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Market Commentary: February 15, 2022
Market Commentary: February 15, 2022
Market Commentary: February 15, 2022
Local flash
BSDE: Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE) Prints Marketing Sales of IDR 7.7 Trillion
in 2021. PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (BSDE) reports marketing sales or pre sales
reaching IDR 7.7 trillion throughout 2021. This achievement is 10% higher
compared to the company's initial target of IDR 7 trillion. When compared to the
achievement in 2020, the pre-sales performance of BSDE in 2021 also increased
by 19%. Just so you know, in 2020, BSDE pocketed a pre-sale of IDR 6.5 trillion. The
residential segment was the largest contributor with transaction value reaching
IDR 5.2 trillion, equivalent to 68% of pre-sales. In the last three months of 2021,
BSDE was able to record pre-sales of IDR 1.64 trillion, equivalent to 24% of the
annual target. (Kontan)
INOV: Aim for Positive Growth, This is Inocycle Technology (INOV) Strategy
This Year. An issuer engaged in the recycling of plastic bottle waste (PET) into
Recycled Polyester Staple Fiber (Re-PSF), PT Inocycle Technology Group Tbk (INOV)
sees that the trend of using recycled products has increased quite well to date.
This condition makes the company optimistic that it can record a positive
performance, aiming for sales and net profit to grow by 20% and 25% respectively
in 2022. (Kontan)
CTRA: Ciputra (CTRA) Office Space Absorption Projection Still Slows This Year.
Property issuer PT Ciputra Development Tbk (CTRA) projects that the uptake of
office space owned by it this year will still be slow. Director of Ciputra
Development Harun Hajadi said that in general the office business had suffered
the most significant impact of the pandemic. Regarding occupancy, Harun
explained that he currently has a decent office space occupancy because he has
tenants with long term tenants. Despite the changes, the occupancy gains did not
change significantly. (Kontan)
BRIS: Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) Targets Retirement Savings to Grow 30%
by 2022. PT Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) targets managed funds for pension
savings to increase this year. This is in line with the company's focus on becoming
a salary channeling bank for state civil servants (ASN) and their retirees. "We
project that the management of pension savings funds at BSI can increase by
around 30% from 2021," said BSI Sales & Distribution Director Anton Sukarna,
Monday (14/2). BSI is committed to continuously improving services for all
customers, including BSI retirement savings customers. For this reason, every
customer will have easy access to services at 1,365 BSI branch offices in various
parts of Indonesia. (Kontan)
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 15, 2022
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-5088-7000 tasrul@miraeasset.co.id
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Feb 14, 2022) 6,734.49(-1.19%) Trading range 6,707 – 6,772
Average index performance (%) +5.52Target
Period 163 - Daily 6,772
r-squared 0.8241 - Weekly 6,803
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.43/-0.53 - Monthly 6,930
Volatility (+/-, point) +29.30 /-35.85 Stop loss 6,690
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Demand 6,821.5
S_VWAP Supply
6,806.3
_____ 6,772.5_____ 6,758.2
D_VWAP _____ 6,707.4_____ 6,695.5 6,734.49
6,704.38
6,663.33
168.777
0.00000
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 15, 2022
23.4235
26.2596
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 2/14/2022 Open: 6,791 High: 6,797 Low: 6,699 Close: 6,734 Vol. 20,253,065,216 Chg.: -1.19%
Demand Supply
S_VWAP _____ 6,772.5 _____ 6,758.2 6,806.3
D_VWAP _____ 6,707.4 _____ 6,695.5 6,734.49
6,704.38
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 15, 2022
