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International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

International Business Review


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ibusrev

The impact of regulations on the FDI-growth nexus within the institution- T


based view: A nonlinear specification with varying coefficients
Elena Kettenia, Constantina Kottaridib,

a
School of Economic Sciences and Administration, Frederick University, 7, Y. Frederickou Street, Pallouriotisa, Nicosia, 1036, Cyprus
b
Department of Economics, University of Piraeus, Karaoli & Dimitriou 80, 18534 Piraeus, Greece

ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT

JEL classification: The impact of Multinational Enterprise (MNE) activities on economic development and poverty reduction
C14 constitute a specific field of study within International Business (IB) scholarship during the last decade.
L51 Extending the institution-based view that “institutions matter”, we shift the focus of interest on the effect of
O43 institutions in the FDI-growth nexus which, surprisingly, have been overlooked by respective literature. A
O47
profound understanding of the FDI impact on economic growth cannot neglect institutions that shape the macro
G28
environment where MNEs operate. Within this rationale, this paper examines the effect of FDI on growth under
Keywords: different formal institutions placing emphasis to credit and labour market regulatory systems in both advanced
FDI
and developing countries. Most empirical studies stemming mainly from the economics perspective, assume that
Institutions
the FDI growth effect is linear and incorporate specific functional forms for their regression relationships. We
MNEs
Regulation rely on more advanced econometric methods that allow for the regression coefficients to vary as smooth
Labour market functions of other variables, allowing for more plausible empirical results. Our findings strongly support our
Credit liberalisation suggestion that the host institutional context shape the strategies, structures and competitiveness of MNEs’
Growth activities which they then affect differently economic growth. We thus provide useful insights regarding the
long-lasting debate on the FDI-growth nexus.

1. Introduction country institutions (Dunning & Lundan, 2008; Peng & Khoury, 2009;
Peng, Wang, & Jiang, 2008; Ramamurti & Doh, 2004). North (1990)
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is considered a bundle of resources, views institutions as “the rules of the game”, creating incentives and
both tangible and intangible, that are transferred across borders and restrictions through regulations that ‘shift the playing field favouring
spillover to the domestic economy generating growth. The impact of some deals and opportunities while discouraging others’ (Mudambi &
Multinational Enterprise (MNE) activities on economic development Navarra, 2002: p. 636). Consequently, MNEs operate in diverse host
and poverty reduction constitute a specific field of study within country environments and face very different sets of institutional con-
International Business (IB) scholarship during the last decade (Ghauri & straints and opportunities; their decisions are thus largely affected by
Yamin, 2009). Globalization and increasing liberalization have trans- the host institutional context, which in turn permits for diverse eco-
formed the context within which the developmental impact of inter- nomic effects in recipient economies. While IB has contributed much to
national business activity needs to be considered (Buckley & Ghauri, understanding how firms deal strategically with institutions, it misses
2004). It is by now acknowledged that positive effects from FDI are not important ways in which institutions through their impact on MNEs’
automatic (Yamin & Sinkovics, 2009) while some scholars claim that decisions and strategies may affect host economic growth.
relatively few countries have been successful in benefiting from FDI In this paper, we focus on formal institutions and include different
(Dunning & Narula, 2004; Lall & Narula, 2004; Nunnenkamp, 2004; credit and labour regulatory regimes in our FDI-growth estimations to
Nunnenkamp & Spatz, 2004). identify whether such regulations enable or hinder the FDI spillover to
Extending the basic proposition that “institutions matter”, we shift the domestic economy. There is a wide diversification between the level
the focus of interest on the effect of institutions in the FDI-growth nexus of regulatory stringency among the countries; for example, Germany,
which, surprisingly, has been overlooked by respective literature. The Finland and Greece are strongly labour regulated while the opposite
institution-based view posits that MNEs are largely affected by host holds for Canada, UK and the US. Moreover, Hong-Kong, Nigeria and


Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: bus.ke@frederick.ac.cy (E. Ketteni), kottarid@unipi.gr (C. Kottaridi).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2018.11.001
Received 13 February 2018; Received in revised form 2 October 2018; Accepted 1 November 2018
Available online 06 December 2018
0969-5931/ © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Malaysia are typical examples of labour deregulated developing OECD 2. Literature review and conceptualization
countries, while Paraguay, Brazil and Venezuela lack behind. Moreover,
many European countries such as Portugal, Romania and Greece are Recent decades have witnessed the development of new in-
heavily credit regulated, while many countries that used to operate in stitutionalism in social sciences (Hall & Soskice, 2001; March & Olsen,
oligopolistic or monopolistic environment, turned to a very competitive 1989; North, 1990; Oliver, 1997; Scott, 1995) hence the proposition
credit (deregulated) environment such as, for example, Denmark, that “institutions matter” is by now well acknowledged. What remains
Sweden, New Zealand, China and Singapore. interesting and worth to explore (Davis, 1971; Peng et al., 2008; Smith,
In the economics literature, we find a revival of concerns regarding 2003) is how institutions matter. Institutions are studied within diverse
regulatory policy formulation both in developed and developing theoretical and methodological approaches in social science, such as
countries in recent years, as the nature of regulation has rapidly and economics (Aoki, 2001; North, 1990), sociology (Powell & DiMaggio,
deeply changed (Katsoulakos, Makri, & Bageri, 2011). Interestingly, 1991; Streeck & Thelen, 2005), and political science (Immergut, 1998;
while there is quite some empirical literature on the beneficial effect of Thelen, 1999). North (1990) suggests that institutions are the “rules of
FDI on growth in more financially developed economies, no study to the game”, while Scott (1995) talks about “regulative, normative, and
date has addressed explicitly the FDI-growth nexus under different cognitive structures and activities that provide stability and meaning to
credit regulation statuses. Simultaneously, recent structural reforms social behavior”. More recently, Morgan (2007) views institutions as
proposed from formal entities such as the EU and OECD, include labour part of national business systems where different forms of capitalism
market reformulation towards more flexibility. There is growing ac- institutionalize particular economic rules of the game that shape the
knowledgment among governments that labour market reforms are strategies, structures and competitiveness of firms.
necessary prerequisites for attracting FDI (Dewit, Goerg, & Montagna, Institutions exist in distinct national configurations or types that
2009; Gross & Ryan, 2008; Walsh & Yu, 2010). Again, despite the large generate a particular systemic logic of economic action and competitive
literature on the effect of labour market reforms on FDI attraction, we advantages (Jackson & Deeg, 2008). Institutions may also be seen as
find paucity regarding the way labour market regulation regimes may resources that influence the strategic development of firm-specific re-
affect the FDI-growth relationship. sources and the likelihood of success of different corporate strategies
Existing empirical works on the FDI growth relationship suffer from (Wan, 2005). Resources may be more “plentiful’’ or “deficient’’ in dif-
two major limitations. First, they assume that the FDI growth effect is ferent country environments and create opportunities for firms to uti-
linear with only two works raising the issue of non- linearity (Ketteni, lize different types of firm-specific capabilities, such as competitive
Kottaridi, & Mamuneas, 2015; Kottaridi & Stengos, 2010). Second, market-based resources or nonmarket- based resources that strengthen
nearly all existing empirical studies assume specific functional forms for the internal or political capacity for control (Jackson & Deeg, 2008).
their regression relationships. In other words, they adopt parametric Institutions may enhance or hinder MNEs’ ability to access external
regression models with constant coefficients that often lead to mis- resources (Guler & Guillén, 2010), facilitate or disrupt knowledge ac-
specification of their functional form unless it is correctly specified by cess (Meyer, Wright, & Pruthi, 2009), provide services and infra-
economic theory (Tran & Tsionas, 2010). What is more, they are not structure to foreign firms (McEvily & Zaheer, 1999), and stimulate or
able to capture heterogeneous effects across units of investigation. harness business development (Uhlenbruck, Rodriguez, Doh, & Eden,
This work aspires to extend current literature in several ways. 2006). In general, institutions are seen not only as constraints but also
Firstly, it combines recent trends in economic literature discussing the as resources for solving key problems of economic coordination through
role of regulations on economic growth with the institution-based ap- non-economic, value rational sets of commitments (Jackson & Deeg,
proach in IB to provide new insights about channels through which 2008). Managers are, thus, called to make strategic decisions within a
MNEs’ activities may spillover to host economies. Secondly, it utilizes a specific institutional framework (Bruton, Dess, & Janney, 2007;
non-parametric technique to uncover the shape of the FDI-growth re- Chelariu, Bello, & Gilliland, 2006; Hill, 2007; Khanna & Palepu, 2000,
lationship (effect of FDI on growth) depending on varying regulation 2006; Lee, Peng, & Barney, 2007), which vitally impacts on the costs of
regimes. In this way we identify these effects more explicitly and using markets, such as the stock market (La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, &
broaden our understanding of the regulation-deregulation policy effect Shleifer, 1999) or different forms of labour (Djankov, La Porta, Lopez-
on development and growth via MNEs’ strategies. Thirdly, it goes be- de-Silanes, & Shleifer, 2002).1 Resource environments of countries are
yond existing literature in that it uses a large panel data set consisting of differentiated according to the level of institutional infrastructure, such
66 countries split into developing and developed ones over the period as between developed and emerging economies, as well as between
2000–2015, including the recent financial crisis; during this period institution-driven and factor driven emerging economies. In short, firm-
most countries have achieved a high degree of credit liberalization and specific resources should “fit’’ the particular resource environments of a
have also liberalized their labour markets to a certain extent, our results host country.2
may offer fruitful ground for further discussion on the deregulation Indisputably, MNE activities, through risk-taking and pro-active
front. Fourthly, we investigate the impact of labour market flexibility as behaviour and use of organizational and country resources, form em-
a significant element of the host institutional context on the FDI-growth bedded networks with other stakeholders and contribute to economic
nexus for the first time both in developed and developing countries. development and growth through spillover effects (Birkinshaw & Hood,
Taken together, this set of findings is important in that it contributes to 1998; Blomstrom & Kokko, 1998; Dimitratos, Liouka, & Young, 2009;
greater understanding of routes through which MNEs’ strategies are Graham & Krugman, 1995; Lall, 1980; Young, Hood, & Dunlop, 1988).
interlinked with host institutional context and are then translated to Lall and Narula (2004) note that MNEs undertake complex activities
beneficiary or not economic outcomes in the host market. In addition, it which require high levels of local competence in terms of robust sup-
provides useful managerial and state policy implications towards the port institutions among others. Various forms of entrepreneurial actions
impact of specific institutional aspects such as credit and labour reg- are allied to economic development and growth in the host economy
ulatory regimes on MNEs’ activities that spillover to the domestic (Acs & Storey, 2004; Audretsch & Keilbach, 2004; Braunerhjelm &
economy.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 pro-
vides the review of the literature, while Section 3 describes the em- 1
This is the central premise of transaction costs economics in understanding
pirical model, the semiparametric modeling approach and the dataset how institutions impact on market behavior (Henisz & Williamson, 1999).
used for the analysis. Section 4 discusses the empirical findings. Finally, 2
This perspective draws closely on the resource-based view (RBV) of the firm
Section 5 encapsulates the concluding remarks together with some (Barney, 1991), and links RBV with institutional theory (Wright, Filatotchev,
policy implications. Hoskisson, & Peng, 2005).

