First inning score prediction of an IPL Match
Raja, Prince Sareen and Vikram Kumar
Department of Electronics And Communication, Bharati Vidyapeeth’s College of Engineering, New Delhi, India
Abstract
Cricket is a outdoor game which consists of 2 teams,
one is batting team and the other is bowling team.
There are various format of cricket like Test
cricket ,ODI cricket, and T-20 cricket. Long Cricket
format t takes very much time so for reducing the
playtime nowadays T-20 cricket is widely popular
Due to the popularity of T-20 across cricketing
nations, many countries have started their own
leagues. In India IPL (Indian Premier League) is
very much popular, it's India's own league. The
teams are very much interested in winning the
matches to gain popularity as the advertisement
market gives very much revenue to the team's owner.
Nowadays team's management is using various
technologies to improve their team's performance
and also take help of various technologies to analyse
opposite team's performance Prediction of the score
is one of the most important things in cricket. The
team prepares himself accordingly. So in this
research paper, we have analysed the machine
learning algorithm to find the first inning's predicted
score. In machine learning algorithm we have used
Linear Regression, Ridge Regression for model
building and plot various graphs and find the errors
to evaluate our model. In this model, we have used
the Ipl dataset from Kaggle and cleaned it using
various techniques and used various algorithms.
And after building the model we have analysed it by
finding errors. Then we have deployed it in the user
interface that was built with the help of HTML and
Flask.
Keywords:
Prediction, IPL, Machine Learning, Cricket
1: INTRODUCTION
Cricket- In India it's not a game it's an emotions.
Actually, cricket is an outdoor game played by bat
and ball. The game consists of two teams, one is
batting team and another is a bowling team. The
sport of cricket has a known history beginning in the
late 16th century. Having originated in south-east
England, it became the country's national sport in
the 18th century and has developed globally in the
19th and 20th centuries The British brought cricket
to India in the early 1700s, with the first cricket
match played in 1721. In 1848,
The Parsi[6] community in Bombay formed the
Oriental Cricket Club, the first cricket club to be
established by Indians. After slow beginnings, the
Europeans eventually invited the Parses to play a
match in 1877. There are various forms of cricket
like Test cricket: - nowadays test cricket is of 90
over each day of five days duration. This form is
very time-consuming as the match gets played all
day. One day (50 overs cricket):- In this form, each
team plays 50 overs. It gets almost one day to
complete. T-20 cricket: This form is very popular
across the world as it takes less time than one day
and tests cricket. It almost finishes in 4 hours. Due
to the popularity of T-20 across cricketing nations,
many countries have started their own leagues. Like
big bash league, T-20 blast, PSL, CPL In India IPL
(Indian Premier League) is very much popular, it's
India's own commercial league. There are mainly 8
teams playing consistently in IPL. Matches are
played in various venues. This league generates lots
of revenue. Team's management are very much
interested in winning the matches to gain popularity
as advertisement market gives very much revenue to
the team's owner Prediction of the score is one of the
most important things in cricket. The team prepares
himself accordingly.
So in this research paper, we have analysed the
machine learning algorithm to find the first inning's
predicated score. Machine learning: Machine
learning is a method of data analysis that automates
analytical model building. It is a branch of artificial
intelligence based on the idea that systems can learn
from data and identify patterns and make decisions
with minimal human intervention. In the machine
learning algorithm, we have used Linear Regression,
Rigid Regression for model building and plot
various graphs and find the errors to evaluate our
model. In this model we have used Ipl dataset from
kaggle and cleaned[7] it using various techniques
and used various algorithms. And after building the
model we have analysed it by finding errors. Then
we have deployed it in the user interface that was
built with the help of HTML and Flask
3. METHODOLOGY
This model consists of five sub models like loading
of the data set, preprocessing of data, feature
selection classification using algorithms like linear
regression and Ridge regression in last we compare
all algorithms with each other.
Figure 3.1 Architecture
3.1 LOADING THE DATASET
The data set is ipl.csv it consists of data from 2008
to 2018 where the size of data 118,800 bytes and it
has taken from the kaggle it consists of 76014 rows
and 15 columns. The attributes of the dataset set are
venues batting_team, bowling_team, Players and
many more other attributes.
The data set is loaded into a jupyter notebook and
command ipl.csv is used to upload the data set and
this data is stored in data set named ipl.csv
3.2 PRE-PROCESSING OF DATA
Data preprocessing its play an important role in
machine learning .Transform row data into a useful
data format format it is considered as a a first step
towards processing ans it helps to make good
predictions .
After cleaning we have to search null values ,we
have to remove null values or add some values in
place of null values.After that we convert strings
columns into 0 1 by using OneHotEncoding,
applying test train split method and apply linear
regression for prediction on it and plot a graph.
3.3 FEATURE SELECTION
