Previous Year Questions on Probability (Conditional Probability and

Independent Events)
1.

2.
Tim and Caz buy a box of 16 chocolates of which 10 are milk and 6 are dark.
Caz randomly takes a chocolate and eats it. Then Tim randomly takes a
chocolate and eats it.

a. Draw a tree diagram representing the possible outcomes, clearly labelling

each branch with the correct probability.
b. Find the probability that Tim and Caz eat the same type of chocolate.

3.
Mobile phone batteries are produced by two machines. Machine A produces 60%
of the daily output and machine B produces 40%. It is found by testing that on
average 2% of batteries produced by machine A are faulty and 1% of batteries
produced by machine B are faulty.
(i)     Draw a tree diagram clearly showing the respective probabilities.
(ii)     A battery is selected at random. Find the probability that it is faulty.
(iii)     A battery is selected at random and found to be faulty. Find the probability
that it was produced by machine A.

4.
At the start of each week, Eric and Marina pick a night at random on which they
will watch a movie.
If they choose a Saturday night, the probability that they watch a French movie
7
is  9  and if they choose any other night the probability that they watch a French
4
movie is  9 .

a. Find the probability that they watch a French movie. [3]

b. Given that last week they watched a French movie, find the probability that it
was on a Saturday night. [2]