Professional Documents
Culture Documents
January 2012
January 2012
geopolitics
VOL II, ISSUE VIII, JANUARY 2012 n `100
SPECIAL
n ALL Guarding
WELL AT the Line of
Control
STILWELL?
CRUISING n THE
NUCLEAR
BUSINESS
n ITBP’S NEW
n SELF -
CONTAINED
SOLDIER
n IRAN
TROUBLED AND
TROUBLING
COVER
STORY
(P46)
THE GAME
CHANGER
One of the fastest cruise missiles in
the world, the BrahMos has enor-
mous implications as it gives India
the shock-and-awe capability. It is
highly mobile and better concealed;
therefore, more survivable than the
BRAHMOS
ballistic missiles.
PRO NAVY
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www.geopolitics.in January 2012
PRESIDENT.IR
CRPF
PIB
TRANSFORMING THE DECAPITATION ENGAGING IRAN AFFIRMING THE
INFANTRY (P40) STRIKE (P60) (P70) PARTNERSHIP (P76)
The Defence Research Develop- The security forces have Despite civilisational ties The Indo-Russian summit at
ment Organisation is working clearly gained the upper between the two, the recent Moscow was yet another mile-
on its F-INSAS programme that hand in the anti-Naxal relations between New Delhi stone to strengthen the special
will transform the Indian armed operations now that the and Teheran have been and privileged strategic part-
forces and improve their effec- Maoists face a leadership marked by more downs than nership between the two
tiveness. crisis. ups. countries.
FROM THE
FRONTLINES
We bring you a firsthand account of the
life of soldiers in the Forward
Operating Posts along the Line of
Control with Pakistan.
HEMANT RAWAT
DIPLOMACY (66)
BRIDGE TO EAST ASIA
g
GEOPOLITICS
Editor
PRAKASH NANDA
Editor-in-Chief
K SRINIVASAN
Managing Editor
TIRTHANKAR GHOSH
THE REOPENING OF THE STILWELL
ROAD COULD CUT THE COST OF
TRANSPORTING GOODS BETWEEN INDIA
Consulting Editor Assistant Editor Senior Correspondent Copy Editor AND CHINA BY 30 PER CENT AND
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NUCLEAR
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Owned and published by K Srinivasan, 4C Pocket-IV, Mayur Vihar, Phase-I, Delhi-91 and printed by him SELF -
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Readers are welcome to send their feedback at geopolitics@newsline.in.
TROUBLING
BrahMos
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GEOPOLITICS
LETTERS
LETTERS TO EDITOR
G T
eopolitics he Cover warriors, December 2011) is going to
is doing a Story be a milestone and like me many
good job (Securing more would have read the detailed
and I feel that it the north, and informative piece for the first
has filled a void December 2011) time.
in the Indian on the Rohtang Looking forward to future issues for
defence publi- Tunnel being many more interesting reads.
cation sce- constructed by
nario. There the Border Sudarshan Bhanot
was a need for Roads Organi- Chandigarh
an overall strategic magazine where sation was well covered. The hardship
the Indian perspective on the geopo- and technological obstacles that are
Y
litical happening was well reflected being faced in the construction are our magazine
and Geopolitics does the job challenging yet for a country of has been re-
admirably. India's size and capacity, it is indeed porting on ar-
In the recent issue, numerous surprising that the technological bar- tillery modernisa-
issues related with developments that riers have not been overcome. tion. Incidentally, it
have taken place in East Asia were I wish you could have focused is the only branch
published. India is being accepted by more on the geographical challenges of the Indian forces
our East Asian neighbours as a reli- that we are facing vis-a-vis China. which hasn't seen
able power. Our historical relations The rapid expansion of infrastructure any modernisa-
have lot to do with this. Your series of by China in Tibet that leads to this tion in the last two
stories covered all the political devel- project wasn't covered. The boxes decades. The saga of artillery moderni-
opment but I feel the historical per- in the cover story do cover other sation has come full circle with the au-
spective should have been given aspects like the BRO in the North- thorities going back to where it all end-
some space. One must not forget that East yet more on the other projects ed. I am sure the magazine will contin-
cultural relations create the ground would have helped readers know the ue to track the new plans of production
on which politically-stable relation- scale of the work being done by the of guns at the Ordnance Factory Board.
ships are built. organisation. That the future infantry combat
The story on the AFSPA, (When the Panorama is vehicle (The mount of the warrior,
armed forces police, December 2011) one of the most December 2011) is going to be a huge
by Ajay Mehra, was a balanced piece. interesting pages benefit for Indian industry was an eye
The article dealt significantly with that Geopolitics opener.
the historical perspective and the does. Last It would be better if the articles
ground realities of the circumstances month's panora- emphasise on the technical aspects of
in which the AFSPA was imposed. It's ma (Nuclear the weapons systems, especially those
a special law for a special purpose. It Trouble, Decem- under development. Technological
is important that we need to put ber 2011) on the strength lies with these technology
everything in black and white and if I Iran nuclear firms.
am not wrong the article has been problem was well depicted through
widely discussed within the strategic illustrations. The quote of the impor- Manoj Saxena
community. I happenned to see a tant players in the nuclear game that Delhi
chain mail discussion on the article. is unfolding in the Middle East was
Keep up the good work. the shortest way to know who stands All correspondence may be addressed
where. to: Editor, Geopolitics, D-11 Basement,
Shivpal Sharma The future Infantry combat Nizamuddin (East), New Delhi-110013.
Ranchi vehicle programme (The mount of the OR mail to geopolitics@newsline.in.
(6)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
{GOLDENEYE}
g
Splendid century
In a dog-eat-dog world we would like to think we are different.
Therefore, Golden Eye doffs its hat to the indefatigable team of
Praveen Sawhney and Ghazala Wahab for scoring a century.
Three figure stands — be it on the cricket field or in the pub-
lishing business — need to applauded. While we wait for Sachin
to collect that elusive ton, our many congratulations to Force
for reaching there first. More so because the sprightly publica-
tion that Praveen edits is the product by and for professionals
and packing an inventive new product month after month is
no mean feat. Here is wishing them a great year ahead and a
productive and fruitful double hundred and more.
T 90 is Supreme
Commander’s rath
T
he biggest military exercise of the year
‘Sudarshan Sakti’ saw the T-90 Indian
Army main battle tank being used as the
rath for the supreme commander of
Indian Armed Forces. She donned the uniform of a
tank officer — the black uniform — and sat on top of
the all-terrain tank. What else would have suited the
Supreme Commander? She is continuing the tradition
started by previous President APJ Abdul Kalam, who flew Su-30
and also drove the T-90. But it is worth remembering that
President Kalam’s experience in T-90 tanks led to the
installation of air conditioners in them. But Pratibha Tai
decided that she wouldn’t get into it, but sit on top of
it like a true commander-in-chief!
It is interesting to see the ever silent and
indifferent to the hullabaloos
of New Delhi, the
honourable Raksha Mantri
AK Antony not drawing any
inspiration from the
President. He couldn’t
escape sitting on top
of a tank when the
Supreme Commander
took a ride. But it
will be interesting to
see him doing some-
thing extraordinary on his own. We are all
aware he doesn’t get excited or impressed
easily by anyone. The only person who could inspire him to do
something out of the way would be Sonia Gandhi. He can’t resist
following in her footsteps. Let’s pray for the day when Soniaji
does something that may inspire Antony to get in a Su-30 or a
tank or fire Bofors!
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{GOLDENEYE}
g
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OPERATION
g
SHAKTI
T
UDARSHAN
he Indian Army conducted a massive military exercise in Rajasthan
involving troops, tanks, artillery guns and fighter aircraft. Called Exercise
Sudarshan Shakti, it was conducted jointly by the Southern Command—
headquartered in Pune — and the South Western Air Command (SWAC)
based in Ahmedabad. The exercises were carried out in the Barmer-Jaisalmer sector.
The exercise was led by the 21 Corps.
GEOPOLITICS
PANORAMA
POWER PROJECTION
È Over 50,000 troops
È Tanks 500 — T-90 Bhishma , T-72
Ajeya, MBT Arjun Mk I,
È ICV Sarath (BMP-II),
È Artillery — Bofors FH-77 155 mm
howitzers, OFB 130mm guns,
È Multiple Barrel Rocket Launching
Systems (MBRLS) — DRDO-
developed Pinaka 225 mm and
Russian-made Smerch 300 mm
È Nuclear-Biological-Chemical
warfare (NBC) recce vehicles
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PANORAMA
Information
Warfare
È Surveillance System — Satellite,
COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF +UAVs+ AWACS + Ground
radars (medium range and short
range)+ weapons-locating radars
+ sensors of air defence artillery
È UAVs — from both Army and Air
Force — Searcher and Heron
Rotary
Muscle
MOD
Network-Centric Warfare
BAND OF BROTHERS È Exercise was based on the
Integrated Theatre Concept where
various wings of the armed forces
have to come together in a single
cohesive format during war.
