Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chapter - 1 Introduction and Design of The Study
Chapter - 1 Introduction and Design of The Study
Chapter - 1 Introduction and Design of The Study
1.1 INTRODUCTION
Stock prices change every day by market forces. By this we mean that share prices
change because of supply and demand. If more people want to buy a stock (demand) than sell it
(supply), then the price moves up. Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock than buy it,
there would be greater supply than demand, and the price would fall. Understanding supply and
demand is easy. What is difficult to comprehend is what makes people like a particular stock and
dislike another stock. This comes down to figuring out what news is positive for a company and
There are many answers to this problem and just about any investor you ask has their
own ideas and strategies.That being said, the principal theory is that the price movement of stock
indicates what investors feel a company is worth. Don't equate a company's value with the stock
price. The value of a company is its market capitalization, which is the stock price multiplied by
the number of shares outstanding. For example, a company that trades at $100 per share and has
1,000,000 shares outstanding has a lesser value than a company that trades at $50 but has
$250,000,000). To further complicate things, the price of a stock doesn't only reflect a company
current value–it also reflects the growth that investors expect in the future. That being said, the
worth. Don't equate a company's value with the stock price. The value of a company is its market
capitalization, which is the stock price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding. For
example, a company that trades at $100 per share and has 1,000,000 shares outstanding has a
lesser value than a company that trades at $50 but has 5,000,000 shares outstanding ($100 x
the price of a stock doesn't only reflect a company's current value–it also reflects the growth that
The most important factor that affects the value of a company is its earnings. Earnings are
the profit a company makes, and in the long run no company can survive without them. It makes
sense when you think about it. If a company never makes money, they aren't going to stay in
business. Public companies are required to report their earnings four times a year (once each
quarter). Wall Street watches with rabid attention at these times, which are referred to as
earnings seasons. The reason behind this is that analysts base their future value of a company on
their earnings projection. If a company's results surprise (are better than expected), the price
jumps up. If a company's results disappoint (are worse than expected), then the price will fall.
Of course, it's not just earnings that can change the sentiment towards a stock (which, in
turn, changes its price). It would be a rather simple world if this were the case! During the dot-
com bubble, for example, dozens of Internet companies rose to have market capitalizations in the
billions of dollars without ever making even the smallest profit. As we all know, these valuations
did not hold, and most all Internet companies saw their values shrink to a fraction of their highs.
Still, the fact that prices did move that much demonstrates that there are factors other than
current earnings that influence stocks. Investors have developed literally hundreds of these
variables, ratios and indicators. Some you may have already heard of, such as the P/E ratio ,
while others are extremely complicated and obscure with names like Chaikin Oscillator or
So, why do stock prices change? The best answer is that nobody really knows for sure.
Some believe that it isn't possible to predict how stocks will change in price
while others think that by drawing charts and looking at past price movements, you can
determine when to buy and sell. The only thing we do know as a certainty is that stocks are
The Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index, also called Sensex or BSE Sensex, is
one of the leading stock market benchmark indices in India. It tracks the movement of stock
broadly, the composition of the entire market. Each of the scrips is assigned a weightage on the
index that is linked to its market capitalization. It measures a particular stock's ability to
influence movements in the index. The base year of the Sensex is 1978-79 with the base index
composition of the Sensex changes periodically as scrips are inducted or removed depending on
their market capitalization, frequency and volume of trading and volatility among other
parameters.
For a long time the BSE Sensex was the only benchmark index in India for the stock
markets until the National Stock Exchange was launched in the early nineties. Its S&P Nifty
Index is a much broader index, but the Sensex is still followed as a barometer of market
sentiment in India.
ORIGIN OF SENSEX
established and financially sound companies listed on Bombay Stock Exchange. The 30
constituent companies which are some of the largest and most actively traded stocks, are
1986, the S&P BSE SENSEX is regarded as the pulse of the domestic stock markets in India.
The base value of the SENSEX was taken as 100 on 1 April 1979 and its base year as 1978–79.
Banking is an industry that handles cash, credit, and other financial transactions. Banks
provide a Safe place to Store extra cash and credit. They offer savings accounts, Certificates of
Deposit, and checking accounts. Banks use these deposits to make loans. These loans include
A Bank is a financial institution licensed to receive deposits and make loans. Two of the
most common types of banks are commercial/retail and investment banks. Depending on type, a
bank may also provide various financial services ranging from providing safe deposit boxes and
Banking in India in the modern sense originated in the last decades of the 18th century.
Among the first banks were the Bank of Hindustan, which was established in 1770 and liquidated
in 1829-32; and the General Bank of India, established 1786 but failed in 1791.
The largest bank, and the oldest still in existence, is the State Bank of India. It originated
as the Bank of Calcutta in June 1806. In 1809, it was renamed as the Bank of Bengal. This was
one of the three banks funded by a presidency government; the other two were the Bank of
Bombay and the Bank of Madras. The three banks were merged in 1921 to form the Imperial
Bank of India, which upon India's independence, became the State Bank of India in 1955. For
many years the presidency banks had acted as quasi-central banks, as did their successors, until
the Reserve Bank of India was established in 1935, under the Reserve Bank of India Act 1934.In
1960, the State Banks of India was given control of eight state-associated banks under the State
Bank of India (Subsidiary Banks) Act, 1959. These are now called its associate banks. In 1969
the Indian government nationalized 14 major private banks. In 1980, 6 more private banks were
nationalized. These nationalized banks are the majority of lenders in the Indian economy. They
dominate the banking sector because of their large size and widespread networks.
The Indian banking sector is broadly classified into scheduled banks and non-scheduled
banks. The scheduled banks are those which are included under the 2nd Schedule of the Reserve
Bank of India Act, 1934. The scheduled banks are further classified into: nationalized banks; State
Bank of India and its associates; Regional Rural Banks (RRBs); foreign banks; and other Indian
private sector banks. The term commercial banks refer to both scheduled and non-scheduled
commercial banks which are regulated under the Banking Regulation Act, 1949.
Generally banking in India was fairly mature in terms of supply, product range and reach-
even though reach in rural India and to the poor still remains a challenge. The government has
developed initiatives to address this through the State Bank of India expanding its branch network
and through the National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development with things like
of Calcutta in 1869, first as a private joint stock association, then partnership. Its proprietors were
the owners of the earlier Commercial Bank and the Calcutta Bank, who by mutual consent created
Union Bank to replace these two banks. In 1840 it established an agency at Singapore, and closed
the one at Mirzapore that it had opened in the previous year. Also in 1840 the Bank revealed that
it had been the subject of a fraud by the bank's accountant. Union Bank was incorporated in 1845
but failed in 1848, having been insolvent for some time and having used new money from
depositors to pay its dividends. The Allahabad Bank, established in 1865 and still functioning
today, is the oldest Joint Stock bank in India; it was not the first though. That honors belongs to
the Bank of Upper India, which was established in 1863, and which survived until 1913, when it
failed, with some of its assets and liabilities being transferred to the Alliance Bank of Simla.
Foreign banks too started to appear, particularly in Calcutta, in the 1860s. The Comptoir
in Bengal in 1869. Calcutta was the most active trading port in India, mainly due to the trade of
the British Empire, and so became a banking centre.The first entirely Indian joint stock bank was
the Oudh Commercial Bank, established in 1881 in Faizabad. It failed in 1958. The next was
the Punjab National Bank, established in Lahore in 1894, which has survived to the present and is
now one of the largest banks in India.The partition of India in 1947 adversely impacted the
India's independence marked the end of a regime of the Laissez-faire for the Indian banking.
The Government of India initiated measures to play an active role in the economic life of the
nation, and the Industrial Policy Resolution adopted by the government in 1948 envisaged
a mixed economy. This resulted into greater involvement of the state in different segments of the
economy including banking and finance. The major steps to regulate banking included:
The Reserve Bank of India, India's central banking authority, was established in April
1935, but was nationalized on 1 January 1949 under the terms of the Reserve Bank of
In 1949, the Banking Regulation Act was enacted which empowered the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) "to regulate, control, and inspect the banks in India".
