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Relationship Between Gross Fiscal Deficit and Current Account Defi
Relationship Between Gross Fiscal Deficit and Current Account Defi
With this backdrop, we are good to explain the relationship between GFD and CAD
In general, for any economy, we assume I = f (S) ~ Investment is a function of Savings
(through rate of interest ‘i’). The story is ® investors borrow money to make productive
investments. And they borrow from banks. Where do banks get money from? It’s from the
people like us who save our extra income. So higher the savings, higher will be the money
available for investments (with banks working as intermediaries). So to make life simple we
assume for now that S = I.
In such a scenario, if the GFD s because of increased government expenditure (over and
above its revenue), how do they finance it? Look at the equation, we have to have the LHS =
RHS. The only way to do it is by ing CAD.
This ed CAD could be through ed foreign borrowing (to finance imports) or simply through
foreign loan (to finance increased domestic government expenditure).
Now, what does this ing CAD mean for an economy?
CAD ® higher demand for dollar in exchange of domestic currency. Higher the demand for
$ ® lower the value of domestic currency (otherwise known as depreciation of domestic
currency against dollar). If this happens, imports become even more costlier as we have to
pay more INR for our imports.
Further, ed GFD ® more supply of money in the economy. If this money is spent by the
government on unproductive avenues (non-income generating avenues) without any increase
in real output, it will lead to inflation.