È Network-Centric Warfare (NCW)
involving real-time data-sharing
with various battle units and
defence wings was the core
mantra of the exercise. Real-time
data transmission from from
MOD
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January 2012
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GEOPOLITICS
PERSPECTIVE
PRO ARMY
HEMANT RAWAT
EPIC MANDATE: The UPSC is the sole agency responsible for selecting the civil services, and also for testing all Armed Forces officer candidates
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PERSPECTIVE
S
ARDAR VALLABHBHAI Patel,
India’s first Deputy Prime Minis-
IS STARTING TO Of 3,25,433 candidates, who had applied
for the Civil Services (Preliminary) Exami-
ter and Home Minister, is MAKE INROADS nation, 2008, only 3,06,633 were found eli-
remembered as the founder gible. However, only 1,67,035 or 51.3 per
“Patron Saint” of India’s civil ser- INTO SERVICE cent candidates actually appeared in this
vants. In an unprecedented and unre-
peated gesture, 1500 officers of India’s RANKS examination held on May 18, 2008. On the
basis of results of this examination, only
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PERSPECTIVE
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PERSPECTIVE
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gONLOOKER
KHAN ON SALE! THE SPIRIT OF WUKAN
DID A Q Khan Libya that benefitted THE RINGLEADERS are the villager’s arable land to
sell his nuclear from Khan’s flourishing arrested and the police are developers. Local officials fled
U S STATE DEPARTMENT
wares to India? nuclear proliferation deployed in full force. But in Wukan till the standoff was set-
Believe it or not racket. Khan and Co the Chinese village of Wukan, tled. Is the Wukanese model the
that’s what Joshua have always referred to locals scored a major achieve- new model for China?
Pollack, an expert a secret fourth customer ment in their 11-day stand-off
on the nonprolifer- and now Pollack sug- with local government, secur-
ation bazar sug- gests it is India. But in ing the release of three
gested in a recent A Q Khan the dog eat dog world of detained leaders arrested after
piece. One of the great mys- nuclear games two plus two is residents of Wukan accused
teries of the Khan Bazar has not always four, it can also be local officials of embezzling
always been the identity of 22! No wonder the Indian more than $110 million dollars
the ‘fourth customer’ apart establishment is laug-hing at of money owed to them for
PIB
PIB
from Iran, North Korea and the Pollack assertion! selling more than 80 per cent of Hu Jintao Vladimir Putin
ISPR.GOV.PK
HUSSAIN HAQQANI
NKNEWS.ORG
PAKISTANILEADERS.COM.PK
investigated.”
ACCORDING TO Foreign reportedly calling him the
Affairs, “Pity Kim Jong Un. “Morning Star King”. In his
In one day, he lost his 2003 book, I Was Kim Jong-
father and inherited the
worst job in the world.”
il’s Chef, a Japanese man
writing under the pseudo-
IMRAN KHAN
Chairman, Tehreek-e-Insaf.
True. The poor bloke has nym Kenji Fujimoto also
had little time to prepare for claimed that Jong-un was his
his ascent. When his grand- father’s favourite. Swiss-edu-
father Kim Il Sung designat- cated like his brothers, Kim “If the government was facing pressure
ed Kim Jong Il as heir, he was Jong-un avoided Western from the establishment over the memo
understudy for close to 15 influences, returning home and if its purpose was to teach the
years before he took over when not in school and din- establishment a lesson, a better option
when the Great Leader died. ing out with the North Kore- would have been to establish a Truth and
But Kim Jong Un was pro- an ambassador.” Reconciliation Commission, as enshrined
DEFENSE.GOV
claimed heir only last year There are reports that as in the CoD, to bring dictators before it.”
and straightaway made a
four star general. From sube-
the young Kim consolidates
power with the help of the
NAWAZ SHARIF
PML-N Chief, Pakistan
QUIP
dar to general saab! No sur- entrenched establishment,
prise that some 10 million his friend philosopher and
portraits are being printed guide will be his powerful
for distribution. The new uncle Jang Song Taek, director
ruler’s mugshot will hang of the administrative depart-
alongside those of his father ment of the North Korean
and grandfather. Workers Party, who is married
According to the BBC: to his father’s sister. The uncle
METER
“Very little is known about is just one of the many rela-
the man himself. His mother tives around the corridor and
was thought to be Kim Jong- gives the impression of a
il’s favourite wife, and she medieval Mughal durbar in
clearly doted on her son, modern times.
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O N L O O K E R g
Meanwhile in another world
— Bolotnaya in Moscow — was
EXPLETIVES AT THE UN
U S STATE DEPARTMENT
packed with the young and the US AMBASSADOR to the UN Rice was quickly off the
white-collared (“office plank- Susan Rice and Russian mark: “I think it’s not an exag-
ton,” as they’re known in Rus- Ambassador Vitaly Churkin geration to say that this is
UN.INT
sia) got together to voice their have slugged out in the cold something of a cheap stunt to
frustrations, anger and what winter of New York. Quickly obscure the success of NATO
they described as ‘fraud’ in the the charged debate got per- and its partners. it is duplici- Susan Rice Vitaly Churkin
just concluded elections to sonal and vicious. The trigger tous, it’s redundant, it’s super- claims, cheap stunt, duplici-
Russian Parliament. And the has been the Russian fluous and it’s a stunt.” tous, redundant, superfluous,
brunt of the anger was against demand for a UN-backed Churkin wouldn’t take it stunt…you know, you cannot
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin. investigation into allegations lying down: “This is not an beat a Stanford education,
As in Wukan, the police was that NATO killed civilians issue that can be drowned can you?” Standford is Rice’s
conciliatory and noted the during its air campaign out by expletives. You might alma mater.
mood of the people. Is it a sense against forces loyal to Muam- recall the words one could Everyone is waiting for
of the season of change? mar al-Qaddafi. hear: bombast and bogus Round Two!
January 2012
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GEOPOLITICS
SPOTLIGHT
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SPOTLIGHT
world. Much water has flown since and of the Asia Pacific”. And just before arriv-
the Indian Navy has modernised and ing in Bali, he, whilst in Darwin, situated
expanded with longer reach and many at the northern tip of Australia close to
more missiles to safeguard the nation’s Indonesia, announced that the USA
increasing maritime responsibilities in would station 2,500 marines there.
the Indian Ocean and the Asia Pacific On maritime issues, India’s Prime Min-
region in concert with the expanding ister Dr Manmohan Singh also took a firm
Coast Guard. Yet the Ministry of Defence stand at Bali and unequivocally stated to
(MoD) and Ministry of External Affairs the media, and to Chinese Premier Wen
bureaucratic set-up has not changed and Jiabao, that India had every right to pur-
one Joint Secretary (Navy) is the lynchpin sue commercial exploration agreements
in MoD for the Navy and Coast Guard, signed in 2005 between ONGC and Viet-
who then liaises with the various divi- nam Petro in the South China Sea. The
sions of Ministry of External Affairs. two adjacent blocks 127 and 128 in ques-
On July 30, 2011, on her last day in tion, in the Phu Khanh basin, are 110
office, the then Foreign Secretary Nirupa- miles off the Vietnamese coast located in
ma Rao (at present Ambassador to the water depths of 400 metres and occupy a
United States of America) had this say to large tract of sea, which incidentally
a gathering of the Navy Foundation: “As a comes within the lines claimed by China
diplomatic instrument, the Navy has key and may require adjudication between
attributes — access, mobility, reach and Vietnam and China. Incidentally, the two
versatility. We need to embed these (mar- have only recently agreed to set up a hot-
itime) attributes within the larger vision line to avoid maritime incidents. Both
of India’s role in the global arena. A flexi- parties agreed to act bilaterally on six
ble but ‘proactive maritime doctrine’ is undisclosed issues and the rest according
essential to safeguard and project our to the ASEAN code of conduct signed by
national interests overseas. The Navy and all ASEAN states with China to maintain
our foreign policy establishment need to peace and stability in the South China
‘establish closer coordination’ in this region.
regard.” This seminal statement by some- The South China Sea dispute is over
one who had worked in South Block the allure for oil, which is estimated any-
closely with the Navy for over two years where between 105 and 213 billion bar-
should be read alongside Pandit Jawahar- rels of liquid gold deposited in the region,
lal Nehru’s prophetic words on board INS and could exceed 80 per cent of the
Delhi in 1949 as he gazed out across the entire Saudi kingdoms’ reserves, accord-
seas on a voyage to Indonesia: “We can- ing to Chinese estimates.
not afford to be weak at sea. History has Incidentally, while addressing the Bali
shown that whoever controls the Indian summit without naming any country, the
Ocean has, in the first instance, India’s 69-year-old Prime Minister of China, Wen
sea-borne trade at her mercy and, in the Jiabao, who is a geologist by training,
second, India’s very independence itself.” warned outside powers not to take up
More recently, the two-day East Asia exploration in disputed areas. This was
Summit at Bali, which concluded on followed up by the Chinese spokesman’s
November 19, 2012, witnessed assertive strong affirmation. The limits of the 200-
policy statements by US President Barack mile EEZ around coasts and inhabited
Obama on Washington’s extended securi- islands are still to be delineated and con-
PRO NAVY
ty involvement in the Asia Pacific region tinental shelves marked, and mired in
and a call for freedom of navigation as legal interpretation and wrangling, mat-
embodied in the United Nations Laws of ters in the South China Sea resemble situ-
FLEXING STRATEGIC MUSCLE: India
The Seas (UNCLOS 1982), apparently ations facing India as we are yet to sort
will have to safeguard its maritime security
with bold moves, if it is to continue to rise directed at China’s restrictive and threat- out the maritime issues with Pakistan and
ening postures in the South China Sea. Bangladesh.
