Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Case Study - Not Part of Exam
Case Study - Not Part of Exam
Case Study - Not Part of Exam
ABSTRACT
In terms of traffic flow analysis, there are many research studies since 1935 when Bruce Douglas Greenshields introduced traffic flow theory with traffic density and
vehicle speed using photographic measurement methods for the first time. There are several theoretical proposals followed by Greenshields, such as Greenberg
(1959), Underwood (1961) etc. In these studies, there are several limitations like, particular expressways, time period to be measured and so on. While Greenshields’
model is not perfect, it is fairly accurate and relative simple. Therefore Greenshields’ model is widely used in the traffic flow analysis. In advanced countries Europe,
United State of America and Japan, there are several variations for their analysis and certain confidence based on Greenshields’ model. However there is quite few
traffic flow analysis in developing countries because of their difficulty for measuring traffic condition and lack of infrastructure system for road operation. The
purpose of this study is the first time to analyze actual traffic flow based on more than one month collecting traffic date in Ahmedabad city of Gujarat state India.
In order to analyze traffic data quantitatively in Ahmedabad city, we are able to collect actual traffic flow data. However the data is spread out widely which is
most unlikely in the advanced countries. After creating traffic flow with measured data such as traffic density (k) to traffic volume (q) and traffic density (k) to speed
(v), there are clear boundary line each traffic characteristic which divides from data existence area and no existence area in every traffic flow characteristics. The Data
Envelopment Analysis (DEA) allows to make traffic characteristics of each roads uniquely when the theoretical traffic flow equations fit along with those Envel-
opment lines. Once the traffic flow equation is fixed, we are able to get traffic parameters such as free flow speed (vf), jam traffic density (kj) etc. In order to
understand traffic congestion, we create speed ratio which is average speed (vave) to free speed (vf) which makes generic value for comparing traffic condition among
measured roads.
As the result of DEA, we have the traffic flow equation for each road as the basic traffic flow characteristics and understand inside of those Envelopment line is
traffic congestion. And speed ratio parameter under 0.65 shows congested condition by real traffic condition monitoring. This phenomena reminds some similarity of
the parallel flat plates viscous fluids model characteristics. The flow speed ratio between average flow speed to maximum flow speed becomes two third provides
threshold between turbulent flow and viscous flow. This study is the beginning of developing country with quantitative analysis by DEA and helps the understanding
traffic flow characteristics.
1. Introduction authority and police can send their message through their controllers.
Total system implementation is shown in Fig. 1. There are four
An Indian ITS business has started since October 2014 in VMSs and fourteen CCTVs are located in new town area of the city.
Ahmedabad city of Gujarat state of India. The system consists of four Traffic data from each CCTV is transferred to cloud base control
Various Message Sign (VMS) boards and fourteen traffic count cameras server every minute as probe data. The traffic condition information is
Closed Circuit Television (CCTV) along roads. The traffic flow is mon- analyzed by our traffic analysis software with traffic probe data. Then
itoring by the CCTVs and traffic congestions prediction is calculated result of traffic condition information is displayed in each VMS boards
based on this data base. After estimation of traffic condition, traffic for each location. The four VMSs have also CCTV, therefore there are
condition guide information is provided to each VMS through network. fourteen CCTVs as total in this system. The detail camera location name
Then vehicle drivers are able to understand particular traffic condition is summarized in Appendix B.
and make a decision to take another route of road to the destination.
The traffic condition is monitored by three major sources such as 2. Traffic flow theory and measurement data
traffic monitoring camera counting, taxi probe information, and Global
Positioning System (GPS) mobile phones. All data is transferred into In traffic flow analysis theory, there are several famous equations of
traffic control cloud centre, which is not necessary to prepare any traffic density (k) – speed (v) curve characteristics such as Greenshields,
control hardware centre because of cloud system. After calculation Greenburg and Underwood for example. In this paper, the most popular
traffic condition information and congested condition, a current traffic Greenshields equation is used. In Appendix C, there is case study of
is providing to VMS boards. In case of emergency condition, traffic comparison among Greenshields, Greenburg, and Underwood equation
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2019.06.001
Received 28 June 2018; Accepted 3 June 2019
2213-624X/ © 2019 World Conference on Transport Research Society. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Please cite this article as: Tsutomu Tsuboi and Noriaki Yoshikawa, Case Studies on Transport Policy,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2019.06.001
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
of traffic density.
