Professional Documents
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Time Magazine International Edition 2021-02-01
Time Magazine International Edition 2021-02-01
8, 2021
PLUS
AMERICA’S NEW
CHAPTER
INSIDE
THE VACCINE
ROLLOUT
time.com
VOL. 197, NOS. 3–4 | 2021
The View Anatomy of a
botched rollout By W.J.
Ideas, opinion, innovations
Hennigan, Alice Park
15 | Eben Shapiro on why
corporations take and Jamie Ducharme 54
political stands
89 | A winter survival
guide
△
President Joe Biden and 96 | 18 Questions for
First Lady Jill Biden at the White author Joan Didion
House entrance on Jan. 20
Photograph by Evan Vucci—AP
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Edward Felsenthal,
ediToR-in-chief & ceo
@efelsenThal
TALK TO US
Letters should include the writer’s full name, address and home telephone, and may be edited for purposes of clarity and space
5
For the Record
IS WATCHING.’
hysteria.’
RIK VERWAEST,
city council member in
Lier, Belgium, in a Jan. 8
statement apologizing for
witchcraft trials that took
place in the city in the
BOBI WINE, 16th century
Ugandan opposition challenger, as the government cut the country’s Internet before a presidential
election on Jan. 14, which Wine has since alleged included widespread fraud
‘He gets
very
‘Keep on $5,000 sick if he
with the Fine for lawmakers who
avoid metal detectors when doesn’t eat
rescue entering the U.S. House
Chamber as of Jan. 21, under organic
efforts. a rule proposed after several
GOP members pushed past food.’
We have Capitol Police
MARTHA CHANSLEY,
GOOD NEWS
279 ft. of the week
I L L U S T R AT I O N S B Y B R O W N B I R D D E S I G N F O R T I M E
Australian authorities
ruled on Jan. 15 that
Distance a Russian “Joe the pigeon,”
woman swam under the originally thought to have
frozen surface of Lake Baikal flown over 8,000 miles
in a single breath on Jan. 7, from the U.S., is “highly
believed to be a world record likely” to be a native bird
for under-ice swimming and won’t be euthanized
for violating the country’s
biosecurity regulations
S O U R C E S : A B C 1 5 , B U S I N E S S I N S I D E R , R E U T E R S , A S S O C I AT E D P R E S S , V I C E ,
6 Time February 1/February 8, 2021 T H E W A S H I N G T O N P O S T, T H E S I B E R I A N T I M E S , C N N , B B C
SOLIDARITY
Health care
workers at a
Jan. 19 memorial
ceremony in
Tucson, Ariz., for
those who have
died of COVID-19
INSIDE
OUTCRY FOLLOWS RUSSIAN TRUMP’S BORDER WALL LOOMS REMEMBERING GOP KINGMAKER
OPPOSITION LEADER’S ARREST OVER PRESIDENT BIDEN SHELDON ADELSON
The Brief is reported by Madeleine Carlisle, Suyin Haynes, Sanya Mansoor, Ciara Nugent, Billy Perrigo, Madeline Roache and Olivia B. Waxman
TheBrief Opener
HEALTH health officials were sidetracked by having to stamp out
the constant fires of misinformation and unscientific
A new chance to lead claims fueled by Trump’s tweets and conflagrated by his
through science supporters at the state level. And while over the past year
the U.S. approved an antiviral drug to treat COVID-19 and
By Alice Park authorized two vaccines (with a handful more on the way),
those victories were won despite, and not because of, the
n Jan. 20, 2020, scienTisTs aT The cenTers White House. Instead of making COVID-19 the top prior-
Trump issues
flurry of
last-minute
pardons
During his last hours
in office early Jan. 20,
President Trump
pardoned 74 people
and commuted the
sentences of 70 more.
The list included his
former adviser Steve
Bannon, top fundraiser
Elliott Broidy and the
rapper Lil Wayne.
Apology over
child deaths at
Irish unwed-
mother homes △
Ireland’s Prime Minister Opposition leader Alexei Navalny boards a plane packed with journalists to return from Berlin to
Micheál Martin Moscow on Jan. 17, even as Russian authorities warned he would be detained upon arrival. “What do
apologized Jan. 13 you expect?” one reporter asked Navalny. “Wonderful weather,” he replied, and “a warm welcome.”
after an investigation
into 18 Catholic
Church–run mother- THE BULLETIN
and-baby homes found
an “appalling level Russian opposition leader’s airport arrest sparks outcry
of infant mortality.”
About 15% of those The Kremlin’s fiercesT criTic, Alexei SANCTIONS Ofcials around the world have
born at the homes Navalny, flew straight into the clutches of condemned both the poisoning and now Na-
from the 1920s to the Russian President Vladimir Putin on Jan. 17 valny’s arrest, with some urging new sanc-
1990s died, totaling
around 9,000 babies when he returned to Moscow from Ger- tions against Russia. But many doubt this
and children. many, where he had been recovering from will do much to help. Eliot Higgins, founder
an assassination attempt he blames on Rus- of Bellingcat, calls the global reaction “ut-
sia’s Federal Security Service (FSB). Na- terly toothless.” “If the international com-
valny was jailed for 30 days on Jan. 18, ac- munity doesn’t do something that Russia
Tiger King cused of violating the terms of a suspended cares about, Russia will realize that it can get
zoo must turn sentence in a 2014 embezzlement case he away with whatever it wants,” he says.
over cubs says was fabricated. He faces 3½ years in
An Oklahoma judge on prison at a hearing set for Jan. 29. ELECTIONS Navalny’s return to Russia has
Jan. 15 ordered the high stakes for Putin ahead of parliamen-
zoo featured in the hit OPPOSITION LEADER Navalny, head of Rus- tary elections in September. With support
Netflix docuseries Tiger
King to surrender all
sia’s Anti-Corruption Foundation, has long for his United Russia party hovering at
big cats less than a been a thorn in Putin’s side; his street pro- around 31% and the country battling a deep
year old, as well as the tests and government-corruption exposés economic recession, the President faces a
cubs’ mothers, to the have helped unseat Putin’s allies in local challenge in securing a supermajority. Ben
federal government, elections. He was left in a coma after being Noble, a lecturer in Russian politics at Uni-
citing the owners’
“shocking disregard”
poisoned by Novichok, a nerve agent, last versity College London, says, “We’re likely
for the law and the August; Bellingcat, an investigative news to see the Kremlin block opposition candi-
animals’ health. organization, has identified eight FSB of- dates, mobilize state employees to support
cers allegedly behind the attack. The Krem- United Russia and further hamper the work
lin denies any involvement. of Navalny’s team.” —mAdeline roAche
9
TheBrief News
GOOD QUESTION
W I N E : G E T T Y I M A G E S ; A D E L S O N : B O B R I H A J R . — G E T T Y I M A G E S ; S P E C T O R : M I C H A E L O C H S A R C H I V E S/G E T T Y I M A G E S
a COVID-19 outbreak
investing in border technology to increase the with other actions.” —JaSmiNe aguileRa at the prison. The
Trump Administration
is now responsible
for the most federal
executions ever
FOOD AND WINE undertaken during a
Space munchies presidential transition.
between his church’s beliefs and its behavior. He cause they don’t believe that we really believe what
dismisses as a “manufactured controversy” the we say, then that’s a crisis.” This is what he fears will
criticism of six SBC seminary presidents who in be the legacy of an era in which people of faith put
November released a public condemnation of so much faith in a President. “There is an entire gen-
critical race theory. “I don’t find any postmodern eration of people who are growing cynical that reli-
theory motivating those who are concerned for gion is just a means to some other end.”
13
BUSINESS
The View is reported by Leslie Dickstein, Mariah Espada, Barbara Maddux, Ciara Nugent and Simmone Shah 15
TheView Opener
It’s sort of a no-brainer to speak out, as to certifying the results to refund the com-
National Association of Manufacturers presi- pany’s donations. Other companies, includ-
dent and CEO Jay Timmons put it on Jan. 6, ing JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup, called a SHORT
READS
against “armed violent protesters who sup- temporary halt to donations to both Repub-
▶ Highlights
port the baseless claim by outgoing President lican and Democrats. “We are taking a pause from stories on
Trump that he somehow won an election that on federal contributions and using this as an time.com/ideas
he overwhelmingly lost.” opportunity to really evaluate the candidates
There are a number of factors driving that we have supported, and do their actions Just the
this new embrace of the bully pulpit. For and values align with ours,” Lynn Good, CEO beginning
one, insurrection, sedition and violence in of Duke Energy, said in an interview with
the streets is bad for business. Big organi- TIME. Good said the decision was informed The Democrats’
zations require stability. Tear gas and bear by the strong reaction of many of the compa- Senate wins in Georgia
mark a sea change
spray make it hard to achieve the “visibility” ny’s employees and customers. in America, writes
into future earnings much prized by Wall Eloquent Rage author
Street. “With our country in the midst of a Corporations are mulling more Brittney Cooper:
pandemic, business leaders recognize that dramatic steps. Sonnenfeld, who has “Do not let the war
ongoing division and distrust in our political convened three emergency summits with cries of angry white
people drown out the
system threatens the economic recovery and CEOs since the election, said the majority resounding and clarion
job creation our country desperately needs,” of CEOs at a recent meeting said they calls from Black
says the Business Roundtable, an organiza- would “reconsider their investments in women organizers
tion of CEOs of the states of seditious and strategists and
nation’s biggest Congressmen.” voters of color who
have made clear that
corporations. One marker of Trump’s America is
Trump’s persis- transformation is not their America.”
tent and unfounded the emergence of
assault on the rule a new vocabulary.
of law and his deg- Deplatforming—
radation of a fed- kicking bad ac- Remaking
eral election risked tors off the tech America
undermining the infrastructure—has Impeaching President
foundations of the become a mark of Trump is important
system that made corporate activism. but insufficient, says
the American Twitter, Facebook Begin Again author
Eddie S. Glaude Jr.
economy the most Arne M. Sorenson, CEO of Marriott, at a meeting with and YouTube have “America faces a
dynamic and suc- President Trump to discuss COVID-19 in March deplatformed Pres- crisis that has its
cessful ident Trump. Ama- roots in what caused
on earth. zon’s cloud-services business kicked right- the Civil War and
At its heart, the capitalist system requires wing social network Parler off its servers. what led us to turn our
backs on the promise
honoring contracts, which made Trump’s Whether this deplatforming was a bold act
S O R E N S O N : S H U T T E R S T O C K ; M O T H E R : S U Z A N N E K R E I T E R — T H E B O S T O N G L O B E /G E T T Y I M A G E S
of the civil rights
flouting of rules a profound threat to finan- of corporate leadership—or the equivalent of movement,” he writes.
cial institutions, capital markets and corpo- closing the digital barn door after the rabid “We have never really
rate governance. “We believe in investment horse had already kicked the stable manager in faced those demons.”
in the rule of law, not the law of rulers,” says the head—is a complex question. The moves
Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, senior associate dean for largely resulted in a collective short-term sigh
leadership studies at the Yale School of Man- of relief but were a stark demonstration of the After the
agement. “CEOs say that about investing inordinate power of America’s tech giants. insurrection
abroad—now that has to apply at home too.” A final driver forcing CEOs to come off the
Defending that system helps explain sideline is the expectation of today’s more How to hold rioters
at the Capitol
why in the week after the Capitol attack, politically engaged younger workers. “We
accountable? There’s
a Who’s Who of the nation’s most promi- govern with the consent of the governed, and no single statute
nent blue-chip companies, including Mar- the governed are restless,” one CEO of a small that makes domestic
riott, AT&T, American Express and Amazon, firm tells TIME, voicing concern over the terrorism a crime, writes
said they would halt campaign donations to expectation that a CEO statement was now former U.S. Attorney
Joyce White Vance, so
members of Congress who voted to challenge considered de rigueur after any development “the entire criminal
the presidential-election results. Unsenti- of note. That’s fine on big issues like climate code becomes part
mentally, Hallmark Cards, based in Kan- change, but there is a growing unease about of the prosecutor’s
sas City, Mo., took the additional step of ask- where it will lead. In a post-Trump world, “no playbook.”