Strangely, the US adheres to the UNCLOS, China’s interpretation of rights of
T
HE INDIAN Navy celebrates but has not signed the treaty. President exploration of living and non-living
Navy Week around Navy Day Obama came out strongly to state that resources, and scientific missions, which
on December 4 every year to the USA would increase its interests and China considers is gathering of intelli-
commemorate its ‘Osa-Class presence in the region with the words, gence, are controversial. China is taking
Missile Boats’, nicknamed the “First we seek security which is the foun- full advantage of the fluid situation, as
Killers, that carried out two historic dation of peace and prosperity” and then nations have filed extended claims up to
attacks on Karachi in 1971, which herald- “reduction in (USA’s) defense budget will 350 miles, which will be adjudicated in a
ed missile warfare from the seas for the not, I repeat will not, come at the expense future UNCLOS. China has occupied
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SPOTLIGHT
PRO NAVY
POLICING THE OCEAN: The Indian Navy has to be on constant guard against pirates in the Indian Ocean region
islands in the South China Sea like Mis- the incident to MoD, which played down INS Godavari was directed to inquire
chief in the Spratlys and some in Parcels the event. Surely, the MEA and India’s about the welfare of the six Indian sea-
in the South China Sea and claims 200 intelligence apparatus must have taken men on board the Suez. Pakistan lodged a
nautical miles’ EEZ and when it overlaps note of the incident. Soon thereafter, the protest in Islamabad on June 17, and
another maritime state looks to bilateral Navy detected a Chinese intelligence- India’s MEA in New Delhi followed suit
delineation of the boundary. Till then, gathering vessel loitering off the Andaman the next day, which was a holiday, by call-
China wants outside powers to keep clear Islands, where Myanmar has the Cocos ing a Counselor of the Pakistan Embassy
of the disputed areas and has drawn dot- Island with reported Chinese interests and to South Block. External Affairs Minister S
ted lines on an unofficial chart depicting which is just 50 nautical miles north of the M Krishna stated it was, ‘momentary con-
its claims. In 2006, a Chinese trawler Andamans. The Navy buzzed the ship and fusion and nothing substantial’. Collisions
bumped US survey ship USS Impeccable the ship made a passage to Sri Lanka. at sea between warships need full investi-
out of the area. Surely the Navy, MoD, and intelligence gation. Pakistan Foreign Office
This background begs the question: Is agencies, which monitor China closely, spokesperson Tehmina Janjua stated,
the world seeing the stirring of a Cold War would know details of this vessel taking “The Indian Navy’s warship Godavari not
on economic and maritime issues advantage of the freedom of passage in only hampered humanitarian operations
between the largest military power but international waters to snoop. being carried out by PNS Babur for MV
economically weak USA, and a strong A month before that, on June 17, 2011, Suez, but also undertook dangerous
economic power China with a rising mili- PNS Babur, whilst escorting 17,000-ton- manoeuvres that resulted in brushing of
tary? India desires strategic autonomy ner MV Suez to Salalah in Oman, which the sides of the two warships.”
and is geographically well-located. But it had been released after ten months in The collision between the two ships of
could become a pawn in the power game captivity in Somalia by pirates who two neighbouring navies provides a good
as borders are not settled between India extracted $2 million raised by human study of how maritime issues should not
and China and the issue of Tibet and sup- rights and civil rights activist Ansar Bur- be allowed to simmer and escalate. The
port to Dalai Lama irritates China. India ney of Pakistan and the Egyptian owners, incident could have been avoided, if
will have to safeguard its maritime securi- willfully collided with INS Godavari in India’s NHQ, MoD and MEA had coordi-
ty, which impacts economy with bold open seas. In a CBM (confidence building nated in advance and good time, and had
moves, if it is to continue to rise. measure) measure, Indian and Pakistan informed the Pakistan Navy the reasons
In July, a Chinese ship allegedly chal- Navy ships are not to approach each oth- why INS Godavari left her piracy station
lenged the Indian Navy’s large landing er closer than 3 nm from each other. The to close in on MV Suez. In fact, PNS
ship tank INS Airavat, on VHF radio, whilst released video footage showed PNS Babur Babur on learning of the approach of the
she was making an innocent passage in deliberately increasing speed and collid- INS Godavari, was being directed by
the international waters of the South Chi- ing with Godavari’s stern to the cheer of Islamabad in an operation codenamed
na Sea after concluding a diplomatic call the Pakistani ship’s company. According Umeed-e-Nuh by CNS Noman Bashir.
in Vietnam. The Navy must have reported to the Navy Chief Admiral Nirmal Verma, The open seas of the world are the
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SPOTLIGHT
WIKIMEDIA/TOOK-RANCH
THE EASTERN THREAT: There have been several examples of confrontations between the Chinese and Indian Navies in the recent past
common heritage of mankind and all km in central Southwestern Indian Ridge Incidents and challenges at sea and
ships are free to innocently roam the seas in the Indian Ocean has been cleared by especially in the Indian Ocean will
and obey the rules of the road, which International Seabed Authority (ISA), the increase calls for immediate responses.
apparently did not happen in this case. designated body that allocates areas. This These will need close consultations and
It may be recalled that the Dutchman has raised concerns by India’s MoD, MEA swift coordinated actions by the MEA and
Hugo Grotius formulated the principle and Naval Headquarters, as it will legally MoD, possibly in consultation with
that the seas were akin to international allow ‘Chinese survey’ (sic Intelligence) India’s National Security Advisor (NSA)
territories and all nations were free to use and hospital ships and warships to oper- and his large National Security Council
the seas for trade. In his treatise, Mare ate in the Indian Ocean. China’s PLA Secretariat, which receives and collates
Liberum, (‘The Free Seas’), published in (Navy) has already been continuously intelligence inputs. A naval officer has
1609, Grotius offered a justification for operating a task force of three warships been posted in MEA while the post of
the Dutch to break Britain’s trade monop- off the coast of Somalia since January 6, Joint Secretary (Exports) tenable by an
olies and its formidable naval power. The 2009, to combat piracy. IFS officer, has found no takers in MoD.
conflicting claims grew out of their con- Last year, China had proposed to The Navy has to route all requests for
troversial actions in each other’s seas in become Co-Chairman of the Shared exercises with foreign navies and diplo-
the 19th century, but it was finally accept- Awareness and Deconfliction (SHADE) matic cruises through MoD, which then
ed that the seas were free for ships to piracy conference, held regularly at the deals with the desk in MEA concerned.
roam unhindered and the world adopted Combined Maritime Forces (CMF) HQ in The route is circuitous. There is a strong
UNCLOS in 1982. Bahrain, which naval and foreign service case for the need of a Joint Secretary (Mar-
In such a context, technically both INS representatives of 20 countries, shipping itime) to be a bridge, preferably from the
Airavat sailing in the South China Seas and insurance bodies and Interpol Indian Foreign Service, in the South Block,
and the Chinese vessel cruising off the attend. China demanded to become a with access to the Navy’s War Room for
Andaman Islands did nothing wrong, but Co-Chairman of SHADE and parcel areas coordination, and regular interaction
both could be suspected of collecting of the Indian Ocean for responsibility to between the MoD and the Navy. As India’s
electronic and physical intelligence. INS tame piracy, which was deftly opposed by stock rises and as a mature and responsi-
Godavari too, was free to sail close to PNS India. The Somali piracy operations have ble nation, it is in India’s foreign policy
Babur and MV Suez which was being affected shipping and human lives. In interests to evolve a cooperative architec-
escorted in the Arabian Sea, though India 2010, 4,185 seafarers were attacked and ture to play a substantive and formative
and Pakistan have agreed on a CBM that 1,090 held hostage, a third of these were role in issues maritime and for that the
both navies’ ships will not approach each abused. According to Reuters, in the last need for a maritime desk in the Ministry of
other as close as three miles. four years, 62 seafarers died out of over External Affairs is inescapable.
In another development, China’s appli- 3,500 captives, murdered or from suicide
cation for a deep-sea mining licence to or malnutrition, while many released sea- (Cmde (Retd) Ranjit B Rai is Vice Presi-
extract nodules from an area of 10,000 sq farers stand traumatised. dent of Indian Maritime Foundation)
(21)
g
GEOPOLITICS
24 More Naval
surveillance aircraft
NUMBERSGAME
20,000
New BSF constables
AFTER PLACING an order for the 12 P- deal for four more P-8I aircraft. The first
8I long-range maritime reconnaissance of the new P-8I aircraft specially made ON THE occasion of the 47th BSF Day
aircraft (LRMR) from the United States, for India is expected to join the Navy by on December 1, 2011, Additional
the Indian Navy is all set to induct 12 2013. The aircraft made its first success- Director General (West) Himmat Singh
more reconnaissance aircraft. These ful flight in the United States in Septem- Gill told reporters that the paramili-
will go a long way to secure the coun- ber 2013. In addition to these aircraft tary force would also create 1500 new
try’s long coastline and the exclusive the Navy is also planning to acquire posts of instructors. The increase in
economic zones around its seas. The another six Medium range reconnais- strength would result in the creation of
deal for the P-8I aircraft was signed in sance aircraft through a new tender. seven to eight new battalions soon.
January 2009 and as part of it eight air- 157 Border Out Posts (BOPs) are also
craft were initially procured for $2.1 bil- being set up on the western frontier
lion. The Indian Navy is working out a with improved facilities for the sol-
diers guarding the borders. The para-
military force has also initiated new
instruction courses for its men and
even specialised courses for those
being sent for UN missions. The exten-
NAVAIR.NAVY.MIL
7 Crore value of
marijuana destroyed
18 More districts under
Counter-Maoist plan
THCFARMER.COM
PAUL WALLACE
the local villagers and later set the plants scheme was first implemented. Ventures
on fire. Although nobody was arrested, a like building of roads, bridges, schools, and
case has been registered at Padampur electrification are carried out as part of the
police station. IAP scheme.
(22)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
g
NUMBERSGAME
HEMANT RAWAT
5,000
Aspirants rejected
4.5 Billion dollars worth weapons sales to India
INDIA IS now the third-largest procurer of cording to the American Department of De-
INDIANARMY.NIC.IN
American arms in the world, according to a fence Afghanistan, Taiwan, India, Australia
Pentagon report. Overseas Foreign Arms and Saudi Arabia were the main buyers of
Sales in the fiscal that ended Sep 30 peaked American weapons last year. Iraq, the United
at $30 billion for the fourth successive year Arab Emirates, Israel, Japan and Sweden
after attaining $31.6 billion in fiscal 2010. Ac- were the next largest buyers.
