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06 - Study of Commodity Market
06 - Study of Commodity Market
06 - Study of Commodity Market
COMMODITY MARKET”
SUBMITTED TO
UNIVERSITY OF MUMBAI
BY
FEBRUARY-2020.
1
Ramji Assar Vidyalaya’s
Certificate
This is to certify the MR.SURAJ SANTOSH SHARMA student of TYBMS
Semester VI of the LAXMICHAND GOLWALA COLLEGE OF COMMERCE AND
ECONOMICS has successfully completed the project report on “Study of
2
`CO-ORDINATOR
Declaration
3
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This project has been a great learning experience for me. I take this opportunity to thank
Mr. Manoj Nahak, my internal project guide whose valuable guidance & suggestions
made this project possible. I am extremely thankful for his support.
I express my heart-felt gratitude towards my family and all those friends who have
willingly and with utmost commitment helped me during the course of my project work.
I also express my profound gratitude to Mr. Vijay Mahidya principal of L.G College of
commerce and economics. For giving me the opportunity to work on the project and
broaden my knowledge and experience.
My sincere thanks to Prof. for their valuable guidance and advice in completing this
project.
I would like to thank all the professors and the staff of L.G College of commerce and
economics.
Last but not the least, I am thankful to all those who indirectly extended their co-
operation and invaluable support to me.
4
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
5
6
Chapter No Topic Page No.
1 Introduction to Commodity Market 08
2 History of Evolution of Commodity Markets 12
3 India and the Commodity Market 14
4 International Commodity Exchanges 19
5 How Commodity Market Works? 21
6 How to Invest in a Commodity Market 23
7 Current Scenario in Indian Commodity Market 27
8 Commodities 32
8.1 Quality Specification
9 Derivatives 41
9.1 History and evaluation of derivative market 41
9.2 Indian Derivative Market 42
7
COMMODITY
MARKET
8
Chapter 1
What is “Commodity”?
Any product that can be used for commerce or an article of commerce which
is traded on an authorized commodity exchange is known as commodity. The article
should be movable of value, something which is bought or sold and which is produced or
used as the subject or barter or sale. In short commodity includes all kinds of goods.
Indian Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act (FCRA), 1952 defines “goods” as “every kind
of movable property other than actionable claims, money and securities”.
In current situation, all goods and products of agricultural (including
plantation), mineral and fossil origin are allowed for commodity trading recognized
under the FCRA. The national commodity exchanges, recognized by the Central
Government, permits commodities which include precious (gold and silver) and
non-ferrous metals, cereals and pulses, ginned and un-ginned cotton, oilseeds, oils and
oilcakes, raw jute and jute goods, sugar and gur, potatoes and onions, coffee and tea,
rubber and spices. Etc.
Changes in supply: - They are abrupt and unpredictable bringing about wild
fluctuations in prices. This can especially noticed in agricultural commodities where the
9
weather plays a major role in affecting the fortunes of people involved in this industry.
The futures market has evolved to neutralize such risks through a mechanism; namely
hedging.
10
market by taking an equal but opposite position in the futures market. Futures
markets are used as a mode by hedgers to protect their business from adverse
price change. This could dent the profitability of their business. Hedging benefits
who are involved in trading of commodities like farmers, processors,
merchandisers, manufacturers, exporters, importers etc.
11
case they do, the interest rate is likely to be high and terms and conditions very
stringent. This posses a huge obstacle in the smooth functioning and competition
of commodities market. Hedging, which is possible through futures markets,
would cut down the discount rate in commodity lending.
12
Chapter 2
Commodities future trading was evolved from need of assured continuous supply of
seasonal agricultural crops. The concept of organized trading in commodities evolved in
Chicago, in 1848. But one can trace its roots in Japan. In Japan merchants used to store
Rice in warehouses for future use. To raise cash warehouse holders sold receipts against
the stored rice. These were known as “rice tickets”. Eventually, these rice tickets become
accepted as a kind of commercial currency. Latter on rules came in to being, to
standardize the trading in rice tickets. In 19th century Chicago in United States had
emerged as a major commercial hub. So that wheat producers from Mid-west attracted
here to sell their produce to dealers & distributors. Due to lack of organized storage
facilities, absence of uniform weighing & grading mechanisms producers often confined
to the mercy of dealers discretion. These situations lead to need of establishing a common
meeting place for farmers and dealers to transact in spot grain to deliver wheat and
receive cash in return.
Gradually sellers & buyers started making commitments to exchange the produce
for cash in future and thus contract for “futures trading” evolved. Whereby the producer
would agree to sell his produce to the buyer at a future delivery date at an agreed upon
price. In this way producer was aware of what price he would fetch for his produce and
dealer would know about his cost involved, in advance. This kind of agreement proved
beneficial to both of them. As if dealer is not interested in taking delivery of the produce,
he could sell his contract to someone who needs the same. Similarly producer who not
intended to deliver his produce to dealer could pass on the same responsibility to
someone else. The price of such contract would dependent on the price movements in
the wheat market. Latter on by making some modifications these contracts transformed in
to an instrument to protect involved parties against adverse factors such as unexpected
price movements and unfavorable climatic factors. This promoted traders entry in futures
market, which had no intentions to buy or sell wheat but would purely speculate on price
movements in market to earn profit.
