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TWSM Trading With Smart Money, by Ratnakar
TWSM Trading With Smart Money, by Ratnakar
Smart Money
By
R. Ratnakar
https://dotnettutorials.net/course/trading-with-smart-money/
Trading with Smart Money
All financial markets work on the universal law of Supply and Demand.
Law of Demand– The higher the price of an item, the fewer the demand (buyers don’t want to buy at
a higher price), and the lower the price, the higher the demand (buyers want to buy at a low price)
Law of Supply– The higher the price of an item, the higher the supply (sellers want to sell at a higher
price) and lower the price, lower the supply (sellers don’t want to supply at a lower price
Let’s think from the perspective of a big player/smart money(SM). Smart Money (SM), what they do is
remove the floating supply of stock by buying, this process is called accumulation. Now they have
the power to move the stock up or down.
When general market conditions appear favorable, the Smart Money can then mark up the price of the
stock At some time in the future, a point will be reached when the SM will take advantage of the
higher prices obtained in the rally to take profits by beginning to sell the stock back to the uninformed
traders/investors. This is now called the distribution phase.
What truly moves the price is AGGRESSION. If the price goes up, then the buyers are more aggressive. If it
goes down, then sellers are more aggressive.
If you are aggressive, you want to buy or sell NOW. If you want something NOW and you want to be 100 %
sure you will get it, you need to use MARKET ORDER. This type of order means that whatever the price is,
your order will get filled. In other words: you place a MARKET ORDER to buy or sell immediately at the best
available current price
It is the aggressive market participants, who drive the price aggressively up or down with their market orders.
This is the true reason why the price moves. After accumulation or distribution, the smart money
AGGRESSIVELY move price higher or lower
Who they are?
Through analyzing
So, TRADING WITH Smart Money IS ABOUT to GO WITH Smart Money IF THEY BUYING WE
WILL BUY. We will discuss all topics with greater details in a step by step process
About Me:
I am R. Ratnakar and working as a day trader. Trading since 2015 in stock and future. I am a learner of the
stock market and still, learning and updating my skills. I have decided to help aspiring traders by reducing
their learning curve by giving what I learned. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney
Disclaimer:
Trading involves the risk of financial loss. The information provided here is for education purposes only.
Note: If we missed any topics or if you want to learn any topics, then let us know by giving a comment in the
comment box and we will definitely make a video as well as publish an article on the same as soon as
possible.
Course Information
Course Instructor
Candlestick Analysis 2 of 14
FREE
PIN BAR Trading Strategy 4 of 7
FREE
Risk Management
VWAP Trading 3 of 5
FREE
Indicator
BTST
Technical Analysis 1 of 5
FREE
Market Structure 2 of 5
FREE
Understanding Market Structure through Swing 3 of 5
FREE
A. PRICE ACTION
C. RISK MANAGEMENT
H. INDICATOR
I. BTST
1. What is a candlestick?
2. How to Study Candlestick?
3. The 6 principles for analyzing candlestick
What is a candlestick?
The candlesticks are the reflections of what buyers and sellers are doing. What extent they move the
price and the strength behind the move. CANDLES TELL YOU who is in control but do not tell you
about the strength of buyer or sellers behind the move, candle with volume shows that
The Open:
Open price tells us where the balance between buyers and sellers at the opening of that period, the opening
value is the first trade of the day. After the traders have time to review the markets overnight, the open
represents the desired position of investors to begin the day. The change from the previous close to the open
is a reflection of new sentiments. Also, institutions looking to accumulate (or distribute) a position often place
orders at the open because the open trade is often the largest, most liquid trade of the day. In this way, the
open might be one of the best times to accumulate/ distribute a large volume of stock while minimizing the
impact on the stock’s price.
The High:
The high is the highest point the stock traded during the session. The high is the furthest point the bulls were
able to push the stock higher before sellers regained control to push the stock back down. The high
represents a stronghold for sellers and a resistance area to buyers. There is one exception when the stock
closes on the high, it did not encounter any real resistance from the sellers. The buyers just ran out of time.
The Low:
The low is the lowest point the stock traded during the session. The low is the furthest point the bears were
able to force down the stock before buyers regained control to push the stock up. The low represents an
area where enough demand existed to prevent the price from moving lower. The exception is when the
security closes on the low. When the stock closes on the low, it did not encounter buying support. Rather, the
bulls were saved by the closing bell of the session.
The Close:
Close price tells us where the balance point was at the end of the period. The close is the last price agreed
between buyers and sellers ending the trading session. The close is the market’s final evaluation. A lot can
happen between one close to the next close. The close represents investors’ sentiments and convictions of
investors at the end of the day. It is the position investors desire to hold after-hours when investors are
unable to trade with liquidity until the next session opens. The closing price is the first (and oftentimes, the
only) price the majority of investors desire to know.
The Change:
The change is the difference between close to close. The difference in the closing value one day versus the
closing value the next day. When this difference is positive, it tells us that demand is outweighing supply.
When this difference is negative, it tells us that supply is increasing beyond demand. The change is perhaps
the most sought after piece of financial data on the planet.
The Range:
The range is the spread of values within which the stock traded throughout the day. The range spans
between the bar’s highest point and the same bar’s lowest point. It is measured from the top of the bar,
where resistance set into low, where support came in. The size of the range gives us important information
about how easily demand can move the s took up or supply force the price down. The wider the range,
typically, the easier it is for the forces of supply and demand to move the stock price.
Bullish CANDLESTICK
This is nothing but when CURRENT CANDLE close is ABOVE the previous candle close.
Bearish CANDLESTICK
With the proper understanding of CANDLESTICK, you can predict what about to happen in the near future
#Pro tips, we (retailers) can’t move the market so every candle shows what smart money trying to shows.
So their move trap or genuine is only validated by volume
#Pro tips, CANDLESTICK shows half information, another half information shows by volume
Example
WHAT IS TELLING US?
SENIMATE= BULLISH, 2 consecutive higher close candle. Let’s add volume to this candle
If the volume had represented buying, how can the spread be narrow?
Either the professional money is selling into the buying, possible reversal on near future
There is a trading range to the left and the professional money is prepared to absorb the selling
from traders locked into this old trading range. I mean break out may happen
If the next bar is down closing near its lows this confirms the professional selling
Low volume down candle close middle or top, it shows that smart money testing supply and no more
supply available 2nd candle was buyer’s volume if the next candle closes above the current candle
Principle Number One: The length of any wick, either to the top or bottom of the candle is ALWAYS
the first point of focus because it instantly shows, strength, weakness, and indecision, and most
important where SMART-MONEY enter
Principle Number Two: If no wick is created, then this signals strong market sentiment in the
direction of the closing price. SMART-MONEY active there
Principle Number Three: A wide-body represents strong market sentiment and a narrow body
present week market sentiment Narrow body with the heavy volume either Smart Money observing for
continuous of move or Smart Money enter on the opposite direction
Principle Number Four: A candle of the same type will have a completely different meaning
depending on where it appears in a price trend. Start of trend or middle of the trend or end of the trend
or at support or resistance or in the consolidation phase. Candlestick should analyze the context of
the move. You should never try and read the market looking at one day’s action in isolation. Always
read the market phase-by-phase and then read the latest day’s action into the phase
Principle Number Five: Volume validates price. First, see what CANDLESTICK is telling then
validated by volume, is It validating or not with the CANDLESTICK price action
Principle Number SIX: When a particular timeframe DON’T make sense then move to the next
higher time frame for the big picture or lower timeframe for the microstructure of move
What next?
In the next article, I am going to discuss the Price Action Analysis in detail. Here, in this article, I try
to give a brief introduction to candlestick and I hope you enjoy this article.
Here, in this article, I try to explain How to Study Candlestick in Trading. I hope you enjoy this How
to Study Candlestick in Trading article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear
your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
1. Understanding candlestick
2. How to read candlestick
3. How to read a chart using candlestick
4. How to find opportunity using candlestick
What is a candlestick?
Candlesticks are a reflection of what buyers and sellers are doing. CANDLES TELL YOU who is in
control in that specific time frame
Candlesticks tell us the immediate information about the supply-demand relationship
Multiple candles form patterns that tell us a story
Understanding candlesticks is paramount to successfully day trade
Elements of candlestick
The High
The Open
The Low
The Close
The Change(BODY)
The Range
Part2: How to read candlestick
Remember that in every bar, the same number of contracts/shares are sold and bought at that time frame
The only reason for a bar to end up with a higher price is that the buyers were committed to one
direction and more aggressive than the sellers. The reverse is true for a bear wide range bar
So candle body shows, What extent they move the price and the strength behind the move
BODY:
The length of any wick, either to the top or bottom of the candle is ALWAYS the first point of focus because it
instantly shows, strength, weakness, and indecision, and most important where SMART-MONEY enter
Larger wicks show that price has moved a lot during the duration of the candle but it got rejected,
shows the presence of supply or demand
Lower wick act as support and upper wick act as resistance
Let’s understand pin bar
Step 1 First read DIRECTION OF current CANDLE with respect to the previous candle
That means, the relationship of each bar high/low relative to the previous bar. What it telling us
Step 2 Context (read the current bar sentiment with respect to the previous bar)
Candlestick should analyze the context of the move. You should never try and read the market looking at one
day’s action in isolation. A candlestick always must be analyzed in the context of what has happened in the
past.
Context is what current candlestick shows with respect to the previous candlestick
The current candlestick larger or smaller than previous ones? Which shows momentum increases or
decreases
Is the size-changing meaningfully or not? Buying or selling pressure
Is volatility increases or decreases
Is the change happening during an active trading period or not? For example, candlesticks on mid-
period generally dead or inactive.
Step 3 Testing (Read what it showing when testing key level (support or resistance))
The concept of testing refers to the market moving towards a price level to “test” if the price level will accept
reject the market’s advances. Key levels are
The high and low of each price bar are natural support and resistance levels and the wick generally acts as a
supply and demand zone. The test of these levels or zones shows the undercurrents of the market and is
critical for reading price action.
Step 4 Expectation
With a clear read of DIRECTION, CONTEXT, TESTING. we are able to form expectations of the market in
the third candle. We would expect the market to move in a certain way in the third bar with our read of
DIRECTION, CONTEXT, TESTING. The confirmation or failure of our expectations of the third bar reveals
more about the market, and add to our candlestick analysis
To form expectations, we need to make a very simple assumption about how the market should behave and
should not behave.
Essentially, the market has momentum and inertia. bearishness should follow bearishness and bullishness
should follow bullishness. When it does not obey this assumption, we have to cautious, Maybe a possible
change in market direction.
Part4: Finding Trading opportunity
A candlestick pattern is useless if its location is not correct, where it happens is the most important variable.
So we should analysis candlestick at support and resistance for opportunity either reversal or continuation of
the trend
AT resistance we expect the price to reverse or supply exceed demand confirms the supply or resistance
level. Like at the support we expect the price to reverse for confirming demand overcome supply
There are some key pointer should consider when trading reversal Means what candlestick action validates
our support and resistance level
Explained below
Point2: Clear Rejection from resistance in the form of the pin bar multiple rejections
In an established uptrend any Clear Rejection from resistance in the form of the pin bar confirm the
resistance level, it indicates buyers tried had but failed to close above the resistance
MULTIPLE REJECTION SHOWS THAT BUYERS TRIED OVER AND OVER AGAIN TO PUSH THROUGH
THE LEVEL BUT FAILED
Point3: Price Unable to close above the resistance level or below the support level
When Buyers trying hard each time to close above the resistance level, each time they failed shows supply
coming and trying to dominate demand
For bearish reversal. The price should breaks the previous candle low and close below the low at resistance.
It shows bullish strength completely lost
When a reversal momentum candle formed from the key level it confirms the strength of the level of the
opposite party. When bullish strength candle formed from support it confirms the support level as strong
What candlestick action disconfirms the resistance? Opposite for support
There is a certain point also consider when price approaching support or resistance. That validated or
invalidated our support or resistance level
With a widespread up, while the price is getting close to the resistance, we would expect to see the
resistance broken due to the extra effort by buyers
If price hug the support and hold it disconfirm the demand and shows the presence
of supply
If there is strong support or resistance level, price should immediately react within a few candles
Price hold (unable to react) after a move down to support. Sellers overcoming buyers is the repeated
inability of prices to REACT away from the danger point(support). Such hugging of the support usually
leads to a breakout
What we learned
First, read the current candle direction with respect to the previous candle
Second, read the current candle sentiment with respect to the previous candle
Third, read the testing key level
Expect what you fill
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand this concept in a better way.
In this article, I try to explain Candlestick Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy this article and understand
the Candlestick Analysis in the Trading concept. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear
your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Price Action Analysis
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
The ultimate guide you will ever need to understand CANDLESTICK and its characteristics. Once you
complete this article, then you will no need to recognize any CANDLESTICK patterns.
The Price Action Analysis is the movement of price in the chart. Candlestick format shows clear price
action, I mean what buyers and sellers are doing in that period. Their activity clearly shows in
CANDLESTICK
So to learn price action we have to learn all the basic and advanced feature of candlestick
BODY:
1. Narrow
2. Average
3. Wide
Find the body of your timeframe. The candle body shows a lot of information such as
How to compare?
Larger wicks show that price has moved a lot during the duration of the candle but it got
rejected, shows the presence of supply or demand
At major support and resistance levels. Candlewick becomes larger it indicates volatility. This
generally happens after long trending phases before a reversal happen from support and
resistance level
One more thing: the longer the shadow, the more likely prices will move in the opposite
direction of the shadow
Long wick candles do not always signal a reversal if the wick of rejection candle engulf by
subsequent move it fails, it called reverse rejection
If it appears between the trend it shows trend cont. ( as a small pullback in smaller time frame)
While a single long long wick indicates possible of prices moving in the opposite direction of the
wick, a cluster of multiple wicks indicate that prices are likely to move in the same direction of
the wick created and if the body closing the direction of the trend
Step3: The ratio between wicks and bodies
Understanding the relationship between the open and close when compared to the high and the low of
the present bar
Open price tells us where the balance between buyers and sellers at the opening of that period
Close price tells us where the balance point was at the end of the period
Etep4: Volume contains
1. THE LAW OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND: When demand is greater than supply then the price will
rise to meet this demand and conversely when supply is greater than demand then the price will
fall
2. THE LAW OF CAUSE AND EFFECT: The effect will be indirectly proportional to the cause other
words a small amount of volume action will only result in a small amount of price action. If the
cause is large then the effect will be large vice a Versa
3. THE LAW OF EFFORT VS RESULT: Similar to newton’s third law. Every action must have an
equal and opposite reaction, in other words, the price action on the chart must reflect the
volume action below. Effort (volume) seen as the result (price), where validated and anomaly
comes to consider
Price action –
Strong BULLISH market sentiment. The price action has risen sharply higher and closed at or near
the high of an up candle.
Volume Action–
The associated volume should, therefore, reflect this strong sentiment with a ‘strong’ volume.
As we can see in the above example is, if the volume is above average(effort vs result), then
this is what we should expect to see as it validates the price. The smart money is joining the
move higher and everything is as it should be.
If the volume is below average or low, this is a warning signal. The price is being marked higher,
but with little effort. The move is not genuine. If we are in a position, we look to exit. If we are
not in a position we stay out and wait for the next signal to see when and where the smart
money is now taking this market.
Volume Action–
A narrow spread candle should have low volume – again effort vs result.
NARROW SPREAD CANDLE WITH HIGH VOLUME. If the volume had represented buying,
how can the spread be narrow? There are only two possible explanations for a narrow spread
up candle on a very high volume.
1. Either the professional money is selling into the buying [see the end of a rising market]
2. There is a trading range to the left and the professional money is prepared to absorb the selling
from traders locked into this old trading range
DIRECTION OF CANDLE
CANDLESTICk should not be analyzed in a vacuum. A candlestick always must be analyzed in the
context of what has happened in the past.
Context is what current candlestick shows with respect to the previous candlestick
The current candlestick larger or smaller than previous ones? Which shows momentum
increases or decreases
Is the size-changing meaningfully or not? Buying or selling pressure
Is volatility increases or decreases
Is the change happening during an active trading period or not? For example, candlesticks in
mid-period generally dead or inactive.
TESTING PRICE LEVELS
The concept of testing refers to the market moving towards a price level to “test” if the price level will
accept reject the market’s advances.
The high and low of each price bar are natural support and resistance levels and the wick generally
acts as a supply and demand zone. The test of these levels or zones show the undercurrents of the
market and is critical for reading price action.
THREE PRICE BARS/expectation
With a clear read of 2 BAR PRICE ACTION (DIRECTION, CONTEXT, TESTING), we are able to form
an expectation of the market in the third candle. We would expect the market to move in a certain way
in the third bar with our read of 2 bar price action. The confirmation or failure of our expectations of the
third bar reveals more about the market and adds to our price action analysis.
To form expectations, we need to make a very simple assumption about how the market should
behave and should not behave. Essentially, the market has momentum and inertia. bearishness
should follow bearishness and bullishness should follow bullishness. When it does not obey this
assumption, we have to cautious, Maybe a possible change in market direction.
Before going forward let me know you that, This is the extension part of price action analysis. so I would
suggest going through the previous article
Let’s begin
It is similar to learning to read a new alphabet-once you understand the characters, you can read the words,
and once you know the words you can read the story. The first letter to master tells you what market activity
causes the formation of a short-term high or low. If you learn this basic point, the meaning of all market
structures will begin to fall into place.
The market moves in the up-down wave, what we call a market swing. In a healthy bull trend, the upswing
generally exceeds the downswing in length, the reverse is true for the bear market. Hence by observing
market swing, we are able to glimpse into the structure of the market and get clues on whether the market
will move up or down
SWING HIGH Or SWING LOW CONSIST OF MINIMUM 5 BAR. The middle bar must be higher high and
higher low then the two proceeding bar and the two following bar
Restriction for drawing swing high and swing low
1. If bars high is parallel to the middle or high(LOW) bar, it does not count as one of the five bars in the
swing HIGH (LOW) because it does not have a lower high(HIGHER LOW) than the middle bar
2. TWO ADJACENT swings high or swing low may share bars
1. A swing high
2. B both swing high and swing low, this happens because two proceeding bar and two following bar are
inside bars, that fulfills the requirement of the middle bar must be the highest or lowest point of five
bar sequence
3. C both up and downswing by sharing bar
4. D requires six-bar to form swing high as the fifth bar is equal high to the middle bar
Why important?
These points not random, they created by the market. they represent momentary changes and demand and
supply forces. The bulls could not move the market above the swing high. This means that at that point in
time, no one was willing to offer a price higher than the swing high. Traders saw no value above the swing
high
Swing types
Swing low(SL)
The market tried to move down. Then, it stopped and the bullish trend resumed. The market broke all
resistance(swing high) and made a new trend high. In other words, the market failed terribly in its attempt to
move down. The lowest point it pushed to is called swing low
Tip: valid pivot makes sense only within the trending price action. To find a valid low, you need to know the
start point of the trend and the last extreme trend high. Then what about point B. Point B called a LOW not
swing low
Swing low
Every major market has some pullback that is shallow and some last for one swing. The point where pullback
goes deeper and lasts for more than one swing, forming a LOW. Eventually, this deeper pullback terminated
and the trend resumed. A low becomes a swing low once price breaks out above the last extreme price high
for the resumption of the bullish trend. Let me explain to you
All the concept are discussed above are applicable for a swing high and high
When the price cleared the above swing high level. To clear a price level, the market must form a price bar
that is completely above the price level. This means if a bar low is higher than a price level, the market has
cleared above the price level.
We have understood how to find out swing high and swing low
Momentum
Thrust and pullback
Volume
What is Momentum?
We are simply observing price action in order to compare the current speed and acceleration of price
movement with historical speed and acceleration. Momentum is visible on a chart through observing the
slope (angle) of price movement
The same concept applies to price action on charts. Changes in momentum are observed through changes
in the slope (angle) of the price action
Analysis of momentum is not about measuring any absolute value of momentum, but in making a
comparison of current price action momentum with prior price action momentum.
1. Candle
2. Swing
Compare the momentum of the current candle with the momentum of the previous candle
BAR COUNTING
1. Counting number of bars in a half cycle and comparing one-half cycle to another (previous half cycle)
2. Comparing each swing(relative strength of move)
3. How much time to get up or how much time to get down
Momentum through swing
1. Compare the momentum of the current price swing with the momentum of the previous price swing in
the same direction?
2. Compare the momentum of the current price swing with the momentum of the previous price swing in
the opposite direction?
3. Is the current price accelerating or decelerating? What does that mean?
1) Compare the momentum of the current price swing with the momentum of the previous price swing in the
same direction?
Now let’s remove the downswing and study what it is showing Is price faster or slower than before?
Compare the slope of UP-swings (a), (c) (e) and (g). Note the decreased speed on each of these legs,
indicating a reduction in bullish momentum. Weakness is appearing on the bullish side.
Compare the slope of upswings (B) (D)(F) and (H). Note the increasing speed on each of these legs,
indicating an increase in bearish momentum. bearish price swings are showing signs of strength.
BY COMPARING THE SWING IT indicating an increase in bearish momentum. bearish price swings are
showing signs of strength. The price movement is more likely to continue in the direction of strength and
against the direction of weakness.
2) Compare the momentum of the current price swing with the momentum of the previous price swing in the
opposite direction?