The Banking Regulation Act also provided that no new bank or branch of an existing bank
could be opened without a license from the RBI, and no two banks could have common
directors.
Despite the provisions, control and regulations of the Reserve Bank of India, banks in
India except the State Bank of India (SBI), continued to be owned and operated by private
persons. By the 1960s, the Indian banking industry had become an important tool to facilitate the
development of the Indian economy. At the same time, it had emerged as a large employer, and a
debate had ensued about the nationalization of the banking industry. Indira Gandhi, the
then Prime Minister of India, expressed the intention of the Government of India in the annual
conference of the All India Congress Meeting in a paper entitled "Stray thoughts on Bank
Thereafter, her move was swift and sudden. The Government of India issued an ordinance
and nationalized the 14 largest commercial banks with effect from the midnight of 19 July 1969.
These banks contained 85 percent of bank deposits in the country.Jayaprakash Narayan, a national
leader of India, described the step as a "masterstroke of political sagacity." Within two weeks of
the issue of the ordinance, the Parliament passed the Banking Companies (Acquisition and
second dose of nationalisation of 6 more commercial banks followed in 1980. The stated reason
for the nationalisation was to give the government more control of credit delivery. With the
second dose of nationalisation, the Government of India controlled around 91% of the banking
business of India. Later on, in the year 1993, the government merged New Bank of
India with Punjab National Bank. It was the only merger between nationalised banks and resulted
in the reduction of the number of nationalised banks from 20 to 19. After this, until the 1990s, the
nationalised banks grew at a pace of around 4%, closer to the average growth rate of the Indian
economy.
In the early 1990s, the then government embarked on a policy of liberalization, licensing a
small number of private banks. These came to be known as New Generation tech-savvy banks,
and included Global Trust Bank (the first of such new generation banks to be set up), which later
Bank and HDFC Bank. This move, along with the rapid growth in the economy of India,
revitalized the banking sector in India, which has seen rapid growth with strong contribution from
all the three sectors of banks, namely, government banks, private banks and foreign banks.
The next stage for the Indian banking has been set up with the proposed relaxation in the
norms for foreign direct investment, where all foreign investors in banks may be given voting
rights which could exceed the present cap of 10% at present. It has gone up to 74% with some
restrictions. The new policy shook the Banking sector in India completely. Bankers, till this time,
were used to the 4–6–4 method (borrow at 4%; lend at 6%; go home at 4) of functioning. The new
wave ushered in a modern outlook and tech-savvy methods of working for traditional banks. All
this led to the retail boom in India. People demanded more from their banks and received more.
CURRENT PERIOD
All banks which are included in the Second Schedule to the Reserve Bank of India Act,
1934 are Scheduled Banks. These banks comprise Scheduled Commercial Banks and Scheduled
Co-operative Banks. Scheduled Commercial Banks in India are categorized into five different
groups according to their ownership and/or nature of operation. These bank groups are:
Nationalised Banks
Foreign Banks
Cooperative Banks
Scheduled Bank
In the bank group-wise classification, IDBI Bank Ltd. is included in Nationalised Banks.
Scheduled Co-operative Banks consist of Scheduled State Co-operative Banks and Scheduled
Urban Cooperative Banks.By 2010, banking in India was generally fairly mature in terms of
supply, product range and reach-even though reach in rural India still remains a challenge for the
private sector and foreign banks. In terms of quality of assets and capital adequacy, Indian banks
are considered to have clean, strong and transparent balance sheets relative to other banks in
comparable economies in its region. The Reserve Bank of India is an autonomous body, with
especially in its services sector-the demand for banking services, especially retail banking,
mortgages and investment services are expected to be strong. One may also expect M&As,
In March 2006, the Reserve Bank of India allowed Warburg Pincus to increase its stake
in Kotak Mahindra Bank (a private sector bank) to 10%. This is the first time an investor has been
allowed to hold more than 5% in a private sector bank since the RBI announced norms in 2005
that any stake exceeding 5% in the private sector banks would need to be vetted by them.In recent
years critics have charged that the non-government owned banks are too aggressive in their loan
recovery efforts in connexion with housing, vehicle and personal loans. There are press reports
that the banks' loan recovery efforts have driven defaulting borrowers to suicide.
By 2013 the Indian Banking Industry employed 1,175,149 employees and had a total of
109,811 branches in India and 171 branches abroad and manages an aggregate deposit
billion (US$790 billion or €780 billion). The net profit of the banks operating in India was
Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana ( प्रधानमंत्री जन धन योजना, English: Prime Minister's People
on the inauguration day, 1.5 Crore (15 million) bank accounts were opened under this scheme. By
zero balance.
DEFINITION
Banking is defined as “Accepting of deposits of money from public for the purpose of
Lending or Investment, repayable on demand or otherwise and with drawable by cheque, draft, or
otherwise”
owned by other individuals and entities, and then lending out this money in order to earn a profit.
However, with the passage of time, the activities covered by banking business have widened and
now various other services are also offered by banks. The banking services these days include
issuance of debit and credit cards, providing safe custody of valuable items, lockers, ATM
SHARE PRICE
A share price – or a stock price – is the amount it would cost to buy one share in a
company. The price of a share is not fixed, but fluctuates according to market conditions. It will
likely increase if the company is perceived to be doing well, or fall if the company isn’t meeting
expectations.
which the price of one share is set according to the perceived supply of, and demand for, that
company’s stock. The prices are usually set by a book runner – a lead manager who is appointed
specifically to help the company determine an appropriate price for its IPO.
After the IPO, a company’s share price can be impacted by a range of factors. For
example, any increase in the number of shares on the market would bring the price down,
assuming demand remains the same. Equally, any reduction in demand – perhaps on the back of
changes in a company’s senior leadership – would reduce the share price, so long as supply
remains constant.
More specifically, other factors can also affect a company’s share price include expected
Technical analysis seeks to assess the future price movements of shares by looking at historical
chart data. By studying previous share price trends, technical analysts can often identify whether
undervalued. It does this by analysing the individual company’s perceived ability to generate a
profit, focusing on macroeconomic data, financial statements and decisions from senior
management.
STOCK PRICE VOLATILITY
When selecting a security for investment, traders look at its historical volatility to help
differing contexts, and each trader has their favourites. A firm understanding of the concept
The most simple definition of volatility is a reflection of the degree to which price moves.
A stock with a price that fluctuates wildly—hits new highs and lows or moves erratically—is
considered highly volatile. A stock that maintains a relatively stable price has low volatility. A
highly volatile stock is inherently riskier, but that risk cuts both ways. When investing in a
volatile security, the chance for success is increased as much as the risk of failure. For this
reason, many traders with a high-risk tolerance look to multiple measures of volatility to help
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility, and traders can
Maximum drawdown is another way to measure stock price volatility, and it is used by
relative risks of stocks or determine the diversification benefits of other asset classes.
What is the most well-known gauge for measuring how the economy of a country is
performing? The strength of its currency gives us a picture but may be influenced by speculators
and liquidity, while bond markets are normally considered a little complex for the general public
The majority of people turn to the performance of a country’s stock market as the best
indicator of how well that economy is doing. Stock markets cover all
industries across all sectors of the economy. This means they serve as a barometer of what cycle
the economy is in and the hopes and fears of the population who generate growth and wealth.
Stock markets have existed for centuries and will no doubt go on being the main
public, regulated marketplaces where people can buy and sell shares of different companies.
Of course, today’s markets are very different from share trading in the Dutch East India
Company back in 1602, but stocks still remain the most popular investment choice thanks to
their potential for returns and their opportunity to invest directly in individual companies.
Why are stock markets essential?
Stock markets enable companies to be traded publicly and raise capital. The transfer of
Stock markets promote investment. The raising of capital allows companies to grow their
businesses, expand operations and create jobs in the economy. This investment is a key
For investors, stock markets provide a way to invest money in order to potentially earn a
share of the company’s profits (knowing that the risk of losses exists too). Active
investors and traders can easily buy and sell their securities due to the abundant liquidity
There are numerous reasons why companies, banks, funds, investors and traders buy and
Investment Gains
Stock ownership may help your money grow. Over the long-term, the benefits of
investing in stocks typically far outweigh those of holding money in lower-return assets
like cash.