416
E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Borgman, 2004). Hence, entrepreneurial output stemming from MNE strategic IB perspective; they rather focus on more generic economic
activities may be essentially accompanied by new sets of institutions. perspectives. We instead bring together the economic framework with
Such MNE subsidiary output can have significant spillover effects in the IB, to understand the mechanism through which beneficial or detri-
local economy (Dunning & Lundan, 2008; Tavares & Young, 2005), mental effects spur to host economies through MNEs’ decisions and
thereby justifying the subsidiary’s beneficial contribution to the eco- activities, given the host regulatory framework.
nomic welfare in the host country. Interestingly, we find no study examining the effect of labour
Buckley and Ghauri (2004) suggest that MNEs are called to operate market regulation on the FDI-growth nexus, though labour market
within barriers and benefits shaped by globalization forces, viewed as a conditions are extensively discussed in the FDI attraction policy (Deeg,
conflict between markets and management. They identify three levels 2018). Labour market flexibility is considered a particular policy factor
of markets – financial markets, markets in goods and services and la- for FDI attraction (Whyman & Baimbridge, 2006). The rationale poses
bour markets. Regarding financial markets, though already very closely that labour market standards and regulations, or any limitation placed
integrated internationally, attempts at national regulation do persist on employment lead to labour market rigidity, which in turn imposes
(Laulajainen, 2000) and the role of localities in the financial markets costs on firms. Hence, a profit-maximizing firm is vitally affected by the
still provides differentiation (Berg & Guisinger, 2001). Labour markets flexibility or rigidity of labour markets. In addition, flexible labour
are much differentiated at the national level (Buckley, Clegg, Forsans, & markets enable firms to adjust to prevailing economic conditions, for
Reilly, 2001). example limited lay-off rules, low closure cost, entry costs, worker
Based on the above, we suggest that given the specific host reg- protection, etc. (Haaland & Wooton, 2002; Haaland, Wooton, & Faggio,
ulatory framework, the effect of FDI on economic development and 2003). Another strand of the literature asserts that a highly regulated
growth within host economies may vary substantially even within the labour market may enhance labour relations and increase labour pro-
same host country and across time, depending on the status of regula- ductivity by providing job security and labour market standards. Em-
tions. This is because as reforms take place, MNEs adjust their activities pirical evidence highly suggests a positive effect of labour legislation on
accordingly to circumvent any barriers arising or take advantage of new FDI attraction (Dewit et al., 2009; Gross & Ryan, 2008; Javorcik &
opportunities. This effect, we suggest, is not monotonic but, on the Spatareanu, 2005; Walsh & Yu, 2010) a limited or diminished im-
contrary, it is dynamic, changing constantly and forming an ongoing portance (Leibrecht & Scharler, 2009), or one that may be related to the
causal effect between institutional context and MNE strategies. degree of flexibility (Parcon, 2008). More recently, Parcon (2008)
In the empirical forefront, basically found in the economic per- suggested a nonlinear relationship between labour market institutions
spective, the FDI growth literature is abundant, yet no consensus has and FDI inflow.
been reached so far on how FDI affects economic growth and to what Despite the above evidence, no study to date, according to the au-
extent. Firm level studies often fail to conclude in favor of positive thors’ knowledge, has explored the effect of FDI on growth under dif-
growth effects (Aitken & Harrison, 1999; Haddad & Harrison, 1993), ferent labour market regulation regimes. This paper tries to remedy this
while others reach mixed effects (Kokko, 1994; Kokko, Tansini, & Zejan, gap by investigating the existence of potential growth differential ef-
1996). An affirmative positive affect is suggested in Blomström (1986). fects of FDI based on more or less stringent labour markets.
The literature is much richer in the macroeconomic context. Positive Last but not least, the present study includes also developing
effects are attributed to Aizenman, Jinjarak, and Park (2013), Baldwin, countries in contrast to majority of studies addressing only developed
Braconier, and Forslid (2005), Bende-Nabende and Ford (1998), nations. Building a good regulatory regime is one of the most difficult
Blomstrom, Lipsey, and Zejan (1992), Blomström, Kokko, and Zejan problems facing developing countries and transition economies.
(1994),3 De Gregorio (1992), Gui-Diby (2014), Seetanah (2009) and Compared to developed nations, the objectives of regulation in devel-
Zhang (2001). Two country-wide studies contradict the majority of oping countries are likely to be concerned with wider goals in order to
macroeconomic evidence of a growth enhancing impact (Carkovic & promote sustainable development and poverty reduction. Through this
Levine, 2005; Durham, 2004), suggesting that findings must be viewed lens, we expect a varying relationship between developed and devel-
skeptically. Another line of research points to a differential impact oping countries.
between developed and developing countries (De Mello, 1999; Xu,
2000).
3. Empirical model, estimation and data sources
A parallel literature stream places emphasis on the beneficial role of
FDI in specific host environments. Among them, sufficiently developed
3.1. Benchmark model
financial markets are showed to allow for positive externalities of FDI to
spur in to the domestic market, boosting productivity and growth.
In our analysis, following the standard approach in the literature,
Agbloyor, Abora, Adjasi, and Yawsonc (2014), Alfaro, Chanda, Kalemli-
we allow for investment to be divided between its domestic and its
Ozcan, and Sayek (2004), Caporale, Rault, Sova, and Sova (2014) and
foreign direct component. In the same notion as Mankiw, Romer, and
Hermes and Lensink (2003) show that financial development interferes
Weil (1992) we assume a production function of the form:
significantly in the FDI–growth relationship; suggesting that only
Yt = Kta Ft (At Lt )1 a , where Y, K, F and L represent total output,
countries with well-developed financial systems experience positive
physical capital stock, FDI capital and labour respectively and A is a
growth effects of FDI.
technological parameter. L and A are assumed to grow exogenously at
On the above grounds, there is a new interest discussing the FDI
rates n and , or Lt = L0 e nt and At = A0 e t . The number of effective
effect on growth given the regulatory framework, the degree of freedom
units of labour, At Lt , grows at rate n + .
and quality of institutions domestically (Azman-Saini, Baharumshah, &
By linearizing the transition path around the steady state (see
Law, 2010; Busse & Groizard, 2008; Du, Lu, & Tao, 2008; Slesman,
Kalaitzidakis, Mammumeas, Savvides, & Stengos, 2001), one can derive
Baharumshah, & Wohar, 2015; Tarola, 2009). While the above-men-
the path of output per effective worker ( y = Y / AL ) between period T
tioned studies strongly support the view that “institutions matter” for
and T + r as follows:
the FDI effect on growth, they do not opt to explain such effects within a
lnyT + r = lny * + (1 )lnyT

3
However, when they split their sample of developing countries into two where = (1 e r ) , is the rate of convergence and y * is the steady
groups based on their level of income per capita they found that FDI was not state level of output per effective worker. In order to derive the growth
statistically significant for lower income developing countries although it re- of output per worker (Y/L), they substitute for the steady state of output
mained positive.

417
E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

per worker (lny * =alnk* + lnf * ), noting that the steady state levels of A semiparametric smooth coefficient model is given by:
physical capita per effective worker (k*) and FDI capital per effective
worker ( f * ) depend on the share of output devoted to physical capital yi = a (Zi ) + x i (Zi ) + ui = (1, x iT )
a (z i )
+ ui = XiT (Zi ) + ui,
accumulation (s k ), the share of output devoted to FDI capital (s f ), the (Zi )
growth of the effective labour force (n + ) and the depreciation rate
for capital ( ) . That is: where y denotes the dependent variable, x denotes a vector of variables
of interest; z denotes a vector of other exogenous variables and (z i ) is a
1
sk1 sf 1 a vector of unspecified smooth functions of zi. Based on Li, Huang, Li, and
k* = Fu (2002), the above semiparametric model has the advantage that it
n+ +
allows more flexibility in functional form than a parametric linear
1 model or a semiparametric partially linear specification. Furthermore,
ska s1f a 1 a the sample size required to obtain a reliable semiparametric estimation
f* =
n+ + is not as large as that required for estimating a fully nonparametric
model. It should be noted that when the dimension of z is greater than
Finally, the growth of output per worker between period T and one, this model also suffers from the "curse of dimensionality", although
T + r of country i is obtained by noting that lnyT =ln L
Y
T
lnA0 T () to a lesser extent than a purely nonparametric model where both z and
and subtracting initial income from both sides of x enter nonparametrically. Fan and Zhang (1999), suggest that the
lnyT + r = lny * + (1 )lnyT to arrive at: appeal of the model is that by allowing coefficients to depend on other
variables, the modeling bias can significantly be reduced, and the curse
Y Y a
ln ln = r + (lnA 0 + T ) + lnsik of dimensionality can be avoided.
L L 1 a
i, T + r i, T One can estimate δ(z) using a local least squares approach, where
a+
ln(ni + + )
( ) ( )
1
1 a (z ) = (nhq) 1 n
X XT K
Zj Z
(nhq ) 1 n
XyK
Zj Z
j=1 j j h j =1 j j h ,
f Y
+ lnsi ln =[Dn (z )] 1An (z )
1 a L i, T