That is, comparing the current bullish swing with the previous bearish swing; or comparing the current
bearish swing with the previous bullish swing. Note the slope of (a) is quite steep compared with the slope of
(b). The latest upswing (b) has shown weakness compared with the previous downswing (a). Strength is still
in the bearish direction.
Bullish upswing (d) shows an increase in speed compared with the last downswing (c). While the strength is
now to the bullish side. The shallow angle of downward momentum compared with the steep rise of upward
momentum indicate Strength is now clearly on the bullish side.
The price movement is expected in the direction of strength and against the direction of weakness.
In the next article, I am going to discuss Thrust Pullback and Measuring Move Analysis in Trading. Here,
in this article, I try to explain the Advanced Price Action Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy this article and
understand the Advanced Price Action Analysis concept. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more
and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Strengthening or weakening of a trend may also be observed through the analysis of thrust and pullback and
measured move.
THRUST Analysis
Thrust Refers to the distance between the current swing high to a previous swing high (in an uptrend) or
swings low (in a downtrend). Increased thrust is a sign of potential trend strength. Shortening of Thrust
is a sign of potential trend weakness.
The increased thrust of T2 when compared with T1 indicating greater strength within the trend. Also
compared with T3 to T2 indicating strength on the upside.
Shortening of thrust, T2 when compared with T1 indicating weakness with the trend. T3 is then much shorter
than T2, indicating weakness developing with the trend. T2 is unable to project to the same distance as T1
did. Something has shifted in the balance of supply and demand. The fact that the market was unable to do
so indicates either a decrease in bullish pressure and/or an increase in bearish pressure.
DEPTH OF Pullback
DEPTH Pullback refers to the distance with which a price retraces the previous up move or impulse move
Increased depth is a sign of potential weakness of a trend. Decreased depth is a sign of potential strength of
a trend.
PULLBACK DP1 is the distance with which the pullback retraces IMPULSEMOVE IM1. DP2 is the depth with
which the pullback retraces IM2. And DP3 is the depth with which the pullback retraces IME3
Note that
DP2 is a much smaller percentage of its IMPULSE MOVE IM2 when compared to DP1. D2 has a smaller
depth than D1, indicating a potential weakening of the bears, and therefore strength within the price trend.
Note that DP4 is significantly larger than DP3, indicating potential strength within the bears, and therefore
potential weakness within the price trend. The increased depth of pullback DP3 indicates increasing bearish
pressure and a potential weakening of the trend.
Comparing impulse swing with the previous impulse swing in the same direction to find whether strength
increasing or decreasing or equal
Volume and Price Analysis
1.) If the PRICE is rising and VOLUME is rising, it means the market is STRONGLY BULLISH.
Volume helps us to determine the health of a trend. An uptrend is strong and healthy if volume increases as
price moves with the trend and decreases when the price goes counter-trend (correction periods or
‘pullbacks’).
2.) If the PRICE is rising but VOLUME is falling, it means the market is WEAKLY BULLISH.
When prices are rising and volume is decreasing, it tells that a trend is unlikely to continue. Price may still
attempt to rise at a lesser pace, and once sellers take control (which is usually signified by an increase in
volume on a down bar or candle), prices will fall
3.) If the PRICE is falling, VOLUME is rising, the market is STRONGLY BEARISH.
4.) If the PRICE is falling and VOLUME is falling, the market is WEAKLY BEARISH.
Volume is always analyzed by comparing; it can be to previous legs or swings. The reason for volume
analysis is to look for increases or decreases compared to previous swings or legs to identify whether there
is an increase or decrease in strength.
1) Compare the volume of the current price swing with the volume of the previous price swing in the same
direction?
2) Compare the volume of the current price swing with the volume of the previous price swing in the opposite
direction?
Compare the volume of the current price swing with the volume of the previous price swing in the
same direction?
Means compare the current impulse swing vs previous impulse swing. What it is telling? Volume increasing
or decreasing or same volume
LEFT SIDE image 1
Compare the volume of UP-swings (A) and (B). Note the decreased VOLUME of the leg (B), indicating a
reduction in bullish VOLUME. Weakness is appearing on the bullish side.
When comparing the current up leg B volume with the previous up leg A volume. It shows volume
decreasing. When prices are rising and volume is decreasing, it tells that the trend is unlikely to continue.
Price may still attempt to rise at a slower pace, and once sellers take control (which is usually signified by an
increase in volume on a down bar or candle), prices will fall
When comparing the current up B leg volume with the previous up leg A volume. Note the increasing
VOLUME on A legs, indicating an increase in BULLISH STRENGTH. BULLISH price swings are showing
signs of strength
Compare the volume of the current price swing with the volume of the previous price swing in the
opposite direction?
Means compare impulse volume vs retrace volume. In general, a healthy trend has increasing volume on
impulse move and decreasing volume on retrace volume
LEFT SIDE IMAGE 1
When comparing the current up leg B volume with the previous up leg A volume. It shows volume
decreasing. Strength is now clearly on the BEARISH side.
The price movement is expected in the direction of strength. When prices are rising and volume is
decreasing, it tells traders that the trend is unlikely to continue. Price may still attempt to rise at a slower
pace, and once sellers take control (which is usually signified by an increase in volume on a down bar or
candle), prices will fall
When comparing the current up B leg volume with previous up leg A volume IT SHOWS PRICE is rising and
VOLUME is rising, it means BULLISH PRESSURE OVERCOME BEARISH PRESSURE. TREND
CONTINUE IN UP DIRECTION
In the next article, I am going to discuss How to Trade with Smart Money. Here, in this article, I try to
explain the Thrust Pullback and Measuring Move Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy this Thrust Pullback
and Measuring Move Analysis article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
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Advanced Price Action Analysis How to Trade with Smart Money
How to Trade with Smart Money
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
Before going forward let me remind you that, this is the 2nd part of how to trade with smart money. So
please read the first part of how to trade with smart money article before proceeding to this article.
There are three main signs of Smart Money activity which we can spot with Price Action and volume and can
trade with them
Look for sideways price action areas. Those are very significant places because Smart Money are
accumulating their positions there. Always watch for such areas, no matter which timeframe you use. FOR
continuation of an existing trend these sideways price action areas should be low volume
Aggressive activity is basically a significant price movement. It is caused by aggressive buyers(SM) pushing
the price higher or by aggressive sellers(SM) who are pushing the price lower. This sort of aggressive buying
or selling often takes place after sideways price action activity. What happens is that Smart Money is building
up their positions (in sideways areas), and when they are done with that, they start aggressive buying or
selling to manipulate and to move the price in any direction they want. This is how they make money. They
build up their positions slowly and unnoticed, and then they start a trend to make those positions profitable.
When the price is moving in a fast trend, there isn’t much time to place any more big positions. For this
reason, the Smart Money needs to accumulate their positions before the move. Below is an example of
sideways price action areas followed by aggressive initiation activity:
Strong Rejection (of higher or lower prices)
Strong rejection means sudden price reversal from either higher or lower price levels. This pattern is made
when the price goes one way aggressively and then turns quickly and with the same aggression and speed
goes the other way. An example would be a type of candle called the pin bar. But pin bar isn’t the only visual
form of strong rejection. There are many ways a strong rejection can look like. A common sign for all
strong rejections is aggression and sudden reversal (2 bar reversal)
What happens is that one side of the market (for example buyers) is aggressive and moves the price in one
way. Then it clashes with the other side (for example strong sellers) which suddenly becomes even stronger
and even more aggressive. So the price turns quickly, and the stronger side takes over. The area where the
other side took over is very significant because it marks a place where strong market participants rejected
aggressively the current course of action and started a strong countermove. This place is significant for us
because it will most likely be defended again if the price gets near again. It becomes a new
support/resistance zone.
Remember, places where price suddenly turned and changed direction are very significant. We should
always watch out for them in our price action analysis
TASK
Open the chart finds these three Smart Money activities and analyzes the behavior. These strategy works on
all time frames i.e. from day trader to swing trader
In the next article, I am going to discuss How to Trade with Supply and Demand Zone in detail. Here, In
this article, I try to explain How to Trade with Smart Money with some examples, I hope you enjoy this How
to Trade with Smart Money article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
STRUCTURE OF MARKET
1. ACCUMULATION
2. REACCUMULATION
3. UPTREND
4. DISTRIBUTION
5. REDISTRIBUTION
6. DOWNTREND
ACCUMULATION smart money is removed the floating supply of stock by buying, this process is called
accumulation
DISTRIBUTION SM will take advantage of the higher prices obtained in the rally to take profits by beginning
to sell the stock back to the uninformed traders/investors
All financial markets work on the universal law of Supply and Demand.
Law of Demand– The higher the price of an item, the fewer the demand (buyers don’t want to buy at a
higher price) and lower the price, higher the demand (buyers want to buy at a low price)
Law of Supply-the higher the price, the higher the supply (sellers want to sell at a higher price) and lower
the price, lower the supply(sellers don’t want to supply at a lower price
In the chart above you can see a demand zone (broad support level) and a supply zone (broad area of
resistance).
What we want to find at the price zones where supply overwhelms demand and where demand overwhelms
supply.
The former is known as SUPPLY ZONES. When the market bumps into SUPPLY ZONES, the price
will drop. Then, you can make money by shorting the market.
The latter is market DEMAND ZONE. With the support of demand, the price will rise. Then, you can
profit in a long position.
IF the supply zone is broken it becomes a demand zone, pullback test from demand zone you can go
long
1. Look at the chart and try to spot successive large successive candles. It is important that price moves
a lot
2. Establish the base (usually sideways price action area) from which price started the quick move
There are different supply and demand zone patterns. Some of the more popular ones are shown below:
And
FLIP ZONE
NOW PUTTING ALL THIS TO NIFTY 50CHART
STRENGTH OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONE
The Logic: The stronger the price moves away from a zone, the more out-of-balance supply and demand are
at that zone. A heavy order is placed by smart money
How much time did the price spend at the zone? TIME AT LEVEL
The Logic: The less time price spends at a zone, the more out-of-balance supply and demand are at the
price level. Smart money aggressively entering
At price levels with supply and demand zone more out of balance, the price will spend the least amount of
time at the level
How far did the price move away from the zone before returning back to the zone?
The Logic: The farther price moves away from a zone before returning to that zone, the greater the
reward to risk and probability.
When price comes back to that supply level for our short entry, we have a good idea of where the buyers are
(the demand) and just as importantly, where they are not.
How many times is the price approaching the zone? FRESHNESS OF BASE
After a zone is tested many times or during a strong move, Supply and Demand levels eventually break. Due
to the remaining orders being triggered and gradually removed, or an overwhelming amount of orders in the
opposite direction breaking the level.
Price action
If the price stays near or at these zones & doesn’t fall much then there is a high probability that they
will break the zone
A strong move to the zone may break the zone
low volume test confirm the zone
1. Find SD zone on HTF(HIGHER TIME FRAME) then wait for the price to come to this level
2. See any acceptance or rejection from this zone on trading time frame(TTF)
3. Any reversal price action signal on TTF
4. Entry in the direction of the dominant trend
Suppose context downtrend, price rally to the supply zone on TTF, then any bearish reversal PA signal
for an entry short
Also, notice the volume on these reversals. A low volume test is a good sign & they are highly
probable trades.
TIPS for day trading previous day high and previous day low is the supply and demand zone. look price
action around there for acceptance or rejection of these zones
Let’s do an example
1. PIN BAR
2. ENGULFING
3. OUTSIDE CANDLE
In the next article, I am going to discuss How to Day Trade with the Trend in detail. Here, in this article, I try
to explain How to Trade with the Supply and Demand Trading in detail. I hope you enjoy this Supply and
Demand Trading article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
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How to Trade with Smart Money How to Day Trade with Trend
How to Day Trade with Trend
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
I WOULD SUGGEST GO THROUGH THE Price Action Analysis article BEFORE GOING FORWARD.
Trading against the trend, without a trend, or poor quality trends are one of the most common reasons for
trade fail. The quality or strong trends have more predictable success (edge).
The controlled arrangement of price bars and pullbacks provide greater certainty that reverses at supply and
demand happen. Poor or weak trends have lower predictability. Uncontrolled arrangement of price bars and
pullbacks into supply and demand lessens chances of a reversal
Smart money is removed from the floating supply of stock by buying, this process is called accumulation.
The accumulation phase looks like a range market after an extended downtrend.
A market is in a range when trading between Support and Resistance. Price Stuck between Resistance and
Support. Not move any direction. Generally in the accumulation stage, we will see
As time goes by, stops will gradually build up beyond the range as traders long near the lows and short near
the highs of the range.
No guarantee that the market will reverse from here. But it should alert you to the possibility that the bears
are getting weak and the bulls could take control and push the price higher above the highs of the range
1. Spring entry
2. Break out entry
3. Break out pullback(flat or test ) entry
If the lows of the range coincide with Support on the higher timeframe, it greatly increases the odds of the
market breaking out higher. Let me explain to you, the big picture is bullish but the lower time frame has a
down trend .lower time frame trend stop at higher timeframe resistance. Let me explain to you
UPTREND
Smart money aggressively moving price up. The advancing phase is essentially an uptrend with price
making higher highs and lows. Market move in up and downswing
In a healthy bull trend, the upswing generally exceed the downswing in length and making a higher high and
higher low, the reverse is true for the bear market
They are:
1. Strong trend
2. Healthy trend
3. Weak trend
Strong uptrend
In a strong uptrend, the buyers are in control with little selling pressure.
You can expect this trend to have shallow pullbacks (flat sideways)with low volume
Barely retracing beyond the 20 EMA.
Bullish wide range bar is more than bearish
This makes it difficult to enter on a pullback because the market hardly retraces and then continues trading
higher. The best way to trade this trend is on a breakout
ANALYZE YOURSELF:
Healthy uptrend
In a healthy uptrend, the buyers are still in control with the presence of selling pressure (possibly due to
traders taking profits, or traders looking to take counter-trend setups).
You can expect this trend to have a decent retracement usually towards the 20EMA, which provides an
opportunity entry with the trend. Low volume pullback with narrow range or lower wick candle
Weak uptrend/choppy trend
In a weak uptrend, both buyers and sellers are almost equal control, with the buyers having a slight
advantage.
You can expect the market to have steep pullbacks and trades beyond the 20EMA.
Generally choppy price action
The market breaks out of the highs only to retrace back much lower (which makes it prone to false
breakout). Pullbacks often breakthrough areas of minor demand (uptrend) or minor supply
(downtrend)
Majority of open prices will be into 50% or more of the prior bar range
Close may not move in direction of the previous bar
New bar open and close not near extremes, meaning tails
Display uncertainty
Analyze yourself
DISTRIBUTION
SM will take advantage of the higher prices obtained in the rally to take profits by beginning to sell the stock
back to the uninformed traders/investors
ALL THE INFORMATION PROVIDED ABOVE ARE REVERSE FOR DISTRIBUTION AND DECLINE
PHASE
DOWNTREND
An uptrend is officially over when the stock has put in two lower highs and two lower lows in a particular time
frame. A downtrend is officially over when the stock has put in two higher lows and two higher highs in a
particular time frame.
In the next article, I am going to discuss Multiple Time Frame Analysis in detail. Here, in this article, I try to
explain How to Day Trade with Trend in detail. I hope you enjoy this How to Day Trade with Trend article.
Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Trend Analysis
Once we identify the current trend we need to anticipate what would have to occur to make the price fall into
a sideways trend, or reverse. Some common reversal patterns are
1. 123 REVERSAL
2. Double Top/bottom
3. RANGE
4. Up THRUST/SPRING
5. Head and shoulder
WHAT IS FRACTAL?
Fractals are just smaller things that combine to create bigger things. Each of the smaller things is identical in
shape to the larger thing.
Markets do the same thing as what we see in nature, creating “patterns within patterns” from smaller
timeframes to larger ones. Larger timeframe swings are comprised of several identical smaller-timeframe
swings.
The multi time frame analysis is nothing but analyzes multiple timeframe charts of a single instrument. Let’s
understand in a chart
Let’s see an example with three timeframes
Understanding Trends with Multiple Time Frame
This means when a larger timeframe trend is in play, you will see pullbacks on the smaller timeframes.
Reversals start from the smaller timeframes first and propagate upwards
This means that we’ll see this changing structure show up on the shorter timeframe charts first.
HOW TO USE MULTIPLE TIME FRAME?
Use 1:
We will be able to differentiate a “pullback” on the smaller time frame chart vs. the beginning of a correction
in the larger time frame. Let me explain to you
Use 2:
We will be able to read the “smaller” timeframes to see when that pullback is about to reverse.
Use 3:
We will also be able to spot potential reversals before the structure change
Allowing the trader to get a micro view of larger time frames, which can, in turn, confirm the trader’s
original analysis of trade. It is like using a backup pattern and fine-tuning an entry. An example would
be having a pattern on a 60-minute chart and using a 5-minute chart to confirm the entry. (See Figures
8.12 through 8.14 an example.)
Risk can be managed more effectively by combining time frames. A trader can learn to move stops on
smaller time frames for patterns that complete on larger time frames.
Using multiple time frames from larger to smaller can help the trader to be aware of contrary or
opposing patterns that form on smaller time frames that are against the longer-term time frame.
1. Define what your “signal” chart is. For swing traders, this will generally be a Daily chart. For Day
traders, this will be a smaller timeframe like 2/5/10/15 minutes chart
2. Add a higher time frame chart that is either 5x or 25x larger than your signal chart.
3. Trade your signal chart as before, but trade in the direction of the swings on that higher timeframe
chart!
While the bigger frame like daily is trending and in impulse, you would have CYCLES of impulses and
correction in the hourly frame. This is the most important phase. You have to find the conjunction when the
hourly comes in the impulse.
In the next article, I am going to discuss the Head and Shoulder Pattern in detail. Here, in this article, I try
to explain the Multiple Time Frame Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy this Multiple Time Frame Analysis in
the Trading article and understand multi time frame analysis in trading. Please join my Telegram Channel to
learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
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How to Day Trade with Trend Head and Shoulder Pattern
Head and Shoulder Pattern
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
The Head and Shoulders pattern signals a possible trend reversal from bullish to the bearish trend. And the
opposite of it is called the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern which signals a possible trend reversal from
bearish to the bullish trend. It consists of four parts:
Left Shoulder:
The market does a pullback. At this point, there’s no way to tell if the market will reverse because a pullback
occurs regularly in a trending market.
Head:
The market breaks and trades above the previous high. However, the sellers took control and drive the price
lower towards the previous swing low (forming the Neckline).
Higher high (head) on lower volume than left shoulder, then retrace that goes below the left shoulder.
Right Shoulder:
The buyers make a final attempt to push the price higher, but it failed to even break above the previous high
(the head). Then, the sellers take control and push the price towards the Neckline.
Then forms first lower high (right shoulder) on lower volume than the head. Sellers take control and drive the
price down on more volume than previous upswing volume not confirmed until breaks neckline.
Neckline:
This is the last line of defense for the buyers. If the price breaks below it with heavy volume, the market could
head lower and begin the start of a downtrend.
Once prices have moved through the neckline and completed a head and shoulders pattern.
Once the neckline has been broken on the downside, any close back above the neckline is a serious warning
that the initial breakdown was probably a bad signal, and creates what is often called, for obvious reasons, a
failed head and shoulders and prices resume their original trend
IF
The preceding trend before the head and shoulders pattern. If the market is in a strong uptrend, it’s unlikely
that a simple chart pattern can reverse the entire move.
If the pattern takes the small time it less likely to reverse a trend, its just a complex pullback
Here’s the thing: A Head and Shoulders that takes more to form are MORE significant than a Head and
Shoulders that takes less to form.
Why?
Because if the market breaks the more time pattern Neckline, more traders will get “trapped” and their rush
for exit will increase the selling pressure.
Entry method
PRICE drives down to the neckline and forming a tight range. enter when price breaks down from
NECKLINE and place stop loss above the tight range.
2. The breakout test of the neckline
Often, the Head and Shoulders pattern may break down without forming a TIGHT RANGE.U MISSED THE
OPPORTUNITY. If the market breaks down without forming a TIGHT RANGE, then wait for a pullback to
occur. Price breakdown from the neckline and low volume test (PULLBACK) of the neckline is high
probability short opportunity
What you want to pay attention to is to this previous support (neckline) that could act as resistance. If the
market comes into this area (neckline) and it gets rejected, this now is a favorable trade location to look for
short trading setups. And your stops can just go above the neckline. So, here’s an example:
1. If the market breaks down without forming a TIGHT RANGE, then wait for a pullback to occur
2. If the market does a pullback(flag or tight range )with low volume and narrow range candle with upper
wick, then go short on the break of the lows
3. Set your stop loss above the highs of the pullback
So, this is what I mean by the first pullback, and here’s an example:
4. PROFESSIONAL ENTRY
Here’s how…
1. Wait for the market to form the Left Shoulder and Head
2. After it’s formed, let the price rally higher back towards the Head with low volume and narrow candle
3. Go short when you get a price rejection (like Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing pattern, outside reversal
bar)
In the next article, I am going to discuss How to Trade with Support and Resistance in detail. Here, in this
article, I try to explain the Head and Shoulder Pattern in Trading. I hope you enjoy this article. Please join
my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
SUPPORT
Support, as the “buying, actual or potential, sufficient in DEMAND to halt a downtrend in prices for an
appreciable period.” and possibly reverse it, start prices moving up again. Fair price for buyers and risk to
reward is more
RESISTANCE
Resistance, as the selling, actual or potential, insufficient supply to keep prices from rising for a time, and
possibly turn back its uptrend. Fair price for sellers and risk to reward is more
FLIPPING
These price levels constantly switch their roles from support to resistance and from resistance to support. A
former resistance, once it has been surpassed, becomes a support zone in a subsequent downtrend; and old
support, once it has been penetrated, becomes are resistance zone in a later advancing phase.”