Diversification
Trading a variety of stocks can help you spread your risk across different asset
classes, economic sectors, and geographical locations. This will expand the potential for
Income
Some stocks provide income as regular dividends, even if the stock has lost value.
That is income you can keep or reinvest. You can also register votes in company
activities.
Control
Stocks trade by the millions every day so you can easily trade, buy and sell stocks
and shares when you want. This flexibility also means you decide which company to
invest in and when.Trading stocks let you own a part of a company’s present and future.
Depending on your risk tolerance and timeframe, the benefits can be many and varied.
research that you can make some assumptions into the value and future performance of an
investment. Even if you are following stock trading tips, it ideal to do some research, just to
ensure that you are making an investment that’s expected to get you maximum returns. When
you invest in equity, you purchase some portions of a business expecting to make money upon
increase in the value of the business. Before buying anything, be it a car or phone, you do some
degree of research about its performance and quality. An investment is no different. It is your
hard earned money that you are about to invest, so you must have a fair knowledge of what you
Every study based on some clearly defined objectives. Objectives decide the all over
framework of any study. The main objective of this study is to capture the trends, activities and
movements of the Indian Stock Market. The present study “ based on following objectives:-
Times are really quite exciting; an ever increasing plethora of events followed the global
financial crisis. With globalization and innovation in the financial markets at its peak - it is very
essential to study the market risks and requirements. Over the years, the India stock market has
undergone major changes to remain at par with the global peers. With global trade and finance
getting more dynamic day by day, the India stock market is not far behind to experience these
developments. This has helped the financial structure of India get more innovative.
1.7 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
The stock market is an interesting animal. There have always been problems and
opportunities. The day trading boom changed the stock market dramatically. People no longer
had to have access to an inside man or a position on the stock market. The internet allowed them
to do research, and companies like trade were more than happy to facilitate the process. Did this
contribute to the volatility of the stock market? I think that it did. The stock market was always
If you are referring to the current problem with the stock market, it has to do with the
financial collapse of the sub-prime mortgages that came through Fanny Mae and Freddie Mac.
These mortgages were bundled and sold as securities and were bought by many
investment houses thereby allowing the crisis to reach deep into the financial system beyond the
bank that lent the money to the people who were unable to pay the money back.
In response to this shock to the market, many investment houses went out of business,
suddenly finding that their assets had no value. Additionally, the credit market tightened up
considerably in response to the bad credit that was dominating the news. Suddenly, people who
had good credit could not borrow money either because all lending institutions were afraid to
The stock market is a measure of the health of the economy. When things are bad, the
bears, or the sellers dominate the market. If everyone sells or dumps their stock, bonds, etc, the
market goes down because the value of the investments go down. That is how the market loses
Literally the value of the investment instrument has been lowered by the fact that no one wants
to own it.
1.8 REVIEW OF LITERATURE
Ashish Garg, B.S.Bodla and Sangeetha Chhabra (2010) in their study entitled
EMERGING MARKETS” examines whether seasonal anomalies still persist in the Developed
and Developing Markets and the Indian and US markets are taken as the representative of
Emerging and Developed Markets. The study utilises data during January 1998 and December
2007 BSE Sensex and S&P 500 for US Markets data to analysis Turn of the Month effect, Semi
Month effect, Monthly effect, Monday effect and Friday effect. The study employs Post hoc
analysis and ANOVA, the author observe that in India stock market returns in Friday is higher
than other days of the week, whereas Friday’s return is found lowest than the other days return in
US market. Monday effect, Friday’s stock return reflected on Monday’s stock return, Monday is
the negative returns other days quite positive for the first period. Second period Monday is lower
average return of the rest of the days. Monday effect exists in Indian stock market but not in the
US. Semi-monthly effect to compare the average return of first half of the month, and average
return of second half of the month. BSE ltd first half month return higher than the second half
month. Semi-monthly effect is same for the both of the Indian and US market. Ending for this
study efficiency of stock market closely related to the allocation of scare capital resources. Both
Indian and US market turn of month effect is significantly. Monthly effect upward pressure of
stock market and result higher return in January month. But in case of India in the month of
March is tax saving month, therefore anomaly exist in Indian stock market. Result for this study
the presence of anomalies indicates stock market efficiency therefore. SEBI as a regulator of
India’s stock market security exchange commission in US need to take steps in order to increase
P. Nageswari, DR.M. Selvam and DR.J. Gayathri (2011) in their study entitled “AN
INDAIN STOCK MARKET” examines the return of the month effect in Indian stock market.
The study has been carried out to find how bad news and good news is reflected stock prices.
The study considers S & P CNX Nifty and BSE Sensex data for six years from 1 January 2005
to 31 December 2010. The collected data are analysed by applying‘t’ test. The result of the study
disclose that highest mean return was recorded for the first half of the month than the rest of the
days in the month. Result of the study also shows that the semi-month effect and turn of the
month effect was not prevalent in the Indian stock market during the study period. By analysing
these anomalies in Indian stock market it is concluded that most of the cash flow entered in the
Indian stock market in first few days of the month, as a result indices stock prices to move
upward.
Mihir Dash, Anirban Dutta, and Mohit Sabharwal (2011) in their study entitled
relation between the Month-of-the-year effect and market crash effects on monthly return in
Indian Stock market. Closing value of BSE Sensex between April 1997 and March 2007 is
ADF test and Duncan post hoc test are the tools used for analysis. ANOVA result discloses that
there is no significant difference in mean monthly return between the different months. Duncan
post hoc test indicates that March returns were significantly lower than those of November,
December, and August. The November returns were significantly higher than those of months
March, April, May, October, and September. Conclusion for the study End of the year effect is
due to Diwali as general public spend their saving towards purchase house hold goods,
equipment’s and Gold, similarly return is noticed. Negative return is noticed during March, as
investor in order to reduce their stock burden prefers to re-invest their shares.
Sanjay Sehgal, Srividya Subramaniam, and Florent Deisting (2012) in their study
INDIAN STOCK MARKET” examines that negative relationship is observe between accruals
and cash flows. CAPM tests that the market beta is lower for the low accrual portfolio as
compared to the high accrual portfolio. The study perspective of portfolio manager’s information
in accruals / cash flows does not hold strong promise of providing extra normal returns in the
India context. From the academic point of view their results are in conflict with the findings for
Rohan Laximichand Rambhia, and Mayank Joshipura (2012) in their study entitled
are used to explore the risk anomaly in Indian equity markets. The results for the study consists
500 index January 2001- June 2011 were obtained by Capital line data base. Out of the total
available list of 500 companies of S&P CNX 500 following companies are excluded from the
final sample. Companies for which data for 36 months historical data was not available and
hence their volatility not be calculated. S&P CNX 500 the broad market index gave absolute
average monthly returns of 1.2% P1, P10 and S&P 500 index. Comparison with regards to the
number of month for which LV portfolios gave higher returns the HV portfolios. It can be
clearly seen in spite of the long Bull Run that the Indian markets saw from January 2004 to
December 2007. LV portfolio our performed HV portfolio in 47 out of 90 months of the testing
period and that too with significantly lesser risk. Implementation issues / consideration 1.
Transaction cost, 2. Monthly rebalancing, 3. Back testing using quantitative analysis, & 4. Long
term strategy. Behavioural aspects are 1. High volatility stocks are still preferred, 2. It may
therefore be used to understand why high volatility stocks are preferred to low volatility stocks in
spite of unexpected high returns of low-volatility & high volatility portfolios. The most common
explanation for higher interest in the high-volatility stocks is a phenomenon called as a lottery
effect. The lottery effect thus leads effective low returns high volatility stocks. Result for this
study the results found in the Indian markets are similar to those found in some other countries
such as the US, the low volatility portfolio strategy gives a higher absolute return over a long
period then both high volatility portfolio as well as the broad market index and requires patience
its benefits.
