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“ The reason I wanted IBF certification was to give me more knowledge about the forecasting area...

It has helped me tremendously, not only with just being knowledgeable about the forecasting & planning area
and best practices, but it also helped show other people that I am knowledgeable about what I am doing...
It helped me not only to land the job, but get the compensation that I was looking for. Estee Lauder felt, given the
fact I took the time to study and get certified meant that I really knew what I was doing. That made
me more confident to take on a role and it made me feel I was working for a company that really understood
what forecasting was all about” – Keyamma Garnes, Director of Demand Planning, ESTEE LAUDER

Demand Planning,Forecasting
& S&OP Certification Program
Become A CPF Certified Companies with CPF or ACPF
(partial list):

Professional Forecaster 3M
Alberto Culver
Altria/ Phillip
Gap
GE
General Mills
• Master Demand Planning, Morris Georgia Pacific
AOL GlaxoSmithKline
Forecasting, and S&OP Apple Goodyear
AstraZeneca Hanes Brands
• Prepare for Today’s Rapidly Aveda Harley-Davidson
Changing Marketplace BASF Motor Company
Baxter Heineken
• Expand Your Career Opportunities Healthcare Heinz
Bayer Hewlett Packard
• Improve Your Leadership Behr
Best Buy
Hollister
Ingersoll-Rand
Opportunities & Job Security Boeing Company
Bosch Intuit
• Build Credibility for Your Brown Forman John Deere
Forecasting & Planning Organization Carhartt Johnson &
Caterpillar Johnson
• Become a Catylst for Change Chevron Komatsu
Lilly
Cisco Systems
McCormick & Co
• Update Your Supply Chain Coca-Cola
Mead Johnson
Continental Tire
Education & Certifications with IBF Corning Merrill Lynch
Coty, Inc. Michelin
Cummins Microsoft
3 Types of IBF Certification Dealer Tire Monster Cable
Corporation
Delta
Certified Professional Forecaster (CPF) Motorola
Disney
Mobility/ Google
Rubbermaid
Navistar Parts
Advanced Certified Professional Forecaster (ACPF) Dow Corning
Neiman Marcus
Dr. Pepper
Nestle
Certified Professional Forecasting Candidate (CPFC) | For students & New Practitioners Snapple
Nike
DuPont
Novartis
E & J Gallo
Winery OnStar
FedEx Oracle
Corporation
Fruit of the Loom
Panasonic
LEA R N > S H A R E > A D VA N CE Fuji Film
Pepsi

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION & EXAM DATES VISIT: www.ibf.org/certification.cfm OR CALL US: +1.516.504.7576
PARTICIPANTS TOTAL LIGHT VEHICLE SALES CHAINED PRICE INDEX
FOR & DOM. | Mil. of Units (SAAR) 2000 | Level

QUARTER 13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4 13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4


Beacon Economics | Christopher Thornberg NA NA NA NA 116.5 116.4 116.9 117.4
Conf. Board | Ken Goldstein 15.2 15.3 15.5 15.7 116.4 116.8 117.3 117.7
Fannie Mae | Doug Duncan 14.8 15.0 15.1 15.3 116.8 117.2 117.9 118.5
Global Insight | Nigel Gault 14.8 15.1 15.2 15.3 116.5 116.8 117.3 117.7
GSU-EFC | Rajeev Dhawan 13.8 14.1 14.5 14.4 116.9 117.3 117.9 118.4
Moody'sEconomy | Mark Zandi 14.6 15.2 16.0 16.5 117.2 117.8 118.6 119.2
Mortgage | Jay Brinkmann 14.8 14.9 14.9 15.1 114.4 114.6 115.2 115.6
NAM | Chad Moutray 14.6 14.6 14.7 14.8 NA NA NA NA
Northern Tr | Paul Kasriel 14.9 15.1 15.3 15.6 117.3 117.7 118.2 118.7
Perryman Gp | Ray Perryman 15.0 15.5 15.7 15.9 116.3 116.9 117.6 118.0
Royal Bank of Canada | Craig Wright 14.5 14.6 14.8 15.0 116.7 117.2 117.7 118.2
S & P | Beth Ann Bovino 14.9 15.3 15.6 15.7 116.7 117.1 117.7 118.1
UBS | Maury Harris NA NA NA NA 117.0 117.6 118.2 118.8
US Bank | Keith Hembre 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.8 NA NA NA NA
US Chamber | Martin Regalia NA NA NA NA 116.9 117.4 117.9 118.5
Wells Fargo | John Silvia 13.9 14.0 14.2 14.5 116.9 117.4 117.9 118.5
Consensus 14.6 14.9 15.1 15.3 116.6 117.0 117.6 118.1

PARTICIPANTS FEDERAL FUNDS RATE AAA CORPORATE BOND RATE


% %

QUARTER 13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4 13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4