A THIRD of the 15,000 young men
who had come to the Army
25 4
recruitment rally at Akhnoor in
Kashmir were in for a rude shock
when they were rejected for sport-
Crore worth
ing tattoos on their body other heroin seized IM cells ready to strike
than their arms. Army officials
THE HEROIN, along with fake ACCORDING TO the Delhi Police,
said that they had received
Indian currency (FICN) with a there are special Indian Mujahideen
instructions from headquarters
face value of `9.80 lakh was (IM) sleeper cells in different cities
about barring the recruits with tat-
seized by the Border Security of India. The information comes
toos as they ‘proved hazardous to
Force (BSF) in early December after the Delhi Police helped to erad-
health’. Of the candidates who had
2011. According to a Border icate a pan-India module of the IM.
turned up at the recruitment rally
Security Force officer, a patrol The information was garnered after
meant for the five districts of Jam-
confiscated the contraband the interrogation of the IM opera-
mu, Samba, Kathua, Rajouri and
after it was thrown from the Pakistani side in small tives arrested from various regions
Poonch, nearly 30 per cent were
packets. The small sachets contained fake Indian of the country. The grilling of the ter-
found with tattoos and were
currency in `1000 denomination. The heroin was rorists has revealed that the IM has
barred. A number of the rejected
carried in five packets weighing a kilo each. This is sleeper cells in Chennai, Bengaluru,
aspirants confessed that they had
not the first time that the smugglers have resorted Pune apart from New Delhi. Accord-
got themselves tattooed as they
to tossing packets of FICN and heroin across the ing to the police, the sleeper cells of
thought it made them look more
border. In the past too, contraband worth crores terrorists helped the terrorists
macho.
has been seized from fences along the border. acquire the weapons and explosives
(23)
g
GEOPOLITICS
SPECIALREPORT
500 MILES OF
measures on the border, he said that they
had very limited security, as they knew
India was not interested in changing the
status quo.
The Pakistanis might not be afraid of
REALITY CHECKS
infiltration from the Indian side, but we
have three layers of security. While the
Indian fence is way behind the LoC, the
actual LoC is guarded by our men on the
posts with the closest one to the enemy
position being not more than 300 metres
On a journey across the Forward Operating Posts along the away. Behind that line of defence is the
fence and after that we have regular
Line of Control (LoC), ROHIT SRIVASTAVA discovers the harsh patrols and bunker posts. All the three
reality that confronts the soldiers at the borders of the country layers are supported by electronic sur-
veillance systems, such as thermal
in Jammu and Kashmir. imagers and motionsensors.
W
HAT BEGAN as a trip for a THE FINAL FRONTIER: The LoC fence, technically known as the Anti-Infiltration
story on border manage- Obstacle System, meanders through mountains across the border
ment by the Army ended
up becoming an educa-
tional trip…A journey of
more than 500 km through the state of
Jammu and Kashmir, where I went to the
different border posts and forward
deployed units. I met people responsible
for securing the borders from the enemy
across the LoC, and their stooges within
our territory.
On the first night of my visit to Jammu,
I was at the LoC fence, technically known
as the Anti-Infiltration Obstacle System
(AIOS), along with the Commanding Offi-
cer of the unit at the Lam Khuraita Valley.
The eerie silence of the Valley in the chill-
ing November night was frightening but
the relatively young colonel, an enthusi-
astic man, put me at ease. He was cau-
tious while explaining the system of bor-
der guarding.
The significance of the position of the
battalion can be understood by the fact
that on the other side of the fence is a Pak-
istani town, which is so well-illuminated
that it looks like a white sheet of light in
the midst of the darkness of the Valley.
Strangely, the landscape on the Indian
HEMANT RAWAT
(24)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
g
SPECIALREPORT
Pakistan has developed a town barely any time. We have to be very vigilant. The the border and within a short while we
four kilometres from the fence without night is a very tense time for every soldier. heard the unmistakable sound of medi-
any fear. On the other hand, the security No one gets more than four hours of um machine-gun fire from the Pakistani
situation in the region has not permitted sleep. The guard duty is changed after positions.
the construction of a proper road to the every two hours to keep the men fresh Keeping one’s nerve intact is the most
battalion headquarters on the Indian and vigilant.” important thing at the time of firing. The
side. Our journey from the main road to The real drama unfolds at night. The jawans and the officers never panic and
the battalion was only one and half kilo- men move in pairs in rotation. In posts are expected to react only when attacked
metres but it took us nearly an hour to and bunkers, of the two soldiers, one sits directly. Every bunker is self-sufficient in
travel the stretch. inside the bunker while the other strolls terms of operational requirement with
The road was not motorable for medi- around. The ear becomes the eye at night telephone lines to pass on the informa-
um vehicles and anyone unfamiliar with it and every noise is seen as a possible tion to the base. When the firing was going
would never try driving on that track at threat. The CO of the battalion confided on, the CoB’s telephone was constantly
night. As we reached the battalion head- that the daylight hours went into the ringing and the desk officer kept on
quarters, we were greeted by the second- preparation for vigilance at night when 95 updating the information from bunkers.
in-command. His office was lit with a sin- per cent of infiltration took place. Later, I was told that the firing was not
gle bulb, thanks to the silent diesel gener- Clearly, even though the presence of specifically targeted at our men but
ators. As we approached the officers’ mess the fence had reduced the burden on the between two posts. On our way back, the
we began to make out the silhouettes of sentries at the border, vigilance is still the CO explained that when the Pakistanis
the sentries on watch in the moonlight. In keyword. As we accompanied the CO on a see some movement across the fence
the small and sparsely-furnished mess, we patrol to the LoC fence, we saw dark fig- they start firing as a precaution without
were offered tea before our visit to the ures emerging in pairs: these were the targeting any one in particular.
fence with the CO of the battalion. border patrols in buddy pairs, who are Our stay at the COB had been only for a
When I enquired about the high secu- always on the move around the fence few minutes but we witnessed the human
rity around the camp, the major informed area. These men are the last line of side of the soldier at the border. He is not
us it was because of the close proximity of defence against infiltration. After more as mechanical as we believe he is. Sitting
the border and the threat of attacks on encounters such as these, I became used in a bunker, 200 metres from the enemy in
the camp by the infiltrators: “We can’t to the phantoms and could differentiate pitch darkness in the middle of the forest
lower our guard. Anything can happen between the real men on guard and the on the border, he is not as fearless as we
dummies put to confuse potential infil- think. In fact, he too fears death.
trators. In any case, the dummies never On our arrival at the battalion head-
saluted the officers or introduced them- quarters, the security party was dis-
selves to the CO when asked, Kaun? Every missed and soldiers were lined up for bar-
such call was replied in Army manner rel checks. After taking out the magazine
with name and designation. At midnight, from the gun, every soldier pulled the
the vigil was at its peak. gun’s lever thrice to check for any leftover
Vigilance becomes second nature in bullets: it was a drill to ensure no acci-
these areas. No one ventures out alone — dental firing occurred. This drill was fol-
even in the camps. The battalion head- lowed after every patrol at every location.
quarters is under patrol all the time. Our The next day we were at an RR battal-
small patrol party of three — the CO, our ion’s CoB in Rajauri district. The only way
photographer and I — was under a pro- to reach the mountain top where the CoB
tective cordon of six men in full battle was located was by a road that was being
gear. The fear of a sneak attack from a constructed under the Pradhanmantri
hidden terrorist was very real. [The same Gramin Sadak Yojna. We were told that it
thing was repeated the very next day at a was a 20-minute climb up from the road
Rashtriya Rifle (RR) unit in Rajouri dis- but it took 45 minutes. When we reached
trict, when we were accompanied to a the top of the camp, it was almost freezing.
Sadbhavna project by three armed The wind chill factor made us shiver but
guards, even when we had to walk just 40 there was respite when we reached the
metres from the RR Unit Headquarters.] CoB that was in a group of small tin huts.