These points are not random, they created by the market. They represent momentary changed of demand
and supply forces
The bulls could not move the market above the swing high. This means that at that point in time, no one was
willing to offer a price higher than the swing high. Traders saw no value above the swing high
Hence, subsequently, when price moves close to or near or above a wing high, we must remember that
traders saw no value in buying above that point previously. Assuming that most traders have not changed
their opinions, prices are unlikely to move above the swing high. Effectively the swing high mark a price area
that resists the market from moving up this is what we call a resistance area. Reverse for support area
Once the structure of market know, then find which phase the market is currently (accumulation or
distribution or up or down)
To illustrate, let’s divide the market participants into three categories the longs, the shorts, and the
uncommitted. When price comes to the support level
1. The longs are those traders who have already purchased contracts;
2. The shorts are those who have already committed themselves to the sell-side;
3. The uncommitted are those who have out of the market or remain undecided as to which side to enter.
Traders with the fear of missing out would enter their trades the moment the price comes close to Support to
get at cheap price. And if there’s enough buying pressure; the market would reverse at that location.
Let’s assume that a market starts to move higher from a support area where prices have been fluctuating OR
accumulating for some time.
The longs are delighted but regret not having bought more. If the market would retrace back near that
support area again, they could add to their long positions.
The shorts now that they are on the wrong side of the market. The shorts are hoping (and praying) for a dip
back to that area where they went short so they can get out of the market where they got in (their break-even
point).
The final uncommitted group, now realize that prices are going higher and resolve to enter the market on the
long side on the next good buying opportunity.
All four groups are resolved to “buy the next dip.” They all have a “vested interest” in that support area under
the market. If prices decline near to support, renewed buying by all four groups will push the prices up
Now let’s turn the tables and imagine that, instead of moving higher, prices move lower. In the previous
situation, because prices advanced, the combined reaction of the market participants caused each downside
reaction to being met with additional buying (thereby creating new support). However, if prices start to drop
and move below the previous support zone, the reaction becomes just the opposite. All those who bought in
the support zone now realize that they made a mistake.
All of the factors that created support by the three categories of participants—the longs, the shorts, and the
uncommitted—will now function to put a ceiling over prices on subsequent rallies or bounces. As all of the
previous buy orders under the market have become sell orders over the market. Support zone has become a
resistance zone
Support and Resistance Level is more detailed and different levels with the zone. The level is one line and
Zone is Zone. In practice, support and resistance and supply and demand zones are formed from the same
origin
Why?
Let me explain…
Price “undershoot” and you missed the trade. This occurs when the market comes close to the support and
resistance line, but not closes enough.
Then, it reverses back in the opposite direction. And you miss the trade because you were waiting for the
market to test your exact SR level. This price reversal also called 123 reversals. Or holding a higher level of
support or lower level of resistance, THIS IS GENERALLY OCCURS DUE TO THE AGGRESSIVE BUYERS
AND SELLERS
This happens when the market breaks support and resistance level and you assume it’s broken. Thus, we
trade the breakout but only to realize it’s a false breakout. THIS TYPE OF PRICE ACTION CALLED
UPTHUST AND SPRING
Simple, Support, and Resistance are areas on the chart, not lines.
1. Step 1 switch to a line chart and mark the line with the rejections.
2. Step 2 again switch to the candlestick chart, mark the high or low of the candle near the marked line
and make the zone
LET’S FIND ALL THE ABOVE SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE IN A SINGLE CHART
The power of support and resistance depends on the time frame we are looking at, the higher the time
frame the higher the probability of it to work
Through all the timeframe support and resistance work but the rewards grow with the higher the
timeframe it is
The noise in lower time frame chart is more
Using the higher time frame and top-down analysis, put more weight on higher time frame SR level.
To focus on major support and resistance levels, first, find them on higher time-frames before applying them
to your trading time-frame for analysis.
For example, you can note down the support and resistance levels from the weekly chart. Then, plot them on
the daily chart to find trading opportunities. This method keeps you focused on important support and
resistance levels instead of flooding your chart with dozens of potential support and resistance levels.
The first point of support in any time frame is prior bar’s high
The first point of resistance in any time frame is prior bar’s low
Second points of support and resistance are pivot points(swing high and swing low)
Consolidation area
Rejection from an area
Previous has acted as both support and resistance
Gap(invisible tail), EMOTIONAL POINT
Fibo retracement
Trend line and MA
CONGESTION AREAS
The smart money has spent a prolonged time in the congestion area. They have established actual trading
interests within that price range. Hence, earlier market congestion areas are reliable support and resistance
zones
Fibonacci retracement is a popular method for projecting support and resistance. We can mark out
retracement levels easily. Hence Identify major market swings and focus on the retracement of the move by
a Fibonacci ratio. Generally Fibonacci ratios include 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%.
FLIPPING OF SUPPORT/RESISTANCE
Flipping act as both support and resistance. Support turned into resistance or resistance turned into support.
When price breaks through a resistance level, it shows a shift of power from sellers to buyers. The resistance
level then becomes support.
There are a number of factors that should be considered in determining how significant or strong the support
or resistance level will be. These factors are as follows:
And even when prices start to falter in the higher region of the chart, bulls are technically still in control as
long as they manage to keep the market up in levels higher than or equal to a former significant low. But the
stronger the earlier dominance, the less likely the market will turn on any first reversal attempt.
The more times Support or Resistance (SR) is tested, the weaker it becomes and breaks the level
Here’s why…
The market reverses at RESISTANCE because there is selling pressure to push the price lower. The selling
pressure could be from Institutions, banks, or smart money that trades in large orders.
Imagine this: If the market keeps re-testing resistance, these orders will eventually be filled. And when all the
orders are filled, who’s left to sell?
It shows that participants are more aggressive to push /pull the price to break the resistance/support. While
the higher low towards resistance indicate aggressive by the buyers
LET’S DO AN EXAMPLE
Higher lows into Resistance usually result in a breakout (formed ascending triangle). Lower highs into
Support usually results in a breakdown (formed descending triangle).
For an uptrend to continue, it has to consistently break new highs. So, shorting at resistance is a low
probability trade in an uptrend. Instead, going long at Support is a better trade or break out from last high
Support tends to break in a downtrend
For a downtrend to continue, it has to consistently break new lows. So, going long at support isn’t a good
idea in the downtrend. But, going short at Resistance is a great idea or breakout from last swing low
Resistance is an area with potential selling pressure. So, the price should move up quickly, right?
Now… what if price didn’t move down and instead, consolidates at resistance?
A sign of strength as the bears couldn’t push the price lower. Perhaps there’s no selling pressure or, there’s
strong buying pressure. Either way, it doesn’t look good for the bears and resistances likely to break. An
example:
And the opposite for Resistance:
In the next article, I am going to discuss Pullback Trading Strategy in detail. Here, in this article, I try to
explain How to Trade with Support and Resistance in detail. I hope you enjoy this How to Trade with
Support and Resistance article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Each candlestick tells a story as they are a reflection of what buyers and sellers are doing or what the market
is telling you. Use candlestick with support and resistance area
Then how to know whether the price will reverse from support or resistance or break level. I mean whether
price confirms or disconfirm as support or resistance.
At resistance we expect the price to reverse or supply exceed demand confirms the supply.
1. Clear Rejection from resistance in the form of the pin bar or outside bar or engulfing bar
2. Momentum loss when approaching resistance
3. Unable to close above the resistance level
4. Low volume candle when approaching resistance
CANDLE REJECTION
In an established downtrend any Clear Rejection from resistance in the form of the pin bar or outside bar or
engulfing bar confirm the resistance level
MULTIPLE CANDLE REJECTION
Better if multiple candlesticks are rejecting an area as this shows that price tried over and over but failed
When multiple candles refuse to go UP or rejection from resistance they ultimately go down Below are
some example of multiple rejection candle from an area
REJECTION CANDLE SHOULD CONFIRM BY FOLLOW THROUGH CANDLE
The next candle should follow-through candle for validation of rejection candle
1. Candle getting smaller and multiple colors with wicks signal that buyers or sellers are losing strength
2. Even better when it finishes with long wick candles (for bullish reversal lower ling wick and fro bearish
reversal upper long wick)
Buyers trying hard to close above the resistance level, each time they failed shows supply coming and trying
to dominate demand
Volume
In an up-move, where the price is getting close to the upper trend line (resistance Line), and low volume
appearing will tell you that the trend line is likely to hold for that moment in time because there is no effort to
change the trend (you need buying to push through resistance).
The resistance area which needs demand pressure to penetrate it. Low volume tells us there is little demand
and thus the line is likely to hold.
What price action disconfirms the resistance?
1. Candle spread and volume increasing when approaching the resistance level
2. If price hug the resistance and hold it disconfirm the supply and shows the presence of
Candle spread and volume increasing when approaching the resistance level
In an up-move, where the price is getting close to the upper trend line (resistance Line), and low volume
appearing will tell you that the trend line is likely to hold for that moment in time because there is no effort to
change the trend (you need buying to push through resistance).
If the volume is high, with a widespread up, whilst the price is getting close to the upper trend line, we would
expect to see the trend line broken due to the extra effort and the next day is level or even higher, then you
would now be expecting higher prices. Any low volume down-day (potential test) will confirm this view
If price hug the resistance and hold it disconfirm the supply and shows the presence of demand
The main characteristic of BUYERS overcoming SELLERS is the repeated inability of prices to REACT away
from the danger point(resistance). Such hugging of the HIGH usually leads to a breakout. Persistently heavy
volume hammering the HIGH usually says a break is Imminent
In the next article, I am going to discuss the Trendline Trading Strategy in detail. Here, in this article, I try to
explain the Advanced Candlestick Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy this Advanced Candlestick
Analysis in Trading article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
They tell a story. They showing the angle of advance or angle of decline within a price trend, alert when a
market has reached an overbought or oversold point within a trend, showing trading ranges, indicate the
point of equilibrium (apex), and help forecast where to expect support or resistance on corrections.
Never undertake to draw conclusive deductions from trend lines alone taking care to weigh all of the factors
(three) involved in a complete diagnosis of market action. The three factors are Price Movement, Volume,
and Price Movement-Volume Relationships determine when and where trend lines may logically be applied}
and when it is inadvisable to attempt to apply them
The momentum of an upward movement is reflected in the angular upward climb of the vertical bars on our
charts and the pace of a downward movement by their angular downward pitch. The eye may not always see
the pitch of these angular swings clearly because of the confusing effect of minor irregularities of the price
movement as recorded on charts. Therefore, it is frequently helpful to employ Trend Lines for this purpose.
Thus, the examination of the accompanying charts will show how the angle of ascent or descent of prices
may often be visualized more clearly by drawing straight lines through the successive tops or bottoms of the
price path established during the minor, intermediate, and major moves
A support or demand Line is that line that identifies the angle of the advance of a bull swing by passing
through two successive points of support. Example:- Lines A-C, D-1 in above IMAGE 1
A resistance or Supply Line is that line that identifies the angle of the decline of a bear swing by passing
through two successive points of resistance (top of rallies). Example:- Line I-K, and I-6 in above image 2.
An Oversold Position Line is that line that is drawn parallel to a supply or resistance line and passes
through the first point of support (reaction low) which intervenes between two successive rally tops in a
downtrend. Example:- Line J-L, Note that J is the first point of support intervening between the two
successive tops, I and K. IN IMAGE 2
An Overbought Position Line is that line that is drawn parallel to a support line and passes through the first
point of resistance (rally top) intervening between two successive points of support in an uptrend. Example:
Lines B-E, in above image 1
RULES
1. DRAW a new trend line by connecting the stat of the trend with a valid swing point.
2. Adjust the trend line as price action unfold
DRAW a new trendline by connecting the stat of the trend with a valid swing point
This means that we cannot draw a new trendline without a valid swing. First of all, there must be evidence of
a trend. This means that for an up trendline to be drawn there must be at least two reaction lows with the
second low higher than the first
HOW TO FIND VALID SWING HIGH AND SWING LOW? Click here
ADJUSTING New trendlines
For instance, in the case of an advance, the angle of ascent may be leisurely for a time and then become
pitched more sharply upward as the original force of demand is renewed by fresh buying from the sponsors
of the move and the public, and perhaps by expanding enthusiasm of bullishly inclined traders and investors.
Under these conditions, we have to relocate our trend lines to conform to the newly established stride
If a steep trend line is broken, a slower trend line might have to be drawn
Accordingly, if we draw a straight line through the extreme tops of these two rallies we find that the extension
of this supply line to the right, across the page, helps to define the approximate limits of subsequent rallies.
If, however, it is able to rise through the supply line with some degree of strength by either with increasing
volume, or by a material gain in price, or both. Finally price swing E-F successful break the supply line, as
both candle and volume increases
The upswing from G enables us to establish the trend support line E-G which represents the angle, or rate of
acceleration, of the first phase of the bull campaign in this stock. Extending this line to the right, we find that
after the rise is temporarily accelerated by a sharp run-up from G, then price recedes toward this line of
support in what we conclude is a normal corrective reaction. We reason that if it recedes further, we may
expect the price to hold on or around this line of support (H). It does hold, for on the quick further rally from G
POINT, marked by closing at the high, as the price almost touches our established trend line. Thus our trend
line has given us a helpful hint, in advance, as to the point at which we might reasonably look for new
demand (support) and the probable place where this particular reaction should end.
After the mark-up from H POINT, we must readjust our trend support line because of the increasing
momentum of the rise. PONIT (1) brings a new phase of the advance. This new line, of course, runs from 1-
2, price getting support from the support line.
1. The number of times the trendline has been touched or approached. The larger the number, the
greater the significance. A trendline that has been successfully tested five times is obviously a more
significant trendline than one that has only been touched three times
2. Time factor, a trendline that has been in effect for nine months is of more importance than one that
has been in effect for nine weeks or nine days.
3. Angel of ascent and descent, a very sharp trend is difficult to maintain and it’s liable to be broken, the
steep trend is not more important as that of a more gradual one a large angle on a lower trendline in
an uptrend means that the lows are rising significantly fast and that the momentum is high.
Occasionally, the momentum produced by the forces of demand and supply will become so plainly marked
as to develop a well-defined zone of activity; that is, the alternating buying and selling waves form a price
path or channel whose upper and lower limits are easily identified by a series of tops and bottoms confined
within parallel, or nearly parallel, lines.
The drawing of the channel line is very simple. In an uptrend, first, draw the support or demand line along
with the lows (A-C). Then draw a line from the first prominent peak (point B), which is parallel to the support
or demand trend line. Both lines move up to the right, forming a channel If the next rally reaches and backs
off from the channel line (at point D), then a channel may exist. If prices drop back to the original trendline (at
point E), then a channel probably does exist. The same holds true for a downtrend, but of course in the
opposite direction
In the uptrend supply line act as overbought, the price will be reverse from the supply line. Support line act
as oversold
Use of trend lines is frequently helpful in judging the points at which you may expect the price:-
1. To be supported on reactions;
2. To meet resistance on rallies; and
3. Overbought and oversold condition sowing in channel
4. To approach a critical position in its travel from one level to another. Trend line l also help you to
foresee the possibilities of an impending change of trend before it actually takes place
The violation of a trend line often (but by no means always) may signify that the force of demand or supply
which was formerly in effect is now becoming exhausted. This may either mean that the price movement is
changing its rate of progress, or it may mean that the trend is definitely in danger of being reversed.
Trendline Trading Strategy
It is bad practice to take entry on a stock simply because it has penetrated an established. Trendline or
broken out of an extended congestion area. The significant thing is HOW the line is broken; the conditions
under which the change of stride occurs.
The quality of the buying or the selling at and around the point of penetration determines whether the
violation of an established trendline may be regarded as evidence of a further price movement in the
direction of the breakthrough, or whether it means the only temporary change of false breakout. For
breakout, the price needs to close above or below the trendline
NOTE: Don’t confuse with wide range bar, trend bar, both are the same. In the following paragraph and
image, I used both the wide range bar and trend bar
A wide range bar is one that represents a trend within a smaller time-frame. A bull wide range bar opens
near its low and closes near its high. A bear wide range bar opens near its high and closes near its low.
It’s basically a candlestick that has a longer body than the surrounding candlesticks
Remember that in every bar, the same number of contracts are sold and bought.
1. The only reason for a bar to end up with a higher price is that the buyers were committed to one
direction and more aggressive than the sellers. The reverse is true for a bear WRB.
2. THE importance of wide range candles is that they are one of the few places a chart where supply
and demand can be both identified and measure i.e. wide range bars are occur from supply and
demand zone. I mean you can easily identify supply and demand zone observing trend candle
Did you know that a single candlestick (on its own) is by its nature, an area of supply/demand
(support/resistance)?
Let’s take the example of a bull wide range candle: A bullish candle tells us there is a larger volume of buyers
than sellers (nothing new here). But this information is based on something that had already happened. How
does this help us make trading decisions in the future?
Answer
A bull candle tells us at what price there is a pool of sellers in the future (long exit). Does this make sense?
Let’s imagine you’ve just entered a BUY trade, and prices start moving up. Your trade is making money.
Soon, however, you notice that prices are starting to move back down close to your trade entry point. What
would you do? You’ll hang on to the trade. And wait for it to move back up again. But what happens next
when prices continue to move down and down even closer to your entry point?
They will think of getting out of the trade at breakeven or most traders would have already moved their stop
loss to breakeven, or if not, they will manually get out of their BUY trades as soon as the market moves
towards the breakeven price.
And so, all the traders who entered a BUY trade along this wide range bull candle are now looking to SELL
to close the trade. A wide range bull candle thus represents the range of prices where the previous buyers
are now looking to sell to close their previous (buy) trade. Reverse for wide range bear candle
1. BREAKOUT
2. CLIMAX
3. ChCo candle (change of character candle )
Breakout
When trend candlestick occurs as a breakout candle in a sideways market or as a beginning of a new trend.
It represents strength. Here I will explain in-depth about breakout trading strategy
CLIMAX PATTERN
Whenever it occurs at the end of an established trend, it is a sign of climax. It represents the end of the
move, possible trend change in the near future or trend become a trading range.
1. For identifying swing (The distance between the highest and lowest points is a swing)
2. For placement of stop loss
Identify the last wide range bar. Look for a reversal bar that closes below/above of the last wide range bar
For placing stop-loss using chco candle
In a very rare situation, where prices will reverse without forming a clear reversal pattern. Then, how do we
know whether a counter-trend move is going to be a temporary retracement or reversal? Here’s the trick.
You’ll first have to identify what I call a wide range of candlestick. When a candlestick closes past the
opening price of the wide range candle, a reversal is likely to happen. If not, it’s just a retracement.
Why?
When traders don’t take into account profit-taking behavior, they’ll often be tricked into placing low winning-
probability trades. Here’s what I mean:
If you noticed, the close price of the last bull candle did not go above the open price of the last wide range
bear candle. This means it’s entirely possible for most of the buying activity, to be coming from the sellers
who are exiting their positions. We’ll need to see more commitment from the buyers before we can say that
prices are likely to reverse. Let’s see what happens next.
.Here’s an example:
The market moved up with a strong wide range candle and then dropped back down again. This looks like a
reversal… but is it really? Let’s see what happened next:
If you look closely, prices did not close past the opening price of the wide range candlestick. So it was a
strong retracement. Here another example.
As you already got the idea for placing a stop loss below or above the wide-range candle for avoiding
unexpected reversal. Let me show you in an example
In the next article, I am going to discuss the VWAP Trading Strategy in Detail. Here, in this article, I try to
explain in WRB Trading Strategy in detail. I hope you enjoy this WRB Trading Strategy article. Please join
my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
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Trendline Trading Strategy VWAP Trading Strategy
VWAP Trading Strategy
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price. These tools are used mostly by short-term traders and in
algorithm-based trading programs.
VWAP is often used to measure the trading performance of smart money. Professional traders who work for
investment banks or hedge funds and need to trade large numbers of shares each day and cannot enter or
exit the market by buying or selling a large position in stock during the day, institutional traders compare their
price to VWAP values.
A buy order executed below the VWAP would be considered a good fill for them because the stock was
bought at a below-average price (meaning that the trader has bought their large position at a relatively
discounted price compared to the market). Opposite for sell
Therefore, VWAP is used by institutional traders to identify good entry and exit points. Conversely, when a
professional trader has to get rid of a large position, they try to sell at the VWAP or higher
.VWAP has the big advantages of the timeframe you chose, VWAP is the same.
VWAP is an indicator, it indicates who is in control of the price (the buyers or the sellers). When a stock is
traded above the VWAP, it means that the buyers are in overall control of the price and there is a buying
demand on the stock. When a stock price breaks and close below the VWAP, it is safe to assume that the
sellers are gaining control over the price.
Smart Money Buy below vwap and sell above the vwap if a large order came to market then they buy from
VWAP, so when price unable to close below vwap and getting rejected from vwap and create a shadow or
engulfing or outside bar this confirms the support and resistance
Observations
1. For bullish trend days, the market stays above the VWAP.
2. For bearish trend days, the market stays below the VWAP.
3. For ranging sessions, the market stays around the VWAP which remains more or less flat.
These observations show that the VWAP has great potential for helping traders identify the market trend
After the market opens, the price bars tend to overlap with the VWAP. In the first five minutes, unknown
heavy trading is happening between the overnight shareholders and the new investors and institutional
traders. According to our method here, you cannot judge the market bias until the market tries to move away
from it.