Trading of wheat in futures became very profitable which encouraged the entry
of other commodities in futures market. This created a platform for establishment of a
body to regulate and supervise these contracts. That’s why Chicago Board of Trade
(CBOT) was established in 1848. In 1870 and 1880s the New York Coffee, Cotton and
Produce Exchanges were born. Agricultural commodities were mostly traded but as long
as there are buyers and sellers, any commodity can be traded.
In 1872, a group of Manhattan dairy merchants got together to bring chaotic condition in
New York market to a system in terms of storage, pricing, and transfer of agricultural
products.
In 1933, during the Great Depression, the Commodity Exchange, Inc. was established in
New York through the merger of four small exchanges - the National Metal Exchange,
the Rubber Exchange of New York, the National Raw Silk Exchange, and the New York
Hide Exchange.
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The largest commodity exchange in USA is Chicago Board of Trade, The
Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the New York Mercantile Exchange, the New York
Commodity Exchange and New York Coffee, sugar and cocoa Exchange. Worldwide
there are major futures trading exchanges in over twenty countries including Canada,
England, India, France, Singapore, Japan, Australia and New Zealand.
14
Chapter 3
15
Today, commodity exchanges are purely speculative in nature. Before
discovering the price, they reach to the producers, end-users, and even the retail
investors, at a grassroots level. It brings a price transparency and risk management in the
vital market. A big difference between a typical auction, where a single auctioneer
announces the bids and the Exchange is that people are not only competing to buy but
also to sell. By Exchange rules and by law, no one can bid under a higher bid, and no one
can offer to sell higher than someone else’s lower offer. That keeps the market as
efficient as possible, and keeps the traders on their toes to make sure no one gets the
purchase or sale before they do. Since 2002, the commodities future market in India has
experienced an unexpected boom in terms of modern exchanges, number of commodities
allowed for derivatives trading as well as the value of futures trading in commodities,
which crossed $ 1 trillion mark in 2006. Since 1952 till 2002 commodity datives market
was virtually non- existent, except some negligible activities on OTC basis.
In India there are 25 recognized future exchanges, of which there are three
national level multi-commodity exchanges. After a gap of almost three decades,
Government of India has allowed forward transactions in commodities through Online
Commodity Exchanges, a modification of traditional business known as Adhat and
Vayda Vyapar to facilitate better risk coverage and delivery of commodities. The three
exchanges are: National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX)
Mumbai, Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) Mumbai and National
Multi-Commodity Exchange of India Limited (NMCEIL) Ahmedabad.There are other
regional commodity exchanges situated in different parts of India.
17
Staple, Mulberry, Green Cottons, , , Potato, Raw Jute,
Mulberry raw Silk, V-797 Kapas, Sugar, Chilli LCA334
● Energy:-
Crude Oil, Furnace oil
● Minerals:-
Aluminum, Copper, Nickel, Iron/steel, Tin, Zinc, Lead
18
Sacking,
● Petrochemicals:-
High Density Polyethylene (HDPE), Polypropylene (PP), Poly
Vinyl Chloride (PVC)
● Energy:-
Brent Crude Oil, Crude Oil, Furnace Oil, Middle East Sour
Crude Oil, Natural Gas
19
Chapter 4
20
establish a central market place for trade. Presently, the Chicago Board of Trade is one
of the leading exchanges in the world for trading futures and options. More than 50
contracts on futures and options are being offered by CBOT currently through open
outcry and/or electronically. CBOT initially dealt only in Agricultural commodities like
corn, wheat, non storable agricultural commodities and non-agricultural products like
gold and silver.
Commodities Traded: - Corn, Soybean, Oil, Soybean meal, Wheat, Oats, Ethanol,
Rough Rice, Gold, Silver etc.
21
Chapter 5
There are two kinds of trades in commodities. The first is the spot trade, in which
one pays cash and carries away the goods. The second is futures trade. The underpinning
for futures is the warehouse receipt. A person deposits certain amount of say, good X in a
ware house and gets a warehouse receipt. Which allows him to ask for physical delivery
of the good from the warehouse. But some one trading in commodity futures need not
necessarily posses such a receipt to strike a deal. A person can buy or sale a commodity
future on an exchange based on his expectation of where the price will go. Futures have
something called an expiry date, by when the buyer or seller either closes (square off) his
account or give/take delivery of the commodity. The broker maintains an account of all
dealing parties in which the daily profit or loss due to changes in the futures price is
recorded. Squiring off is done by taking an opposite contract so that the net outstanding is
nil.
For commodity futures to work, the seller should be able to deposit the
commodity at warehouse nearest to him and collect the warehouse receipt. The buyer
should be able to take physical delivery at a location of his choice on presenting the
warehouse receipt. But at present in India very few warehouses provide delivery for
specific commodities.
Following diagram gives a fair idea about working of the Commodity market.
