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Agricultural Meteorology
Agricultural Meteorology
JEN-HU CHANG
Department of Geography, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii 96822 (U.S.A.)
(Requ le 27 Octobre, 1980; r6vision accept6 le 9 f6vri6r, 1981)
ABSTRACT
Chang, Jen-hu, 1981. Corn yield in relation to photoperiod, night temperature and solar
radiation. Agric. Meteorol., 24: 253--262.
The average corn yield in high latitudes exceeds that in the tropics by 4 times in the
field and by 2.5 times in experimental plots. This difference between 4 and 2.5 largely
reflects the technological inferiority of tropical farming. The difference in experimental
yield is largely caused by climatic factors. Hybrid corns are adapted to long days in excess
of 14 h 30 min. Long day length also promotes photosynthesis for all corn varieties. High
night temperature reduces the corn yield in the tropics by some 30%. Solar radiation is
a minor factor in explaining the yield difference on a global scale.
INTRODUCTION
Baier (1979) has distinguished three types of studies dealing with the
relationship between crop yields and weather conditions: (1)mechanistic
type crop growth simulation models; (2)statistically-based weather analysis
models, and (3) multiple regression models. The selection of the appropriate
approach depends upon the available data, purpose of investigation, and
time-scale as well as the size and nature of the area concerned.
In crop--weather simulation studies, complex physical, chemical, and
physiological processes based on both laboratory and field experiments are
mathematically presented. Rates of photosynthesis, respiration, and tran-
spiration are calculated to estimate biomass production. Studies by Stewart
(1970), Curry (1971), Curry and Chen (1971), Splinter (1974), and Runge
and Benci (1975) provide good examples. However, research in recent years
has shown that photosynthetic rates may not be closely related to economic
yields. Phenological events, particularly the duration of the ripening period,
are important in determining the yields of grain crops.
Crop--weather analysis models attempt to correlate short-term (daily or
weekly) meteorological events with crop growth and yield. Conventional
statistical techniques are often used to evaluate the weighting coefficients
in the yield equation. Typical examples include studies by Denmead and
Shaw (1960), Dale and Shaw (1965) and the NOAA report (1979). How-
ever, all these studies consider only soil moisture. Thermal and radiative
parameters are ignored presumably because they were not too variable dur-
ing their respective growing seasons.
The success of the multiple regression approach depends in part upon the
selection of cardinal climatic elements. Therefore, the physiological responses
of corn to various climatic elements are briefly discussed.
The major climatic factors that affect the growth and development of a
crop may be grouped into two headings: (1) water balance and (2) thermal
and radiative regimes. The latter includes day length, temperature, and solar
radiation.
The water balance of a place is determined by evapotranspiration, rainfall,
and soil characteristics. Water deficits reduce crop yields. For many grain
crops there is a definite moisture-sensitive period during which a relatively
small water deficit may greatly reduce the yield. Denmead and Shaw (1960)
and Dale and Shaw (1965) have shown that for the corn crop, the period
from six weeks before silking to three weeks after silking is most critical.
Gooding (1972) has emphasized that hybrid corns are bred for long-day
conditions and that when they are brought to lower latitudes they mature
more rapidly, produce fewer nodes and do not attain their normal plant
heights (Francis et al., 1970). Consequently, hybrids produce much lower
yields in the tropics, even though they may still outyield native varieties,
partly because hybrids have a faster rate of grain filling than inbreds (John-
son and Tanner, 1972). Conversely, tropical varieties, when grown in high
latitudes, extend their period of vegetative growth and seldom is anthesis
early enough to set seed in the field.
For the same daily solar radiation intensity, photosynthetic rates increase
with day length. Theoretical calculation by Monteith (1965) suggests that at
a daffy radiation of 400 langleys, photosynthetic rates increase by 15% when
photoperiod increases from 12 to 16 h. Experiments for rice crops carried
out in Southeast Asia (van Ittersum, 1972) and in the Llanos Orientales of
Colombia (Leihner and Cock, 1977) indicate an even greater yield difference
than that calculated by Monteith. Similar effects could be expected of corn.
Temperature affects photosynthesis, respiration, and translocation, as well
as crop development, particularly the duration of grain-filling period. Both
photosynthesis and development are greatly retarded at a temperature of
10°C or lower (Duncan and Hesketh, 1968). However, such low tempera-
tures are rarely observed in normal years in most corn-growing areas.
High temperatures promote respiration. The average respiration loss is
about 25% of the photosynthetic rate in the temperate zone as against 35%
in the tropics.
255
METHOD OF ANALYSIS
Corn yields are taken from the FAO Production Yearbooks for the years
1975 to 1977. Only those countries which had more than 10,000ha of corn
axe included. The three-year average yields of 98 countries are used in this
analysis.
Only temperature, day length and solar radiation are considered. Soil
moisture is not studied for two reasons. First, a cursory examination of the
monthly climatic data indicates that in nearly all corn growing regions mean
256
rainfall during the reproductive and early ripening period exceeds 75% of the
potential evapotranspiration. Accurate determination of water deficits re-
quires daffy rainfall data which are not readily available. In irrigated areas
water balance computation is even more complicated. Second, since one of
the major objectives of this study is to explain yield differences between
high and low latitudes, it may be assumed that in most latitudinal belts there
is a mixture of relatively dry and moist areas.