ing two Republican Senators who objected comment” is no longer an option. □
16 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
THE RISK REPORT
Biden inherits a China policy SOCIETY
with strings attached The state of
By Ian Bremmer feminism
The pervasive narrative
DonalD Trump has near term. He’ll leave Trump’s tariffs that COVID-19 has been a
left Joe Biden with in place for the time being, both to disaster of feminism, when
plenty of knots for maximize his bargaining power with that description clearly
the new President Xi and to avoid charges in Washington refers only to its effect
to untie. For foreign that he’s soft on China. Biden’s longer- on professional women,
policy, the most im- term strategy, built on the conviction reflects a myopic view of
portant of these is the that it’s better to bring friends when gender rights. Since the
increasingly complicated and contentious headed into a potential fight, will be to early 20th century, the
white-feminist ideology
relationship with China, and of all the sub- enlist the support of allies in Europe and
has equated white collar
jects on which Washington and Beijing are Asia to help contain China’s growing
earnings and individual
at odds, the most intractable is Taiwan. influence. He will also be more openly accumulation of wealth
On Jan. 9, Secretary of State Mike critical of China on questions of human and power with feminism,
Pompeo sprang a surprise on both Biden and civil rights—in Hong Kong, the but for many women and
and China’s President Xi Jin- focus of China’s crackdown other marginalized genders,
ping by announcing that the on democracy activism, and earnings have proved
U.S. will drop self-imposed It’s unlikely in Xinjiang, where China has elusive. The disruption of
restrictions on how its gov- the U.S. and imprisoned an estimated the middle- to upper-class
ernment and military inter- China are 1 million Muslim Uighurs in home during the pandemic
act with Taiwan. This move headed camps. (On his last full day reveals the ways in which
doesn’t shred the “one-China toward at State, Pompeo termed mainstream feminism has
policy” that Washington ad- military this “genocide,” as the Biden not evolved beyond an
opted in 1979, which recog- empowering anthem for
confrontation campaign had.) white women and those
nizes the People’s Republic But beyond statements of
as China’s only legitimate
anytime soon principle, Biden will avoid aspiring to their privilege.
government but refuses to provoking China when there It’s telling, for instance,
explicitly recognize Chinese sovereignty is little chance of reward for it. On Tai- that the massive job losses
among house cleaners have
over Taiwan. And the Trump team could wan, he’ll continue support in the form
not been shorthanded as a
have gone even further. Plans to send U.S. of military sales and technology shar-
“disaster for feminism.” In
Ambassador to the U.N. Kelly Craft to Tai- ing, an approach that has bipartisan sup- the wake of the pandemic,
pei in January were canceled. But Craft port in Washington, and he’ll reassure we must advocate for
did speak with Taiwan’s President, a prov- Taiwan’s leadership that U.S. backing policies that support
ocation for Beijing, and China responded remains steadfast. He could also reverse all women rather than
with “sanctions on responsible U.S. offi- Pompeo’s announcement as part of a continuing to center only
cials who have engaged in nasty behavior broader reset of U.S.-China relations. But white heterosexual women
on the Taiwan issue.” Beyond those minor even if Biden’s approach is more cautious, of a certain income level.
penalties, China’s government will wait to his team’s contacts with Taiwanese offi- —Koa Beck, author of
see what kind of tone Biden will set. cials will revert to the standard practices White Feminism: From the
By promising that the U.S. and Tai- of previous Administrations. Suffragettes to Influencers
wanese governments will meet more It’s unlikely the U.S. and China are and Who They Leave Behind
often and at higher levels of government headed toward military confrontation
and the military, Pompeo’s move to regu- anytime soon. That fight could inflict
larize higher-level contacts puts Biden enormous costs on both sides. But the
in a bind as he works to set his own rela- problem isn’t going away, because there
tionships with both China and Taiwan. If is no issue more important for Xi Jinping,
Biden reverses the policy, China hawks in and no American President wants to
Washington will accuse him of appeasing be the one who abandoned democratic
Beijing. If he doesn’t, he inherits a tough Taiwan. Yet the status quo shifts in
bone of contention with China. China’s favor a little more every year as
the gap between U.S. and Chinese military
What is Biden’s plan? In general, capabilities narrows. Gone are the days A mom takes her child to pick
the new President wants to lower the when warnings from Washington were up school meals in December
temperature with China, at least in the enough to lower the temperature. □
17
TheView Essay
America’s
moral vacuum
By Nancy Gibbs
conception of “us vs. them” and later by Stalin’s America as and blue.
more ideological one. When I was in the U.S. gov- split between Notwithstanding the recent tumult, we remain
ernment, my daily preoccupations were with red states one country, not two. Going forward, let us advo-
blood-drenched rivalries in the Balkans, the Cauca- and blue cate vigorously on behalf of causes that concern us
sus, Africa and the Middle East. In those years, the as individuals or groups; but let us also never forget
U.S. worked hard to help countries in faraway places to cool that we belong in addition to a larger circle. No matter how
clashes, and we often pointed to our nation as a model, citing we define us, no matter how we define them, We the People is
the motto “E pluribus unum”: Out of many, one. an inclusive phrase.
Now, we do not see ourselves as much of a model. Im-
mensely destructive forces have been unleashed in our Albright is a former Secretary of State
19
I NAUG U R AT I O N 2021
‘DEMOCRA
26
B I D E N Õ S D E F I N I N G T E S T B Y C H A R L OT T E A LT E R
DIVIDED
A field of flags
fills the National
Mall on the
eve of Biden’s
Inauguration
29
I NAUG U R AT I O N 2021
Biden realizes this. “Every disagreement doesn’t have to be Trump’s legal attempt to invalidate nearly 7 million votes cast
cause for total war,” he said in his Inaugural Address. “And we in Pennsylvania, says he got threats “that would make a sailor
must reject the culture in which facts themselves are manip- blush.” At least one GOP lawmaker who voted to impeach Trump
ulated and even manufactured.” But the 46th President now for inciting the mob bought body armor to protect himself.
30 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
DISUNITY IS AS
AMERICAN AS
PUTTING A MAN
ON THE MOON
CRISIS
MODE
INSIDE JOE BIDEN’S AGENDA
F O R T H E F I R S T 1 0 0 D AY S
BY ALANA ABRAMSON AND BRIAN BENNETT
Biden’s opening flurry of executive pline and organization that the White The Administration hopes to
actions. Within hours of his Inau House has not seen in four years. leverage broad support for economic
guration, Biden rejoined the Paris There are also challenges outside stimulus to push a progressive
Agreement and the World Health Or its control. The Biden Administration agenda, including raising the
ganization and rescinded the Trump will be dependent on a fractious national minimum wage to $15 and
Administration’s socalled Muslim Congress to authorize funding for more funding for community health
32 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
^
Some employers are giving
workers extra benefits in an
attempt to encourage them
^
clinics—policies it says will usher CURBING THE PANDEMIC President Biden prepares
in a long-term recovery. “It is the to sign Executive
domestic equivalent of the domino The COVID-19 vaccine is rolling out Orders on Jan. 20
theory,” says former White House more slowly than expected, infection
chief of staff Rahm Emanuel, who rates are worsening, and some ex-
served in the role when President perts predict that as many as 700,000 vaccines to the states, then allowing
Barack Obama took office amid the Americans could die from the disease them to figure out how to dispense
Great Recession in January 2009. before it is contained. Biden intends doses, Biden’s team will be involved
“If you get COVID under control, to change that by speeding vaccine in distributing vaccine supplies to
you’re gonna get an economy that distribution and reducing new infec- priority populations. “We want to see
flips a switch.” tions in the meantime. “You can’t do it the federal government coordinating
The goal, Klain says, is to manage with half measures,” says Klain. “You more doses between states and even
the multiple crises facing the U.S. in need to throw everything you have at within states between nursing homes
such a way that the nation emerges it.” The vaccine rollout plan hinges and the general public, so that we’re
from a troubled period stronger and on a $20 billion federal program that not allowing inventory to sit unused
more unified. Here’s a cheat sheet on would provide direct assistance to in areas where there’s lower demand,”
what to expect from the Biden Ad- local officials. Whereas the Trump says Dr. Howard Forman, a profes-
ministration over its first 100 days. Administration saw its role as getting sor of public health and management
33
I NAUG U R AT I O N 2021
lenges are big.” tion’s racial-equity initiatives, which wrong direction to moving in the right
Delaware Senator Chris Coons, will assess how the government can direction,” says Klain. “That’s going
a Biden protégé and close adviser maximize resources for minority com- to be the measure of our success.”
who helped broker last December’s munities and ensure diversity within —With reporting by JEFFREY KLUGER
$900 billion bipartisan relief deal, its own ranks. And Biden is launch- and SIMMONE SHAH/NEW YORK
says he is cautiously optimistic, par- ing initiatives to expand access to and ABBY VESOULIS and JUSTIN
ticularly in the wake of the Jan. 6 health care for women of color and re- WORLAND/WASHINGTON
35
I NAUG U R AT I O N 2021
◁
Biden signs his first
official documents as
President at the U.S. Capitol
‘ W H AT A R E YO U A F R A I D
OF?’ JAIME HERRERA
BEUTLER, A REPUBLICAN
CONGRESSWOMAN
F R O M WA S H I N G T O N
S TAT E , D E M A N D E D
OF HER COLLEAGUES
as they considered the second impeachment of Donald Trump.
“I’m not afraid of losing my job,” Herrera Beutler said. “But I
am afraid that my country will fail.”
There is more than fear swirling around the GOP these days.
For years, Republicans stood by their President, muttering
their doubts in private. They pretzeled themselves to defend
his shifting whims, reframed his outrages as silly showman-
ship and rejected his first impeachment as partisan overreach.
Absolute loyalty was what their voters demanded; any sign of
deviation was swiftly punished.
But in the dramatic final weeks of his term, Trump finally
pushed his party to its breaking point—first demanding it re-
ject truth and the democratic process by overturning the elec-
tion he lost, then siccing his mob on the seat of government, △
with deadly results. Finally, on Jan. 13, 10 of the 211 House House Republicans huddle during the
Republicans broke ranks and voted to impeach him for incit- vote to impeach Trump on Jan. 13
ing an insurrection.
Trump may be done with Washington, but Washington—
and particularly his adopted party—is not done with him. How tration, whose visions of unity Republicans can dash by with-
the Senate will dispense with the first-ever postpresidential holding cooperation? What should the GOP stand for if not
impeachment is an open question. Numerous Republican Sena- the cult of personality Trump forged? How much influence
tors have expressed openness to convicting Trump and poten- will Trump and his family continue to have on the party going
tially barring him from future office. That number includes the forward? And how can Republicans win elections if they are
party leader, Mitch McConnell, who said bluntly on the Senate trapped between a fanatical base of delusional conspiracists
floor on Jan. 19, “The mob was fed lies. They were provoked and a broader electorate that despises Trump?
by the President and other powerful people. And they tried to Some top Republicans are hoping Trump’s hold on the party
use fear and violence to stop a specific proceeding,” the ratifi- will loosen now that he’s out of office. Others believe a clean
cation of President Joe Biden’s election win. and deliberate break must be made to regain lost credibility.
