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European Journal of Pediatrics

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00431-021-04140-w

REVIEW

Association between neonatal hyperglycemia and retinopathy


of prematurity: a meta-analysis
Chunyan Lei 1,2 & Jianan Duan 1,2 & Ge Ge 1,2 & Meixia Zhang 1,2,3,4

Received: 26 April 2021 / Revised: 27 May 2021 / Accepted: 31 May 2021


# The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021

Abstract
Through a meta-analysis, we aimed to investigate whether neonatal hyperglycemia was associated with an increased risk of
retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) by summarizing all available observational evidence. We searched online databases for studies
published prior to December 2020; 26745 neonates with 3227 cases of ROP in 11 case–control studies and 997 neonates with 496
cases of hyperglycemia in 5 cohort studies were included. The results showed that the association between hyperglycemia and the
occurrence of ROP was statistically significant in case–control studies (OR 3.93, 95% CI 2.36–6.53) and cohort studies (OR 1.70,
95% CI 1.11–2.60). Besides, the borderline significant association between the duration of hyperglycemia and ROP was observed in
case–control studies (MD = 1.96, 95% CI 0.90–3.03; adjusted OR = 1.08, 95% CI 1.01–1.15). Furthermore, we found that the mean
blood glucose level is higher in the ROP group than the non-ROP group in case–control studies (MD = 14.86, 95% CI 5.06–24.66)
and the mean blood glucose level is higher in the hyperglycemia group than in the non-hyperglycemia group (MD = 86.54, 95% CI
11.03–162.05). However, after adjusting other confounders, the association between the mean blood glucose level and ROP varied
in cohort studies (OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.23–3.13) and case–control studies (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00–1.05).
Conclusion: This meta-analysis demonstrates that preterm infants with hyperglycemia have a tendency to increase the risk of
ROP. Further studies will be required to achieve a firm conclusion for hyperglycemia and ROP and promote a better under-
standing of the prevention of ROP.
Trial registration: CRD42021228733

What is Known:
• Hyperglycemia including the duration and daily mean blood glucose concentration has been associated with the risk of developing ROP in some
clinical studies. Current evidence cannot reach a consensus on whether neonatal hyperglycemia is a risk factor for ROP.
What is New:
• This meta-analysis demonstrates that preterm infants with hyperglycemia have a tendency to increase the risk of ROP.
• While the association between the mean blood glucose level and ROP remains inconclusive.

Chunyan Lei and Jianan Duan contributed equally to this work.


Communicated by Peter de Winter

* Meixia Zhang 1
Department of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital, Sichuan
zhangmeixia@scu.edu.cn University, Chengdu 610041, China
2
Chunyan Lei Research Laboratory of Macular Disease, West China Hospital,
lei_chunyan@foxmail.com Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China
3
National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China
Jianan Duan Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China
duan_jianan@foxmail.com
4
Department of Ophthalmology and Research Laboratory of Macular
Ge Ge Disease, West China Hospital, Sichuan University,
gegescu@foxmail.com Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China
Eur J Pediatr

Keywords Retinopathy of prematurity . Hyperglycemia . Blood glucose . Meta-analysis . Review

