Table 1: Annex 2: Population Forecasts

Planning Year
Description 1995
2022 2027 2032 2037
Base population (inh), CSA 1995 7000
Growth rate (CSA) 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 3.8%

Projected population Town (inh) 21,258 25,864 31,346 37,772

Baseline data

Base Population
Projected population
(2011)-CSA

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
7,000 19,579 20,401 21,258 22,109 22,993 23,913
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8%
25,864 26,898 27,974 29,093 30,199 31,346
2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039
3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
33,774 35,057 36,390 37,772 39,208 40,698
2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046
3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
43,765 45,340 46,973 48,664 50,416 52,231
g Year
2042 2047

3.80% 3.80%

45,340 54,111

2026
4.0%
24,869
2033
3.8%
32,538
2040
3.8%
42,244
2047
3.6%
54,111
Table 2: Annex 2: Service coverage and per capita water demand by mode of service

Planning Year
Baseline (WTP
Mode of Service
study 2020)
2022 2027 2032 2037 2042

House connections (HC) 7.0% 8.5% 11.2% 16.1% 23.1% 29.5%

Private yard tap (PYT) 5.0% 5.5% 6.1% 9.8% 12.5% 17.9%

Shared yard tap (SYT) 26.0% 73.1% 70.3% 63.0% 54.8% 44.7%
Sub-Total 38% 87% 88% 89% 90% 92%

Public stand pipes (PSP) 5.0% 7.4% 8.3% 7.4% 9.7% 7.9%

Total by piped water supply 43% 94% 96% 96% 100% 100%

Water vendors 57.0% 5.5% 4.1% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Planning year
Mode of service
2022 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047
House connections (HC) 40 45 51 57 64 72
Private yard tap (PYT) 30 33 37 42 47 53
shared yard tap (SYT) 20 22 23 25 27 29
Public stand pipes (PSP) 18 19 21 22 24 26
 Assumptionss
2047

15% increase to the beginning of and 7.5% increase/year towards

37.6%
the end of the design period
15% increase to the beginning of and 10% increase/year towards
25.7%
the end of the design period
31.2% 85% of the unserviced by private connections (HC and PYT)
95%
10% of the unservicied by private connections (HC and PYT) untill
5.5%
2022 and 15 % towards the end of the design period
100%
5% of the unserviced by piped water connections untill 2022 to
0.0%
allow smoth phasing out of services by water vendors

100%

Assumptionss

2.5% increase/year
2.5% increase/year
1.5% increase/year
1.5% increase/year
Table 3: Annex 2: Domestic and non domestic water demand

Domestic water demand

Mode of acces to services Percentage of access
2022 2027 2032 2037 2042
House connections (HC) 8.5% 11.2% 16.1% 23.1% 29.5%
Private yard tap (PYT) 5.5% 6.1% 9.8% 12.5% 17.9%
Shared yard tap (SYT) 73.1% 70.3% 63.0% 54.8% 44.7%
Public stand pipes (PSP) 7.4% 8.3% 7.4% 9.7% 7.9%
Water vendors (tapping water from the
5.5% 4.1% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0%
PWS)

Total 94% 96% 96% 100% 100%

Per capita water demand

2022 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047

40 45 51 57 64 72
30 33 37 42 47 53
20 22 23 25 27 29
18 19 21 22 24 26
18 18 18 18 18 18

Adjusted water demand for Climatic and socio-economic factors

Planning Year
Description
2022 2027 2032
Unit
urban 21,258 25,864 31,346
Population No.
Total 21,258 25,864 31,346
Total Domestic Water demand m3/d 467.4 544.2 689.0
Climatic Adjustment Factor 1.5 1.5 1.5
Socio Economic Ad. factor 1.05 1.05 1.05
m3/d 736.2 857.2 1085.2
Adjusted Domestic Water Demand
(l/s) 8.5 9.9 12.6

Non- domestic water demand

Baseline Planning Year

Category of consumprion  Unit
(2013*)
2022 2027 2032
Projections as % of domestic water d
Government & Public Institutions 7.5% 7.7% 7.9%
Commercial establishments 12.5% 12.6% 12.9%
20.0% 20.3% 20.8%
livestotok 5.0% 5.2% 5.7%
Industrial ND 15% 15.3% 16.1%
Projected water demand (m3/da
Government & Public Institutions m3/d 55.2 65.9 85.5
Commercial establishments m3/d 92.0 108.2 140.4
36.8 44.6 62.1
Industrial m3/d 110.4 131.1 174.3
Total( Public + Industrial) demand m3/d 294.5 349.8 462.3