22
Today Commodity trading system is fully computerized. Traders need not
visit a commodity market to speculate. With online commodity trading they could sit in
the confines of their home or office and call the shots.
23
III. Settlement: - This stage has following system followed as follows-
- Marking to market
- Receipts and payments
- Reporting
- Delivery upon expiration or maturity.
Chapter 6
24
What are the other forms to be signed by the investor?
The clearing member will ask the client to sign
a) Know your client form
b) Risk Discloser Document
The above things are only procedure in character and the risk involved and only after
understanding the business, he wants to transact business.
While selecting a commodity broker investor should ideally keep certain aspects in
mind to ensure that they are not being missed in any which way. These factors include
● Net worth of the broker of brokerage firm.
● The clientele.
● The number of franchises/branches.
● The market credibility.
● The references.
● The kind of service provided- back office functioning being most important.
● Credit facility.
● The research team.
These are amongst the most important factors to calculate the credibility of
commodity broker.
Broker:-
The Broker is essentially a person of firm that liaisons between individual traders and
the commodity exchange. In other words the Commodity Broker is the member of
Commodity Exchange, having direct connection with the exchange to carry out all trades
legally. He is also known as the authorized dealer.
25
Commodities is also required to meet certain obligations to gain such a membership in
exchange.
To become a member of Commodity Exchange the broker of brokerage firm
should have net worth amounting to Rs. 50 Lakh. This sum has been determined by Multi
Commodity Exchange.
26
Professional Clearing Member (PCM):-
A PCM entitled to clear and settle trades executed by other members of the
exchange. A corporate entity and an institution only can apply for PCM. The member
would be allowed to clear and settle trades of such members of the Exchange who choose
to clear and settle their trades through such PCM.
Sr. NCDEX:
Particulars
No. TCM
Interest Free Cash Security
1 15.00 Lakhs
Deposit
2 Collateral Security Deposit 15.00 Lakhs
3 Admission Fee 5.00 Lakhs
4 Annual Membership Fees 0.50 Lakhs
Advance Minimum
5 0.50 Lakhs
Transaction Charges
6 Net worth Requirement 50.00 Lakhs
Sr. NCDEX:
Particulars
No. PCM
27
Interest Free Cash Security
25.00 Lakhs
Deposit
Collateral Security Deposit
2 25.00 Lakhs
Annual Subscription
3 1.00 Lakhs
Charges
Advance Minimum
4 1.00 Lakhs
Transaction Charges
5 Net worth Requirement 5000.00 Lakhs
Chapter 7
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recent data the largely traded commodities are Gold, Silver, Energy and base Metals.
Incidentally the futures’ trends of these commodities are mainly driven by international
futures prices rather than the changes in domestic demand-supply and hence, the price
signals largely reflect international scenario.
Among Agricultural commodities major volume contributors include Gur, Urad,
Mentha Oil etc. Whose market sizes are considerably small making then vulnerable to
manipulations.
Trade strategy:-
It appears that speculators or operators choose commodities or contracts where the
market could be influenced and extreme speculations possible.
In view of extreme volatilities, the FMC directs the exchanges to impose
restrictions on positions and raise margins on those commodities. Consequently, the
operators/speculators chose another commodity and start operating in a similar pattern.
When FMC brings restrictions on those commodities, the operators once again move to
the other commodities. Likewise, the speculators are moving from one commodity to
29
other (from methane to Urad to guar etc) where the market could be influenced either
individually or with a group.
Beneficiaries: - So far the beneficiaries from the current nature of trading are
Exchangers: - making profit from mounting volumes
Arbitragers
Operators
In order to understand the extent of progress the trading the trading in Commodity
Derivatives has made towards its specified objectives (price discovery and price risk
30
top first or second
producer of these
Commodities.
Thus it is evident that the realization of specified objectives is still a distinct destination.
It is further, evident from the nature of the commodities largely traded on national
exchanges that the factors driving the current pattern of futures trade are purely
speculative.
Some Suggestions to make futures market as a level playing field for all stake
holders:-
● Creation of awareness among farmers and other rural participants to use the
futures trading platform for risk mitigation.
● Contract specifications should have wider coverage, so that a large number
of varieties produced across the country could be included.
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● Development of warehousing and facilities to use the warehouse receipt as a
financial instrument to encourage participation farmers.
●
● Development of physical market through uniform grading and
standardization and more transparent price mechanisms.
●
● Delivery system of exchanges is not good enough to attract investors. E.g.-
In many commodities NCDEX forces the delivery on people with long
position and when they tend to give back the delivery in next month contract
the exchange simply refuses to accept the delivery on pretext of quality
difference and also auctions the product. The traders have to take a delivery
or book losses at settlement as there are huge differences between two
contracts and also sometimes few contracts are not available for trading for
no reason at all.
●
● Contract sizes should have an adequate range so that smaller traders can
participate and can avoid control of trading by few big parties.
●
● Setting of state level or district level commodities trading helpdesk run by
independent organization such as reputed NGO for educating farmers.
●
● Warehousing and logistics management structure also needs to be created at
state or area level whenever commodity production is above a certain share
of national level.