When we reached the Company Oper- The company commander — a young
ated Base (COB) after our patrol, we captain of 26-27 years of age with six
sensed tension. The CO was taken to one years of service under his belt — was
side for a briefing. He came back and using the medical room to meet an
informed us that we would have to wait informer who had come with information
because of an urgent development. As we about a militant hideout. We were to
were offered tea and hot pakodas, I was become witnesses to another drama that
interested in finding out what the tension lasted almost three hours. The captain
was all about. On enquiring further I was had met the informer for around 45 min-
informed that firing had taken place on utes before he came to greet us. Till then,
(25)
HEMANT RAWAT
g
SPECIALREPORT
READY FOR ACTION: With Pakistani posts just a few miles away, vigilance is the keyword at the Line of Control
we were served hot snacks and coffee. are separated from their families but now suggested one officer. But, he said, we
(The Army’s precision timing of service with satellite television, there is some cannot put our guard down. Till 2004, a
was commendable across the units.) connectivity to normal life. The jawans large swathe in Rajouri and Poonch was
When I asked the captain about the also go through what is called a stress- considered a liberated zone by terrorists.
informer, he told us that the man was a busting capsule. Every week, four jawans The Jammu region is marked by demo-
former special police officer who wanted are sent to Naoshera (brigade headquar- graphic changes — 86 per cent of the
money for information regarding a hide- ters) from the battalion for these stress- population is Hindu in Jammu and 86 per
out. The young captain was a tough cook- busting capsules and even for movies. cent is Muslim in the Poonch district.
ie: he did not want to take chances with The men do not take part in sporting Demography has a very important role in
the information he had received. As he activities — an integral part of military terrorism as religious sympathy has a key
called up his commanders to let them life — due to space constraints. The ter- part to play in the spread of terror. But the
know about the development, he sent the rain also does not allow space for sports mindset of the people is changing as peo-
informer’s friends home but asked him to other than badminton, informed the CO. ple are slowly discontinuing their support
stay at the CoB for the night. He also One company was deployed at every for the terrorists.
asked his subedar to prepare a 20-man peak around our CoB location. The area Normalcy is returning and its signs are
party for an operation. Soon afterwards, domination is never complete if the com- everywhere. Roads which would be
we sat for dinner but couldn’t start till the panies are not deployed in a way so as to deserted by five pm are now busy till mid-
captain was free. For around an hour and reach every nook and cranny of the area. night. A few years back, it was impossible
a half, he was continuously on phone Every company dispatches patrols in its to even imagine vehicles plying on the
talking with his commanders. He area for surveillance, intelligence gather- roads. According to deployed officers,
informed them that he would not launch ing and search for terrorists. This com- one of the signs that normalcy is return-
the operation till the informer confirmed pletes the area domination. The captain ing is that the local population has begun
the location of the hideout that he was seemed to be holding back his troops. We to express itself, with many small squab-
reluctant to divulge. As we went to bed, understood when he said: “AFSPA is hot bles being reported of late.
the jawans’ dormitory next to our room, now, we can’t take risk. I want to be sure The battle hasn’t been won but we are
was full of noisy activity: shifts were before launching operations.” RR has on the right track. The local administra-
changing and men were getting ready for become very cautious about allegations tion hasn’t done much but the Army’s
night duty and preparing for sleep. and doesn’t want to take any unnecessary support through various civil schemes
The CO of the battalion at Lam Valley risks. Terrorism is almost dead. Signs of a has ensured that unemployed youth do
informed Geopolitics that the soldiers no return of normalcy are visible as small not turn to violence. It is still an ongoing
longer led a stressed-out life. As it is, they civil disputes have started to take place, battle on many fronts.
(26)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
geopolitics
DEF BIZ
NPCIL
FISSILE STRENGTH
India has one of the world’s most comprehensive nuclear power
programmes, but it is a strategy that requires the co-ooption of the
private sector into this ambitious project
DEF BIZ
g
Lockheed Martin rolls out HAL, Rolls-Royce start new facility
final F-22 Raptor ROLLS-ROYCE and Hin-
dustan Aeronautics Lim-
ited (HAL) have initiated
construction of a new
manufacturing facility in
Bengaluru, which will be
owned by International
Aerospace Manufacturing
Pvt Ltd (IAMPL), a joint-
venture between Rolls-Royce and HAL. The company was formed in
2010. Spread over 7,200 sq metres, the facility will manufacture com-
ponents for advanced Trent family of civil aero engines, marine and
energy gas turbines. Expected to start production in 2012, the latest
manufacturing techniques of Rolls-Royce will be employed for the
LOCKHEED MARTIN
(28)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
g
Airbus seeks to sell tankers to IAF Satellite
terminals on
Navy ships
PIB
(29)
DEF BIZ
g
Piramal Group Boeing delivers second Peace Eye to S Korea
eyes homeland
security
BOEING
ture firm, with Global Technical
Systems (GTS), a US-based tech-
nology firm, specialised in sur-
veillance system as partner. Pira- THE BOEING Company has delivered the commitment to excellence, its focus and
mal-GTS will look for business in second Peace Eye 737 Airborne Early its technical expertise were critical to the
maritime and border-manage- Warning and Control (AEW&C) aircraft to achievement of this major milestone.”
ment solutions. Piramal Systems the Republic of Korea Air Force (ROKAF). Two more Peace Eye aircraft are undergo-
and Technologies Pvt Ltd was set The aircraft was delivered ahead of ing modification by KAI and are expected
up in May 2011. The company’s schedule to ROKAF Base Gimhae, the to join the ROKAF in 2012. The Peace Eye
decision to start this venture is main operating base for the Peace Eye programme is for four 737 AEW&C air-
based on the Maharashtra gov- fleet. Peace Eye No. 2 has been modified craft along with ground support for mis-
ernment’s decision to install 5,000 by Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI) at its sion crew training, mission support and
surveillance cameras, video ana- facility in Sacheon into an AEW&C confi system maintenance. Australia and
lytics and management, data uration. Randy Price, Peace Eye program- Turkey have also ordered for 737-based
preservation centres and six com- me manager for Boeing, said, “The quality AEW&C aircraft, which are undergoing
mand and control centres. of KAI’s work has been outstanding. Its production.
PRATT & WHITNEY, a unit of United Pratt & Whitney is the world second quarter of 2012. Earlier this
Technologies Corp, has received a leader in the design, manufacture year, India’s Ministry of Defence
contract to produce the first four and service of aircraft engines, space signed a Letter of Offer and Accep-
F117-PW-100 engines that will power propulsion systems and industrial tance with the US government to
the Boeing C-17 Globemaster-III for gas turbines. acquire 10 C-17s. India will take deliv-
the Indian Air Force. The engines will be delivered in ery of its first C-17s in early 2013.
(24)
(30)
www.geopolitics.in May 2012
January 2010
TECH SCAN
g
India develops autonomous DRDO to develop robot soldiers
underwater vehicle
THE DEFENCE Research and
Development Organisation
(DRDO) has started work on an
ambitious project to swap
“humans” with “robot soldiers”
in future wars. Speaking at the
Combat Vehicle Research and
Development Centre in Avadi,
WIKIMEDIA\MIERLO
WINDOWSFORDEVICES.COM
to have robot soldiers by 2020
THE DEFENCE Research and Development Organisa- or 2030.” It is being mooted that
tion (DRDO) has completed the testing of an indige- the robot soldiers will be able to
nous autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV). The perform numerous missions,
AUV operates around a mother ship from where it is such as including waging war,
launched, controlled and recovered. The new probe transporting ammunition,
has an immense use in intelligence-gathering and mine detection and surveil-
deep-sea surveillance. The AUV can help the Indian lance. They in turn can be managed by operators from distant locations.
Navy monitor waters and help stave off potentially The robots will help put Indian soldiers out of harm’s way in dangerous
threatening foreign vessels or submarines. Its devel- situations. The DRDO is already developing robotic ‘mules’ to replace
opment involves inter-disciplinary efforts in the fields the live ones that the armed forces use to transport supplied to troops
of hydrodynamics, control and guidance. deployed in distant locations.
mand carried out the tests while the logistical support was
made available by the Defence Research Development
Organisation (DRDO). The Agni-1 can a carry a 1,000 kilo-
PIB
(31)
g
GEOPOLITICS
DEFBIZ
I
NDIA’S DEPARTMENT of Atomic very likely that Indian nuclear reactors being stalled by domestic protests, only
Energy (DAE) has one of the most will go back to operating at very high- somewhat influenced by the Fukushima
extensive nuclear power program- capacity factors (i.e. more 95 per cent) effect. Earlier this year, four more reactors
memes in the world today, the that was so characteristic of their per- of the VVER-1000 design have been
ongoing crisis at Kudankulam formance in the late nineties and in the cleared at the Kudanakulam site and
notwithstanding. Few countries (if any) first few years of the new millennium. ground break for the first of these four
can boast of a plan to set up Light Water Indeed, after an uneven first decade for units was expected to take place in 2012.
Reactors (LWRs), Pressurised Heavy the 21st century, India’s PHWR program- Given the current situation at the site, it is
Water Reactors (PHWRs), Fast Breeder meme is geared to speed again. January unclear when — if ever — this will happen.
Reactors (FBRs) and Thorium-utilising 2011 saw the commissioning of Kaiga-4, Meanwhile, civil works continue at
reactors near simultaneously. This is, of which too had been held up by the fuel Jaitapur, with the boundary wall being
course, a direct result of the country’s mismatch problem. Fuel cargo from
three-stage programmeme which now France and Russia was key facilitators in
boasts of a fleet of 20 operational reactors remedying the problem and is now being
with seven in various stages of construc- joined by supplies from Kazakhstan,
tion. In all, India intends to have in place which recently emerged as the largest
at least 20,000 MWe of nuclear capacity exporter of natural uranium in the world.
by 2020 and 63,000 MWe by 2032. Even if The availability of uranium import has
the 2020 target is not fully met owing to also begun to reflect itself in NPCIL’s new
post-Fukushima jitters, the fact remains build plans. Construction of four 700
that the nuclear option is indispensable MWe PHWRs began in 2011 with two
for an India looking to augment non- units being built at the Rawatbhatta site
emitting sources of base-load power. as RAPP-7 & 8 and two at the Kakrapar
The DAE’s extensive plans are certainly site as KAPS 3 and 4. In the future, 700
being helped by India’s re-entry into the MWe units will displace the existing 220
international nuclear order. Visible exam- MWe units as the mainstay of India’s
ples of the impact of India’s post-2008 PHWR fleet. In fact, some 20 new PHWR’s
ability to import uranium were the com- are to be constructed by 2027. Some of
missioning by the Nuclear Power Corpo- the firm sites for these new PHWRs
ration of India Limited (NPCIL) of the include Kumaria (Haryana), Bargi (Mad-
Rajasthan Atomic Power Plant (RAPP)-5 hya Pradesh) and Nawada (Bihar).
in 2010 and the attainment of criticality Unfortunately, even as the PWHR pro-
by its twin unit RAPP-6 in the same peri- gramme is back on a firm footing, the
od. Both units had actually been com- move to set up imported LWRs has run
pleted two years earlier but could not be into heavy weather. Kudanakulam 1 & 2,
brought on line due to a mismatch both Rosatom VVER-1000s, initially
between domestic fuel production and weighed down by delays in sourcing com-
demand. Given that domestic sources of ponents owing to constant restructuring
NPCIL
uranium are also being augmented, it is in the Russian nuclear estate, are now
(32)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
g
DEFBIZ
(33)
g
DEFBIZ
(34)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
CRUISING HEIGHTS The write stuff,
all the time, on time
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PUSHING THE
probably two things that at the Paris Air Show
we came out with the cost of the F-35 being
$65 million in 2011 US dollars, that is all-
inclusive of all the systems not the weapons.
