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Pepene Final Business Plan 2016
Pepene Final Business Plan 2016
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8.2.1 High price fluctuations....................................................................................................................25
8.2.2 Increasing food inflation.................................................................................................................25
8.2.3 Weather Fluctuations..........................................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.
8.2.4 Technological risk..........................................................................................................................25
SECTION 9: FUNDING PHASES.........................................................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.
10.1 Business Rationale Factors and Economic Benefits...................................Error! Bookmark not defined.
ANNEX I: BUDGET TABLE...................................................................................................Error! Bookmark not defined.
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INDEX OF DEFINED TERMS (Acronyms which are only mentioned once in the text are not listed)
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
PEPENE GENERAL ENTERPRISES LIMITED (PGEL) is based in Chimala- Mbeya City, Tanzania was
established and incorporated in Tanzania as a limited liability company in April 2014 under the
Company Act of 2002 and issued with a certificate of incorporation. The company is owned by
Tanzanian six (6) shareholders namely, Harun Michael Mihavile (58%), Monica Andrew Ndelele
(18%), Michael Harun Mhavile (9%), Valentine Malila (5%), Habaruki Lusan Ngogo (5%) and Imani
Aron Mwalumbwe (5%).
The company main activity is agro-processing activities mainly paddy processing to rice. Other
activities the company involved with is cereal buying and selling, farming and general trading. The key
promoter of PGEL has more than 15 years’ experience in the agro-processing business, farming
activities and business of cereal crops business. The business started way back in year 2000. The main
focus of the business is food production and distribution for both domestic consumption and export.
The business plan describes rice milling project operating by Pepene General Enterprises Limited at
Chimala, Mbeya. The objective of the plan is to seek funds of about TZS 500 million as term loan for
constructions of modern Godown at Chimala to have adequate stock to be processed and ensure the
constant supply throughout the year. Current the company has got paddy milling machine with the
capacity of processing 50 tons/day. The promoters have a factory building located at the prime area, also
a proposed new industrial area to build modern go-down of about 4,920sq just opposite to the factory
site at Chimala Township and the same will be used as security for the said loan. The requested loan for
asset finance will be repaid within five years, the cash-flow projections indicate that this loan can be
repaid fully by end of year three of operations.
The project thrust is to ensure it takes the organized shortage of food in the country by increasing in
food processing and distribution. Food production is key priority for the country and this project fits
well in the overall strategies of the country economic development. The demand and supply situation of
rice market in the country show that there is high demand that cannot be sufficiently supplied by the
local production; varying from a self sufficiency of over 80% in good years, where in bad years only
about two third of the consumption is produced in the country and deficit is imported.
The core objective of this twenty five-years business plan is to further formalize and expand the rice
business in a manner that will optimize profitability through economies of scale and use appropriate
technologies for improved rice production, processing and distribution to the target market.
Rice is one of the major staple food as well as cash crop in some areas in Tanzania and ranks the second
after maize in terms of volume of production and preference among cereals grown in Tanzania. More
than 60 percent of the population, particularly the urban population, which is expanding rapidly due to
rural-urban migration, depends on rice. The high elasticity of demand for rice, changes in traditional
food habits, rapid urbanization and production of rice as a cash crop, has led to the consistent increase in
consumption and demand.
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Despite its importance, rice business has not realized its full potential particularly to most ordinary
Tanzanian farmers. PEPENE promoters are committed to further unlock the potential by optimizing on
the present opportunities which include increasing rice demand, conducive investment climate which are
currently provided through various government initiatives like MCC, SAGCOT and National Rice
Development Strategy, and great financing initiatives like Tanzania Agricultural Development Bank.
PEPENE is requesting loan amount of TZS 500,000,000 /=. The project is viable; hence the company
is submitting the request to TADB Bank to liquidate the existing outstanding loan balance with TIB
Development bank with total outstanding balance of approximate 30 million so that TADB become the
sole Banker. The construction of this Godown with the capacity of storing about 40,000 bags with
100kgs will enable small farmers (11 groups) store there produced then process the paddy to factory
hence assure factory fully operation throughout the year.