●
● Though over 100 commodities are allowed for Derivatives trading, in
practice only a few commodities derivatives are popular for trading. Again
most of the trade takes place only on few exchanges. This problem can
possibly solved by consolidating some exchanges.
●
● Only about 1% to 5% of total commodity derivatives traded in country are
settled in physical delivery due to insufficiencies in present warehousing
system. As good delivery system is the back bone of any Commodity trade,
warehousing problem has to be handled on a war footing.
●
● At present there are restrictions in movement of certain goods from one
state to another. These needs to be removed so that a truly national market
could develop for commodities and derivatives.
●
● Regulatory changes are required to bring about uniformity in Octri and sales
tax etc. VAT has been introduced in country in 2005, but, has not yet been
uniformly implemented by all states.
●
● A difficult problem in Cash settlement of Commodities Derivatives contract
is that, under Forward Contracts Regulation Act 1952 cash settlement of
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outstanding contracts at maturity is not allowed. That means outstanding
contracts at maturity should be settled in physical delivery. To avoid this
participants square off their their positions before maturity. So in practice
contracts are settled in Cash but before maturity. There is need to modify the
law to bring it closer to the wide spread practice and save participants from
unnecessary hassle.
Chapter 8
Commodities
General Characteristics: -
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Steel compared to other materials of its type has low production costs. The
energy required for extracting iron from ore is about 25% of what is needed for extracting
aluminum.
There are altogether about 2000 grades of steel developed of which 1500
grades are high-grade steels. The large number of grades gives steel the characteristics of
basic production material.
Categories of Steel: -
Steel market is primarily divided in to two main categories- flat and long. A flat
carbon steel product is a plate product or a (hot or cold) rolled strip product. Plate
products vary in dimensions from 10 mm to 200 mm and thin flat rolled products from 1
mm to 10 mm. Plate products are used for ship building, construction, large diameter
welded pipes and boiler applications. Thin flat products find end use applications in
automotive body panels, domestic ‘white goods’ products, ‘tin cans’ and the whole host
of other products from office furniture to heart pacemakers. Plates, HR coils and HR
Sheet, CR Sheet and CR coils, GP/GC (galvanized plates and coils) pipes etc. are
included in this category.
A long steel product is a road or a bar. Typical rod product are the reinforcing
rods made from sponge iron for concrete, ingots, billets, engineering products, gears,
tools, etc. Wiredrawn products and seamless pipes are also part of the long products
group. Bars, rods, structures, railway materials, etc are included in this category.
Global Scenario: -
In, 2017 the world crude steel production reached 1690 million tonnes in a growth
of 4% over2016.
China remained world’s largest crude steel producer in the year 2017 with around
(832) MT followed by Japan (105MT), India (101.4MT) and the USA (82MT).
The steel demand and the capacity has grown almost threefold over the last 2 decades.
The steel industry has come a long way in terms of technology, input material, quality of
end product, diversity in application of end product, and level of automation.
The rising demand for steel also led to rising demand for raw material and their prices.
Demand in Japan and South Korea is expected to remain stable in the near future with
limited upside by 2020(+5%from current levels).
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Indian Scenario: -
India is the Third largest producer of the steel. In 2017-2018 the country finished
steel exports increased 17%year-on-year to 9.62millon tones (MT) as compared
to8.24MT in 2016-2017.
The Indian steel industry is very much modern with state-of-heart steel.
The Government of India focuses on infrastructure and restarting road projects is
aiding the boost in d for steel.
India is expected to overtake Japan to become the world’s second largest steel producer
soon. The National Steel Policy, 2017 has envisaged 300 million tones of production
capacity by 2030-31.
Factors Influencing Demand & Supply of Steel Long and Steel Flat: -
The demand for steel is dependent on the overall health of the economy and the in
fracture development activities being undertaken.
The price of steel is not just determined by current supply and demand, but by the
forecast supply and demand. The steel prices in the Indian market primarily depend on
the domestic demand and supply conditions, and international prices. Government and
different producer and consumer associations regularly monitor steel prices
Scrap metal & iron are two of the main materials used to create steel ,if there is limited
amount of these resources available ,demand exceed supply and the cost of raw materials
will jump up.
8.1Quality Specifications:
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Contract specifications of Steel Flat
Symbol STEEL FLAT
Description STEEL FLAT MMMYY
Trading Period Mondays through Saturdays
Trading session Monday to Friday:
1st session: 10.00 am to 5.00 pm
2nd session: 5.30 pm to 8.00 pm
Saturday: 10.00 am to 2.00 pm
No. of contracts a year 12
Contact Duration 4 months
Trading
Trading unit 25 MT
Price Quote Rs./ton, Ex-Taloj Kalambo
(excluding execise duty and sales tax).
Maximum order size 200 MT
Tick size (minimum Rs. 10
Price movement)
Daily price limits 4%
Initial margin 5%
Special margin In case of additional volatility, a special margin of 2% or
such other percentage, as deemed fit, will be imposed
immediately on, both buy and sale side in respect of all
outstanding position, which will remain in force of next
three days, after which the special margin will be relaxed.