For each country the center of the corn growing area is determined and
the average date of planting and harvest ascertained. Representative stations
are then selected to estimate (1) mean night temperature during the growing
season, (2) average day length during the growing season, and (3) solar radia-
tion during the third month of the plant's growth. In the statistical analysis
all countries are treated as equal regardless of the sizes of their crop areas.
RESULTS
In Fig. 1 actual field corn yields of all countries are plotted as a function
of latitude. Data for each 10 ° of latitudinal belts including both the North-
ern and Southern Hemispheres are summarized in Table I. In the tropics the
average corn yield is only about 1 , 0 0 0 k g h a -1. In contrast, corn yields in
high latitude poleward of 35 ° of latitude average more than 4 times higher
than in the tropics. The latitudinal belt between 25 and 35 ° with an average
yield of 1,788 kg ha -1 may be considered a transitional zone.
I
New Zealand
7.000
Auslna
Swllz e d a n{:l
Iialy
Canac~a
USA
ub Germany
~ 5,12,00 •
Poland Korea
~ c ~ NKN
' . ,/~ " . G °. . . . Egypl
"~ 4,000 -
Czechoslovakia "Spain
..E
Chile
USSF~ Romania
"1~ 3,000 - IraQ Rhodesia
Ausltaha Argenhna
~,
Alba ma Iran
Turl~ey ° TrBa,la ncl
• o S K o r e.a
oSyna Peru B,az,I ~h AI
• So~ ,,ca
• ° •
• °
Pak~slan Me=leo •
o *" : U,uguay
Po~ugale Indla~ - ~ • -- _
~.~o •...... -"-~ r~ - . - . - ~ . - ' - - . - . "r
• • o o
Sudan •
I I I I I I l I I F
N N N N N N N N N N N S S S S 5 S 5
Summary of average corn yields, solar radiation, night temperature and day length for each 10 ° latitudinal belt
t'~
¢..n
258
8000
Y = 13563 4 + 19 1 8 X ( M i n u t e l
r =
6000
>
2000
I000
12h I~h 30m 13h 13h 30m 14h ~4t 30m 15h 15~ 30m 16h 16~ 3~m
DAY LENGTH
* Maximum experimental yield data are taken from the following sources: (a) J.L. Brew-
baker, Progress o f Korea's corn green revolution: a review and recommendation. Septem-
ber 1979, Univ. of Hawaii, College of Trop. Agric., mimeogr. Ms, 7 pp. (b) Development
o f the Transfer Model and Soil Taxonomic Interpretations on a Network of Three Soil
Families. Benchmark Soils Proj. Prog. Rep. 2, Univ. o f Hawaii and Univ. of Puerto Rico,
1979, 80 pp. (c) S y m p o s i u m on Maize Production in Southeast Asia --Present Situation
and Future Problems. Tokyo Agric. For. Fish. Res. Council, Min. Agric. For. 1968,
186 pp.
259
8600
10£g
Y : 8584 79 99 90Xi°F)
2
r : 226
I:
4000
{3
J
>-
~800
2000
1000
;c
0
b(]°F 54°F ~E~°F 6Z~ 66°F ?O°F 74~F 78°F O2°F 86~1
NIGHT TEMPERATURE
losses due to inadequacy of s0il nutrition, pests and diseases, and other tech-
nological deficiencies in the tropics.
Multiple regression analysis of actual field corn yields for 98 countries
with solar radiation, night temperature, and day length gives the following
equation:
Y = -- 9846.98 --1.463 R -- 27.829 T + 17.787 D
(1.233) (13.750) (1.754)
where Y is corn yield in kg ha -1 , R is solar radiation in langleys d a y - l , T is
night temperature in °F, and D is day length in minutes. Values in paren-
theses are standard errors.
The multiple correlation coefficient of 0.81 is significant. Standard error
of estimate is 953 kgha -~ .
Correlations are also c o m p u t e d between corn yields and individual clima-
tic parameters. D a y length has the highest correlation with corn yield. Some
geneticists are of the opinion that 30 to 35 ° of latitude is the transitional
zone between hybrids and tropical varieties. A day length of 14 h 30 min is
required for high yields (Fig. 2). The development of better strains for
tropical use is extremely difficult and time consuming. The exploitation of
260
8000
7000
Y = 1127 2 8 * 1 59X
0000
2
r = 006
5000
~w 4000
0
>-
3000
o
o
2000
I
• l• 0o•
1000 • o• • •
,# •
0
350 400 450 500 " 550 000 000 700
longer day length and, to a lesser extent, because of the low night tempera-
ture. In the equatorial zone, low solar radiation is coupled with short days
and warm nights to produce extremely low yields.
CONCLUSIONS
Corn yield in the tropics averages only about 25% of that in the temperate
zone poleward of 35 ° latitude. An examination of maximum experimental
yields seems to suggest that with better farming management corn yield in
the tropics should be about 40% of that in the temperate zone. Long day
length is primarily responsible for the very high yields in the temperate zone.
High night temperature probably reduces the corn yield in the tropics by
some 30%. Solar radiation, though important in determining yields in indi-
vidual fields or small areas is a minor factor in explaining the yield difference
on a global scale.
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