Hence based on this literature we estimate the unrestricted version where K(.) is a kernel function and h is the smoothing parameter for
of this model as follows: sample size n. The intuition behind the above local least-squares esti-
N T mator is straightforward. Let us assume that z is a scalar and K(.) is a
yit = 0 + i Di + t Dt + k
3lnsit + 4 ln(n it + + )+ f
5lnsit
uniform kernel. In this case the expression for δ(z) becomes:
i=1 t=1
1
+ a6lnxit + (1)
it
(z ) = Xj XTj Xj yj
where yit refers to the growth rate of GDP per capita in each country and |zj z| h |zj z| h

for each period, Dt and Di are dummy variables for each period and for
the countries respectively, sitk is the share of output devoted to physical In this case δ(z) is simply a least squares estimator obtained by re-
capital accumulation, sitf is the output share of FDI capital stock, nit is gressing yj on Xj using the observations of (Xj, yj) that their corre-
the growth of population, is the rate of exogenous technological sponding zj is close to z |zj z| h . Since δ(z) is a smooth function of z,
| (z j ) (z )| is small when |zj z| is small. The condition that nhq is
change, is the depreciation rate for capital, x it is per capita initial
large ensures that we have sufficient observations within the interval
income.
|zj z| h when δ(zj) is close to δ(z). Therefore, under the conditions
The scope of our study is not to estimate the above equation para-
that h→0 and nhq →∞, one can show that the local least squares re-
metrically.4 Our goal is to estimate the effect of FDI under different
gression of yj on Xj provides a consistent estimate of δ(z). In general, it
regulatory regimes, so we apply non-parametric techniques to allow for
can be shown that
varying coefficients of FDI across countries and time under different
labour and credit market regulation schemes; since attraction of FDI
may depend on the regulatory policies within a country. nhq ( (z ) (z )) N (0, ),

where Ω can be consistently estimated. The estimate of Ω can be used to


3.2. Estimation method construct confidence bands for δ(z). We use a standard multivariate
kernel density estimator with Gaussian kernel and cross validation to
A semiparametric smooth coefficient model is considered to be a choose the bandwidth.
useful and flexible specification for studying a general regression re- For our estimation analysis we follow 4 different smooth coefficient
lationship with varying coefficients. It is a generalization of varying semiparametric models:
coefficient models and it is based on polynomial regression.5 In parti-
cular, varying coefficient models are linear in the regressors but their N T
k
coefficients are allowed to change smoothly with the value of other yit = 0 + i Di + t Dt + 3lnsit + 4 ln(n it + + )
i=1 t=1
variables. One way of estimating the coefficient functions is by using a f
local least squares method with a kernel weight function. + F (sit ) lnsitf + a5lnx it + it (2)

N T
4 k
In the growth literature, theories emphasize the existence of threshold ef- yit = 0 + i Di + t Dt + 3lnsit + 4 ln(n it + + )
fects (Azariadis & Drazen, 1990), the possibility of multiple regimes and i=1 t=1

parameter heterogeneity from human and ICT capital (Durlauf & Johnson, + f
F (sit , cit ) lnsitf + a5lnxit + it (3)
1995; Kalaitzidakis et al., 2001; Ketteni, Mamuneas, & Stengos, 2007; Liu &
Stengos, 1999; Mamuneas, Savvides, & Stengos, 2006; Masanjala & N T
Papageorgiou, 2004), and FDI capital (Ketteni et al., 2015; Kottaridi & Stengos, yit = 0 + i Di + t Dt + k
3lnsit + 4 ln(n it + + )
2010). i=1 t=1
5
For description of the method, please refer to Fan and Zhang (1999), Li et al. f
+ F (sit , l it ) lnsitf + a5lnx it + it (4)
(2002) and Mamuneas et al. (2006) among others.