(2012) in their study entitled “A SEARCH FOR RATIONAL SOURCES OF STOCK RETURN
ANOMALIES: EVIDENCE FROM INDIA” Disproves the traditional theory ( i.e ) higher the
risk higher the return . Investors, who invest in low volatile stock earns more return than high
volatile stocks.
Shyam Lal Dev Pandey and Gopi Prachetas (2012) in his study entitled “TESTING OF
RISK & RETURN” proves that low volatile stocks offers higher average rate of return than high
volatile stocks, which proves the existence of inefficiency in Indian Stock Market.
Sarbapriya (2012) in her study “INVESTING SEASONAL BEHAVIOUR IN THE
MONTHLY RETURNS: EVIDENCE FROM BSE SENSEX OF INDIA” proves that the
month of year effect is noticed in Indian stock market whereas an investor may dispose the loss
the month of march making shares in order to avail income tax benefit.
STUDY OF THE INDIAN STOCK MARKET” (NSE) observes that day of the week effect and
month of the year effect is not noticed in Indian stock market due to the increased volatility,
increased awareness among Indian investors, Globalization of Indian Economy, reach of Media,
Dr. Pedapalli Neeraja and CMA. Potharla Srikanth (2014) in their study entitled
SEASONALITY EFFECT ON BSEIT INDEX” examine the anomalies present in the Indian
Information Technology companies stocks and also study the impact of overall Indian stock
market conditions on the Information technology companies stocks. The result indicates of
Augmented Dickey Fuller test that returns of Indian IT sector stocks are more volatile than the
overall Indian stock market. GARCH model disclose that negative returns are observed in IT
better during the month of March and April. Similar trend is noticed in BSE during the month of
decade or so, it has been observed that there has been a paradigm shift in Indian capital
market. The application of many reforms & developments in Indian capital market has made
the Indian capital market comparable with the international capital markets. Now, the market
features a developed regulatory mechanism and a modern market infrastructure with growing
Private Corporate Debt market is also a good innovation replacing the banking mode of
corporate finance. However, the market has witnessed its worst time with the recent global
financial crisis that originated from the US sub-prime mortgage market and spread over to the
entire world as a contagion. The capital market of India delivered a sluggish performance.
The study is based on secondary sources adopted from Bombay Stock Exchange Index. The
data analysis has been done by using suitable statistical tools and techniques, wherever
necessary.
In the present study the secondary data was used. Secondary data were collected
from Bombay Stock Exchange Index. The researcher referred books, journals, magazines,
The period selected for the study is covered for nine months April to December 2021
(01.04.2021 to 31.12.2021). This period has been considered for analysis, the study gives clear
The period of study is confined only nine months April to December 2021 (01.04.2021 to
31.12.2021).
Data is collected from secondary sources like Bombay Stock Exchange Index. Since their
nature and methodologies are heterogeneous, there would be some obvious limitations on the
Chapter I - The first chapter deals with introduction and design of the study it’s includes
statement of the problem, scope and objective of the study, review of literature research
Chapter II - The second chapter deals with an overview of stock price movements.
Chapter III - The third chapter is related to the profile of the banks.
Chapter IV - The chapter considers a detailed analysis and interpretation of the data. This
Chapter V - This chapter deals with the summary of findings, suggestions and conclusion
shocking amounts) in a single trading day. Novice investors may wonder why this is the case.
To help you understand, here is a basic overview of some of the forces that cause this
volatility. Read on to learn about the way the stock market works and how stock prices are set.
First, realize that the stock market is in essence an auction, with one party wanting to sell
its ownership in a particular company, and another party wanting to buy ownership. When the
two parties agree upon a price, the trade is matched and that becomes the new market quotation
funds, index funds, or pension plans. In many cases, you won't have any idea who is on the other
The number of trades is called the trading volume, and it can indicate how "hot" a
particular stock is, or how much interest there is in it from other investors. It can also give traders
an idea of how easy it will be to get into or out of a position in a certain stock.
Stock prices are affected by supply and demand. Because the stock market functions as
an auction, when there are more buyers than there are sellers, the price has to adapt or no trades
are made. This tends to drive the price upwards, increasing the market quotation at which
investors can sell their shares and enticing investors to sell who had previously not been
interested in selling.
On the other hand, when sellers outnumber buyers and there is less demand, whoever is
willing to take the lowest bid sets the price, resulting in a race to the bottom.
When large amounts of stock are dumped on the market at once, it can be a problem. For
example, during the financial crisis of 2007-2009, firms such as Lehman Brothers were forced to
dump everything they could to try and raise cash as they struggled with bankruptcy, as many of
their assets were illiquid. 1 This flooded the market with securities that were worth far more to a
long-term buyer than the price at which Lehman was willing to sell.
2.4 WHAT INFLUENCES BUYER AND SELLERS
On a typical day, the value of shares of stock doesn't move much. You'll see prices go up
and down by a percentage point or two, with occasional larger swings.But sometimes, events can
It could be caused by an earnings report that shows good or bad financial news. It may be
a major financial news event, such as an interest rate hike. Or it could even be a natural disaster,
such as a hurricane, that is likely to have far-reaching consequences. Any of these events could
trigger a reaction in the market, causing investors to rush to sell or to buy.2 These reactions could
be based on emotion, or could they could be the result of a calculated decision, but either way,
Investing style can vary widely, and affect the sale of stock. For example, suppose a
particular company issues a poor earnings report. Some holders of that company's stock may
panic, selling their shares and driving the price down as supply exceeds demand. On the other
hand, some investors may see the bad news as temporary and spot an opportunity to scoop up
some other metric—can drive stock prices to extremes. Contrast them with investors who care
only to purchase stock at a discount from its worth, with the confidence it will grow in value
over time.
Generally, investors who use the value investing method choose to buy or sell shares
based on their evaluation of the company's balance sheet, and their overall impression of whether
Primary market
Stocks available for the first time are offered through new issue market. The issuer may
be a new company. These issues may be of new type or the security used in the past. In the new
issue market the issuer can be considered as a manufacturer. The issuing houses, investment
bankers and brokers act as the channel of distribution for the new issues. They take the
A total of Rs. 2,520,179 million were raised by the government and corporate sector
during 2002-03 as against Rs. 2,269,110 million during the preceding year. Government raised
about two third of the total resources, with central government alone raising nearly Rs. 1,511,260
million.
Corporate Securities
Average annual capital mobilization from the primary market, which used to be about
Rs.70 crore in the 1960s and about Rs.90 crore in the 1970s, increased manifold during the
1980s, with the amount raised in 1990-91 being Rs. 4,312 crore. It received a further boost
during the 1990s with the capital raised by non-government public companies rising sharply to
Rs. 26,417 crore in 1994-95. The capital raised which used to be less than 1% of gross domestic
saving (GDS) in the 1970s increased to about 13% in 1992-93. In real terms, the capital raised
increased 4 times between 1990-91 and 1994-95. During 1994-95, the amount raised through
new issues of securities from the securities market accounted for about four-fifth of the
disbursements by FIs. Issuers have shifted focus to other avenues for raising resources like
private placement.