61.5103
61.6116
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 2/14/2022 Open: 6,791 High: 6,797 Low: 6,699 Close: 6,734 Vol. 20,253,065,216 Chg.: -1.19%
6,995.16
Demand Supply 6,821.76
_____ 6,802.9 _____ 6,786.7
D_VWAP S_VWAP _____ 6,675.9 _____ 6,651.0 6,734.49
6,705.9
6,649.4
6,648.36
87,734,050,816
80,912,957,440
Figure 4. Daily : 6,707 – 6,772 Figure 5. Weekly : 6,676 – 6,803 Figure 6. Monthly : 6,632 – 6,930
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 2/14/2022 Open: 6,791 High: 6,797 Low: 6,699 Close: 6,734 Vol. 20,253,065,216 Chg.: -1.19%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 2/14/2022 Open: 6,791 High: 6,797 Low: 6,699 Close: 6,734 Vol. 20,253,065,216 Chg.: -1.19%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 2/14/2022 Open: 6,658 High: 6,874 Low: 6,648 Close: 6,734 Vol. 203,146,428,416 Chg.: 1.56%
Supply
Demand Demand
Demand Supply _____ 6,968.1
_____ 6,930.2
Supply
_____ 6,802.9
_____ 6,772.5 _____ 6,786.7
6,734.49
_____ 6,758.2
_____ 6,632.4
6,734.49
6,734.49
_____ 6,490.1
_____ 6,707.4 _____ 6,675.9
_____ 6,695.5 _____ 6,651.0
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 2/14/2022 : Rp. 168.78 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1% NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 2/14/2022 : Rp. 8,804.02 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.6%
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 2/14/2022 : Rp. 168.78 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1%
8,804.02
168.777 168.777
0.00000
0.00000 0.00000
20,253,065,216
20,253,065,216 203,146,428,416
Feb 14 2022 Apr 2022
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 15, 2022
Chart 7. JCI Vs. USD/IDR Chart 8. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
(pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R) (IDR) (%, %p) Absolute Relative
6,900 14,500 24 22.0
6,850
14,450 20
6,800
6,750 14,400 16
6,700 14,350 12
6,650 7.4
6,600 14,300 8
3.6
6,550 14,250 4
6,500 0.4 0.6
14,200 0
6,450
6,400 14,150 -1.2 -1.0 -1.1
-4
11/15 12/13 1/10 2/7 1D 1W 1M 1Y
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
136 28 112 60 47
0 110
-47
-127
-228
-500 90
-1,000 -855 70
Korea Taiwan Indonesia ThailandPhilippines India 11/15 12/13 1/10 2/7
Note: The latest figure for India is Feb 11th, 2022 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas lIndonesia
Chart 11. Non-ferrous metal price Chart 12. Precious metal price
115
100
105
90
95
85 80
11/21 12/21 01/22 02/22 11/21 12/21 01/22 02/22
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 15, 2022
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 15, 2022
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
4:45am NZD Visitor Arrivals m/m 44.0%
6:50am JPY Prelim GDP Price Index y/y -1.3% -1.2%
6:50am JPY Prelim GDP q/q 1.5% -0.9%
7:30am AUD Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
11:30am JPY Revised Industrial Production m/m -1.0% -1.0%
2:00pm GBP Average Earnings Index 3m/y 3.8% 4.2%
2:00pm GBP Claimant Count Change -36.2K -43.3K
2:00pm GBP Unemployment Rate 4.1% 4.1%
5:00pm EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment 54.4 49.4
5:00pm EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment 55.1 51.7
5:00pm EUR Flash Employment Change q/q 1.0% 0.9%
5:00pm EUR Flash GDP q/q 0.3% 0.3%
5:00pm EUR Trade Balance -4.7B -1.3B
Tentative GBP 10-y Bond Auction 0.92|2.2
8:15pm CAD Housing Starts 244K 236K
8:30pm USD PPI m/m 0.5% 0.2%
8:30pm USD Core PPI m/m 0.5% 0.5%
8:30pm USD Empire State Manufacturing Index 11.9 -0.7
9:30pm GBP CB Leading Index m/m 0.2%
Tentative USD Mortgage Delinquencies 4.88%
10:30pm AUD CB Leading Index m/m 0.4%
Tentative NZD GDT Price Index 4.1%
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time
Source: Forex Factory
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 15, 2022
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia