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Impact of FDI and FII On India Mehul
Impact of FDI and FII On India Mehul
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Priyanka Parija
The FDI and FII is the process by which the resident of one country (the source
country) acquire the ownership of assets for the purpose of controlling the production,
distribution and other productive activities of a firm in another country(the host
country).
According to the international monetary fund (IMF), FDI and FII is defined as “an
investment that is made to acquire a lasting interest in an enterprise operating in an
economy other than that of investor”.
The effect of foreign investment, however, varies from country to country. It can
affect the factor productivity of the recipient country and can also affect the balance
of payments. Foreign investment provides a channel through which countries can gain
access to foreign capital. It can come in two forms: FDI and foreign institutional
investment (FII). Foreign direct investment involves in direct production activities
and is also of a medium- to long-term nature. But foreign institutional investment is a
short-term investment, mostly in the financial markets. FII, given its short-term
nature, can have bidirectional causation with the returns of other domestic financial
markets such as money markets, stock markets, and foreign exchange markets. Hence,
understanding the determinants of FII is very important for any emerging economy as
FII exerts a larger impact on the domestic financial markets in the short run and a real
impact in the long run. India, being a capital scarce country, has taken many measures
to attract foreign investment since the beginning of reforms in 1991.
India is the second largest country in the world, with a population of over 1 billion
people. As a developing country, India’s economy is characterized by wage rates that
are significantly lower than those in most developed countries. These two traits
combine to make India a natural destination for FDI and foreign institutional
investment (FII). Until recently, however, India has attracted only a small share of
global FDI and FII primarily due to government restrictions on foreign involvement in
the economy. But beginning in 1991 and accelerating rapidly since 2000, India has
liberalized its investment regulations and actively encouraged new foreign
Examines the trends and patterns in the FDI across different sectors and from
different countries in India during 2000 to 2009.
Influence of FII on movement of Indian stock exchange during period that is
September 2006 to September 2009.
To understand the FII & FDI policy in India.
Secondary Data: Internet, newspapers, journals and books, other reports and projects,
literatures
FDI:
The study is limited to a sample of top 10 investing countries e.g. Mauritius,
Singapore, USA etc. and top 10 sectors e.g. service sector, computer hardware and
software, telecommunications etc. which had attracted larger inflow of FDI from
different countries.
FII:
Correlation: We have used the Correlation tool to determine whether two
ranges of data move together — that is, how the Sensex, Bankex, IT, Power
and Capital Goods are related to the FII which may be positive relation,
negative relation or no relation.
We will use this model for understanding the relationship between FII and
stock indices returns. FII is taken as independent variable. Stock indices are
taken as dependent variable
Hypothesis Test: If the hypothesis holds good then we can infer that FIIs
have significant impact on the Indian capital market. This will help the
investors to decide on their investments in stocks and shares. If the hypothesis
is rejected, or in other words if the null hypothesis is accepted, then FIIs will
have no significant impact on the Indian bourses.
In this section we are going to discuss or describe the main business of the report i.e.
analysis of secondary data. It includes data in an organized form, discussion on its
significance and analyzing the results. For this we had divided this section in further
two subsections i.e. the first subsection fulfill the requirement of first objective which
is pertaining to FDI.
Objective 1: Examine the trends and patterns in the FDI across different sectors
and from different countries in India during 2000 to 2009.
2. Use of GDRs –
The proceeds of the GDRs can be used for financing capital goods imports, capital
expenditure including domestic purchase/installation of plant, equipment and building
and investment in software development, prepayment or scheduled repayment of
earlier external borrowings, and equity investment in JV/WOSs in India.
i. 34 High
100% Automatic
Priority Industry
Groups
ii. Export Trading
Companies
iii. Hotels and
Tourism-related
Projects
iv. Hospitals,
Diagnostic Centers
13. Airports:
Greenfield projects 100% Automatic
Existing projects 100% Beyond 74% FIPB
14 Assets reconstruction 49% FIPB
company
15. Cigars and cigarettes 100% FIPB
16. Courier services 100% FIPB
17. Investing companies in 49% FIPB
infrastructure (other than
telecom sector)
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009-
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Mauritius
Mauritius invested Rs.19,18,633 million in India Up to the August 2009, equal to
44.01 percent of total FDI inflows. Many companies based outside of India utilize
Mauritian holding companies to take advantage of the India- Mauritius Double
Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA). The DTAA allows foreign firms to bypass
Indian capital gains taxes, and may allow some India-based firms to avoid paying
certain taxes through a process known as “round tripping.”
U.S.A.
The United States is the third largest source of FDI in India (7.64 % of the total),
valued at 732335 crore in cumulative inflows up to August 2009. According to the
Indian government, the top sectors attracting FDI from the United States to India are
fuel, telecommunications, electrical equipment, food processing, and services.
According to the available M&A data, the two top sectors attracting FDI inflows from
the United States are computer systems design and programming and manufacturing
U.K.
The United Kingdom is the fourth largest source of FDI in India (5.53 % of the total),
valued at 2,40,974 crores in cumulative inflows up to August 2009.
Over 17 UK companies under the aegis of the Nuclear Industry Association of UK
have tied up with Ficci to identify joint venture and FDI possibilities in the civil
nuclear energy sector.
UK companies and policy makers the focus sectors for joint ventures, partnerships,
and trade are non-conventional energy, IT, precision engineering, medical equipment,
infrastructure equipment, and creative industries.
Netherlands
FDI from Netherlands to India has increased at a very fast pace over the last few
years. Netherlands ranks fifth among all the countries that make investments in India.