Maximum Allowable Open For individual clients: 1,00,000 MT
Position For a member collectively for all clients:
Delivery
Delivery unit 25 MT with tolerance limit
Between 23.5 MT to 26.5 MT
Quality Specifications
HR coil conforming to the following specification:
Thickness 2 mm
Width either 1250mm or 910 mm at seller’s option.
It should confirm to IS 11513 Grade D/SAE 1008 (International equivalent)
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Contract specifications of Steel Long
Symbol STEELLONG
Description STEELLONGMMMYY
Trading Period Mondays through Saturdays
Trading session Monday to Friday:
1st session: 10.00 am to 5.00 pm
2nd session: 5.30 pm to 8.00 pm
Saturday: 10.00 am to 2.00 pm
No. of contracts a year 12
Contact Duration 4 months
Trading
Trading unit 10 MT
Price Quote Rs./ton, Ex-Gahaziabad (including excise duty but
excluding sales tax).
Maximum order size 500 MT
Tick size (minimum Rs. 10
Price movement)
Daily price limits 4%
Initial margin 5%
Special margin In case of additional volatility, a special margin of 2% or
such other percentage, as deemed fit, will be imposed
immediately on, both buy and sale side in respect of all
outstanding position, which will remain in force of next
three days, after which the special margin will be relaxed.
Maximum Allowable Open For individual clients: 1,00,000 MT
Position For a member collectively for all clients:
25% of open market position.
Delivery
Delivery unit 10 MT with tolerance limit
Between 13.5 MT to 16.5 MT
Delivery Centre Ghaziabad
Quality Specifications: -
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Chemical Properties (only Magnetic Portion): -
Steel Flat: -
HR Coil confirming to the following specification: -
● Thickness 2mm Width either 1250 mm or 910 mm at seller’s option.
● It should confirm to IS 11513 Grade D/ SALE 1008 (international equivalent)
● Delivery is acceptable only in coil form.
WHEAT
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Wheat is cereal grain and consumed worldwide. Wheat is more popular than any
other cereal grain for use in baked goods. Its popularity stems from the gluten that forms
when lour is mixes with water. Wheat is the most widely grown cereal grain in the world.
39
Key market moving Factors: -
Price tends to be lower as harvesting progresses and produce starts coming in to the
market. At the time sowing and before harvesting price tend to rise in a view of tight
supply situation. Weather has profound influence on wheat production. Temperature
plays crucial role towards maturity of wheat and productivity.
Change in Minimum Support Price (MSP) by Govt. and the stock available with
Food corporation of India and the release from official stock influence of the price.
Though, international trade is limited, the ups and downs in the production and
consumption at all the major/minor producing and consuming nation dose influence the
long term price trend.
Defects
(a) Foreign Matter 2.0% (Max)
(organic/inorganic)
(b) Damaged Kernels 2.00 (Max) provided that infestation damaged not to
exceed 1 per 100 kernels.
(c) Shrunken Shriveled 3.00% (Max)
& broken grains
Total defects (a+b+c) Below 6%
Acceptable up to 8% With rebate on 1:1 basis
Rejected total defect is Above 8%
Teat weight up to 76 kg/hl 76kg/hl. Min. acceptable with rebate of 150 grams per
kg/hl or pro-rata variance in hector liter weight deducted
per quintal Below 74 kg/hl
Rejected Below 74 kg/hl
Moisture 11%
Acceptable (Max)13% With rebate 1:1
Reject able Above 13%
Quality Specifications: -
Wheat of Standard Mill variety conforming to the following quality standards will be deliverable;
The material will be tested by using 3 mm sieve.
Defects: -
1. Foreign Matter (organic/inorganic) 2.0% (maximum)
2. Damaged Kernel 2.0% (maximum) provided that infestation
damaged not exceed 1
3. Sunken, Shriveled and Per 100 kernels.
Broken grains 3.00% (maximum)
Total Defects (a+b+c) Below 6%
41
Acceptable Up to 8% with rebate on 1:1 basis
Rejected if total defects Above 8%
Total Weight 76 kg/hl. (minimum)
Up to 74 kg/hl Acceptable with rebate of 150 grams per
kg/hl or pro-rata variance in hector liter
weight deducted per quintal weight delivered.
Rejected
Below 74 kg/hl
Moisture 11% (maximum)
Acceptable Up to 13% with rebate 1:1
Reject able Above 135
Packing Packing should be in B Twill once used
100kg jute bags, the tare weight deduction per
bag for net weight calculation shall be 1 kg
per quintal of gross weight.
42
Chapter 9
DERIVATIVES
Basis of Derivatives
Derivative is a contract or a product whose value is derived from value of some other
asset known as underlying. Derivatives are based on wide range of underlying assets.
These include:
1. Metals such as Gold, Silver, Aluminium, Copper, Zinc, Nickel, Tin, Lead etc.
2. Energy resources such as Oil (crude oil, products, cracks), Coal, Electricity, Natural
Gas etc.