The Senate will try Trump for the second time once the “You can’t just do things and act like they never happened,”
House sends the impeachment over. McConnell has so far given says Republican John Kasich, the former Ohio governor. “Of
his fellow partisans little guidance, leaving them to wrestle course they are going to pay a price for what they did.” If the
with their consciences and their political calculations alone. GOP doesn’t find a way to dump Trump and start anew, Ka-
But the impeachment vote is just one of many questions con- sich says, “the party will fall in on itself.”
fronting the GOP as Trump leaves office—questions that will
determine the future of American politics and the shape of the THE IMPEACHMENT DILEMMA
Biden presidency, from congressional policymaking to voters’
choices in future elections. The first turning point for the post-Trump GOP is fast
How will the minority party respond to the new Adminis- approaching. It would take 17 of the 50 Republican Senators
40 TIME February 1/February 8, 2021
Lisa Murkowski, a sometime Trump critic,
has gone so far as to say that Trump’s con-
duct made her reconsider her membership in
the GOP. “Such unlawful actions cannot go
without consequence,” she said. The Sena-
tors opposing conviction have mostly said it
is pointless or constitutionally questionable
for a President no longer in office; few have
defended Trump’s actions.
ment; whether it’s impeachment and conviction, I don’t know.” THE IDENTITY CRISIS
Twelve more Republican Senators have said they are
open to hearing the evidence presented in the impeachment There was a paradox to the party’s policy shifts during the
trial, while 23 have indicated they would not vote to convict Trump years. The outgoing President upended the GOP’s
Trump and 14 have made no statement, according to a whip traditional stances on fiscal, social and national-security is-
count maintained by the Washington Post. Alaska Senator sues. He blew up the deficit, imposed tariffs that scrambled
41
I NAUG U R AT I O N 2021
a political future for his children Ivanka and Don Jr. problems tearing the country apart, and the Republican Party
needs to try and address those problems if it wants people
TIRED OF WINNING to turn away from Trump’s toxic legacy. It might not work.
But it’s the only thing that might work, and it’s the right
Polls were eerily static throughout Trump’s term, unmoved thing to do.” —With reporting by LesLie Dickstein and
even by such calamities as COVID-19. But for the first time, Mariah espaDa □
43
44 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
SOCIETY
F RAY E D
TIES
T H E PA S T F O U R Y E A R S
H AV E D I V I D E D FA M I L I E S .
IS THE DAMAGE DONE?
BY BELINDA LUSCOMBE
45
SOCIETY
certain that their family members are on the wrong side of Doherty, the family therapist, hopes that this relational
history. “My parents professed to love America and the Con- fracturing shall pass. “People underestimate the tremendous
stitution and all of these things, and it’s like they’re trying to pain and hurt involved in a family cutoff,” he says. “We all need
directly undermine that,” says Soren Bliefnick. time-out sometimes from family intensity, but that’s a whole
The Groens as well as the Pavesis and Debrés are in different different thing.” In an era dominated by a highly infectious
countries; their interactions are mostly virtual and thus more disease, even a temporary break in communications, he notes,
tightly controlled. The Groens Zoom every week for at least an could be final: “Somebody gets COVID—what, you don’t call?”
hour. “I would say we have good rapport, but I don’t know what Villano heard over Christmas that one of her relatives
[my son] would say because we probably will never agree po- was ill. She texted a get-well message. She hasn’t heard back.
litically,” says Dr. Groen. “For us it’s been hard to have a low- “I don’t think they want anything to do with me,” she says. “The
key discussion; they usually kind of get pretty energetic.” Some theme of Joe Biden’s Inauguration is supposed to be unity, but
of the more difficult conversations are hashed out among the I don’t see anything taking place from him or Congress that is
Pavesi clan over text. Dave Pavesi says Trump’s departure prob- going to unify the country. I don’t see anybody working to try
ably won’t change his family dynamic, which he doesn’t think is and bring us together on either side. How are we ever going to
that bad. He’d like the election to be investigated but says, “I’m get together to solve all the problems that we have?” □
49
NATION
THE COST
OF TERROR
HITS HOME
A S L AW M A K E R S CA L L
FOR A CRACKDOWN ON
DOMESTIC TERRORISM,
C I V I L L I B E R TA R I A N S F E A R
A ROLLBACK OF RIGHTS
BY SIMON SHUSTER
PHOTOGRAPHS BY
CHRISTOPHER LEE FOR TIME
51
NATION
1 2
“no-fly list” of terrorism suspects, a measure that the FBI said Few if any of the biggest U.S. civil-liberties organizations have
it was “actively looking at.” Even veterans of the Trump Ad- publicly urged caution in the rush to find, blacklist or pros-
ministration have urged the government to unleash the tools ecute the Capitol rioters. Speaking to TIME on Jan. 14, a di-
of counterterrorism against the rioters and their supporters. rector at one of these organizations did express concerns “as
“We have to go after the people doing the incitement, the a private person” about responding to the riot with the tools
people who are very serious about doing these attacks, with the of counterterrorism. “I do have grave concerns,” he said, ask-
same intensity that we did with al-Qaeda,” says Elizabeth Neu- ing not to be named, as he was not authorized to speak to the
mann, who served for three years in the Trump Administration media on this issue. “If you are profiling on the basis of char-
as an Assistant Secretary of Homeland Security. “This might be acteristics not linked inherently to terrorism, you come out
a slight overstep,” says Neumann, who resigned in April 2020, with a whole bunch of problems.”
but for the mob that stormed the Capitol, Trump “was that
spiritual leader that Osama bin Laden was for al-Qaeda. He The dangers lie in the legal gray zone between political
was that face, and that spokesperson, that rallied the troops.” speech and incitement to violence. Under President Barack
Such comparisons point to a turn in the debate about ter- Obama, the U.S. launched a Hellfire missile at Anwar al-
rorism that many security experts have wanted to see for years. Awlaki, an American imam who served al-Qaeda as a recruiter.
The majority of deadly extremist incidents in the His assassination in Yemen in 2011 remains a
U.S. are motivated by far-right ideologies, espe- stain on Obama’s legacy to many civil-liberties
PORTFOLIO
cially white supremacy, according to the U.S. Gov- defenders, in part because al-Awlaki’s role was
To see more of
ernment Accountability Office. Yet the threat of not to commit acts of violence himself. “It was
Christopher Lee’s
Islamist radicalism commands a far greater share photos from inside an inspirational job,” says Ali Soufan, a former FBI
of government resources. Heidi Beirich, former the Capitol under special agent focused on counterterrorism. “He
head of the Intelligence Project at the Southern siege, go to time was instigating.”
Poverty Law Center, calls this disparity a sign of .com/capitol-riot Among far-right extremists in the U.S. today,
the “great hypocrisy” on the issue of terrorism in there are countless radicals who play similar roles.
America. “When it comes to white supremacy,” But attempts to silence them are sure to face legal
she says, “it is a battle to prove that it is also terrorist violence.” challenges as even Trump’s most radical supporters have con-
The prospect of a crackdown on the far right has still raised stitutional protections, including the First Amendment right
concerns among some civil-liberties advocates, who warn that “peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for
it could threaten the constitutional rights to free speech, assem- a redress of grievances.”
bly and due process, much as the post-9/11 crackdown threat- Rolling back those freedoms has served in other countries
ened the rights of Americans accused of siding with al-Qaeda. as a prelude to authoritarianism, and it is easy enough to
“In my view, the government’s terrorism blacklists are a cau- imagine a future U.S. President deciding to label opponents
tionary tale, not a promising model,” Jameel Jaffer, the director terrorists before stripping them of their fundamental rights.
of the Knight First Amendment Institute at Columbia Univer- During his presidency, Trump attempted to designate Antifa,
sity, told the Intercept. a loose band of left-wing radicals, as a terrorist organization, a
Such notes of concern have been muted in the past week. move that civil-liberties groups successfully resisted.
52 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
3
ANOTHER
SHOT
INSIDE THE FAILURES OF THE U.S. VACCINE
ROLLOUT—AND HOW IT CAN BE FIXED
BY W.J. HENNIGAN, ALICE PARK AND JAMIE DUCHARME
Whenever she left her room, she dutifully wore a sur- under President Barack Obama. “There has been a
gical face mask and maintained the mandated 6-ft. lack of organization, a lack of a systemic approach
distance. The most difficult change came in the fall, and a lack of a public-health approach coming out
when visits from her son, daughter and five grand- of the White House.”
children were cut off. The Biden Administration enters office exactly
Living in relative isolation was not how Ronnel a year into the U.S. pandemic, with the country’s
envisioned spending her golden years. Like millions tally of COVID-19 cases at 24 million, along with
of Americans, as soon as the first coronavirus vaccine 400,000 related deaths. Those numbers are only
was authorized, she began anxiously counting down growing. The Administration’s new health leaders
to the day she’d receive her shot. As an elderly resident will come in with their own ideas for how to con-
of a long-term-care facility, Ronnel is at higher risk of trol the pandemic and answer the critical question
getting infected and experiencing serious symptoms, of what went wrong. Their answers won’t simply
and thus belongs to one of the first priority groups be a matter of administrative accountability, but a
to get vaccinated, along with health care workers. matter of public health and economic urgency. If the
So, when a Walgreens pharmacist finally appeared current slow pace of getting vaccines from the as-
in her doorway with the shot on Jan. 6, it came as a sembly lines into people’s arms continues, it could
welcome sight. After getting the injection, Ronnel al- lead to weaker population-level protection, enabling
lowed herself to feel something that she hadn’t felt the virus to continue spreading—especially with a
since the pandemic first began: the prospect of nor- new, more contagious variant afoot. And the more it
mality. “I hope this all begins to end soon,” she says. spreads, the more likely it is that new, mutant forms
That will depend. TIME spent the past year ob- will emerge, some of which could be resistant to any
serving, traveling and speaking with dozens of peo- hard-won protection from vaccines. Health officials
ple involved in the development, distribution and warn that current delays and problems in moving
administration of the coronavirus vaccine. A month vaccines will only be amplified when tens of millions
into the operation it has become clear that health more Americans become eligible for COVID-19 shots
experts, military logisticians and government au- in coming months.
thorities have often been at odds with one another Biden’s team has indicated it will erase the brand
over miscues, miscommunications and mistrust as name Operation Warp Speed (OWS) from the federal
they grappled with overcoming a tangle of logisti- vaccine initiative, and introduce a new structure with
cal challenges in building an unprecedented health the immediate goals of vaccinating 100 million peo-
campaign from scratch. ple by the 100th day of his presidency while working 13.6
According to local health officials, the Trump Ad- toward reopening most schools by spring. Getting MILLION
ministration’s decision to limit the federal govern- there will require a more aggressive federal response Number of
ment’s role in administering the vaccines left each to support states, the President says, involving the Na- vaccinations
state to create its own plans for locally distributing tional Guard and the Federal Emergency Management administered in
the shots and launching programs for getting them Agency to set up thousands of mass-vaccination cen- the U.S. as of
into people’s arms. That already-complicated lo- ters and mobile teams to reach people living in more Jan. 20
gistical task, they say, was compounded by a lack remote areas. Whether these efforts will be enough
of funds and a health care workforce already over- to efficiently immunize hundreds of millions of peo- 48%
whelmed with COVID-19 testing, contact tracing and ple in a matter of months will depend on how well Share of vaccine
pandemic-control campaigns, not to mention mixed the Biden Administration, in contrast to the Trump doses allocated
that have
messages that left states in the dark about how many White House, can persuade the public to trust the actually been
doses they could expect, and when. science behind the vaccines, and the public-health administered
In rolling out the vaccine, the U.S. in many ways experts who maintain that until most of the popula-
repeated the same mistakes it made with COVID- tion is vaccinated, the virus will retain the upper hand.
