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Market Commentary: February 16, 2022
Market Commentary: February 16, 2022
Market Commentary: February 16, 2022
Local flash
AALI: Astra Agro Lestari (AALI) Prepares Funds for Equipment Rejuvenation
and Replanting. PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) allocates capital expenditure or
capital expenditure (capex) of around Rp. 1 trillion-Rp 1.5 trillion for 2022. This
amount is not much different from the allocation of capex in 2021 which is Rp. 1.2
trillion. AALI President Director Santosa said that the 2022 capex will be used for
the rejuvenation of several operational equipment. "This year the capex is big
enough for rejuvenating heavy equipment and transportation equipped with a
tracker so we know where the equipment is, how long it works, and so on," said
Santosa in a virtual Talk to The CEO 2022 event, Tuesday ( 15/2). (Kontan)
CSAP: This year, Catur Sentosa Adiprana (CSAP) will open 3-4 new Mitra10
outlets. PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP) has prepared a number of
business strategies to welcome 2022. In the modern retail segment, the company
plans to open three to four new Mitra10 outlets, as well as remodeling the four
existing Mitra10 stores. "Including efforts to increase the contribution of private
brands, adding home applicance products with a better display concept, and
increasing the bathroom category products to become destination products," said
Corporate Secretary Catur Sentosa Adiprana, Idrus Widjajakusuma (Kontan)
TBIG: Tower Bersama (TBIG) Issued Bonds To Repay Part of Loans. PT Tower
Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG) will issue bonds worth Rp 2.2 trillion. Tower
Bersama will use the proceeds from this issuance to finance the subsidiary's debt.
The bonds, named the Sustainable Bonds V Tower Bersama Infrastructure Phase
III 2022, will be offered in two series. Series A has a principal value of Rp 1.7
trillion with a fixed interest rate of 3.75% per year and a tenor of 370 days.
Meanwhile, Series B has a principal amount of Rp 500 billion with a fixed interest
rate of 5.90% per year and a term of three years. (Kontan)
SGRO: Sampoerna Agro (SGRO) Will Issue Debt Instruments Worth IDR 830.5
Billion. PT Sampoerna Agro Tbk (SGRO) will issue debt securities or bonds with a
total principal amount of Rp 830.5 billion. The notes consist of Shelf Registration
Bonds I Sampoerna Agro Phase III Year 2022 with a principal value of IDR 525.38
billion and Sustainable Sukuk Ijarah I Sampoerna Agro Phase III Year 2022 with
remaining ijarah fee of IDR 305.11 billion. Based on KSEI's announcement,
Tuesday (15/2), the bonds will consist of two series. First, the Series A offered with
a principal amount of Rp 75 billion has a tenor of three years and a fixed interest
rate of 7.15% per year. (Kontan)
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 16, 2022
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-5088-7000 tasrul@miraeasset.co.id
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Feb 15, 2022) 6,807.5(+1.08%) Trading range 6,781 – 6,826
Average index performance (%) +6.32Target
Period 164 - Daily 6,826
r-squared 0.8266 - Weekly 6,832
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.36/-0.62 - Monthly 6,955
Volatility (+/-, point) +24.41 /-42.04 Stop loss 6,690
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Demand Supply
6,826.35
S_VWAP _____ 6,810.2_____ 6,805.1 6,807.5
_____ 6,745.0_____ 6,738.5 6,801.71
D_VWAP
6,722.1
6,667.5
615.981
0.00000
3
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 16, 2022
41.8297
51.0951
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 2/15/2022 Open: 6,746 High: 6,807 Low: 6,727 Close: 6,807 Vol. 20,990,525,440 Chg.: 1.08%
Demand Supply
S_VWAP _____ 6,810.2 _____ 6,805.1 6,807.5
D_VWAP _____ 6,745.0 _____ 6,738.5
6,801.71
6,722.1
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 16, 2022
59.8492
70.8107
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 2/15/2022 Open: 6,791 High: 6,807 Low: 6,699 Close: 6,807 Vol. 41,243,590,656 Chg.: -0.12%
7,002.81
Demand Supply 6,828.47