In this paper, other cases of k–v equations such as Greenwood or
Underwood are left out but Greenshields equation is most fitted to
measurement results based on all other our measurement data. The
following section shows typical analysis result by comparing between
measurement points and theoretical curves.
vf: free speed In case of Eq. (6) by least square method, free speed (vf) = 38.033.
kj: jam traffic density This value is too small from free speed definition. Therefore it makes
sense for defining free seed by Eq. (5) with Data Envelopment Analysis
The free speed is defined as theoretical maximum vehicle speed (DEA) method. The next section describes more detail meaning of DEA
when there is no traffic on the road. And traffic density is defined is described in the following Section 2.3. The result of characteristics
number of vehicle per kilometre of the road. analysis of each location in June 2015 is summarised in Table 1. And all
The relationship between traffic volume (q) and traffic density (k) is detail measurement data in Table 1 is shown in Appendix B as a re-
provided by Eq. (2) by traffic flow conservation law.1 ference.
q=k×v (2)
2.3. Traffic characteristics by data envelopment analysis
Therefore Eq. (3) is taken by inserting Eq. (2) into Eq. (1).
The current Indian traffic problem becomes heavy traffic jam and
k more accidents. From Table 1, the average vehicle speed at Camera #2
q = vf 1 k
kj (3) is significant lower than other location for example. Fig. 5 shows hourly
traffic volume transition and speed at Camera #2 in June 2015. The
Then Eq. (4) is taken by transforming Eq. (3).
heavy traffic jam around 8:00 pm, the traffic speed becomes lower than
vf kj 2
vf kj 20 km/h, which means very congested traffic condition.
q= k + In order to normalize comparison each traffic jam condition, the
kj 2 4 (4)
vehicle speed ratio parameter is defined as a congestion parameter,
Based on the result of Eqs. (1) and (4), theoretical k–v curve and k–q which is average speed (vave) to free speed (vf). This speed ratio shows
curve are shown in Fig. 2. The features of k – q curve is quadratic curve how traffic flow is running by comparing its current vehicle speed to
theoretical free speed. The Fig. 6 summarizes vehicle speed ratio of
1
each location in February and June 2015.
Under the following condition –The space distance (x) between vehicle on
It is clear difference that Camera #2 vehicle speed ratio is lower
road and (n) number vehicle run–, traffic volume (q) in time (T) is given by
than other locations. The detail traffic volume and speed graphs are
q = n/T. When the running time (ti) between (x) space distance, the traffic
density (k) during time (T) is given the following equation. shown in Appendix B. According to traffic flow theory, most of mea-
n
i = 1 ti surement data of q–k curve is located at shadow area in Fig. 7. The free
k=
T
traffic flow area is bottom part of q–k curve; jam traffic flow area is top
x
Therefore q/k is provided the following equation. of q–k curve. But real measurement data of q–k curve in Camera # 2 is
q
k
(n / T) x
= n = n
x
=v located inside q–k curve (refer to Fig. 7). The locations of lower than
i = 1 ti i = 1 ti / n
T 0.65 of vehicle speed ratio parameter are relatively in traffic congested
2
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
v
k-v curve k-q curve
q
qc : critical traffic volume
vf : free speed qc
vf kc : critical traffic density
kj : jam traffic density
0
kj k
0 kc kj k
Fig. 2. Basic traffic flow characteristics.
70
60
50
Speed (km/h)
40
30
20
10
K-V curve @Camera#1 2015.6) K-Q curve driving lane @Camera#1 (2015.6)
80
3500
70
3000
60
2500
50
Speed (km/h)
2000
v = -0.2479k + 54.545
40
1500
30
v = -0.0738k + 38.033 1000
20
500
10
0
0
Fig. 4. Traffic measurement data and Traffic equation comparison of Camera #1.
Table 1
The Result of Traffic parameters of each location.
Location Data analysis Measurement
3
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
condition. When 8:00 pm time zone data in June 2015 is mapped with
different colour in q–k curve of Fig. 9. According to Fig. 9, the most of
traffic data is located inside boundary line, which means traffic con-
dition is under congested flow.
4
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
y
Fig. 11. Viscous and turbulent flow between parallel flat plates.
thickness 1. The following force affect each faces of the particle, fluids
τ
y
5
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
dv 0.800
=µ
dy (12)
0.750 Cam#8
From Eqs. (11) and (12), (13) is established.
VMS#3
dv 2 1 dp Cam#4
= 0.700 Cam#7
dy 2 µ dx (13)
Then Eq. (19) is leaded from both Eqs. (17) and (18).
2
vave = vf
3 (19)
The following results are achieved, which is fluids flow speed ratio
Fig. 14. Ahmedabad City Traffic condition map.