19 testing last spring. Lack of federal leadership 4.1%
first in coordinating distribution of the tests, and The only way ouT of this pandemic, public-health Share of the U.S.
later in supporting states to set up and staff testing officials say, is to use vaccines to achieve herd immu- population that
has received a
sites, led to limited access and critical delays in get- nity, a type of biological fortress in which the vast ma-
vaccine
ting results. Public-health officials across the coun- jority of the population is protected against disease,
try, as well as many experts TIME spoke with, say blocking a roaming virus from finding new human
there has been a similar lack of coordinated plan- hosts. The U.S. authorized two vaccines in mid-
34%
Share of the
ning and infrastructure to distribute and adminis- December: the first from Pfizer-BioNTech and the U.S. population
ter vaccines at the local level. “This vaccination pro- second from Moderna, both roughly 95% effective in President Biden
gram is complicated, and the way it’s gone so far is protecting against the disease. The government-led has promised will
a microcosm of the 11 months of failed federal re- effort to develop and test COVID-19 shots stands as receive a vaccine
sponse,” says Dr. Tom Frieden, former director of the a record-setting feat that reduced standard vaccine in his first 100
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) development time from 10 years to under one (and days in office
56 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
Walgreens
pharmacy
manager Mariam
Naim prepares
doses of the
Pfizer-BioNTech
COVID-19 vaccine
for delivery to a
nearby long-term-
care facility
there are a handful of others currently in testing). possible. The White House compared the crash pro-
But having an authorized vaccine isn’t the same as gram, in its size and scope, to the Manhattan Project,
having a vaccinated public. Getting the shot to some which produced the world’s first atomic bomb that
300 million Americans was never going to be trivial, helped end World War II.
but Donald Trump’s Administration fell well short By the spring, billion-dollar contracts were drawn
of its projections. The Trump team had boasted that up to support the research-and-development and
by Jan. 1, 2021, some 20 million Americans were ex- manufacturing costs for millions of doses from Mod-
pected to be vaccinated against COVID-19. Instead, erna, AstraZeneca, Novavax, Sanofi-GlaxoSmithKline
when the New Year rang in, just 3.5 million people and Johnson & Johnson. Pfizer-BioNTech chose not
had received the shot. to accept support from OWS to develop its vaccine
The quest to develop and manufacture a safe but signed a nearly $2 billion contract to supply
and effective vaccine for a new infectious disease 100 million doses with an option for 500 million
was always going to be a gamble, even for pharma- more even before its vaccine received federal ap-
ceutical companies with deep experience in mass- proval. To lead the group, Trump chose Moncef
producing vaccines. To motivate the industry, the Slaoui, the former head of research and development
Trump Administration established OWS, a so-called for pharmaceutical giant GlaxoSmithKline, who had
whole-of-America public-private partnership that co- brought 14 vaccines to market over his career.
ordinated pharmaceutical leaders, government health The creation of a vaccine was just one item on a
experts and the military to incentivize and pave the long list of needs. Inoculation on such a mass scale
way for developing COVID-19 vaccines as quickly as meant truckloads of supplies had to be located and
57
H E A LT H
department of health, and “we had no anticipation supply dried up. Vaccinemakers, however, have
of any additional dollars of support for all of these proved their reliability. A steady stream of more than
efforts.” As the number of cases in her state started 4 million doses were available for distribution for
to climb, and to ensure that citizens would get vacci- each of the past three weeks.
nated, Chan says, other pandemic-related efforts, like Because of that, on Jan. 8, Biden’s team announced
the depth of the contact-tracing interviews, had to that it planned to release nearly all available vaccines
be temporarily scaled back to prioritize vaccination. in order to inoculate as many people as possible,
As Kris Ehresmann, director of infectious disease at rather than hold vaccines back to ensure that any-
the Minnesota department of health, puts it, “We got one who received a first dose would get the second
an amazing vaccine, the Cadillac of vaccines, and yet one. It didn’t take long before the Trump Administra-
we’re skimping on resources for getting it out.” New tion said it would adopt this immediate distribution
funding to support state COVID-19 programs was au- system—but states expecting an additional windfall
thorized only in the last days of 2020. of vaccines were frustrated to learn on Jan. 15 that
On the weekly calls, Perna and Slaoui informed the government did not in fact have vaccines on re-
state health officials that the federal government would serve to release. The discovery was neither the first
get them the vaccine but that it was up to them to work nor the last disappointment states would face as the
with the CDC in order to form and execute “last mile” rollout unfolded.
inoculation plans. “We’re solving problems ahead of Amid the chaos and confusion, many states sim-
execution,” Perna said on one call, observed by TIME ply aren’t administering the shots delivered to them.
in early December. “Does this mean perfection? No. Though the pace is picking up, CDC data published
The plan is only good to get you started. What’s im- Jan. 19 show only about 15.7 million doses have been
portant is the open collaboration and communica- administered, out of 31.1 million delivered to the
tion between everyone.” To keep track, a government states. Some of the shortfall may be a reporting lag
contractor developed a new software platform called as states learn new tracking systems. Another pos-
Tiberius, which enables states and federal agencies sible factor is winter storms delaying some deliver-
to see their orders and track vaccine shipments. After ies and forcing office closures. But it’s clear there are
vaccine producers say how many doses are available entrenched problems.
for distribution in the upcoming week, each state then States don’t have the staff or infrastructure to
has the opportunity to place an order up to a certain manage the volume. When Florida’s Miami-Dade
amount allocated by OWS. Once approved, that order County opened up 2,000 or so vaccination ap-
is locked into Tiberius every Tuesday. pointments, they were gone in under a minute as
Even with the system, states at first complained 80,000 people slammed the reservation site dur-
they didn’t know exactly how many doses they could ing those 60 seconds. Believing that their existing
expect. Some say they expected a certain amount childhood-vaccination programs could handle the LESS
based on what the federal government had told them load, many states failed to fully account for the over- THAN 1%
(which Perna says were based on rough population- whelming demand from a desperate and impatient Share of
based estimates) only to find out just the day before public. County health offices around the country are Americans living
delivery—or sometimes on the delivery day itself— inundated daily with phone calls from residents be- in long-term-care
that they’d be getting fewer than anticipated. That wildered by the mixed messages from federal, state facilities
made it nearly impossible to adequately plan vac- and local officials.
cination campaigns. Dr. Eric Dickson, CEO of Mas- Vaccine eligibility requirements have contrib-
sachusetts’ UMass Memorial Health Care, says his uted to that confusion. Though the CDC provides 37%
hospital system received half the number of doses it recommendations about who should get the shots Share of total
expected during the first two weeks of vaccinations, first, states make their own rules. For example, New COVID-19-related
which led to “vaccine envy” among staff members York began vaccinating all people over age 65 on deaths in the
who could not get vaccinated along with their col- Jan. 11, while in Maryland, that group is set to gain U.S. accounted
for by long-term-
leagues. Though the situation has improved since eligibility on Jan. 25. Such differences are causing po- care facility
then, Dickson says communication from the federal tentially dangerous confusion that could lead some residents
government was sorely lacking at first. “It could have to miss their opportunity for a shot or decide not to
been a lot better than going to the loading dock with get one at all.
the FedEx guy and saying, ‘How many did we get?’” Making matters worse, once a vial (which contains 1.9
at least five doses in the case of the Pfizer-BioNTech MILLION
The COVID-19 VaCCInes authorized so far, from vaccine and 10 doses in the case of Moderna) is opened, Number of COVID-
Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna, require two shots it needs to be used within six hours or discarded. As 19 vaccine doses
spaced about a month apart. In the initial push, a result, in situations where someone changes their administered in
OWS sent out the first dose but held back a reserve mind about getting vaccinated or misses an appoint- long-term-care
of second doses, because Perna did not want to be ment, nurses, doctors or pharmacists, holding doses facilities as of
caught shorthanded if manufacturing faltered and that would otherwise go to waste, are deciding to give Jan. 20
60 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
them to anyone who happens to be around—regardless their populations,” says Dr. Peter Hotez, a vaccine ^
of whether they are in the right priority group. This, scientist from Baylor College of Medicine in Texas. Judith Brenner,
in some cases, has become regional policy; Michi- Given the diverse population and topography of 83, traveled the
gan’s chief medical executive, Dr. Joneigh Khaldun, the U.S., and the differences from state to state, local world with her
says she has told providers to aim to use 90% of their health departments are trying to come up with cre- husband David
vaccine supplies within seven days of receiving them, ative and flexible strategies to reach people in as short before settling
at Westminster
even if that means straying from state guidelines in a period of time as possible. In Alaska, for example,
Place. She was
“a good-faith effort to use the vaccine.” health workers have been taking planes, boats and vaccinated there
The lack of federal leadership has resulted in state sleds to reach the 80% of the state’s communities liv- on Jan. 6
health departments scrambling to figure out solu- ing in places that cannot be accessed by road, and set-
tions, creating a patchwork approach to allocating ting up makeshift clinics inside bush planes or going
and administering allotted doses. Health officials in door-to-door in villages to vaccinate Indigenous com-
Florida decided to offer a number of vaccines through munities. And because of the travel challenges, the
Eventbrite, a website primarily known for obtaining state requested and now receives its allotments for
tickets to sports events, concerts and even monster- these groups from the Indian Health Service (IHS)
truck shows. In southwest Florida’s Lee County, offi- monthly rather than every other week, so doctors
cials decided against building an appointment-based and nurses can plan in advance, and distribute and
system, so senior residents instead had to spend more use the vaccines more efficiently.
than seven hours, some overnight, in line, hoping to In Carlton County, Minnesota, health officials plan
snag one of the limited vaccines available. “It’s only to rely on drive-through vaccination clinics to make
now that the states are starting to realize the gravity the process more convenient. After months of plan-
of the situation and the volume required to vaccinate ning, the county’s drive-through clinic opened for
61
H E A LT H
two days in December to vaccinate first responders; as next month. The crucial challenge will be ensuring
the health team plans to reopen it soon, along with a that as supply ramps up, so too does the machinery
number of other drive-through locations, to accom- of vaccination. While each state has its own chal-
modate all of the county’s residents when it’s their lenges and considerations to make, the federal gov-
turn to get the shots. “The drive-through model al- ernment can even the playing field by ensuring each
lows us to potentially vaccinate thousands of people one has the resources and information required to
in a day,” says Ali Mueller, emergency-preparedness implement a system that works at the local level. To
coordinator for the county. Other states have taken actually turn vaccines into vaccinations, states also
similar approaches, such as converting professional need support and transparency from the federal gov-
sports stadiums into mass-vaccination sites, some of ernment; enough money to furnish a robust network
which operate 24/7. of well-staffed public vaccination centers; and coher-
Carlton County also worked with Redlands, ent public-information campaigns, both for building
Calif.–based Esri, a geographical information sys- trust in COVID-19 vaccines and for conveying who is
tems software company, to set up a tracking tool that eligible to get vaccinated, when and where.
offers real-time information on the ebb and flow of Biden plans to address those weaknesses and
people through the county’s drive-through clinic. In change the current pace of the U.S. vaccination pro-
theory, that will help Carlton’s health team anticipate gram. “The vaccine rollout in the United States has
what times of day demand will likely be highest at been a dismal failure, thus far,” he said in a Jan. 15
their next clinics, so they know ahead of time how speech. He’s already asked Slaoui to submit a letter
many vaccines they will need and thus don’t waste of resignation from leading OWS scientific develop-
any doses. Many other states and counties are work- ment. Internally, officials with OWS expect further
ing with similar companies to build software to man- personnel changes in the weeks to come, although—
age the higher demand and to answer people’s ques- for the time being—the Biden team plans to keep
tions about where and when they can get vaccinated. Perna in his current role.
Without solutions to such challenges, the national Meanwhile, Biden’s proposed plan does indeed
vaccination effort will only grow more difficult in give the federal government a more central role in
the coming weeks. After all, health care workers and ending the pandemic, which includes establishing
long-term-care residents are both fixed populations more federally funded and operated vaccination
that are relatively easy to locate; when vaccines are sites. “On my first day in office,” he said, “I’ll in-
opened up to everyone in the country, things could struct the Federal Emergency Management Agency,
rapidly deteriorate into an even more chaotic state FEMA, to begin setting up the first of these centers,”
than they are in today. he said in that speech. He set a goal of standing up
100 such sites by the end of his first month in office.
It’s dIffIcult to say whether this is a uniquely To get this done, Biden has proposed a coronavirus-
American problem. Some countries, such as Israel relief package that calls for at least $20 billion for
and the United Arab Emirates, have outpaced the U.S. vaccine distribution and additional funds to support
in vaccinating more people out of every 100—about the hiring of 100,000 public-health workers. If ap-
32 and 20, respectively, compared with less than five proved by Congress, that could significantly relieve
in the U.S. In Israel, that success can be traced to a the burden on cash-strapped states with exhausted
combination of centralized vaccination programs and health care workforces. Biden has also promised “a
saturated messaging campaigns to educate people massive public-education campaign” to address an-
about the public-health benefits of vaccines and en- other major roadblock in the quick administration of
courage them to get immunized. In contrast, rollouts vaccines: rebuilding trust among people who have
in European countries have been slower, partly be- been hardest hit by the pandemic, in racial and eth-
cause the E.U.’s regulatory agency lagged behind both nic minority groups including Black, Latinx and
the U.S. and the U.K. in authorizing the first shots. Indigenous Americans.