After volatility decreases around ten to fifteen minutes into the Open, the stock will move toward or away
from the VWAP. This is a test to see if there is a large investment bank waiting to buy or sell. If there is a
large institutional trader(smart money) aiming to buy a significant position, the stock will pop over the VWAP
and move even higher. This is a good opportunity for us to go long. Opposite for short selling. If there is no
interest in the stock from market makers or institutions or smart money, the price may trade sideways near
VWAP. The best option would stay away from that stock.
Here, you’ll learn a price action method that you can apply immediately to your intraday trading to
determine the market trend with the use of VWAP
TRENDING SESSION
If they push away from the VWAP has good follow-through, assume a trending session. You can then
consider momentum trades in the direction of the trend. If the market rejects the push away back to the
VWAP, assume a sideways session. Consider taking mean-reversion trades in this case.
RANGING SESSION
A quote from James Dalton’s Mind over Markets: “Many knowledgeable professionals estimate that markets
trend only 20 to 30 percent of the time. Failure to recognize this fact is one of the main reasons why a large
number of traders don’t make money”. It is very important not to trade if there is no trend or no movements.
Trading in a range only works if the range is large enough.
Smart money buys below vwap and pushes above vwap, then when price retrace to vwap see PA around
vwap for continuous of existing trend or range market, If the market rejects the push away back to the VWAP,
assume a sideways session.
The characteristics of sideways markets are
Two words are used here( PVWAP and VWAP). PVWAP is the end of vwap value of the previous day. VWAP
is the current day VWAP. PVWAP can be obtained by plotting a straight horizontal line on the chart and
looking where it was plotted at 3:30 pm. VWAP is obviously current day VWAP which can be obtained by
plotting the VWAP indicator.
CONDITION
ENTRY
1. Buy Entry – any 5-minute candle that completely above both vwap and pvwap, buys entry will be
above high of that candle.
2. Sell Entry – any 5-minute candle that completely below both pvwap and vwap, sell entry will be below
low of that candle
VWAP STRATEGY
Rule
ENTRY PROCESS
Price open and drive down with less volume shows sign of strength and stall at P VWAP and unable to close
below the PVWAP
VWAP False Breakout (TRAP)
Strong Stock will stay and trade above VWAP if there is buying pressure from institutional traders. If a large
investment bank is interested in taking the position, a stock will often stay above VWAP and keep moving
above VWAP. But if there are no large institutions behind the stock, or if they fill all of their orders, then the
stock will move back to VWAP and often “lose it”, meaning it will drop and trade below the VWAP. This is a
sign for short sellers to start shorting it. On the other hand, when a stock below the VWAP is bounces back
and breaks out above the VWAP, it means the buyers are gaining control and short-sellers desperately have
to cover. Smart day traders chase the fleeing shorts by going long to ride the momentum and “squeeze the
shorts”.
I would suggest going through the below link for more clarification on
Here, In this article, I try to explain in VWAP Trading Strategy detail. I hope you enjoy this article. If you still
have any doubt then please watch the below YouTube video where I explain this concept step by step in
detail.
Here, in this article, I try to explain VWAP Trading Strategy in detail and I hope you enjoy this VWAP
Trading Strategy article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney. You can also join My Facebook Group to learn more and
clear your doubts.
The difference between two consecutive candles closing price and opening price is called the gap. A gap
occurs when price skip between two trading periods, skipping over certain prices. A gap creates a void on a
price chart. Price gaps are simply areas on the chart where no trading has taken place.
Gaps Greatest imbalance between demand and supply. The gap up because of aggressiveness by
buyers, I mean there are more buy orders at the open than there is available supply at the prior day’s
closing price. The gap down because of the aggressiveness by the sellers, I mean there are more sell
orders at the open than willing demand at the prior day’s close. Therefore, gaps are almost always at
price levels where there is a supply and demand imbalance at the open.
Gaps also occur due to the overnight sentiment of the participant or any big news
Smart money trying to skip important support and resistance level, i.e. If they are bullish they gap-up
price above the supply zone
The Up gap act as a support zone and the down gap act as a resistance zone. The chart below of
RELIANCE stock shows the gap up acting as support for prices.
The Gap fill
The gap-fill refers to the price retrace and close the level where the origin of the gap occurs. The closure rate
(gap-fill) for up gaps increases if the prior day’s open to close price trend was also up. The closure rate (gap-
fill) for down gaps increases if the prior day’s open to close move was downward.
After the gap price tries to fill the gap. Another occurrence with gaps is that once gaps are filled by price, the
gap tends to reverse direction and continue its way in the direction of the gap (for example, in the chart
BELOW of RELIANCE, back upwards).
The breakaway gap means breaking the important support or resistance or significant trend line in the form
of the gap. Generally appears after completion of important patterns like price in consolidation range or any
continuation or reversal pattern. Maximum time this gap does not fill quickly or the same day. The most
important volume should be high
Why the breakaway gap occur?
The smart money knows exactly where these resistance areas are. If the smart money is bullish, and higher
prices are anticipated, the smart money will certainly want a rally. The problem now is how to avoid the old
resistance
Gapping up through an old area of supply as quickly as possible is an old and trusted method – a way
of avoiding the resistance.
We now have a clear sign of strength. Smart money does not want to have to buy the stock at high prices.
They are already bought their main holding at lower levels.
Smart money knows that a breakout above an old trading resistance area will create a new wave of buying.
How?
Many traders who have shorted the market will now be forced to cover their poor positions by buying
as well.
Many traders are looking for breakouts will buy.
All those traders who are not in the market may feel they are missing out and will be encouraged to
start buying.
Here you can see that prices have been quickly up moved by smart money, whose opinion of the market at
that moment is bullish. We know this because the volume has increased. It cannot be a trap up move,
because the high volume is supporting the move
The chart study above shows breakaway gaps through important support and resistance levels. Every
breakaway gap leads to a trend continuation as well.
After the move has been underway for a while, somewhere around the middle of the move, prices will gap,
this gap called the runaway gap. In an uptrend, it’s a sign of continuation of trend; in a downtrend, a sign of
continuation of the trend.
Exhaustion Gap:
You will find that weak gap-ups are always Gap up to resistance or gap down to support. This price
action is usually designed to trap you into a potentially weak market and into a poor trade, catching stop-
losses on the short side, and generally panicking traders to do the wrong thing.
Near the end of an uptrend, the exhaustion gap occurred. However, that upward gap quickly fades and
prices turn lower. When prices close under that last gap (exhaustion gap), it is usually a dead giveaway that
the exhaustion gap has made its appearance. An exhaustion gap occurs with extremely high volume.
These gaps appear at the beginning of the moves. Generally occur at the supply or demand zone. (Gap up
from demand zone and gap down from supply zone) when price approaching the quality supply and demand
zone
.
Inside gaps are gaps happening inside the prior day’s range.
However, low volume warns you of a trap up-move (which is indicative of a lack of demand in the market)
after a gap up resistance
There are three factors to monitor to determine whether the gap is real or trap. The three factors are volume,
opening price, and pullback
Flat pullback (price consolidate high of the day). Strong buy signal
The weak pullback was unable to close below the previous day’s high. buy signal
Strong pullback closes below the previous day’s high. sell signal
If the stock gaps up and then sell off and remains beneath its opening price after the morning pullback has
stabilized, it’s possible that the stock has reached its high of the day. however, if a stock gaps up and pulls
back during the morning pullback, but then rallies to break above its opening price, the mark-up was
probably not trapped gap and the stock should make new intraday highs
Volume
It is important to watch the volume carefully when determining if a gap is valid. If the stock gap up high
and the volume also high and also the price remains above its opening price after the early morning
pullback, it is an excellent sign that the stock has further to go on the upside. All reverse for a trap gap
up
If high volume appear after a gap up and the stock immediately comes under selling pressure,
chances are that this volume was a seller
If a large volume paper in a gap up the situation and if the stock runs higher, then chances are that it
was a buyer, probably the reason for the gap up in the first place. The smart money will support the
stock if he has the buyer, or he will sell stock in a hurry if he has the sellers. Smart money do not
generally chase the stock in the direction of the gap in the early morning unless there is a fundamental
reason for doing so
Outside gap
When a market gaps up, then the gap act as a support level for any pullback. Pullback Tests of gaps on
lighter volume tells that the issue does not have enough energy to get through the gap; instead, the gap
becomes support and any bullish signal is triggered our buy entry
1. Price gap up just above the previous day high or below previous day low, and then strong pin bar
formed which fill the gap. volume should be high on the pin bar
2. Second price gap up and then retrace and fill the gap. it takes more than 2 candles and volume
should be decreasing
3. You then wait to see a sign of strength and enter the position on that move.
4. Price should not close inside the previous day in any five-minute candle
5. You then place a stop below the low of the candlestick.
3. Open Gap Reversal Trading Strategy
These patterns generally appear at the top or bottom or any strong supply or demand zone
1. There needs to be an existing extended uptrend on the chart for at least a few trading sessions to the
supply zone. A gap up in price to quality supply zone is a VERY high odds shorting opportunity.
2. Or a gap up in price to quality supply zone in the context of a downtrend is a VERY high odds shorting
opportunity.
3. After a gap up the price starts falling and crosses yesterdays. This generates the sell
4. The Stop-Loss is the low of the same day.
NOTE:-As we are trading against the gap more confirmation required confirmation either from price action or
volume action
Let’s analyze a downtrend and the previous day was a down day. Today’s price gap up but close within the
range of the previous day. Our entry opportunity will be
Gap up short
Gap up long
A gap up in price, in the context of a downtrend, is a VERY high odds shorting opportunity if any bearish
reversal signal given. A gap up in price, in the context of a downtrend, is a lower odds buying opportunity
If the stock gaps up and then sell off and remains beneath its opening price after the morning pullback has
stabilized, it’s possible that the stock has reached its high of the day. however, if a stock gaps up and pulls
back during the morning pullback, but then rallies to break above its opening price, the mark-up was
probably not trapped gap and the stock should make new intraday highs
Context downtrend
Wait for at least 5 minutes. Or mark opening range
After the 5 minutes, wait for a reversal price signal to provide you with short term confirmation that the
mark-up was a trap by smart money and the short term trend is pointing downward.
Then short below of the first candle
Volume should below. If the stock has gapped up high; volume should be high for confirmation of the
real gap. However, if price closes below the opening price with no large volume, chances are that the
mark-up was a trap by smart money
Market when gap up opening, the volume should be heavy to go higher. if smart money is active they
supported by volume
Wait and see if the market trades above its opening prices after the morning pullback. It indicates the
gap was real
Then go long
Or you can enter from a previous day low when price retrace test of the previous day low
Note: – This entry technique is very risky as we are going against the trend and momentums so double
confirmation is required
It is very useful for this trading strategy if you combine our Pullback Trading Strategy and Advance
CANDLESTICK Analysis article. Here, in this article, I try to explain, How to Day Trade with GAP Trading
Strategies in detail and I hope you enjoy this GAP Trading Strategy article. Please join my Telegram
Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
The original name of the strategy is open deive. From a buy-sell perspective, we called it open high and
open low.
Open high= sell
Open low= buy
So open rive and open high open low both the same.
These are the directional move with strong hand participation and conviction.
1. It occurs most of the time after a sideways price action (tight price channel), or
2. You can also spot it at the start of a trading session.
3. From strong supply or demand zone
If open-drive occurs after a sideways price action, it indicates that either strong buyers or sellers were
accumulating their positions in the sideways price action, or afterward, they started aggressive buying or
selling activity to move the price
If at the start of a trading session. An Open-Drive is generally caused by participants who have made their
market decisions before the opening bell. The market opens and moves aggressively in one direction.
Fueled by strong smart money activity, the price never returns to trade back through the opening range
Where is the action playing out? (location in the big picture). Reason to take the trade. Best work if
breakout from any sideways price action is or gap from strong supply or demand zone
First, 5 min candle(opening candle) should be a big red candle
Open = High, For easy reference 2-3 points buffer will be considered as equal not carrying much
weight
First candle open to close around lower of the candle (preferably)
Volume must be high
Minimum Risk: Reward(R: R)=1:2(next support area)
Breakout entry after opening range or first candle low(for open high set up)
The price must be below vwap for sell
Let’s do it an example
1. Wait for the first candle to complete. should be a big red candle
2. Volume should be high.
3. The 2nd inside candle be a Doji or narrow candle
4. low of second candle equal to low of 1st candle
5. Declining or lower volume on 2nd candle
6. 2nd candle range stays within the bottom 2/3rd’s of 1st candle
7. The price must be below vwap
8. Stop-loss above your entry candle or day high as per your risk
Let’s do an example
On a daily time, frame price increases with volume decreasing and closing near resistance. I clearly indicate
me this move will not break the resistance.
Today price gap up to resistance. Then wait for 1st candle to complete
All these indicate bearishness. So sold in next candle. As shown in the below image
Please watch the complete video here for a better understanding
https://youtu.be/rHK0LHlmd5s
https://dotnettutorials.net/lesson/how-to-make-own-day-trading-scanner/
You can also watch the complete video of this Intraday Open High Open Low Trading Strategy article here.
Here, in this article, I try to explain Intraday Open High Open Low Trading Strategy in detail. I hope you
enjoy this Intraday Open High Open Low Trading Strategy article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn
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Phase1: After a strong extended up-trend has been in effect, the atmosphere is bullish.
Phase2: The price opens and trades higher. The bulls are in control.
Phase3: But before the end of the day, the bears step in and take the price back down to the lower end of
the trading range, creating a small body for the day. The long upper wick represents that sellers had started
coming in at these levels. A lower open or a red candle the next day reinforces the fact that selling is going
on and sellers have now taken control
So basically pin bar is a reversal pattern. There are two types of pin (1) bearish pin bar, explained above,
and (2) bullish pin bar
Criteria to Identify Pin Bars
Pin bar does not always signal a reversal, so you’ll need to know how to tell when a pin bar has failed, and
how to react accordingly. The significance of the pin bar trading strategy depends on (1)location, where it
appears in the trend, (2)length of the wick If the Pin Bar wick is more than 4 times larger than the average
trading range of the preceding bars. Then it will most likely become a (1)continuation pattern or (2)the wick
will be tested again for reversal.
When presented with a massive Pin Bar my advice is to stay on the sidelines and wait for a better
opportunity to present itself as you have to risk too much capital in hopes of being profitable. Let me explain
this through an example
PSYCHOLOGY OF PIN BAR Trading Strategy
Smart Money only targets places with higher Volumes are and he collects them. Generally, the places
(reference points) are
1. To get volume
2. Avoid Slippage due to big order
3. Smart money testing demand above old resistance before moving down or testing supply below
support before moving up
They move the price above or below any reference point hitting the stop losses of either buyers or sellers,
while same time Encourage traders to commit to positions in the wrong direction. Smart money induce
traders to take the wrong direction by using sharp and aggressive moves near the high or low of the day
Let me explain when the price reverse from resistance. As the early price is marked up,
1. Premature short traders are liable to panic and cover with buy orders.(stop hunts)
2. However, those traders looking for breakouts will buy, but their stop-loss orders are usually triggered
as the price move back down.
3. All those traders who are not in the market may feel they are missing out and will feel pressured to
start buying.
Low of bullish act as support and high of the bearish pin bar act as resistance
Pin Bar and market context
To be able to trade Pin Bars effectively you need to be able to gauge the direction of the Trend and trade with
it. Here are some key principles for trading pin bar
Ideally, a Pin Bar should close in favor of the prevailing trend, for example, if the trend is up then the Pin Bar
should have a close higher than the open and should be a bullish Pin Bar. The opposite applies to a
downtrend.
Pin Bars that are in heavy traffic or choppy, range-bound markets should not be traded. The reason for this is
that there is no clear trend and there are too many areas of interest for the price to stall at.
If a bullish pin bar fails to rally away from the danger point and the price hangs near the bullish pin bar low,
then something is likely wrong.
Opening Pin Bar Trading Strategy
Stop-loss placements
The simplest and most likely method that you will profit from is to place your stop a certain distance beyond
the high/low of the Pin Bar.
What next
For better understanding read the support and resistance article. As we explained above Pin bar best work
from support and resistance level
The best way to learn about Pin Bars is to open up some charts and try and find some for yourself. Once you
have found a selection of Pin Bars, try and figure out whether or not they are good or bad Pin Bars with
respect to their form and the candles that precede them.
Here, In this article, I try to explain the PIN BAR Trading Strategy in Detail and I Hope you enjoy this PIN
BAR Trading Strategy article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
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Minimum three candles are required for sideways price action area break out.
Here are two approaches to trading the breakout designed to minimize risk:
Now that you know TWO tactical approaches to trade the breakout, let’s look at how to recognize which OR
breakouts are the best to trade. Again, I’ve created a quick checklist for evaluating a stock’s price and
volume action. Remember these criteria are used not only to find stocks that are likely to lead to a successful
breakout but also to define good risk points based on the stock’s price and volume action.
For bullish breakouts. look for price to hug the top of the range
The quicker you enter a range breakout trade, the better.
Trade with the trend. In a bear market, downward breakouts tend to make more money than upward
breakouts in intraday trading. In bull markets, upward breakouts make more money.
For upward breakouts, trade only those situations where price closes above the middle of the opening
range most of the time. Downward breakouts from the opening range do best when price resides
below the range’s midpoint most often
There is no resistance above breakout of bullish breakout
Break out with volume
After the breakout, the stock exhibit bullish price action for up break out
If Smart Money wants to buy stock, we would see that on the open with heavy volume and strong directional
move. Stock may gape at the opening. Which shows that stock may trend up the rest of the day?
1st candle having lower wick indicate price tray to move down but Smart Money enter drive price higher
1st 5-minute candle be a wide range candle with a low wick or no wick with volume
Stock in an uptrend with price above new demand
The next candle/candles should be inside candle be a doji or a shooting star or narrow range candle
with less volume
The range stays within top 2/3rd’s of 1st candle
Odd Enhancer
Avoid if
3 action steps:
➡ Buy 1-2 cents above the second candle, preferably a Doji or shooting star
➡ Upon entering you place stop loss 2 cents below 1st candle or low of the last swing low
➡ Target is 2R
SMART-MONEY ALWAYS BUY FROM VWAP OR AROUND VWAP, IF THEY WANT TO BUY
See the pullback to VWAP OR 20 EMA. If price pullback to VWAP EMA, but unable to push and hold below
VWAP, indicating that buyers strength
Pullback condition
1. Low volume
2. Lower wick
3. NARROW RANGE CANDLE
ODD ENHANCER
Avoid if
Big picture
That’s it for today. In the next article, I am going to discuss How to Trade with Supply and Demand Zone in
detail. Here, in this article, I try to explain the two approaches to Trading with Sideways Price Action
Area in detail. I hope you enjoy this article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
A pullback is a price movement that moves in against the trend. It is a temporary price movement before it
resumes back into the main market direction. Pullbacks are sometimes referred to as price Correction or
retracement. Pullback occurs when price moves at least one bar against the opposite direction of the trend.
1. The hope of comparison to find top or bottom on find weakness in price move by the novice.
2. If the pullback is sluggish contra traders will lose hope while bullish traders will regain confidence.
3. If he pullback down is strong and signals bearish conviction, the bar will get more aggressive and the
bulls will start to doubt their position
There are several benefits of the Pullback Trading Strategy. Some of them are as follows:
1. Trading pullback lets you have a tighter stop loss as your trade location is good and this gives you a
better risk to reward
2. From a psychological standpoint, it’s easier to pull the trigger as you’re buying high and selling low
Characteristics
1. Correction (depth of pullback) must be small and without strong momentum candlestick
2. Volume decreases / low volume correction
3. Great mix between red and green candle with light volume
4. Closes towards the middle with wicks
5. How pullback came (should not come after consolidation)
Strong pullback leads to TRADING RANGE OR reversal of trend or serious attempt to reverse the
trend
These corrective moves either are the time or price correction but they denote a change in the order flow and
participation depend upon the types of trend. There are TWO TYPES of Pullback Trading Strategy. They are
as follows:
1. TIME CORRECTION
2. PRICE CORRECTION
In strong trending markets, you’ll have pullbacks that usually stock move in horizontal, low volatility trendless
manner. Because the pullback is shallow, it’s difficult to time your entry on a pullback. Instead, you can look
to trade the breakout, or find an entry on the lower timeframe.
A healthy trend is between a strong and a weak trend. You can expect a pullback towards the SR level.
In weak trending markets, you’ll have steeper pullbacks that usually retrace towards major Support and
Resistance
TIME CORRECTION
TIME CORRECTION (Stock to digest the directional move is through a time correction). In time correction
the stock moves in horizontal, low volatility trendless manner. Generally, a strong trend has time correction.
In strong trending markets, you’ll have pullbacks that usually stock move in horizontal, low volatility trendless
manner. Because the pullback is shallow, it’s difficult to time your entry on a pullback. Instead, you can look
to trade the breakout, or find an entry on the lower timeframe.
As the trend continues, it gets far from the stop loss point; retailer’s taking profit to reduce risk .market pulls
back and goes sideways. Once bulls confident that the bears will fail to reverse the trend, bulls buy again
with tighter stop loss
PRICE CORRECTION
PRICE CORRECTION, CORRECT as price moves in the opposite direction of the primary trend, this
correction occurs by price and move towards SR level.
