05/03/2022, 19:36 From Grozny to Aleppo to Ukraine, Russia meets resistance with more firepower - BBC News

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From Grozny to Aleppo to Ukraine, Russia

meets resistance with more firepower
By Jeremy Bowen

BBC News, Kyiv

2 hours ago

Syrian civil war

GETTY IMAGES

Buildings in Kharkiv in ruins after sustained Russian bombings

As I write this, the centre of Kyiv and much of its suburbs are largely
untouched. Sirens and alerts punctuate the day.

Everyone here knows that could change, very quickly. By the time you read
this, it might have.

Ukraine's second city, Kharkiv, has already felt some of the force of the
Russian way of war. So have Mariupol and other cities in the east.

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05/03/2022, 19:36 From Grozny to Aleppo to Ukraine, Russia meets resistance with more firepower - BBC News

Russia answers resistance with firepower. Rather than send in men to fight
from house to house and room to room, their military doctrine calls for a
bombardment by heavy weapons and from the air to destroy their enemies.

Kharkiv and the other cities and towns have suffered grievous damage, and as
far as we know many civilian casualties. The seat of Kharkiv's local government
was badly damaged in a missile strike that was filmed. Russian President
Vladimir Putin might be sending a message to Kyiv - look to the east, because
this could happen to you.

The depressing conclusion I've drawn from other wars in which I have seen
Russians in action is that it could get much worse.

'The ground was shaking'

So far, Mr Putin has not given the order to inflict the kind of damage that
Russian forces brought down on Grozny, when the Russian republic of
Chechnya rebelled in the 1990s, and in Syria since Mr Putin intervened in force
in 2015.

I covered the first Chechen war when it started in the winter of 1994-1995.
Just as in Ukraine, the Russian army made serious military blunders in ground
operations. Armoured columns were ambushed by Chechen rebels in narrow
streets and destroyed. Many conscript soldiers did not want to fight and die.

Before the invasion of Ukraine, military analysts assessed that Russia's forces
were now much more professional. Perhaps they are, but Russia's invasion has
once again been slowed by logistical bottlenecks, tactical mistakes and
terrified teenagers who had not been told they were going to war - as well as
resistance as fierce as anything the Chechens offered in 1995.

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05/03/2022, 19:36 From Grozny to Aleppo to Ukraine, Russia meets resistance with more firepower - BBC News

GETTY IMAGES

Chechnya declared independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, and in 1994 Russian forces invaded.
The bombing of Grozny was intense

GETTY IMAGES

In the second Chechen war from 1999-2000, Russian forces again laid siege to Grozny, and intense
fighting lasted weeks

BBC/JEREMY BOWEN
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05/03/2022, 19:36 From Grozny to Aleppo to Ukraine, Russia meets resistance with more firepower - BBC News

Jeremy Bowen (left) with colleagues Scott Hillier and Steve Lidgerwood reported from Grozny in January
1995

In Chechnya, Russia's answer was to use its firepower. In a few weeks, artillery
and air strikes reduced the centre of Grozny, a typical concrete and steel

Soviet city, to rubble. I was in Minutka Square, a centre of Chechen resistance,

on a day when it was hit by repeated air strikes. Civilians were mostly in cellars,
risking death every time they went out to find water or food.

In Minutka Square that day, Chechen fighters were killed by cluster bombs,
and buildings set on fire. Twenty-four hours later, the entire main avenue of
the city was hit by missile strikes and enveloped in smoke and flame. The
ground was shaking where we were filming.

Overwhelmed from the air

The most devastated places I have seen in years of war reporting, apart from
Grozny, were in Syria. The connection is the destructive power of the Russian
military.

Mr Putin's decision to intervene in Syria saved the regime of Bashar al-Assad

and took a big step towards his objective of restoring Russia as a world power.
Two decisive victories over rebels in Syria, vitally important for the regime,
were delivered by the ruthless use of Russian firepower.

The first was in Aleppo at the end of 2016. The eastern side of the city, which
had been held by a variety of rebel factions throughout the war, fell after it
was pulverised by shelling and air strikes. The Assad regime did not need any
encouragement to shell Syrians, but the Russians brought a much greater
level of destructive power. Strategic bombers based at home and in Iran
delivered devastating strikes.

The tactic used in Syria was to encircle and besiege rebel-held areas, pound
them from the air and from artillery batteries, and in the end exhaust the
defenders and any civilians who had not managed to escape. Many of them
were killed.

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05/03/2022, 19:36 From Grozny to Aleppo to Ukraine, Russia meets resistance with more firepower - BBC News

BBC/JEREMY BOWEN

In a devastated street in Aleppo in January 2017

BBC/JEREMY BOWEN

In Eastern Ghouta in Syria in June 2018, with BBC cameraman Nik Millard

When I was able to drive through Eastern Aleppo a few weeks after it fell,
destruction went on for mile after mile. I couldn't see a building that was
untouched. Entire neighbourhoods were left in ruins. Streets were blocked
with mountain ranges of rubble.

I saw the same tactics work in Eastern Ghouta, a string of rebel held towns and
farmland on the edge of the Syrian capital. Its capitulation in 2018 was the
end of the battle for Damascus, that had looked at first as if it could go the
rebels' way. That changed after the US decided in 2013 not to strike the Assad
regime when it used chemical weapons in Douma, one of the area's towns. The
long fight turned decisively in the regime's favour after Russia entered the war
in 2015.

Eastern Ghouta's defenders dug an underground tunnel city to escape the air
strikes and shelling. But siege and overwhelming firepower wins battles. That
is because defenders get killed and exhausted, and civilians, however defiant,
are subjected to such fear and misery that they welcome the respite that
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a e subjected to suc ea a d se y t at t ey elco e t e esp te t at
surrender brings.

In Kyiv, one of the big questions on everybody's minds is whether they are
going to get the treatment meted out not only to Kharkiv, Mariupol and the
rest, but also to Chechnya and Syria.

Will the sanctity of Orthodox shrines create the restraint that was absent in
attacks on Muslims in Chechnya and Syria? Putin himself has written about
Ukraine's significance in Russia's history. Will he be prepared to destroy
Ukraine to regain it? If sanctions and Ukrainian resistance threaten his
regime's stability, will he take more extreme measures?

The record shows that the Russian military compensates for weaknesses in the
capabilities of its ground forces by turning to the big guns. Ukrainians are
praying that will not happen here.

GETTY IMAGES

Kharkiv residents told the BBC that attacks on civilian targets made them feel like they were living in
hell

Russia attacks Ukraine: More coverage

THE BASICS: Why is Putin invading Ukraine?

SCENARIOS: Five ways the war in Ukraine might end

INNER CIRCLE: Who's in Putin's entourage, running the war?

IN DEPTH: Full coverage of the conflict

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