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A Ratingbasedfuzzyanalyticnetworkprocess (F-ANP) Model For Evaluationofshipmaneuverability
A Ratingbasedfuzzyanalyticnetworkprocess (F-ANP) Model For Evaluationofshipmaneuverability
Ocean Engineering
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/oceaneng
art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t
Article history: In this paper, a novel rating based fuzzy analytic network process (F-ANP) model is proposed for the
Received 11 November 2014 evaluation of ship maneuverability and the improvement of maneuverability standards. By incorporating
Accepted 30 June 2015 the F-ANP technique into the American Bureau of Shipping (ABS) maneuverability standards, the
Available online 17 July 2015
proposed model is able to solve the problem of mutual dependencies of the maneuvering factors
Keywords: inherent in the evaluation of ship maneuverability and the insufficiency of unreasonable weights of
Fuzzy analytic network process (F-ANP) maneuvering factors assigned in current maneuverability standards. Following this model, the more
Evaluation of ship maneuverability synthesized and advanced evaluation process for ship maneuverability is achieved and the more
Rating based maneuverability standards reasonable weights for each maneuvering factor are assigned. The pairwise comparison matrices are
Triangular fuzzy number
formed by the expert team. To deal with the problem of ambiguity and vagueness, the index attribute
values are fuzzied with triangular fuzzy number. Furthermore, the maneuvering data of three ships are
applied to the case studies and discussions to illustrate the reasonableness, effectiveness and advantages
of the proposed rating based F-ANP model by comparing with the common F-AHP model and current
ABS standards. The comparative results are encouraging, and show that the proposed rating based F-ANP
approach is a viable and effective tool for evaluation of ship maneuverability.
& 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2015.06.061
0029-8018/& 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
40 X. Wang et al. / Ocean Engineering 106 (2015) 39–46
years, a number of alternative approaches have been proposed for to a few decision making or evaluation performance processes, to the
the evaluation of ship maneuverability and many significant best knowledge of the authors, there is not any research using the F-
results have been achieved (Hong and Jia, 2002; Qiu et al., 2005; ANP method for the evaluation of ship maneuverability and the
Spyrou, 1994). For example, based on the maneuvering test data of improvement of maneuverability standards. In the meantime, the
6 model large ships, the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) evaluation model of ship maneuverability includes many factors and
approach was applied to rank the ship maneuverability (Hong a factor could affect another factor. Moreover, it can be suggested that
and Jia, 2002). And a comprehensive assessment model of ship there may be some interactions among these factors. For above
handing performance was constructed based on the AHP and reasons, this study is concentrate on applying the rating based F-ANP
Fuzzy theory (Qiu et al., 2005). model to evaluate the ship maneuverability and improve the
However, there is one limitation exists in aforementioned maneuverability standards systematically.
alternative approaches, that is the assumption of independence The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 briefly
among various maneuvering factors. Just like many MCDM pro- describes the F-ANP model. The rating based maneuverability
blems, the dynamic nature of ship maneuverability determines standards are described in Section 3. In Section 4, the calculation
that factors considered in the evaluation process are often not process of rating based F-ANP model for evaluation of vessel
independent, the decision will mostly affect the performance of maneuverability is presented in detail. Then the maneuvering
not just one, but other factors (Chan and Wang, 2013). Therefore, data of three ships are applied to case studies and discussions in
both the evaluation of ship maneuverability and the improvement Section 5. The paper ends with conclusion in Section 6.
of maneuverability standards require intensive analysis and should
be evaluated and improved from a holistic point of view.
In recent years, among the available multi-attribute decision
making methods, only ANP can be used to evaluate performance 2. Fuzzy analytic network process
systematically due to the dependencies and feedbacks caused by the
mutual effects of the criteria. The ANP, introduced by Saaty (1996), is a 2.1. Fuzzy sets and fuzzy number
generalization and extension of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) .