Beacon Economics | Christopher Thornberg NA NA NA NA 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.5

Conf. Board | Ken Goldstein 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.3

Fannie Mae | Doug Duncan 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 NA NA NA NA

Global Insight | Nigel Gault 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3

GSU-EFC | Rajeev Dhawan 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.0 4.2 4.1 4.3

Moody'sEconomy | Mark Zandi 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.2

Mortgage | Jay Brinkmann 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.7 3.7 3.9 4.1

NAM | Chad Moutray 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.2

Northern Tr | Paul Kasriel 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7

Perryman Gp | Ray Perryman 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6

Royal Bank of Canada | Craig Wright 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 NA NA NA NA

S & P | Beth Ann Bovino 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.3

UBS | Maury Harris 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 NA NA NA NA

US Bank | Keith Hembre 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6

US Chamber | Martin Regalia 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 NA NA NA NA

Wells Fargo | John Silvia 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7
Consensus 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.1

46 Copyright © 2013 Journal of Business Forecasting | All Rights Reserved | Winter 2012-2013
UNEMPLOYMENT NON-RESIDENTIAL FIXED INVESTMENT SUBSCRIBE TO THE
Civilian % (SAAR) (Bil. of Chained 2005 Dollars)

13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4 13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4


JOURNAL O F
B USINESS
7.8 7.7 7.6 7.4 1551.3 1569.6 1587.4 1608.8
FOREC ASTIN G
8.0 8.0 7.9 7.9 1481.1 1495.9 1516.7 1547.0
• Q uarterly, read jargon-free articles
7.7 7.7 7.5 7.5 1496.0 1511.3 1528.3 1548.0
on how to obtain, recognize, and
7.8 7.8 7.7 7.6 1502.0 1526.0 1556.0 1588.0 use good forecasts
• Consensus Forecasts of 13 key
8.2 8.0 7.9 7.8 1489.4 1505.4 1529.0 1559.6
business and economic indicators
7.9 7.9 7.9 7.7 1481.7 1496.6 1521.2 1552.4 plus a consensus
• I nternational Economic Outlook
8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 1484.2 1493.9 1508.6 1521.5
gives one-year ahead forecasts of
7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 1482.0 1492.0 1510.0 1535.0 real GNP/GDP growth rate of 70
countries
7.7 7.6 7.5 7.3 1505.8 1523.0 1540.4 1558.1
SUBSCRIPTION
7.8 7.7 7.5 7.5 1535.2 1552.8 1570.4 1590.0
(Published four times a year)
8.1 8.1 8.0 7.9 1512.7 1543.5 1574.7 1606.8
HARD COPY:
7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 1520.7 1552.5 1580.6 1609.8 $95 Domestic
7.9 7.7 7.6 7.5 1494.3 1519.1 1550.7 1588.1
$120 Foreign incl. Canada

8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 1499.0 1512.0 1520.0 1533.0 Journal of Business Forecasting
350 Northern Blvd., Suite 203
8.0 8.2 8.2 8.2 1519.6 1543.7 1568.9 1594.6 Great Neck, NY 11021
516.504.7576
7.7 7.8 7.9 7.9 1457.7 1460.4 1467.8 1478.8
EMAIL info@ibf.org | WEB www.ibf.org
7.9 7.9 7.8 7.7 1500.8 1518.6 1539.4 1563.7

INDUSTRIAL CAPACITY UTILIZATION MONEY SUPPLY M2, BIL. OF $ PRIVATE HOUSING START TOTAL
(SAAR) Bil. of $, Level (SAAR) Mil. of Units (SAAR)

13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4 13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4 13/1 13/2 13/3 13/4
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1

NA NA NA NA 9557.2 9387.3 9278.5 9219.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0

77.4 77.7 77.8 78.0 NA 10400.3 10482.4 NA 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1

77.1 77.6 78.3 78.4 10221.4 10297.5 10397.0 10475.2 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8

77.5 77.4 77.5 77.6 10348.0 10459.2 10576.1 10691.7 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3

78.1 78.3 78.7 79.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9

77.5 77.3 77.3 77.4 10350.0 10460.0 10570.0 10680.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0

78.4 77.9 77.4 77.2 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8

79.9 80.3 80.8 81.2 NA 10382.4 10540.7 NA 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3

78.2 78.2 78.4 78.8 NA NA NA NA 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0

77.7 78.1 78.3 78.4 10350.0 10436.0 10526.0 10614.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2

79.1 79.8 80.7 81.7 NA NA NA NA 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0

78.3 78.5 78.7 79.1 10250.0 10350.0 10500.0 10700.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9

NA NA NA NA 10250.0 10325.0 10400.0 10500.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1


78.1 78.3 78.5 78.8 10189.5 10277.5 10363.4 10411.4 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0

Copyright © 2013 Journal of Business Forecasting | All Rights Reserved | Winter 2012-2013 47
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without
permission.

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