Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Was U: : Pert and Cpi/F
Was U: : Pert and Cpi/F
(iv) Non-dete}'ministic in . . . 10
. nature
(iv) determ1n1s tic
nat ure
3.34
. .' .
Ta il
ev en t
head
Pr ed ec ess or act1v1 • •• A ti . . e"ent
ties: c vities which
bef?r~ . a particuIar actiVI·cy sta rts are ~~t~
1'n
called eolllp\~
activities. . Pted~~
Successor activities: Activities which
par tic ula r ac tjy i~ are called successor "'
st
activi~~ foU0~
Concurrent·ac tiv iti es: Activities which 1
can :;
concurrently or tog eth er are called con
current .c. ~~
acti\1\tie
Rules for co ns tru cti ng th e network:
s.
1. Each activity is rep res en ted by one and onl
. the ne y
1n tw ork . Th . "1s me an s t h at no single acti one-~·~
a"'"'
be rep res en ted twice in the network.
(i.e) o:y ca.
activity can connect an y two nodes.
onj
No two activities can be . identified by
the same heal
an d tai l events.
·
To en sur e the co rre ct precedence rela
tionship in ~
lietwor.k, the following qu est ion s mu st
be answered 11
every · activity is ad de d to the network.
(i) Wh at activities mu st be completed
immediately
before thi s act ivi ty ca n sta rt?
(iU Wh at act ivi ty mu st follow thi s activit
y?
(iii) ·Wh at activities mu st occur concurren
tly w~th this
· activity?
Arrows should no t cross eac h other•
· ding~
1
• Every node mu st ha ve atl ea st one activi
•
tyrprecefor ~,
and atl eas t one act ivi ty fallowing
it, except dof ~1
nodes at the ve ry be gin nin g an d at the
very en
network.
oint ~
me 1~ollows from
Ti · rrow
lef t to rig ht. All the a . direeU·~ s P
one d"tree ti··Qn • Oppos1te ·
. Arrows po int ing m
mu st be avoided. 1
Ar r d or \,e~
ows sh ould be ke · pt
str aig ht an d no t curve ·
3.3 6
_,.dloallY ii ~ in preparing a budget.
1 / . ; ~ • are given below.
Ii
I ~
rl Job ~ .
yoreca,lml'alM
receded by
:;,,- (V ~ in advance)
. ft •cing~,al--;-es-:- ----r---:-A--_j
, preparing production A
j schedule .
costing in production C
~ pi:eparation of a budget B,D
p
~ ~ork, d' ......: .
/_' . ).r;tivitY A ha, no pl'eee mg 8\.wVlty.
//%'. A startt imJDtdiately
',9'1i1
0 A
3.37
2: D raw a n etw o rk for the sill! ~
.Examp le T he V ario Ple Pto·
fo r a sh ed .
Us actiJ~et ~
erection of steelwork s
s. ·
the project are as fol1ow . •pt1•on
e~ Of
Q
Jo b d es cr 1 Pteced ed h
activity
A Erect site workshop . )
-
Fence si te
B
Bend Reinforcement
-
C A
Dig foun d at io n I
D IJ II
Fabri ca te st ee lw o rk A I
E rs
F Install concrete pilla Bl I
P la ce Reinforcement C,D
G
C on cr ete (oundation G,F
H
I Erect steelwork E
H
•
3.39
p a th in N et w o rk .
' and cr it ic a l
tioJlS . .
. mpletion .
,,1119 m e ti m e fo r it s co
,, . takes so
ss ed in h o u rs , da ys , w ee k s o r an y
.{;is: tJvitY (joexb)pre · t·1mat e 1s · w ri·tt en
tin1e es
i~i~~1118y be it of time. T h e
;f 11c
t'
tw or k. A ft er th e n et w o rk h as be en
. 1i:it8 Jljent uil
.e . b
~ 1,1ve • the n
·m at es ar e w ri tt en a ove th e ar ro w ,
·., 1' ' ,,,.row in
ti
.• ~e tv • e es
ti m es an d la te st ti m es is
/ dand tun a. rliest
.:~cte of. the .e
.,.._:rifll8te h activity. h .