The implementation of the project is having a minimal and insignificant impact on the environment
given the nature of operation and the use of modern technology. The company policy is to ensure that
the operation and activities undertaken by the company to have favorable impact to the environment and
surrounding communities.
The business analysis indicates that PEPENE will be able to make significant profit in each year ceteris
peribus. Below are the expected major milestones of this business:
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CHAPTER 1: BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
The primary goal of PEPENE is to offer the best quality value-added rice and rice products to the
fast increasing middle and high income earners located in rice deficit regions of Tanzania such as
Mbeya, Dodoma, Moshi, Tanga, Dar es Salaam and high-end markets overseas at the most
affordable price and efficient service delivery.
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Rice contributes about 8% of the total food production in Tanzania 1. The table below
indicates the 2015/2016 National Food gap/surplus analysis based on the 2013/14 Final
Food Crop Production Forecast (Tonnes) - Grain Equivalent:
Based on the table above rice ranks third in terms of total production of cereals after maize
(63%) and Sorghum & Millet (18%) and the least is wheat (2%). Production is primarily
dominated by smallholder farmers with farm size ranging from 0.5 – 5 acres per farm-family.
There are few large scale rice farmers which are mainly found in areas with irrigation schemes
e.g. Kilombero scheme (KPL) and Mbarali (Kapunga and Mbarali Estates). SERENGETI is
rated as medium rice farmer as it runs a 50 acres rice farm with plan to expand to 100 acres upon
fund availability.
Many biotic and abiotic factors greatly reduce rice productivity in Tanzania and many traditional
African farming systems. Drought is one of the major production constraints and leads to crop
failure, hunger and poverty for many small-holder rice farmers in Tanzania. SERENGETI is
determined to build its own production capability to satisfy its target customers and further
promote productivity of small-holder rice farmers surrounding the company through introduction
of improved irrigation techniques, use of improved seeds, pest management and postharvest
handling methods.
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1.5 Key Constraints and Opportunities in Rice Sector
There are several constraints facing the rice sub-sector in Tanzania. These involve:
Limited water accessibility due to inadequate irrigation facilities and unpredictable droughts
Limited extension services to disseminate requisite knowledge and skills necessary to
improve rice productivity.
Poor road access to the rice fields – over 60% of smallholder rice farmers produce their crop
more than 5 km away from the road where vehicles can pass year around, making
transportation of their crops a major bottleneck.
Limited storage facilities – most smallholder farmers especially those in Chimala find
difficulties in storing their produce which result in post-harvest losses or selling their crop at
low prices to avoid the problem.
Unreliable marketing system – apparently the market is dominated by middlemen who
normally offer low prices and contract farming arrangements are limited.
High post-harvest losses which range between 30 to 40%.
Limited techniques in paddy processing and rice packaging – most rice available in the
market is not graded and professionally packaged.
1.6 The following impact will affect the surrounding smallholder farmers at Chimala
The storage will help improve farmer’s margin because they can now realise increased paddy
selling price compared to those obtained during harvest seasons.
The project will help reduce post-harvest losses due to poor storage facilities facing small holder
farmers.
The project will bring competition among existing warehouse which might lead to reduce of
storage price which is currently around TZS 3000/= per season.
The warehouse is just adjacent to rice processing machine that will help smallholder farmers add
value their paddy hence increase their margin and reduce transport costs from warehouse to rice
processing facility.
Smallholder farmers will store their paddy in the warehouse to as to tap increase in price in the
off-season.
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SECTION 2: CORPORATE AND MANAGEMENT STRUCTURE
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2.3 Technical Arrangements and Assistance
PEPENE is in operational for over 15 years. The major areas that will definitely need technical
assistance are machine installation and support services which is frequently provided by the
Small Industry Development Organization (SIDO). More over the key staff have adequate
experience to run the project efficiently.