What we do know is that vaccinating the general As the rollout continues, more vaccines are admin-
public in the U.S. will take more of everything that istered each week, and many states are falling into
has been in short supply during the first phases of a rhythm of knowing how many vaccines to expect
rollout: vaccines themselves, storage for those doses, on a regular basis. But each day the demand far ex-
facilities that can accommodate mass vaccine clinics, ceeds the supply of shots is a day the virus can gain
staff or volunteers to run them, and communication the upper hand by infecting more people, sending
with people who will ultimately receive the shots. them to the hospital or contributing to their deaths.
More doses are on the way. Not only are Pfizer- Vaccines can lead us to the end of the pandemic, but
BioNTech and Moderna perfecting their manufac- only if we find a way to move them more efficiently
turing and distribution systems, but other vaccine from the government’s hands and into the arms of
candidates are moving closer to emergency-use au- Americans. —With reporting by AlejAndro de lA
thorization, perhaps getting the green light as early GArzA, Simmone ShAh and leSlie dickSTein •
62 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
HELP
The fridge needs help. Because much of the energy we need to power it produces
waste, pollutes the atmosphere and changes the climate. We can transition the way
we produce and use energy in a way that will contribute to a sustainable future.
We’re campaigning in countries all around the world to provide the solutions for
governments, for companies and for all members of society to make the right choices
about energy conservation and use. And you, as an individual, can help just by the
choices you make. Help us look after the world where you live at panda.org
Spitsbergen, Norway.
© Wild Wonders of Europe / Ole Joergen Liodden / WWF
Big-hearted advice for anxious times
T wo decades ago,
people around the
world rang in the new
racial and ethnic minorities
have demanded justice after
centuries of structural dis-
cover environmental, social
and economic progress,
are nonbinding but have
these problems require
holistic solutions has only
grown amid the pandemic
millennium with a growing crimination. Woven through become key benchmarks and its fallout. President Joe
sense of optimism. The threat it all, the earth’s climate is for commitments at a Biden has referred to four
posed by the Cold War was increasingly unstable, pos- national and corporate urgent crises—the pandemic,
fading slowly in the rearview ing an existential threat to level. Countries from China the economic crisis, racial
mirror. Leading thinkers like human society as we know it. to the Maldives, as well as injustice and climate
Francis Fukuyama touted In the next decade, societies companies like Amazon, change—and promised
the benefits of globalization, will be forced to either con- Microsoft and PwC, have a push to tackle them all
saying it would bring front this snarl of challenges, committed to rolling out together. The European
democracy and prosperity or be overwhelmed by them. policies over the next decade Union’s program to propel
to the developing world. The Our response will define the that will set them on a path the bloc out of the COVID-19
nascent Internet economy future for decades to come. to eliminate their carbon crisis targets climate change,
promised to bring us closer The recognition that these footprints. while incorporating equity
together. challenges are fundamentally The understanding that concerns. As stock markets
The following 20 years linked isn’t new. Activists soared last year, institutions
took some of the air out of and academics have for many with trillions of dollars in
the assumption of steady years pointed to the cascad- assets demanded that their
progress, but when fu- ing effects of various social investments deliver not
ture historians assess the ills. Whether it’s the way only a good return for their
21st century, the year 2020 is racism contributes to poor wallets but also a good return
likely to serve as the point at health outcomes or gender New ways of for society.
which the optimism bubble discrimination harms eco- thinking will All these developments
burst. The COVID-19 pan- nomic growth, the examples and many more have
demic has exposed a complex are seemingly endless. But
come from created new opportunities
web of interlocking problems this understanding has made government for bold ideas. These new
G E T T Y I M A G E S ( 7 ); R A O : S H A R I F H A M Z A F O R T I M E
that have morphed into full- its way into the conversation leaders, activists, ways of thinking will come
blown crises. The corona- about solutions too. from government leaders,
virus laid bare the dangers Notably, for the past five entrepreneurs to be sure, but also from
of endemic poverty not only years, the U.N. has touted and academics activists, entrepreneurs and
in the developing world but 17 interrelated sustainable academics. Here, our eight
also in rich countries like development goals, inaugural members of the
the U.S., where millions lack objectives for building a 2030 committee offer their
health care and are one pay- more viable world, and called own specific solutions—and
check away from living on for a push to achieve them in them, perhaps, the seeds
the street. Around the world, by 2030. The goals, which of 21st century optimism.
66 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
Tackle the climate crisis before we run out of time
BY ANGELINA JOLIE
FOR YEARS WE WERE WARNED THAT A GLOBAL energy, and help countries and communities on
pandemic was inevitable, yet our response has the front lines to adapt and prepare for what is to
shown a gigantic failure of imagination, prepara- come. And we must find ways to resolve conflicts
tion and global cooperation. The parallels with and bring down refugee numbers globally. Speed
the climate emergency are obvious. We are on and scale are of the essence—we are counting
track for a catastrophe that dwarfs the COVID-19 on political leadership at all levels. People often
crisis. The latest data shows heating on its way to ask, how many people could be displaced by the
3°C above preindustrial levels by the end of this climate emergency? The answer depends on us.
century—well beyond the 1.5°C to 2°C ceiling the
world’s governments have agreed to work toward. Jolie is an actor and activist
There is still time to get this critical situation
under control, but none to lose. The climate crisis
is already playing out not just in extreme weather
and degradation of the natural environment but
also in food insecurity and the displacement of
millions. Climate-change impacts are already a
common thread of destruction and violence from
the Sahel and South Sudan to Central America.
We’ve always relied on peace to enable refugees
and the internally displaced to return home, but
when people are forced from their homeland by
climate change as well as conflict, some may have
nowhere viable to return to.
In the words of climate activist Hindou Ouma-
rou Ibrahim, “There is no vaccine against climate
change.” We know what needs to be done: keep
fossil fuels in the ground, switch to renewable
67
Invest in green stoves that will help feed the world Make every
BY JOSÉ ANDRÉS vehicle electric
Today, nearly half the can run off into the ocean, by 2030
world’s population still damaging coral reefs and BY LYNN GOOD
depends on open fires marine ecosystems. It is
and solid fuels to cook a negative feedback loop Countries, companies
their meals. Millions of with huge consequences, and communities are
people—mostly women, and it costs the global talking about the need to
who do the cooking, and economy trillions of dollars significantly reduce carbon
their children—die every annually. emissions by 2030. But
year because of the smoke The solution to this simply eliminating carbon
and pollution from these global crisis is simple but from the nation’s power
fires. Their children, usu- amazing: clean cooking. forests, soils and reefs supply is not enough. The
ally daughters, may spend If we are able to introduce can be restored; and the transportation sector is
hours each day gathering cleaner, modern cooking climate can start to heal. now the largest source
wood, keeping them out of energy, and cookstoves for Clean cooking is truly the of carbon emissions in
school and putting them families and communities best investment we can the U.S. The solution:
into dangerous situations around the world, we can make for a healthier human- electrifying vehicles. It
as they go out alone and reverse this negative cycle ity and a healthier planet. benefits the utility, the
unprotected. Cutting trees with a positive one: moth- customer, the environment
for fuel leads to deforesta- ers can cook safely for their Andrés is a chef and the and the economy. It’s a win-
tion, causing landslides and families; more daughters founder of World Central win for all.
erosion of fertile land that can earn an education; Kitchen If we ensured 100%
of vehicles sold by 2030
were electric, we’d create
hundreds of thousands of
new jobs, secure American
global EV manufacturing
Internet. Schoolchildren across the leadership, improve public
country who are supposed to be learning health and significantly
remotely cannot do so because they reduce pollution.
have no equipment or ability to connect. The next decade will be
Opportunity is going to be foreclosed to critical in implementing
millions of low-income people because federal policies that
they can’t afford to gain access to the accelerate this transition.
digital highway through Internet service Reducing carbon in
power generation and
providers.
transportation fleets is the
We need a bold and ambitious plan
only way we can meet this
to ensure that every person in America challenge.
is able to get online—and I believe that
begins with making access to the Internet Good is CEO of Duke Energy
a fundamental human right. Investment
and innovation in fiber-optic and 5G
infrastructure opens up the potential for
extraordinary connectivity but also for
leaving poor and working-class families
even further behind.
Enshrine Internet access The government should work with
as a human right ISPs so they are fairly compensated,
BY DARREN WALKER while also regulating them in a way
that ensures affordable access for all.
IN THE AGE WE LIVE IN, THE DIGITAL But that requires making that access a
highway is where opportunity lies. right and not a privilege, ensuring that
But the COVID-19 crisis has exposed this country’s legacy for being a place
the fact that millions of Americans are of economic and social mobility can
being denied access to that highway continue into the future.
because of the often exorbitant
subscription rates of broadband Walker is president of the Ford Foundation
68 TIME February 1/February 8, 2021
Use the Internet to level the educational playing field
BY GITANJALI RAO
IN THE COMING DECADE, WE NEED TO virtual learning, augmented reality and
alleviate problems regarding the avail- holograms. And using these collabora-
ability of educational resources around tion tools, students of all ages can have a
the world, especially in economically collective learning experience across na-
Say no thanks disadvantaged countries. About 258 mil- tions and boundaries.
to fast fashion lion children and youth worldwide do not
have access to education, putting them in Rao is TIME’s 2020 Kid of the Year
BY CHRISTIAN SIRIANO real danger and limiting their opportuni-
ties for the rest of their lives.
Consumption is a big
To tackle this issue, we must invest in
challenge for us as
humans—we need, we want,
opening up the ways in which we con-
we like a lot of things. The nect with students and schools. Many of
fashion retail world today, the common problems in mass education
where a knockoff designer today—such as lack of infrastructure, in-
bag is available for $20, only ability to physically go to a school and
fuels this unsustainable shortage of teachers—can all be elimi-
consumerism. What’s nated through remote teaching, right in
special anymore? Do we a student’s home with the option to learn
really need to own 10,000 anytime. We are already being forced to
bags? The vast majority innovate in this area because of COVID-
of these products end 19, but the pandemic has also highlighted
up in landfills, and over how many families lack the resources to
60% of fabric fibers are participate in online education. With the
synthetics derived from leaps we’ve made in wireless network
fossil fuels, so they don’t bandwidths and 5G, it is possible to pro-
decay. vide accessible quality education and
That’s why we recently learning to anybody, anywhere, through
stopped our wholesale
business and moved to
smaller collections. I don’t
want my clothes to be
considered unaffordable,
but I do want people to Solve the global housing crisis by printing 3-D homes
think about why they cost
more. It’s because a couture BY FRED SWANIKER
seamstress spent 15 hours
Africa is urbanizing rapidly. in Accra, Ghana, because One way to solve this
sewing them. Perhaps,
According to the Organisa- they did not have access challenge is the 3-D print-
if more people valued
tion for Economic Co-oper- to mortgage finance. They ing of homes. In Mexico,
the craft that goes into
ation and Development, its had to build it slowly, brick innovative startups have
fashion, they’d realize the
cities will be home to an by brick, from their savings already made it possible to
value of investing in one
extra 950 million people each year. It’s not just an build a two-bedroom home
beautifully made item rather
over the next 30 years, African problem; by 2030, in 24 hours for less than
than in 10 other pieces. If
creating challenges with 3 billion people, or 40% of $4,000, making it acces-
human beings are going to
sanitation, security, traf- the world’s population, will sible for families earning
consume, let’s make sure
fic, governance and the need affordable housing. less than $3 a day.
we do so thoughtfully.
environment. I like to say that con-
One of the most critical straints drive innovation.
Siriano is a fashion designer
challenges will be housing. Rapid urbanization pre-
Today, it can cost up to sents a massive constraint.
$30,000 to build a decent Let’s leapfrog it and provide
home for a small family in clean, safe and affordable
an African city and typi- housing to billions of people
cally takes several years. by 2030.
