HQC VIEN NGAN HANG DAP AN BQ MON: TOAN DE THI KET THUC HOC PHAN: Todn kink té 2- MATIIA DE THI SO: 01 bleh Ap dung cho khoa/ hé/ I6p: seseereaneen Ca thi: 4., Ngay thi: 28/02/2024 Ngudi duyét dip Cau 1: (24) Goi A= “Khach hang dau tu trai pl B= “Khéch hang dau tur chimg chi quy” P(A) = 0,6; P(B) = 0,3; P(AB) = 0,15. P(AB) = P(AFB) = 1-075 = 0,25 Chu 2: (15d) X 1a thd han str dung cia sin phim (ngay), ‘Xée suat dé 1 san phdm cé thoi han str dung it nhat 200 ngay. a Loo @ +1005 P(X > 200) Cu 3: (1,54) Goi X la tudi tho san phim (nim). X~N (4; 0) voip = 10;0 = 2 Goi m 1a thai gian béo hanh can quy dinh P(X Sm) = 0,03 © go ("—**) ~ gy (=) = 0,03 © bo (™*) = -0.47 = o(-1,88) © m = 6,24. Cau 4: Ba) Goi X 1a nhu cau vé san phim ctia cdc hé gia dinh 6 A. 1) Use lugng ti Ig p theo tan suat mau f = 0,7. ve(r- soe uaif + JES Bea) = 0,6598; 0,7402). 2). Goi d6 tin ofy cin tim 1&1 ~ ary & = 0205 vg = 02 + aay = 1.8009 = £2 003586 1 ay = 0.9285 DQ tin cay la 92,83%. 3) Goi ¥ ld mic sir dung san phim trén céc hd e6 ding san phim ¥~ N(sy; 0) Tach: ny = 350; sy = 1,3427 Use lugng V(Y) € (15221; 2,1660) Can 5 Qa) a) Goi X 1a thu nhap cia nhan vign ngdn hang A (trigu ddng/nim) Tacé:n = 100; ¥ = 509,6; s = 125,41583,Ug + E(X) 2 488,97035. b) Kiém dinh gia thuyét Ho: p = 0,125 Hy:p > 0,125 p lity 19 nhan vign thu np cao nim 2020. dinn u = LPO We = (Uai +90) = (1,6449; +00) Gia tri quan sit ugg = 0,7559 € We © Chip nbn Ho, hie bo H, = Chua thé cho ring ty Ig nay & nim nay cao hon nim 2019.HOC VIEN NGAN HANG AP AN BO MON: TOAN DE THI KET THUC HOC PHAN: (Totin kink té 2+ MATIIA) DE THI SO Ap dung cho khod/ hé/ top Cathi: 4. Ney thi: 2.8..6/2020; Ngudi duyét dip an: ns edb laskager Cau 1: 24) Goi A= “Ngudi drge chon duong tinh” B= “Ngudi duge chon xét nghigm duong tinh” P(A) = 0,05; P(B/A) = (B/A) = 0,1 = P(B/A) P(AB)__P(AB) 0,095 _ 19 P(B) P(AB)+P(4B) 0,14 28 P(A/B) = (Cu 2: (1,Sd) X 18 thoi gian hoat dng cia bo phén (gid) Xée sudt dé thi gian hoat dng tét trén 70 gid: 2 P(X > 70) =1-P(X $70) “5 = 0,246 — F(70) = Cau 3: (5d) Goi X 18 1Q cia nhiing ngudi nop don xét tuyén. X~N(u; 0”) voi w = 115; 0 = 12. ea) 0,95221 PUK 2 95) = 05 = b0 (= Goi ¥ la sé ngudi bj loai. Y~B(n, p) voi n = 600; 0,95221 = 0,04779 'S6 ngudi bj loai trung binh: E(Y) = np = 28,674. Cfu 4: (34) Goi X 1a khéi Iugng ban san pham A trong | ngay (kg) Ta cé: n = 160; 61,75; s = 18,53265. 44) Use long vi khéi lrgng ban trang binh: £(X) € (#-ua;¢ + uz) vn Fyn 2 © Doan thu trung binh trong 1 tuan 5000.7. £(X) € (2060740,5; 2261759,5) = (58,8783; 64,6217) b) Kidm djnh gia thuyét Hg: 0? = 207 Hiya? < 202 4p la bién dong vé khéi long ban 6 C. Tigu chun kiém dinh x? = 223" We = (0: 09521599) = (0; 130,848) Gi ti quan sit y2,, = 136,525 € Wi, > Chap nhan Ho, bée bé Hy = Chua thé cho ring 46 bign dong 6 C cao hon 6 B. ©) Goi mg la sé ngay can didu tra6 chinh née: cq = LEB. ys = 0,05 + ny ~ 297,4839 Chon my = 298 > digu tra them mp 138 Cau 5 (24) ©) UL GV le sinh vién ding y thi trac tuyén p € (0,5321; 0,6679) Suy ra UL sé sinh vién déng ¥ thi truc tuyén mén Toan kinh té 2 trong khoang (2021; 2538) d) Kiém djnh gia thuyét Hy:p = 0,6 >06 . p laty Ié sinh vién m nghiém trong sé sinh vién ddng y thi tre tuyén vao thang 6-2021, Tiéu chuan kiém dink U We = Gia tri quan sit ugs = 0,559 € We > Chip nhdn Ho, bac bé Hy © Chua thé cho rang ty 16 nay 6 thdng 6/2021 cao hon 6 thing 1/2021.HQC VIEN NGAN HANG DAP AN KHOA/ BO MON DE THI KET THUC HOC PHAN: Totin kinh té2-MATIIA Ap dung cho khoa/ hé/ 16y DE THI SO: 3 Ca this 4.. Ngay thi: 22../02/2021; Nadi duyét dip ans. Loder Cau 1: Hi IT; P(Hi) = 0.4; PCH) = 0.6, “chi tiét do nha may i sin xu + Theo cng thite xée suat day du P(A) = PCHi)PCAIHL) + PCHD)P(AIH2) = 0.40.9 + 0.60.95 = 0.93 + Theo cng thite Bayes: P(Hi|A) = P(Hi)P(AIHi)/ P(A) = 0.4*0.9/0.93 = 12/31 = 0.3871 cau 2: a, X=s6 lan gp dén dé trong mdi fan di lam; X(Q) = {0, 1, 2, 3} (X=0) = 0.8*0.640.5 = 0.24 (X=1) = 0.46; Ps = P(X=2) = 0.26; Pa = P(X Ké bang PPXS o [x 0 1 [3 tp 0.24 0.46 [0.04 b. Tim EX = 1.1; Thdi gian dgi trung binh a 1.1*50 Cau 3: X = $6 hoa don duge lap trude 6 Idi trong 10 hod don; X ~ B(10; 0.4) a, P(X=3) = C¥10.0,45.0.67 = 0.215 —P(X = 0)— P(X = 1) = 0.0464 [V(X)]}"? = (apgy'? = 1.5492 Cau 4: X = gid xe khach hang mua (trd); X ~ qlbk véi n > 30. Bang tan s6 thye nghigm Xx #30 340 [670 820 970 Wy 33 150 [er 30 10 X(ngang) 198.3724; n= 410 a. Y= gid ban cia mOt xe edn sang (trd); Y ~ qlbk voi n = 140 > 30; Bang tin sé: ly 820 970 A 30 10 | 937.8571; Sy = 61.7699 > a2 = 0.025; uo02s = 1.96 Khong tn cy dBi ximg cho w= EY Wa T= wa2©; 7 + we ) = (927.6249; 948.0893 (7-4 “ee )=¢ ) b. Khodng in ey bén tri cho phuong o# = VX: (0; SPs) = (0; SEHR) = (0; 44323.6375) © 2s*S/e) = (1.96 198.3724/5)? = 6046.9257. Vay n= 6047 0.4; Hi: p< 0.4; f= 14/41; TCKD: G Mién baie bo H0: (-203 -tnos) = (-2; -1.65); 2.4995 thude mign bic bé => bac bd HO, chép nh’n H1. Khang dinh trong dé bai la I: > 600 ; Min bac bé HO: (uo 05; #99) by 1.65; +0) Gya= 8.4553 thuge mign bac bd HO => Chi nhdn H1, ttre diéu khing dinh 1a dang.HQC VIEN NGAN HANG DAP Al KHOA/ BO MON: DE THI KET THUC HOC PHAN: Todn kinh té2-MATHA DE THI SO: 4 Ap dung cho khoa/ hé/ lép: Catthi: 4 -Ngay thi: (12024 Neudi duyét dap an: Cu 1: a+ Xay dyng nhém day di Il “Khao sat trong gid vany duye Ony chong dang xem ti vi" Hp = “Khao sat trong gids vang duge éng chéng khéng dang xem ti vi” P(Hi) = 0.6; P(E) = 0.4 a. A=" Khéo sit durge ba vo dang xem ti vi trong gié vang + Theo c6ng thiie XSDD: P(A) = PCHL)P(A|EL) + P(H2)P (A Ha) = 0.60.4 + 0.4*0,3= 0.36 b. Theo céng thire Bayes: P(Hi|A) = P(H))P(AIHi) /P(A) = 2/3 Cau 2: X = thoi gian che doi tai ngan hang (phiit); X ~ N(4; 1.22); Y = thdi gian durge giao dich vign phuc vy (phit); ¥ ~ N(5.55 1.5?) VIX, ¥ ge lip: E(X+Y) = EX + EY =9.5 (phiit); V(X + Y) = VX + VY = 