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Assessing Management

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Course Objectives

01. Structured Approach to


Assessing Management 02. Management Attitudes

03. Assessing Strategy & Business


Plan
04. Assessing Track Record

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A Structured Approach
to Assessing Management

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Course Objectives

01. Why Assess Management


02. Why Use a Scorecard

03. Multi Criteria Analysis 04. How & Where to Find


Quantitative and Qualitative Data

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Why Should We Assess Management?

We have a tendency to focus Management competence is


on financial issues rather than a key driver of business results
management issues

Businesses often fail as a result We can’t just judge a business


of management weaknesses, purely from financial management,
compared to any other single the leadership team has to execute
factor the plan

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Why Use a Scorecard?

Business performance should be measured


Performance measured from
from the perspective of strategy
perspective of strategy implementation
implementation, in addition to financial results
Financial and non-financial performance
measures and targets

Organizations need a balanced set of


financial and non-financial performance
measures and targets

Management
Financial

Customer
Strategy
A balanced set of performance measures
will ensure that the entire organization
participates in strategy implementation and
should include:

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Example Scorecard Measures
Financial

• Sales growth
• Operating margin
• EPS
• ROCE/RONA
Strategy Management

• Detailed roadmap • Planning


• PEST analysis Mission and strategy • Growth
• Performance levels • Risk
• Employee satisfaction • Ownership

Customers

• Reviews
• Net Promoter Score
(NPS)
• News and media articles

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Assessing Management Framework

Structured Approach -> Multi-Criteria Analysis

Attitudes / Character Strategy (Look Forward) Track Record (Look Back)


• Planning • Objectives • Budget vs. Actual
• Risk • Strategies • Previous Statements
• Growth • Measures • Financial Trends (Performance)
• Ownership • Targets

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Multi-Criteria Scorecard (Criteria)

Decision Rule Score

Pillar Attributes Attractive (+1) Moderate (0) Unattractive (-1) Weight

Planning Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1

Risk Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1


Character/Attitude
Growth Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1

Ownership Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1

Objectives Clear Satisfactory Unclear 1

Strategies Clear Satisfactory Unclear 1


Strategy
Measures/Targets Accurate Satisfactory Inaccurate 1

Targets Likely Attainable Unlikely 1

Budget vs Actual < 7% Variation 7-15% Variation > 15% Variation 2

Track Record Previous Statements Profitable Close to Profitability Unprofitable 3

Financial Trends
Operating Margin > 30% Operating Margin 30% - 25% Operating Margin < 25% 2
(Performance)

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Example

Pillar Attributes Rating Score Comment

Planning Good 1 Management showed a good attitude towards planning, presenting a 1,3,5 year plan for the business.

Based on Hax's Delta Model, management’s strategy seems to be riskier than industry consensus and is
Risk Satisfactory 0
not factoring some key risks of the strategy.
Character/Attitude
Growth Doubtful -1 Based on our analysis using the Ansoff Growth Matrix, it is worrying that they want to enter a new market.

Ownership Good 1 Management is open to outside investors and prepared to use all available resources for the company.

Objectives Clear 1 The objectives are clearly stated and their reasoning is sound.

The strategy to achieve certain objectives will require significant resources and might be difficult to
Strategies Satisfactory 0
implement.
Strategy
Measures Inaccurate -1 Management has selected some poor metrics to measure the outcome of their strategies.

Targets Attainable 0 The targets they devised are quantifiable, time-based, and achievable.

Budget vs Actual 8% Variation 0 The budget was slightly conservative when compared to the actual performance.

The company has been profitable since Q2 of last year, which shows that they have extra resources which
Track Record Previous Statements Profitable 1
can be used for expansion.

Financial Trends Management has been quite positive in their forecast and we think that based on their historical
Operating Margin < 20% 1
(Performance) performance they are doing a good job.

Total Points Scored 3

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Where to Find Information

Qualitative Quantitative
• Management Interviews • Financial Statements
• Financial Statements • Budgets
• News Releases • Operational Data (examples)
• Proxy Statements (US Public
Companies)

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Linking Financial and Non-Financial Performance Measures

You first need to ask:


What are the organization’s long-term strategic
business goals?

Then, for each business perspective, you must ask:

What are the drivers of success?

What measures (key performance indicators) are


appropriate to gauge how well you are doing in
each of the critical areas?

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Questioning Skills

Questioning is a necessary tool for gathering more information which leads to better decision making.

Preparation is Key Think From the Use Open Questions Listen Give Yourself Time
Other’s Perspective as Often as Possible to Think

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Management Attitudes

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Objectives

01. Attitude Framework


02. Asking the Right Questions

03. Using a Scorecard 04. Examples

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Management Attitudes

Planning

Attitudes
Ownership Risk

Growth

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Tools for Assessing Management

01. 02.
Reputation – What do the Consistency – Is there a clear and
press, customers, suppliers, consistent business strategy?
and the competition say What is management’s approach
about management? to growth?