,. l r eac
an ev en t re p re se n ts _t e. t1 ~ e a t
.;;tJ 10 art time of
st ct ed to oc cu r a t th e ea rl ie st .
·s,tliest . expe
event is
r an ac ti v it y re p re se n ts th e .ti m e
) 8Il . tart time fo
st s~ vity can be gi n a t th e ea rl ie st. .
,: sarite . ·t · st
11e
.·ch an ac "' f · .
It y 1s i s e a r
.bl E rest finish ti m e o an act1V
th e ac ti v it y .
_! ~ e~ ~s the time re qu ir ed to p er fo rm
ac ti v it y re p re se n ts th e
an
,. ~ latest finish ti m e of p le te d w it h o u t .
:/~y which anetioacn tiofvithe project.
ty m u st be co m
lc ~ Pr m e is k n o w n
1l'd p ~ used for ca lc ul at in g th is ti
\ , 18 8
co m p le ti o n ti m e.
It is th e difference
a n d e a r\ y st a rt tin hetw
\es o f th e sa m e a c
ti v it :n th~ la~
Matheinatically, th e
bv to ta l fl o at of an &cti\r
~ it .
Yt - ·
, I T F (i - J) = (L.c;;'f - 1 ~~
EST) for activity
(i - j)
;f'ree Float: It is th e a
V m o u n t o f time an
delayed w it h o u t af a t' .
fecting the_ ~arl~ st
activity . Free float
it s e a rl y finish ti m
a rt
of a n a c ti v it y 1s th tim~
e differe any a~
~7ty
t¾ ~
1
e a
of a ll it s im m e d ia te n d th e e a rl ie st of th e earl;ce ~~~
successors. sta
(i .e ) F F [i - 11 = E rt till'itt
ST{j - k] - EFT{i - i1
ln d e p e n ~ ': n t float:
T h e amoun~ of tim
of a n a c ti v it y c a n e by which the S¼n
b e d e la y e d w it h o u
start time of ~ y im t affecting the earh,.
that the p re ce d in g m ~ ~ ia te ly foll~wing
a c ti v it y h a s finished ac~vities , assum:
ti m e . a t 1ts earliest fin~
Mathematically,
IC'n\:i -1·1 = EJ-- L -- t ·-
l V
Ei ➔ E a rl y s ta rt ti
me of a n event j
L , ➔ L a te fi n is h ti
me of a n event i
t iJ ➔ ti m e d u ra ti
o n o f a n ac ti v it y (i
~ j)
H th e result is n e
g a ti v e , it is ta k e n
N o ~ In d e p e n d e n t ~
float < F re e float <
C r it ic a l P a th Meth Total float. oi i:-
od:
~ ac ti v it ie s o f a p ro A ft e r drawing th e netwo:~ininl~
je ct , w e h a v e to .
ti m e re q u ir ed for
completion o f th e find ~ :/ for ~
we m u st fi n d th e en
lo n g e st p a th w it h ti re proJ 0 f conn~~
ac ti v it ie s th ro u g h sequence th is ~\~
th e n et w o rk . T h e
th e c ri ti c a l p a th . lo n g e st pa .
A p a th is defmed d bYbtr:
w h ic h b eg in a t th e a s a s e t of nodes ecte ~-
in it ia l node of a n et conn d end st
~ rn u.n a l _!19 d e. ~
w o rk an
1
• •
A c n ti c a l p a th d ef ti "1ue ~~ 1bj
~ l
connects th e st a rt in es a ch ai n of n ti· } 3C
• 11'- -11
a n ca e 11e rt #
A n ac -t iv ih r d e n d nodes (events O
1
]-,lotion dote of the entfro project.
. J1e t~()Jll . .
