Activity #1.

Probability
Instruction: Solve the following problem. Show complete solution and write
legibly. Round off your final answers to 4 decimal digits. Box your final answers .
1. Four light bulbs are selected at random without replacement from 16 bulbs, of which 7 are
defective. Find the probability that
a) none are defective.
b) exactly one is defective.
c) at least one is defective.
2. In a poker hand consisting of five cards, what is the probability of holding:
a) two aces and two kings?
b) five spades?
c) A, K, Q, J, 10 of the same suit?
3. Two pumps connected in parallel fail independently of one another on any given day. The
probability that only the older pump will fail is .10, and the probability that only the newer
pump will fail is .05. What is the probability that the pumping system will fail on any given day
(which happens if both pumps fail)?
4. a. Beethoven wrote 9 symphonies, and Mozart wrote 27 piano concertos. If a university radio
station announcer wishes to play first a Beethoven symphony and then a Mozart concerto, in
how many ways can this be done?
b. The station manager decides that on each successive night (7 days per week), a Beethoven
symphony will be played, followed by a Mozart piano concerto, followed by a Schubert string
quartet (of which there are 15). For roughly how many years could this policy be continued
before exactly the same program would have to be repeated?
5. Two hundred students were sampled in the College of Arts and Science. It was found that: 137
take math, 50 take history, 124 take English, 33 take math and history, 29 take history and
English, 92 take math and English, 18 take math, history and English. Find the probability that a
student selected at random out of the 200 takes neither math nor history nor English
6. A certain company has two car assembly plants, A and B. Plant A produces twice as many cars as
plant B. Plant A uses engines and transmissions from a subsidiary plant which produces 10%
defective engines and 2% defective transmissions. Plant B uses engines and transmissions from
another source where 8% of the engines and 4% of the transmissions are defective. Car
transmissions and engines at each plant are installed independently.
a) What is the probability that a car chosen at random will have a good engine?
b) What is the probability that a car from plant A has a defective engine, or a defective
transmission, or both?
c) What is the probability that a car which has a good transmission and a defective engine was
assembled at plant B?
7. Three different machines M1, M2, and M3 are used to produce similar electronic components.
Machines M1, M2, and M3 produce 20%, 30% and 50% of the components respectively. It is
known that the probabilities that the machines produce defective components are 1% for M1,
2% for M2, and 3% for M3. If a component is selected randomly from a large batch, and that
component is defective, find the probability that it was produced: (a) by M2, and (b) by M3.