A healthy trend is between a strong and a weak trend. You can expect pullback towards the SR level
The above diagram shows that the bears are usually trying to show their dominants, but not realizing that the
bulls are still strong, the bulls usually come back into the market just before the bears managed to build
confidence
Complex Pullbacks
Complex pullbacks happen when price steps into a consolidating phase in the form of any pattern. It then
remains consolidated for a while before it resumes into the trend No one really knows how long it remains
consolidated before it moves again. Generally forming a continuous pattern like
Now you have an idea where price could potentially retrace to.
Should one insist on playing a reversal without waiting for build-up, firing into a technical test (where pullback
end) is certainly superior over firing into a void. But there is still a large degree of aggression and risk
involved with respect to the stop-loss point. Let me explain to you.
Pullback D-E represents a test in the level of B, which was a function of the earlier sideways activity within a
bull trend
It can safely be stated that the level of B plays a crucial role in this chart:
1. Resistance turned into support
2. It provided a level for a technical test in a Fibonacci 50/61.8 percent correction;
3. It offered a platform for bulls and bears to fight it out in order to determine the lows of the correction,
By waiting for consolidation at support, it is inevitable to occasionally miss a turn. In fact, it is quite a frequent
occurrence. But it will save us also from many a quick shake.
It is important to note that the higher entry above F does not necessarily compare unfavorably to the more
economical entry at E. First of all, the consolidation below F shows more confirmation on the likelihood of the
reversal, which is already a plus. But there is another issue to take into account that will affect the clinical
odds on both wagers. The levels for protection and target in relation to the level of entry.
The above diagram demonstrates what exactly it is that we aim to avoid when waiting for consolidation. This
time the pullback D-E reversal played itself out a little differently. Technically seen, the level of B once again
presented itself as the most likely candidate for a possible turnaround (a 50/60 percent retracement in an
area of former support, now resistance), but an immediate short at point e would have put an aggressive bull
in serious trouble before the actual turn set in.
Take note of the fact that in this situation, prices once again put in a technical test before reversing, but
instead of using a former level of support to bounce away from (B), the market opted for a former level of
resistance to turning around in if matches (C). Both E and F are valid technical tests and equally common in
occurrence. since we have no way of knowing beforehand which level the market will pick in any one
situation, the idea is to remain on the sidelines until more clarity comes along. BUT Not always will the
market offer us this extra information, but it will do so often enough to consider patience as a vital ingredient
in operating tactics.
As to the conservative long, an entry above the level of G and a tight stop below the level of F will certainly
have suited many BULLS just fine
There are many ways to enter your trades via a pullback. Here are some entry techniques you can us
Reversal patterns
Reversal patterns represent a rejection of higher/lower prices, which are useful for entry triggers. Some of
these patterns can be the pin bar, engulfing pattern, and outside bar
Continuous pattern TL break
PULLBACK SETUP FOR DAY TRADING
Already traded to target on bigger time frame after the initial morning move
In this article, I try to explain the Pullback Trading Strategy in detail. I hope you enjoy this article and
understand the Pullback Trading Strategy. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
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Break out means moves below any support or above any resistance. Price breakout from
1. Momentum is with you – Trading breakouts allow you to enter your trade with momentum at your
back
2. Catch big trends – If you were to trade pullbacks, sometimes it may never come. But with breakouts,
you never have to worry about missing another move in the markets
Don’t trade breakouts when the market is far from Support or Resistance (S/R)
Why?
Because you don’t have a logical level to place your stop loss. Even if you do, it usually results in a poor risk
to reward profile Based on the stop loss placement we can divide the break out into three types
Whether to take a position or not on a break is always a function of how well the technical credentials of the
chart back up the prospects for follow-through.
The difference in consolidation prior to a breakout not only affects the likelihood of follow-through but the
level for protection as well. An excellent way to play a break is shown in Situation 3. Now we can truly see
the virtues of proper consolidation up. The breakout may still fail soon after, but technically seen, this is the
more favorable scenario
Traders in profit will exit their positions at the nearest swing high (to protect their profits). And traders looking
to short will do so at the swing high. So here’s what happens…
You get a double dose of selling pressure. From traders exiting their long trades (by selling), and traders
looking to short the markets. With so much selling pressure in the same area, chances are, the breakout
would fail if the breakout happens without consolidation.
DON’T TRADE AGAINST THE Higher Time Frame Support and Resistance
How to find high probability breakout trades
If the market is trending strongly, you’re unlikely to catch the trend on a pullback. So, what can you do?
Well… you can trade the breakout, right?
You can get long when the price trades above the swing high, and place your stops below the last swing low
Think about this. If you’re short the market, where would buyers come in? If you’re long the market, where
would sellers come in? Support and Resistance, right?
3. When the market is forming consolidation at the Support and Resistance area
Here’s why: A consolidation would attract stops in the market as traders place their stop-loss beyond the
highs/lows of the consolidation.
It could be to protect their existing positions or to trade the breakout in either direction. So, when the market
breaks out of consolidation, you get a double dose of pressure. And it’s caused by traders looking to protect
their positions and traders looking to trade the breakout. An example:
CONSOLIDATION
4. When there are higher lows into Resistance or lower highs into Support
Higher lows into Resistance is a sign of strength by the buyers and there’s a good chance the market will
break out higher. Why?
Because if there were strong selling pressure at resistance, the price should have fallen quickly. The fact it
didn’t tell you that buyers are willing to buy at higher prices and thus forming higher lows into Resistance.
Visually, it looks like an ascending triangle. Here’s an example:
And when you get lower highs into Support, it’s a sign of strength by the sellers. Because if there were strong
buying pressure at Support, the price should have risen quickly. The fact it didn’t tell you that sellers are
willing to sell at lower prices and thus forming lower highs. Visually, it looks like a descending triangle. An
example:
If you observe a wide spread up, on high volume, punching through the top of a resistance (supply line), and
the next day is level or even higher, then you would now be expecting higher prices. Any low volume down-
day (potential test) will confirm this view
Traders like to see a confirmation after the breakout. One more trend bar after breakout bar. A bull break
followed by a bull break is a sign of follow-through and thus an indication of bullish enthusiasm, for as long
as it lasts. Should we see the market respond to a bull break with a bearish bar and this bar then gets broken
at the bottom by another that gives us valuable information also: technically seen, we are dealing with a false
break. It shows false as the bull break failed to follow through and was followed by a bear break-in turn.
BREAKOUT AND PULLBACK
1. It’s easier to execute the trade psychologically as the candle has closed in your favor
2. You may get a poorer risk-to-reward (as the market has already moved in your favor)
1. It’s harder to execute the trade psychologically because there are no signs of “confirmation”
2. You usually get a better risk-to-reward (as you’re entering near the breakout level)
After the breakout, any low volume test is a high probability entry with low risk and high reward
In the next article, I am going to discuss the Wide Range Bar (WRB) Trading Strategy in detail. Here, In
this article, I try to explain in Intraday Breakout Trading Strategy detail. I hope you enjoy this Intraday
Breakout Trading Strategy article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
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1. Risk protection
2. Risk profile
3. Active trade management
Trading knowledge including technical analysis, good strategies and chart reading are all necessary but
alone are not enough to make you a successful trader
Today’s post is going to be one of the most important you’ll ever read. Here I will discuss risk management.
Because if you apply the risk management strategies, I can guarantee you’ll never blow up another trading
account and you might even become a profitable trader
Risk management is the foundation of a successful trading system. We can basically break risk management
into 3 categories:
1. Risk protection
2. Risk profile
3. Active Trade management
Risk Protection
In order to protect against something it is necessary to begin with an understanding of what it is that you are
protecting against. It is fine to say that protection is being taken against potential loss. Losses are inevitable
part of the trading game. We need to accept losses as cost of doing this business. World’s best traders too
lose a lot.
The underlying root cause of a loss in any particular trading situation is the trader’s own fear and
greed.
Fear
Fear warns you that something doesn’t feel right about a trade that you took; you have to try to figure out
what exactly is going wrong
The fear of a missed opportunity may result in a premature trade. What most of us do We’re so afraid
of missing a profit that we tend to constantly trade too early.
The common mistake made here is to conclude that a little bit of a wait is no problem because the
eventual result will justify it. How do you know it’s going to be just a short wait? That’s an assumption.
A much bigger problem, however, is that the judgment (upon) which the trade is based may be invalid.
Because that opportunity has not had a chance to fully develop. That means something could
go wrong. If it does, the position will probably be stopped out.
Unfortunately there is no mechanical tool that will invariably keep you from trading too early.
Protection against the fear of missing an opportunity is discipline and confidence on your method
1. Take direction from the market, not from your hopes, greed or fear. Most traders do not see the market
clearly. Control your beliefs about the market
2. Predefine your risk before taking a trade
3. Cut your losses without hesitation
4. Use a systematic money management plan
Confidence
Confidence in your method makes all the difference in trading. You will not be able to make money unless
you have total confidence in your methods. But the problem is that you will not have confidence in your
methods if you are not making money with it. To become a consistently profitable trader, you need to develop
a method that suits your personality. When developing a trading plan, you should know and understand the
logic behind each step. This will boost your confidence and will give you the discipline to follow the plan.
Confidence believes in your ability to do something.
To be successful in trading, we must have a method with an edge. We need to trade the method long enough
Ignoring the results of individual trades to win. This is not possible without total trust in your methods. If you
have Confidence in your trading method, losses shouldn’t worry you at all. Just take it and move on.
Successful trading is not totally avoiding losses but winning more than what you lose. For every trade we
enter, there could be four outcomes. a) Big Loss, b) Small Loss, c) Small Win and d) Big Win. Let us remove
the Big Loss from this. Small Wins will take care of Small losses and Big wins will remain with us. Ensure
that your trading plan eliminates the possibility of losing big. “You can’t make money if you are not willing to
lose. It’s like breathing in, but not willing to breathe out” Ed Seykota
The other type of fear is of incurring a major loss. It is done with a stop order. The stop order lets the
investor take comfort in the fact that if his appraisal is badly flawed, his loss will be cut short before it turns
into a disaster.
If a trade has been made too early (FOMO), the stop may be too close to survive the remaining and
unknown action of the trading range. In these cases the position may be lost to a stop resulting in a loss
even though the eventual outcome has been properly diagnosed market.
Using a stop correctly means maintaining a profit – risk ratio that is in your favour. Be careful however,
that you don’t end up using this idea in a way that unduly restricts the stock’s ability to move.
Over the years we have found that the most generally acceptable profit – risk ration is 3 to 1. First of
all, it prevents a major loss it also gives the stock some breathing room. It is unreasonable to assume
that every stock will be caught exactly at its turn.
A long position may move somewhat lower before it turns up and a short position may move
somewhat higher before it turns down. You have got to allow some margin for error.
Let me explain…
The structure of the market refers to Support & Resistance, swing high, swing low, higher highs and lows,
lower highs and lows, and etc.
These are important points in the market because that’s where most traders will place their stop loss.
Why?
Because if price trades beyond it, it will invalidate their trading setup as they know they are wrong on their
trade. But, the problem with placing your stop loss near these levels is, it gets triggered easily by smart
money
Smart Money paid to collect VOLUME (where Liquidity is found). He only targets places with higher
Volumes are and he collects them.
They spikes in one direction or the other hitting the stop losses of either sellers or buyers
Protection against greed
Greed is perhaps more basic. When it is responsible for a loss it is a loss of already realized profits
From an objective standpoint you would think that when a reasonable profit has been developed in a position
there would be a great deal of satisfaction in taking of that profit. Unfortunately, it doesn’t always work that
way. Let’s analysis the situation
After market given a certain level of profit there is a tendency to want more (greed) instead of
being satisfied.
The desire to have more profit causes the situation to be analysed from that standpoint (greed)
and not from the standpoint of things as they really are. At that point greed has taken control and
the profit already gained is put in jeopardy
Consider these examples. A stock is in an uptrend and has been for quite some time with good upside
progress being the result. There are two good reasons here for selling this stock .The stock
becomes overbought, reaches its upside objective or key resistance
You go long on a breakout and the trade goes in your favor immediately. Shortly, you have open profits of 3R
and your trading strategy tells you to exit your trade (because the market has reached a key Resistance).
But, you tell yourself: “This chart is looking so bullish, I should hold this trade longer for bigger profits”. So,
you hold onto the trade. Slowly, the market starts to reverse and wiped out a portion of your open profits.
Now you’re feeling anxious but you tell yourself: “Never mind, I’ll exit the trade if the market goes up a little
more”. Unfortunately, the market didn’t go higher and retrace all the way and hit your stop loss.
The only way to totally protect oneself from greed is to take steps against it at the time a position is
one of the best ways to do this is to predetermine and preestablish a sell or cover order in the
area of the anticipated objective. When the stock reaches that level the established. Position will be
automatically eliminated and the profit protected.” Greed won’t even have a chance.
We identify zones in which we’re happy to trade, and then work the best entry we can within that area. Stops
should be placed in a location that invalidates the trade
Not every position is going to make it to its indicated objective. I mean not every position hit the target. In
those cases where the ultimate objective is not met, how to protect the position? The stop order can be used
very effectively for this type of protection providing. If it is used correctly throughout the life of the position.
That means re positioning it as the move progresses. The first objective in re positioning a stop is to get
up to or down to the trade price as quickly as possible. One this is accomplished, the investor’s funds
are protected against loss and he can breathe a little easier. This re positioning, or any to follow, cannot be
done in a careless fashion. If it is, initial capital may be protected, but profits will likely be scarce.
The rest periods between the periods of progress are extremely important. They will indicate when a stop
can be moved and more importantly to what level it can be moved. A resting period will either come as a
normal correction or as a horizontal consolidation. The stop should be re positioned just above or below
the extremes of these periods just as soon as there is an indication that the prior progress is being
renewed. Don’t be in too much of a hurry on this. If you cannot point to some action that clearly indicates the
prior move is about to be renewed, you may be setting yourself up to be stopped out by a correction that
goes a little farther than you had expected or by the consolidation that ends with an unexpected shakeout or
up thrust action.
Risk profile
X is an aggressive trader and he risks 20% of his account on each trade. Y is a conservative trader and she
risks 2% of her account on each trade. Both adopt a trading strategy that wins 50% of the time with an
average of 1:2 risk to reward. Over the next 10 trades, the outcomes are Lose Lose Lose Lose Lose Lose
Win Win Win Win Win.
Risk Management in Trading could be a deciding factor whether you’re a consistently profitable trader or,
losing trader.
Remember, you can have the best trading strategy in the world. But without proper risk management, you
won’t be success in trading.
What is the level of Risk: Reward ratio will we be working in each trade? Profile
What is the maximum percentage of our account we are willing to risk on each trade or day or
week?
What is the maximum position size we can use per trade?
Risk Defined as The amount a trader is willing to lose on a trade if it hits his or her stop. Calculate risk on
trade (size of stop) by measuring the distance between entry and stop loss
The reward is simply defined as the price distance between our entry and our profit point. The trading risk-
reward ratio simply determines the potential loss (risk) versus the potential profit (reward) on any given
trade.
Risk Reward Ratio(R: R) = Total Risk on each trade / Total Reward on that trade
What’s the maximum percentage of our account we are willing to risk on any one or
more trade/s?
Only risk a small amount of your total account per trade , you want to keep your risk low, perhaps 0.5
to 1 percent
Only risk a small amount of total account per day. This is called a daily stop. Perhaps set a rule that if
you lose 3 or 4 percent of our total account in a given day, you will stop trading for that day
Only risk a small amount per week. This is called a weekly stop. Perhaps set a rule that if you lose 5
percent of your total account in a given week. you will stop trading for that week
Position sizing
Step1 = Establish maximum Risk amount per day based on a percentage of account size
Step2 = Divide maximum Risk amount per day with average number of trades per day to calculate risk
amount per trade
Step3 = Calculate risk on trade (size of stop) by measuring the distance between entry and stop loss
Step4 = Divide the maximum risk amount per trade by risk on trade to determine the maximum position size
Let’s do it in an example
Account size=100000
Maximum Risk amount per day= Account size* Maximum Risk percentage per day
=10000*2%=2000
Risk amount per trade= Maximum Risk amount per day/ Number of trades per day
=2000/2=1000
The larger the size of your stop loss (risk), the smaller your position size (and vice versa).
As long as we can stick to the above risk profile defined, we can enter 10 trades, have 5 looser and only 5
winners but still end up with profit overall.
In the next article, I am going to discus Active Trade Management. I mean after taking trade how to manage
the trade to prevent losses. Here, in this article, I try to explain the 3 techniques for Risk Management in
Trading and I hope you understand the Risk Management in Trading. Please join my Telegram Channel to
learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Means what price did in that day .it shows open, close high, low, open interest, option chain data etc.
Download capital market bhavcopy file and Derivatives market bhavcopy file. Link is given below
https://www1.nseindia.com/products/content/all_daily_reports.htm
Use of scanner
So for long stock should have high volume , high OI, PCR>1. So, we make our buy column by giving above
condition
Change in Volume and Change in open interest column
If ultra-high volume we find. Then something unusual happening. by checking chart we can determine
whether the stock for tradable or not. Whether it break out from any support or resistance leve with high
volume . then we must keep it in our watch list
Change in price
Here we will find top gainer or top looser stock. Check in chart why top gainer and top looser?
For trading purpose, avoid stocks with lower volumes and lower open interest
Why?
The analogy of volume and open interest to the market is like that of fuel to a fire. If the fuels removed from a
fire, the fire will go out. If fuel (volume and open interest) is removed from a price trend, the trend will change
or move will stop. When open interest and volume declines, fuel is being removed and the prevailing price
trend is running on borrowed time. For a healthy, strong price trend (either up or down) to continue, open
interest and volume ideally should increase, or at least not decline.
Option chain analysis
In the video i did explain in live how to select stock for next day based in end of day data analysis. Here the
list of stock that showing buys condition
Even our scanner shows buy condition. After market open if our trading setup didn’t tells then I am happy to
avoid trading.
Tips :-if index and sector bullish trade with strong stock on bullish side.
In the next article, I am going to discuss How to Select Stocks for Intraday Trading with lice examples.
Here, in this article, I try to explain how to make own day trading scanner and I hope you enjoy this article.
Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your doubts.
https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney. Please watch the complete video here.
← Previous Lesson Next Lesson →
3 Techniques for Risk Management Stock Selection for Intraday
in Trading Trading
Stock Selection for Intraday Trading
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
1. Breakout trading
2. Momentum trading
3. Pullback reversal trading
1. Aftermarket closed
2. Live market stock selection
3. News or result based stock selection
Aftermarket closed
1. High volume
2. High Open interest
3. Top gainer and top looser
Step to find high volume, high open interest, or top gainer/loser stock
Step1 We have to find out stock that showing increasing in open interest with increasing volume at the end
of the day (EOD). Suppose we find some 10 stock both bullish and bearish data from our scanner
Based on breakout
Time frame hourly or daily
1. Support or resistance
2. Trend line
3. Chart pattern
This method takes time. As we have to find out manually in our chart
Rectangle
Wedge
Triangle
Flag
Cup & Handle
Tight trading range
Live market Stock Selection For Intraday Trading
There are two methods to select stocks from the live market
Here, in this article, I try to explain, How to Select Stocks for Intraday Trading with examples. e-mini
contracts. I hope you enjoy this Stock Selection for Intraday Trading article. Please join my Telegram
Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney. Please watch the
following video if you want to learn and understand this concept in a better way.
Here, in this article, you will learn, how to prepare for day trading before market open. These are the
factors, we should study
1. Index
2. Context
3. Previous day activity
4. Next support and resistance
5. Area of opportunity
6. Possible entry price action
7. Index (if you trade in index stock)
1. Context
Up/down/range(trend)
Pullback /impulse swing
Studying previous days profile to get clues for today is one of the essential step a trader has to perform daily.
When a trader starts tracking this regularly, when it becomes a habit, he will always be in sync with the
Short Term moves in the markets. We will study following parameters to understand the previous day
By studying the above factors we can get a tight grip on what the SM was trying to achieve the previous day
and was that attempt successful. And Possible of trend for next day
If the previous day has had a trending day in which price was marked up to a new levels, the previous day’s
high or low will not be as important. For example, in the case of a trend day UP, the previous day’s low is not
likely to test. Instead, the last swing low becomes the important support level. This support level is most
important in the morning session of trading. After a trend day up , expect that last swing low to provide initial
support
Position of close
If the market strong closes(either near to the previous day high or near to the previous day low), it is
giving the trader a very loud and clear signal that continuation is likely the next day.
The last hour often tells the truth about how strong a trend truly is. Smart money or strong hand shows
their hand in the last hour, continuing to mark positions in their favor
Neutral CLOSE MEANS. Price close middle of the day .previous day was a range day. If neutral
closing in previous day we expect price will reverse from either previous day low or previous day high
in next day. If trend up then we expect price will reverse from previous day low
High volume on the closing hours indicate continuation the next morning in the direction of the last
half-hour.
If the market makes a trending move in the last hour after a lifeless opening session , be positioned in
the direction of that move by the close. There are very high odds of an opening gap in your favor the
next morning.