There is a preference for raising resources in the primary market through private
placement of debt instruments. Private placements accounted for about 93% of total resources
mobilized through domestic issues by the corporate sector during 2002-03. Rapid dismantling of
shackles on institutional investments and deregulation of the economy are driving growth of this
segment. There are several inherent advantages of relying on private placement route for raising
resources. While it is cost and time effective method of raising funds and can be structured to
meet the needs of the entrepreneurs, it does not require detailed compliance with formalities as
required in public or rights issues. It is believed in some circles that private placement has
crowded out public issues. However, to prevent public issues from being passed on as private
placement, the Companies (Amendment) Act, 2001 considers offer of securities to more than 50
through euro issues. Since 1992, when they were permitted access, Indian companies have raised
about Rs. 34,264 million through ADRs/GDRs. By the end of March 2003, 502 FIIs were
registered with SEBI. They had net cumulative investments over of US $ 15.8 billion by the end
of March 2003. Their operations influence the market as they do delivery-based business and
people prefer mutual funds as their investment vehicle, thanks to evolution of a regulatory
framework for mutual funds, tax concessions offered by government and preference of investors
for passive investing. The net collections by MFs picked up during this decade and increased to
Rs. 199,530 million during 1999-00. This declined to Rs. 111,350 million during 2000-01 which
may be attributed to increase in rate of tax on income distributed by debt oriented mutual funds
The total collection of mutual funds for 2002-03 has been Rs. 105,378 million. Starting
with an asset base of Rs. 250 million in 1964, the total assets under management at the end of
March 2003 was Rs. 794,640 million. The number of households owning units of MFs exceeds
the number of households owning equity and debentures. At the end of financial year March
2003, according to a SEBI press release 23 million unit holders had invested in units of MFs,
Government Securities
The primary issues of the Central Government have increased many-fold during the
decade of 1990s from Rs. 89,890 million in 1990-91 to Rs. 1,511,260 million in 2002-03. The
issues by state governments increased by about twelve times from Rs. 25,690 million to Rs.
308,530 million during the same period. The Central Government mobilised Rs. 1,250,000
million through issue of dated securities and Rs. 261,260 million through issue of T-bills. After
meeting repayment liabilities of Rs. 274,200 million for dated securities, and redemption of T-
bills of Rs. 195,880 million, net market borrowing of Central Government amounted to Rs.
1,041,180 million for the year 2002-03. The state governments collectively raised Rs. 305,830
million during 2002-03 as against Rs. 187,070 million in the preceding year. The net borrowings
of State Governments in 2002-03 amounted to Rs. 290,640 million. Along with growth of the
market, the investor base has become very wide. In addition to banks and insurance companies,
corporates and individual investors are investing in government securities. With dismantling of
control regime, and gradual lowering of the SLR and CRR, Government is borrowing at near–
market rates. The coupons across maturities went down recently signifying lower interest rates.
The weighted average cost of its borrowing at one stage increased to 13.75% in 1995- 96, which
declined to 7.34% in 2002-03. The maturity structure of government debt is also changing. In
view of bunching of redemption liabilities in the medium term, securities with higher maturities
were issued during 2002-03. About 64% of primary issues were raised through securities with
maturities above 5 years and up to 10 years. As a result the weighted average maturity of dated
1. The new issues market cannot function without the secondary market. The
secondary market or the stock market provides liquidity for the issued securities.
The issued securities are traded in the secondary market offering liquidity to the
primary market. The company seeking for listing on the respective stock
exchange has to comply with all the rules and regulations given by the stock
exchange.
3. The primary market provides a direct link between the prospective investors and
the company. By providing liquidity and safety, the stock markets encourage the
public to subscribe to the new issues. The marketability and the capital
appreciation provided in the stock market are the major factors that attract the
investing public towards the stock market. Thus, it provides an indirect link
4. Even though they are complementary to each other, their functions and the
organizational set up are different from each other. The health of the primary
The main service functions of the primary market are organization, underwriting and
distribution. Origination deals with the origin of the new issue. The proposal is analyzed in terms
of the nature of the security, the size of the issue, and timing of the issue and floatation method
of the issue. Underwriting contract makes the share predictable and removes the element of
uncertainty in the subscription. Distribution refers to the lead managers and brokers to the issue.
In the new issue market stocks are offered for the first time. The functions and the
organization of the new issue market is different from the secondary market. In the new issue the
lead mangers manage the issue, the underwriters assure to take up the unsubscribed portion
according to his commitment for a commission and the bankers take up the responsibility of the
collecting the application form and the money. Advertising agencies promote the new issue
through advertising. Financial institutions and underwriter lend term loans to the company.
Government agencies regulate the issue. The new issues are offered through prospectus. The
prospectus is drafted according to SEBI guidelines disclosing the needed information to the
investing public. In the bought out deal banks or a company buys the promoters shares and they
offer them to the public at a later date. This reduces the cost of raising the fund. Private
placement means placing of the issue with financial institutions. They sell shares to the investors
at a suitable price. Right issue means the allotment of shares to the previous shareholders at a
pro-ratio basis. Book building involves firm allotment of the instrument to a syndicate created by
the lead managers. The book runner manages the issue. Norms are given by the SEBI to price the
issue. Proportionate allotment method is adopted in the allocation of shares. Project appraisal,
disclosure in the prospectus and clearance of the prospectus by the stock exchanges protect the
investors in the primary market along with the active role played by the SEBI
Secondary market
The market for long-term securities like bonds, equity stocks and preferred stocks is
divided into primary market and secondary market. The primary market deals with the new
issues of securities. Outstanding securities are traded in the secondary market, which is
commonly known as stock market or stock exchange. In the secondary market, the investors can
sell and buy securities. Stock markets predominantly deal in the equity shares. Debt instruments
like bonds and debentures are also traded in the stock market. Well-regulated and active stock
market promotes capital formation. Growth of the primary market depends on the secondary
market. The health of the economy is reflected by the growth of the stock market.
Corporate Securities
The number of stock exchanges increased from 11 in 1990 to 23 now. All the exchanges
are fully computerised and offer 100% on-line trading. 9,413 companies were available for
trading on stock exchanges at the end of March 2003. The trading platform of the stock
exchanges was accessible to 9,519 members from over 358 cities on the same date.
The market capitalisation grew ten fold between 1990-91 and 1999-00. It increased by
221% during 1991-92 and by 107% during 1999-00. All India market capitalisation is estimated
at Rs. 6,319,212 million at the end of March 2003. The market capitalisation ratio, which
indicates the size of the market, increased sharply to 57.4% in 1991-92 following spurt in share
prices. The ratio further increased to 85% by March 2000. It, however, declined to 55% at the
The trading volumes on exchanges have been witnessing phenomenal growth during the
1990s. The average daily turnover grew from about Rs.1500 million in 1990 to Rs. 120,000
million in 2000, peaking at over Rs. 200,000 million. One-sided turnover on all stock exchanges
exceeded Rs. 10,000,000 million during 1998-99, Rs. 20,000,000 million during 1999-00 and
approached Rs. 30,000,000 million during 2000-01. However, the trading volume substantially
depleted to Rs.9,689,541 million in 2002-03. The turnover ratio, which reflects the volume of
trading in relation to the size of the market, has been increasing by leaps and bounds after the
advent of screen based trading system by the NSE. The turnover ratio for the year 2002-03
increased to 375 but fell substantially due to bad market conditions to 119 during 2001-02
The relative importance of various stock exchanges in the market has undergone dramatic
change during this decade. The increase in turnover took place mostly at the large big exchanges
and it was partly at the cost of small exchanges that failed to keep pace with the changes. NSE is
the market leader with more 85% of total turnover (volumes on all segments) in 2002-03. Top 5
stock exchanges accounted for 99.88% of turnover, while the rest 18 exchange for less than
0.12% during 2002-03. About ten exchanges reported nil turnover during the year.
When company management has different objectives than its outside investors, "agency”
and "information" problems may result. For example, management may exert less than optimal
effort, may pursue goals that simply enhance its own power and control, or may squander or
divert company resources. In addition, to the extent that management is better informed than
outside investors about the company's financial situation, this creates an informational
asymmetry. This, in turn, may result in management being unable to convince its outside
consequence, management also may find that it is not able to raise as much capital as it wants or
needs to finance new projects, or that management may have to surrender too much of the value
of the firm to raise the capital it wants or needs. "Governance" refers to the various mechanisms
that exist to mitigate these agency and information problems. These mechanisms are numerous,
some involving capital markets (e.g., facilitation of corporate control via takeover) while others
do not, at least not directly (e.g., the role of the board of directors as a monitoring device). These
major mechanisms will be discussed. We use the term "market-based governance" to refer to the
role of capital markets in alleviating the agency and information problems, by functioning as an
effective conduit for monitoring and controlling management's sub optimal behavior. Market-
based governance may take different forms. However, generally speaking, such governance takes
the form of facilitating the monitoring of management by outsiders, and aggregating information
—in the form of equilibrium prices (or price discovery)—to help guide management decisions
As noted, secondary equity markets serve as a conduit for monitoring and controlling
management by outsiders. First, markets generate information that helps outside investors
Evaluate the quality of past management decisions. Second, the threat of a takeover may
effective incentives for management. And fourth, the rich menu of contracts provided in the
market allows private workouts of financial distress, easing the transfer of control.