Introduction described [15]. The following keywords were retrieved as free


words and also as MeSH terms: [“retrolental fibroplasia” OR
Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP), initially called retrolental “retinopathy of prematurity” OR “ROP”] AND [“blood glu-
fibroplasia, is an ischemic neovascularization disease in pre- cose” OR “blood sugar” OR “glycemia” OR “glycaemia” OR
term infants. It has become a leading cause of visual impair- “hyperglycaemia” OR “hyperglycemia” OR “diabetes
ment and vision loss in childhood worldwide [1]. Until now, mellitus” OR “gestational diabetes” OR “DM” OR “GDM”].
the pathogenesis of ROP has not been fully understood, while
the levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and Study selection
insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) have been discovered to
involve in the development of ROP. Low birth weight and The inclusion criteria were (i) original observational studies
prematurity have been shown to be important risk factors for (case–control or cohort studies) evaluating the association be-
ROP [2]. Besides, many relevant factors have been confirmed tween hyperglycemia and ROP; (ii) hyperglycemia defined as
in the pathophysiology of ROP development, including nutri- blood glucose level ≥ 150 mg/dL or 8.3 mmol/L; and (iii) raw
tional factors, maternal factors, exposure to oxygen, and so on data provided for calculation or odds ratios (OR) and relative
[3]. Reducing the identified risk factors on the early stage of risks (RR) were recorded with 95% confidence interval (CI).
retinal vascularization of ROP may have benefits over the The exclusion criteria were (i) animal studies, reviews, ed-
treatment of neovascularization at the late stage [4]. itorials, commentaries, case reports, abstracts, and letters; (ii)
Therefore, studies aimed at risk factors are extremely impor- the studies were written in non-English language; and (iii)
tant for the prevention of ROP. studies with insufficient data or outcomes for analysis.
Neonatal hyperglycemia is a common problem and the
incidence of hyperglycemia ranges from 20 to 86% in ex-
Data extraction
tremely preterm neonates [5]. Many studies have demonstrat-
ed that hyperglycemia may be correlated with an increased
Two investigators (Chunyan Lei and Jianan Duan) extracted
risk of morbidity of ROP in premature infants [6–11]. As a
data from the retrieved records independently with standard-
potentially modifiable risk factor of ROP, hyperglycemia has
ized data sheets and discrepancies were resolved by consensus
been confirmed to impair retinal neovascularization during
with a third investigator.
retinal development in animal models of retinopathy [12,
Data were recorded as follows: first author, year of publi-
13]. Furthermore, hyperglycemia including the duration and
cation, country of study, sample size, gestational age, birth
daily mean blood glucose concentration has been associated
weight, the definition of hyperglycemia, definition, and grad-
with the risk of developing ROP in clinical studies [7, 8, 10,
ing of ROP, percentage of male, duration of average glucose
11, 14]. However, current evidence cannot reach a consensus
level (days), the mean blood glucose level in both ROP group
among clinicians whether hyperglycemia is a risk factor for
and non-ROP group or both hyperglycemia group and non-
ROP. To resolve the discrepancy across these studies, this
hyperglycemia group, mean duration of hyperglycemia in
meta-analysis was conducted to integrate all available studies
both ROP group and non-ROP group or both hyperglycemia
measuring the association between hyperglycemia and ROP.
group and non-hyperglycemia group, the number of hypergly-
cemic patients in both ROP group and non-ROP group, the
number of ROP patients in both hyperglycemia group and
Methods non-hyperglycemia group, and adjusted OR and 95% CI of
mean blood glucose level and duration of hyperglycemia.
This meta-analysis was performed by following the recom- The unit of blood glucose varies in different studies. To
mendations of the PRISMA statement. Online registration is unify the unit, 1 mmol/L was converted to 18 mg/dL. To
available at http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ combine the adjusted ORs for analysis, the ORs and 95%
(registration number: CRD42021228733). CIs with the unit of 1 ml/dL was converted as previously
described [15].
Searching strategy
Risk of bias and quality assessment
All relevant studies published prior to December 2020 were
searched on PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to assess the
of Science databases. The searching strategy was previously methodological qualities of the included studies [16].
Eur J Pediatr

Disagreements would be resolved through consultation with a We found that there was a statistically significant association
third reviewer. Each study was assessed as following: partic- between hyperglycemia and the occurrence of ROP in case–
ipant selection (0–4 points), comparability (0–2 points), and control studies (OR 3.93, 95% CI 2.36–6.53, I2 = 80%, P <
outcome/exposure (0–3 points). A score of 5 or above is con- 0.00001; Fig. 2A) and cohort studies (OR 1.70, 95% CI 1.11–
sidered as satisfactory quality [17]. 2.60, I2 = 48%, P = 0.12; Fig. 2B).