Trading is all about Location. Define a location where a decisive group of traders act and fight it out is the
key. Wait for the market to hit the identified price level, watch which side takes control, buyers or sellers. Go
with the winning team and enter where the losers start exiting and allow their order flow to take our position
to profit. Location for area of opportunity are
The previous days high and low are two very important “pivot” points, because where buyers or sellers
came in the day before. Look for price action at these point for either continuation or reversal.These are
markets own levels and market is going to respect its own levels.
First Identify the support (demand) and resistance (supply) levels in the NF and any sector. If markets
closed near demand, I would know to look for opportunities to buy the next day as price was likely to rally
from that demand level
The next step was to look at charts of a few of the large sectors to find some that are also trading near
demand as those sectors would likely rally from that demand level with the broad (NF and BNF) market the
following day. Out of the few sectors, I would always find one or two that were setting up very well with the
broad market.
The final step was to look at a handful of high volume stocks within that sector and that is always where I
would find a VERY quality trading opportunity
There are three price action trade setups when price encounters an area of opportunity.
Breakout failure
Breakout pullback
Test Reversal
Trading these three price action patterns blindly is a recipe for disaster. There are other factors to be
considered while trading these price action setups like Strength of Trend, volume , price action etc.
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand this concept in a more better
way.
This is the part of our Intraday Trading Course and I hope you enjoy this article. In the next article, I
am going to discuss Multiple TimeFrame Analysis for Intraday Trading in detail. Please join my
Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Tunnel Vision
Have you ever found yourself taking a picture perfect setup on your primary timeframe chart only to see if not
work and stop you out?
Traders should always understand the overall market environment and no just one time frame
Allowing the trader to get a micro view of larger time frames, which can, in turn, confirm the trader’s
original analysis of trade. It is like using a backup pattern and fine-tuning an entry. An example would
be having a pattern on a 60-minute chart and using a 5-minute chart to confirm the entry.
Risk can be managed more effectively by combining time frames. A trader can learn to move stops on
smaller time frames for patterns that complete on larger time frames.
Using multiple time frames from larger to smaller can help the trader to be aware of contrary or
opposing patterns that form on smaller time frames that are against the longer-term time frame.
We have taken three stock based on above three stock selection method
Intermediate Time Frame (ITF) HOURLY
In this time frame we will define the structural framework within which our trading timeframe (TTF)price
action will move.
Let’s analyse the above three chart in intermediate time frame in above three chart
Trading Time Frame (TTF) 5 MINUTES
Step 1
Step 2
Find where we are with respect to zone
1. If trend up and we are at supply zone avoids long trend, we become sellers as price at supply zone or
wait for clear breakout from supply zone.
2. If trend up we are at the demand zone look opportunity for long
3. If we are middle of the trend ,we can go with the intermediate trend
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand Multiple Timeframe Analysis for
Intraday Trading concept in a more better way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain the Multiple TimeFrame Analysis for Intraday Trading in detail. I hope you
enjoy this article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
VWAP Trading
In this article, I am going to discuss the VWAP Trading in detail. Please read our previous article where we
discussed Multiple TimeFrame Analysis for Intraday Trading. At the end of this article, you will
understand the following pointers in detail.
Volume weighted average price (VWAP). These Tools are used mostly by short-term traders and in
algorithm-based trading programs.
VWAP is often used to measure the trading performance of smart money. Professional traders who work for
investment banks or hedge funds and need to trade large numbers of shares each day and cannot enter or
exit the market by buying or selling a large position in a stock during the day, institutional traders compare
their price to VWAP values.
PVWAP can be obtained by plotting straight horizontal line on chart and looking where it was plotted at 3:30
pm. VWAP is obviously current day VWAP which can be obtained by plotting VWAP indicator.
Step2: relative strength and weakness compare to sector and index(refer to intraday trading course
part 1)
If respective sector negative choose weak stock for sell. If index (nifty) negative. Choose weak sector
Step5: Entry
Exit method
1. Target exit
2. Reversal development exit
A pullback is a price movement that moves in against the trend. It is a temporarily price movement before it
resumes back into the main market direction. Pullbacks are sometimes referred to as price Corrections or
retracement.
If a stock move strongly in the morning supported by smart money , then it respect vwap. When a stock is
traded above the VWAP .If VWAP is rising then it shows buyers in control. When a stock is traded below the
VWAP. If VWAP is falling it shows sellers in control
Step to follow
1. Find the stock in a clear trend up (HH/HL) or trend down(LH/LL). Look for at least 2/3 candle in same
direction with high volume
2. THEN wait for price to pullback(WEAK) towards vwap
3. Check whether price rejected from vwap or not. (look for rejection from vwap)
4. If rejected go with the initial move
5. Don’t buy aggressively until this stock heads towards initial direction.
6. Check price action around opening range high or opening range low
7. Those stocks that trade back above the opening range price are likely to go even higher. This is
because of new bulls entry plus short cover buy order .so after the reaction period market set the tone
of the morning trend
TIME PULLBACK
TIME CORRECTION(Stock to digest the directional move is through a time correction. In a time correction
the stock move in horizontal, low volatility trendless manner. Generally strong trend has time correction
Because the pullback is shallow, it’s difficult to time your entry on a pullback. Instead, you can look to trade
the breakout
1. Initial upward movement shows the direction of major interest. Then a stock meets resistance and
consolidates under this level .If the stock is strong enough to stay close to the resistance level without
sharp retracement, it means that the path of least resistance is still upward and that the stock is likely
to continue in the same direction as soon as it digests the distribution
2. Smart money slowly and discreetly accumulate their positions is in sideways price action. There they
can hide their activity perfectly. A sideways price action is a place where big institutions are getting
ready for action
3. Once bulls confident that the bears will fail to reverse the trend ,bulls buy again with tighter stop loss
4. We prefer the range of the consolidation to be narrow
Step to follow
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand VWAP Trading concept in a more
better way.
In the next article, I am going to discuss Opening Range Trading Strategy in detail. Here, in this article, I try
to explain the VWAP Trading in detail. I hope you enjoy this article. Please join my Telegram Channel to
learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
1. Different market sentiment is like related to the prospects of a specific company. There is also
sentiment based on the company’s industry group, and there is sentiment regarding the condition of
the whole market(corona effect)
2. The force behind any price move is market’s mood or sentiment. Not news or earning, there are
already happen. I mean old.in good news price fall why?
3. Sentiment represents bullish or bearish feelings for the future prospects of a stock. This means the
current movements of a stock’s price are dictated by what the market expects will happen in the
future, not what has already taken place. Any news is old; any reported earnings data is old
information.
Opening price
The Opening Price is the first trade of the day. Balance point of current day. Daily open price act as support
and resistance.
OPENING CANDLE SUGGEST THE SENTIMENT FOR THE DAY. IF FORMED AT KEY SR
LEVEL(PDL/PDH/LSL/LSH)
Clean ,Strong wide range candle with volume indicate strong market sentiment
PIN BAR FROM PDH/PDL also suggest strong sentiment
The proper knowledge of opening candle and the price action around a reference point very crucial for
successful trades. Follow the trend
Initial move
Smart money
Retailer
Market always looks to handle the current business first. So the initial move will usually tell us about,
Who were the trapped traders from yesterday scampering for an exit today?
Who missed an entry yesterday and are rushing into the morning markets?
Who is driving the price?
once the current business is taken care of, we can then start looking for the serious traders trying to give
market a direction.
The “Morning Specials” is composed with two scenarios which can trap novice traders to believe market is
moving in one direction, but in fact, reversal is just around the corner.
1. Often you see price is moving in one direction very strongly from the opening bell. The momentum is
so strong, it creates a parabolic curve. It makes you regret not entering early. But don’t get trapped,
this parabolic move often get reversed. The psychology behind this is that trend is healthy when it’s
made of average trend bars closing near the extremes, consecutiveness and small corrections. But
when the momentum gets out of control, such as a parabolic curve with gigantic bars without
pullbacks, control has to be restored. Too fast too big is a problem because there is no consistency.
Market is balanced, where both bulls and bears can profit. If price is only favoring one side, resistance
will be met. Keep this in mind when you see volatile movement in the early morning. When you
see clear signs of failure or exhaustion, counter it.
2. Operator will run the price down fast from opening and or below any reference point this action
creates interest among the traders and brings in selling .Smart money objective are
To test the selling power of public also who long now wind and exit
The stock of which in turn is demand by the operator and gives him a chance to buy a little long stock
and put out some long orders.
Initial indication of trend change
Down opening from strong close or up opening from week close indicate may be the beginning of the
change of the trend either way(or type 2)
When the pullback is deeper and stronger than expected, let it roll over. Wait for test
Low volume move
Opening range is defined as the difference between the previous day close to today high or low ,as shown in
left side of image
Initial range defines as the difference between the firs high and low of the day. So assume opening range
and initial range has same meaning. So next onward opening range means initial range
Why you should study Opening Range?
Stocks at opening usually experience violent price action that arises from heavy buy and sell orders
that come into the market. This heavy trading in the first five minutes is the result of the profit or loss
taking of the overnight position holders as well as new investors and traders
Wise traders sit on their hands and watch for the opening ranges to develop and allow the other
traders to fight against each other until one side wins.
Then develop a trade plan in the direction of the opening range breakout
The Opening Range Trading Strategy is consisting of price and volume as inputs to determining
the current bias ( bullish, bearish or neutral of the stock’s trading activity)
The Opening Range Trading Strategy is the difference between the first high and low of the day.
How to find high and low? At least one candle should be completely against the trend. If that candle
has low volume it suggests more strength on trend cont.
Depend open the Opening Range, we can predict what types of day may occur
There are various types of day pattern, but generally these four types day pattern are occur again and again
Trend Day
Double-Distribution Trend Day
Typical Day
Trading Range Day
Trend day
RANGE DAY
Typical day
We will ask five questions for analyzing opening range .The answers to these questions will give your insight
into the stock’s current condition.
BIG PICTURE
Inside or outside of previous day range. Identify the opening range and see where the opening range
stands, above or below the previous day range (PDR)
Is market structure change
Identify the opening range and see whether the opening range low at support or opening range high at
resistance.
Why is it important to establish whether or not the low (high) represents significant support
(resistance)? When you are trading using the OR you will approach each day assuming that the OR
high and low are likely to be important price levels
If you knew that a particular price level was likely to be either the high for the day or a significant
breakout point, wouldn’t you want to focus on that stock and that price level? You don’t need to know
anything about the OR to understand that.
Where was the last SR crack, on upside or downside, successful crack or failure
Bias of the day(bullish ,bearish,neutral)
Opening range represents the bulls and bears establishing their initial positions for the day.
The most basic application of the opening range principle is that, when a stock move away from the
opening range indicates that one side is stronger than the other. When a stock moves above the
opening range the bulls are in control. This means the prevailing sentiment in the stock is bullish. The
manner in which the stock breaks above and trades above the opening range will indicate the strength
of the bullish sentiment.
Don’t buy aggressively until this stock heads upward. Those stocks that trade back above the opening
price are likely to go even higher. This is because of new bulls entry plus short cover buy order .so
after the reaction period market set the tone of the morning trend
Check bias with trend
Identify how much a stock retraces in relative to how much initial move in the opening range. And pay
attention to the reaction and how stocks tend to act during this period
Flat pullback (price consolidate high of the day). Look to see if most of the trading is near one end of
the range. Has the stock spent most of its OR period near the highs of the OR? If so, this is bullish
Strong buy signal.
If a stock goes from an up opening and then sells off and remains beneath its opening price after the
morning pullback has stabilized, it’s possible that the stock has reached its high of the day.
however , if a stock gaps up and pulls back during the morning pullback , but then rallies to break
above its opening price , the mark-up was probably not trap gap and the stock should make new
intraday highs
Volume activity for the entire Opening Range?
Big volume during the OR means there is something unusual going on and that is exactly what you
want if you are looking for a big breakout day
Note: Volume it is important to watch the volume carefully, when determining if price will continue with the
direction of opening range
If stock up and the volume also high and also the price remain above its opening price after the early
morning pullback, it is an excellent sign that the stock has further to go on the upside.
If high volume appear after a up move and the stock immediately comes under selling pressure
,chances are that this volume was a seller
Let’s understand with a bullish relative strength with respect to index or sector
When the market takes out it’s OR swing low most stocks will follow suit and take out their respective
Opening Range low
1. If Stock hold the open or goes sideways when index down. The stocks that do not trade below their
OR low are demonstrating bullish intraday relative strength. If the market does not follow through in its
breakdown the strong relative strength stocks are the best candidates for an immediate rise in price
2. If the Stock up
These are the sign of strength show in the stock relative to index, don’t short these stock , but patiently wait
for the index to show some strength or turn from down to up , then go long
Sector is indicating some strength on upside as price struggling to close below opening range low and
making higher low .so want bullish stock for long entry
The Opening Range Provides Price Points for Identifying Opportunity and Risk
Entry
1. Breakout
2. Pullback
3. Reversal
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand Opening Range Trading
Strategy concept in a more better way.
In the next article, I am going to discuss Opening Range Breakout in detail. Here, in this article, I try to
explain the Opening Range Trading Strategy in detail. I hope you enjoy this article. Please join
my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
The Opening Range is the difference between the first high and low of the day. How to find high and low? At
least one candle should be completely against the initial move
Momentum is with you – Trading breakouts allow you to enter your trade with momentum at your
back
Catch big trends – If you were to trade pullbacks, sometimes it may never come. But with breakouts,
you never have to worry about missing another move in the markets
It gives us defined entry and exit (stop loss) points.
So breakout should be trade in a proper time. Here are two approaches to trading the breakout designed to
minimize risk:
Tips :-When opening range is not clear ,stay away from opening range trading market
Note-Now onwards we will discuss only bullish breakout. Exact opposite for bear breakout
1. professional
2. Those traders who have shorted the market will now be forced to cover their poor positions by buying
as well. Short covering buy order above the opening range high
3. those traders not in the market may feel they are missing out and will be encouraged to start buying
Identify how much a stock retraces in relative to how much initial move in the opening range.
Pay attention to the reaction and how stocks tend to act during this period
And the volume activity during the opening range period
Based on above three pointers we have divide opening range breakout into 3 types. These are
Opening Range Breakout means price moves below well-defined support (opening range low) or above
resistance (opening range high)
Logic
These are the directional move with smart money participation and conviction. If at the start of a trading
session. An Open-Drive is generally caused participants who have made their market decisions before the
opening bell. The market opens and move aggressively in one direction.
Price consolidate AT opening range high
In strong trending markets, you’ll have Flat pullback (price consolidate high of the day).that usually stock
move in horizontal, low volatility trendless manner. Most of the trading is near one end of the range. A
Structural Feature Sign of Strength Price holds gains after an up move “Eating through” residual supply
OVERLAPPING BAR hugs the level. It shows his level is no longer a strong reference point, The price
will move with the current pressure. If the level is strong then price should react immediately
retailer’s taking profit to reduce risk .market pulls back and goes sideways. Once bulls confident that
the bears will fail to reverse the trend, bulls buy again with tighter stop loss(if find this pattern find
middle of the trend)
Price should above vwap
Price should not break opening range high
Price consolidate within a tight trading range
Volume
Initial move volume should be clearly expansion than previous day volume
If Smart Money wants to buy stock, we would see that on the open with high volume and strong directional
move.
Rules for opening range breakout
1. Wait for the first initial move to complete. should be strong candle
2. Volume should be clearly expansion than previous day
3. Price consolidating at high of the day(flat pullback)
4. High of the opening range should not break
5. Declining or lower volume on retracement candle
6. Price must be above vwap
7. Entry above opening range high
8. Stop loss below opening range low
logic
The big institutions who move and manipulate the market build up their massive trading positions in a well-
defined trading range .After they fully enter their positions, then they initiate strong and aggressive buying or
selling activity to move the price. They strive to move the price in the direction of their newly accumulated
positions.
Characteristic of re accumulation
Smart money obserbing supply at resistance. Means smart money obserping supply coming from ,long
liquidation, profit taking, and new short selling.
breakout candle
Clean wide range candle close above the opening range high
Breakout volume
The danger sign to watch for at the breakout is the opposite price pattern. If the stock breaks out on good
volume but immediately reverses and trades below the breakout point on continued big volume it means that
there is too much supply at the new high price. This is a major warning sign. The big volume at the breakout
will now represent significant resistance if the stock is below it. This pattern of a big-volume reversal at the
top of the OR usually leads to a failed breakout and a selloff.
Often the breakout will occur on light volume but as the stock climbs the volume will increase. This is also a
positive sign.
BREAK OUT NEEDS FOLLOW THROUGH
Hunting the stops is a phrase that describes a situation where smart money push the stock to trade above
(resistance) a certain price because they expect that there are a lot of resting orders to buy the stock if it
trades above that particular level. The motive for doing this is that if the trader buys the stock to trigger an
advance through the price then the flurry of stop orders will push the price even higher, at which point the
trader would sell the stock to the stop orders being executed. If a breakout is created by a large number of
stop orders being executed, the subsequent price action will usually be an immediate reversal back into the
range. An immediate reversal is therefore a warning sign that the breakout is not going to be clean!
Traders like to see confirmation after breakout. One more bullish candle after breakout candle. A bull break
followed by bull break is a sign of follow through and thus an indication of bullish enthusiasm, for as long as it
lasts.
If price up and the volume also high and also the price remain above its opening price after the early
morning pullback, it is an excellent sign that the stock has further to go on the upside.
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand Opening Range Breakout concept
in a more better way.
In the next article we will discuss about two more price action opening range entry. Here, in this article, I try
to explain the Opening Range Breakout in detail. I hope you enjoy this article. Please join my Telegram
Channel to learn more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Volume, or trading volume, is the amount (total number) of shares or contracts that were traded during a
given period of time. Generally, the volume shows the interest of buyers and sellers. In above example
volume clearly shows buyers more interested than sellers
These rules are popularly known as WYCKOFF BASIC LAW. Now let’s understand the 3 fundamental rules
of RD Wyckoff
When demand is greater than supply then the price will rise to meet this demand and conversely when
supply is greater than demand then the price will fall
The law of cause and effect, basically, tells us that we cannot get something from anything. When the market
enters a period where demand exceeds supply or, where there is an excess of supply over demand, it is not
just a freak occurrence. Each of these comes out of a period of preparation and the extent of that preparation
has a direct and inseparable effect on the final result. If there is no preparation, there will be no move.
THE LAW OF CAUSE AND EFFECT: The effect will be directly proportional to the cause other words a small
amount of volume action will only result in a small amount of price action. If the cause is large then the effect
will be large vice a versa
Trading range(accumulation/distribution)
Chart pattern
THE LAW OF EFFORT VS RESULT
The market, or a stock, is continually attempting to go one way or the other. These attempts may be very
short in duration or quite lengthy. Either way, they represent an effort generally expressed in terms of volume.
When the price responds to the effort, an important price movement is likely. When the effort and result are
contrary(divergence) in nature, there is likely to be an important change in the direction of the price.
THE LAW OF EFFORT VS RESULT: Similar to newton’s third law. Every action must have an equal and
opposite reaction in other words the price action on the chart must reflect the volume action below. Effort
(volume) seen as the result (price), where validated and divergence comes to consider
1. As discussed in multiple time frame analysis. define the nearest supply and demand zone
2. Let the price comes to the zone and analyses the candle associate with volume at the zone
3. See either reversal or continuous volume and price action
In the next article, I am going to discuss Volume Price Action Analysis in detail. Please watch the following
video if you want to learn and understand the Volume Analysis in Trading concept in a better way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain the 3 Rules for Volume Analysis in Intraday Trading in detail. I hope
you enjoy this Volume Analysis in Trading article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and
clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
In the first part we have studied 3 law of volume analysis. These are
Based on these laws we know analysis the big picture that is market structure analysis using volume.
Because our the final decision making depend open the market structure
Market Structure
It is similar to learning to read a new alphabet-once you understand the characters, you can read the words,
and once you know the words you can read the story. So market structure consist of short term swing
Market move in up down swing, what we call a market swing. In a healthy bull trend, the upswing
generally exceed the downswing in length, the reverse is true for the bear market
Hence by observing market swing , we are able to glimpse into the structure of the market and get
clues on whether the market will move up or down
So basically price move in uptrend or down trend
1. In a healthy bull trend Price Make Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL)
2. In a healthy bear trend Price make Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL)
Let’s understand the rally (opposite for decline)
Daring the rally, what has been going on? Two things
1. First the buying of stock by those who are covering their previous short sales(after knowing that they
are in wrong direction) and
2. Second ,actual new buying by those who expect the advance to continue
1. If the rally is due to more short covers than long buyers then , it is likely to be decline in future
2. If the rally is due to actual new buying , the trend is likely to continue
How can I tell which type rally is? (Short covering or long buying)
If PRICE is rising with momentum and VOLUME is rising, it means market is STRONGLY BULLISH.
The move is by long buyers. HARMONEY
If PRICE is rising but VOLUME is falling and momentum also falling, it means market is WEAKLY
BULLISH. The move is by short covering. DIVERGENCE
It should be noted that the price movement will be in direct proportion to the amount of effort expended.
If the effort is in harmony with the result it is a sign of strength of the movement and suggests its
continuation. If the effort is in divergence with the result it is a sign of weakness of the movement and
suggests a reversal.
The result tends to be in direct proportion to harmony or divergence. If divergence is suggested, a
smaller divergence tends to generate a smaller result and a larger divergence, a larger result. On the
other hand, If harmony is suggested, a greater effort will cause a movement of long duration; while a
slight effort will be reflected in a movement of shorter duration
1.If PRICE is rising and VOLUME is rising, it means market is STRONGLY BULLISH.