I know this firsthand, as
it took my parents about Swaniker is founder of the
20 years to build their home African Leadership Academy
69
GREEN JOBS
The city launched a $94 million
package in October to create
3,800 more jobs in sectors that
will help the city transition away
from fossil fuels in the coming
years, such as renovating and
insulating buildings and installing
solar panels on roofs
DOUG
CITY
SOCIAL SPACE
Residents of the western
Frans Halsbuurt neighborhood
spontaneously began using
parking lots to hold dinners
with their neighbors over the
summer, and convinced the
municipality to convert parking
spaces into community gardens
Illustration
72 Timeby Chris XX,
Month Dent for TIME
2021
SUSTAINABLE FASHION
In October, the city government,
textile suppliers, jeans brands and
others in the denim supply chain
signed a deal to run denim recycling
collections, set up a joint repair
shop and produce 3 billion garments
made of 20% recycled materials
GHNUT
Amsterdam tries to live by a
radical new economic theory
BY CIARA NUGENT
EDUCATION
During the pandemic, members of the
citizens’ group Amsterdam Doughnut
Coalition coordinated with elementary
schools that had to go down to four days
of teaching a week to replace the fifth day
with a “doughnut day”—lessons focusing
on social and sustainability issues
73
O
ne evening in December, afTer a long recover from the crisis, and avoid future ones, by
day working from home, Jennifer Drouin, 30, embracing the theory of “doughnut economics.”
headed out to buy groceries in central Am- Laid out by British economist Kate Raworth in a
sterdam. Once inside, she noticed new price tags. 2017 book, the theory argues that 20th century
The label by the zucchini said they cost a little more economic thinking is not equipped to deal with the
than normal: 6¢ extra per kilo for their carbon foot- 21st century reality of a planet teetering on the edge
print, 5¢ for the toll the farming takes on the land, of climate breakdown. Instead of equating a grow-
and 4¢ to fairly pay workers. “There are all these ing GDP with a successful society, our goal should
extra costs to our daily life that normally no one be to fit all of human life into what Raworth calls
would pay for, or even be aware of,” she says. the “sweet spot” between the “social foundation,”
The so-called true-price initiative, operating in where everyone has what they need to live a good
the store since late 2020, is one of dozens of schemes life, and the “environmental ceiling.” By and large,
that Amsterdammers have introduced in recent people in rich countries are living above the environ-
months as they reassess the impact of the existing mental ceiling. Those in poorer countries often fall
economic system. By some accounts, that system, below the social foundation. The space in between:
capitalism, has its origins just a mile from the gro- that’s the doughnut.
cery store. In 1602, in a house on a narrow alley, a Amsterdam’s ambition is to bring all 872,000
Marieke merchant began selling shares in the nascent Dutch residents inside the doughnut, ensuring everyone
van Doorninck, East India Company. In doing so, he paved the way has access to a good quality of life, but without put-
deputy mayor for for the creation of the first stock exchange—and the ting more pressure on the planet than is sustainable.
sustainability, is
trying to make capitalist global economy that has transformed life Guided by Raworth’s organization, the Doughnut
Amsterdam a on earth. “Now I think we’re one of the first cities Economics Action Lab (DEAL), the city is intro-
“doughnut city” in a while to start questioning this system,” Drouin ducing massive infrastructure projects, employment
says. “Is it actually making us healthy and happy? schemes and new policies for government contracts
What do we want? Is it really just economic growth?” to that end. Meanwhile, some 400 local people and
In April 2020, during the first wave of COVID-19, organizations have set up a network called the Am-
Amsterdam’s city government announced it would sterdam Doughnut Coalition—managed by Drouin—
to run their own programs at a grassroots level.
It’s the first time a major city has attempted to
put doughnut theory into action on a local level, but
Amsterdam is not alone. Raworth says DEAL has re-
ceived an avalanche of requests from municipal lead-
ers and others seeking to build more resilient soci-
eties in the aftermath of COVID-19. Copenhagen’s
city council majority decided to follow Amsterdam’s
example in June, as did the Brussels region and the
small city of Dunedin, New Zealand, in September,
and Nanaimo, British Columbia, in December. In the
U.S., Portland, Ore., is preparing to roll out its own
version of the doughnut, and Austin may be close be-
hind. The theory has won Raworth some high-profile
fans; in November, Pope Francis endorsed her “fresh
thinking,” while celebrated British naturalist Sir David
Attenborough dedicated a chapter to the doughnut in
his latest book, A Life on Our Planet, calling it “our spe-
cies’ compass for the journey” to a sustainable future.
Now, Amsterdam is grappling with what the
doughnut would look like on the ground. Marieke
van Doorninck, the deputy mayor for sustainabil-
ity and urban planning, says the pandemic added
urgency that helped the city get behind a bold new
strategy. “Kate had already told us what to do. COVID
showed us the way to do it,” she says. “I think in the
darkest times, it’s easiest to imagine another world.”
Oz
the world was reeling from the 2008 financial crash, d j
an
n
e hu T
Raworth struck upon an alternative to the econom- af L F O U N D ma HOO
ics she had been taught. She had gone to work in s C
I A A T I
OVER
S
O
ni
e
O Water Food N
Th
the charity sector and in 2010, sitting in the open- S
ty
plan office of the antipoverty nonprofit Oxfam in Ox- Energy Health
ford, she came across a diagram. A group of scien-
C
pollution
polluti
hemical
AL
TF
Air
on
Education
ies” that would threaten humans’ ability to survive
if crossed, like the acidification of the oceans. Inside Housing Income/
work
these boundaries, a circle colored in green showed
the safe place for humans. Gender Peace/
equality justice
g
But if there’s an ecological overshoot for the
a di n
Social Political
s lo d
B io l o s s
or u an
equity voice
Y
RE
div
p h ge n
M
falls creating deprivation for humanity. “Kids not in EN O
G
N
er s
ER O
o s it r o
school, not getting decent health care, people facing AT E C
it
IV IVE
N
y
ph
within their circle, and it looked like a doughnut.”
Raworth published her theory of the doughnut as
r
a paper in 2012 and later as a 2017 book, which has co n Lan d h wate s
v er s Fres rawal
since been translated into 20 languages. The theory io n w it h d
doesn’t lay out specific policies or goals for countries.
It requires stakeholders to decide what benchmarks
would bring them inside the doughnut—emission nature means it will fail to tackle ideology and po-
limits, for example, or an end to homelessness. The litical structures that prevent climate action.
process of setting those benchmarks is the first step Cities offer a good opportunity to prove that
to becoming a doughnut economy, she says. the doughnut can actually work in practice. In
Raworth argues that the goal of getting “into the 2019, C40, a network of 97 cities focused on cli-
doughnut” should replace governments’ and econo- mate action, asked Raworth to create reports on
mists’ pursuit of never-ending GDP growth. Not only three of its members—Amsterdam, Philadelphia
is the primacy of GDP overinflated when we now and Portland—showing how far they were from liv-
VA N D O O R N I N C K : J U D I T H J O C K E L— G U A R D I A N / E Y E V I N E / R E D U X
have many other data sets to measure economic and ing inside the doughnut. Inspired by the process,
social well-being, she says, but also, endless growth Amsterdam decided to run with it. The city drew
powered by natural resources and fossil fuels will in- up a “circular strategy” combining the doughnut’s
evitably push the earth beyond its limits. “When we goals with the principles of a “circular economy,”
think in terms of health, and we think of something which reduces, reuses and recycles materials across
that tries to grow endlessly within our bodies, we consumer goods, building materials and food. Poli-
recognize that immediately: that would be a cancer.” cies aim to protect the environment and natural
The doughnut can seem abstract, and it has at- resources, reduce social exclusion and guarantee
tracted criticism. Some conservatives say the good living standards for all. Van Doorninck, the
doughnut model can’t compete with capitalism’s deputy mayor, says the doughnut was a revelation.
proven ability to lift millions out of poverty. Some “I was brought up in Thatcher times, in Reagan
critics on the left say the doughnut’s apolitical times, with the idea that there’s no alternative
73
to our economic model,” she says. “Reading the
doughnut was like, Eureka! There is an alterna
tive! Economics is a social science, not a natural
one. It’s invented by people, and it can be changed
by people.”
all economic growth or development. In her book, the “city portrait” that is guiding Amsterdam’s em-
Raworth acknowledges that for low- and middle- brace of the doughnut, making it available for any
income countries to climb above the doughnut’s local government to use. “This is the crisis,” she says.
social foundation, “significant GDP growth is very “We’ve made sure our ideas are lying around.” □
75
BUILDING
A BETTER
INTERNET
For democracy to flourish, Big Tech
must change how it does business
BY BILLY PERRIGO
Silicon Valley lobbyists in Washington are frantically technology and the economic massive concentrations of data to
dominance of surveillance manipulate our commercial and
working to pre-empt any restrictive legislation that
capitalism are now inseparable. political behavior, data becomes
might affect their burgeoning wallets. (Facebook and
Looking ahead to the year 2030, I a critical resource for people and
Amazon each spent more money on federal lobbying society. We use it to enhance our
put my bet on democracy because
in the first three quarters of 2020 than in the same it’s the best idea humanity has cities, towns and neighborhoods:
period in any previous year, according to the nonpar- ever had, despite all of its obvious to make sure everybody’s got
tisan Center for Responsive Politics.) “It’s really going imperfections. When I wake up food, everybody’s got a doctor
to matter who specifically the Biden Administration every morning, I’m thinking about and a teacher. We cure diseases
listens to,” Donovan says. “If you get the platform what I can do to contribute to this and work on the climate crisis.
companies’ conceptualization of the problem, it’s in- so that our societies mobilize We clear the space for new kinds
dividual pieces of content. If you get the researchers’ to double down on democracy. of businesses that actually care
approach to the problem, it’s the design of the service.” This begins with saying out loud about people and want to solve
Fixes to these problems won’t happen overnight. that the current state of our problems. There’s no tweaking
Phillips, the Syracuse professor, offers a metaphor affairs is intolerable. As any of this to get us where
of the platforms as factories leaking toxic waste citizens, we begin by we need to go. We need
into our democracies. As well as plugging the leak, joining together in a fundamental reset
and regulating the factories, and maybe looking for our communities, toward a democratic
a cleaner form of energy altogether, the process of digital future.
detoxifying more than a decade’s worth of pollu-
tion will take time. Still, if democracy reasserts it-
self over the tech giants in the years to come, the
year 2030 will be a brighter one for our humanity
and our democracies.
79
A customer tucks
into a meat-free
banquet at Green
Common café in
Shanghai on Jan. 13
Photographs
by Xiaopeng Yuan
for TIME
THE VEGAN
DYNASTY
How China could change the world
by taking meat off the menu
BY CHARLIE CAMPBELL/SHANGHAI
I
T’s lUnchTime in shanghai’s leafy for-
mer French Concession, and every table is
crammed at David Yeung’s new café and gro-
cery, Green Common. Office workers and shoppers
huddled against the January chill are wolfing down
plates of katsu curry, noodles and spicy dumplings.
For Yeung, the popularity of his first outlet on
the Chinese mainland is a source of considerable
pride, given that its doors opened barely two weeks
earlier. But he’s more pleased by its other distinc-
tion: no animal products grace the menu at all. In-
stead, plant-based alternative proteins, sourced from
China, Korea and the U.S., are used in these tradi-
tionally meat-based dishes. “The idea is to showcase
some of the best products from around the world so
that people can enjoy a mind-blowing vegan meal,”
says Yeung, who is also the founder of the Hong Kong
plant-based-protein firm OmniFoods.
The buzz around Green Common is another sign
that China is on the cusp of a plant-based-protein
revolution that has investors as well as diners lick-
ing their lips. China came by its love of meat only
recently; in the 1960s, the average Chinese person
consumed less than 5 kg of meat annually. But as in-
comes soared following Deng Xiaoping’s market-
driven “reform and opening” of the late 1970s, con-
sumption rose to 20 kg per capita by the late 1980s
and has now reached 63 kg. Today, China consumes
28% of the world’s meat, including half of all pork.