Data analysis Duration of hyperglycemia and the development of ROP

The Review Manager software (RevMan, version 5.4; the The duration of hyperglycemia (days as the unit) was provid-
Nordic Cochrane Center, Copenhagen, Denmark) was used ed in five case–control studies and three out of five case–
for the meta-analysis. The included case–control studies and control studies provided the adjusted ORs and 95% CIs for
cohort studies were analyzed separately. Continuous data were analysis. The combined data displayed that the duration of
summarized as mean difference (MD) and standard deviation hyperglycemia was significantly longer in the ROP group
(SD) from the published articles. The pooled adjusted ORs and compared with the non-ROP group (MD = 1.96, 95% CI
unadjusted ORs were calculated separately. The heterogeneity 0.90–3.03, I2 = 95%, P < 0.00001; Fig. 3A). Pooling up all
of the included studies was evaluated by the chi-square test and these adjusted ORs, the duration of hyperglycemia had a little
I2 statistics. When the P value was greater than 0.100 and I2 < but statistically significant association with ROP (adjusted OR
50%, no heterogeneity was found and we used the fixed-effect = 1.08, 95% CI 1.01–1.15, I2 = 49%, P = 0.14; Fig. 3B).
model; otherwise, we applied the random-effect model.
Sensitivity analyses were conducted to determine the source
of heterogeneity by excluding one study at a time to see if the Mean blood glucose level and the development of ROP
results were changed. Begg’s test was done to assess publica-
tion bias of experimental events using the STATA statistical The mean blood glucose level (mg/dL as the unit) was pro-
software (version 16.0; Stata Corp, College Station, TX, vided for analysis in five case–control studies and three cohort
USA), in which P < 0.1 indicated a statistically significant studies. Pooling up the data from the case–control studies, we
difference. found that the mean blood glucose level is higher in the ROP
group than in the non-ROP group (MD = 14.86, 95% CI 5.06–
24.66, I2 = 83%, P < 0.0001; Fig. 4A). The combined data
Results from cohort studies showed that the mean blood glucose level
is higher in the hyperglycemia group than in the non-
Search results and quality assessments hyperglycemia group (MD = 86.54, 95% CI 11.03–162.05,
I2 = 99%, P < 0.00001; Fig. 4A). Besides, the five case–
Initial screening yielded 1109 potentially relevant studies. control studies and two cohort studies provided the adjusted
After removing 264 duplicate articles, 845 publications were ORs and 95% CI. After pooling the data together separately,
left; 799 articles were removed after reviewing the title and we found that the mean blood glucose level was associated
abstract because their topics and results did not meet our re- with ROP in cohort studies (adjusted OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.23–
quirements, leaving 46 studies included for full-length article 3.13, I2 = 36%, P = 0.21; Fig. 4C). In case–control studies, we
review. The reasons for further exclusion include conference found that there was no association between the mean blood
abstract (n = 13), insufficient data (n = 11), unclear definition glucose level and ROP (adjusted OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00–1.05,
of hyperglycemia (n = 4), editorial (n = 1), and non-English I2 = 69%, P = 0.01; Fig. 4C).
article (n = 1). Finally, 26,745 neonates with 3227 cases of
ROP in 11 case–control studies [6, 8, 10, 14, 18–24] and 997 Publication bias and heterogeneity analysis
neonates with 496 cases of hyperglycemia in 5 cohort studies
[7, 9, 25–27] were identified in our meta-analysis (Fig. 1). The No obvious publication bias of experimental events was iden-
detailed characteristics of 16 selected clinical studies are tified by Begg’s test (Z = 1.51, P = 0.574). Significant hetero-
shown in Table 1 and Supplemental Table 1. geneity was observed in some analyses. When we excluded
Mohamed et al., the adjusted OR of the duration of hypergly-
Meta-analysis results cemia was unrelated to ROP (OR 1.46, 95% CI 0.82–2.61, I2
= 65%, P = 0.09) with an increased heterogeneity. In other
Hyperglycemia and the occurrence of ROP analyses, when we conducted the sensitivity analysis, the het-
erogeneities were reduced (excluding Ertl 2006, Bozdag
Eight case–control studies and four cohort studies reported 2011, Garg 2003, Mohsen 2014, Ahmadpour-Kacho 2014
numerical counts for analysis and were analyzed separately. separately), but all of the other results remained consistent.
Table 1 Main characteristics of the included studies

