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UNIT 1. WORLD POPULATION - Compressed-1-16
UNIT 1. WORLD POPULATION - Compressed-1-16
WORLD POPULATION
1. Demography
1.1 Definition: It is the statistical study of the size, structure and distribution of
population. It can study:
Traditionally, it was difficult to find reliable sources for the statistical studies of
populations. During the 19th and 20th centuries new forms of obtaining
information were set up:
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2. Population studies
2.1 Structure
Population pyramids
First, you need to get data and organize it in a table. We need to indicate
the place and the date to which they belong and separately reflect the
population figures of men and women in different age groups, usually presented
in intervals of 5 years (0-4. 5-9, 10-14 and so on).
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Once you get your data, you can start preparing your graph. Use squared
graph paper for better precision (see next page).
● Vertical axis: In the ordinates you need to write each age group, starting
with the lowest at the bottom. Since it is a graph with double bars that
share the vertical axis, the ordinates should be at the center so the data
can be placed on both sides of the axis.
● Horizontal axis: Is used to represent the population numbers or population
percentage. Remember to write down if you are representing percentage
or raw numbers. Depending on the data (especially with raw numbers)
choose the scale accordingly (i.e. if the largest number given is 8.000,
don’t use a scale up to 20.000).
● Then you just have to draw and fill up the bars according to the numbers
presented on your data. You have to use different colors for men and
women, and you can use different tones to separate the broad group
ages (child, adults and elderly).
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Activity 1. Represent the population pyramids of the data given on Examples A
and B
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2.2 Natural movements
Birth rate
We study the number of births through the birth rate, which gives us the
number of births per thousand inhabitants during one year, allowing us to
compare the number of births in countries with very different size. We calculate
it with the following formula.
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑙𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑏𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
𝐵𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 = · 1000
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
The number we get is the number of births per thousand people (‰)1.
Depending on the number we get, we consider that a country has a high,
medium or low birth rate:
● High: >30‰
● Medium: Between 15‰ and 30‰
● Low: <15‰
Activity 2: If China (Total pop. 1.381.000.000) has 17.850.000 births in one year and
Niger (Total pop. 19.245.000) has 851.590 births in one year.
Answer:_____________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________
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To write that symbol (per mille) on the computer, you can use its ASCII code: press key
“Alt” and write “0137”
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General fertility rate
Death rate
The mortality rate of death rate is the number of deaths that take place in
a population for one year divided by the total population.
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
𝐷𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 = · 1000
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
Natural increase
Once you have the number of births and the number of deaths in a
country for a year, you can calculate the natural increase of the population of
the country. This gives you a raw number of people.
𝑁𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 = 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 − 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
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2.3 Demographic regimes
Throughout time, the rate of natural increase of the population rate has
undergone major historic variations.
● Demographic transition
o Started during the 19th century in most developed
countries as a result of the Industrial Revolution, less
developed countries are today in this stage.
o High birth rates and low death rate.
o Birth rates stay high because cultural changes take a
couple of generations to apply. Religion, tradition and
lack of contraceptives still in order.
o The death rate lowers because:
▪ The Industrial Revolution led to higher productivity levels in
agriculture, so more food was available.
▪ Another by-product of the Industrial Revolution was the
development of science, specially in medicine and health.
▪ Infant mortality was greatly reduced.
▪ Development of urban sanitation (water supply, sewage systems)
and hygiene programs.
o Due to the imbalance between births and deaths, natural increase is
high.
o Population structure: because of the drop in deaths, adult and elderly
population grow. As a result, the population pyramid typical of this
demographic regime has a bell-shape
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● Modern demographic regime
o Typical from developed countries since the second half of the 20th
century (end of World War 2), most developing countries reaching
this stage nowadays.
o Low birth rates and low death rates.
o Birth rate lowers because:
▪ Changes in culture: less influence of
religion and tradition.
▪ Development of contraceptive
methods and family planning.
▪ Families have their children at a later
age due to lengthening of
education, especially for women.
▪ Incorporation of women into work.
o Death rate keeps low due to improvements in health science,
medicine and lifestyle.
o Natural increase, therefore, is low or very low
o Population structure: because there are fewer births and people
live longer = population gets older, so the base of the population
pyramid shrinks and the top grows, giving it an urn-shaped form
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Old Modern
Demographic Regressive
demographic demographic
transition demographic regime
regime regime
When in
developed
countries?
When in
developing
countries?
Birth rate
Why?