3. Agricultural commodities such as wheat, Sugar, Coffee, Cotton, Pulses etc, and
4. Financial assets such as Shares, Bonds and Foreign Exchange.
History of Derivatives may be mapped back to the several centuries. Some of the specific
milestones in evolution of Derivatives Market Worldwide are given below:
12th Century- In European trade fairs, sellers signed contracts promising future delivery
of the items they sold.
13th Century- There are many examples of contracts entered into by English Cistercian
Monasteries, who frequently sold their wool up to 20 years in advance, to foreign
merchants.
Late 17th Century - In Japan at Dojima, near Osaka, a futures market in rice was
developed to protect rice producers from bad weather or warfare.
In 1848, The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) facilitated trading of forward contracts on
various commodities.
In 1865, the CBOT went a step further and listed the first ‘exchange traded” derivative
contract in the US. These contracts were called ‘futures contracts”.
In 1919, Chicago Butter and Egg Board, a spin-off of CBOT, was reorganised to allow
futures trading. Later its name was changed to Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).
9.2 Indian Derivatives Market :
As the initial step towards introduction of derivatives trading in India, SEBI set up a
24-member committee under the Chairmanship of Dr. L. C. Gupta on November 18,
1996 to develop appropriate regulatory framework for derivatives trading in India.
The committee submitted its report on March 17, 1998 recommending that derivatives
should be declared as ‘securities’ so that regulatory framework applicable to trading of
43
‘securities’ could also govern trading of derivatives. Subsequently, SEBI set up a group
in June 1998 under the Chairmanship of Prof. J. R. Verma, to recommend measures for
risk containment in derivatives market in India.
The committee submitted its report in October 1998. It worked out the operational details
of margining system, methodology for charging initial margins, membership details and
net-worth criterion, deposit requirements and real time monitoring of positions
requirements.
In 1999
The exchange traded derivatives started in India in June 2000 with SEBI permitting BSE
and NSE to introduce equity derivative segment. To begin with, SEBI approved trading
in index futures contracts based on CNX Nifty and BSE Sensex, which commenced
trading 13
in June 2000. Later, trading in Index options commenced in June 2001 and trading in
options on individual stocks commenced in July 2001. Futures contracts on individual
stocks started in November 2001. MCX-SX (renamed as MSEI) started trading in all
these products.
44
9.3Types of Derivatives Market
Few complex products are constructed on simple building blocks like forwards, futures,
options and swaps to cater to the specific requirements of customers.
OTC derivative market is less regulated market because these transactions occur in
private among qualified counterparties, who are supposed to be capable enough to take
care of themselves.
The OTC derivatives markets - transactions among the dealing counterparties, have
following features compared to exchange traded derivatives:
market.
45
9.4 Significance of Derivatives
1. Like other segments of Financial Market, Derivatives Market serves following specific
functions:
Derivatives market helps in improving price discovery based on actual valuations and
expectations.
2. Derivatives market helps in transfer of various risks from those who are exposed to
risk but have low risk appetite to participants with high risk appetite. For example
hedgers want to give away the risk where as traders are willing to take risk.
46
Chapter 10: Introduction to forward and futures Contracts What
is Forward Contract?
Forward contract is an agreement made directly between two parties to buy or sell an
asset on a specific date in the future, at the terms decided today. Forwards are widely
used in commodities, foreign exchange, equity and interest rate markets.
What is the basic difference between cash market and forwards? Assume on March 9,
2015 you wanted to purchase gold from a goldsmith. The market price for gold on March
9, 2015 was Rs. 15,425 for 10 gram and goldsmith agrees to sell you gold at market
price.
You paid him Rs.15,425 for 10 gram of gold and took gold. This is a cash market
transaction at a price (in this case Rs.15,425) referred to as spot price.
Now suppose you do not want to buy gold on March 9, 2015, but only after 1 month.
Goldsmith quotes you Rs.15,450 for 10 grams of gold. You agree to the forward price for
10 grams of gold and go away.
Here, in this example, you have bought forward or you are long forward, whereas the
goldsmith has sold forwards or short forwards. There is no exchange of money or gold at
this point of time. After 1 month, you come back to the goldsmith pay him Rs. 15,450
and collect your gold. This is a forward, where both the parties are obliged to go through
with the contract irrespective of the value of the underlying asset (in this case gold) at the
point.
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10.1 Major limitations of forwards
Liquidity Risk
Liquidity is nothing but the ability of the market participants to buy or sell the desired
quantity of an underlying asset. As forwards are tailor made contracts i.e. the terms of the
contract are according to the specific requirements of the parties, other market
participants may not be interested in these contracts.
The tailor made contracts and their non-availability on exchanges creates illiquidity in
the contracts. Therefore, it is very difficult for parties to exit from the forward contract
before the contract’s maturity.
Counterparty risk
Counterparty risk is the risk of an economic loss from the failure of counterparty to fulfil
its contractual obligation
For example, A and B enter into a bilateral agreement, where A will purchase 100 kg of
rice at Rs.20 per kg from B after 6 months. Here, A is counterparty to B and vice versa.
After 6 months, if price of rice is Rs.30 in the market then B may forego his obligation to
deliver 100 kg of rice at Rs.20 to A.