418
E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Indicators.
N T
k
yit = 0 + i Di + t Dt + 3lnsit + 4 ln(n it + + ) FDI is not necessarily new equity capital entering a market; this is
i=1 t=1
f
one (usually the largest part) component of FDI which has three com-
+ F (sit , cit, l it ) lnsitf + a5lnx it + it (5) ponents8: equity capital, reinvested earnings and intra-company loans.
where all the variables are as stated before, cit captures credit and lit A second component regards reinvested earnings, i.e., the direct in-
labour regulations, respectively. vestor’s share (in proportion to direct equity participation) of earnings
The first model (Eq. (2)) examines the effect of FDI alone on growth not distributed as dividends by affiliates, or earnings not remitted to the
while it varies based on the share of the FDI within a country. The next direct investor, but reinvested by affiliates. Finally, the last component
two (Eqs. (3) and (4)) examine how the effect of FDI on growth is af- can be intra-company loans or intra-company debt transactions; these
fected under different credit and labour regulation regimes respec- are short- or long-term borrowing and lending of funds between direct
tively. Finally, the last model (Eq. (5)) examines how both regulation investors (parent enterprises) and affiliate enterprises. Additionally, FDI
regimes together affect the FDI-growth nexus. should be discriminated between greenfield investments and M&A
The presence of a linear part makes this model more general than (Georgopoulos & Preusse, 2009). Greenfield investments regard newly-
the model of Fan and Zhang (1999) i.e. our models are of the form: established subsidiaries while M&A refers to acquisition of at least 10%
of the equity of an existing firm operating in the host country. Un-
yit = it a + F (.) lnsitf + it fortunately, the lack of accurate data regarding the two modes of FDI,
where = (Di , Dt , lnsitk , ln(nit + + ), lnx it ) and the error term sa- does not permit us to use separate measures for greenfield vs. M&A FDI
it
for our exercise. In this regard, scholars state that the lack of reliable
tisfies E ( it = 0. f f
it , sit , cit , lit , lnsit ) data on greenfield FDI render it almost impossible to assess in a con-
Following Mamuneas et al. (2006), the coefficients of the linear part
vincing way whether M&As have the same effect on growth as green-
are estimated in the first step using a polynomial fitting and an initial
field FDI (Ashraf, Herzer, & Nunnenkamp, 2014). Usually, the few
small bandwidth. These estimates are then used to redefine the de-
studies which proceed to this distinction approximate greenfield FDI by
pendent variable and return then to the simple smooth coefficient en-
subtracting M&A sales from total FDI inflows. Moreover, the reporting
vironment of Fan and Zhang (1999), Li et al., 2002, Mamuneas et al.
of M&As is not consistent with FDI statistics (Ashraf et al., 2014).9
(2006) and Ketteni (2009):
Recently, UNCTA has developed a new database measuring greenfield
yit* = F (.) lnsitf + *
it ,
investments and M&A, however, there are issues there too.10 To avoid
statistical biases, we proceed with total FDI as registered in the balance
where * denote the redefine dependent variable and error term. In es- of payments which is commonly accepted and leave the distinction
timating the F (.) , we use a standard multivariate kernel density esti- between greenfield FDi and M&A for future work.
mator with Gaussian kernel and cross validation to choose the band- We define the initial per capita GDP to be the per capita income at
width. In the graphical analysis that follows, we have plotted the the beginning of each 5 year interval period following Kalaitzidakis
estimated F (.) , along with their 95% confidence intervals. In cases et al. (2001). Population data were used in order to obtain nit . We add a
where these confidence bands include zero, this is a suggestion of an constant of 0.1 to the population growth to capture the combined effect
insignificant effect. of the depreciation rate and technological change, according to stan-
In order to be consistent with previous research and to account for dard methodology.11 Following Mankiw et al. (1992) we assume that
endogeneity we have included the exogenous component of FDI in the and are constant across countries. reflects primarily the advance-
model. We use instrumental variables to compute the exogenous com- ment of knowledge, which is not country specific. And there is also no
ponent of FDI. The instruments used are lags of the explanatory vari- strong reason to expect depreciation rates to vary greatly across coun-
ables and year dummies. In this paper, we have also used lagged values tries. So, for the sake of simplicity we keep these two constants. Also
of FDI instead of current values to see whether we obtain similar gra- changing their values will not alter our results. In contrast, the A0 term
phical representations of the effect. This is a check of whether the reflects not just technology but resource endowments, climate institu-
correlation between current FDI and growth is similar to that of past tions and so on; it may therefore differ across countries. Assume
FDI and growth which also addresses the endogeneity issue in growth lnA0 = a0 + , where a0 is a constant and is country specific shock.
models. Additionally, some of the variation with respect to the different coun-
tries is captured by the dummy variables included in the model.
3.3. Data sources The regulation data are in the form of indices. The regulation data
are obtained from the Economic Freedom of the World of the Fraser
Our dataset includes 66 countries for the period between 2000 and
2015,6 35 of which are developing and 31 are developed countries.7
From the sample of developing countries, we have selected the high and
middle-income ones. We have excluded the low-income cases (only 3 8
UNCTAD, https://unctad.org/en/Pages/DIAE/FDI%20Statistics/Sources-
countries) which were minor and could potentially cause outlier pro-
and-Definitions.aspx.
blems (see Appendix A for list of countries considered in the analysis). 9
FDI is a balance-of-payments concept, i.e. FDI flows are recorded on a net
The variables included in our dataset are: the share of FDI inflows as basis for a particular year. Transaction amounts recorded in M&A statistics are
% of GDP, GDP growth, GDP per capita at constant 2005 US $ and GDP for the time of the announcement or closure of particular deals, and the
per capita growth, the share of private investment % of GDP, total amounts are not necessarily for a single year (UNCTAD, 2000).
population and population growth as well as the regulation variables 10
In that database, the sum of greenfield FDI and M&As often exceeds net FDI
(credit and labour). FDI data were obtained from the UNCTAD database inflows as reported in the balance-of-payments statistics. UNCTAD’s M&A sta-
while the rest of the data comes from the World Development tistics are based on Thomson Reuters which may include transactions via do-
mestic and international capital markets which are normally not considered as
FDI flows. Greenfield FDI statistics are based on information provided by FDI
6
This period was chosen based on the availability of annual data. Before 2000 Markets of Financial Times. Again, this dataset may include investments that
the data were in 5-year intervals and if chosen to use in this form the sample normally would not be considered as FDI flows.
11
would have been smaller. The depreciation rates found in datasets usually range between 0.02-0.05
7
Selection of countries was based according to regulation data availability. for different countries, so including also the technological change a 0.1 for the
Criterion for splitting the countries is from the World Bank based on GDP per combined effect seems reasonable. Of course, changing 0.1 into any different
capita. value will not alter the results.

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E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Table 1
GMM estimation results- Developing countries (Arellano and Bond).
MODEL 1 MODEL 2 MODEL 3 MODEL 4

Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value

ln initial income −1.236 0.216 −1.268 0.209 −1.097 0.284 −1.120 0.275
ln population growth −0.778 0.269 −0.733 0.303 −0.780 0.266 −0.712 0.316
ln investment share 7.347* 0.000 7.329* 0.000 7.279* 0.000 7.228* 0.000
ln fdi share 0.381 0.315 −0.288 0.855 1.783 0.428 1.420 0.641
lnfdi*labour −1.33 0.528 −1.671 0.527
lnfdi*credit 0.812 0.225 0.938 0.446
constant −11.39 0.213 −11.64 0.213 −11.650 0.212 −11.921 0.202
gdpgrowthLag1. 0.174*** 0.065 0.176*** 0.065 0.168*** 0.077 0.169*** 0.086
Sargan test 0.912 0.864 0.851 0.943
Serial Correlation+ 0.165 0.188 0.193 0.191

**
5% significance.
* 1% significance.
*** 10% significance.
+
Second order serial correlation.

Table 2
GMM estimation results- Developed countries (Arellano and Bond).
MODEL 1 MODEL 2 MODEL 3 MODEL 4

Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value

ln initial income −19.311* 0.000 −17.966* 0.000 −18.677* 0.000 −17.857* 0.000
ln population growth −1.501* 0.001 −1.485* 0.003 −1.562* 0.002 −1.488* 0.002
ln investment share 13.905* 0.000 14.541* 0.000 13.991* 0.000 14.698* 0.000
ln fdi share 0.523** 0.051 1.725** 0.021 0.801 0.358 2.233** 0.044
lnfdi*labour −0.045 0.793 −0.068 0.589
lnfdi*credit −0.138*** 0.076 −0.142*** 0.062
Constant 145.58* 0.000 138.900* 0.000 147.101* 0.000 137.957* 0.000
gdpgrowthLag1. 0.135*** 0.071 0.122 0.115 0.132*** 0.096 0.125 0.133
Sargan test 0.920 0.823 0.971 0.898
Serial Correlation+ 0.499 0.711 0.269 0.673

* 1% significance.
** 5%significance.
*** 10% significance.
+
Second order serial correlation.