First author Year Study design Experimental Control Adjusted OR Adjusted Adjusted OR Adjusted NOS
of duration factors of glucose factors score
Total No. of ROP/ Duration Glucose Total No. of ROP/ Duration Glucose (per day) level (per mg/
hyperglycemia (days) level hyperglycemia (days) level dL)
(mg/dL) (mg/dL)

Garg, R. 2003 Retrospective 16 NA 8.4 ± 1.1 117 ± 18 31 NA 5.3 ± 0.8 104 ± 14 NA NA 1.1 (1–1.22) a 9
case–-
control
Blanco, C. L. 2006 Retrospective 150 NA NA 248 ± 83 19 NA NA 128 ± 16 NA NA 4.6 (1.1–18.9) b 7
cohort
Ertl, T. 2006 Retrospective 71 30 NA NA 130 9 NA NA NA NA NA NA 8
case–-
control
Heimann, K. 2007 Retrospective 170 4 NA NA 82 3 NA NA NA NA NA NA 6
cohort
Bozdag, S. 2011 Prospective 124 78 3.05 ± 92.29 ± 43 16 1.69 ± 85.63 ± 3.26 c NA NA 9
case–- 2.37 17.46 1.14 14.79 (1.09–9.8)
control
Chavez-Valdez, R. 2011 Retrospective 17 15 NA NA 97 75 NA NA NA NA NA NA 5
case–-
control
Kaempf, J. W. 2011 Retrospective 132 51 NA 121 ± 21 240 62 NA 112 ± 19 NA NA 1.01 (1–1.03) d 9
case–-
control
Mohamed, S. 2013 Retrospective 170 NA 7.1 ± 6.6 NA 412 NA 2.3 ± 3.2 NA 1.073 e NA NA 8
case–- (1.004–1.-
control 146)
van der Merwe, S. 2013 Retrospective 15 11 NA NA 329 145 NA NA NA NA NA NA 7
K. case–-
control
Ahmadpour-Kacho, 2014 Retrospective 70 38 2.32 ± 147.53 ± 85 5 1.33 ± 93.8 ± 1.07 f 1.03 g 9
M. case–- 2.37 71.14 0.87 37.37 (0.54–2.1- (1.01–1.05)
control 2)
Mohsen, L. 2014 Prospective 31 14 NA 311 ± 80 34 5 NA 194 ± 59 NA NA 1.77 h 9
cohort (1.08–2.86)
Sabzehei, M. K. 2014 Retrospective 88 22 NA NA 312 47 NA NA NA NA NA NA 7
cohort
Nicolaeva, G. V. 2015 Prospective 50 50 3.1 ± 133.2 ± 14 14 1.6 ± 0.9 133.74 ± NA NA NA NA 8
case–- 1.79 48.42 46.8
control
Lee, J. H. 2016 Retrospective 2547 1102 NA NA 22,001 5764 NA NA NA NA 0.88 i 8
case–- (0.66–1.17)
control
Mutangana, F. 2019 Prospective 15 8 NA NA 136 20 NA NA NA NA 3.5 (1–12.4) j 8
case–-
control
Eur J Pediatr
Eur J Pediatr

score
Adjusted NOS
Discussion

8
This is the latest meta-analysis to integrate all relevant re-

h: Days on oxygen, days on respiratory support, maternal age (years), maternal hypertension, premature rupture of membranes, GA, BW, respiratory distress, phototherapy, use of breast milk
factors
searches and investigate the association between hyperglyce-