Saaty suggested the use of AHP to solve the problem of independence Zadeh (1965) introduced the fuzzy set theory to deal with the
on alternatives or criteria, and the use of ANP to solve the problem of uncertainty due to imprecision and vagueness. A major contribu-
dependence among alternatives or criteria. The ANP feedback tion of fuzzy set theory is its capability of representing vague data.
approach replaces hierarchies with networks in which the relation- The theory also allows mathematical operators and programming
ships between levels are not easily represented as higher or lower, apply to the fuzzy domain. A fuzzy set is a class of objects with a
dominant or subordinate (Meade and Sarkis, 1999). For instance, not continuum of grades of membership. Such a set is characterized by
only does the importance of the criteria determine the importance of a membership (characteristic) function, which assigns to each
the alternatives, but also the importance of the alternatives may have object a grade of membership ranging between zero and one.
impact on the importance of the criteria. Hence, the ANP is the most Fuzzy set theory provides numerous methods to represent the
comprehensive framework available for the analysis of corporate qualitative judgment of the decision maker as quantitative data.
decisions. Several studies (Demirtas and Ustun, 2009; Onut et al., There are two most commonly used fuzzy numbers: trapezoidal
2009; Sarkis, 2002; Tuzkaya and Onut, 2008; Wey and Wu, 2007; fuzzy number and triangular fuzzy number. Triangular fuzzy
Yurdakul, 2003) have adopted the ANP to evaluate performance. For numbers are used in this paper to assess the preferences of
example, a systemic ANP model was presented to evaluate environ- decision maker since they are easy to use and easy to interpret.
mental practices and programs (Sarkis, 2002) in analyzing various A triangular fuzzy number is defined as a triple (l, m, u), as shown
projects, technological or business decision alternatives. To address in Fig. 1. The parameters l, m and u denote the smallest possible
the interrelated attributes of a manufacturing system, the literature value, the most promising value, and the largest possible value that
(Yurdakul, 2003) employed the ANP approach and developed a describe a fuzzy event, respectively. Each triangular fuzzy number
performance measurement model. has linear representations on its left and right side such that its
Nevertheless, ANP does not allow for any uncertainty among membership function can be defined as (Tuzkaya and Onut, 2008):
factors. Due to incomplete information or knowledge, complexity and
8
< ðx lÞ=ðm lÞ; l r x r m;
uncertainty within the decision environment, it is relatively difficult >
for the decision maker to make a correct judgment or objective μA ðxÞ ¼ ðx uÞ=ðm uÞ; m r x r u; ð1Þ
evaluation during the evaluation process. Thereby, fuzzy logic, which >
: 0; x o l or x 4 m:
can be employed to deal with uncertain parameters and information,
is introduced in the pairwise comparison of ANP to make up for this
deficiency in conventional ANP. Recently, many researchers combine
fuzzy set theory and ANP and have applied F-ANP to several research µ( x)
fields (Dagdeviren et al., 2008; Dagdeviren and Yuksel, 2010; Liu and
Lai, 2009; Luo et al., 2010; Mikhailov and Madan, 2003; Mohanty et
al., 2005; Tuzkaya et al., 2009). Specifically, the literature (Liu and Lai,
1
2009) proposed an integrated decision support framework for the
environmental impact assessment of construction project. To quantify
the qualitative indexes and deal with the interaction of some indexes
during the process of VRC performance evaluation, a comprehensive
performance evaluation method based on triangular fuzzy number
and ANP was proposed in Luo et al. (2010).
Based on above observation in this paper, and in order to
overcome the disadvantages of current ABS standards and existing
decision making approaches, the F-ANP technique is employed to the l m u x
evaluation of ship maneuverability and the improvement of maneu-
verability standards in this paper. Although F-ANP has been applied Fig. 1. Triangular fuzzy number.
X. Wang et al. / Ocean Engineering 106 (2015) 39–46 41
Table 2
Control level Network level
Maneuverability rating and rating levels.