(vave/vf) equals to 0.66 and vehicle speed ratio (vave/vf) equals to 0.65 in
Section 2.3. From this results, it is summarised that traffic jam
threshold 0.65 is similar threshold between viscous flow and turbulent side of Ahmedabad city is called “New City” and there are many in-
flow of viscous fluids model of parallel flat plates, which means traffic dustry development in this area. Therefore they have currently heavy
flow analysis based on fluid mechanics is useful in emerging country traffic jams especially in the morning and in the evening. This kind of
traffic flow analysis. This effect is presumably for only emerging traffic analysis becomes important not only for city government but also
countries traffic flow because of chaotic traffic flow behavior which is local residents too.
seen in Fig. 12. Therefore traffic speed ratio (vave/vf) in India is useful In Fig. 14, it shows comparison daytime 12 h traffic volume in
one of parameter for identifying traffic jam condition. Ahmedabad February and June at Ahmedabad city. According to Fig. 14, the total
traffic jam condition analysis is described in the next section. traffic volume at Camera #2 is relatively small volume. However the
traffic condition is congested in previous analysis. It seems that the
2.6. Traffic jam analysis environment at Camera #2 has some issues. In Ahmedabad, there is a
plan to develop new Metro service towards 2019 and the metro line will
From our Ahmedabad city traffic measurement, the comparison be located between VMS #1 and Camera #2 towards to the centre of
based on speed ratio between traffic condition in February 2015 and the city which direction goes to from left to right in Fig. 14. The metro
June 2015 is shown in Fig. 13. construction has been started and some area which is related metro
In Fig. 13, the shadow area is area of lower vehicle speed ratio 0.65, construction may have some traffic limit by this construction. Therefore
which is potential of traffic jam position. According to Fig. 13, there are it is also important to understand urban development plan in order to
four candidates—Camera #1, #2, #3 and #6, which is also recognized traffic flow analysis.
in Fig. 7. In Fig. 13, the area of above dotted line means improvement
traffic congestion in June from February and lower part is worse traffic 3. Discussions
congestion changing. Main traffic jam occurs radial portion of roads at
Camera#1, #3, and #6. In Camera#5 in radial portion, it is candidate In this study, there are more than one months traffic flow data in
of traffic jam situation but according to vehicle speed ratio, traffic runs Ahmedabad and it finds out some unique characteristics based on
relatively smooth compared to other Camera#1, #3 and #6. The west measurement data. In order to make quantitative traffic flow analysis,
6
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
Table 2
The number of road lane in each location.
Location Cam#1 Cam#2 Cam#3 Cam#4 Cam#5 Cam#6 Cam#7 Cam#8 Cam#9 Cam#10 VMS#3
no. of lane 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2
the Data Envelopment Analysis is used as method and achieve traffic congestion analysis in detail, not only from the measurement data
flow characteristics by traffic flow theory. In terms of traffic flow analysis. It also can be said that traffic flow is sensitive based on several
analysis, it is necessary to have more parameters such as road size phenomenon not only urban development plan but also daily activities
(number of lanes), more actual vehicle sensing such as two wheelers such as sudden traffic accident, road works, and event such as festival.
behaviour, understanding urban development plan and comparison. There are lot of festivals in India and they cause potential traffic jam.
7
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
Acknowledgement JPMJSA1606.
Special appreciation to Mr. Kikuchi C. and Mr. Mallesh B. of Zero-
This research is a part of SATREPS (Science and Technology Sum ITS India for providing traffic data in Ahmedabad.
Research Partnership for Sustainable Development) program 2016 (ID:
Appendix A
In terms of Traffic flow analysis in emerging countries such as India, there are several studies these days. Goutham M .and Chanda B. have
proving data analysis at National Highway in Hyderabad. It shows trend of traffic condition and comparison with Indian Road standard IRC-106-
1990 but measurement points are only two Highways and volume is two days with five CCTVs. There is a study of Headway analysis by Salim A.,
Vanajakshi L. and Subramanian C. In this study, it describes traffic congestion condition by headway measurement in Chennai. But measurement
point is only one city road and four days data with one hour for each. Therefore it is limited measurement data.
Appendix B
Table C-1
The Camera Location.
No. Name Longitude Latitude
Appendix C
In this paper, we choose Greenshields equation for traffic data analysis. There are also other K-V curve equations such as Greenburg and
Underwood.
The appendix Fig. B-1 shows those K-V curves and measurement data. The Greenburg equation is defined by Eq. (B-1), and the Underwood
equation is defined by Eq. (B-2).
8
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
kj
v = vc ln
k (B-1)
v = vf e k /kc
(B-2)
The characteristics equation result by using measurement data at Camera#1 is summarized in Table B-1. As shown in Fig. B-1, the Greenshields
fits with the measurement data well compared with other equations.
Table B-1
Comparison of K-V curve characteristics.
Type Equation
Appendix D
The followings are k-q curve, k-v curve, traffic volume of time zone, and speed of time zone characteristics during a month of June 2015 for each
location. The data of VMS#1, VMS#2, and VMS#4 are missing because of system trouble.
Camera #1
Camera #2
Camera #3
9
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
Camera #4
Camera #5
10
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
Camera #6
Camera #7
11
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
Camera #8
12
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
Camera #9
Camera #10
VMS #3
13
T. Tsuboi and N. Yoshikawa Case Studies on Transport Policy xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
14