Feature selection is one of the most important
feature it is used for specific attributes in data set to
maximize efficiency of our prediction. It is
important phase in machine learning because it
significantly improve the performance by
eliminating reductant and irrelevant features and
also at the same time speeding up the learning rate.
3.4 CLASSIFICATION
In Machine Learning, classification is very important
technique to classify different classes. It is a supervised
learning method in which the computer program learns
from the training data, and uses this learning to classify
new data. Here two different classification algorithms
are applied, Linear Regression and Ridge Regression.
3.4.1 Linear Regression
Linear regression is an important technique. Its basis
is illustrated here, and various derived values such
as the standard deviation from regression and the
slope of the relationship between two variables are
shown. The way to study residuals is given, as well
as information to evaluate auto-correlation. Setting
confidence limits is more complex than for means,
and some considerations of how to set then for small
values of X and Y are discussed. The Bland-Altman
method of comparing two variables is described.
Ways of evaluating heterogeneity of variance are
given. The method for comparing the slopes and
elevations of two (or more) data sets is shown, as
well as the way off doing this on-line. There is a
brief discussion the way to detect outliers and their
effects. Finally, the potential errors in using ratio
numbers are explored.
3.4.2 Ridge Regression
Ridge Regression is almost identical to Linear
Regression except that we introduce a small amount
of bias. In return for said bias, we get a significant
drop in variance. In other words, by starting out with
a slightly worse fit, Ridge Regression performs
better against data that doesn’t exactly follow the
same pattern as the data the model was trained on.
It causes high variance among the independent
variables, we can change the value of the
independent variable but it will cause a loss of
information.
3.5 COMPARISON OF ALGORITHMS
It is one of the most widely known modeling
technique. Linear regression is usually among the
first few topics which people pick while learning
predictive modeling. In this technique, the
dependent variable is continuous, independent
variable(s) can be continuous or discrete, and nature
of regression line is linear.
Linear Regression establishes a relationship between
dependent variable (Y) and one or more independent
variables (X) using a best fit straight line (also
known as regression line).
Ridge Regression
Ridge Regression is a technique used when the data
suffers from multicollinearity ( independent
variables are highly correlated). In multicollinearity,
even though the least squares estimates (OLS) are
unbiased, their variances are large which deviates
the observed value far from the true value. By
adding a degree of bias to the regression estimates,
ridge regression reduces the standard errors.
Fig.3.1. Methodology Diagram
4 Discussion
Correlation is an indication about the changes
between two variables. In our previous chapters, we
have discussed Pearson’s Correlation coefficients
and the importance of Correlation too. We can plot
correlation matrix to show which variable is having
a high or low correlation in respect to another
variable.
In the following example, Python script will
generate and plot correlation matrix for the Pima
Indian Diabetes dataset. It can be generated with the
help of corr() function on Pandas DataFrame and
plotted with the help of pyplot.
From the above output of correlation matrix, we can
see that it is symmetrical i.e. the bottom left is same
as the top right. It is also observed that each variable
is positively correlated with each other.
We use HTML & flask to build an amazing UI
Now we can easily predict the score
Then We have to choose the batting team, bowling
team , overs, runs ,wickets, runs scored in previous 5
overs and wicket fallen in previous 5 overs
6. Conclusion

We have done this project by using machine

learning algorithms. 

We have studied various research paper done on

this project. Implemented the algorithms and we
have compared the result of various algorithm
and finally implemented the best result we have
found.

In this project we have predicted the first

inning's score of an Ipl match. We have
implemented the various algorithms like Linear
Regression, Rigid Regression.

The various factors that influence the outcome of

an Indian premier league matches were
identified. Like batting team, bowling team,
runs , overs, fall of wickets.

We are going to compare our result with the

results of research papers with our research
paper.

We have computed the accuracy and we

will compare it with other's research paper in
our research paper.

This work aims at understanding the dataset of past

10 years history of the IPL data. It helps to
understand the four different machine learning
algorithms working principal and their
implementation in R. It creates the Model and
Training dataset and helps to predict with the help of
the model created. The model classifies the data and
compares the results. It takes into consideration the
measures accuracy, error rate, precision, recall,
sensitivity and specificity. Based on this the best
algorithm is selected as Random Forest. This work
focuses on exploring IPL data and presenting its
insights as graphical representation and comparative
analysis. By making use of this, Indian Premier
League and the fan followers can take decisions on
the team’s performance and predict the trophy
winners that will lead to success in future
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