But as in rapidly modernizing societies every-
where, today’s Chinese are embracing healthier
lifestyles, not least following health crises like the
coronavirus pandemic and African swine fever AI unveiled in 2016 helped spawn top tech firms in-
(ASF), which wiped out half of China’s hog herd cluding TikTok parent ByteDance, the world’s most
between 2018 and 2019. China’s market for plant- valuable unicorn, worth some $100 billion.
based meat substitutes was estimated at $910 mil- Could the state do the same for meatless meat?
lion in 2018—compared with $684 million in the Just as international food conglomerates like Nestlé,
U.S.—and is projected to grow 20% to 25% annually. Unilever and Cargill are plowing millions into plant-
KFC has begun selling plant-based chicken nuggets. based protein, Chinese competitors are jostling for
Yeung’s pork substitute OmniPork is now on the market share in anticipation of huge state contracts
menu across China at thousands of Taco Bell and and government perks like tax breaks and free fac-
Starbucks branches, where it is used to make every- tory space. David Ettinger, a partner at Keller and
thing from tacos to salads. Competitor Z-Rou—rou Heckman LLP’s Shanghai office, says now is “the
is Mandarin for meat—is offered by supermarkets, most exciting time” of his two decades specializing
restaurants and two dozen school canteens. in food law: “Rather than managing things, I think
The implications could be transformative not just China will let the industry lead.”
for China but also for the world. More than any other The largest impact may be not on the economy
nation, China has the ability to leverage economies but on the environment. China has already pledged
of scale. It has done so many times before: some of to see carbon emissions peak by 2030 and make
China’s richest entrepreneurs positioned themselves the world’s worst polluter carbon-neutral by 2060.
at the vanguard of breakthrough technology slated As livestock farming produces 20% to 50% of all
to receive huge state backing, such as solar panels, man-made greenhouse gases, finding alternative pro-
mobile payments and electric vehicles. Li Hejun, tein sources is crucial to meeting these targets. Halv-
dubbed the nation’s solar-panel king, rose to become ing China’s animal-agriculture sector could result in a
China’s richest man in 2015 with a fortune worth 1 billion metric-ton reduction of CO₂ emissions. Cru-
$30 billion by riding a wave of renewable-energy cially, state action could have real consequences—
subsidies that also caused prices to plummet and China’s authoritarian system enables it to dictate
spurred widespread their adoption. State backing for commercial priorities and consumer behavior across
82 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
consumers alike. “After the last few years, it’s no se-
cret that meat production is infinitely risky,” he says.
“Disease and extreme climate issues are sadly not
going to change unless we make a change first.”
July 2017—become
Advanced biofuels for jets, to the extent they’re avail- ventional stuff? I mean “we” in the global sense. It’s cheaper sources
able, cost on average $5.35 per gallon. The Green Pre- not just a matter of what Americans and Europeans of energy than
mium for zero-carbon fuel, then, is the difference can afford. We need the premiums to be so low that fossil fuels
87
everyone will be able to decarbonize. That’s the so- make the biggest impact on emissions? The Green
lution to the dilemma of providing affordable en- Premiums provide the answer by measuring the cost
ergy for everyone without causing a climate disaster. of getting to zero, sector by sector, and highlighting
Green Premiums help us answer questions like these: where we need to innovate.
Which zero-carbon options should we be deploy- Leaders around the world will need to articulate a
ing now? Answer: the ones with a low Green Pre- vision for how we can lower the Green Premiums and
mium, or no premium at all. In the U.S., electricity make the transition to zero carbon. That vision can,
is a good example. The Green Premium is the addi- in turn, guide the actions of people and businesses.
tional cost of getting all our power from non-emitting Government officials can write rules regarding how
sources, including wind, solar, nuclear power, and much carbon that power plants, cars and factories
coal- and natural-gas-fired plants equipped with de- are allowed to emit. They can adopt regulations that
vices that capture the carbon they produce. Chang- shape financial markets and clarify the risks of cli-
ing the entire U.S. electricity system to zero-carbon mate change to the private and public sectors. They
sources would cost roughly 15% more than what can invest more in scientific research and write the
most people pay now. That adds up to a relatively rules that determine how quickly new products can
low Green Premium of $18 a month for the average get to market. And they can help fix some problems
home, and it’s due largely to substantial drops in the that the market isn’t set up to deal with—including
cost of solar infrastructure over the past decade. Eu- the hidden costs that carbon-emitting products im-
rope is similarly well situated. pose on the environment and on humans.
These low Green Premiums mean that renewable In the U.S., states can play a crucial role in
energy sources like solar and wind can play a sub- demonstrating innovative technologies and
stantial role in getting the U.S. and Europe to zero. policies, such as using their utilities and road-
In fact, we need them to. We should be deploying Although the construction projects to drive technologies like
renewables quickly wherever it’s economical to do world needs to long-duration storage and low-emissions cement
so, and building the infrastructure to let us make the provide more into the market. And cities can do things like can
most of them—things like power lines capable of car- buy electric buses, fund more charging stations
rying clean electrons from wherever they’re created energy so the for electric vehicles, use zoning laws to increase
to wherever they’re needed. poorest can density so people travel less between work and
Unfortunately, few countries are as lucky as the home, and potentially restrict access to their roads
U.S. in this regard. They might have some sun but no
thrive, we need by fossil-fuel-powered vehicles.
wind, or some wind but little year-round sun, or not to provide that But you don’t have to be a politician or a policy-
much of either. And they might have low credit rat- energy without maker to have an impact. If you’re a voter, you can
ings that make it hard to finance big investments in hold your elected officials accountable for having
new power plants. So, they’ll have to get their elec- releasing any plans to reduce Green Premiums and put us on a path
tricity from other zero-carbon options. more to zero. As a consumer—or someone running a busi-
Here’s another question the Green Premiums can ness—you can also send a signal to the market that
greenhouse
answer: Where do we need to focus our research and people want zero-carbon alternatives and are will-
development spending, our early investors and our gases ing to pay for them. When you pay more for an elec-
best inventors? Answer: wherever we decide Green tric car, a heat pump or a plant-based burger, you’re
Premiums are too high. For example, advanced bio- saying, “There’s a market for this stuff. We’ll buy it.”
fuels cost 600% more than the bunker fuel that cargo With the threat of climate change upon us, it can
ships run on. No shipping business is going to volun- be hard to be hopeful about the future. But as my
tarily raise its fuel costs by that much. friend Hans Rosling, the late global health advocate
In cases like this, there’s an opening for new tech- and educator, wrote in his amazing book Factfulness:
nologies, companies and products that make it af- “When we have a fact-based worldview, we can see
fordable. Countries that excel at research and devel- that the world is not as bad as it seems—and we can
opment can create new products, make them more see what we have to do to keep making it better.”
affordable and export them to the places that can’t When we have a fact-based view of climate change,
pay current premiums. Then no one will have to we can see that we have some of the things we need
argue about whether every nation is doing its fair to avoid a climate disaster, but not all of them. We
share to avoid a climate disaster; instead, countries can see what stands in the way of deploying the so-
and companies will race to create and market the af- lutions we have and developing the breakthroughs
fordable innovations that help the world get to zero. we need. And we can see all the work we must do to
There’s one last benefit to the Green Premium overcome those hurdles.
concept: it can act as a measurement system that
shows us the progress we’re making toward stopping Gates is a philanthropist and the co-founder of
climate change. What would it cost to use the zero- Microsoft. This essay is adapted from How to Avoid
carbon tools we have now? Which innovations will a Climate Disaster, to be published Feb. 16
88 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
HUNKER DOWN
As we look ahead
to a long, socially
distanced winter,
here’s how we’ll keep
our collective sanity
INSIDE
MOVIES
NOT GUILTY. BR I DG ER TO N
JUST PLEASURES
By Stephanie Zacharek
T H E M AN CH U R IAN
CA N DIDAT E
B UF F Y T H E
VAM PIR E S L AYER
I
T’s official: our brains are fried. We TipToed TH E PR I N CES S
S W I TCH
tentatively out of 2020 and into 2021, with fragile seed-
ling hopes that the new year would bring some light,
only to be plunged almost immediately into political
chaos and violence. Plus, the pandemic continues to rage,
keeping many of us indoors much more than usual. And it’s
winter, which can be an emotionally challenging time even
under the best of circumstances. Will we ever see sunlight—
even just the figurative kind—again?
We can’t solve the world’s problems overnight, but we
won’t be equipped to solve any problems unless we take
care of ourselves during what could prove to be a rough
winter. That’s why it’s time, when it comes to our viewing
choices, to dispense with the notion of the guilty pleasure.
There’s little enough pleasure to be had in the world.
What’s to be gained by punishing ourselves for enjoying
movies or television shows that we know—or believe—
aren’t “good,” as determined by some imaginary critical
standard? It’s time to have some faith in ourselves and to
give ourselves permission to watch without guilt.
That could mean devouring new or recent series (like
The Queen’s Gambit or Bridgerton) even when you know
you ought to be doing something else, or revisiting slightly
older favorites (Fleabag or Russian Doll) in one marathon
sitting. It could mean teeing up one season after another
of Buffy the Vampire Slayer or Deadwood or Breaking Bad.
Charles Dickens and those who read his books as fast as he
could write them knew the joy of losing themselves in an
episodic story. When we’re stuck, dramatic momentum is
our friend, an energy source to plug into when we’re not
sure we can bear to move forward.
T HE S P ECIA LI S T
Nor does comfort viewiNg have to take the most
obvious forms. Depending on your temperament, you may S T EP BROTH ER S
prefer to indulge in political dramas that reflect reality
by exaggerating it, pictures like The Parallax View or The
Manchurian Candidate. (I prefer John Frankenheimer’s
1962 version, with Laurence Harvey and Frank Sinatra,
but Jonathan Demme’s 2004 retelling also gets the job are the ultimate in comfort-food
done.) Action movies too can open the cathartic floodgates: viewing. Some romantic comedies
you can always go for the gold, with vintage John Woo are more ridiculous than others, but
masterpieces like Hard Boiled—but never underestimate the even the silliest ones serve a purpose.
brainless joy induced by blunt Sylvester Stallone vehicles The two Princess Switch movies,
like The Specialist. And even when it hurts to laugh, the favorites among Netflix viewers,
dumb comedy turns out to be not so dumb. When the going In a dreary involve Vanessa Hudgens’ playing at
gets tough, the tough watch Step Brothers. season, least two different characters, one a
And for many, the romantic comedy—from classics of seek cozy bakery owner from Chicago with an
the ’30s and early ’40s, like It Happened One Night and The comforts adorable platonic friend who doesn’t
Lady Eve, to the favorites of the ’90s, like You’ve Got Mail— interest her romantically, the other a
90 Time February 1/February 8, 2021
soon-to-be princess who’s engaged to
a man she doesn’t love. The women
BEST FAMILY MOVIES
switch identities, and although chaos
ensues, so does romance: each falls in
YOU MAY HAVE MISSED
If your family has run through the Paddington and How
I T HAP PENE D love with the guy who’s right for her. to Train Your Dragon movies, here are some fresh ideas
ONE NI GHT
These movies are made to be watched for films that are great for all ages. —Eliana Dockterman
in pajamas or, better yet, while
submerged in a bubble bath.
But are they really all that NEW RELEASE
mindless? Over a COVID-compliant WOLFWALKERS
lunch with a friend, I found myself This Celtic-inspired fantasy was
regaling him with a highly animated one of the best films of 2020.
summary of the first Princess Switch It centers on two girls—one a
hunter, one who can transform
movie. “Oh,” he said, between bites into a wolf—defending a
of sandwich. “It’s Shakespeare.” mystical forest.
(It’s also a device Mark Twain put
to use in The Prince and the Pauper.) U N D E R R AT E D C L A S S I C
Stories of swapped identities, of
MY NEIGHBOR TOTORO
one character’s being mistaken for Master filmmaker Hayao
another and causing mischief, or Miyazaki possesses a peerless
falling in love, are nothing new, and talent for capturing the freedom
they were invented by people with and innocence of youth. In this
good instincts for what human beings movie, a magical creature helps
two sisters face life’s hurdles.
like. Our consistencies across eras
unite us.