03. 04.
Experience/stability – Statements – What are their
Qualifications, business own statements about the
and financial acumen, business like?
time in business, etc.

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Assessing Management Character

?
What are we trying to establish about
the management team?

A
The character of the team and its
major players

A
That the team has the ability and
skills that will enable them to repay

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Management Attitudes Toward Planning

Skills in planning and acting on


opportunities and threats

Planning

Attitudes
Ownership Risk

Growth

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Attitude to Planning

Objective: to assess management skills in planning and acting on


opportunities and threats

What are your plans for the business


over the next five years?

What opportunities exist for you to


develop the business?

What are the major threats facing


the business?

The plan should show specific goals and


strategies that fully assess risks related to
expanding the business.

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Management Attitudes Toward Risk

Planning

Attitudes
Ownership Risk

Assess knowledge of sector,


business risk and track record
Growth in taking action

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Attitude to Business Risk

Objective: to assess management knowledge of sector, business


risk and track record in taking action

What is your strategy to counter


the threat of competition?

What strategy would you adopt if you lost


your major customer(s) tomorrow?

Do you have a disaster response plan?


How much insurance do you have?

The answers should show detailed understanding of


how to manage risks in the business, steps taken to
decrease the chances of risks being realized, and a
response plan.

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Management Attitudes

Planning

Attitudes
Ownership Risk

Skills in planning and acting on


opportunities and threats
Growth

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Attitude to Growth

Objective: to assess management attitude towards growth

Do you want to expand the business?

Are there plans to expand into new home


or export markets?

Is innovation encouraged?

Are new products/services being developed?

Are there management resources and experience


available to expand?

Looking at growth, you can determine if management is satisfied with their


current operations or want to expand by offering new products or services.

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Internal Barriers to Growth

70
Percentage of respondents citing

60
factor as important

50

40

30

20

10

0
Preference Lack of Reluctance Reluctance Management
to maintain successful to take on to dilute team too
small size innovation new debt ownership small/stretched

Source: Binder Hamlyn - The quest for growth


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Management Attitudes

Attitude towards ownership,


and succession planning
Planning

Attitudes
Ownership Risk

Growth

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Attitude to Ownership

Objective: to assess management attitude to ownership and


succession planning

Do you have outside investors in the


business? What kind?

Do you plan to sell to an outside party?

Do you plan to sell to the employees?

When do you plan to retire?

What is the view on succession planning, and how


does ownership impact the strategy?

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Ownership Styles

Aim to
grow
Dynast Business-oriented
Size

current size
Remain at

Family-oriented Protectionists

Exit by family Exit by sale of the


succession business or flotation

Exit Method

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Opportunities for Competitive Position

Maximize personal Prepared to use all


Minimize
income & investment or available resources
Expand the business or shareholdings outside
protect investment for growth or
maintain current size the family or have
and pass to next reluctant to push
outside investors
generation resources harder

Maximize income and


Maintain Reluctant to push resources
Outside investment
size harder.
Protectionists and sell business.

Maximize income and Prepared to use all available


Expand Outside
investment and sell business. resources.
Business-oriented

Protect investment
Prepared to use all available
Expand Family to pass to next
resources.
Dynast generation.

Protect investment
Maintain Reluctant to push resources
Family to pass to next
size harder.
Family-oriented generation.

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Management Attitudes

Planning

Attitudes
Ownership Risk

Growth

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Multi-Criteria Scorecard (Criteria)

Pillar Attributes Rating Score Comment

Planning Good 1 Management showed a good attitude towards planning, presenting a 1,3,5 year plan for the business.

Management seems to be unaware of some of the risks facing their industry, compared to other
Risk Satisfactory 0
companies we’ve interviewed. They do have a reasonable disaster response plan in place.
Character/Attitude
Growth Doubtful -1 Based on our analysis using the Ansoff Growth Matrix, it is worrying that they want to enter a new market.

Ownership Good 1 Management is open to outside investors and prepared to use all available resources for the company.

