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Alla 2020
Alla 2020
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Strategic maintenance plays a key role in ensuring high availability and utilization of the haul trucks, and
Received 17 June 2019 as equipment began to grow more complex towards the end of the 20th century, there was a need for a
Received in revised form 4 March 2020 proactive maintenance strategy, which led to the development of condition-based maintenance. Real-
Accepted 29 May 2020
time condition monitoring (RTCM) is the ability to perform condition monitoring in real-time and has
Available online xxxx
the ability to alert maintenance and operations of abnormal conditions. These alarms can be used as
an indication leading to a problem, and if a suitable corrective action is initiated in time, it could result
Keywords:
in significant savings of equipment downtime and repair costs. This study aims to compare some main-
Haul trucks
Real-time condition monitoring
tenance performance indicators prior to and after implementation of RTCM strategy at a mine site using
Performance indicators some tests of statistical significance. The study also indicated the presence of seasonality in the data, and
thus the data was deseasonalized and detrended prior to being subjected to the statistical tests. Finally,
the results indicated that RTCM strategy has proven to be successful in improving the availability for
some of the failure categories chosen in this study.
Ó 2020 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of China University of Mining & Technology. This is an open
access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024
2095-2686/Ó 2020 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of China University of Mining & Technology.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Please cite this article as: H. R. Alla, R. Hall and D. B. Apel, Performance evaluation of near real-time condition monitoring in haul trucks, International
Journal of Mining Science and Technology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024
2 H.R. Alla et al. / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology xxx (xxxx) xxx
Please cite this article as: H. R. Alla, R. Hall and D. B. Apel, Performance evaluation of near real-time condition monitoring in haul trucks, International
Journal of Mining Science and Technology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024
H.R. Alla et al. / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology xxx (xxxx) xxx 3
(3) Dump body: Travelling with the dump body raised beyond The autocorrelation plots presented in Fig. 8 did not show the
certain speeds results in excessive stress on the truck frame. existence of any strong patterns, so further tests were performed
Continuous monitoring of dump body events can help in to evaluate the presence of any seasonal patterns in the data.
reduction or elimination of those events by providing suit- Decomposing complex time series into trend, seasonality, and
able training when necessary. Prior to using the data for residual components (error) is an important task to facilitate time
analysis, it is important to graph the sequence plots of the series anomaly detection and forecasting [17]. A trend of the time
time series, with data series values on the vertical axis and series is a long-term increase or decrease, and seasonality is the
time on the horizontal axis. The sequence plots give a visual tendency of time series to exhibit behavior that repeats itself after
impression and indicate the presence of certain behavioral a certain time period [16]. For the purpose of this study, seasonal-
components present within the time series [16]. Figs. 4 ity is assumed to be a periodic and recurrent pattern caused by the
and 5 show the sequence plots of repair costs and work weather. Traditional approaches to modeling seasonal time series
order counts at the site from January 2012 to December are to remove the seasonal variations using certain seasonal
2018, respectively. The values are intentionally concealed adjustment method and then the models are scaled back using
to maintain confidentiality and to not reveal the identity of the estimated seasonal effects for forecasting purposes [18]. The
the mine. most common decomposition techniques of time series plots are
additive decomposition and multiplicative decomposition. The
A time series plot is assumed to be a combination of a pattern basis of additive decomposition is that the time series plot is an
that comprises of the trend and seasonality, and some random addition of the three components, and that of multiplicative
error. It is important to separate the pattern from the error by decomposition is that the time series plot is a product of the indi-
understanding the patterns trend, and its seasonality prior to use vidual components. A time series data that is decomposed by addi-
[16]. Figs. 6 and 7 present box plot views of the yearly (for evalu- tive decomposition technique is represented by the following
ating the trend) and monthly (for evaluating the seasonality) dis- model.
tribution of maintenance costs and work order counts,
respectively. An increase in work order counts and maintenance Observ edSignal ¼ Trend þ Seasonality þ ResidualError ð1Þ
costs could be a result of aging equipment. Autocorrelation plots
can help find repetitive patterns in time-series data and have been Similarly, a time series data decomposable by multiplicative
applied to the historic maintenance costs and work order counts to decomposition technique is represented as
assess the presence of any seasonal patterns.
Observ edSignal ¼ Trend Seasonality ResidualError ð2Þ
Brockwell & Davis presented a detailed explanation and proce-
dure for the estimation and the elimination of trend and seasonal
components in a time series data [19]. Both additive and multi-
plicative decomposition techniques are applied to the work order
counts and maintenance costs and are presented in Figs. 9 and
10, respectively. Figs. 9 and 10 consist of two plots each, which
consist of four subplots. The first subplot on either side is the
sequence plot, the second subplot on each side being the trend
Fig. 4. Monthly down hours from 2012 to 2018.
component, while the third subplot is the seasonality component
and the last subplot being the residual error.