Volume helps us to determine the health of a trend. An uptrend is strong and healthy if volume increases as
price moves with the trend and decreases when price goes counter trend (correction periods or ‘pull backs’).
2.If PRICE is rising but VOLUME is falling, it means market is WEAKLY BULLISH. Uptrend weakening
When prices are rising and volume is decreasing, it tells that a trend is unlikely to continue. Price may still
attempt to rise at a lesser pace, and once sellers take control (which is usually signified by an increase in
volume on a down bar or candle), prices will fall
The movements of the price do not develop in periods of time of equal duration, but that they do it in swing of
different sizes, for this reason we have to study the relation between the upward and downward swings
The swing of the market furnishes a clear insight into changes in supply and demand. By learning to judge all
sizes (both up and down swings) of market swings, you will gradually learn to spot the time when a rally, and
the time when a reaction has stopped and is about to reverse. These are the turning points.
Here we have to find out
1. Strength and weakness of swing through volume analysis or find out harmony and divergence
2. volume analysis at key level for decision making
There are two methods to find out strength and weakness in swing through volume analysis
A Compare the volume of the current price swing with the volume of the previous
price swing in the same direction?
Means compare the current impulse swing vs. previous impulse swing. What it is telling? Volume increasing
or decreasing or same volume
Compare the volume of UP-swings (A) and upswing (B). Note the decreased VOLUME of the swing
(B), indicating a reduction in bullish VOLUME. Weakness is appearing on the bullish side.
When prices are rising and volume is decreasing, it tells that the trend is unlikely to continue. Price
may still attempt to rise at a slower pace, and once sellers take control (which is usually signified by
an increase in volume on a down bar or candle), prices will fall
The move is by short covering RALLY
A low volume up swing as the market attempts to rally above these old top is telling you clearly that
the market is not going anywhere
High volume up bars in the same areas is certainly indicating that there is supply in the market. If the
market makers and specialist are still bullish they will have to absorb any supply that appears, this will
allow prices to continue up.
Compare the volume of the current price swing with the volume of the previous
price swing in the opposite direction?
Means compare impulse volume vs. retrace (pullback) volume. In general a healthy trend has increasing
volume on impulse move and decreasing volume on retrace volume
When comparing current down swing B volume with previous up swing A volume . it shows volume
decreasing . Strength is now clearly on the bullish side.
Price movement is expected in the direction of strength .When prices are falling and volume is
decreasing, it tells traders that the trend is unlikely to continue in the down direction. Price may still
attempt to fall at a slower pace, and once buyers take control (which is usually signified by an
increase in volume on a up bar or candle), prices will move up
When comparing current upswing B volume with previous up swing A volume IT SHOWS PRICE is falling
and VOLUME is rising, it means bearish PRESSURE OVERCOME bullish PRESSURE . TREND
CONTINUE IN down DIRECTION
In the next article, I am going to discuss Volume Spread Analysis in Trading in detail. Please watch the
following video if you want to learn and understand Volume Price Action Analysis concept in a more better
way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain the Volume Price Action Analysis in detail. I hope you enjoy this article.
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Volume Analysis in Trading Volume Spread Analysis in Trading
Volume Spread Analysis in Trading
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
Lets understand bullish trend formation. Bearish trend turned to bullish trend
We will come this market structure later. Just understand the overall concept
1. Average volume
2. Below average volume
3. High volume
4. Ultra high volume
Rule -: You can visually compare Mountain Peaks to identify volume peaks structure. The key is to
understand the structure of the peak clearly. Volume peak has following characteristics:
Average and Above Average Volume: Above Average Volume is the Highest Volume in the current session
which is higher than the average volume but it is lower than the previous peak Volume. Average Volume is
the volume that coincides with Moving Average 20 of the volume indicator
High volume and Ultra high volume: high volume is volume equal to previous pick volume. Ultra High
Volume is the Highest Volume in the current session. It is higher than the previous peak volume.
Bearish Volume is marked in Red and it shows bearish activity. Bullish Volume is marked in green and it
shows bullish activity. If demand volume greater than supply volume then overall bullish volume
VOLUME SPREAD ANALYSIS (VSA) in Trading
In volume spread analysis few facts which we are required for chart analysis. These facts are:
1. price movement,
2. volume(the intensity of the trading)
3. the relationships between price movement and volume (harmony or divergence)
4. the time required for all the movements to run their respective action
Spread: Spread is the difference between Opening and closing of the price. See the diagram below for
further illustration.
Volume: Volume is the activity of the frequency of transaction of the price change during a specified period
of time.
Close: Close price tells us where the balance point at the end of the period.
Upside move with respected to volume
• Smart money are selling into the public buying – Higher volume.
Now we have found two important rules for volume spread analysis
Rule Number 1-‐ Weakness appears on an Up candle. Supply when it comes, it comes on an up
candle.
Rule Number 2-‐ Strength Appears on a Down candle. Demand when it comes, it comes on a down
candle.
Some volume spread analysis that suggests the end of down trend. These are
1. Selling climax
2. Stopping volume
3. End of falling market
There must be trend to reverse. (after a significant extended down move on the time frame of interest
)
Trend will accelerate to downside with wide spreads down closing in the middle or high
Volume expands dramatically
Often occurs one more than one bar
Must be tested for entry
1. Either the professional money is BUYING into the SELLING [see end of a DOWN market].
2. There is a trading range OR technical support level to the left and .(trend continuation)
If buying during the Selling Climax was principally for the purpose of supporting prices temporarily and
checking a panic, or relieving a panicky situation, this support stock will be continue after a technical bounce
from support .if price supply sufficiently to drive prices through the lows of the climax day and bring about a
new decline, that is, a resumption of liquidation.
Trend reversal after selling climax
After a technical rally, if prices test climax low with volume decreasing and hold around or above the climax
lows, then we have an indication of support and the completion of liquidation. This tells us that there is no
selling pressure or no Supply, (i.e. no more sellers) an obvious conclusion that the market is going to rally as
shown in the right side of image
If the ‘test’ is successful, we can expect higher prices, especially if the test is on low volume and narrow
spread down bar into the same area where you first saw the very high volume. This is a strong BUY signal.
If the volume had represented SELLING, how can the spread be narrow? There are only two possible
outcome for a narrow spread DOWN-day on very high volume.
1. Either the professional money is BUYING into the SELLING [see end of a DOWN market].
2. There is a trading range to the left and the professional money is prepared to absorb the buying from
traders from support region.
After seeing stopping volume .If the ‘test’ is successful, we can expect higher prices, especially if the test is
on low volume and narrow spread down bar into the same area where you first saw the very high volume.
This is a strong BUY signal.
1. If the day closes on the lows, you now have to wait to see what happens on the next day.
2. If the next day is level or up, this must surely show buying on the previous day as well.
3. wait for the market to come back down into the area of stopping volume on LOW VOLUME narrower
spread
4. The time to buy the market is when we begin to trend up As the trend begins .Any reversal candlestick
pattern (like engulfing or outside bar or pin bar). This shows us that there is no sellers or no Supply
5. Buy above that candle
6. STOP LOSS below the low
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concept in a more better way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain Volume Spread Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy this article.
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Basically, smart money testing the selling pressure below support to make sure there is no new business to
be done at these levels. When no selling pressure below low of previous candle, smart money start drive
price up
Reversal candlestick psychology is one of the reasons why reversal patterns are such effective predictors of
price reversals. Here’s an example:
LOW OF BULLISH OUTSIDE REVERSAL PATTERN As support
BULLISH OUTSIDE REVERSAL PATTERN should followed by bullish price action. One more bull candle
should formed to confirm the bullish reversal or validated the bullish engulfing candle
They will work best in trending conditions. Trade with the trend. In an uptrend bullish outside reversal pattern
work better.
Trading
In this article, I am going to discuss Finding Entry Opportunity using Volume Spread Analysis in
Trading. Please read our previous article, where we discussed Volume Spread Analysis in detail. At
the end of this article, you will understand the following pointers.
Risk to reward is favour when we trade from support or resistance level. Generally trade entry types are
SUPPORT
Support as the “buying, actual or potential, sufficient in DEMAND to halt a downtrend in prices for an
appreciable period.” and possibly reverse it , start prices moving up again
RESISTANCE
Resistance, as the selling, actual or potential, in sufficient supply to keep prices from rising for a time. and
possibly turn back, its uptrend
How to find support and resistance zone?
These are the Support and Resistance zone from where we have to find opportunity for trading. Generally
trade entry types are
Weak Highs/Lows.
Previous Day’s High/Low
Day high or low
Testing
What is testing?
Lets discussed for an uptrend (all concept opposite for down trend)
Test is employed to make sure that all the selling (supply) pressure has been absorbed in the accumulation
phase, and this is done with a test of supply.
Many times the smart money is just testing the strength of either buyers or sellers. Usually above or below
important reference points. As smart money don’t want 2 things to happen
1. If they don’t find any supply below or demand above an important reference then they are confident to
move the prices in the opposite direction of the test.
2. But if they do find it, then they usually follow-through and test the next reference for the same
So our entry decision is depend open the test from this support and resistance zone
Rule: Too much supply the market will fall, if there is no more supply the market must go up
Testing types (DEPEND OPEN THE SUPPORT AND RESITACE ZONE TYPE)
Test variation
Characteristics
No Supply candle means that there is lack of supply and demand is overpowering supply causing
price to rise in future.
Please note that No Supply candle is a continuation signal not a reversal signal.
The background is important here, this is only an entry to the long side if you have strength in the
background, not weakness means if it is appears after bullish momentum
1. Since we have the Bullish momentum. We can go long during uptrend whenever no Supply Signal
appears
2. When you see No Supply with climactic action in the background this indicates higher prices
so enter a buy order above the high of the no supply candle
SWING TEST FOR REVERSAL
When the market is testing supply any down-move dipping into an area or price range where there was
previous high volume (previous selling), which then returns to close on, or near the high, on lower volume, is
a clear signal to expect higher prices immediately. This is a successful test. Lower volume depicts that the
amount of trading that took place on the mark-down was reduced, that now there is less selling, when
previously there had been a lot of selling. At this point, it is now important to see how the market- reacts to
the strength seen in the testing.
YOU MUST have strength in the background, such as stopping volume or selling cliamx. Place a stop under
the low of the climactic bar and place a buy order above the test bar. A test can fail and you can re-test an
area several times before the market moves up, so placing an order above the test lets the market come to
you. If the test fails you are not in the position.
Result based on testing volume
If there is still too much supply a test can fail and if you see a failed test in a weak market it confirms that the
market will continue to fall.
If the stock recovers towards the high and the volume is low it would mean that there was no supply. If the
volume is high and if the price fails to recover it would mean that there still supply present.
When the market is testing supply any down move dipping into an area or price range where there was
previous high volume (previous selling ), which then returns to close on, or near the high, on lower volume, is
a clear signal to expect higher prices immediately. This is a successful test.
Lower volume depicts that the amount of trading that took place on the mark-down was reduced, that now
there is less selling, when previously there had been a lot of selling. At this point, it is now important to see
how the market- reacts to the strength seen in the testing.
With the test now confirmed the insiders can move the market higher to the target distribution level, confident
that all the old selling has now been absorbed
What price action should follow after successful test ?
If you are in a bearish market, you may see at times, what appears to be a successful test? However, if the
market does not respond to what is normally an indication of strength after a successful test , then this shows
further weakness.
Any testing that does not respond immediately with higher prices, or certainly during the next candle or so,
can be considered an indication of weakness. If it were a true sign of strength, the smart money would have
stepped in and would be buying the market – the result of this smart money support would be the beginnings
of an upward trending market .The specialist or smart money is never going to fight the market. If, in smart
money view, the market is still weak on these days, he will withdraw from trading. The market will then be
reluctant to go up, even if it looks as if it should go up, because there was little or no selling on the ‘test’
candle
However, what if the test fails and instead of low volume appearing there is high volume, which is a problem.
This has resulted in sellers returning in large numbers and forcing the price lower.
While a higher volume test usually results in a temporary move, and will be re-test of the same price area
again at a later time. This action sometimes results in a “W/M” pattern. This volume price action is
sometimes referred to as a “double bottom (W)/double top (M)”. The “W” shape volume price action results
from the action of re-testing an area that had too much supply before. Vice a versa for “M” pattern
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand How to Finding the Entry
Opportunity using Volume Spread Analysis in Trading concept in a more better way.
In the next article, I am going to discuss Spring and Upthrust Trading Strategy. Here, in this article, I try to
explain Finding Entry Opportunity using Volume Spread Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy
this article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
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Candlestick Pattern Analysis Spring and Upthrust Trading
Strategy
Spring and Upthrust Trading Strategy
Back to: Trading with Smart Money
1.What is spring
2.Logic behind spring
3.Some element for determining spring
Spring and trend
Spring and volume
Spring and follow-through
5.When should avoid trading spring
6.My trading setup using spring
Price dips below support and rallies to close on or near its high and back above support, so there
should be a clear minor or major support zone
Failure to follow-through after breaking below support or recent swing low
All bullish pin bar is not spring but all spring is a bullish pin bar
Logic
A spring is an example of a “bear trap”. WHY? Because price drop below support appears to signal
resumption of the downtrend. But In reality, the drop marks the end of the downtrend, thus “trapping” the late
sellers, or bears.
The strength of the sellers can be judged by the depth of the price drive to new lows below the support and
the relative level of volume on that penetration.
A spring involves the penetration of a well-defined support level on low or moderate volume .think if a stock
going to break the support, it must break with high volume .the spring action shows that the stock trying to
break down and failed. It is an important sign of strength
During an uptrend
Pullback
1. They will work best in trending conditions. During an uptrend when bullish signal appears, we go long.
2. A retracement to a prior resistance now- support area is a typically excellent trade
3. Fibonacci retracement level also worked well
During a downtrend
During a downtrend when spring signal appears then we need a retest of that spring before we can go long.
Condition
Volume should be lower than the original anchor(where support first occurred ) candle at support, when price
retrace first time to support the candle should have low volume than the anchor candle
The shallow price penetration and low volume indicate sellers are exhausted. springs should be bought
immediately.
High volume spring
High volume indicates demand coming in, as we trade with the trend , springs should be bought immediately.
If we want to trade for trend reversal. High volume indicates presence of sellers more likely to test
immediately or after some rally.
In order to justify buying on the test of the spring, two criteria must be met.
1. First of all, the volume on the test must be lower than on the spring itself. If it is not, nothing is proven
and no buying should be done.
2. Secondly, the price should hold at a higher level on the test than on the spring, It is especially positive
if the price supports at or above the support level on the test.
If these two criteria are met, the stock can be bought on the test of the spring. Immediately after the test, the
stock should begin a rally.
If a spring fails to rally away from the SUPPORT and price hangs near the Spring low, then Something is
likely wrong
WHEN SHOULD AVOID TRADING SPRING
Supply dominated
In a Downtrend where supply is dominated. the swing down to Spring has supply(price decreasing and
volume increasing) compare to demand swing, the odds of success are low
Momentum should be loss when approaching support and the spring indicate strength this is good context. If
momentum increases when approaching support and the next is a spring ,the context is not showing strength
and the spring should be see in suspect
If last swing high is characterized by diminishing demand(price increasing and volume decreasing ) odds for
success are lower
ELEMENT REQUIRED
SPRING
WELL DEIFINED SUPPORT
VWAP
Support
Time frame:
5 minutes
Applicable
Both stock and index
Context or background
Set up condition
Entry
Stop loss
Target
Next resistance
Or any bearish reversal price action
Here, in this article, I try to explain Spring and upthrust Trading Strategy. I hope you enjoy this article.
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1. The Shakeout
2. Stop hunting
3. Outside Reversal Pattern
Today we will discuss volume spread analysis intraday trading strategy. Basically, volume spread analysis
entry strategy based on reversal trading. That means finding a turning point in a trend either
Trend reversal or
Pullback reversal
Today will discuss pullback reversal. I mean how to make a trade based on volume spread analysis in an
existing trend
Note: – today we will discuss only finding an entry in an uptrend. Exact opposite for downtrend
Volume spread analysis that suggests a sign of the end of downtrend or end of the pullback in an exiting
uptrend these are
1. Selling climax
2. sopping out volume
3. End of a falling market
The above points are discussed in this article Volume Spread Analysis
1. OUTSIDE/ ENGULFING
2. STOP HUNTING
3. SHAKEOUT
We have discussed this article here .so please go through this article for more information
Outside Reversal Pattern
Background:
The background is extremely important. You should see strength in the background. You should see strength
in the background with stopping volume or a selling climax OR end of a falling market
Stop hunting
Logic
Smart money placed limit sell order above resistance and limit buy order below support to absorb panic
buying or selling by retailers for breakout trading entry by placing stop loss buy order above resistance or
stop loss sell order below support
1. To get volume
2. Avoid Slippage due to big order
3. Smart money testing demand above old resistance before moving down or testing supply below
support before moving up
Spring is an example of a “bear trap”. WHY? Because price drop below support appears to signal resumption
of the downtrend. But In reality, the drop marks the end of the downtrend, thus “trapping” the late sellers or
bears.
The strength of the sellers can be judged by the depth of the price drive to new lows below the support and
the relative level of volume on that penetration.
A spring involves the penetration of a well-defined support level on low or moderate volume .think if a stock
going to break the support, it must break with high volume .the spring action shows that the stock trying to
break down and failed. It is an important sign of strength
Background:
The background is extremely important. You should see strength in the background. You should see strength
in the background with stopping volume or a selling climax OR end of a falling market
The Shakeout
As the name suggests shaking out weak holder’s .in an existing uptrend shaking out week buyers
If this is seen in an uptrend it is a very strong buy opportunity. Think of Smart Money, they have to buy
at lower prices and will do anything to get the price down to buy more of the instrument they are
accumulating.
Design to lock in weak shorts and shakeout early longs
SHAKEOUT is a maneuver used to catch stops and trap breakout traders. It is often observed right
before the market is about to take off in a particular direction.
SHAKEOUT can be a sign of strength or a sign of weakness depending on the direction of the
SHAKEOUT
Background:
The background is extremely important. You should see strength in the background. You should see strength
in the background with stopping volume or a selling climax OR end of a falling market
Future DIRECTION
A ‘Shakeout’ on low volume is really a violent test and has the same effect. It shows supply has
disappeared and you would expect higher prices.
A ‘Shakeout’ on high volume shows demand was prepared to absorb the supply on that bar but they would
likely want to test that supply in the future. Any low volume testing back into the area of the Shakeout would
be a strong SOS.
Where appear shakeout
Price moves within a structural framework of the supply and demand zone. A breakout of the structural
framework supply and demand zone will lead to price movement in the next area of the framework of the
supply and demand zone
1. A call option is said to be in ATM if the strike price is equal to the current spot price of the security.
2. A put option is said to be ATM if the strike price is equal to the current spot price of the security.
1. A call option is said to be in OTM if the strike price is more than the current spot price of the security.
2. A put option is said to be OTM if the strike price is less to the current spot price of the security.
Open interest
If both participants in trade are initiating a new position, the open interest will increase. If both
participants are liquidating an old position, the open interest will decline.
If, however, one participant is initiating a new trade while the other is liquidating an old trade, open
interest will remain unchanged.
Never think that since PRICE is rising, more LONGS are being created than SHORTS. LONGS will always
be equal to SHORTS just that LONGS are dominating SHORTS in the transaction, that is why PRICE is
rising
The number of shares bought is ALWAYS EQUAL to the number of shares sold. Then why PRICE rises or
falls? because of buying pressure or selling pressure. So, if buyers of a contract are dominating the sellers,
PRICE will rise and if sellers are dominating the buyers, PRICE will fall. But BUYERS will always be equal to
SELLERS. So, open interest is rising, which means new contracts are being added. But since PRICE is
rising with it, it means that LONGS are DOMINATING the transactions. Thus, market/share is STRONGLY
BULLISH. Opposite for bearish trend
It takes conviction to sell as there is Unlimited risk and more money required
Sellers are usually someone with Big money like Big Institutions
Buyers are usually retail traders as it is convenient with the less required capital
Institutions are usually right
Large option open interest means massive bet against that strike price
STEP 1 find the highest OI column on both sides (call and put side)
STEP 2 note the corresponding change in OI
SUPPORT (PE) biggest open interest number + positive change in open interest
RESISTANCE(CE) biggest open interest number + positive change in open interest
CALLS PUTS
+ve change in OI implies that call writers are +ve change in OI implies that put writers are
selling because they feel the stock will not selling because they feel the stock will not
rise above the respective level fall below the respective level
-ve change in OI implies that call writers are -ve change in OI implies that put writers are
squaring up because they feel the stock will squaring up because they feel the stock will
rise above the respective level fall below the respective level
1. LONG BUILDUP
2. LONG LIQUIDATION
3. SHORT BUILDUP
4. SHORT COVERING
LONG BUILDUP in Option Chain Analysis
If PRICE is rising and open interest is rising, it means the market is STRONGLY BULLISH. LONG
BUILDUP
If PRICE and OI both are rising, it means that the new contract that is being added is dominated by
bulls, that’s why PRICE is rising with every new contract addition.