For purposes of our analysis below, we have divided monitoring into two categories
Market-based monitoring
I. 1 Active Shareholders:
The secondary equity market can facilitate effective monitoring by providing the ability
mismanagement. Secondary equity markets provide the means for launching a credible takeover
Management could be aligned with its outside shareholders through a proper structuring
When issuing securities to the public, the underwriting investment bankers monitor
management. When certifying a firm that hires them to sell its securities, these investment
Management reports directly to the board, and the board has a fiduciary obligation to stay
informed of management's major activities. The board has the power to terminate management
that does not act in the best interests of the company's shareholders. The key to a board's being
an effective monitoring mechanism is its independence. In this regard, the composition of the
board, especially the presence of outside board members, is critical to its effectiveness as a
monitor.
Banks closely monitor their business borrowers, and collect information and scrutinize
major investment and financing decisions. In doing so, they can threaten to withhold financing
should management act in a manner contrary to the banks' interests. Monitoring via business
groups. In some countries, such as Japan and Korea, corporate actions are coordinated within a
family of interrelated firms, with a main bank at the center. Firms in the group are interconnected
through intricate vertical and horizontal business relationships and cross-ownership. Members of
the business group, with the lead participation of the main bank, closely monitor the actions of a
The four main legislations governing the securities market are: (a) the SEBI Act, 1992 which
establishes SEBI to protect investors and develop and regulate securities market; (b) the
Companies Act, 1956, which sets out the code of conduct for the corporate sector in relation to
issue, allotment and transfer of securities, and disclosures to be made in public issues; (c) the
Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956, which provides for regulation of transactions in
securities through control over stock exchanges; and (d) the Depositories Act, 1996 which
provides for electronic maintenance and transfer of ownership of demat securities. Government
has framed rules under the SCRA, SEBI Act and the Depositories Act. SEBI has framed
regulations under the SEBI Act and the Depositories Act for registration and regulation of all
market intermediaries, and for prevention of unfair trade practices, insider trading, etc. Under
these Acts, Government and SEBI issue notifications, guidelines, and circulars which need to be
complied with by market participants. The SROs like stock exchanges have also laid down their
rules of game.
Economic Affairs (DEA), Department of Company Affairs (DCA), Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
and SEBI. The activities of these agencies are co-ordinated by the High Level Committee on
Capital Markets. Most of the powers under the SCRA are exercisable by DEA while a few others
by SEBI. The powers of the DEA under the SCRA are also con-currently exercised by SEBI.
The powers in respect of the contracts for sale and purchase of securities, gold related securities,
money market securities and securities derived from these securities and ready forward contracts
in debt securities are exercised concurrently by RBI. The SEBI Act and the Depositories Act are
mostly administered by SEBI. The rules and regulations under the securities laws are
administered by SEBI. The powers under the Companies Act relating to issue and transfer of
securities and non-payment of dividend are administered by SEBI in case of listed public
companies and public companies proposing to get their securities listed. The SROs ensure
The legal system governs both the rights of management and the rights of investors. The
legal system also specifies the recourse available to investors. Recent research indicates that
countries vary in the level of protection afforded to minority shareholders (LaPorta et al, 1996).
Generally, countries with common-law traditions afford the highest protection, while civil-law
countries, particularly the French civil-law systems, provide the least amount of protection.
For purposes of this paper, the main focus and emphasis are on market-based governance
services.
B. Information Production.
Markets serve to aggregate the diverse opinions held by investors regarding the financial
comes to its investment decisions. This price discovery role of secondary equity markets
is well recognized. Prices aggregate the diverse opinions and convey that collective wisdom to
management. This flow of information from the market to the firm might be especially relevant
in today's economy, since consensus on the optimal management actions is so difficult to achieve
Maintains active trading: shares are traded on the stock exchanges, enabling the
investors to buy and sell securities. The prices may vary from transactions to
investors’ demand and suppliers’ preferences. Usually the traded prices are made
known to the public. This helps the investors to make better decisions.
Ensures safe and fair dealing: The rules, regulations and by-laws of the stock
conducted under competitive conditions enabling the investors to get a fair deal.
favourable climate for raising capital. The negotiability and transferability of the
securities helps the companies to raise long-term funds. When it is easy to trade
the securities, investors are willing to subscribe to the initial public offerings. This
various publications. They publish the share prices traded on daily basis along
with the volume traded. Directory of Corporate Information is useful for the
companies. This makes the corporate more concerned with its public image and
safeguards the investors against unfair trade practices. It settles the dispute
In order to deepen the understanding and knowledge about Indian capital market, and to
assist in policy-making, SEBI has been promoting high quality research in capital market. It has
set up an in-house research department, which brings out working papers on a regular basis. In
collaboration with NCAER, SEBI brought out a ‘Survey of Indian Investors’, which estimates
investor population in India and their investment preferences. SEBI has also tied up with reputed
national and international academic and research institutions for conducting research
studies/projects on various issues related to the capital market. In order to improve market
efficiency further and to set international benchmarks in the securities industry, NSE administers
a scheme called the NSE Research Initiative with a view to develop an information base and a
better insight into the working of securities market in India. The objective of this initiative is to
foster research, which can support and facilitate (a) stock exchanges to better design market
micro-structure, (b) participants to frame their strategies in the market place, (c) regulators to
frame regulations, (d) policy makers to formulate policies, and (e) expand the horizon of
The intermediaries, of all shapes and sizes, who package and sell securities, compete with
one another for the chance to handle investors/issuers’ money. The quality of their services
determines the shape and health of the securities market. In developed markets and in some of
the developing markets, this is ensured through a system of testing and certification of persons
joining market intermediaries in the securities market. A testing and certification mechanism that
has become extremely popular and is sought after by the candidates as well as employers is a
unique on-line testing and certification programme called National Stock Exchange’s
and certification system where the entire process from generation of question paper, invigilation,
testing, assessing, scores reporting and certifying is fully automated - there is absolutely no scope
for human intervention. It allows tremendous flexibility in terms of testing centres, dates and
timing and provides easy accessibility and convenience to candidates as he can be tested at any
time and from any location. It tests practical knowledge and skills, that are required to operate in
financial markets, in a very secure and unbiased manner, and certifies personnel who have a
proper understanding of the market and business and skills to service different constituents of the
.
CHAPTER – II
BANK PROFILE
Indian Bank is one of the indigenous banks of India that emerged as a result of the Swadeshi
Movement during the British Raj. The bank was established on 15th of August, 1907. One of the
prime figures associated with the establishment of the bank was V. Krishnaswamy Iyer, a lawyer
from Madras (Now Chennai). The bank soon spread its wings outside India too, and opened its
branch in Colombo, Sri Lanka in the year 1932 and Rangoon, Burma in 1940. The bank was
Global Presence
The modest beginning made by the Indian Bank has come a long way since then, with 1642
branches located nationwide within India and Overseas branches in Singapore and Colombo as
of April 2009. The bank also has 40 Overseas Correspondent banks in 70 countries, giving a
strong presence internationally. A 22,000 strong workforce of dedicated employees takes pride in
Banking Activities
Indian Bank offers a wide variety of Banking Products and Services to its customers, including
various Deposit Schemes, Loan Options, Financial Services, Stock Investment Services and a
number of specialized services such as Remittance, Collection, 7 Day Banking Branches, Cash
Management and Electronic Funds Transfer. As of April 2009, the bank has Core Banking
Solution (CBS) implemented in its 1642 branches and 66 extension counters. The bank has 755
Canara Bank provides various banking products and services primarily in India. The company
offers personal banking products and services, including savings, current, fixed, and recurring
deposits, as well as auto renewal deposits, deposit schemes for senior citizens, and other
deposits; and loan products comprising housing loans, home improvement loans, vehicle loans,
teachers loans, gold loans, pension loans, mortgage loans, reverse mortgage loans for senior
citizens, loans for medical practitioners, and education loans. Canara Bank's personal banking
products and services also comprise ATM and debit cards, inter-bank funds transfer and
electronic funds transfer services, mutual fund products, insurance products, foreign exchange
and international banking services, credit cards, consultancy services, and depository services, as
well as safe deposit lockers, custody services, and retail sale of gold coins. The company was
founded as Canara Bank Hindu Permanent Fund in 1906 and its office is based in Karnataka.