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CHAPTER 3: APPROPRIATE TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS
Rice is the major crop produced and is cultivated and processed almost in each Ward in Mbeya
Region. Rice farming activities are dominated by smallholder farmers with a land size of 0.5 – 3
hectors and is characterized by relatively low productivity of 1.5 tons per hector. In a similar
way, the processing activities are characterized by small spots of rice processing machines most
of which are owned by traders and middlemen.
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Transplanting after seedling establishment in order to irrigation and/or seed drill
promote proper and early tilling, which is planter.
an essential yield component. Where
direct planting using a seed drill will be
done, transplanting will not be required.
Stage 3: Weeding Involves removal of weeds manually and Herbicide (2-4D), Manual
supplemented by selective herbicides. The labour
crop is weeded twice, in February and in
April, depending on planting time.
Stage 4: Harvesting Harvesting will be done manually. Rental combine harvester(if
Combine harvesting may also be used available timely); Sickles,
depending on the availability of combines storage bags; tarpaulins and
for rental. Manual Labor
Stage 5: Transportation Two stages of transportation will be Tractor, Trailer; casual
needed – from the farm to a temporary laborers; truck
storage house in Mwamkulu using a
tractor and a trailer; and from Mwamkulu
to Mpanda Town Mpanda using a lorry.
Stage 6: Storage Proper sun drying to 12-13 % grain Warehouse; labor for
moisture content will be done on a packing and
turpentine to prevent molding and avoid unpacking/arranging in
the potential hazard for aflatoxin warehouse.
contamination in the grains.
There are different techniques used in rice milling and vary from one plant to another depending
on the financial capacity and knowledge of the factory owner. Apparently, most of these
techniques do not produce high quality graded rice. PEPENE is committed to become leading
manufacturer and supplier of high quality graded rice in Mbeya and beyond and hence has
solicited modern rice processing equipment as detailed below. It is anticipated that upon
successful installation and running of the described technology below, PEPENE will become
high competitive company in the region.
Graded rice processing involves 4 key steps - paddy cleaning, de-stoning, milling and grading.
Each stage requires specific machine operations
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The selected 2TPH Mini Modern Rice Mill Plant consists of a paddy cleaner, destoner, paddy
husker (rice huller), separator, rice miller (dry polisher), bucket elevator & blower. It can
produce high quality white rice with fewer broken rice. It is suitable for small farmer & small
scale rice producer. PEPENE will combine the milling plant with rice grader and rice packing
scale.
Productivity of milled rice vary from 1.0 to 1.2 tons of milled rice per ha (equivalent to 1.6 to 1.8
tons of paddy per ha.) The low yield is mainly caused among others, by the use of genetically
low yielding varieties, drought, low soil fertility, weed infestations, prevalence of insect pests
and diseases and birds.
In overall, consumption of rice is gradually increasing and per capita consumption in 2007 is
25.4 kg. Self sufficiency ratio (SSR) is 84.5 percent (USDA 2009). A recommended level of
SSR ensuring a country’s sustainable food availability is above 120 percent.
At domestic level: Rice is ranked second in both production and preference among the cereals
grown in Tanzania and in Africa in general. It is also an important food and cash crop. More than
60 percent of the population, particularly among the urban population, which is expanding
rapidly due to rural-urban migration, depends on rice. The high elasticity of demand for rice,
changes in traditional food habits, rapid urbanisation and production of rice as a cash crop, has
lead to consistent increase in consumption and demand. So, demand is potentially higher than
current supply.
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locally and regionally. Demand is ever increasing due to high urbanization almost in every city
and towns in Tanzania. PEPENE’s marketing strategy will therefore focus on reaching these
middle and high income earners at its best possible capability by consistently and timely
distributing high quality graded rice to them.
4.3.2 Pricing
PEPENE’s pricing strategy will be that of ensuring affordability but optimizing profitability.
This will allow faster growth of the company as opposed to rent-seeking strategy which may
render the company less competitive and hence longer time to grow.
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4.6 Unlocking Marketing Potential
As discussed above PEPENE will be selective in reaching the market it has committed to serve.
We will focus on distributing high quality graded rice to selected supermarkets, institutions and
individual consumers. We will do “marketing unusual” and not “marketing as usual”.
The company SWOT analysis depicted weakness, strengths, threats and opportunities existing in
cultivation of rice:
Strengths
1) The promoter is doing business of rice farming and processing for over 15 years therefore the owners
have appropriate paddy management skills.
2) The promoter has ready market
3) Direct linkage to small holder farmers for more than 10 groups
4) The market for paddy products is readily available at the local and regional market
5) The cultivation of rice will be under irrigation system utilizing infrastructure of the Chimala project
under special arrangement.
Weakness:
1) No enough working capital as well as machines and equipment to mechanise the farming activities.
2) Unreliable power
3) Management of irrigation system for balance and fair utilization of water resources.
Threats:
1) Insufficient Rainfall, although the past rainfall regime has proven favourable.
2) Soil erosion which can be prevented by ridging across the farm land that may be affected
3) Un stable price
4) Low productivity of paddy resulting to unutilized milling machine capacity
5) Wholesale buyers can conspire to low prices
Opportunity:
1) There is high demand of food in neighboring countries.
2) Government support on Agriculture sector.
3) Construction of new international market for paddy in Igurusi Mbarali. This will provide more
markets for paddy farmers in Mbarali.
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CHAPTER 5: INDUSTRIAL DYNAMICS
i. Good business location – it is located at Chimala Village which has been declared a is one of
the large and famous area in paddy production and is among of one largest producers in the
south-east corridor. The place is well connected in terms of primary infrastructural
requirements (along Mbeya – Dar es Salaam road).
ii. Promoter’s high level of entrepreneurship – The shareholders and management team is
highly professional businessman and has been carrying his farming and agro-processing
business for over 13 years and has established good business reputation for himself within
the region.
iii. Product’s goodwill – rice is the second highly consumed grain after maize. Much is
consumed by the fast growing middle class in Tanzania. Rice is rated priority crop for food
security and income generation in Sub-Saharan African and government has special
emphasis on the crop through “National Rice Strategic Development”.
iv. Adequate financing – success of this business will depend on the timely availability of funds
to implement all the described activities. It is believed that TIB will be able to provide the
needful.
v. PEPENE will use special technology of processing high quality graded rice and avoid the
prevailing traditional technology of milling rice.
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CHAPTER 6: INVESTMENT AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS PLAN
Equity Loan
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PEPENE BUSINESS CENTRE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
i. PEPENE’s rice milling machines two lines have the capacity of processing 50
tons/day
ii. The utilizing capacity by the company reaches about 80% per year that is 32
tons/day.
iii. Conversion rate of paddy to rice is 70%:30% i.e. 1bag of 100 kg of raw paddy
produce 70kg of rice
iv. Purchasing price of paddy is TZS 600,000 to 800,000 per tons
v. The sale price processed and graded rice is estimated at TZS 1.3 to 1.5 million per
ton
Vi The factory will operate on the double shift on 240 days per annum
v. Storage cost per bag of 100kg is TZS 2,500 and farmers must mill to the same
company factory by TZS 5,000 per bag of 100kg.
The company will secure loan of constructing Godown with the capacity of
storing 40,000 bags of paddy with 100kg,the same will be processed to
PEPENE factory,
The company will also enjoy income of storage from farmers where by TZS
2,000 will be charged per bag before going to the company factory for
processing.
Projected have been only for three years the company is sure of liquidating
the loan although we have applied for 5 year.
vi.
FINANCIAL PROJECTION
I. Income Statement
F. Net Profit Before Income Taxes and Depreciation 84,526,288 436,445,314 740,621,812
(D+C-E)
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G. Depreciation 7,855,000 7,855,000 7,855,000
H. Income Taxes
I Net Income After Income Taxes and Depreciation 76,671,288 428,590,314 732,766,812
(F-G-H)
II. Cash flow Statement
B. CASH RECEIPTS
G. Total Cash Available (before cash out, A+F) 1,467,196,008 2,240,290,322 2,825,054,002
I. Purchases & All costs which are part of cost of 624,143,520 1,069,960,320 1,069,960,320
sales
J. Purchases ()
K. Purchases ()
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S. Accounting & legal 1,200,000 1,224,000 1,248,480
AC. Miscellaneous
AJ.
B. Accounts Receivable 0 0 0
C. Inventory 0 0 0
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D. Total Current Assets (A+B+C) 672,698,488 943,943,802 1,519,365,614
I. Accounts Payable
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CHAPTER 7: BUSINESS REGULATIONS, INCENTIVES AND
OPPORTUNITIES
Another positive regulatory environment is the recent commitment of the government to lift
grain ban. This will enable PEPENE to be able to explore external markets and finally sell more
by buying more from the smallholder farmers.
Strategic location – all operations will be carried out in Mbeya whereby there are favorable
climatic conditions and is easily accessible by the market due to improving road infrastructure
which has been built as part of SAGCOT and MCC initiatives. The business location will reduce
the costs of production; will allow appropriate rice distribution channels and promoter has lived
in Mbeya for a long time.
Lifting of grain export ban – this has been a big obstacle for many businessmen who wanted to
export grains abroad. The ban has been lifted this year thus is big advantage to PEPENE in terms
of widening markets and securing better prices.
TADB’s agricultural window – this is great opportunity for new businesses based on
agriculture and PEPENE wants to exploit this opportunity.
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Increasing Global Food Crop Prices – this is critical opportunity especially taking into account
that Tanzania has comparative advantage in rice production globally.
Rice processing – indiscriminating disposal of rice mill wastes (and particularly rice husks) near
the neighborhoods of the mills may result into pollution since husks are high in silcon which is
hazardous to health. Rice husks if poorly disposed off may also be a major habitat for rodents,
snakes and weevils that may be harmful to humans.
Mitigation strategy: PEPENE will ensure that all rice a waste especially husks are carefully
treated. One way will be selling the bran to owners of animal feeds plants e.g. TANFEED
International and use the husks to manufacture bio-bricks.
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CHAPTER 8: RISK FACTORS AND MITIGATION STRATEGIES
Mitigation Strategy – the ultimate business mission of PEPENE is to become leading supplier
of high quality rice at affordable price. To save this risk, the company will bulk adequate stock
of paddy during harvest season and will be distributing polished rice to contracted buyers (as
opposed to conventional buyers). The market target of PEPENE rice products is institutions,
supermarkets and middle class people.
8.2.2 Increasing food inflation – apparently the food inflation rate is high (at 20%) and there is no
any indication that this rate will slow down. It is assumed that it may be constant for the next 3
years but it is still a risk if the rate may further go up. This will cause the price of paddy to go up
and in the end price of rice go up.
Mitigation Strategy – though not easily controllable PEPENE will pursue strategy of producing
more its own paddy and also buy more from the smallholder farmers during harvest season. The
company will enter into forward contract with paddy producer at Kapunga, Igurusi and Rujewa
farmers around Chimala who are expected to grow paddy.
8.2.4 Technological risk – PEPENE will use the proven technology which is manageable easily.
Mitigation Strategy – PEPENE will use services of professional engineers who will be hired
from Dar es salaam
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9.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The financial and technical analysis shows that it is viable to undertake this business. The company is
requesting TADB to provide a total loan of TZS 500 million to improve infrastructure of the company
and provision of term loan for construction of Godown to enable storage of enough stocks of paddy for
smoothly operation of the company rice milling factory. The loan for the godown will be repaid within
five years.
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ANNEX III: DUE DILIGENCE DOCUMENTS
(iv)Certificate of Incorporation
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