Objectives

Strategies
Strategy
Measures

Targets

Budget vs Actual

Track Record Previous Statements

Financial Trends
(Performance)

Total Points Scored

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Management Questions

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Assessing Strategy & Business Plans

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Objectives

01. Strategic Frameworks


02. Assessment Method

03. Using a Scorecard 04. Examples

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Assessing Management’s Strategy

Objectives Strategies Measures Targets

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PESTEL

PESTEL is a useful framework for building expectations about


the external environment:

PE S T E L
Political Economic Social Technological Environmental Legal

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Hax’s Delta Model – Customer Centric Strategy
System lock-in

Dominant exchange
Proprietary standard

Exclusive channel
Enabled through
effective use of
technology
Horizontal breadth Low cost

Total customer
Best product
solutions Redefining the member Member Differentiation
relationship integration

corporatefinanceinstitute.com Hax, Arnoldo C., and Dean L. Wilde. "The Delta Model -- Toward a Unified Framework of Strategy." SSRN Electronic Journal, 2002.
doi:10.2139/ssrn.344580.
Hax’s Delta Model – Customer Centric Strategy

System lock-in
“The Delta Model is a new strategy framework
that places the customer at the centre of
management. It examines the primary options Dominant exchange

available to establish customer bonding and it


prescribes how to link strategy with execution Exclusive channel Proprietary standard
through the alignment of adaptive processes. Enabled through
effective use of
The presentation concludes with an attempt to technology

integrate the Porter's Five Forces Model, the Horizontal breadth Low cost

Resource-based View of the firm, and the Delta Total Customer


Model” solutions Best product
Redefining the member Member Differentiation
relationship integration
• Concentrate on the Customer
• Strategic Positioning among the three positions
• Determine the strategic agenda that determines the action
program to implement your desired strategic option.
• Design the proper metrics and rewards to facilitate the
strategy development.

Hax, Arnoldo C., and Dean L. Wilde. "The Delta Model -- Toward a Unified Framework of Strategy." SSRN Electronic Journal, 2002. doi:10.2139/ssrn.344580.
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Ansoff Matrix – Assess Attitude to Growth

MARKETS
Existing New

INCREASING RISK
Existing
MARKET MARKET
PENETRATION DEVELOPMENT
PRODUCTS
1* 3*

PRODUCT
New

DIVERSIFICATION
DEVELOPMENT *Relative risk
1 = Low
2* 4*
4 = High

INCREASING RISK
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More Strategic Frameworks

Corporate-level (Portfolio)
Portfolio approach to managing multiple
businesses

Business-level
Market positioning strategies to gain
competitive advantages in one or
multiple industries

Functional-level
Activities within and between different
functions aimed at improving efficiency of
the overall business

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Strategic Planning Process

External
Current Strategy Internal Environment
Environment

Assess Current
Goals and Future
Strategy and
Performance
Environment

Strategic Alternatives
Evaluation

Recommendations

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Objectives

Objectives Strategies Measures Targets


What are you trying How are you going to What are the output Quantifiable Time-based
to achieve? achieve the objectives? measures?
What must you do to What are input
support the strategy? measures?

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Strategies

Objectives Strategies Measures Targets


What are you trying How are you going to What are the output Quantifiable Time-based
to achieve? achieve the objectives? measures?
What must you do to What are input
support the strategy? measures?

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Measure

Objectives Strategies Measures Targets


What are you trying How are you going to What are the output Quantifiable Time-based
to achieve? achieve the objectives? measures?
What must you do to What are input
support the strategy? measures?

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Targets

Objectives Strategies Measures Targets


What are you trying How are you going to What are the output Quantifiable Time-based
to achieve? achieve the objectives? measures?
What must you do to What are input
support the strategy? measures?

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Multi-Criteria Scorecard (Criteria)

Pillar Attributes Rating Score Comment

Planning

Risk
Character/Attitude
Growth

Ownership

Objectives Clear 1 The objectives are clearly stated and their reasoning is sound.

The strategy to achieve certain objectives will require significant resources and might be difficult to
Strategies Satisfactory 0
implement.
Strategy
Measures Inaccurate -1 Management has selected some poor metrics to measure the outcome of their strategies.

Targets Attainable 0 The targets they devised are both quantifiable, time-based, and achievable.

Budget vs Actual

Track Record Previous Statements

Financial Trends
(Performance)

Total Points Scored

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Business Track Record

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Objectives

01. How to Assess a Track Record 02. Looking at the Right Data

03. Using a Scorecard 04. Examples

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Analyzing Track Record

Track record

Budget vs Actual Previous Statements Financial Trends


Evaluating what has been Looking at previous statements Looking at forecasts for the
budgeted in the past and actual to assess financial performance business can also indicate
performance is crucial can provide insight into how hopeful management is
management

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Budget vs Actual

Variances Original Budget Revised Budget Actual Variances


Sales Volume 100 90 90
Sales Value $1000 $900 $990 90
Variable Costs (500) (450) (495) (45)
Fixed Costs (200) (200) (210) (10)
Profit 300 250 285 35

Variance = 35

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Previous Statements

Track record

Budget vs Actual Previous Statements Financial Trends


Evaluating what has been Looking at previous statements Looking at forecasts for the
budgeted in the past and actual to assess financial performance business can also indicate
performance is crucial can provide insight into how hopeful management is
management

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Places to Find Statements

Press Releases Interviews News Articles Social Media

Company website Podcasts, YouTube, etc. Major news publications Twitter, LinkedIn, etc.