The total flow of FDI from Netherlands to India came to Rs. 1, 78,047 crores between
1991 and 2002. The total percentage of FDI from Netherlands to India stood at 4.08%
out of the total foreign direct investment in the country up to August 2009.
The sectors receiving the largest shares of total FDI inflows up to August 2009 were
the service sector and computer software and hardware sector, each accounting for
22.14 and 9.48 percent respectively. These were followed by the telecommunications,
real estate, construction and automobile sectors. The top sectors attracting FDI into
India via M&A activity were manufacturing; information; and professional, scientific,
and technical services. These sectors correspond closely with the sectors identified by
the Indian government as attracting the largest shares of FDI inflows overall.
The ASSOCHAM has revealed that FDI in Chemicals sector (other than fertilizers)
registered maximum growth of 227 per cent during April 2008 – March 2009 as
compared to 11.71 per cent during the last fiscal. The sector attracted USD 749
million FDI in FY ‘09 as compared to USD 229 million in FY ’08.
During the year 2009 government had raised the FDI limit in telecom sector from 49
per cent to 74 per, which has contributed to the robust growth of FDI. The telecom
sector registered a growth of 103 per cent during fiscal 2008-09 as compared to
previous fiscal. The sector attracted USD 2558 million FDI in FY ‘09 as compared to
the USD 1261 million in FY ’08, acquired 9.37 per cent share in total FDI inflow.
India automobile sector has been able to record 70 per cent growth in foreign
investment. The FDI inflow in automobile sector has increased from USD 675 million
to 1,152 million in FY ’09 over FY ’08.
I. Introduction to FII
Since 1990-91, the Government of India embarked on liberalization and economic
reforms with a view of bringing about rapid and substantial economic growth and
move towards globalization of the economy. As a part of the reforms process, the
From September 14, 1992 with suitable restrictions, FIIs were permitted to invest in
all the securities traded on the primary and secondary markets, including shares,
debentures and warrants issued by companies which were listed or were to be listed
on the Stock Exchanges in India. While presenting the Budget for 1992-93, the then
Finance Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh had announced a proposal to allow reputed
foreign investors, such as Pension Funds etc., to invest in Indian capital market.
Currently, entities eligible to invest under the FII route are as follows:
a) Regular FIIs- those who are required to invest not less than 70 % of their
investment in equity-related instruments and 30 % in non-equity instruments.
b) 100 % debt-fund FIIs- those who are permitted to invest only in debt instruments.
The Government guidelines for FII of 1992 allowed, inter-alia, entities such as asset
management companies, nominee companies and incorporated/institutional portfolio
managers or their power of attorney holders (providing discretionary and non-
discretionary portfolio management services) to be registered as FIIs. While the
guidelines did not have a specific provision regarding clients, in the application form
the details of clients on whose behalf investments were being made were sought.
While granting registration to the FII, permission was also granted for making
investments in the names of such clients. Asset management companies/portfolio
managers are basically in the business of managing funds and investing them on
behalf of their funds/clients. Hence, the intention of the guidelines was to allow these
categories of investors to invest funds in India on behalf of their 'clients'. These
'clients' later came to be known as sub-accounts. The broad strategy consisted of
having a wide variety of clients, including individuals, intermediated through
institutional investors, who would be registered as FIIs in India. FIIs are eligible to
purchase shares and convertible debentures issued by Indian companies under the
Portfolio Investment Scheme.
There may be many other factors on which a stock index may depend i.e. Government
policies, budgets, bullion market, inflation, economic and political condition of the
country, FDI, Re./Dollar exchange rate etc. But for my study I have selected only one
independent variable i.e. FII and dependent variable is indices of nifty.
From the above table we can say that FII has a positive impact on all the indices
which means that if FIIs come in India then it is goods for the Indian economy. FIIs
have more co-relation with Sensex so we can say that they are mostly invest in big
and reputed companies which are included in Sensex.
Power and Capital Goods sector have more co-relation with FII investment which
shows more interest of FIIs in those sectors.
VAR00003 VAR00004
VAR00003 Pearson Correlation 1 .801**
Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 35 35
**
VAR00004 Pearson Correlation .801 1
Sig. (2-tailed) .000
N 35 36
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Here the correlation 0.8 which shows that both have positive relation if FII increase
then Sensex will also increase. But if we compare the significance with the degree of
freedom then null hypothesis is accepted because (0.00<0.01) so it shows that FIIs
will have no significant impact on the Sensex.
CONCLUSION
A large number of changes that were introduced in the country’s regulatory economic
policies heralded the liberalization era of the FDI policy regime in India and brought
about a structural breakthrough in the volume of the FDI inflows into the economy
maintained a fluctuating and unsteady trend during the study period. It might be of
interest to note that more than 50% of the total FDI inflows received by India during
the period from 2000 - 2009 came from Mauritius, Singapore and the USA. The main
reason for higher levels of investment from Mauritius was that the fact that India
entered into a double taxation avoidance agreement (DTAA) with Mauritius were
protected from taxation in India. Among the different sectors, the service sector had
received the larger proportion followed by computer software and hardware sector
and telecommunication sector.
Objective 2:
According to findings and results, we have concluded that FII did have significant
impact on Sensex but there is less co-relation with Bankex and IT.
One of the reasons for high degree of any linear relation can also be due to the sample
data. The data was taken on monthly basis. The data on daily basis can give more
positive results (may be). Also FII is not the only factor affecting the stock indices.
There are other major factors that influence the bourses in the stock market.
BIBLIOGRAPHY