Institute (2015).12 The Fraser Institute data has been extensively used Table 2 for developed. To account for dynamic aspects we use dynamic
in related literature to address the impact of various freedom indicators panel data techniques such as Difference Generalized Method of Mo-
on economic growth (De Haan & Sturm, 2000; Gwartney, 2009; ments (DIF-GMM) estimators attributed to Arellano and Bond (1991)
Justesen, 2008; Paldam, 2003), yet, very few works have focused on the and System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) estimators
regulation aspect. We employ two main regulatory measures in which proposed by Arellano and Bover (1995) and Blundell and Bond (1998)
we are mostly interested: labour regulation and credit market regula- respectively.13 The Sargan tests indicated that there is no evidence to
tion. Labour regulation evaluates the extent to which market forces are reject the validity of the instruments used, and the serial correlation
allowed to determine wage and salaries and dictate the conditions of ones show no second order serial correlation for all models under in-
hiring and firing. Credit provides indication on the extent to which the vestigation.
banking system is privately owned, the extent to which credit is sup- Looking at the results for both groups of countries, we can draw the
plied to the private sector and the extent to which controls on interest following conclusions: first, the coefficient estimates for initial GDP,
rates interfere with the market of credit. The regulation variables are investment share and population growth are of the anticipated sign and
rated in values out of 10. A higher rating is an indicator of a greater significant in all regressions for the developed countries, while in the
degree of economic freedom. developing group, only the investment share turns out significant.
These results are robust to alternative specifications with FDI and
regulations. Second, the estimates of FDI are positive and significant for
4. Empirical results
the developed group but emerge as non-significant for developing
countries. When interacted with the labour market regulation index,
4.1. Parametric results
the effect of FDI is insignificant in both groups of countries, while when
interacted with the credit regulation index the effect of FDI along with
The parametric estimates are presented in Tables 1 and 2 presented
the interaction term are significant only for the developed group. In this
at the end. Table 1 presents results for developing countries while
case the FDI effect is positive while the interaction is negative, implying

12
James Gwartney, Robert Lawson & Joshual Hall, Economic freedom dataset
13
published in Economic freedom of the World, 2013, Annual Report, Fraser For space economy the SYS-GMM are available upon request since they
Instutute, URL: http://www.freetheworld.com/datsets_efw.html yield similar results.

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E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

that the higher the credit freedom, the less important is the FDI to
growth. Finally, when both interactions are included in the model we
see significant effects only for the developed group, same as in the
model with only credit regulations. The above results do not come as a
surprise given the majority of existing studies providing inconclusive
results. Hence, our call for non-parametric methods that could elabo-
rate the FDI-growth nexus under the prism of more or less stringent
credit and labour market regulatory regimes seems to be valid here.

4.2. Semiparametric linear results

When estimating the smooth coefficient semiparametric model we


obtain estimates of F (.) , the effect of FDI, along with estimates for the
coefficients of the linear part of the model. The coefficients appear to
have the appropriate signs and are significant.14 That is, we observe
that investment and population growth come out as expected, in-
dicating a positive and a negative significant effect on growth in all
specifications. Using F-tests we see that time and country dummies are
also jointly significant.
We have also tested the smooth coefficient semiparametric model
specification for the model that applies to the whole sample against a
more general nonparametric specification (under the alternative based
on Fan & Li, 1996). We fail to reject the null of the smooth coefficient
semiparametric model used in our analysis with a p-value of 0.31. The
model is also supported for the two groups of countries used in our
analysis, developed and developing with p-values 0.33 and 0.39 re-
spectively.

4.3. Graphical analysis – nonparametric components


Fig. 1. (A,B) FDI effect on growth.

This section presents the nonparametric results from the estimation


of the smooth coefficient semiparametric model. Semiparametric esti- regulation schemes (Eq. (5)).
mation allows both regulation variables and FDI share to influence GDP
growth in a heterogeneous fashion, while it also allows for interactions 4.3.1. Part A: FDI effect on growth without regulations
between the three variables. We present the results using the lagged Fig. 1(A) presents the FDI effect for developing countries while
values of the FDI, which we believe are more appropriate to deal with Fig. 1(B) for developed. The vertical axis gives the effect of FDI on
endogeneity issues, even though the results are similar with the current growth while the horizontal is the share of FDI.
FDI values. In order to obtain a graphical analysis for the smooth For both groups of countries we observe that FDI has a positive and
semiparametric components when more than one variable is included significant effect on growth. The effect though is not constant, it varies
in the function, we need to evaluate the F (.) functions at the mean of and it appears to be increasing as the share of FDI within a country
the number of variables minus one. increases. We identify however lower coefficients for the developed
The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of FDI on growth group. On average the effect is 0.267 for the developing group and
under different regulation regimes for both developed and developing 0.182 for the developed. These results manifest that FDI is beneficial for
countries. So besides the means, in the last specification, we will use the both developed and developing economies. We observe that this effect
minimum values (indicating a high level of regulations) and the max- becomes even stronger and highly increasing in the developing group
imum values (suggesting regulatory freedom).15 These results will show after a certain point. This might be due to higher spillover effects taking
us whether the regulatory variables enhance the FDI growth impact. A place within these countries and potentially better coordination with
positive effect implies that greater FDI inflows in more flexible reg- local rules and actors which enhance the growth effect. Coefficients are
ulatory environments would increase growth. smoother in the developed group. Obviously, these countries, due to
Part A presents the results from model 1 (Eq. (2)), i.e., it provides their better conditions, are better equipped to reap the benefits of FDI
the effect of FDI on growth without regulations. Then in Part B we along the spectrum of FDI shares. In addition, we may infer that MNEs
present the effect of FDI under different credit regulation regimes (Eq. have already established ties with local economies and actors, and
(3)), followed by the effect under different labour regulation environ- given the stability of the economies, they do not need to proceed to
ments (Eq. (4)). Finally in Part C we present the effect under both substantial changes in their strategies. Consequently, it appears a
smoother relationship between MNEs activities and growth.
14
Literature has pointed out the initial income has a nonlinear effect on
growth; to take this into consideration we estimated the model using higher 4.3.2. Part B: FDI effect under individual regulation schemes
powers of the variable. Our results regarding the effect of initial GDP per capita In this part we present the results from models 2 and 3 (Eqs. (3) and
coincide with previous research, indicating nonlinearities in very high – income (4)). First we present the results from model 2, which is the average
countries within each group gettingt the lowest growth rates. The results are effect of FDI under different credit regulation regimes again for devel-
available upon request. oping (Fig. 2(A)) and developed (Fig. 2(B)) countries respectively.16
15
The labour regulation index ranges from 3 to 9.5 in both groups and the
credit regulation ranges from 7-10 for the developed group and from 4-10 for
16
the developing. For the developed group, the average for the credit index is 9 The FDI effects under mean credit and labour regulations are similar to the
and for labour is 6, while for the developing group they are 8 and 6 respec- ones from model 1 and are skipped for space economy and are available upon
tively. The FDI share ranges from 0 to 40% in both groups. request.