Headquarters
State Bank of India (SBI) is that country's largest commercial bank. The government-
controlled bank--the Indian government maintains a stake of nearly 60 percent in SBI through
the central Reserve Bank of India--also operates the world's largest branch network, with more
than 13,500 branch offices throughout India, staffed by nearly 220,000 employees. SBI is also
present worldwide, with seven international subsidiaries in the United States, Canada, Nepal,
Bhutan, Nigeria, Mauritius, and the United Kingdom, and more than 50 branch offices in 30
countries. Long an arm of the Indian government's infrastructure, agricultural, and industrial
development policies, SBI has been forced to revamp its operations since competition was
introduced into the country's commercial banking system. As part of that effort, SBI has been
rolling out its own network of automated teller machines, as well as developing anytime-
anywhere banking services through Internet and other technologies. SBI also has taken
advantage of the deregulation of the Indian banking sector to enter the bancassurance, assets
management, and securities brokering sectors. In addition, SBI has been working on reigning in
its branch network, reducing its payroll, and strengthening its loan portfolio. In 2003, SBI
Bank of Baroda (BOB) is an Indian government owned banking and financial services
company. It is the third largest public sector bank in India, with 131 million customers, a total
business of US$218 billion, and a global presence of 100 overseas offices. Based on 2019 data, it
The government of India announced the merger of Bank of Baroda, Vijaya Bank and Dena Bank
on September 17, 2018, to create the country's third largest lender. The amalgamation is the first-
ever three-way consolidation of banks in the country, with a combined business of Rs14.82
trillion (short scale), making it the third largest bank after State Bank of India (SBI) and ICICI
Bank.[6]
The Maharaja of Baroda, Maharaja Sayajirao Gaekwad III, founded the bank on 20 July 1908 in
the Princely State of Baroda, in Gujarat.[7] The Government of India nationalized the bank,
along with 13 other major commercial banks of India on 19 July 1969; the bank has been
1. Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) was founded on 10th February 1937 by Shri. M.Ct.M.
2. The Bank was founded by him with the main objective of specializing in foreign exchange
4. At the dawn of Independence IOB had 38 branches in India and 7 branches abroad -and
Deposits stood at Rs.6.64 Crores and Advances at Rs.3.23 Crores at that time.
5. IOB was one of the 14 major banks that were nationalized in 1969. On the eve of
Nationalization in 1969, IOB had 195 branches in India with aggregate deposits of Rs.67.70
6. Bank Presently has its Overseas Presence in 4 Countries Singapore, Hongkong, Thailand
and Srilanka.
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK PROFILE
Punjab National Bank (PNB), India’s first Swadeshi Bank, commenced its operations on
April 12, 1895 from Lahore, with an authorised capital of Rs 2 lac and working capital of Rs
20,000. The Bank was established by the spirit of nationalism and was the first bank purely
managed by Indians with Indian Capital. During the long history of the Bank, 9 banks have been
merged with PNB. Post amalgamation of OBC & UNI w.e.f 01.04.2021, PNB has expanded its
presence across India with a network of 10925 branches, 13914 ATMs & 12346 Business
Correspondents as at the end of 31st December’2021. PNB is the second largest Public Sector
Bank (PSB) in the country with Global Business at Rs.18,09,587 crore. The Bank continues to
maintain its forte in low cost CASA deposits with a share of 44.66%. Bank’s focus has been on
4.1 INTRODUCTION
The process by which sense and meaning are made of the data gathered in qualitative
research, and by which the emergent knowledge is applied to clients' problems. This data
often takes the form of records of group discussions and interviews, but is not limited to
this. Through processes of revisiting and immersion in the data, and through complex
activities of structuring, re-framing or otherwise exploring it, the researcher looks for
patterns and insights relevant to the key research issues and uses these to address the
and supporting decision-making. Data analysis has multiple facets and approaches,
Data mining is a particular data analysis technique that focuses on modeling and
focuses on discovering new features in the data and CDA on confirming or falsifying
and structural techniques to extract and classify information from textual sources, a species
of unstructured data. All are varieties of data analysis. Data integration is a precursor to
data analysis, and data analysis is closely linked to data visualization and data
dissemination. The term data analysis is sometimes used as a synonym for data modeling.
TABLE- 4.1
SUMMARY RESULT
Mean 37736.71
Median 38069.53
Mode 30196.17
Range 39525.83
Minimum 8220.39
Maximum 47746.22
The above table shows that the sensex movements during the period from April 2021 to
December 2021. In this data found 188 days during the period of study from SENSEX and the
summary of statistics showed that the Mean 37736.71, Standard Deviation 5276.90, Range
39525.83, Co-Efficient of Variation 1.02. Sensex volatility Maximum reached 47746.22 and
Median is 38069.53. It is concluded that the SENSEX movements increased during the period
of study and described that the positive sign from the sensex even after covid pandemic.
SENSEX
100
150
200
250
300
0
50
192.5
178.850000000001
166.4
161.3
177.15
184.6
188.6
190.75
191.45
201.9
209.850000000001
FIGURE – 1
204.05
10 Days moving average
185.8
188.75
195.95
188.7
234.2
243.850000000001
271.9
SENSEX MOVEMENTS FROM 1.4.2021 TO 31.12.2021 10 Days Moving Average
254.7
276.9
TABLE 4.2
SUMMARY RESULT
2
Mean
01.46
Standard Error
2.21
1
Median
92.13
1
Mode
86.55
Standard Deviation
30.31
1
Range
26.85
Minimum
150.85
Maximum
277.70
Co-efficient of Variation
276.70
from April 2021 to December 2021. In this data found 188 days during the period of study.
The summary of statistics showed that the Mean 201.46, Standard Deviation 30.31,
Range 126.85 and Co-Efficient of Variation 267.70. The share price movements from
01-04-2021 to3 1-12-2021. It is concluded that the share price movements increased
during the period of study and described that the positive sign from the State bank Ltd
100
150
200
250
300
0
50
192.5
178.85
166.4
161.3
177.15
184.6
188.6
190.75
191.45
201.9
FIGURE 2
209.85
204.05
188.75
10 DAYS MOVEING AVERAGE
188.75
195.95
188.7
234.2
STATE BANK OF INDIA –SUMMARY OF STATISTICS
243.85
271.9
254.7
274.95
TABLE 4.3
SUMMARY RESULT
Mean 47.79867
Median 46.85
Mode 48.35
Range 30.65
Minimum 36.5
Maximum 67.15
The above table BANK OF BARODA FIRST BANK share price movements
during the period from April 2021 to December 2021. In this data found 188 days during
the period of study. The summary of statistics showed that the Mean 47.79867 , Standard
Deviation , Range 6.319502 and Co-Efficient of Variation 66.15. The share price
movements increased during the periodofstudyand described that the positive sign from the
BANK OF BARODA FIRST bank Ltd because of share price changed increased
100
150
200
250
300
50
0
192.5
178.850000000001
166.4
161.3
177.15
184.6
188.6
190.75
191.45
201.9
FIGURE 4.3
209.850000000001
10 Days Moving Average
204.05
185.8
188.75
195.95
188.7
BANK OF BARODA Ltd MOVEMNT FROM 01-04-2021 to 31-12-2021
234.2
243.850000000001
271.9
274.95
TABILE 4.4
SUMMARY RESULT
SOURCE:
Mean 60.63723
NIFTY – Complied by
Standard Error 0.802759
Researcher Median 60.125 N=188 days
April 2021 to December 2021. In this data found 188 days during the period of study. The
summary of statistics showed that the Mean 60.63723 , Standard Deviation , Range 6.319502
and Co-Efficient of Variation 66.15. The share price movements from 01-04-2021 to 31-12-
2021. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of studyand
described that the positive sign from the BANK OF BARODA FIRST bank Ltd because of share
100
150
200
250
300
50
0
192.5
178.850000000001
166.4
161.3
177.15
184.6
188.6
190.75
191.45
201.9
FIGURE 4.4
209.850000000001
204.05
10 Days Moving Average
185.8
188.75
188.7
234.2
INDIAN BANK LTD MOVEMENT from 01-04-2021 TO 31-12-2021
243.850000000001
271.9
254.7
274.95
TABILE -4.5
SUMMARY RESULT
9
Mean
8.12248
0
Standard Error
.881002
Median
100
Mode
89.4
1
Standard Deviation
2.0 4752
Range
60.6
Minimum
76.4
Maximum
137
Co-efficient of Variation
136
2021 to December 2021. In this data found 188 days during the period of study. The
summary of statistics showed that the Mean 98.12246 , Standard Deviation 12.04752,
Range 60.6 and Co-Efficient of Variation 136. The share price movements from 01-04-
2021 to 31-12-2021. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the
period of study and described that the positive sign from the CANARA BANK Ltd
because of share price changed increased 77.16% during the period of study.