NA
mia and the development of ROP in premature infants. All
level (per mg/

included studies achieved a score of 5 or above on assessment


Adjusted Adjusted OR
of glucose

of the methodological quality using the NOS. In this study, we


found that the ORs of developing ROP were significantly
NA
dL)

higher in infants with hyperglycemia from unadjusted data


extracted from cohort and case–control studies. We can see
factors

a borderline significant relationship between the duration of


NA

hyperglycemia and ROP in case–control studies in unadjusted

i: GA, gender, small for GA status, Apgar score, percent oxygen days, percent mechanical ventilation days, steroid use, bacteremia, left and discharge year
OR or adjusted OR. Although the unadjusted ORs give sup-
Adjusted OR

port for the association between the mean blood glucose level
of duration
Duration Glucose (per day)

and ROP in all studies, for the adjusted OR, there is no asso-
NA

ciation between mean blood glucose level and ROP in case–


control studies, and a relationship between the mean blood
(mg/dL)

94 ± 11

glucose level and ROP was found in cohort studies. In con-


level

clusion, this meta-analysis demonstrates that preterm infants


with hyperglycemia have a tendency to increase the risk of
ROP, but we cannot draw a firm conclusion on the relation-
hyperglycemia (days)

NA

ship between neonatal hyperglycemia and ROP.


ROP is a multifactorial disease associated with microvas-
No. of ROP/

cular degeneration, which is characterized by an arrest in


physiological retinal angiogenesis [1]. The mechanism of
how hyperglycemia affects ROP is still inconclusive.
a: Average inspiratory oxygen concentration, FiO2, birth weight (BW), and vitamin E supplementation
40

Experimental studies have shown that ROP-like changes—


Control

j: GA, low birth weight (g), sepsis, supplemental oxygen, total days on any supplemental oxygen

neuronal loss and delayed retinal angiogenesis—are observed


Duration Glucose Total

119 ± 16 54

in newborn rodents with early hyperglycemic exposure in


g: GA, BW, glucose infusion rate (mg/kg/min), duration of hyperglycemia, PO2, transfusion
c: BW, Gram (+), sepsis, IVH (≥ grade 3), respiratory distress syndrome, NCPAP, oxygen

ranges [12, 13]. VEGF is known to be primarily involved in


(mg/dL)

neoangiogenesis and increased endothelial permeability,


level

f: GA, BW, glucose infusion rate (mg/kg/min), mean blood sugar, PO2, transfusion

which plays a very important role in the pathogenesis and


development of ROP. With the support of rat studies [28,
hyperglycemia (days)

29] showing expression of VEGF protein increases in higher


NA

glucose concentration on retinal Müller and mesangial cell,


VEGF was considered to be the link between hyperglycemia
Total No. of ROP/

and ROP. Besides, hyperglycemia in preterm infants has also


b: Gestational age (GA), BW, and postnatal steroid exposure

d: Postmenstrual age, gender, weight O/E, mean weight gain


e: GA, ventilator days, sepsis, IVH, PDA, neonatal steroids

a relationship with low IGF-1 levels [30]. IGF-1 is essential


Experimental

and critical for prenatal and postnatal development, which is


43

considered to counteract insulin resistance. The level of IGF-1


57

is decreased after preterm birth. The most recent study [31]


has found that high early postnatal plasma glucose levels and
Year Study design

signs of insulin insensitivity have an association with lower


2020 Cohort

IGF-1 levels and increased ROP severity in extremely preterm


infants. Furthermore, they found that low serum IGF-1 level
facilitated retinal pathological neovascularization in a hyper-
glycemia retinopathy rodent model. Taken together, whether
Table 1 (continued)

hyperglycemia is just a clinical presentation of low IGF-1 or a


real cause of ROP remains unclear.
More recently, three large cohorts [32] suggested that high
First author

Leung, M.

blood glucose concentration is considered to be an indepen-


dent risk factor for severe ROP. Furthermore, compared with a
single high glucose value, overall average exposure and
Eur J Pediatr

Articles identified from Articles identified from Articles identified from Articles identified from
PubMed (n=188) EMBASE (n=470) Cochrane Library (n=151) Web of Science (n=300)