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E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Fig. 3. (A,B) Mean FDI effect under different labour schemes.


Fig. 2. (A,B) Mean FDI effect under different credit schemes.

The vertical axis presents the average effect of FDI and the horizontal hard to supervise, thus, lead to fears of fragility and ultimately a fi-
the regulation indices. nancial crisis as we witnessed recently. MNEs, given their wide scope of
It is apparent from all graphs that the effect of FDI varies con- activities and experience are aware of such fragility and, obviously,
siderably under different regulation regimes in both developed and adjust their strategies, collaborations and activities accordingly holding
developing countries. a more “wait and see” position in the respective market, hence the
From Fig. 2(A) we observe that as developing countries become less diminishing effect.
credit regulated the effect of FDI on growth shifts indicating a larger Turning now to the labour market impact (Fig. 3(A) and 3(B) ), it
effect in less credit regulated environments, yet, up to a certain emerges, similarly to Fig. 2(A), that the effect of FDI on growth is in-
threshold. After a point (credit index = 8) the effect of FDI remains creasing as the developing countries (Fig. 3(A)) move to a less labour
stable for a while and then slightly decreases. Given that a value of 8 regulated environment. There is no change in this relationship com-
indicates a highly liberalized regime (in the scale of 10), this result pared to the one in more credit liberalization regime. The less labour
might imply that there might be a threshold, where after that we see regulation within a developing country, the higher will be the potential
that further credit liberalization hampers or doesn’t alter the average effect from FDI on growth. It is obvious then, that more labour market
FDI effect on growth. This effect may imply that while MNEs may liberalization provides MNEs with flexibility in regards to their em-
benefit from credit liberalization adjusting their strategies and ex- ployees, hence expand their operations and create positive spillover
panding their activities domestically, after a certain threshold, more effects to the domestic economy.
liberalization stops being beneficiary to them because it might create For developed economies (Fig. 3(B)) we obtain a half U shaped ef-
more complex financial conditions to them or because the rest of the fect of FDI on growth under varying labour regulation regimes. It
economy is not well equipped to support such a liberalization scheme emerges that moving to less labour regulated environment the FDI ef-
creating negative externalities. fect slightly diminishes, reaches a minimum (index = 5) and starts in-
A totally different picture is obtained in the developed group creasing thereafter. After this point, again as the country moves to la-
(Fig. 2(B)). The effect of FDI on growth diminishes as the country moves bour liberalization, the effect of FDI on growth is increasing. Less
to credit regulation freedom. The effect, though it remains positive, it labour regulated environments, after a threshold, enhances the FDI
gets smaller in more liberalized regimes, though not much smaller in effects on growth.
absolute terms. One may see from the graph that the effect remains These results are consistent with Parcon (2008) who concluded that
relatively stable (after index = 8). Further liberalization mainly doesn’t FDI in developed and developing countries is affected differently by
change the FDI effect on growth. This result should be encountered different aspects of labour market regulations. Here we also observe
though within the lens of already highly liberalized markets. It suggests that the FDI effect on growth is affected by the labour regulatory regime
that more financial freedom doesn’t necessarily enhance the FDI impact prevailing. Also, labour market reforms include a number of specific
on growth. High financial liberalization may create complexity which is actions, extending from firing and hiring regulations to hours

422
E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Fig. 4. (A) FDI effect (mean labour) - different credit regulation schemes – Fig. 5. (A) FDI effect (mean labour) - different credit regulation schemes –
Developing countries. (B) FDI effect (mean credit) - different labour regulation developed countries. (B) FDI effect (mean credit) - different labour regulation
schemes – Developing countries. schemes – developed countries.

regulation and collective bargaining. These may have different effects regulated, in credit and labour respectively, the effect of FDI increases,
on the MNEs’ activities. At the same time, initial liberalization (as i.e. it shifts upwards. Again, the shift is bigger with respect to labour
shown in the graph above) may not be adequate to spur MNE strategies. regulations. Even a small change in credit regulation (moving from
After a threshold shown in the graph, MNEs may find that labour minimum credit -high regulation- to mean credit) shifts the effect of FDI
conditions are such that enable them to manage their labour effectively by a lot, while moving to complete freedom does not alter the FDI ef-
and efficiently. fect. This is observed only in the credit regulation schemes. Under
different labour regulation schemes the effect moves upwards more
4.3.3. Part C: FDI effect under both regulation regimes smoothly.
Fig. 4(A) and (B) shows the FDI effect for developing countries Generally, we observe that the effect of FDI shifts upward in less
under different credit and labour regulation environments respectively, regulated environments in the countries used in our analysis. Therefore,
while Fig. 5(A) and (B) presents results for the developed group. regulations in a country affect the effect of FDI on the growth of the
The effect of FDI on growth for developing countries (Fig. 4(A) and specific economies by shaping MNE activities accordingly. It seems that
(B) is rather stable in low shares of FDI. After reaching a specific share, the effect of FDI is stimulated in less regulated environments, and
the effect starts increasing for higher FDI inflows. Both Figures suggest especially less labour regulatory regimes. This suggests that MNEs need
that the FDI effect on growth is higher in less regulated environments a specific degree of market freedom to expand their operations which in
with respect to both credit and labour markets. More labour and credit turn spillover to the domestic market creating a virtuous cycle of lib-
flexibility stimulates the FDI effect on growth. eralization and MNE strategies. The credit deregulation affects the FDI –
It seems that credit regulations have a larger impact on the FDI growth nexus, but up to a point. Hence, MNEs are aware of the fragility
effect on growth, when moving from a high to an average credit reg- of financial markets after a certain threshold. Finally, comparing the
ulatory regime, than from an average to a liberalized one. Labour de- shifts in the FDI effect we conclude that deregulating has a larger effect
regulation continues to enhance the FDI effect as we move to further in the developing group of countries. This entails important policy
and further labour liberalization. implications for these countries and suggests that liberalizing credit and
For developed economies (Fig. 5(A) and (B)), the effect of FDI on labour markets carefully (i.e. reassuring for audit and well-functioning
growth is increasing as the share of FDI increases. Observing the dif- of markets) can lead to higher development through MNEs’ activities.
ferent regulation schemes we notice that as the country becomes less