If PRICE is rising but open interest is falling, it means the market is WEAKLY BULLISH. Short
covering
If PRICE is rising but open interest is falling, it means that the rise in price is due to SHORT
COVERING and not bullishness. See why is OI falling? It’s falling because positions are being
squared off and the number of open contracts in the market is reducing. But since PRICE is rising with
it, it means that SHORTS are SQUARING OFF and dominating LONGS in the transaction. See, how
would SHORTS square off? They will square off by BUYING. That is why PRICE is rising. So, PRICE
is not rising because LONGS are dominating. It is rising because SHORTS are dominating the
squaring off process. Thus, it can not be called BULLISH. It is WEAKLY BULLISH. It can be a TRAP
for new LONGS.
Rally Extrapolating from the general rule, price up with high volume is bullish. However, if open
interest drops during this same trading session, a bearish reading of that variable results. The internal
condition of the market during such a trading session would be that of short covering. A short-covering
rally is a very weak technical situation. The technician can state that the decline in open interest is
more bearish than the high volume is bullish. In fact, if the volume is so high that it can be considered
to be of blowoff proportion, the volume reading would also be bearish-signaling at least a temporary
reversal of the price uptrend
If the price is falling and open interest is rising, it means that SHORTS are dominating the LONGS.
And since open interest is rising, it means that new contracts are being added. But, since the price is
falling, it means the new contracts which are being added are dominated by SHORTS, not LONGS.
Hence, it is STRONGLY BEARISH.
If PRICE is falling and open interest is falling, the market is WEAKLY BEARISH.
If PRICE is falling and open interest is falling, it means that the fall in price is due to LONG
COVERING or also called LONG UNWINDING. See why is open interest falling? It’s falling because
positions are being squared off and the number of open contracts in the market is reducing. But since
PRICE is falling with it, it means that LONGS are SQUARING OFF & dominating SHORTS in the
transaction. how would LONGS square off? They will square off by SELLING. That is why PRICE is
falling. So, PRICE is not falling because SHORTS are dominating and creating new positions. It is
falling because LONGS are dominating the squaring off process. Thus, it can not be called BEARISH.
It is WEAKLY BEARISH. It can be a TRAP for new SHORTS.
In which direction both support and resistance are shifting. if both shiftings higher is indicate bullishly
HOW TO KNOW?
BREAKOUT/REVERSAL
REVERSAL STUDY
If near CE OTM strike price has the highest open interest and positive change in open interest, then
the price will not break that level. means call writers feel that price will not move above that level
PUT WRITER exiting means open interest decreasing in ATM and ITM PE, THEY FEEL THA PRICE
WILL MOVE BELOW THAT LEVEL
BREAKOUT STUDY
If near CE OTM strike price has changed in negative open interest, then the price will break that level.
call writer is exiting means they are feeling price will move up
Addition in ATM AND ITM PE means put writers are bullish
Put Call Ratio (PCR)
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand the Option Chain Analysis concept in
a better way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain the Option Chain Analysis in Trading. I hope you enjoy this Option
Chain Analysis in Trading article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
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1. What is RSI?
2. How RSI indicator works?
3. 4 uses of RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder. Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a
momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI oscillates between
zero and 100
Let’s understand the formula .how it works? The logic behind the RSI. RSI indicator is calculated on closing
price. We can define bullish and bearish price on a closing chart as follows:
1. If current closing price is higher than previous closing price = Bullish trend
2. If Current closing price is lower than previous closing price = Bearish trend
The very first calculations for average gain and average loss are simple 14-period averages(default period):
The first question is what is the average gain? Let me give you a very simple example.
Above is chart connecting 14 closing prices. We are calculating the average gain and loss over the last 14
periods
Let us calculate the simple average price of the gains & losses:
The average of losing bars plus the average of winning bars was =10+10=20
Average gain was 10
So, RSI will be (10 / 20) x 100= 50
The key thing to take note is that the higher your average gain, the higher your RSI is going to be. Make
sense?
Suppose in the above example average gain is 15 and average loss is 5
RSI will be (15/20) x 100= 75
So, when RSI is at 50, it means Average gain is equal to Average loss.
RSI goes up: When your average gain is greater than your average loss in a particular look back period, and
this pretty much means that the size of your bullish candles is larger than the bearish candles.
RSI goes down: When your average gains are smaller than your average loss in a particular look back
period. This means the size of bearish candles is larger than the bullish candles. In other words, the RSI
indicator measures the momentum of price or trend
(Disclaimer: I used a very simplified version of calculation for the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, I
think their calculation used is a little bit more complicated. But again, the concept is the same.)
Parameters
The default look-back period for RSI is 14, but this can be changed. Look-back period for RSI is lowered to
increase sensitivity or raised to decrease sensitivity. 7- Period RSI is more likely to reach overbought or
oversold levels than 14- period RSI.
RSI When above 70 and oversold when below 30. These levels can also be changed if necessary to
better fit the security. For example, if a security is repeatedly reaching the oversold level of 30 you
may want to adjust this level to 20.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought and oversold readings work best when prices move
sideways within a range
During strong up trends, the RSI may remain in overbought for extended periods.
So consider only oversold when trend is strong .reverse for strong down trend
RSI pattern
RSI also often forms chart patterns(like price chart pattern) that may not show on the underlying price
chart, such as double tops and bottoms, support resistance and trend lines .
Uptrend
If RSI above 50.This tells you is that the average gain is larger than the average loss, you can conclude that
it’s in an uptrend. In an uptrend, the RSI tends to remain in the 40 to 80 range with the 40-50 zone acting as
support zone
Downtrend
If RSI below 50 .This tells you that the average loss is greater than the average gain, and you can conclude
that it’s in a downtrend
During a downtrend the RSI tends to stay between the 20 to 60 range with the 50-60 zone acting as
resistance zone. These ranges will vary depending on the RSI settings and the strength of the security’s
trend
DIVEREGNCE
If prices make a new high or low that isn’t confirmed by the RSI, this divergence can signal a price reversal.
Price makes lower low while RSI makes higher low. Why?
A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low and RSI forms a higher low. If RSI does not
confirm the lower low and this shows strengthening momentum. It means there were gains in between while
price made new lows but the gains prevented the RSI from making a corresponding lower low. The logic is
reversed for the Bearish divergence.
Here, in this article, I try to explain RSI Trading Strategy. I hope you enjoy this RSI Trading Strategy article.
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BTST (Buy Today Sell Tomorrow) is a method that allows customers to sell shares before they are credited
into a Demat account or take the delivery of shares. The reverse of BTST is called STBT i.e. Sell Today Buy
Tomorrow
1. It allows you to benefit from the short-term volatility or increase/decrease in the price of the stocks.
2. If you find intra-day trading unprofitable, then BTST gives 2 more days to your trades to improve its
performance.
1. Unlike intraday trading, most stockbrokers do not offer margin to BTST facility.
2. Overnight risk
Here I discussed the breakout trading strategy. read as logic and condition all are the same. Just move to
a daily time frame
Price should close below clean support and above the resistance level
More condition. Go through the above article
Stock selection condition for both BTST Trading Strategy
By studying the above factors we can get a tight grip on what the smart money was trying to achieve and
was that attempt successful. And Possible of the trend for the next day
Internal structure
Only select those stock .which intraday structure is either trending up or down
Select those stock which opening range got breakout and follow-through
If the market closes with an extremely unusual discount (closing at day low) OR excess premium
(closing at day high), it is giving the trader a very loud and clear signal that continuation is likely the
next day.
The last SWING or closing swing often tells the truth about how strong a trend truly is. “Smart
money “shows their presence in the last SWING or closing swing, continuing to mark positions in their
favor. As long as a market is having strong closes (closing at day high), look for an up-trend to
continue.
High volume on the close swing implies continuation the next morning in the direction of the closing
swing.
Data
2) Increase in open interest with an increase in price during the last swing of the trading day.it shows the
strength of the trend
Option data
Note-check option chain video for option chain analysis or you can read here
1. Where is immediate support and resistance or supply and demand zone by technical analysis
2. Options support and resistance level
Odd enhancer
INDEX
1. Trending
2. At support or resistance zone
First Identify the support and resistance zones in the index (nifty). If markets closed near the support
zone, I would know to look for opportunities to buy the next day as the price was likely to rally from that
support zone
Sector selection
look at charts sectors to find some that are also trading near support zone as those sectors would likely rally
from that support zone with the index (nifty ) market the following day. Out of the few sectors, I would always
find one or two that were set up very well with the broad market (index).
News stock
Check history
CHECK the history of the stock and find whether the stock has the capability of moving consecutive
strong days. if yes then select
Ol-OH
Exit
Most of the time these scripts are opened the next day with a gap up .profit should be booked within
5-10 minutes in the next session.
If the price moving strongly from the open in the direction of your entry, you can trail your stop loss
If the market closes with a strong premium (closing at day high) but opens weak (gap down)the next
morning, the odds favor that the first move will be to the upside to test the previous day high(fill the
gap). If the market closes weak, and the futures close with a discount (close at day low), yet the
market gaps up the following morning, the first move should be a retest down to attempt to fill the gap.
If the price gap down (you took BTST).YOU can exit immediately or wait for opening range and place
sop loss or wait for the first five-minute candle and place stop loss. It totally depends open your risk
Entry
After 3:15 pm
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand the BTST Trading Strategy (Buy
Today Sell Tomorrow) concept in a better way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain BTST Trading Strategy (Buy Today Sell Tomorrow). I hope you enjoy
this BTST Trading Strategy (Buy Today Sell Tomorrow) article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn
more and clear your doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Technical Analysis
In this article, I am going to discuss Technical Analysis in detail. Please read our previous article, where we
discussed the Volume Price Action Analysis. At the end of this article, you will understand the following
pointers.
Technical analysis is the study of past market price action to try to gauge what the market might do in the
future.
It states that human behavior will not change and commit to similar things repeatedly. Means chart patterns
in the technical analysis have been used for more than 100 years, and they are still believed to be relevant
and that often repeat themselves. Technical analysis is the study of past market price action to try to gauge
what the market might do in the future.
Newton’s first law of Motion state that “An object at rest remains at rest, or if in motion, remains in motion at a
constant velocity unless acted on by an external force. So, the same way we assume that a trend remains in
force till we don’t see a trend reversal price action that has enough force to change or stop it.
1. We expect an up or downtrend to continue in its current state until the next support /resistance or
unless displaying evidence of weakness within the trend.
2. A sideways trend within the framework is expected to continue in its current state
3. If strength is shown on an approach to a support or resistance, we expect a breakout
Let’s apply this to the nifty 50 chart
Price in uptrend making higher high (HH) and a higher low (HL)
Market Action discounts everything
All known and unknown information related to security is reflected in the price of the stock. Prices represent
the sum total of all the greed, hopes, fears, and Including fundamental or any major event. As soon as new
information comes to light it’s immediately reflected in the stock’s price
1. Technical analysis can be used in stocks, indices, futures, commodities, or any tradable instrument
where the price is influenced by the forces of supply and demand.
2. Technical analysis may not work with micro-cap companies and penny stocks which are controlled
and operated by a handful of operators
We will discuss
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand the Technical Analysis concept in a
better way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain Technical Analysis. I hope you enjoy this Technical Analysis article.
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Market structure gives us bias for trading opportunities. In the bull market, we always look to buy dips
Range market we look for buy low sell high
1. Phases
2. Trend
Phases
All financial markets work on the universal law of Supply and Demand.
Law of Demand– The higher the price of an item, the fewer the demand (buyers don’t want to buy at a
higher price) and lower the price, higher the demand (buyers want to buy at a low price)
Law of Supply– The higher the price of an item, the higher the supply (sellers want to sell at a higher price)
and lower the price, lower the supply (sellers don’t want to supply at a lower price
Smart money are nothing but professional money, big hedge funds and institution’s
If you want to be a successful trader you have to understand where these smart money place
themselves and where their orders are
If you don’t know this you might get trapped by smart money
1. ACCUMULATION
2. UPTREND
3. DISTRIBUTION
4. DOWNTREND
ACCUMULATION
How smart money do that? they buy as much of the stock as possible, without significantly putting the price
up against their own buying until there are few, or no more shares available at the price level they have been
buying at
Accumulation generally takes place within a well-defined congestion area, where the stock appears to have
no interest to either move up or move down. The smart money ensures that the stock is contained below a
certain upper level which is the supply area. At the same time, the smart money also supports the prices
above a certain lower line which is the support area.
rounding bottoms,
reverse head and shoulder and
double bottoms patterns
triple bottom pattern
UPTREND
Once the supply observes by smart money. When general market conditions appear favorable, the Smart
Money can then mark up the price of the stock At some time in the future
First, the market breaks out from the end of the accumulation phase, moving higher steadily, with average
volume. There is no rush as the insiders have bought at wholesale prices and now want to maximize profits
by building bullish momentum slowly, as the bulk of the distribution phase will be done at the top of the trend,
and at the highest prices possible. Again, given the chance, we would do the same
DISTRIBUTION
Smart money will take advantage of the higher prices obtained in the rally to take profits by beginning to sell
the stock back to the uninformed traders/investors
DOWNTREND
Once the distribution completed. the Smart Money can then mark down the price of the stock At some time in
the future. Let’s combine all phase
This cycle of accumulation and distribution is then repeated endlessly, and across all the time frames. Some
may be major moves, and others minor, but they happen every day and in every market
Trends:
Let us first understand what is a trend. In a healthy bull trend, the upswing generally exceed the downswing
in length and making a higher high and higher low, the reverse is true for the bear market
WHY Trend Analysis for Trading?
Trading against the trend, without a trend, or poor quality trends are one of the most common reasons
traders fail.
The quality or strong trends have more predictable success (edge)
Controlled arrangement of price bars and pullbacks provide greater certainty that reverses at supply
and demand happen
Poor or weak trends have lower predictability
Uncontrolled arrangement of price bars and pullbacks into supply and demand lessens chances of a
reversal
Primary trend: In Dow Theory, the primary trend is also considered as a major trend in the market. It has a
long term impact
Secondary trend: Dow calls a correction in the primary trend as a secondary trend. In a bullish market, the
secondary trend will be a downward movement and in a bearish market, it will be a rally.
SHORT TERM trend: The Minor Trend is a corrective move within the secondary trend
The Ultimate objective of technical analysis is to find the location of trend and trade according to the
trend
Some of the tools which are used for technical analysis are
Swing(the building block of trend)
Support and resistance
supply and demand zone
trend line
pattern
gaps
volume
open interest
signal candle for entry
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand the Market Structure in the technical
Analysis concept in a better way.
In the next article, I am going to Market Structure Through Swing. Here, in this article, I try to explain
Market Structure in technical Analysis. I hope you enjoy this Market Structure in the technical Analysis
article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
doubts. https://t.me/tradingwithsmartmoney.
Introduction
Before entry, you must know where buyers in a downtrend and sellers in an uptrend enter. Let me explain if
you know that, this is the end of the swing downswing then you can buy with small risk and exit when you
know that this the end of the upswing. For finding sellers in an uptrend or buyers in a downtrend we have to
analyze swing structure, by weighing the relation of supply and demand
Hence by observing market swing, we are able to glimpse into the structure of the market and get
clues about
These points not random, they created by the market. They represent momentary changes and demand and
supply forces. The bulls could not move the market above the swing high. This means that at that point in
time, no one was willing to offer a price higher than the swing high. Traders saw no value above the swing
high. In the future, his point may act as resistance.
It is similar to learning to read a new alphabet-once you understand the characters, you can read the words,
and once you know the words you can read the story. The first letter to master tells you what market activity
causes the formation of a short-term high or low. If you learn this basic point, the meaning of all market
structures will begin to fall into place.
Defining candle
It focusses the relation between current candle high and low with previous candle high and low
Swing high and swing low
Criteria for drawing swing high and swing low: SWING HIGH or SWING LOW CONSIST OF MINIMUM 5
BAR. The middle bar must be higher high and higher low then the two-proceeding bar and the two-following
bar
Swing Types
Every major market has some pullback that is shallow and some last for one swing. The point where pullback
goes deeper and lasts for more than one swing, forming a LOW. Eventually, this deeper pullback terminated
and the trend resumed. A low becomes a swing low once price breaks out above the last extreme price high
for the resumption of the bullish trend. Let me explain to you
LET’S DO SOME EXAMPLE
All the concept is discussed above are applicable for a swing high and high
When the price cleared the above swing high level. To clear a price level, the market must form a candle that
is completely above the price level. This means if a candle low is higher than a price level, the market has
cleared above the price level.
We will cover this in more details in the price action topic
Charts have actual value in determining the position (location) and probable trend of stocks, by weighing the
relation of supply and demand swing. To study charts, look for the motives behind the action which the chart
displays.
Whenever you read a chart, consider what you see there as an expression of the forces that dominate the
price and when the force lift from prices. Study your chart from the viewpoint of the behavior of the stock, the
motives of those who are dominant in it, and the successes and failures of the buyers and sellers as they
struggle to dominate each other
Important facts that affect the swing are:
1. price movement
2. volume
3. The relationships between price movement and volume
4. The time required for all the swing movements
Observing the sequence of a price swing, we are able to glimpse into the structure of the market and
get clues about
This swing points not random, they created by the market. They represent momentary changes and demand
and supply forces. The bulls could not move the market above the swing high. This means that at that point
in time, no one was willing to offer a price higher than the swing high. Traders saw no value above the swing
high.
Hence, subsequently, when price moves close to or near above a swing high, we must remember that
traders saw no value in buying above that point previously. Assuming that most traders have not changed
their opinions, the price is unlikely to move above the swing high. Effectively the swing high mark a price
area that resists the market from moving up this is what we call a resistance area. Reverse for support area
Changes of impulse and reaction movement (net gain or loss)
By comparing impulse swing with retrace swing we can we can measure the strength of a trend
1. Increased IMPULSE swing is a sign of potential trend strength as the gain is positive. Shortening of
impulse swing is a sign of potential trend weakness.
2. The increased reaction is a sign of potential weakness of a trend. The decreased reaction is a sign of
potential strength of a trend
For more details, please read the following Thrust Pullback article
Thrust Pullback
1. Compare the momentum of the current price swing with the momentum of the previous price swing in
the same direction?
2. Compare the momentum of the current price swing with the momentum of the previous price swing in
the opposite direction?
3. Is the current price accelerating or decelerating? What does that mean?
For more details, please read the following Advanced Price Action Analysis article
The trader will buy aggressively in the vicinity of previously established market support points, as he is
convinced that a rally will generate sufficiently.
When the trader notes diminishing demand in the rallies from each support point, he recognizes that
his opportunity for successful speculation on the ‘Bull’ side is also diminishing
Ultimately, worthwhile opportunity on the long side is gone, and the professional switches his position.
Becoming a short seller at rally tops he increases the supply of stock and this increase intensifies the
progressing imbalance favoring the sellers over the buyers. Again, the transition to a trend condition is
accomplished with the line of least resistance now being a bearish one
TREND and swing
Let’s combine all the above factors. Conventional technical analysis says the market moves in the up-down
wave, what we call market swing. In a healthy bull trend, the upswing generally exceeds the downswing in
length, the reverse is true for the bear market. When a trend fails to make a new high (failed rally), it possibly
indicates a trend change (sideways or reversal).
Volume traded in each swing
In the next article, I am going to discuss Supply and Demand Trading in detail. Here, in this article, I try to
explain Market Structure through Swing. I hope you enjoy this Market Structure through the Swing article.
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1. Supply zone formed due to the smart money placing sell trades, we can confirm this to be a fact
because the market continued to fall after the zone formed (opposite for demand zone)
2. If you are aggressive, you want to buy or sell NOW. In other words: you place a MARKET ORDER to
buy or sell immediately at the best available current price
3. Because your position is pretty big, it won’t be filled all at once. It will get filled fast, you will be able to
enter the whole position, but the position will get split as the price moves upward quickly. It is the
aggressive market participants, who drive the price aggressively up or down with their market orders
4. So, the supply and demand zone can only be seen once price speeds away from the zone. It
indicates that there was smart money buying or selling interest at the origin of that move
Why does the Market return to Supply and Demand Zones?
Please watch the following video if you want to learn and understand the Supply and Demand Trading
concept in a better way.
Here, in this article, I try to explain Supply and Demand Trading. I hope you enjoy this Supply and
Demand Trading article. Please join my Telegram Channel to learn more and clear your
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There are different supply and demand zone patterns. shown below:
There are three main signs of smart money activity we can spot with volume Price Action:
1. If you are aggressive o buy or sell, you want to buy or sell now. It means, you place a MARKET
ORDER to sell or buy immediately at the available current price
2. Because your position is big, it won’t be filled all at once. It will get filled fast, you will be able to enter
the full position, but the position will get split (due to the big position) as the price moves upward
quickly. It is the aggressive market participants, who move the price aggressively up or down with their
market orders.
3. So, the supply and demand zone can only be seen once the price speeds away from the zone. It
indicates that there was smart money buying or selling interest at the origin of that move
1. Strong rejection of price levels is a sudden price reversal. This zone is made when the price goes one
way aggressively and then turns quickly and with the same aggression and speed goes the other way
2. What happens here is that one side of the market is aggressive and moves the price in one way. Then
it clashes with the other side which suddenly becomes even stronger and even more aggressive. So,
the price turns back quickly, and the stronger side takes over. Like V reversal
3. The zone where the other side took over is very significant because it marks a place where strong
market participants rejected aggressively and started a strong countermove. This zone is significant
for us because it will most likely be defended again if the price gets near again. It becomes a new
demand or supply zone.
4. Pin bar or any reversal candlestick pattern formed at this zone