That number was quoted for all the nine
F-35 TO INDIA!"
partner countries and new customers like
Israel and the nine partner countries that
are looking to buy the F-35. That got caught
HEMANT RAWAT
(36)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
g
INTERVIEW
We always press the F-35 as a fifth-gen- facturing 12 planes per year. We are now naval force in the Indian Ocean and a
eration fighter at fourth-generation price. making 36 aircraft a year, the volume and nation which secures the global maritime
So we have done a lot of work to keep the our efficiency and of our international domain to have a common weapon system
costs down. So that has nothing to do with partners have brought that number down is a right thing. Our original teaming was
MMRCA that was just a number game at to 59 million a plane so by FMS rule and the with the Hyundai ship yard. Yesterday we
the Paris Air Show. On November 1, 2011, US law I can’t keep that profit. So we gave it had the last discussion on the Aegis the
the office of Secretary of Defence com- back to the Indian Air Force. The return of team that looks after the Aegis was in the
pleted a study that was the money is on going with the contract. It’s town. More discussion was on the MH60R.
requested by US part of the contract. We don’t bid in FMS to They always touch base on the Aegis.
Congress on exceed price and in DPP it requires firm The best thing about Aegis radar is that
engagement prices. So when we say not to exceed $ 70 it is the only one that can track SM 2 mis-
with the Indian million it means $ 70 million or less. So sile, which is an anti-missile missile to its
defence establish- they are just paying less at every delivery full range of capability. And that is the
ment. And this was six- to- milestone. The aircraft is performing well it only missile today that can intercept a
eight months ago, but before that was at the Sikkim earthquake relief. modern surface-to-surface missile that is
date it was directed by the Senate Arms I fully expect a follow-on sales but I coming to the carrier battle group. You
Committee to the Department of Defence can’t put a number to it. We are talking to have to have a certain frequency of radar
to give a report before November 1. Within the Air Force and also to the meteorologi- to do that and at present India doesn’t
that report, the terminology says F-35 cal department looking at the WC 130 J, as have the radar to do that. They are work-
should eventually be considered for India. this is the only aircraft that can fly through ing on a different frequency, which is fine
It has nothing to do with timing of MMRCA a hurricane or typhoon. for individual ship-protection but if you
competition. It was a US Defence Depart- We also have joint venture with Tata to want to lose your major asset, there is only
ment report that pointed to the US Con- manufacture C-130 J components at the one system that can do that is SM 2 mis-
gress and it had nothing to do with Lock- facility at Hyderabad and it’s almost com- sile which is a Raytheon missile.
heed Martin. Any discussion on Joint Strike plete. We expect it to be in production by
Fighter between India and the US has to be January. We expect that work to expand What’s going on with MH60?
government-to-government and it will not and make more and more component. It’s RR: Looking at the next RFP to come out.
be Lockheed Martin unless directed by the not just for Indian C-130 but for the global We have given two options, one is we
US government. And, by the way, this is not supply chain. I would like to build India- would be happy to sell through FMS
the first time F-35 is being discussed specific C-130 J at the Hyderabad, it’s my directly to Indian Navy through the US
between the two governments. There have vision. Tata is great company to work with. government because we think it’s a
been requests from the Indian government unique capability and it’s a frontline,
to the US government for briefing on F-35. What is the update on Aegis for India? brand new US helicopter. I think we have
We are not pushing the F-35. RR: We have offered co-operation on delivered 100th Romeo to US recently. It is
Aegis with Indian Navy. Those discussions state-of-the-art in mission helicopters
There are technical glitches in F-35? are ongoing and I believe that as…the and recently it has been selected by Korea
RR: It’s a complicated machine and it will Aegis system is the only one that can fully and Australia. It’s eye of the fleet for us, it
always run into some technical glitches. protect a carrier battle group. We will get gets in front of the carrier battle group
Lockheed Martin writes more code than into more substantial discussion. It’s real- and relays all the information. If MoD
Microsoft… there are 38 million lines of ly a win-win situation that US Navy rely doesn’t want to pursue sole source then
codes in the F-35. It is replacing every on Aegis system and it will be interopera- allow us to bid in to a RFP for 60 Romeo.
fighter or attack aircraft in the US invento- ble with US Navy. The Japanese, the Kore- There is still some disconnect in a FMS in
ry. By 2015 or so it should be in the US fleet an and the Australians are already operat- competitive process and DPP. We are try-
and delivery to international customers ing the Aegis system. ing to pursue MoD to allow us to partici-
will start from 2016. We are holding to that Another thing that comes with the Aegis pate in RFP, We don’t want to bid if we are
schedule and price. There are lots of inter- missile system is the ship-building capa- technically not compliant. We would love
ests for that fighter around the world. bility. We not only offered the weapons to bring that capability here.
system but also to help on the weapon sys- Obviously, there is a need for naval
Tell us about more orders for C-130 J? tem we said, we will team with a Indian Helios in an anti-submarine warfare role.
RR: We are done when we deliver it to the ship yard whichever shipyard whether pri- We will bid for RFP for 90 Helios for RFP
US government and it is the US govern- vate or public sector selected by Ministry which is expected sometime next year.
ment which delivers to the Indian govern- of Defence, that offer is still there. ASW helio is the best thing for finding any
ment. We are done with that a long time We made our first proposal in January submarine.
ago. Right now we are helping with the 15, 2007. The RFI was for the seven ships.
transition and helping with the support We offered to build a couple of ships in a What are your components in Apache
and the logistics with the back-end. foreign shipyard (Korea) and then transfer and Javelin?
We went from $70-million a plane to $ the technology and build ships three to RR: Boeing has got the lead in Apache; we
59-million a plane and we can’t keep the seven here. It was a five-year shipbuilding have got some weapons system, naviga-
excess and we have to give it back to the schedule at a very competitive price. I am tion system and mission system. Raytheon
customer. We did at $70-million a plane not sure why they didn’t catch hold of the is the lead for Javelin, we do somewhere
originally as per estimate based on manu- offer. As India looks ahead to being a major around 40 per cent of the systems.
(37)
ñ
CRUISING HEIGHTS
IMPLEMENTATION OF GROUND HANDLING POLICY DELAYED — ONCE MORE
A STAR
IS NOT
Juhu refuses BORN
to take off
Even with the green signal to
expand, Mumbai’s Juhu airport
still cannot accommodate traffic
Air India’s Maharaja may be broken — the rejection
by Star Alliance of Air India’s membership and the
whimsical performance of its erstwhile CMD — but
Dreamliner
he has not given up the fight
PLEASE,
I WANT
SOME MORE
FIREWALKERS INC INDIAN SUMMER
ONCE RESPECTED THE WORLD OVER, AIR INDIA’S MAHARAJA
IS ALL BUT READY TO THROW IN THE TOWEL. AMIDST
REPORTS OF ITS DEMAND FOR MORE FUNDS, A LAST-DITCH
EFFORT IS BEING MADE TO REVIVE THE AILING GIANT As fuel prices touch the stratosphere, airlines owners get edgy. It’s like walking on
hot coals: they are cutting costs, dropping routes and wondering what to do next GOAIR’S JEH WADIA INDIGO’S RAHUL BHATIA AIRASIA’S TONY FERNANDES
INDIAN CARRIERS, WITH A MASSIVE DOSE OF HELP FROM MALAYSIA CREATE, A “FRENZY” AT THE PARIS
AIR SHOW BY ORDERING A WHOPPING 452 PLANES — ALL FROM AIRBUS.
t. Ltd.