Cluster C2
Maneuverability rating Rating levels
Criterion P1 Cluster C1
Very poor 1
Goal Poor 2
Moderate 3
Cluster CN Good 4
Criterion Pn Cluster Ci Excellent 5
Minimum rating equals to one indicates adherence to the IMO The second overshoot angle in the 10/10 zig–zag test a102 is to
standards. be evaluated with the following function:
Maneuvering performance of a vessel is judged based on 8
> 25:0 L=V r 10 s
maneuvering criteria which are characteristic of several maneu- <
vers. These maneuvers and their criteria, as well as the required f 102 ðL=VÞ ¼ 17:5 þ 0:75 ðL=V Þ 10s o L=V o 30 s ð7Þ
>
: 40:0
numerical values, are described as follows. L=V Z 30 s
the second overshoot angle in 10/10 zig–zag test should meet the
3.1. Turning ability following requirement:
a102 o f 102 L=V ð8Þ
Turning ability is the measure of the ability to turn the vessel
using hard-over rudder (or other primary mean of directional As measured in the 20/20 zig–zag test, the first overshoot angle
control), the result being a minimum “advance” at 901 change of a201 is to be rated as follows:
heading and “tactical diameter” defined by the “transfer at 1801
if 20:09 þ K 3 o a201 r25 then Rta20 ¼ 1
change of heading”. The ABS standards require that the advance is
14:84 þ K 3 o a201 r 20:09 þ K 3 then Rta20 ¼ 2
to be less than 4.5 ship lengths:
7:84 þ K 3 o a201 r 14:84 þ K 3 then Rta20 ¼ 3
Ad r4:5L ð4Þ
2:59 þ K 3 o a201 r 7:84 þ K 3 then Rta20 ¼ 4
Provided that Condition (4) is satisfied, the rating of turning a201 r 2:59 þ K 3 then Rta20 ¼ 5
ability is found from the following formulae:
where K3 is 4.44Cb, Rta20 is rating for the first overshoot angle
if ð4:26 K 1 ÞL o TD r 5L then Rtd ¼ 1 in 20/20 zig–zag test.
ð3:63 K 1 ÞL o TD r ð4:26 K1 ÞL then Rtd ¼ 2 Provided both ratings Rta10 and Rta20 are one or more, the
ð2:79 K 1 ÞL o TD r ð3:63 K1 ÞL then Rtd ¼ 3 resultant overshoot angle rating is to be calculated as:
ð2:16 K 1 ÞL o TD r ð2:79 K1 ÞL then Rtd ¼ 4 Rta ¼ 0:5 ðRta10 þ Rta20 Þ ð9Þ
TD o ð2:16 K 1 ÞL then Rtd ¼ 5
where K1 is 1.62 10 6△, TD is tactical diameter, L is vessel 3.3. Initial turning ability
length, △ is vessel displacement, Rtd is the rating of turning ability.
The initial turning ability is defined by the change-of-heading
3.2. Course changing and yaw checking ability response to a moderate helm, in terms of heading deviation per unit
distance sailed or in terms of the distance covered before realizing a
The yaw-checking ability of the vessel is a measure of the certain heading deviation. Specifically, with the application of a 101
response to counter-rudder applied in a certain state of turning. rudder angle, the vessel must not travel more than 2.5 ship lengths
The essential information obtained from the zig–zag test is the before the vessel's heading has changed 101. Assignment of the
first and second overshoot angle in the 10/10 zig–zag maneuver, initial turning ability rating is to be done as follows:
the first overshoot angle in the 20/20 zig–zag maneuver. if 2:24L o l10 r 2:50L then Rti ¼ 1
As measured in the 10/10 zig–zag test, the first overshoot angle 2:07L ol10 r 2:24L then Rti ¼ 2
a101 is to be evaluated with the following auxiliary function:
1:89L ol10 r 2:07L then Rti ¼ 3
8
> 10:0 L=V r 10 s 1:63L ol10 r 1:89L then Rti ¼ 4
<
f 101 ðL=VÞ ¼ 5 þ 0:5 ðL=VÞ 10s oL=V o 30 s ð5Þ l10 r 1:63L then Rti ¼ 5
>
: 20:0 L=V Z 30 s
where l10 is distance that the vessel travels from the moment of
where V is vessel speed. The first overshoot angle in the 10/10 zig– the first execute until the course angle reaches 101 in the 10/10
zag test is to be rated as follows. zig–zag test, Rti is rating for the initial turning ability.