Similarly, if price of rice falls to Rs.15 then A may purchase from the market at a lower
price, instead of honouring the contract. Thus, a party to the contract may default on his
obligation if there is incentive to default. This risk is also called default risk or credit risk.
The major disadvantage include no control over future events, price fluctuation and the
potential reduction in assets price as the expiry date approaches.
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10.2 VARIOUS TERMINOLOGIES :
Spot Price: The price at which an asset trades in the cash market. It is the price at
which an asset is brought or sold for immediate payment or delivery
Futures Price: The price of the futures contract in the futures market. The price that is
mutually agreed between the parties at the time of entering in to the contract.
Expiration Day: The day on which a derivative contract ceases to exist. All trades are
compulsorily required tp settle their position on expiy date .
Tick Size: It is minimum move allowed in the price quotations. Exchanges decide the
tick sizes on traded contracts as part of contract specification. Tick size for Nifty futures
/is 5 paisa. Bid price is the price buyer is willing to pay and ask price is the price seller is
willing to sell.
Contract Size and contract value: Futures contracts are traded in lots and to
arrive at the contract value we have to multiply the price with contract multiplier or lot
size or contract size.
Basis: The difference between the spot price and the futures price is called basis. If the
futures price is greater than spot price, basis for the asset is negative. Similarly, if the spot
price is greater than futures price, basis for the asset is positive. On August 9, 2010, spot
price > future price thus basis for nifty futures is positive i.e. (7899.15 - 7897.65 = Rs
1.50).
Importantly, basis for one-month contract would be different from the basis for two or
three month contracts.
ANALYSIS
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Survey was conducted across Mumbai City (in areas lik to judge the awareness
of peoples regarding investment in Commodity Market.
COMMODITY MARKET
Questionnaire for Investors
4. If no, why?
a. Not aware about invest avenues b. Insufficient income c. Other (specify)
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a. Bullion b. Agricultural c. Metals d. Fossils/Energy
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11. What you think Commodity Market Advertisements (hoardings, prints etc) are
explanatory enough to give needed useful information?
a. YES b. NO
12. Gender
a. Male b. Female
14. Occupation
a. Govt. Job b. Private Job c. Business d. Other (specify)
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Quantitative Analysis
1. Investor’s preferences: -
Analysis of data revels that majority of people prefer investment in Real Estate
(28.81% of total sample) which specified in other category investment and it is greater
than share market investment preference.
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Very few people heard of commodity market. Vast majority of people are unaware
about Commodity Market.
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Above data revels that majority of commodity investors like to invest in Bullion
(Gold & Silver).
Analysis of data shows that majority of people who are aware about commodity
market; feel that investment in commodity market is very risky. So efforts should be done
to minimize the risk in commodity investment and make peoples about minimum risk in
commodity investment.
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6. Opinion about Commodity Market Advertisements
(Expressed by those who know commodity market)
Qualitative Analysis
1. Investment preferences: -
Most of the investors prefer least risky investment which gives higher returns.
That is why majority (70% of sample) of people interested in investments other than
Share and commodity market.
Very less number of people (only 7%) showed their interest in investment in
commodity market. Main reason for this is lack of awareness and complete
information about commodity market.
2. Commodity Exchanges: -
People who are interested in commodity investment showed more concern
towards NCDEX; for its brand name and people think there might be surety of
transaction at NCDEX.
3. Commodities: -
Bullion is most preferred commodity for investment. Because one can expect
maximum returns from such investment due to rapidly increasing prices of bullion in
market.
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4.Advertisements: -
Commodity market Advertisements should be more informative. And it is the
failure of commodity market’s advertisement campaign to attract people’s attention;
as majority of people are not aware about commodity market.
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ANNEXURE
● At the Market: - An order to buy or sell at the best price possible at the time an order
reaches the trading pit.
● Basis: - Basis is the difference between the cash price of an asset and futures price of
the underlying asset. Basis can be negative or positive depending on the prices
prevailing in the cash and futures.
● Basis grade: - Specific grade or grades named in the exchanges future contract. The
other grades deliverable are subject to price of underlying futures
● Bid: - A bid subject to immediate acceptance made on the floor of exchange to buy a
definite number of futures contracts at a specific price..
● Buy on Close: - To buy at the end of trading session at the price within the closing
range.
● Buy on opening: - To buy at the beginning of trading session at a price within the
opening range.
● Call: - An option that gives the buyer the right to a long position in the underlying
futures at a specific price, the call writer (seller) may be assigned a short position in
the underlying futures if the buyer exercises the call.
● Cash commodity: - The actual physical product on which a futures contract is based.
This product can include agricultural commodities, financial instruments and the cash
equivalent of index futures.
● Close: - The period at the end of trading session officially designated by exchange
during which all transactions are considered made “at the close”.
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● Cover: - The cancellation of the short position in any futures contract buys the
purchase of an equal quantity of the same futures contract.
● Cross hedge: - When a cash commodity is hedged by using futures contract of other
commodity.
● Day orders: - Orders at a limited price which are understood to be good for the day
unless expressly designated as an open order or “good till canceled” order.
