rate.
The mortgage-backed security turns the bank into
a middleman between the homebuyer and the
investment industry. A bank can grant mortgages
to its customers and then sell them on at a
discount for inclusion in an MBS.
Since there was so much surplus money circulating, the demand for MBS
increased as investors clamored for more investment opportunities. In their
haste issue these loans, however, the bank became less discriminating. They
began extending loans to families and individuals with dubious credit records –
people who unlikely to pay their loans back. These high-risk mortgages became
known as sub-prime mortgages.
Financial experts wrongly assumed that, even if many of the borrowers were
individual and families who would struggle to pay, majority would not default.
Moreover, banks though that since were so many mortgages in just one MBS, a
few failures would not ruin the entirety of the investment.
Bank also assumed that housing prices would continue to increase. Therefore,
even if homeowner defaulted on their loans, these banks could simply reacquire
the homes and sell then at a higher price, turning profit.
The crisis spread beyond United States since many investors were foreign
governments, corporation and individuals. The loss of their money spread like
wildfire back to their countries.
Because of such phenomenon, countries like Spain and Greece are heavily
indebted, and debt relief has come at a high price. Greece, in particular, has
been force by Germany and the IMF to cut back on its social and public
spending. Affecting services like pensions, health care and various form of
social security, these cuts have been felt mostly acutely by the poor. Moreover,
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the reduction in government spending has slowed down growth and ensured
high level of unemployment.
The global financial crisis will take decade to resolve. The solutions proposed by
certain nationalist and leftist group of closing the national economies to world
trade, however, will no longer work. The world has become too integrated.
Whatever one’s opinion about the Washington Consensus is, it is undeniable that
some form of international trade remains essential for countries to develop in the
contemporary world.
Exports, not just the local selling of goods and services, make national
economies grow at present. In the past, those that benefited the most form free
trade were the advance nations that were producing and selling industrial and
agricultural goods. The United States, Japan and the member-countries of the
European Union were responsible for 65 percent of global exports, while the
developing countries only accounted for 29 percent. When more countries
opened up their economies to take advantage of increase free trade, the shares
of the percentage began to change. The WTO-led reduction of trade barriers,
known as trade liberalization, has profoundly altered the dynamics of the global
economy.
Still, the economic globalization remains an uneven process, with some countries,
corporations and individuals benefiting a lot more than the others. The series of
trade talk under the WTO have led to unprecedented reductions in tariffs and
other trade barriers, but these processes have often been unfair.
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Faced with these blatantly protectionist measures from powerful countries and
blocs, poorer countries can do very little to make economic globalization more
just. Trade imbalances, therefore, characterize economic relations between
developed and developing countries.
GUIDE QUESTIONS
1. How do economic forces facilitate the deepening of
globalization?
2. How is the Philippines central to the history of economic
globalization?
3. Compare and contracts the assumptions of the original Bretton
Woods system with those of the Washington Consensus.
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