Articles after removing replicates (n=845)

Articles for title and abstract screening (n=845)

Articles excluded (n=799)

Full text articles assessed for eligibility (n=46)

Articles were exluded (n=30)


·Conference abstract (n=13)
·Insufficient data (n=11)
·Unclear definition of
hyperglycemia (n=4)
·Editorial (n=1)
·Non-English article (n=1)

Studies included in meta-analysis (n=16)

Fig. 1 The flow diagram of the study selection process

duration of hyperglycemia matter more when determining the glucose level and ROP. Even so, whether hyperglycemia has a
risk of retinopathy, which explains to a certain extent why it is causal relationship to ROP or just a reflection of illness sever-
not easy to observe the statistical difference between the mean ity is still inconclusive.

Fig. 2 Overall ORs and 95% CIs of hyperglycemia and the occurrence of ROP in case–control studies (A) and cohort studies (B)
Eur J Pediatr

Fig. 3 MDs and 95% CIs (A) and adjusted ORs and 95% CIs (B) of the duration of hyperglycemia for ROP in case–control studies

As a potential confounding factor, insulin therapy in hyper- Kaempf et al. [24] suggested that insulin therapy by itself in
glycemic preterm infants has proven to be associated with ROP premature infants might be a stronger predictor of ROP than
[22, 24]. Insulin treatment is usually used for controlling glyce- hyperglycemia. Lee et al. [22] in their study also observed a
mia and avoiding an unwanted restriction of caloric intake. A few possible trend between the use of insulin and severe ROP, while
randomized controlled trials showing a beneficial effect of insulin they failed to find the association between hyperglycemia and
on glucose intake and growth in the short term [5, 33, 34]. severe ROP in ELBW infants. However, a large cohort study

Fig. 4 MDs and 95% CIs and adjusted ORs and 95% CIs of the mean blood glucose level for ROP in case–control studies (A, B) and cohort studies (A,
C)
Eur J Pediatr

[32] demonstrated that after adjusting for important risk factors, Author’s contributions C.L. conceptualized and designed the study;
conducted literature searches, study selections, and data extrac-
insulin treatment had a large but not significant protective effect
tions; and drafted the initial manuscript. J.D. conducted literature
on severe ROP (OR 0.40, P = 0.106). In addition, another study searches, study selections, and data extractions and reviewed and
[35] demonstrated that early insulin therapy improved glycemic revised the manuscript. G.G. reviewed and revised the manuscript.
control and increases IGF-1 bioactivity levels, which might be M.Z. conceptualized and designed the study and reviewed and
revised the manuscript. All authors have approved the final man-
beneficial for ROP. Therefore, the relationship between insulin
uscript and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.
therapy and ROP is still unclear. Recently, continuous glucose
monitoring (CGM) has been applied to explore the association Funding This work was supported by 1.3.5 project for disciplines of
between hyperglycemia and ROP in very low birth weight neo- excellence, West China Hospital, Sichuan University (ZYJC21025) and
nates, due to its many more glycemic concentration measure- National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics, West China Hospital,
Sichuan University (Z2018B22). The funders had no role in study design,
ments [36]. The use of CGM system could increase the number
data collection, and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the
of data points available and improve the power of studies (288 manuscript.
measurements/day) [37, 38], which might provide a more reli-
able strategy to study the relationship between hyperglycemia, Declarations
insulin, and ROP.
There are several limitations in our study. First, compared Ethics approval This article does not contain any studies with human
to randomized controlled trials, the observational studies we participants or animals performed by any of the authors.
included were more susceptible to have selection bias.
However, it is not possible or ethical to induce hyperglycemia Consent to participate N/A.
to investigate its effect on ROP. The results from well-
Consent for publication N/A.
designed observational studies were also reliable. Second,
the major limitation in our study is the significant heterogene- Conflict of interest The authors declare no competing interests.
ity observed in the analysis. In our opinion, one of the impor-
tant sources of heterogeneity may be the different adjusted
factors among the studies we included, so the adjusted OR is References
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