• 1,1 t . tJ uotwork , deter 1nu1,es the t1n1e for
f }fl •
•t The nun1nn1n1 tune to coinp1ete
l , ,~\
/ • J; t'tl o . ,
1
l 11,I J)t'<UO{, • n for th· e longes t pnt...1
:1..
.
. l.1 l t11tl • t.oka
1 i11 I) tJ,e t.10\e
/ ., 1~ ·ni·,,d' the critical path
,... . ., t~r~nu
1~uO u-
e
.,
. ' ' tl
, 111t"t
l . •i-ic~ [Jobs] and drnw a network
.~"' 1 II t11 0 :1ct1v1 , .•
' ·t :I
·w , tivity times to . be ldetern1inistic .
•;:1 t11e tJ,1c arrow repr esen ting t 1en1 .
· ·. ,iMr 8 . .
. ( 1'll- iib<>VC l
M 1ht'111 • rlies t star t time and earl iest finish
tl I
. ·te:t Similarly calc ulate 1e ates t star t
·~-·:.-1k,11~te t110
. •'•. :h !lCt.lVl ~I. ~ h t' 't
·. u t':tr ·t,est finish tin1e 1or eac ac 1v1 y.
~~J thB. 1s the 'Total sl(\l.k' for each activ ity.
1
,r,rune
· j\ltt he uctivities having no slack s, we get the
',·1ne<'t t
' l ,~
11th II d . . I . . ]
·'•·l .P·. ·h ving no slack is ca e crit1ca activ ity. \
~~ 8
,sh~ 2: If an a~~vity satis fies all the thre e cond ition s
:: ~!Jw. it is critical.
i &~T =LF1' for tail even t
: EST=LFI' for head even t
: F.:,"T of an event j - EST of an even t i = LFT of an
~ j-l.YI' of an event i = tiJ [tv ➔ dura tion of an activ ity
3.49
Solution:
The 1st nu1uber in the braces represents tl
thue of tl1e event, (node). While the 2nd ntnnl:r E~,rly ~t
Late fini~h tim.e of tJ1e event. . repr~/~
\~,q) (5,10) S \IO,IS) ~~
2. ' - ~
~{))('.(
'i:'
l ti.\ I
I t,
(o,o) l
I ::::i-
J (ls,,s)
3.50
~1 sta rt at t = 0 + 1 = 1
g.--4 C
~¢t1 _ o+ 1 = 1
. ~c S1+t1s -
··e. ${ arlY sta rt tim e of 3 - 5 is 1, sin · ce it is
J. the e
~it!lilB!lY1__. 3
08d bY t == o+ 1 = 1
l B3:::Et+ is
g) can sta rt if bot h the act ivit ies 2 - 4
and
·ti.eJ
. (4-
AebvitY finished.
time of
,4)b8"e t time of (4 - 9) = Early sta rt
~arlY ~ of (2 - 4) =4 + 1 =5
5
duration of
,4)+ · start time of (4 - 9) = Early sta rt time
1
;\]so ear ~on of (3 - 4) = 1 + 1 = 2
_4)+ dura
i.e. E4 == 5
E• == 2
:. E=Max [5, 2] = .5, sine at node 4 we
have two
4
:iming activities.
Similarly Es = Ea + tas = 1 + 6 = 7
E6 = E5 + t56 = 7 + 4 = 11
E7 = E5 + t57 = 7 + 8 = 15
E8 = Max [E6 + t68 , E 7 + t 18]
= Max [11 + 1, 15 + 2} = 17
E9 = E4 + t49 = 5 + 5 = 10
E10 = Max [E8 + t8 _ 10, E 9 + t 9 _ 10]
3.52
iSh tiJJle of (2 - 4) = 15 - 5 = 10
ta (itl
· tJ .. 10
: t_l L, --. of (1 - 3) = Min [lat e finish . time of
r111isb finish time of (3 - 4) - t 34l
);: . Jate
-1,t~ L t }
.: : : Min {L5 - t3s, 4 - :u
, l·i
:,c• w::: Min { 7- 6, 10 - 1} = 1
tim e of
. h tirne of (1 - 2) = lat e fin ish
!.JC~ fin:ce 1-2 precedes 2-4.