The rating for the first overshoot angle in the 10/10 zig–zag
test, Rta10 ¼1 can be assigned only if: 3.4. Stopping ability
10:04 þ K 2 of 101 L=V ð6Þ
Stopping ability is measured by the “track reach” and “head
where K2 is 2.22Cb, Cb is the block coefficient. Provided that reach” realized in a stop engine-full astern maneuver performed
Condition (6) is satisfied: after a steady approach at the test speed until ahead speed in ship
coordinates changes sign.
if 10:04 þ K 2 o a101 r f 101 L=V then Rta10 ¼ 1
Stopping ability rating only if:
7:42 þ K 2 o a101 r 10:04 þ K 2 then Rta10 ¼ 2
TR o 20L for low powered large displacement vessel
If Condition (6) is not satisfied:
TRo 15L in all other cases ð10Þ
if 7:42 þ K 2 o a101 r f 101 L=V then Rta10 ¼ 2
where TR is the track reach.
Assignment of other ratings does not depend on Condition (6) Provided that Condition (10) is satisfied, the head reach is to be
and is to be done according to the following formulae: rated as follows:
where
pffiffiffiffiffi K4 is 0.000139△, HR is non-dimensional head reach, Fn is values show the degree of relative impact between two factors.
V= gL, Rts is rating for stopping ability. The relative importance of the factors on the basis of inter-
The overall rating is an average of the above individual rating: dependence can be calculated using the data provided in
Rt ¼ 0:25 ðRtd þ Rta þ Rtiþ RtsÞ ð11Þ
Table 3
Local weights and pairwise comparison matrix of factors.
4. The calculation for ship maneuverability
Factors TA CYA ITA SA Local weights
The study of the proposed rating based F-ANP model for the TA (1, 1, 1) (3/2, 2, 5/2) (1, 3/2, 2) (3/2, 2, 5/2) 0.38
evaluation of ship maneuverability is performed in this section. CYA (2/5, 1/2, 2/3) (1, 1, 1) (1/2, 2/3, 1) (1, 3/2, 2) 0.20
Pairwise comparison matrices used to calculate factor and sub- ITA (1/2, 2/3, 1) (1, 3/2, 2) (1, 1, 1) (1, 3/2, 2) 0.26
SA (2/5, 1/2, 2/3) (1/2, 2/3, 1) (1/2, 2/3, 1) (1, 1, 1) 0.16
factor weights are formed by the expert team, which is composed
by professors and veteran Captains. The F-ANP model for the
evaluation of ship maneuverability is composed of the following
steps: Table 4
Pairwise comparison matrix of TA sub-factors.
Step 1. Determine the factors and sub-factors which used in the
TA Ad TD Local weights
evaluation of ship maneuverability. The factors and sub-factors
to be used in the model are determined by current ABS Ad (1, 1, 1) (1/2, 2/3, 1) 0.4
standards. Fig. 3 shows the factors and sub-factors concerned. TD (1, 3/2, 2) (1, 1, 1) 0.6
Step 2. Construct the ANP model. Based on the typical structure
of ANP in Section 2.2 and the factors and sub-factors deter-
mined in the first step, the ANP model for evaluation of ship
maneuverability is shown in Fig. 3. Table 5
Step 3. Determine the local weights of the factors and sub- Pairwise comparison matrix of CYA sub-factors.
factors. Pairwise comparison matrices are formed by the
CYA a101 a102 A201 Local weights
expert team. Assuming there is no interaction between the
factors and sub-factors. The fuzzy evaluation matrices and a101 (1, 1, 1) (1, 3/2, 2) (1, 3/2, 2) 0.43
the comparative local weights of each factor are shown in a102 (1/2, 2/3, 1) (1, 1, 1) (1/2, 1, 3/2) 0.29
Table 3. Similarly, the fuzzy evaluation matrices and local a201 (1/2, 2/3, 1) (2/3, 1, 2) (1, 1, 1) 0.28
Initial turning ability Distance traveled before 10o course change (l10)
Table 7 Table 9
Relative impact for ship maneuverability factors. Evaluation of the sample vessel maneuverability.