● Delivery month: - Specified month within which delivery may be made under the
terms of futures contract.
● Exchange: - Central market place for buyers and sellers. Standardized contracts
ensure that the prices mean the same to everyone in the market. The prices in an
exchange are determined in the form of a continuous auction by members who are
acting on behalf of their clients, companies or themselves.
● Limit: - The maximum daily price change above or below the price close in a
specific futures market. Trading limits may be changed during periods of unusually
high market activity.
● Limit order: - An order given to a broker by a customer who has some restrictions
upon its execution, such as price or time.
● Long: - (1) The buying side of an open futures contract or futures option; (2) a trader
whose net position in the futures or options market shows an excess of open
purchases over open sales.
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● Margin: - Cash or equivalent posted as guarantee of fulfillment of a futures contract
(not a down payment).
● Margin call: - Demand for additional funds or equivalent because of adverse price
movement or some other contingency.
● Market order: - An order for immediate execution at the best available price. ●
● Net position: - The difference between the open contracts long and the open
contracts short held in any commodity by any individual or group.
● Open contracts: - Contracts which have been brought or sold without the transaction
having been completed by subsequent sale, repurchase or actual delivery or receipt of
commodity.
● Option: - It gives right but not the obligation to the option owner, to buy an
underlying asset at specific price at specific time in the future.
● Out-of-the money: - Option calls with the strike prices above the price of the
underlying futures, and puts with strike prices below the price of the underlying
futures.
● Point: - The minimum unit in which changes in futures prices may be expressed
(minimum price fluctuation may be in multiples of points).
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● Premium: - The amount by which a given futures contract’s price or commodity’s
quality exceeds that of another contract or commodity (opposite of discount). In
options, the price of a call or put, which the buyer initially pays to the option writer
(seller).
● Price limit: - The maximum fluctuation in price of futures contract permitted during
one trading session, as fixed by the rules of a contract market.
● Purchase and sales statement: - A statement sent by FMC to a customer when his
futures option has been reduced or closed out (also called ‘P and S”)
● Put: - In options the buyer of a put has the right to continue a short position in an
underlying futures contract at the strike price until the option expires; the seller
(writer) of the put obligates himself to take a long position in the futures at the strike
price if the buyer exercises his put.
● Range: - The difference between high and low price of the futures contract during a
given period.
● Ratio hedging: - Hedging a cash position with futures on a less or more than
one-for-one basis.
● Round turn: - The execution of the same customer of a purchase transaction and a
sales transaction which offset each other.
● Round turn commission: - The cost to the customer for executing a futures contract
which is charged only when the position is liquidated.
● Scalping: - For floor traders, the practice of trading in and out of contracts through
out the trading day in a hopes for making a series of small profits.
● Settlement price: - The official daily closing price of futures contract, set by the
exchange for the purpose of setting margins accounts.
● Short: - (1) The selling of an option futures contract. (2) A trader whose net position
in the futures market shows an excess of open sales over open purchases.
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● Spread: - Spread is the difference in prices of two futures contracts.
● Striking price: - In options, the price at which a futures position will be established if
the buyer exercises (also called strike or exercise price).
● Technical analysis (charting): - In price forecasting, the use of charts and other
devices to analyze price-change patters and changes in volume and open interest to
predict future market trends (opposite of fundamental analysis).
● Time value: - In options the value of premium is based on the amount of time left
before the contract expires and the volatility of the underlying futures contract. Time
value represents the portion of the premium in excess of intrinsic value. Time value
diminishes as the expiration of the options draws near and/or if the underlying futures
become less volatile.
● Writer: - A sealer of an option who collects the premium payment from the buyer.
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LITREATURE REVIEW
India is one of the top most producers of a large numbers of commodities ranging from
agriculture to non-agriculture products, with a long history in its trading market .India is a
commodity based market where two-third of the population depends on agricultural
commodities, surprisingly has an underdeveloped commodity and commodity future
market. This is because the traders in commodity future market were banned for almost
four decades in India. There must be reasons for and against such ban but one thing it has
done is to paralyze the research and the knowledge creation in the domain and more so in
the Indian context.
The proposed research paper conceived with an idea to understand the importance of
commodity derivatives and learn about the market from India point of view. In fact was
one of the most vibrant markets till early 70s. Its development and growth was shunted
due to numerous restrictions earlier. Now, with most of these restrictions being removed,
there is tremendous potential for growth of this market in the country.
The survey of the existing literature reveals that no specific work has been carried out to
examine the relation between various economic parameters and future price of
commodities traded. The present study is an attempt in this direction The present studies
outline theoretical literature the commodity futures market in India. The review of the
earlier studies here is attempted chronologically in order to get a comprehensive picture.
Abundance literature on commodity market in general gives theoretical explanation for
the emergence of commodity future market.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
● http://commodities.in
● http://finance.indiamart.com/markets/commodity/
● http://www.commoditiescontrol.com
● http://www.mcxindia.com
● http://www.ncdex.com
● http://investmentz.co.in
● http://trade.indiainfoline.com
● http://www.finance.indiamart.com
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