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μ 5000

σ 1000

Random Expected
Stimulated
Trials Numbers Outcome
Outcome for X
P(x) X*P(x)
1 0.8478 6026.93 5109.474
2 0.9834 7130.78 7012.734
3 0.6411 5361.39 3437.162
4 0.0936 3681.11 344.564
5 0.5587 5147.77 2876.267
6 0.8556 6060.59 5185.201
7 0.4697 4923.87 2312.545
8 0.5853 5215.54 3052.788
9 0.7308 5615.27 4103.705
10 0.6895 5494.39 3788.303
Avg No of clicks 37222.742

1st month
Random Var Cost @
Stimulated
Trials Numbers 4.5 per Average
Outcome for X
P(x) clicks
1 0.8478 6026.93 27121.192 22992.631
2 0.9834 7130.78 32088.490 31557.302
3 0.6411 5361.39 24126.248 15467.228
4 0.0936 3681.11 16565.004 1550.538
5 0.5587 5147.77 23164.987 12943.201
6 0.8556 6060.59 27272.638 23333.405
7 0.4697 4923.87 22157.435 10406.452
8 0.5853 5215.54 23469.916 13737.544
9 0.7308 5615.27 25268.714 18466.672
10 0.6895 5494.39 24724.765 17047.364
167502.339

2nd month
Random
Stimulated Var Cost @
Trials Numbers Average
Outcome for X 7 per clicks
P(x)
1 0.8478 6026.93 42188.520 35766.315
2 0.9834 7130.78 49915.428 49089.137
3 0.6411 5361.39 37529.719 24060.133
4 0.0936 3681.11 25767.783 2411.949
5 0.5587 5147.77 36034.425 20133.868
6 0.8556 6060.59 42424.103 36296.408
7 0.4697 4923.87 34467.121 16187.815
8 0.5853 5215.54 36508.759 21369.513
9 0.7308 5615.27 39306.888 28725.935
10 0.6895 5494.39 38460.745 26518.122
260559.194

Total Cost 628061.533

10% buffer 690867.685952

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