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    BTXS-làm Thêm

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    Chuong 1 Mot sé khai niém co ban vé xac suat 1 Dinh nghia xac suat Bai tap 1.1. Mot khoi lap phuong co tat cd cic mat déu duge to mau. Cat khoi [ap phuong thinh 1000 khdi lap phutong nhé nhu, nhau. Chon ngdu nhien, ra mot khoi lap phuong. ‘Tinh xdc sudt dé dugc khdi lap phutong co iN a) C6 3 mat duge to mau; b) C6 2 mat duge t6 mau; c) Khong 6 mat nao duge to miu. Bai tap 1.2. Mot doi sinh vién tinh nguyén gém 20 nam-ya 20 nit duge phan cong vé cong téc tai 4 huyén mién niii mot cach ngdw nhién vai sd lgng & mdi huygn A “10 sinh vign. Tinh xde suat dé a) $6 nam va sé ni vé méi huyén [A nh nhau; ‘ b) Chi c6 I huyén c6 s6 nam va s6-nit bing nhau; 2 c) Khong o6 huy¢n nio c6 sé sinh vien nam vi s6 sinh vien nit bing nhau. Bai tap 1.3. Co 3 ngudi len cau shanig ioity, rat tba nhit 10 tang mot céch ngdu nhien, Tinh xc suat dé . a Ca3 ich cing lén mot ting; p 1.5 (Kh6).' C6 n doi giay (me lic 2k chiée giay (2k'< it gity. ng2k-2Q2k-2 DS: P(A) = ee Bai tap 1.6 (Kho). C6 n (n> 4) bite thu duge git nediy tien dén n dia chi khic nhau. Tinh xéc suat dé ia a) C6 1 bie thu khong dén ding dia chi; b) C6 2 bie thu khong dén ding dia chi; ©) C6 3 bie thu khong dén ding dia chi: 4) C6 4 bite thu khong dén ding dia chi, Biet| ring thanh sat wh Bai tap 1.9. Vien, hen pap nhau trong khong thoi gian tir 10 gids dén i ~ gid. Sinh- vién A deh sé chi’ sinh vign B20 phit. Néu khong, gap durgc thi sé khong jen Bi gn ché sith vien A 10 phuit néu khong gap dugce thi sé Krone L Y nifa. Tinh xé¢ suat a8 hai sinh vien d6 gap duge nhau. | He mn Bai tap 1.10. Hai ‘au thily s€ cap vao mot .bén cing doc lap nhau trong mét ngay dem. Biét ring rang thi gian dé dé lai dé bée xép hang ciia mdi tau 1a 2 aid. Tinh xdc suat dé mot trong hai khong phai cho ae cap ben. — p 1.11 (Bai toa Buttfon. ‘Trén hai mat phing ¢ cé hai.dubng thing song song cfich nhau 2a. Gieo tigi inhien mot cay kim c6.do dai 21 (1 1— P(A) — PB) ! ie ©) [P(A) ~ B(B)| < P(AAB) voi AAB = (A\.B) U(B\ A) 4) |P(AB) ~ P(A)P(B)| < 4. 3 Xac suat cé diéu kién, cong thifc nhan, su doc lap cua cac bién cé Bai tap 1.19, Ba xa thi cing biin vio muc tigu mot cach doc lap. Xéc suat ban tring muc tiéu cia méi xa thi lan luot 14 0,6; 0,6;, 0,8. Tinh xdc suat dé cé a) Ca 3 xa tha ban tring muc tigu; b) C6 2 xa thi ban truot; c) C6 it nhat mot xa thi ban’ tring mue tiéu. Bai tap 1.20. Mot thii kho c6 mot chim chia khéa gém 7 chia bé ngoai gidng hét nhau, trong d6.c6°3 chia mé duge kho. Anh ta thir ngdu-nhién timg chia. Chia nio khong m@ dugc thi bd ra ngodi cho dén khi tim duge chia mé duge kho. Tinh xac sudt dé mé dugc kho sau: a) 3 lan thir; b) S6 Jan thir ti da. Bai tip 1.21. C6 mot tr choi nhu sau: Trong mot chiée hop c6 3 phong bi dung 100 USD; 5 phong bi 20 USD va 12 phong bi 1 USD. Neudi choi duge mé lin lugt timg phng bi t6i da 3 lin. Néu dugc phong bi 100 USD thi dimg cudc choi vi nhan 86 tién 100 USD. Néu khong ngudsi choi sé nhan phong bi & kin mé thit 3. Tinh xéc suat dé ngudi choi nhan duge s6 tién: a) 100 USD; b) 20 USD; c) 1 USD. i tap 1.22. Mot lo bong den Neon 26 8 ee MO, Tong d6, 6 5 chiée béng Hie da