We turn and return to certain G R E AT A D V E N T U R E
movies or shows because they send HUNT FOR THE
out signals too definitive to miss. If WILDERPEOPLE
Before he made Thor: Ragnarok,
you were to break them down into Taika Waititi directed this offbeat
their barest elements, they’d be a comedy about a boy and his
sort of semaphore that could be read foster father who are targets of a
clearly from a great distance, big manhunt. (Best for older kids.)
squares, circles and triangles that
speak in ways that defy words. A N O S TA L G I C P I C K
comedic pratfall; a hero dispatching THE SECRET OF NIMH
baddies with burly, balletic grace; This at times dark adventure of
a romance that comes together a mother rat seeking help for
against all odds: these are antitoxins her child against the backdrop
our brains need from time to time, of a lab that experiments on
rodents remains as thrilling
especially when real life offers only as ever.
puzzles we can’t readily solve. One
YO U’VE GOT MAIL
of the Princess Switch movies ends
with (spoiler alert!) a wedding, a
UPLIFTING MUSICAL
reconciliation and a coronation, all of NEWSIES
which tap out a code that our brains A perennial favorite of theater
receive gratefully, without having kids, this surprise hit musical
about a newsboy strike stars a
to expend too much effort. Love, young and surprisingly earnest
forgiveness, the beauty of a sparkly Christian Bale.
gown: these are oversize signals,
easy to read and comprehend,
W O L F W A L K E R S : A P P L E T V+; E V E R E T T ( 5 )
W
been a quicker binge
HAT DID YOU STREAM, IN than you expected.
the early months of the If you’re looking for a
similar young-adult-
pandemic, to feel normal for pals-figuring-out-their-
an hour? Did you mainline lives-and-loves-in- Missing The Office?
Tiger King, as Nielsen says 34 million a-big-city vibe, click What We Do in the
viewers did in its first 10 days on over to Insecure. Shadows is basically
Issa Rae’s observant Leave it to Canada just that, but with
Netflix? Or did you return to an old to create a show so vampires. Based on
dramedy follows an
favorite—something from NBC’s underachieving L.A. sweet, it made the a film of the same
classic 1990s Must See TV lineup or a nonprofit worker U.S. fall in love with name from Jemaine
prime-time soap that luxuriates in the staring down 30 with family sitcoms again. Clement (Flight of
white noise of rich-people problems? three close girlfriends While Schitt’s Creek the Conchords) and
and a parade of may be irreplaceable, Taika Waititi (Thor:
No matter what show you turned this CBC gem is still Ragnarok), this
imperfect suitors.
to last spring, chances are that nearly (HBO Max) in production. Kim’s hilarious show about
a year later, you could use something Convenience follows undead roomies is
new to soothe your still locked-down If you’ve finished a Korean-born couple shot mockumentary-
soul. Happily, TV has over the past THE WEST WING, who own a corner style. In fact, the
try BORGEN store and lovingly series even pays
year achieved what New York magazine meddle in the lives of homage to The
calls “Peak Comfort.” Netflix has their adult children. Office through one
invested in some diabolically addictive The cultural gulf that of its characters, an
reality shows, and streaming service separates immigrant “energy vampire” who
discovery+ launched in January with parents from their unleashes his dullness
Canadian kids is on unsuspecting office
lifestyle content from Food Network, a recurring theme. workers to zap them of
HGTV and more. Dozing off to House (Netflix) their energy. (Hulu)
Hunters isn’t just for cable subscribers During the Trump
years, many left-of-
anymore. If you’ve finished If you’ve finished
F R I E N D S : G E T T Y I M A G E S; I N S E C U R E (2) : H B O ; B O R G E N : S H U T T E R S T O C K ; K I M ’S C O N V E N I E N C E : C B C ;
MAGA viewers escaped
A beloved scripted series is harder into The West Wing’s BOB’S BURGERS, try CURB YOUR
to replace, but don’t worry: liberal White House CENTRAL PARK ENTHUSIASM,
while Friends may be a finite re- fantasy. The acclaimed try DAVE
source, hangout comedies spring
eternal. Did you know that the minds
behind Bob’s Burgers and The Good
C E N T R A L PA R K : A P P L E T V+; W H AT W E D O I N T H E S H A D O W S , D AV E : F X
If you’ve finished
KILLING EVE,
try THE FLIGHT
ATTENDANT
age Bounty Hunters—in high schoolers: two mess, and you won’t
which twins from a oddball old souls flirt
finished BOJACK be able to tear your
Most comedies earn
rich super-Christian laughs with cynicism. from afar after he finds HORSEMAN, try eyes away from her.
Texas family moonlight her notebook at a HARLEY QUINN (HBO Max)
It’s harder to build
T E D L A S S O, M Y T H I C Q U E S T: A P P L E T V+; T H E G O O D F I G H T: C B S ; H A R L E Y Q U I N N : D C ; T H E F L I G H T AT T E N D A N T: H B O M A X
93
TIMEOFF WINTER SURVIVAL GUIDE
GAMES
REINVENTING
A CLASSIC By Jasmine Aguilera
I
N MID-MARCH, AS THE COVID-19 a lab manager and compliance officer Latinos, it is a cultural tradition. Now
pandemic swept through the U.S., at the Feik School of Pharmacy at the artists like Gonzales are giving it a
Rafael Gonzales Jr. watched the University of the Incarnate Word in new life.
news, and all he could do was call San Antonio, he enjoys doing graphic Their versions of the game are
the virus by a Spanish swear word: design on the side. So he created played the same way Clemente’s
cabrona, the bitch. But the worldwide “La cabRONA,” an illustration of the Lotería is played. Players pick a tabla
C O U R T E S Y M I K E A L F A R O ( 7 ); C O U R T E S Y R A F A E L G O N Z A L E S (3)
crisis also sparked his creativity, giv- virus designed in the style of Don (board) containing 16 images printed
ing birth to an idea that has brought Clemente Jacques’ classic Lotería, on a 4-by-4 grid. An announcer holds
joy to many as the pandemic wears a Mexican game of bingo made up a deck of cards, each containing one
on. “I had a small idea of basically get- of 54 images like “La Sirena” (the of 54 images. One at a time, the an-
ting out the frustration of having to mermaid), “La Rosa” (the rose) and nouncer will draw from the deck and
deal with COVID-19,” he says. “El Gallo” (the rooster). These iconic name the image, or make it more chal-
That small idea was a joke, a play on images are ubiquitous on surfaces lenging by saying a riddle or develop-
words comparing cabrona and corona. from murals to T-shirts throughout ing a story line. If the player sees the
He went on to illustrate the joke in Mexico, Central America and many image drawn from the deck on their
a format recognizable to millions of parts of the U.S. Although Lotería tabla, they can mark it. The first player
Latinos around the world: Lotería. is a board game, its roots go deeper to get four in a row wins Lotería.
Although by day Gonzales works as than Monopoly or Scrabble; for many The game is popular with families,
94 TIME February 1/February 8, 2021
particularly around holiday celebra- it is most common to purchase a “La Feminist.” And Clemente’s “El
tions, in part because people of all Lotería game online or at ferias, flea Mundo” (the world), which depicts
ages can play. It’s also played in public markets or Latino stores, but before a man carrying the world, is now a
spaces like ferias (fairs), where friends Clemente’s version came along, most Black football player carrying the
and strangers gather and place bets. people made a Lotería at home. Cle- weight of the world on his shoulders.
After publishing the “La cabRONA” mente’s version is itself a re-creation The name of the card is “El Protest.”
illustration on Instagram on March 24, of Loterías that can be traced The update has become a
Gonzales decided to continue with back to Italy in the 15th cen- best seller on Amazon, was
the COVID-19 theme and design more tury. More recently, art- featured in the Starz TV se-
Lotería cards. His clever, sometimes ists have made Millennial ‘There’s ries Vida and resulted in a
critical, images were met with hun- Lotería, Women Power space for publishing deal with Blue
dreds of “likes” and comments. By Lotería, Estar Guars Lotería ever ybody Star Press and Penguin
mid-April, Gonzales had produced 31 and Lotería Salvadoreña. to make Books, which now distribute
images that he and his wife turned into “Lotería is so important this ar t the game. It has sold more
Pandemic Lotería. to people and it’s such a fun form their than 70,000 copies.
art form and so visual that own.’
GONZALES IS AMONG a range of art- it only makes sense that —Mike Alfaro WHILE ALFARO’S and Gon-
ists throughout the U.S. and Latin people would make their zales’s Loterías can be con-
America who have redesigned the own cards and give it their sidered a snapshot of the
classic game, which is now a century own spin,” Mike Alfaro says. world today, Arjona says the
old, although none has come close “I’m all for all these different Loterías Clemente Lotería is also a reflection
to being as popular as the Clemente coming out. There’s space of its era, including prejudices. The
version. Created by a French immi- for everybody to make this art form game features nine people, all ste-
grant in Mexico who printed what their own.” reotypical depictions of Indigenous
he named the “Don Clemente Gallo” Alfaro, who is based in Los Ange- people, upper-class white people and
Lotería in his own factory, the game les but originally from Guatemala, Afro-Latinos. “It is a reflection of co-
can be traced back to the early 1920s, created Millennial Lotería first as an lonial times,” Arjona says. “These im-
according to Gloria Arjona, a Spanish Instagram account in 2017. He says ages display our prejudices, display
lecturer at the California Institute of the idea came to him when he visited the stereotypes.”
Technology who has done extensive his home- town and pulled out his In Lotería, Alfaro says he saw an
research into the origins of each of old version of Clem- opportunity to design a game that is
Clemente’s designs. ente’s Lotería. With inclusive of all aspects of Latino iden-
“Lotería is not it came feelings of tity. “The great thing about Millennial
only a game—it’s a nostalgia and happy Lotería is that we have so many cards
tradition,” Arjona memories of playing that each card can represent one as-
says. “It’s part of with his family. But pect of what it means to be Latino,”
our identity.” he also realized the he says. “You can have all these
It’s impossible game’s depictions different parts because Latinidad is
to know how many of people are so different.”
people have re-cre- problematic and Gonzales says his goal with
ated Lotería because stereotypical. “La cabRONA” was to “bring a quick
by the nature of “It just felt little laugh” to people dealing with
the game, any- like it needed the stress of COVID-19. But as the
one can make to be up- pandemic continued, there also arose
one with their dated,” Alfaro opportunities to share criticism of
own unique de- says. “I didn’t public officials for their handling of
signs. Today want peo- the virus, for example, replacing Cle-
ple to cancel mente’s scythe in “La Muerte” (death)
Lotería. I wanted to with a gallon of bleach.
keep it alive and keep the tradi- “I’m a scientist,” Gonzales says.
tion going. Make it more modern and “Truth telling is important, and
something that people feel excited to that has been a problem with this
Artists share and play with other people from Administration.” While the game
bring different cultures.” may be fun, it also presented an
iconic Alfaro’s redesigns include Clem- opportunity for social commentary.
Lotería ente’s “La Bandera” (the flag) as “El “It’s about saying what this pandemic
images into Pride,” now a rainbow flag. Clemente’s really is,” he says, “and what we can
the present “La Dama” (the lady) was redone as do to curve its impact on us.” □
95
18 Questions
Joan Didion The legendary journalist and
author of Let Me Tell You What I Mean on boredom,
the Central Park Five and plans for Easter
A
but fine.
question that must be
asked in these trying
times: How are you
feeling? I feel fine. Slightly bored,
I think, Whoops.
Do you have hope? Hope for what? And what would you watch?
Not particularly, no. Aside from the news, nothing
comes to mind. Documenta-
New York has completely ries, maybe. Some series.
changed since the pandemic hit.
What do you miss most? I miss What are you most
having my friends to dinner. On looking forward
the other hand, my wine bills have to in 2021?
gone down. An Easter party,
if it can be given.
Which feels more like home: —LUCY FELDMAN
New York or California? Both.