Metode Linear Trend Line

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1000

Forecasting Regression/Trend analysis


This file was created POM-QM for Windows, V5

Data Peramalan Penjualan H-Flow

Data Error analysis


Period Demand (y) Period(x) Forecast Error Absolute Squared |% Error|
Apr-21 19 1 17.77273 1.227273 1.227273 1.506198 0.064593
May-21 17 2 17.83636 -0.836364 0.836364 0.699504 0.049198
Jun-21 17 3 17.9 -0.9 0.9 0.81 0.052941
Jul-21 18 4 17.96364 0.036364 0.036364 0.001322 0.00202
Aug-21 17 5 18.02727 -1.027273 1.027273 1.055289 0.060428
Sep-21 20 6 18.09091 1.909091 1.909091 3.644628 0.095455
Oct-21 18 7 18.15455 -0.154545 0.154545 0.023884 0.008586
Nov-21 19 8 18.21818 0.781818 0.781818 0.61124 0.041148
Dec-21 17 9 18.28182 -1.281818 1.281818 1.643058 0.075401
Jan-22 18 10 18.34545 -0.345455 0.345455 0.119339 0.019192
Feb-22 19 11 18.40909 0.590909 0.590909 0.349174 0.0311
Total 2.132E-14 9.090909 10.46364 0.500063
Intercept 17.7090909 Average 1.938E-15 0.826446 0.95124 0.04546
Slope 0.06363636 Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 1.078251
Next period 18.4727273 12
Correlation 0.202073

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