Factors TA CYA ITA SA Factors Local weights (w) Ratings (v) Factor ratings (w v)
Table 8
Maneuvering data and related ratings. Table 10
Principal dimensions of three ships.
Sub-factors Maneuvering data Rating levels Ratings
Hull type Containership1 Containership2 Bulk Carrier
Ad 2.77L Passed
TD 2.79L Rtd¼ 3 Rtd¼3 Length (m) 282 200 182
a101 11.061 Rta10 ¼2 Breadth (m) 32.2 32.2 32.2
a102 32.171 Passed Draft amidships (m) 12.1 11.7 12.3
a201 17.321 Rta20 ¼ 3 Rta¼ 2.5 Block coefficient (dimensionless) 0.645 0.61 0.823
l10 1.63L Rti¼ 5 Rti¼ 5 Displacement (ton) 72,700 45,800 60,860
TR 9.7L Passed
HR 7.42L Rts¼ 5 Rtd¼5
are small. For example, the resultant rating of the maneuverability
for ship Containership1 is 3.1 by using F-ANP model in Table 11,
Tables 3 and 7: while the resultant ratings are 3.25 in current ABS standards and
2 3 2 3 2 3 3.22 in F-AHP model respectively. In Table 12, the resultant ratings
0:46 0:29 0:32 0 0:38 0:32
6 0:22 of the maneuverability for ship Containership2 are 2.75 in current
6 0:43 0:22 07 6 7 6 7
7 6 0:20 7 6 0:22 7
wf actors ¼ 6 76 7¼6 7 ð12Þ ABS standards, 2.64 in F-AHP model and 2.56 in F-ANP model
4 0:32 0:28 0:46 0 5 4 0:26 5 4 0:30 5
respectively. And in Table 13, the resultant ratings of the maneu-
0 0 0 1 0:16 0:16 verability for ship Bulk Carrier are nearly the same and equal to 3.
Since the current ABS standards are official guides which have
According to the calculation results, TA, ITA and CYA are three of the already been applied in practice, based on the above resultant
most important factors to be considered in the evaluation of ship ratings, it can be certified that the resultant ratings of ship maneu-
maneuverability. Significant differences are observed between the verability evaluated by the F-AHP model and the F-ANP model are
weights obtained for interdependent factors and the results reasonable. Nevertheless, in current ABS standards the resultant
obtained in Table 3 when dependencies are not considered. For ratings are calculated on the assumption that all the maneuvering
example, the results change from 0.38 to 0.32, 0.20 to 0.22 and 0.26 factors are equally important, and the ABS has pointed out this
to 0.30 for the weight values of factors TA, CYA and ITA, respectively. assumption is inadequate due to lack of sufficient data.
Step 5. Calculate the ship maneuverability by using the weights In recent years, the F-AHP model has been widely used to solve
of factors and the values of maneuverability rating levels. For many complicated problems, such as MCDM problem, and many
instance, the maneuvering data and related ratings for a sample significant results have been achieved. However, by comparing the
ship in current ABS standards are summarized in Table 8. Then, resultant ratings of ship maneuverability calculated respectively by F-
the evaluation of the sample ship maneuverability using the AHP model and F-ANP model (as described in Tables 11–13), the
previously described rating based F-ANP model is carried out in results are close though a few of difference still exist. The main
Table 9. It can be seen from Table 9 that the maneuverability of reason is that there is one limitation exists in F-AHP model, that is
the sample ship is Good in accordance with the maneuver- the assumption of independence among various factors. As the F-
ability rating (Table 2). ANP is a comprehensive decision-making technique and capable of
capturing the interdependence of maneuvering factors during eva-
luation process, the more systematic evaluation of ship maneuver-
ability can achieved by the suggested rating based the F-ANP model.