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GEOPOLITICS
SPECIALFEATURE
T
wenty-first century hybrid consisting of a wearable computer,
threats representing everything peripheral device interfaces, energy man-
from road-side bombs to mass agement systems and man-machine inter-
terrorist strikes in crowded faces. Take the Israeli Army’s Integrated
cities have made it clear that Advanced Soldier (IAS) programme being
armies around the world need to refocus developed by Israel’s Directorate of
on the basic unit of warfare — the soldier Defence Research and Development and
itself. Beyond armour and airpower, the Elbit systems for example. Its Personal
most relevant and flexible response mech- Digital Unit (PDU) consists of a wearable
anism remains the infantry and there is a computer coupled with a handheld dis-
move underway to augment the situation- play, a radio, eyepiece display and head-
al awareness, survivability, and combat sets, mobile Wireless Local Area Network
effectivenes of the same. All current pro- (WLAN) and navigation system (mostly
grammes seem to treat the soldier as a sys- GPS). All components are to be found in
tem of systems while seeking to keep a the wearable system and armor vest and
balance between information overload weigh below five kilogrammes.
and enhanced capability. It is a good time The chief feed-in peripherals for such a
therefore to survey the existing efforts system are of course gun-mounted sights
while identifying key trends for the future. (essentially thermal or image-intensify-
The chief thrust of all ongoing pro- ing video cameras) and a helmet-mount-
grammes is the need to create a modular ed mini camera (day, thermal or light
Command, Control, Computers, Commu- intensifier type). Typically a section com-
nication and Information (C4I) scheme for mander’s target acquisition device is an
the individual soldier enabling him to uncooled thermal imager integrated with
transmit and receive real-time data, voice a laser rangefinder, electronic compass
and images in a seamless manner. While and GPS effective at ranges of over a km.
digitisation of militaries around the world While other section members usually
has been relatively simpler to do for mount an image intensifier tube on their
NPCIL
armoured formations, since they essen- guns. The other peripheral device is of
tially require an extension of wireless ONLY A MOCK-UP: The future soldier is course a two-way radio headsets integrat-
internet protocols to the existing com- being readied in labs ed with the ballistic helmet.
mand and control set-up, plugging indi- The idea is to “slave” all sensor infor-
vidual soldiers into the larger digital net- chief component of all so-called ‘future mation to the wearable computer and
work is a different ball game altogether. soldier’ kits is an electronic ensemble make it available to the soldier on dis-
Networking the soldier has meant the mostly embedded in the armour vest plays that may be found on the armour
(40)
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SPECIALFEATURE
Night-vision binocular
Assault rifle: Modern lightweight
assault rifle with smaller barrel for bet-
ter handling
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SPECIALFEATURE
vest, on the wrist, be handheld or inte- distance travelled after GPS is lost, as the network that networks the individual to
grated onto the combat helmet itself as a basis for the initial reference is the last other soldiers in the section and to the
collimated eyepiece. Information gath- available GPS reading. section leader, who in turn is linked with
ered by each soldier can then also be Soldier systems of course go beyond the the SITEL battle management system of
shared on the squad network and beyond C4I element. One of the more mature sys- the section’s armoured personnel carrier
(typically by hooking on to the larger tems like France’s Fantassin à via a Thales PR4G VS4 frequency-hopping
army network through the console on the tactical radio. Incidentally, SITEL devel-
squad’s armoured mount) via high-speed oped by Sagem is becoming a common
wireless connectivity. This allows com- KEEPING UP feature on French armoured vehicles.
manders to make tactical assessments The ‘two gun sight scheme’ is also a
and send back updated orders while WITH WESTERN feature of FELIN with infantryman being
keeping track of unit locations using the
transmitted GPS data. TRENDS, INDIA'S given an image intensifier while the com-
mander is being issued a thermal-imag-
Some systems like the IAS are also
developing a new navigation system,
DRDO HAS ing weapon sight. Both kinds of sights are
linked to the PEP, so the acquired images
enabling geo-location in areas where GPS INSTITUTED A viewed through the guns sights are avail-
cannot be relied upon. The system appar-
ently uses a combination of gyro, com- MODERNISATION able on the soldier’s displays (including
the OVD) and can also be transmitted via
pass, accelerometers
and some other
PROGRAMME the network to other units and com-
manders. The video sights also allow the
sensors to trian- soldier to extend the weapon and aim
gulate unit loca- Équipements et Liaisons Intégrés or around a corner much like Israel’s Cor-
tions. Accuracy, FELIN has 155 components in all, includ- nershot system. At the moment FELIN is
however, will ing a new low infrared combat outfit that is compatible with existing French Army
essentially be a fire, water and mosquito repellent with the infantry weapons such as the FAMAS
function of the NBC version consisting of a new ventila- assault rifle and the FR-F2 sniper rifle. In
tion system. FELIN also has modular bal- the future, the FELIN system hopes to
listic protection which can be tailored to add the new PAPOP rifle come program-
the threat environment. The French Army meable grenade launcher system which is
has placed orders for 22,588 sets of the 23 currently under development. Sagem’s
kg FELIN with Sagem, of which apparent- JIM MR multifunction binoculars com-
ly 5000 have already been delivered. bining an uncooled thermal imaging
The first units equipped with FELIN channel, eyesafe laser rangefinder and a
may be on their way to Afghanistan. digital magnetic compass has also been
FELIN’s combat headgear is also a chosen as a commander’s sight for FELIN.
much-touted feature and besides Though the FELIN may have been
the ballistic helmet, protective ordered in significant numbers, the sol-
visors and goggles, jawpad, night dier system that has already seen some
vision sensor (NVS), and OVD col- action is Germany’s IdZ Basic System (BS)
limated eyepiece, boasts an Elno supplied by Cassidian of which 2500 sets
OH-295 osteo-microphone have already been delivered to combat-
which detects speech by sens- ants in the field in Afghanistan. The IdZ-
ing the vibration in the wear- BS is designed to be a squad- level system
er’s skull. The osteo-micro- and each kit consists of a Heckler & Koch
phone coupled with a vibrat- G36 5.56mm rifle, a Thales C4I system
ing speaker enables good known as NavICom, image intensifying
voice communications even helmet-mounted NVS also supplied by
in noisy situations. Thales, Nacre’s QuietPro digital tactical
Like other soldier systems headset, an Oerlikon Contraves weapon-
at the heart of the FELIN is the mounted laser system together with eye-
Plateforme Electronique protection glasses, a ballistic and stab
Portable (PEP) embedded in the protection vest and a load-carrying vest.
KRISFROMGERMANY
armour vest interacting with the The NavICom notably provides the
soldier through various man- soldier with continuously updated situa-
machine interfaces and manag- tion awareness via a digital moving map
ing the RIF infantry information display system shows the soldier’s own
TIME FOR A CHANGE: Keeping position, the position of his comrades,
up with hi-tech innovations, the the position of minefields and other dan-
attire of the traditional solider ger zones, target course and coordinates
will change and the enemy’s status. Digital voice and
data wireless communications provide
(42)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
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SPECIALFEATURE
the soldier with commands and recon- ergonomically present the same level of Device” which is basically a smartphone
naissance data. The system is also information as two 17-inch LCDs. Initial tagged into a US military Joint Tactical
designed to give the soldier access to sets may be rolled out in the 2012-13 time Radio System-compliant Radio. The
micro-unmanned air vehicles (UAVs). frame. In any case F-INSAS will probably new smartphone weighs a fifth of the
The navigation system is equipped with a be the world’s largest soldier transforma- total of the total electronic ensemble in
global positioning system. tion programmes with a potential buy of typical kits and yet gives comparable
Other countries in Europe are also performance over 3G networks. While at
developing future soldier systems such as the same time the chances of informa-
Italy’s Soldata Futuro and Spain’s Com- ONE OF THE tion overload are cut down considerably.
Furt kits. However the budgetary situa-
tion in both countries has meant that MORE MATURE These smartphones also enable game
console-like control of UAVs and their
development programmes are now pro-
ceeding slower than usual. Nevertheless,
SYSTEMS LIKE texting capability is something that new
generations of troops would in any case
the programmes do have some interest- FRANCE'S FELIN be comfortable with.
ing standout features in terms of the work
done on finding renewable energy solu- HAS 155 More such smartphone devices at all
levels of the chain are being tried out by
tions for powering the main electronic
gear and on modularity. Spain’s ComFurt,
COMPONENTS IN the US Army. The idea is to replicate the
civilian success of tablet-like phones to
for instance, has been exploring the pos- ALL bridge the digital divide on the battlefield
sibility of using boot heel generators that in a manner that is far less cumbersome
generate electricity when the soldier more than 500000 sets, i.e to equip the than what is being currently deployed.
walks, to power at least a part of the elec- Indian Army’s 465 infantry battalions. Developers around the world would do
tronic equipment thereby taking some As such, it would do well to take cog- well to remain “wired
load of the litium-ion batteries embed- nizance of the lessons being held forth by in” to such trends.
ded in the vest that typically power ‘future the European buys. FELIN, for instance,
soldier’ kits. Indeed, energy management is being issued piecemeal at the
is one the biggest challenges that face the moment to allow for soldiers to get
development of all soldier kits given their a feel of the systems. Soldata
direct relation to endurance via both Futuro’s modularity approach
weight carried and powered availability. may also be taken note of. F-
Soldata Futuro is built from the ground INSAS should not be driven by
up to be an ‘ improve as you prove’ sys- the usual “must have”, “good to
tem which is constantly upgrading or have” paradigm that has delayed
modifying features as and when feedback several indigenous programmes
from the field is processed. A case in in the past.
point is the development of the kit’s new Lessons should also be
NC4-09 ballistic vest which was designed learned from the long
based on the inputs of soldiers in running US Nett War-
Afghanistan. In terms of modularity, the rior programme which
Soldato Futuro operates under a very dif- is basically the world’s
ferent paradigm from the FELIN. oldest ‘future soldier’
DRDO’s F-INSAS or Futuristic Infantry effort. Nett Warrior, for
Soldier As A System essentially has all the instance, is only the latest avatar
features that FELIN et al are demonstrat- of the Ground Soldier System pro-
ing, including lightweight and modular gramme which itself was a result of the
ballistic protection, protective combat rebadging of the Land Warrior Advance
GIDEPARK.RU
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PERISCOPE
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GEOPOLITICS
ENG.MIL.RU
revealed expenditure plans in
the Parliament for the develop-
ment of military infrastructure, with
new fighter bases, helipads, bunkers, INDIAN ARMY will have a war-game with the Russian
forward ammunition dumps and the Army in a joint exercise to be held in ‘Cheetah’ training
like, to strategically counter the coun- range in East Russia, close to the Mongolia-China border,
try’s two potential adversaries — China next year to increase inter-operability between the two
and Pakistan. armies. This will be the fourth round of INDRA series of
Antony pegged the planned “devel- Army-to-Army exercise between the two countries. The
opment” of Army infrastructure and two sides have also decided to make INDRA series of joint
“improvement” of IAF infrastructure Army exercises an annual affair, which will be held alter-
in the north-east at `7,374 crore natively in India and Russia. So far, India and Russia have
and `1,753 crore, respectively. conducted three rounds of INDRA exercises. The first
Similarly, capability develop- such exercise was carried out in 2005 in Rajasthan, fol-
ment along the northern bor- lowed by Prshkov in Russia. The third exercise was con-
ders will cost `24,312 crore, while ducted in Chaubattia in Kumaon hills some time back.
upgrade of storage facility for The exercise is aimed at increasing the inter-operabili-
PIB
ammunition will come for `18,450 crore. ty and mutual understanding between the two armies.