Death rate
Why?
Natural increase
Population
structure
Population
pyramid
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2.4 Migration
The other way population changes during a period of time, apart from
births and deaths, its through migrations.
Net migration:
To calculate the variations in population in a region over a period of time
(normally a year) we use the net migration, a simple deduction of the people
who left minus the people who arrived.
Actual increase:
If we want to calculate the real change of a population, we can add the
natural increase to the net migration, obtaining the actual increase
𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 = 𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 + 𝑛𝑒𝑡 𝑚𝑖𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
or
= (𝑏𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑠 − 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠) + (𝑖𝑚𝑚𝑖𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 − 𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
or
(𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 + 𝑛𝑒𝑡 𝑚𝑖𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
= · 100
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
(𝑏𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑠 − 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠 + 𝑖𝑚𝑚𝑖𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 − 𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑔𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
= · 100
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
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Causes of migration
People may be motivated to move from a territory for various reasons. Some
phenomena such as hunger, wars, natural disasters or lack of prospects tend to
drive out the population of a place. On the other hand, there are territories that
are attractive to people because of their wealth, freedom or future prospects.
● Economic causes: Emigrants move in search of richer areas with more and
better jobs. The profile of these emigrants is very diverse; they can be
highly qualified professionals or have jobs that do not require
specialization.
● Social causes: These motivations are linked to economic causes. The host
country or area offers more opportunities for education, health and
leisure. People also emigrate fleeing insecurity or seeking reunification with
their families.
● Political causes: There are people who emigrate to escape wars or
political regimes in which they are persecuted for religious, ideological o
ethnic reasons. If these emigrants receive legal protection (asylum) in their
host country her are known as political refugees.
Types of migration
Migration is classified according to different criteria:
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Consequences of migration
The main consequence of migrations, in terms of demography, is its direct
influence on changing a place’s population size. But there are other
consequences:
Problems of migration
● Illegal immigration: Receiving countries impose barriers and limitations to
the free entry of immigrants, which sometimes causes immigrants to travel
in an unsafe manner and risk their lives. In addition, when immigrants
come to a country and live there illegally, as they are not legally
recognized and protected, they often suffer exploitation by gangs and
business peoples. For example, they earn lower wages than those of legal
workers or are subjected to inhumane working conditions
● Integration: Sometimes, new inhabitants are rejected by the receiving
population, which fears that immigrants may take job opportunities from
them or receive social benefits from the government. Finally, if the culture
of immigrants is very different, they may have greater difficulties in
adjusting, making it difficult for them to integrate into society.
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2.5 Distribution of the population around the World
The Earth today is inhabited by over 7.5 billion human beings. However, they
are not evenly distributed over the Earth’s surface. This happens due to various
factors:
● Physical factors
o Climate:
o Soil
o Topography
o Water
● Human factors
o Political
o Economic
o Technological
Population density
This indicator is used to analyze the number of people concentrated in an
area. It is expressed in terms of inhabitants per square kilometer (i/km2). It also
allows us to compare between different territories or countries of different sizes.
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
𝑆𝑢𝑟𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎 𝑖𝑛 𝑘𝑚2
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3. The problems of world population
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3.4 Differences between developed and developing countries
● GDP and per capita income: Gross domestic product (GDP) is the value
in money terms of all of a country’s production of goods and services. If
the relationship between GDP and the number of inhabitants is
calculated, the per capita income is
obtained.
In developed countries, these
indicators are very high (for example,
the per capita annual income typically
exceeds 20.000 US dollars). Developing
countries have a very low GDP and
income per capita. Therefore, it is
estimated that more than 1.2 billion
people lives on less than 1.25 US dollars
a day.
● Education and healthcare: The state guarantees social benefits like public
education, health coverage and pensions in developed countries.
However, many inhabitants of developing countries do not have access
to medical care, education or pensions. Sometimes, non-governmental
organizations (NGOs) provide healthcare or conduct literacy or
immunization campaigns, but this assistance does not reach the entire
population.
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CONCEPT FORMULA EXPRESSED IN
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑜𝑙𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 ‰ (deaths of infants
INFANT MORTALITY RATE · 1000 per thousand births)
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
NATURAL INCREASE 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 − 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 Number of people
(𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑖𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 − 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟) % (of population
NATURAL INCREASE RATE · 100
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 growth)
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
POPULATION DENSITY 𝑆𝑢𝑟𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎 𝑖𝑛 𝑘𝑚2 Inhab./km2
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