, f ~ t241 S
= Min { 1 - 1, 9 - 4 }= 0
. -L~'j
.-. C..,...._1< D
c~~
-.
= 1 - ,._, - ·'.> -
ri - -
J -
~
-::. - 10
n_
C _
;:-.:. __
~t-:: m ,:2z..--:i-,_._
--_. = e......., _....... -{' ........
~-.-:--
~-::-..... ,_.......~
~ r3J ..;i~
'l.L'l .U a~
- Jn
,....:
• .J,
E:,7" an d L FI
22-..22~
~ of. j - ES T of i : an«J LF T
r;i j - LF T r.;: !:
£,-;,7 -:: ~ - £5 7 of i = 1 - <J
=LF T <;f 8 - L? l :: : =-
LI T ~ - ES T ,;,-! 3 ='i - 1 =~
= LF T r:,: .5 - LY I :-: -: =:":
£ S7 :t. ; - £$ 7 ~ 5 = L5
- -; =,3 =LI T r,-: 7 - :_ y: 1: :
~~ ... :- 2 ~- -
,
~~~~X 2 ~
i -~
£,'')
~-" ~
'2 -5
'?
3 - -' 2 - S
?
:
"
- .J
•~ -;, ., 3 7
following
~-~!!l the network given ~bov~, we hav e the
. . .
·..-'r·;s.rt time and Late ~1 sh time. ivi
;... i ,== (i.e.) Early start time of
an act ty O- 1 1s 0.
0
=·=Eo+to1= 0 + 2 = 2
isr1y start time of 1- 2 and 1- 3 is 2J
::=E i+t12 = 2 + 8 = 10
:·. Early start time of 2 - 4 and 2 - 5 is
10, since both
(i.e.) beginning
:: activities have the .same ·he ad event.
E:=E1+t13 =2 + 10= 12
·-Early start time of 3 - 4 and 3 - 6 is
12].
+3 }= 16
1 21
=Max {E2+t24,Ea+t34 }=Max{ 10 +6 , 12
ivities.
7:~- · at the
node E4, we have two incoming act
·- ·J start time of 4 - 7 is 16]
.
E--E +t25 == 10 + 3 == 13
1- 2
:·. Early 8tart .
time of 5 - 7 is 13]
e·-E
(, - 3+t35 :: 12 + 7 == 19
,.-. Earl sta
n y rt time of 6 - 7 is 19]
~-- Max \
I~ E4 + t47, E5 + t57, E6 + t67}.
-~ I
'. ;~ at l 16 + 5, 13 + 2, 19 + 8 } = 27
we caicula
te LFT of eac h act ivit y.
3.55
L 7 = E 1 = 27 [:. LFT of 4- 7, 5 - 7, 6- 7 is
.]
LG =L7 - t 67 = 27 - 8 = 19 27
[:. LF T of a·- 6 is 19)
L5 = L1 - t 51 = 27 - 2 = 25
[:. LF T of 2 - 5 is 25)
L 4 = L 1 - t 47 = 27 - 5 = 22
[:. LF T of 2 - 4 and 3 - 4 is 22]
L 3 = Min {l~ - ta4, L6 - ta6 }
= Min { 22 - 3, 19 - 7 }= 12
[:. LF T of 1- 3 is 12]
L 2 = Min {L 4 - t24 , L 5 - t }
25
= Mi n { 22 - 6, 25 - 3 } = 16
[:. LF T of 1- 2 is 16]
L 1 = Min { L 2 - t 12 , L - t }
3 13
=Min { 16 - 8, 12 - 10 }=2
[:. LF T of 0- 1 is 2] ~
L 0 =L 1 - t 01 = 2 - 2 = 0
Thus we hav e the following Tab ula r fo~
c lL
Act ivit y EST
EFT
-
LST LFT Total Free Indep~
}'~· . i ;-.