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Financial Trends

Track record

Budget vs Actual Previous Statements Financial Trends


Evaluating what has been Looking at previous statements Looking at forecasts for the
budgeted in the past and actual to assess financial performance business can also indicate
performance is crucial can provide insight into how hopeful management is
management

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Financial Information – Forecasts

Revenue EBITDA Free Cash Flow


500,000 100,000 70,000
60,000
400,000 80,000
50,000
300,000 60,000 40,000
30,000
200,000 40,000 20,000
10,000
100,000 20,000
0
0 0
2013A2014A2015A2016A2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2013A2014A2015A2016A2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E

Net Income Earnings per Share


45,000 90.00
40,000 80.00
35,000 70.00
60.00
30,000
50.00
25,000 40.00
20,000 30.00
15,000 20.00
10,000 10.00
0.00
5,000
-10.00
0
-5,000 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E

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Multi-Criteria Scorecard (Criteria)

Pillar Attributes Rating Score Comment

Planning

Risk
Character/Attitude
Growth

Ownership

Objectives

Strategies
Strategy
Measures

Targets

Budget vs Actual 8% Variation 0 The budget was slightly conservative when compared to the actual performance.

The company has been profitable since Q2 of last year, which shows that they have extra resources which
Track Record Previous Statements Profitable 1
can be used for expansion.

Financial Trends Management has been quite positive in their forecast and we think that based on their historical
Operating Margin < 20% 1
(Performance) performance they are doing a good job.

Total Points Scored

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Summary

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Course Summary

01. Structured Approach to


Assessing Management 02. Management Attitudes

03. Assessing Strategy & Business


Plan 04. Assessing Track Record

corporatefinanceinstitute.com
Multi-Criteria Scorecard (Criteria)

Pillar Attributes Rating Score Comment

Planning Good 1 Management showed a good attitude towards planning, presenting a 1,3,5 year plan for the business.

Based on Hax's Delta Model, management’s strategy seems to be riskier than industry consensus and is
Risk Satisfactory 0
not factoring some key risks of the strategy.
Character/Attitude
Growth Doubtful -1 Based on our analysis using the Ansoff Growth Matrix, it is worrying that they want to enter a new market.

Ownership Good 1 Management is open to outside investors and prepared to use all available resources for the company.

Objectives Clear 1 The objectives are clearly stated and their reasoning is sound.

The strategy to achieve certain objectives will require significant resources and might be difficult to
Strategies Satisfactory 0
implement.
Strategy
Measures Inaccurate -1 Management has selected some poor metrics to measure the outcome of their strategies.

Targets Attainable 0 The targets they devised are quantifiable, time-based, and achievable.

Budget vs Actual 8% Variation 0 The budget was slightly conservative when compared to the actual performance.

The company has been profitable since Q2 of last year, which shows that they have extra resources which
Track Record Previous Statements Profitable 1
can be used for expansion.

Financial Trends Management has been quite positive in their forecast and we think that based on their historical
Operating Margin < 20% 1
(Performance) performance they are doing a good job.

Total Points Scored 3

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Assessing Management Summary

Assessing management Highlight critical elements


ultimately is about assessing to consider when assessing
whether management has the management character.
ability and skills to run the
business such that they will be
able to repay.

Understanding the ambitions The key to assessing


of management will help you management capabilities
assess their ability to repay. is to ask the right questions
and listen to the answers.

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Assessing Management Framework

Structured Approach -> Multi-Criteria Analysis

Attitudes / Character Strategy (Look Forward) Track Record (Look Back)


• Planning • Objectives • Budget vs. Actual
• Risk • Strategies • Previous Statements
• Growth • Measures • Financial Trends (Performance)
• Ownership • Targets

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Multi-Criteria Scorecard (Criteria)

Decision Rule Score

Pillar Attributes Attractive (+1) Moderate (0) Unattractive (-1) Weight

Planning Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1

Risk Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1


Character/Attitude
Growth Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1

Ownership Good Satisfactory Doubtful 1

Objectives Clear Satisfactory Unclear 1

Strategies Clear Satisfactory Unclear 1


Strategy
Measures/Targets Accurate Satisfactory Inaccurate 1

Targets Likely Attainable Unlikely 1

Budget vs Actual < 7% Variation 7-15% Variation > 15% Variation 2

Track Record Previous Statements Profitable Close to Profitability Unprofitable 3

Financial Trends
Operating Margin > 30% Operating Margin 30% - 25% Operating Margin < 25% 2
(Performance)

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