369/100 o(X + ¥) = (369/100)'? ~ 1.9209 Cau 3: X = diém kiém tra trong ky thi 1; X ~ N(73; 82) Y = diém kiém tra trong ky thi khic; Y ~ N(62; 3) So sinh P(X > 81) = 0.1587 va P(Y > 68) = 0.0228 KL: chon ky thi | Cau 4: X = sé ca moi mac Covid trong ngay; X ~ quy ludt bat ky voi n = 32>30 Bang tin sé: x 25 75 125) 175 350 a 2 6 6 5 X(ngang) = 107.0313; S = 96.5607; a. Tim KTCDX cho = EX, voi y= 0.98 => a/2 = 0.01; woo = 2.33 Khoang TCX cho pt la: (¥ — ua; ¥+ uz) = (68.2589; 147.8037) i b. Tim khoang tin cy bén trai cho P a ty Ig ngay cao diém voi f= 0.4375; 7= 0.95 = a= 0.05; uoos = 1.65 Khoang TCBT cho P la: U; f + ug 45-2) = ( 0; 0.5822) vin . ¢. Tim kich thud mau khi uée luong ty Ig nhimg ngay cao diém: sai s6 la 0.07 VTO-Bug, rp) Tacée = ——F=> n > (oor PV" = 272.6568 KL:n=273 4. HO: 0? soo? = 50°; HI: 0 > 50? ‘TCKD: G =...; Mién bac bd Ho: (280s; + 0) = (44.9853; +00) Gy = 31*96,56077/50? = 115.6172 thuge W_a => bac b6 Ho, chip nl KL: y kién ding ©. HO: u> po= 200; HI: < 200 TCKD: G=... Mién bac bo Ho: W_a. = 20; -1.65) bac bo Ho, chp nhiin Hi, tire ¥ kién ding,DAP AN HOC VIEN NGAN HANG DE THI KET THUC HQC PHAN: BQ MON TOAN Toan Kinh t82-MATIA DE THISO: 5 Ap dung cho khod/ hé/ Iép: — sesteee Ca thi: 4. Ngay thi: 25..0.2/2024; Ngudi duyét dap 4 Sheba Cau 1. . “Mét dng chong thich xem tivi”; M6t ba vo thich xem tivi”; thiét, ta e6: P(C) = 0,6; P(VIC) = 0,4; P(VIC) = 0,3. Do {C, C} la nhém day dui, nén theo Céng thite x4c suat day dui ta c6 P(V) = P(C)PUIC) + P(C)PVIC) = 0,6 -0,4 + (1 — 0,6) -0,3 = 0,36. Ti 1é cdc ba vg thich xem ti vi 1a 36%. Cau 2. et =50 30 I 60 [___100 P 03 025 [03 0,15 a) P(X > 0}=1—P{X = -50} =1-0,3=07. b) BO mii ro la D(X) = E(X?) — E(x)? = Tig xPpj — 11,76" = 3555 — 25,5? = 294,75, Cau 3. a) X= sd luong xe cho hang dén kho nay. X~Poisson(2). 3 2! PW > 3} =1-P(X s 3}=1-) Per= = 1-0,8571 = 0,1429 k=0 ° Cau 4, Goi X 1a nang sudt lam dung cua mot xe A2. (don vi: m/h). Theo gia thiét X~N(u; X 37,5 iestera2/5| 475 52,5 57,5 | ny 14 [ 20 36 22 8 n= 100;2= 47; s = 5,7075. a) $= S08 = 0,025; 469), = 1,9842. Khodng tin ely 95% cia ula (x— ef" 2; 2+ e-? 5) = (45,8675; 48,1325). b) ex wus Suge ae = 1,4017 = y = 20,(1,4017) = 2 x 0,4195 = 0,839. ©) Goi p lati 1g xe A2 c6 mite trung binh nang sudt lam dung hon 50 m/h. V6i y =0,95, tacd a = 1-0,95 = 0,05; ug = Uoos ~ 1,6449; f = 242 = 0,3, 00= 03 +1,6449 = 03754. Vay p khOng qua 37,54%, Tacé p< f +g va 10 d) Goi p lati Ig xe A2 c6 trung binh nang suét lam dudng hon 50 m/h. 22+8 = 0,3. 100” Ta dung cng thie P fe = frnsil < ug Anand) ae $221 < 0025;ua = 1,96, Fx y= 0.028: 11g = wooas * 1.96. = uy TREE ug PED > ng = (us Nhu vay, cn diéu tra thém 505 — 100 = 405xe. sm dinh c&p gi thuyét: Ho: 4 = 49; Hy: < 49. WE 6, WIAD0 — 3.5042; Wy = (00; £682) ~ (00; —1,6604), T € Wy = bac bo Ho, chép nhan Hi ‘véi mic ¥ nghia 5%, c6 thé cho rang trung binh nang suét lam dung cla mét xe A2 c6 bé hon xe Al.