chiy. Nai ta thit ngdw nahin’ ing ig cho dén khi tim duge 2 bong sing. vien bi tir crn a\vien bi tran ab) ne bi xanh. Ai rit dug bi ting truée thi Bai tap 1.24, Mot dot tuyén ln, ang. i xudt khdu “ioe thi hién qua 34 vong, ds See I> IID. Vong I loai 10% ing. vién;'sang vong It loai 20%; va vong LIL loai 30% ting vien. Tinh xd, sudt dé mot tng Mien duge di. xuat khdu lao dong. Bai tap 1.25. Mot ngubi nhat duoc “nol thé ATM véi ma Fin la' mot day s6c6 6 chit $6..Neudi d6 dugc thychhién giao dich khong qua 3)lan sai ma pin. Tinh xie suat dé ngudi,d6 giao dich than cong. ‘ don vi voi xig sat Me ap (khOngied wh nang ane’ a) Tinh xéc suat’dé sau N npay i '66 phic sdivhnd tty b) Sau N ngay gid cé phiéu tang len'h dan vi (h'<'N); c) Sau N ngay gid cé phiéu giim len h don vi (h < N). Bai tap 1.27. Voi {A)}1L; ld day cic bién ngdu mhién doc lap. Khi d6, Src} 4 Cong wo xdc “ a i es Bayes | Ae ‘lac khong peice | Bai tap 1.29, Mot cap tr8 sin] doi ¢6,thé do cting’wwing (sinh d0i that) hay do hai tring kha aad (sinh doi gid). Cic cap sinh doi that luon cing gidi tinh. Cap sinh doi gia thi sid tinh cita mdi dG doc lap voi nhau va 6: xéc suat 0, 5 la con trai. va 20% Thong ke cho iene 45% cap sink doi déu la trai, 35% cap sinh doi déu la ga b) Tinh tilé chp sinh doi that trong (Sng 6 fra ‘sinh doi tk gidi tinh. ©) Biét sda ‘cap sinh doi Ia that, ‘Tinh xc su 08 § bp sinh’ doi la gai. Bai tap 1.30. Trong kho, c6 10 16 hat gidng trong dé c6 4 16 loai I vei ti le ndy mim 499%, 4 16 loai Il véi si 1é ny mam 95%, cdn lai fA 16 loai II véi ti 1 ny mam [a 90%. Lay ngdu nhién mot 16 hat gidng, tir 16 d6 lay ngdu nhien mot hat dé gieo thi a) Tinh xéc suat dé hat giéng dé nity mim. b) Khi gieo thit ngudi ta thay hat gidng khong nay mam, tinh xéc suat dé hat gidng duge lay ra tir 16 loai I. Bai tap 1.31, Mot nha may c6 3 phan xudng, phan xudng 1 sin xuat ra 45% téng sin phim ofa nha méy, phan xuéng Il sin xudt ra 30% san phim cita nha may, cbn Iai do phan xudrig IL. Sin phiim do phan xudng 1 sin xudt chiém 5% phé phém; phan xudng Il sain audit chiém 4% phe phim; phan xudng ILI sin xuat chiém 3% phé phim. Chon ‘hgdu nhien mot san phdm eta nha may a)-Tinh xée suat Aes oe phi lay ra la phé phdm: inh _xdc suat dé 3 san phdm lay ra c6 2 chinh pham. Bai tap 132. Hai nha may cing sin xuat béng dén. So_béng dén do nha may hai sin xudt nhiéu gap k lin sO bong dén cia nha may thet nhat.1 'y-lé phé phdm tuong ting ca hai nha may tuong img lA py, po. Gid sit bong dén cha hai nha may dé sau JGc-sin xudt duge,déng g6i Kin 1dn va dem ban ra thi trudng. Newdi ta mua ngdu nhign mot bong den thi duge bong dén hong. Tinh xac suat dé béng dén dé-do nha miy-thif hai san xuat, 5 Day phép thir Bernoulli, : aA Weal tans _ Bai tap 1.33. rong mot cude thi bain que té mdi xa thi bin vao bia GO phat mot cdch doc lap. Xac suat bain tring muc tieu ciia xa thue viet nam 140,95. Tinh xéc i suat dé trong 60 lan bin vao muc tiéu cit xa thi vigt nam C6 a) C6 20 Kin tring muc tiéu; 4) Tim s6 hat nay mam c6 ki b) C6 khong qué 2 Kin truot; mot dap an cho méi uta Néu tr wir 1 diém. Tinh xdc'suat dé. a) 20 hat nay mim; ‘ b) C6 khong qué 2 hat khong ndy mam; c) Cé it nhat mot hat khong nay mim; ’i nding nhat. Bai tap 1.36 (Bai toin do Samuel Pepys dat cho Newton). Bién cd ndo trong cic bign c6 sau day c6 xde suat lon hon. at il \ ; 1, Khi gieo 6 con xtic xc can d6i ans ct ‘ 6 (U nhat mot mat tren’ c6 6 nét; ae wit at 2. Khi gieo 12 con xtc xc can doi tong chit 6 it aha (2 mit ren c6 6 not; i se ' eg nat 3 nate 6 ono 3. Khi gieo 18 con xtc x ‘ Chuong 2 a ie Dai luong ngau nhién va ham 1 Dai luong ngau nhién roi rac B DLNN chi s6 bic thu khong dén ching dia chi tap 2.1. C6 4 bic thu duge giti ngdu’nhien dén 4 dia:chi khéc nhau. Goi X 1a a) Lap bing phan phdi xc sudt ciia X. b) Tim ham phan phdi va vé dé thi; c) Trung binh cé bao nhiéu bite thu dén khong ding dia chi; d) Tim phuong sai cia X. Bai t4p 2.2. C6 mot trd choi nhur sau: Trong mot chiée hop c6 3 phong bi dung 100 - USD; 5 phong bi 20 USD va 12 phong bi 1 USD. Nguai choi durge mé Idin ligt timg phng bi tdi da 3 din, Néu dugc phong bi 100 USD thi ding cude choi va nhan so tién 100 USD. Néu khong ngudi choi sé nhan phong bi 6 lin mo thit 3. Goi X 1a DLNN chi sé tién ngudi choi nhan dyge: 12 : oe choi So EL Antti gay abien i im ‘duoc chia n me di 4) Tim phuong sai cia X. n diing. Mot hoc sinh [am bai thi bing ciich ee Néu tra Ie diing thi duge 4 diém néu c) Trung binh hoc sinh duge bao nhiéu dién; 4) ‘Tim phuong sai cia X. sa Bai tap 2.7. Thong ke cho thily c6 95% sé hat gidng trong kho ging niy mam. “ Neudi ta gieo thir 5 hat gidng. Goi X 1a s6 hat giéng niy mim a) Lap bing phan phi xic sutit ciia X, b) Tim ham phan phi va vé dé thi: win hive Natty 6 c6 mot dap dn ding. Mat a (eS dap an cho mai cau hdi, i Ne ua tain vali p29. chine Xn Bin, *) > EX b) X~ P(A) SEX 4\ thie ita Bai tap 2.10. Cho X la DLNN rdi rac nha jong N EX = 3 P(X > ist 2 Dai luong ngau nhién lién tuc Bai tap 2.11. Thai gian hoat dong ciia mot thiét bi dign tit ld BLNN X (don vi: nam) cé ham mat do 0 neu r<0 ae ke¥ néu r>0. a) Xac dinh hing so k i b) Tim ham phan phéi va vé dé. thi; ¢) Tinh thai gian hoat dong trung binh ciia thiét bi dién tir; 4) Thi gian-bio’ hanh cia thiét bi 1A 3 nim. Tinh xc suat.dé thiét bi phai bao e) Tinh xdc suiit dé thiét bi khong hoat dong khong qué 4 nam trong khi thiét bi da hét thdi-gian’bio hanh.— Bai tap 2.12. Thoi gian s mat do. a) Xe dinh hing sok b) Tim him phan phdi va vé dé thi; c) Tinh thdi gian s6ng trung binh cita Lodi sau; d) Lodi sau sé khong thé hai cay tréng néu thi gian song ciia né khong qué 3 tin, Tinh xac suat dé cay tréng khong bj sau pha hai, e) Tinh xdc sudt dé lodi sau séng khong qua 4 tudn tudi trong khi loai sau di song dugc 2 twin tdi. Bai tap 2.13. Thdi gian s6ng ciia mot Lodi cay la DLNN X (don vi: nam) cé him phan phdi neu ae 6 \ \ HS | Bai tap 2.14. Chimg minh rang x la dai luong ngdu nhien e6 phan phoi déu ten (0; 1). Kh d6, Z = —In.X 06 phn A mi. Bai tap 2.15. Cho X la dai jie ngdu te c6 ham phan phdi F(a) = A+ Barctan 5 a trong 46 A, B,C Id cac hing s6, Xéc dinh hing s6 A, B,C va tim ham mat dd. Bai tap 2.16, Cho X la DLNN cé him mat do Cc p(x) = ares *€ R a) Xac dinh hing s6 C; b) Tim ham phan phéi ciia X; b) Tim him d9 cia X, Mi c) X va Y c6 doc lap khong? Bai tp 2.19, Gia sir (X, Y) la véc tor ng nhiéni 6 ham mav/déng thoi Ker néu O

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