Symbiosis Institute of Business Management, Pune

Program:- MBA

Sem. :- II

Course :- (201410207) Operations Research

Batch: - 2021-2023

Marks :- 40

Time:- 60 Minutes

Instructions :

1. Use of Excel and Scientific calculaters is allowed

2.The question paper consists of 2 sections. Section I - MCQs; Section II - Descriptive Theory
Questions.
3. All the questions are compulsory.
4. Name of the PDF file will be your full PRN_Course name. Please mention your full PRN on top
right corner of the answer script.
5. The descriptive answers should be written using pen and paper. These handwritten answer
scripts to be uploaded.
6. Upload only 1 single PDF file for all the answers.
7. Every answer should start on a new page. Mention the correct question number while answering.
8. Use your official SIBM Email ID only to submit your answer.
9. Once the form is deactivated after the given time, your response will not be accepted.
10. You can submit your response only ONCE.
 Section II (Theory questions) (20 Marks)

Qs1. The following data, indicates year wise sales for 10 years.

Year Sales
1 400
2 550
3 350
4 250
5 550
6 550
7 400
8 350
9 600
10 750

Based on above data predict sales for 11th Year by using Exponential smoothing method Use α=0.3
Also compute MAD, MAPE, MSE. State your interpretation
[10 Marks] [CO 5]

Qs2. The data for a project is as given below :

Preceding Time (in Weeks) Cost (In Rs)

Activity
Activity Normal Crash Normal Crash
A None 3 2 18000 19000
B None 8 6 600 1000
C B 6 4 10000 12000
D B 5 2 4000 10000
E A 13 10 3000 9000
F A 4 4 15000 15000
G F 2 1 1200 1400
H C,E,G 6 4 3500 4500
I F 2 1 7000 8000
(a) Draw a project network diagram and determine the critical path.
(b) If a deadline of 17 weeks is imposed for completion of the project, determine which
activities will be crashed, what would be the additional costs, and what would be the
critical activities of the network after crashing ?
[10 Marks] [CO 4]