Unaccounte for water (UFW)

Planning year
Unaccounted for Water  Unit
2022 2027 2032
Physical losses (% of the Domestic % 10.0% 10.4% 11.4%
+public demand)
Commertial losses (% of 10.0% 9.9% 9.7%
Domestic+public water demand)
20.0% 20.3% 21.1%

Unaccounted for Water m /day

3
206.1 245.0 326.4
 2047
37.6%
25.7%
31.2%
5.5%

0.0%

100%

Average day domestic water demand (m 3/day)

Planning Year
2022 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047
72.0 130.4 255.2 496.7 856.0 1466.8
35.2 42.6 77.2 110.9 179.1 289.3
310.9 321.4 309.6 289.2 253.9 190.1
28.3 34.0 32.8 45.9 40.3 30.2
21.1 15.8 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0

467.4 544.2 689.0 942.7 1329.3 1976.4

Planning Year

2037 2042 2047

37,772 45,340 54,111
37,772 45,340 54,111
942.7 1329.3 1976.4
1.5 1.5 1.5
1.05 1.05 1.05
1484.8 2093.7 3112.9
17.2 24.2 36.0

Planning Year
Assumptions
2037 2042 2047
ns as % of domestic water demand
 8.1% 8.3% 8.5% 0.5% increase/year
13.3% 13.6% 13.9% 0.5% increase/year
21.3% 21.9% 22.4%
6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 2% increase/year
16.9% 17.7% 18.6% 1% increase/year
ected water demand (m3/day
119.9 173.3 264.1
196.9 284.6 433.8
93.4 144.9 237.0
250.5 370.8 578.9
660.7 973.7 1513.8

Planning year
Assumptions
2037 2042 2047

12.6% 13.8% 15.2% 2% increase/year

9.4% 9.2% 8.9% Reduction by 0.5%/year

22.0% 23.0% 24.2%
471.9 706.1 1118.4
Table 4: Annex 2: Summary water demand

Planing year
Description Units
2022 2027 2032

Population No. 21258 25864 31346

A. Domestic Day Demand m3/day 736.2 857.2 1085.2

B. Public water demand (as % of A) m3/day 294.5 349.8 462.3

C. Loss = (A+B)*% for losses m3/day 206.1 245.0 326.4

m3/day 1236.8 1452.0 1873.9
D. Average day demand
l/sec 14.3 16.8 21.7
seasonal factor 1.1 1.1 1.1
Max day factor 1.2 1.2 1.2
m3/day 1632.5 1916.6 2473.6
Max day demand
l/sec 18.9 22.2 28.6
Peak Hour Factor 1.75 1.75 1.75
m3/day 2652.9 3111.6 4005.6
Peak Hour Demand
l/sec 30.7 36.0 46.4
Planing year

2037 2042 2047

37772 45340 54111

1484.8 2093.7 3112.9

660.7 973.7 1513.8

471.9 706.1 1118.4

2617.5 3773.4 5745.1
30.3 43.7 66.5
1.1 1.1 1.1
1.2 1.2 1.2
3455.0 4980.9 7583.6
40.0 57.6 87.8
1.75 1.75 1.75
5579.1 8017.6 12164.0
64.6 92.8 140.8
Table 5: Annex 2: Nr of service connections

Target Population 2017 25864

Nr of service connections
Population
Mode of service % coverage
targetted Existing Required
Domestic costumers
House connections 11.2% 2897 456 604
Private Yard Taps 6.1% 1572 285 314
Shared yard taps 70.3% 18186 2364 2273
Public stand pipes 8 -
8.3% 2139
Water Kioskis - -
24794
Institutional/commercial costumers
Schools (provisional) 6 6
Health centres & Hospital 3 3
Govn'tal Buildings (provisional) 8 8
r of service connections
New Total
Rehab. constructions

- - -
14 15 29
118 -1227 -1109
8 - 8
- 5 5

6 6
3 3
8 8