FIGURE – 4.5
300
276.9
263
256.3
250
226.8
207.95
202.8
198.5
191.45
188.75
186.25
186.8
200
184.6
180.9
155.3
CANARA BANK
150
100
50
0
TABILE 4.6
SUMMARY RESULT
Mean 9.621505
Median 10.1
Mode 9.25
Range 12.05
Minimum 1.05
Maximum 13.1
The above table IOB bank share price movements during the period from April 2021 to
December 2021. In this data found 188 days during the period of study. The summary of
statistics showed that the Mean 9.621505, Standard Deviation 1.534828, Range 12.05
and Co-Efficient of Variation 12.1. The share price movements from 01-04-2021 to 31-
12-2021. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of
study and described that the positive sign from the IOB bank Ltd because of share price
192.5
178.850000000001
166.4
161.3
177.15
184.6
188.6
190.75
191.45
201.9
209.850000000001
FIGURE 4.6
204.05
10 Days Moving Average
185.8
188.75
195.95
188.7
234.2
INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK LTD MOVEMENT FROM 01-04-2021 TO 31-1-2021
243.850000000001
271.9
254.7
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
277.7
TABILE 4.7
SUMMARY RESULT
Mean 31.9961
Median 32.27
Mode 32.85
Range 14.65
Minimum 26.6
Maximum 41.25
to 31.12.21)
The above table PUNJAB NATINAL BANK share price movements during the period
from April 2021 to December 2021. In this data found 188 days during the period of study. The
summary of statistics showed that the Mean31.9961 , Standard Deviation 3.342288 , Range
14.65 and Co-Efficient of Variation 40.25. The share price movements from 01-04-2021 to 31-
12-2021. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of study
and described that the positive sign from the PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK Ltd because of share
0
100
150
200
250
300
50
192.5
178.850000000001
166.4
161.3
177.15
184.6
188.6
190.75
191.45
FIGURE – 4.7
201.9
209.850000000001
204.05
10 DAYS MOVEING AVERAGE
185.8
188.75
195.95
188.7
234.2
243.850000000001
271.9
254.7
276.9
CHAPTER – V
5.1 INTRODUCTION
Stock prices change every day by market forces. By this we mean that share
prices change because of supply and demand. If more people want to buy a stock (demand) than
sell it (supply), then the price moves up. Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock than
buy it, there would be greater supply than demand, and the price would fall. Understanding
supply and demand is easy. What is difficult to comprehend is what makes people like a
particular stock and dislike another stock. This comes down to figuring out what news is positive
for a company and what news is negative. There are many answers to this problem and just about
any investor you ask has their own ideas and strategies.
5.2 FINDINGS
Sensex movements found that 188 days from 1-4-2021 to 31-12-2021. Mean ,
Standard Deviation 5276.90, Range 39525.83, Co-Efficient of Variation 1.02. Sensex volatility
Maximum reached 47746.22 and Median is 38069.53. It is concluded that the SENSEX
movements increased during the period of study and described that the positive sign from the
State bank of india movements found that 188 days from 01-04-2021 to 31-12-
2021. Mean 201.46, Standard Deviation 30.31, Range 126.85 and Co-Efficient of Variation
71
276.70. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of study and
described that the positive sign from the State bank of india Ltd because of share price changed
Bank of baroda movements found that 188 days from 01-04-2021 to 31-12-2021.
Mean 47.79867, Standard Deviation 6.319502, Range 30.65 and Co-Efficient of Variation 66.
15. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of study and
described that the positive sign from the Bank of baroda Ltd because of share price increased
Indian bank movements found that 188 days from 01-04-2021 to 31-12-2021.
Mean 60.63723, Standard Deviation 11.00687- Range 52.25 and Co-Efficient of Variation
94.9. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of study and
described that the positive sign from the Bank of baroda Ltd because of share price increased
Canara bank movements found that 188 days from 01-04-2021 to 31-12-2021.
Mean 98.12246, Standard Deviation 12.04752- Range 60.6 and Co-Efficient of Variation 136.
It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of study and
described that the positive sign from the Canara bank Ltd because of share price increased
Indian overseas bank movements found that 188 days from 01-04-2021 to 31-12-
2021. Mean 9.621505, Standard Deviation 1.534828 - Range 12.05 and Co-Efficient of
Variation 12.1.It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of
study and described that the positive sign from the Indian overseas bank Ltd because of share
72
Punjab national bank movements found that 188 days from 01-04-2021 to 31-12-
2021. Mean 31.9961, Standard Deviation 3.342288 - Range 14.65 and Co-Efficient of Variation
40.25. It is concluded that the share price movements increased during the period of study and
described that the positive sign from the Indian overseas bank Ltd because of share price
5.3 SUGGESTION
market, about the company and industry before making any investment
decisions.
It is suggested to sell the overvalued shares such as HCL technologies and mind
Investing in one share alone is not suggested as returns may not be favourable
always. Investing in multiple or diversified shares reduces the risk and provides
a stable returns.
Using technical chart analysis you can analyze stock market or individual market
Many people afraid that technical analysis of stock charts is complicated issue.
Well it can be if you want use many tools and indicators available.
73
When using chart analysis you’ll find everything important about the company’s
shares is included in the price, and therefore you need only watch and analyze
price movements. That’s great because you don’t need to learn to read annual
And if you are investor who likes to study fundamental values then it is good for
you too. Technical reading of a price chart will provide very important know how
The most vital problem spotted is of ignorance. Investors should be made aware
of the benefits. Nobody will invest until and unless he is fully convinced.
Investors should be made to realize that ignorance is no longer bliss and what they
Before making any investment financial advisors should first enquire about the
risk tolerance of the investors/customers, their need and time (how long they want
to invest). By considering these three things they can take the customers into
consideration. This analysis of share price charts also provides a good info that
The technical chart reading give you necessary info that should be used when you
make decision what to do with opened trade or with portfolio. You can decide
74
5.4 CONCLUSION
The banking company role is vital in Indian Economy. The stock market is
moving on day by day increase and decrease but investor should know the stock concepts
because of safety of investment. Basically investors should aware the stock market before
investment but investor is not understood stock concepts and related factors. In this study one
parameter used how to buy the shares in public sector banks stocks in India. The moving average
is best choose of selection of stock price movements, stock volatility, technical analysis concepts
also used in this study. Even though market movements watch moving average basis because
moving average determined up trend and low trend of stock price movements. The moving
average was observed during the study period public sector bank was good movements after
covid pandemic not only India and also allover world good trend in industrial sector.
75