5. Case studies and discussions Significant differences are also observed in the results obtained
for the factor weights (as shown in Tables 11–13). In accordance
In order to certify the effectiveness and advantages of the with aforementioned case studies, the most important factor that
proposed F-ANP model, the maneuvering data of three ships are affects the maneuverability of ship is the “Turning ability” in F-ANP
provided (Belenky and Falzarano, 2006). The comprehensive model. It is the main reason why there is an obvious difference
maneuvering performances of these ships are identified by current between the resultant ratings of ship maneuverability in F-ANP
ABS standards, common fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (F-AHP) and current ABS standards for ship Containership1 and Container-
model and F-ANP model respectively. The current ABS standards ship2, while the resultant ratings are approximately equal for
are applied to verify the reasonableness of proposed Fuzzy ANP vessel Bulk Carrier. Meanwhile, in the daily practice of ship
model, and the common F-AHP model is applied to illustrate the maneuvering, the “Turning ability” which is measure of the ability
effectiveness of the proposed F-ANP model. The principal dimen- to turn the ship using hard over rudder is also the most important
sions of three ships are given in Table 10. The detailed available factor to measure the maneuverability of a ship, hence the
maneuvering data and resultant ratings of ship maneuverability resultant rating calculated by F-ANP model is reasonable and close
for each ship are listed in Tables 11–13. to reality. Comparing the factor local weights of F-AHP model and
According to Tables 11–13, it is obvious that the resultant rating F-ANP model, the weight values change from 0.37 to 0.32, 0.20 to
calculated by current ABS standards, F-AHP model and F-ANP 0.22 and 0.26 to 0.30 for maneuvering factors TA, CYA and ITA,
model respectively for each ship are different, but the differences respectively. As a result, it can be seen that the more reasonable
X. Wang et al. / Ocean Engineering 106 (2015) 39–46 45
Table 11
Maneuvering data and resultant ratings of Containership1.
Sub-factors Maneuvering data Ratings (v) ABS standards Fuzzy AHP model Fuzzy ANP model
Table 12
Maneuvering data and resultant ratings of Containership2.
Sub-factors Maneuvering data Ratings (v) ABS standards Fuzzy AHP model Fuzzy ANP model
Table 13
Maneuvering data and resultant ratings of Bulk Carrier.
Sub-factors Maneuvering data Ratings (v) ABS standards Fuzzy AHP model Fuzzy ANP model
Table 14
(l10)”, “Tactical diameter (TD)” and “Advancer (Ad)” in F-AHP model are
Comparison of the results by F-ANP and F-AHP model.
changed to (0.30, 0.19, and 0.13) in F-ANP model respectively.
Factors Factors Sub-factors Sub-factors It is easily to find out from Tables 11–14 that the complex and
local local weights global weights interdependent relations of the evaluation factors for ship man-
weights euverability are simplified by current ABS standards and F-AHP
model, and the evaluation information is partly lost. However, the
F-ANP F-AHP F-AHP model F-AHP
model model model dependent information and feedback among the factors are
revealed in the comprehensive weights exactly in proposed rating
TA 0.32 0.38 Ad 0.40 0.13 0.15 based F-ANP model for evaluation of ship maneuverability in this
TD 0.60 0.19 0.23
study. The comparison results verify the validity and practicability
CYA 0.22 0.20 a101 0.43 0.10 0.08
a102 0.29 0.06 0.06 of the proposed rating based F-ANP model.
a201 0.28 0.06 0.06
ITA 0.30 0.26 l10 1 0.30 0.26
SA 0.16 0.16 TR 0.60 0.10 0.10 6. Conclusion
HR 0.40 0.06 0.06
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mental Research Funds for Central Universities under Grant ship handling performance based on AHP, Fuzzy theory. Jiangsu Ship 22 (2),
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