2012 Weaver Carbon Markets

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Marine Sail Transport and Carbon Markets:

Opportunities and Challenges


Sustainable Sea Transport Talanoa,
28-30 November, USP, Fiji

Dr Sean Weaver, Principal, Carbon Partnership


sean@carbonpartnership.co.nz
www.carbonpartnership.co.nz
Why reduce
Marine Sail Transport emissions ?
and Carbon Markets:
Opportunities and Challenges
700

CO2 concentration at 2100 (upper end projections)


600

Why reduce
Marine Sail Transport emissions ?
and Carbon Markets:
Opportunities
CO2 concentration at 2100 and
(lowerChallenges
end projections)
500

Current CO2 concentration 400

350ppm
Safe level for CO2 10 300

5 250
CO2
ppm
0 200
Temp
-5 150

-10 100
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
Age 100,000 years b.p.
Source = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

Why reduce
Marine Sail Transport emissions ?
and Carbon Markets:
Opportunities and Challenges
Source = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels
The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns
Towards Tripling CO2
an overwhelming Herculean Challenge
Billions of tons carbon emitted per year

Concentrations
into seven monumental tasks
14

p ath
t ed Emissions to be
edic
pr avoided
ntly
rre
Cu Stabilisation Triangle 7 Billion Tons
carbon per year
7 over 50 years
Flat path

2012 2062 Avoid Doubling CO2


Concentrations
Source = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns


Towards Tripling CO2
an overwhelming Herculean Challenge
Billions of tons carbon emitted per year

Concentrations
into seven monumental tasks
14 7 ‘Wedges’ are
needed to build the
Stabilisation Triangle

p ath
t ed Emissions to be
edic
pr avoided
ntly
rre
Cu 1 ‘Wedge’
Avoids 1 Billion tons
of carbon emissions
7
per year by 2062
Flat path

2012 2062 Avoid Doubling CO2


Concentrations
Source = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns


Towards Tripling CO2
an overwhelming Herculean Challenge
Billions of tons carbon emitted per year

Concentrations
into seven monumental tasks
14
50 fold
expansion of
p ath wind energy
t ed
edic
pr
ntly
rre
Cu

7
Flat path

2012 2062 Avoid Doubling CO2


Concentrations
Source = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

The Stabilisation Wedges concept turns


an overwhelming Herculean Challenge
into seven monumental tasks

50 fold
expansion of
wind energy
Source = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels

For Example,
Go from this…
50 fold
expansion of
wind energy
Source = Approx 80% Fossil Fuels
If you’ve got a
couple of
How do carbon
spare weeks I
markets work?
will explain
50 fold
expansion of
wind energy

…to this

One option is to seek co-financing through carbon markets


We can make a
start by looking at
it from a seller
How do carbon
point of view
markets work?

A marine sail transport programme is a potential seller of


carbon credits in the international carbon market.
Carbon credits are a potential source of co-finance for
sustainable marine transport initiatives.
Harnessing wind for energy –
and displacing a fossil fuel

From an energy and carbon


financing point of view, sail
transport is not very There are lots of wind
different from a wind farm farm carbon projects
around the world
A marine sail transport programme is a potential seller of
carbon credits in the international carbon market.
Carbon credits are a potential source of co-finance for
sustainable marine transport initiatives
Harnessing wind for energy –
and displacing a fossil fuel

Project Baseline
Baseline emissions
Avoided emissions
Project = emissions with Baseline = emissions
clean energy project without clean energy
project
Carbon credits

Project emissions

Project Baseline
Green Marketing
Corporate Social Responsibility
Carbon neutrality aspirants
Wind marine transport Fossil fuel polluters

Potential Seller Potential Buyer

Project Baseline
Get grant funding to do a pilot Depends On Sevaral Factors:
project:  Project development costs
Phase 1 Scoping Study  Scale of project
Phase 2 Feasibility Study / CBA  Carbon prices
Phase 3 Demonstration Activity
Like any commercial
How can we make enterprise, viability
informed decisions depends on
on whether to try weighing costs and
this out? benefits

How much can


we earn from
selling carbon
credits?

Project Baseline
Well within scope of small
Get grant funding to do a pilot scale grant funding
project:
Phase 1 Scoping Study ……………….US$20-30k

}
Phase 2 Feasibility Study / CBA ……US$60-100k These costs
Phase 3 Demonstration Activity …….US$60-100k become clearer
after scoping
US$140-230k

Can then roll out a


programme to support
a new green industry

Project

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