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E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

5. Concluding remarks and policy implications terms of their indirect effects in the economy, as for example via MNEs.
Third, labour market liberalization is highly relevant in enhancing the
In this paper, we combine the institution-based approach in IB with growth effect of FDI; thus, any FDI policy intervention should be ac-
recent trends in economic literature discussing the role of regulations companied by labour market reforms. More financial liberalization
on economic growth in order to provide new insights about channels seems to also promote the FDI growth nexus but up to a point. Fourth,
through which MNEs’ activities may spillover to host economies. the FDI effects are not uniform for the two groups of countries used in
Taking as a starting point that institutions exist in distinct national our analysis; the latter indicates that different economies falling within
modes that generate a particular systemic logic of economic action and particular economic characteristics react differently to alternative
competitive advantages (Jackson & Deeg, 2008), influencing the stra- policy measures. This means that developing countries have now more
tegic development of firm-specific resources and the likelihood of suc- room relevant to developed ones, to boost their economies through FDI
cess of different corporate strategies (Wan, 2005), we shift our interest and institutional reform.
to credit and labour market regulations and how these may generate Though this study focuses on the FDI effect on economic growth
diverse effects on the economy through MNEs’ decisions and strategies. under different regulatory regimes, we may pose a number of man-
As such, we contribute towards the need to connect the macro-essential agerial implications. Specifically, managers themselves need to be
characteristics of a nation with the behavior of MNEs, i.e., provide a aware of the impact of regulatory context when investing in a host
specific link between macroeconomics and microeconomics (Stiglitz, country as this alters their options and influences their cost functions. If
2018), and discuss a potential avenue of coevolution between firms and further financial and labour market liberalization takes place, multi-
their environment (Teegen, Doh, & Vachani, 2004). nationals will need to re-evaluate their location strategies toward more
Using a panel of developed and developing countries, we estimate friendly-regulation host countries. Turning to countries with more lib-
various specifications of a growth model using the smooth coefficient eralized financial and labour markets when making the location choice
semiparametric model, which allows the coefficients of the FDI variable for foreign entry may be an important strategy that helps deal with
to vary as smooth functions of the share of FDI, credit and labour exogenous and endogenous uncertainty (Cuypers and Martin, 2010). At
regulations within the countries. In this regard, we move beyond ex- the same time, as developing countries have more room to liberalize
isting regression analyses and statistics (Stiglitz, 2018) to identify more than developed ones in both markets, our results indicate that they can
complex relationships. reap higher benefits from incoming FDI. Consequently, managers
Generally, the results obtained in this study are: The FDI effect on should be alert of reforms taking place in developing nations which may
growth is positive and significant, in both developed and developing be more willing to move more aggressively towards liberalization in
countries. The effect is not constant and it appears to be increasing as their credit and labour markets. These reforms, accompanied with
the share of FDI within the country increases. Secondly, the FDI effect better cost conditions, might give multinationals a significant ad-
also varies according to the regulatory regime (credit or labour) in the vantage for location. The change in MNE investment behavior as a re-
particular country. Labour regulations have a clearer effect of the FDI- sponse to engaging with host countries with more liberalized credit and
growth relationship. It is apparent that labour flexibility stimulates the labour markets can be explained by the need to alleviate additional
FDI effect on growth. Credit regulations have a more complex effect. transaction costs.
There appears to be a threshold in our results indicating that highly Lastly, limitations to this study may offer opportunities for further
complex financial environments that result from complete credit research. We have focused our analysis on a standard growth model
freedom may hinder growth stemming from FDI. Finally, we observe including credit and labour market regulations. While this is necessary
some differences in the effects between developed and developing to keep our analysis simple, future research might also control for ad-
countries. ditional growth enhancing factors supported in related literature. In
The results from this study pose a number of policy implications. addition, future research may open the floor to more specific regulatory
First, it turns out that an FDI policy design should be closely studied aspects of credit and labour markets, such as the private sector credit
within the wider conditions prevailing in a domestic market; the local and labour collective bargaining and how these interact with FDI and
institutional context plays a significant role in how MNEs’ form their spillover to the domestic economy. Moreover, our FDI is uniform, i.e.,
strategies and our evidence suggests, that credit and labour market does not discriminate between greenfield investment and cross-border
regulations affect largely how FDI transmits to the recipient economy. M&As. Given the existing notion that the effects on growth between the
In this regard, it is not surprising that despite generous FDI policies fail two might be quite different, we leave this question open for future
to bring in the desired outcomes. Second, it appears that the effect of work.
any policy on growth is most likely non-linear and heterogeneous;
consequently, policy makers should be aware of potential threshold
effects in order to be able to reap the maximum of benefits. In our Acknowledgements
exercise, we identified such threshold effects (turning points), never-
theless, as these threshold points are not static; they are rather dynamic The authors would like to thank three anonymous referees and the
as increasing globalisation involves conflicts between markets and participants of a competitive session at the 43rd EIBA Annual
economic management leading to sophisticated decision making in Conference, in Milan, Italy for their insights and comments. We are also
MNEs and more complex strategies (Buckley & Ghauri, 2004). Conse- indebted to the Editor of the International Business Review, Professor
quently, a valid FDI policy design should be based on a careful analysis Pervez Ghauri for efficient handling of our submission. The authors are
of the institutional context as well as the evolving strategies of MNEs. also indebted to the University of Piraeus Research Center, Piraeus,
At the same time, institutional changes should also be considered in Greece, for partial funding of this work. The usual disclaimers apply.

424
E. Ketteni, C. Kottaridi International Business Review 28 (2019) 415–427

Appendix A

See Table A1.

Table A1
Classification of Countries based on United Nations.
Developing Developed

Argentina Australia
Bolivia Austria
Brazil Belgium
Chile Bulgaria
China Canada
Hong Kong SAR Czech Republic
Colombia Denmark
Costa Rica Estonia
Dom. Republic Finland
Ecuador France
Egypt Germany
El Salvador Greece
Guatemala Hungary
Honduras Iceland
India Ireland
Indonesia Italy
Israel Japan
Jordan Latvia
Korea, South Netherlands
Malaysia Norway
Mauritius Poland
Mexico Portugal
Nicaragua Romania
Nigeria Slovakia
Paraguay Slovenia
Peru Spain
Philippines Sweden
Singapore Switzerland
South Africa UK
Sri Lanka United States
Thailand New Zealand
Turkey
Uruguay
Venezuela
Zimbabwe

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