_____ 6,831.9 _____ 6,816.6
D_VWAP S_VWAP _____ 6,703.6 _____ 6,678.6 6,807.5
6,709.73
6,654.13
6,652.3
41,243,590,656
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Oct 2021 Apr Jul Oct 2022
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Figure 4. Daily : 6,781 – 6,826 Figure 5. Weekly : 6,704 – 6,832 Figure 6. Monthly : 6,656 – 6,955
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 2/15/2022 Open: 6,746 High: 6,807 Low: 6,727 Close: 6,807 Vol. 20,990,525,440 Chg.: 1.08%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 2/15/2022 Open: 6,791 High: 6,807 Low: 6,699 Close: 6,807 Vol. 41,243,590,656 Chg.: -0.12%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 2/15/2022 Open: 6,658 High: 6,874 Low: 6,648 Close: 6,807 Vol. 224,136,953,856 Chg.: 2.66%
Demand
Supply
6,826.35 Demand Supply
Demand _____ 6,831.9
Supply _____ 6,816.6
6,807.5 _____ 6,955.2 _____ 6,993.2
_____ 6,810.2 _____ 6,805.1 6,807.5 6,807.5
_____ 6,656.3
_____ 6,513.5
6,780.8
_____ 6,745.0 _____ 6,738.5 _____ 6,703.6
_____ 6,678.6
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 2/15/2022 : Rp. 784.76 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.3% NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 2/15/2022 : Rp. 9,420.01 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.6%
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 2/15/2022 : Rp. 615.98 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.4%
9,420.01
615.981
0.00000
784.758
0.00000 0.00000
20,990,525,440
224,136,953,856
41,243,590,656
Feb 14 2022 2021 2022
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
5
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 16, 2022
Chart 7. JCI Vs. USD/IDR Chart 8. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
(pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R) (IDR) (%, %p) Absolute Relative
6,900 14,500 28
6,850 23.0
14,450 24
6,800
6,750 14,400 20
6,700 14,350 16
6,650
6,600 14,300 12
8.2
6,550 14,250 8
6,500 4.0
14,200 4 1.7
6,450 1.1 0.4 1.1
0.3
6,400 14,150 0
11/16 12/14 1/11 2/8 1D 1W 1M 1Y
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
68 89 51
0 110
-5
-193
-500 90
-416
-606-677 -673
-1,000 70
Korea Taiwan Indonesia ThailandPhilippines India 11/16 12/14 1/11 2/8
Note: The latest figure for India is Feb 14th, 2022 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas lIndonesia
Chart 11. Non-ferrous metal price Chart 12. Precious metal price
125
100
115
105
90
95
85 80
11/21 12/21 01/22 02/22 11/21 12/21 01/22 02/22
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 16, 2022
7
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 16, 2022
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
3:30am USD President Biden Speaks
4:00am USD TIC Long-Term Purchases 56.9B 137.9B
6:34am AUD MI Leading Index m/m 0.0%
8:30am CNY CPI y/y 1.0% 1.5%
8:30am CNY PPI y/y 9.5% 10.3%
11:30am JPY Tertiary Industry Activity m/m 0.3% 0.4%
2:00pm GBP CPI y/y 5.4% 5.4%
2:00pm GBP Core CPI y/y 4.3% 4.2%
2:00pm GBP PPI Input m/m 1.0% -0.2%
2:00pm GBP PPI Output m/m 0.6% 0.3%
2:00pm GBP RPI y/y 7.4% 7.5%
16th-17th CNY Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y 14.9%
3:45pm AUD RBA Deputy Gov Debelle Speaks
4:30pm GBP HPI y/y 9.3% 10.0%
5:00pm EUR Industrial Production m/m 0.4% 2.3%
Tentative EUR German 10-y Bond Auction -0.08|1.4
8:30pm CAD CPI m/m 0.6% -0.1%
8:30pm CAD Common CPI y/y 2.1% 2.1%
8:30pm CAD Median CPI y/y 3.1% 3.0%
8:30pm CAD Trimmed CPI y/y 3.7% 3.7%
8:30pm CAD Core CPI m/m 0.0%
8:30pm CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m 0.7% 2.6%
8:30pm CAD Wholesale Sales m/m 0.0% 3.5%
8:30pm USD Core Retail Sales m/m 1.0% -2.3%
8:30pm USD Retail Sales m/m 2.1% -1.9%
8:30pm USD Import Prices m/m 1.3% -0.2%
9:15pm USD Industrial Production m/m 0.4% -0.1%
9:15pm USD Capacity Utilization Rate 76.8% 76.5%
10:00pm USD Business Inventories m/m 2.1% 1.3%
Tentative USD Mortgage Delinquencies 4.88%
10:00pm USD NAHB Housing Market Index 82 83
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Indonesia Daily Focus February 16, 2022
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Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia