Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Cians - HF Sample Pack
Cians - HF Sample Pack
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Investment Teasers
Investor Profiles
Opportunity Sector Studies
Equity Modeling
Valuation and Sensitivity Analysis
Credit Modeling and Research
Modeling for Corporate Actions / Industry Events
Management Questionnaires
Industry Primers
Detailed Investment Memos
• The investment universe for the Fund comprises individual equities and
equity-related instruments of companies in global developed markets,
including the U.S.
• Long-term strategic exposure to global equity markets is obtained using a
basket of futures that targets a beta of 0.5 to the MSCI World Index
• The Adviser uses a variety of indicators to tactically shift the Fund’s beta
exposure to global equity markets in a range of 0.3 to 0.7 around its long-
term strategic target of 0.5
• The long-short component of the portfolio targets a beta to equity
markets of zero
• The resulting portfolio is the sum of three sources of return: equity market
exposure (pure beta), the return from tactically varying exposure (tactical
• Launched in early 20XX, the fund seeks to provide higher risk-adjusted beta changes), and long-short stock selection (pure alpha)
returns with lower volatility compared to global equity markets
• The fund’s approach seeks to explicitly separate the return of market
exposure (“beta”) from the true “alpha” of long and short stock selection
• Uses value, momentum, and other economic indicators to take long and
short positions in industries, sectors, and companies that are attractive on
either a relative or absolute basis, targeting beta of 0 to equity markets
INVESTOR PROFILES(1/2)
BRIEF INVESTOR PROFILE
Hedge fund portfolio has grown 13% in past year, reversing dip in prior year. Favors
long/short equity, fixed-income, and special-situations vehicles. Has invested with AQR
Capital, Brevan Howard Asset Management, and Pershing Square Capital.
Has leapt past Texas Teachers, Maryland State Retirement and New Jersey State
Investment Council to claim the lead among U.S. public pensions investing in hedge
funds. Named Richard Shafer chief investment officer in September 2015, replacing John
Lane. Around same time, redeemed $115 million from Och-Ziff Capital and invested
$150 million with Kepos Capital. Now slightly exceeds 14% allocation target.
Allocates 32% of overall assets to hedge funds, the highest allocation among the Top 20
investors. Hedge fund assets up 14% in past year. Since 1997, has used hedge funds to
seek equity-like returns with bond-like volatility. Has worked with Baupost Group,
Centerbridge Partners, Eton Park Capital and Viking Global
xxx
Has held top spot for three years running, with hedge fund assets up from $47 billion in
2013. Maintains 5-10% allocation target for hedge funds and commodity-trading
advisors. In November 2015, shut down its only satellite office, in London, but said
move didn’t signal a shift in focus
Hedge fund assets up 15% in the past year, consistent with overall holdings. Has been
investing in hedge funds only since 2009, but quickly ramped up the portfolio. Has
invested with Blackstone, Capula Investment, Morgan Stanley, and Oaktree Capital
xxx
INVESTOR PROFILES(2/2)
DETAILED INVESTOR PROFILE
1997
Hedge fund portfolio has grown 13.0% in past year, reversing dip in prior year. Favors long/short equity, fixed-
income and special-situations vehicles. Has invested with AQR Capital, Brevan Howard Asset Management and
Pershing Square Capital
Total assets were US$ 255.4 million and Hedge Fund Assets were US$ 12.7 million
Toronto, New York, Sao Paulo, London, Luxembourg, Mumbai, and Hong Kong
Yes
Public Equity, Fixed Income, Private Equity, Real Estate and Infrastructure Projects, Energy and Natural
Resources, and Alternative Markets
• To maximize long-term investment returns without undue risk, taking into account factors that may affect
the funding of the Canada Pension Plan and its ability to meet its financial obligations
• To develop, execute, and enhance the investment strategy that balances prospective risk and reward in order
to ensure the long-term sustainability
• Since its creation, CPPIB has created $118.9 billion in cumulative net investment to the CPP fund
• CPP FUNF as of March 31, 2016 was $211.9 billion with a 10 year annualized rate of return (net – nominal)
of 6.8%
• Committed $10.9 billion in Investment Partnerships, including acquisition of 20.0% stake in Homeplus,
$15.7 billion in Private Investment, including acquisition of Antarers Capital, and $6.7 billion in real estate,
including joint acquisition of University House Community Group
OPPORTUNITY SECTOR STUDIES(1/3)
LOGISTICS SECTOR IN
INDIA – OVERVIEW
OPPORTUNITY SECTOR STUDIES(2/3)
OPPORTUNITY ANALYSIS –
INDIAN LOGISTICS SUB-SEGMENTS
OPPORTUNITY SECTOR STUDIES(3/3)
IMPROVED GROWTH VS. MARGIN, ON AVERAGE,
CORRESPONDS TO GREATER VALUATION LEVELS
• In ABC Corp, XYZ plans to hike the stake from 26% to 49%, while it
would increase its holding in ABC Asset Management Company from
Mar 02, 2015: India amended an insurance law to raise the cap
on foreign investment into Indian insurance companies to 49% 35% to 49%
from the 26% – a step that has been discussed for nearly a • The PQR Corporation is likely to sell a 9% stake in PQR insurance to its
decade. The amendment also allowed global reinsurance British JV partner MNO Life for a little over $1.7 billion
companies to set up branches in India, something that wasn’t
allowed before • $10 billion is likely to flow in the insurance sector within a year, and $40-
50 billion is expected to flow in the next 8-10 years
• XYZ Brands Inc. slashed its earnings outlook for 2015, following a recent
Oct 04, 2015: World Bank slashed East Asia growth forecast. cut in outlook of China
The bank downgraded its 2015, 2016, and 2017 growth
• S&P trimmed outlook on DD Land Rover owner PQR Auto motors
projections for developing East Asia-Pacific to 6.5, 6.4, and
6.3%, respectively following the Chinese economic slowdown
• Crisil downgraded PPP’s corporate bonds, driving down investor
sentiment
MACROECONOMIC UPDATES
INDICATORS (1/2)
¥
MACROECONOMIC UPDATES
INDICATORS (2/2)
UPCOMING INDUSTRY EVENTS
1
3
NOTE:
(1) PROFITABILITY (2) OPERATIONS (3) SOLVENCY (4) VALUATION
– REVENUE CAGR – CAPEX MARGIN – DEBT/ EQUITY – PE RATIO
– EBITDA MARGIN – FCF MARGIN – NET DEBT/EBITDA – EV/EBITDA
BUY OR SELL SIGNALS
MULTIPLES -BASED VALUATION MODEL
SHARE PRICE TARGET AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
• Feb 10, 2016 (RBC Capital Markets) – Raised target due to expected costs
savings from company’s XXX programme
• Aug 05, 2016 (J.P Morgan) – Upgraded price target to reflect higher EPS
and EBITDA estimates, along with growth in margins
FINANCIAL BENCHMARKING
COMPARABLE ANALYSIS(1/2)
TRADING COMPARABLES
COMPARABLE ANALYSIS(2/2)
TRANSACTION COMPARABLES
Manufactures polyurethane
thermal insulation panels and
accessories, and provides HVAC,
electrical services, etc.
Offers civil, mechanical, electrical,
mining, and process engineering;
and general building, construction,
and infrastructure services
INDUSTRY VALUATION SUMMARIES
Unsecured
Volume ($ in billions) LTM Default Rate (by $ Volume) Volume ($ in billions) LTM Default Rate (by $ Volume)
$500 $120 $467 12% $500 $120 12%
$388 $95 $95
400 $325 100 $325 10% 100 $368 $399 $356 10%
$300 400
80 $56 $56 $257 8% 80 $302
$56 $56 $293 8%
300 60 $229 6% 300 60 $246 $228 6%
40 $28 $155 $25 $23 4% 40 $28
$181 $25 $23 4%
200 $19 $149 $148 $19
20 $72 $9 $7 $3 $1 2% 200 20 $9 $7 $3 $1 2%
100 $38 $53
0 0% 100 0 0%
0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 '10 YTD 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 '10 YTD
'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 0
'06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16
6.0% 4.0%
5.0%
3.5%
4.0%
3.0% 3.0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 10/2/15 12/13/15 2/24/16 5/7/16 7/19/16 9/30/16
MODELING FOR CORPORATE ACTIONS
MERGER MODELING
MODELING FOR CORPORATE ACTIONS
ACCRETION/DILUTION ANALYSIS
MODELING FOR CORPORATE ACTIONS
LEVERAGED BUYOUT MODELING(1/2)
MODELING FOR CORPORATE ACTIONS
LEVERAGED BUYOUT MODELING(2/2)
MODELING FOR CORPORATE ACTIONS
WARRANTS VALUATION
MODELING FOR INDUSTRY EVENTS
REGULATORY UPDATES
• Hydro generation declined xxx GWH for 9M’16 (LTM) as a consequence of the draught that affected south Chile.
Although the company had self-owned xxx in place, its electricity generation was still affected. How are you going to
deal if the draught situation worsens, which may impact electricity generation?
• Any plans to make further inroads into clean development mechanism projects? Currently, this is a very small portion of
the overall generation portfolio, contributing merely 0.x% to electricity generation.
• Certain projects have been relinquished owing to feasibility concerns midway. Do you foresee any further stress on the
existing hydel portfolio or any upcoming capacity additions?
• How much of the capacity is in works? Can you tell us the quantum of capacity coming on stream in say 2017, 2018? Do
you envisage any delay in any of the ongoing projects?
• Considerable shift is expected to renewable energy production by 2019, shifting from xx% in 2016 to xx% in 2019.
However, this shift to hydro generation increases the risks from environmental concerns. Any particular reason for this
shift? Do you face less production losses in hydro production?
• The electricity distributed grew merely by 0.x% from xx Gwh in 9M’15 to xx Gwh in 9M’16 (LTM), mainly due to a xx%
fall in industrial distribution. What is the reason for the decline in industrial distribution? What are the company’s
expectations from this sector?
• Operating revenue climbed xx% for 9M’16 (LTM), because of greater sales to regulated customers and higher energy
sales price charged by the company. Chile has a positive outlook in terms of GDP growth, which directly relates to higher
electricity demand. What is your outlook for the uptick in demand? How much growth can be penciled in regarding
power generation and revenue?
• Chilean regulators are expected to adopt a harsher regime for electricity tariffs charged to final consumers. Does this pose
any threat to xxx? How is the company planning on adjusting to this update?
• The cost of fuel consumption declined Ch$ xx bn, due to lower commodity prices in the international market. Although it
turned out in its favor by reducing the overall costs, it exposed the company to commodity prices.
o As of December 31, 2015, the company did not hold any contracts classified as financial instruments related to coal
or petroleum-based liquid fuel and natural gas. How do you plan to ride over commodity price cycles?
• There was a substantial increase in the amount of energy the company purchased from the spot market for
9M’September 16 – increase of Ch$ xx bn. Do you foresee increase in spot market purchases, considering hydro portfolio
is still under stress owing to prevalent draught conditions?
• EBITDA share from the distribution of electricity to the total EBITDA has been on a decline from xx% in 2015 to xx% in
2016. The company targets to reach xx%; what are the underlying steps to achieve this growth?
INDUSTRY PRIMERS(1/2)
• From 2011 to 2013, the number of jackups remained unchanged globally, while the number of floaters increased ~16%
• This growth was led by growth in the ultra-deep-water segment, where the number of MODUs increased ~16%
• While the number of floaters in the Gulf of Mexico has increased, it has witnessed the largest fall in the number of jackups in absolute
terms over the last 2 years (24). Primarily due to a shift toward deep-water drilling activity
• South America accounts for the largest number of floaters in the world; the number of floaters in the region has increased ~20% over
2011–13
• The South East Asia region and India have the highest number of total MODUs, accounting for one–fourth of the global total
DETAILED INVESTMENT MEMOS
Part E – Maintenance
MODEL UPDATES AND SUPPORT
EARNINGS, GUIDANCE, AND
CONSENSUS UPDATES
EARNINGS CALENDAR
30 31 1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
27 28 29 30 1 2 3
XXX, Inc.
QX 20XX Earnings Call
NOVEMBER XX, 20XX X:XX P.M.
EXECUTIVES: ANALYSTS:
ABC - XXX, Inc. ABC - CCC Co.
MNO - XXX, Inc. BCD - EEE & Co. LLC
XYZ - XXX, Inc. GHI - GGG LLC
• Net revenues for the XX quarter were $XX million, a year-over-year growth of 29.4% and 72.5% in local currencies
• In Brazil, local currency revenue growth was 61.4%. Marketplace revenues grew 66.6% in local currencies and increased 21.5% in USD, while non-marketplace
revenues grew 81.9% in local currencies and 41.3% in USD, explained mainly by the growth of financing and merchant services, Shipping, and Advertising
• Gross profit for the XX quarter of 20XX was $XX million. Gross profit margin was 63.3%, compared to 67.4% in the XX quarter of 20XX. The margin
compression is explained by an increase in payment processing fees and sales taxes over revenues
• Total operating expenses decreased to $XX million, up 35.7% from last year's XX quarter on an as reported basis. As a percentage of revenues operating
expenses was 47.1%, up from 44.9% in the XX quarter of 20XX
• Income from operations was, as a result, $XX million, down 7.1% year-over-year, on an as reported basis. As a percentage of revenues, income from
operations was 16.1%, down from 22.4% during the same period in 20XX
• Interest income grew 75.2% year-over-year to $XX million, attributable to higher interest rates particularly in Argentina, and larger amounts invested
• Forex was negative $XX million mainly due to the depreciation of net monetary asset position in local currency in Venezuela
• Net income as reported for the quarter was $XX million dollars, resulting in a margin of 7.9%, down 19% year-over-year, and resulting in basic net income per
share of 36 cents
PERIODIC PORTFOLIO VALUATION
QUARTERLY UPDATES
PORTFOLIO ATTRIBUTION ANALYTICS
FUND PERFORMANCE AND
BENCHMARKING
DATABASE AND LIBRARY SERVICES
BREIFING PACKS
FOUNDERS & KEY MANAGEMENT
• Investment Director & Head of BD, Gaia Renewable Capital • Country Head, Copal Partners, India
• Director, Business Development, Copal Partners • Vice President, Genpact & JP Morgan
• Hedge Fund Strategies Group, Goldman Sachs • Investment Banker, Credit Suisse & Lazard
• Harvard Business School, OPM 50 • MBA, Darden Business School, University of Virginia
• B.Sc. Electrical Engineering, Villanova University • B.A. Economics, St. Stephen’s College
• Investment Banker, Merrill Lynch, UBS and Atlas Advisors • Engagement Manager, Copal Partners
• MBA, INSEAD • Equity Research Analyst, Standard & Poor’s, ING Barings, and
• B.Sc. Finance, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania Prudential Securities
• MBA, Columbia Business School
• B.A. History, Trinity College
ADVISORS
• Balyasny Asset Management L.P., Chief • M Science LLC, Chief Executive Officer • Vice Chairman of ATCO Group
Operating Officer • Investment Technology Group (NYSE: • Director of Honeywell Turki Arabia
• SECOR Asset Management, Partner and ITG), Executive Committee, Head of Limited, Keller-Turk Co Limited,
Chief Operating Officer Research, Sales & Trading National Air Services and Al Sagr Saudi
• Plural Investments, CFO/COO • RBC Capital Markets, Managing Director, Insurance Co, Wi-Tribe (Bahrain), & Al
• SAC Capital,LLC, Director of Operation Head of Technology Trading, Market Sagr Company for Cooperative
• Goldman Sachs & Co., Vice President Structure, & Sales Trading Insurance
• B.A. Accounting, Villanova University • Previously with Lehman Brothers • Member of the Audit Committee of Al-
• Member, Young Presidents Organization Zamil Industrial Investments Co
(YPO)
• B.S., Accounting, Binghamton University -
School of Management