0
~ - 2...(0 + 2)
._!9,, (2 + 8)
0 (!- 2) 2 ~o ·O ---
Flo at Float F101i
0
0
&.(16 - 8) 16 6 o_,
1-~ ~ ~
J .
;1: . 1(!
1d
1~ (10 +6) . 16 (22 - 6)
13 (10 + 3) 2_2 (25 - 3)
22
25
6 0
0.
.II-6
-6
(a ~ r
12 . 12
1
I . ' I \
imx 12+ 3) 19 (22 - 3) 22 7 1
3-6 ·-.
~
12 19 (12 + 7) , 0
.12 (19 - 7) 19 0 0
4:..
. 7,.
5.- 7
~ 2~ (16 + 5) 22 (27 - 5) 27
--
6 1.6
0
1,3 15 (13 + 2) 0
25 (27 - 2) 27 12 12
8-7 19 · 27 (19 + 8) 19 (27 8)
:.--,
27
'
/ :0/
' 0 L/
,..,f iJ ~ Kl - EFT II - .n
.· .,... .,o h4Vtl the followin g calculations
, ,,..,.~k-,r [l - 21 - EFT (0 - l] = 2 - 2 = o
• . lltf~ _ ll " EST 11
. - 31 - EFT 10 - 11 =2 - 2 = o
10
~• ,. • &.ef 12 - 4 or 2 - 51 - EFI' (1 - 2) = 10 - 10 = o
I
.,, • ~r 13 - 4 or 3 - 61 - EFI' I1 - 31 = 12 - 12 = o
1
, ',, ,, SSf (4 - 71 - EFT (2 - 41 = 16 - 16 = o
; Si ,, EST 15 - 7) - EFI' (2 - 5] =13 - 13 =0
. ; = EST 14 - 71 - EFI' [3 - 41 = 16 - 15 = 1
4
. tl = EST 16 - 71 - EFI' (3 - 6] = 19 - 19 = O -
·q _ 'iJ = 21 - EF1' (4 - 7J = 27 - 21 = 16
,., ; • 71 = 27 - EFT 15 - 71 =27 - 15 =12
-r 5- 71 == 27 - EFI' (6 - 71 = 27 - 27 = 0
~~ nt Float-= IF [i-J~ = E--L-
'l ' - t 'f,J--
; w - L0 - t01 = 2 - 0 - 2 = O
1] = E1 -
. : - 21= E2 - L~- t 12 = 10 - 2 - 8 =O
~ ~ - J] =Ea-Li - t13 = 12 - 2 - 10 = 0
; .1- ,1= B• - T - t 24= 16-16- 6=-6
-z-
7 :2 - 51=E - L,. - t25 = 13 - 16 - 3 = - 6
5
1+
( 0 ,o ) I
' \I \8
7
(1 1, fi)
36 days.
Expected project du ra tio n =
- 5 - 8 .
Cr iti ca l Path: 1 - 2 - 3
~•
Now we calculate the pr ob ab ili ty that the proJ
complet.ed in 40 days
Here T, = 36, T= 40
SD = ✓ + 16 + 4 + 16 = ✓40 = 6.3
4 -
3.72
t, ~::0.6
y == 6.3
:: ~ pt,:: 0.6] = 0 • 1.U 7
I~
1
'°
f 1 s: 1 . th
for comp etillg e project in 40 days is
. o• ''51
Data for a &1etwork is given below.
18
7 7 8 1 14 8 15
~:
1l l)rl1f
1
the project network (b) Find the probability
~ project will be completed
ul atieut , weeks earlier than expected time (ii) no
lhan , weeks later than expected time (c) H · t.he
· due date is 20 weeks, what is the probability of not
·.. the due date. (d) if the probability for the
of the project is 90%, find the scheduled
. time.