The trend component in Figs. 9 and 10 indicate that both work
order counts and maintenance costs follow an increasing trend
every year. The seasonal component for both work order counts
and maintenance costs indicate the presence of some seasonal cor-
relation, but do not follow the same pattern.
The residual component accounts for any outliers in the data.
Since the historic data indicates the presence of strong trend and
seasonal components, it is essential that the data to be used for
evaluating the performance of RTCM strategy be detrended and
Fig. 5. Monthly work orders from 2012 to 2018. deseasonalized prior to use. The detrended and deseasonalized
Please cite this article as: H. R. Alla, R. Hall and D. B. Apel, Performance evaluation of near real-time condition monitoring in haul trucks, International
Journal of Mining Science and Technology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024
4 H.R. Alla et al. / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology xxx (xxxx) xxx
work order counts and maintenance costs are shown in Figs. 11 and number of downs between pre and post implementation for
and 12, respectively. the RTCM strategy was calculated for each of the 40 trucks and is
plotted as a histogram as shown in Fig. 13.
Q-Q (quantile-quantile) plot is one of the popular methods for
4. Analysis visualizing and assessing the normality of a distribution [20]. Q-
Q plots are plots of sample order statistics against some expected
The detrended and deseasonalized data are then used for com- quantiles from a standard normal distribution. The underlying the-
paring the performance of the RTCM strategy implemented at the ory behind a normal probability plot is that the plot will be linear
site. For this study, two years of historical data were used: 2017 except for random fluctuations in the data under the null hypoth-
represents data prior to the implementation of the RTCM strategy, esis. Any systematic deviation from linearity in the probability plot
and 2018 represents the post implementation stage. indicates that the data are not normal [21]. If the difference his-
The sum of downtime duration and the number of downs in a togram is normally distributed, all the points will lie on the red
fleet of over 40 trucks in 2017 and 2018 are compared for the three diagonal line, or very close to the red diagonal line as seen in the
systems identified earlier. The difference in the total down hours Q-Q scatter plots in Fig. 14. Normality tests are supplementary to
Please cite this article as: H. R. Alla, R. Hall and D. B. Apel, Performance evaluation of near real-time condition monitoring in haul trucks, International
Journal of Mining Science and Technology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024
H.R. Alla et al. / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology xxx (xxxx) xxx 5
The p-values less than or equal to 0.05 from the paired t-test or
Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicate that the null hypothesis can be
rejected for 95% confidence interval. This in turn indicates that
there is a statistically significant difference in down hours and
number of downs due to the implementation of RTCM strategy at
Fig. 12. Detrended and deseasonalized down hours from 2012 to 2018. the mine site. Based on the results presented in Table 1, there
Fig. 13. Down hours and number of downs difference histogram plots.
Please cite this article as: H. R. Alla, R. Hall and D. B. Apel, Performance evaluation of near real-time condition monitoring in haul trucks, International
Journal of Mining Science and Technology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024
6 H.R. Alla et al. / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology xxx (xxxx) xxx
Fig. 14. Down hours and number of downs difference Q-Q plots.
Table 1 their inability to handle the seasonality fluctuation and shift effec-
p-values by failure category. tively and proposed a novel time series decomposition algorithm
Down category Down hours Number of downs to address such challenges [17]. The use of these techniques could
Engine 0.4562 0.0424
provide a better understanding of the complex seasonal variations
Brakes 0.1884 0.0700 of the data.
Dump 0.0411 0.0008
Please cite this article as: H. R. Alla, R. Hall and D. B. Apel, Performance evaluation of near real-time condition monitoring in haul trucks, International
Journal of Mining Science and Technology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024
H.R. Alla et al. / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology xxx (xxxx) xxx 7
[16] Kalekar PS. Time series forecasting using holt-winters exponential smoothing; [19] Brockwell PJ, Davis RA. Introduction to time series and forecasting. Springer;
2004. 2016. p. 22–30.
[17] Wen Q, Gao J, Song X, Sun L, Xu H, Zhu S. RobustSTL: a robust seasonal-trend [20] Ghasemi A, Zahediasl S. Normality tests for statistical analysis: a guide for
decomposition algorithm for long time series. In: Proceedings of AAAI non-statisticians. Int J Endocrinol Metab 2012;10(2):486–9.
conference on artificial intelligence. Honolulu, Hawaii; 2018. [21] Thode HC. Testing for normality. New York: CRC Press; 2002.
[18] Zhang G, Qi M. Neural network forecasting for seasonal and trend time series.
Eur J Oper Res 2005;160(2):501–14.
Please cite this article as: H. R. Alla, R. Hall and D. B. Apel, Performance evaluation of near real-time condition monitoring in haul trucks, International
Journal of Mining Science and Technology, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2020.05.024