(44)
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GEOPOLITICS
Navy to get first N-sub by March Seven more radars for Gujarat
WHEN INDIA THE GOVERN-
acquires, by the MENT has given
end of March this approval for set-
year, a nuclear sub- ting up seven
marine from Rus- radar stations on
the first-genera- informed the Parliament. There has been approval also for
tion Russian Nerpa setting up a Coast Guard station at Pipavav in Gujarat,
Akula-II class nuclear submarine, armed with 300-km-range Antony said in a written reply to a question in the Lok Sabha.
Klub missiles, is to be berthed in the Bay of Bengal. The leased Coast Guard stations at a particular place are set up after tak-
8,100-tonne vessel is currently in the final user acceptance tri- ing into account the threat perception, vulnerability gap
al stage in northern Russia. India, of course, has its indige- analysis and presence of other stations in the vicinity. A
nous nuclear submarine INS Arihant, which will undergo sea Regional Headquarters (North West) at Gandhinagar has also
trials planned over the next six months. been established in Gujarat to monitor coastal security.
HEMANT RAWAT
THE HINDUSTAN Aeronautics of compressing the delivery IF INDIA’S first Indian astronaut Rakesh Sharma is to
Limited (HAL) has started man- programme by three years. be believed, then faulty planning in defence public
ufacturing of Sukhoi-30 MKI Accordingly, HAL submitted a sector units is responsible for rising MiG crashes.
fighters in the country. Con- Proposal, which envisaged Speaking at the annual confluence of Indian Institute
tracts have been concluded compressed delivery of 140 air- of Management, Ahmedabad, recently, he said that
with Indian Air Force (IAF) for craft within 2014-15. PSUs such as Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL)
supply of 140 8U-30 MIG air- The steps taken by HAL for and Defence Research and Development Organisation
craft by 2014-15, along with timely manufacturing of such (DRDO) were being run like political and bureaucratic
earlier order of 40 aircraft. Of fighters include: fiefdoms, with the result that they had the infrastruc-
the total 180 aircraft, 99 aircraft y Commissioning of more ture but no expertise. The solution, according to him, is
have been delivered till 2010- tooling and fixtures in man- in “public-private partnership (PPP) model with Indian
11. ufacturing and assembly companies in these sectors”. Giving his personal expe-
The government has asked shops. rience, Sharma said that as a test pilot with the HAL, he
HAL to speed up the manufac- y Increased outsourcing. would send back fighter planes to the laboratories if he
turing of Su-30 MKI fighters. As y Development of alternate detected snags in their parts. But he soon found out
per the Cabinet Committee on vendors. that instead of doing research and development on
Security (CCS) sanction dated y Improvements in manufac- these parts, the laboratories fitted the parts in another
18/12/2000, the project was turing processes & opera- fighter plane. “The parts used to keep repeating the full
to commence from the year tions. circle consuming time and energy without any result,”
2004-05 and be completed by y Effective monitoring and he said.
2017-18. However, in June 2005, timely actions through Lamenting that “the HAL does not even have an in-
Air Headquarters requested Enterprise Resource Plan- house test-pilot team”, he said that there was a lack of
HAL, to explore the feasibility ning (ERP). transparency and accountability in PSUs.
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INDIA’S ROBUST
GEO-TECHNOLOGY POWER
(46)
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T
HE SECOND BrahMos regi-
ment equipped with
advanced systems, mainly the
Block-II version, has been
delivered to the Indian Army
on November 9, 2011. The first BrahMos
Army regiment was made operational in
2008. The Defence Acquisition Council
(DAC) has reportedly approved the
deployment of Block III variants to
enhance the Army’s firepower in the
north-east following a similar nod for
the western sector facing Pakistan. A
product of the India-Russia joint ven-
ture, the supersonic cruise missiles
have been serving the Indian armed
forces as force multipliers, while
bestowing India with the geo-techno-
logical leadership in the world. Howev-
er, its techno-strategic implications are
bound to reverberate in the both
regional and global security spectrum
in the decades ahead, with the evolving
security scenario perceptibly shifting
from geopolitics to geo-technology.
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HEMANT RAWAT
PRIDE OF THE NATION: The BrahMos missile programme is one of India’s best joint venture success stories
has been integrated to the company. sation (DRDO), the Russian-built claimed to be the ‘best ground beef out
Headquartered in Hyderabad, BrahMos Glonass receivers have been successful- there’ in comparison to the Tomahawk
Aerospace reportedly handles anti-ship ly used to enhance the aiming and tar- that is the ‘best steak out there’.
missile production, and in Nagpur, the get-acquisition accuracy. With the iner- As a versatile system, the BrahMos
missiles receive their warheads. tial-navigation system onboard with can be launched from multiple plat-
A derivative of the Russian Yakhont, three gyroscopes and three accelerome- forms based on land, sea, sub-sea and
the BrahMos is a two-stage vehicle with ters, the weapon is a “fire-and-forget” air. The modular design of the missile
solid propellant booster and a liquid system requiring no further guidance and its capability of being launched at
ramjet system. It has a striking range of from the control centre once the target different orientations enable it to be
290 km with supersonic speed at 2.8 is assigned and launched. Officially, its integrated with a wide spectrum of plat-
Mach (four time faster than the Ameri- cruising altitude could be up to 15 km forms such aswarships, submarines, dif-
can Tomahawk, three times the speed of and terminal altitude is as low as 10 ferent types of aircraft, mobile
the Harpoon or the Exocet), and can metres. The anti-jamming systems autonomous launchers and silos. Out of
carry a 200-300 kg payload. While the onboard can protect it from electronic the total 25 test flights of the missile so
propulsion system of the missile is Russ- countermeasures and enable it to dis- far, 24 tests have been successful. The
ian origin, its guidance and electronics tinguish the target from decoys. The test of Block-II version of the missile on
packages are designed and developed in missile is capable of mounting two types January 20, 2009, failed to hit its target
India. Distinctively, guided by the Iner- of warheads — (1) one that explodes on due to glitches in the homing device.
tial Navigation System, GPS and contact; (2) target penetration by impact While BrahMos Block-I version is an
active/passive radar, the missile has and then explode a few milliseconds lat- anti-ship missile, Block-II is an Army
precision of around six-metre Circular er. Once assembled, the missile has a version meant for attacking targets on
Error Probability (CEP) and is nine 10-year shelf life, requiring a routine land. The latest Block-III is meant for
times more destructive than sub-sonic preventive maintenance check once operations in mountain warfare where
cruise missiles. According to the every three years. Considering all these the missile has to hit the target with a
Defence Research Development Organi- attributes, the BrahMos missile is rightly steep dive.
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COVERSTORY
W
missiles over the next ten years (current HY IS it that in this age of hawks during “Operation Desert
capacity is to produce 100 missiles a year) rapidly-growing ballistic Storm” in January 1991 highlighted
for Indian forces. Both the Indian Army missiles, cruise missiles the effectiveness of the cruise mis-
and Navy have already inducted the Brah- continue to be relevant? The short siles. During the 2003 Iraq War, the
Mos missiles. The Army has inducted the answer is that most wars are fought US military employed cruise mis-
first battery of the land version in June with tactical weapons, not strategic siles over four times more than that
2007. According to Global Security Infor- weapons. Cruise missiles are tacti- in the 1991 war. The Iraq War also
mation, the Army had ordered two Brah- cal weapons and much cheaper saw the first use of the UK-French-
Mos regiments in the first phase at a cost than the strategic ballistic missiles. produced “Storm Shadow” cruise
of `8,352 crore, with 134 missiles in 2006- And importantly, while advanced missiles. In fact, since the Iraq War
09, 10 road-mobile autonomous launch- nations are competing against one (Operation Iraqi Freedom), evolving
ers on 12x12 Tatra vehicles and four another in developing ballistic mis- opinion in the strategic literature
mobile-command posts and another 240 sile defence (BMD) systems, cruise has been that “Cruise missiles have
land-attack Block-II versions in 2010. The missiles are designed to hug the reached their mature stage”.
first ships to be equipped with BrahMos ground, which makes them hard to All this explains why cruise mis-
were Project 61ME (Kashin-Mod class) detect by radar. They are launched siles have been in great demand and
destroyers. The anti-ship naval version from ships, submarines, airplanes, are used more frequently than any
has been integrated on the destroyer INS and from the ground. Besides, other weapon system. One estimate
Rajput and will also be mounted on the unlike the cruise missiles, ballistic shows that as many as 130 types of
three 7,000-tonne Kolkata-Class destroy- missiles are more prone to inaccu- cruise missiles exist today, with 75
ers and the Talwar-Class. The Indian Navy racies as regards the targets. In fact, countries possessing them. But, a US
also plans to deploy them on submarines putting into operation of ballistic Congressional Research Service (CRS)
and possibly on land-based patrol air- missiles is very complex with estimate reveals that 81 countries
craft. The Navy had ordered 49 BrahMos increasing accuracy, range, and have cruise missiles of some kind. It
firing units at a cost of `711 crore. defence penetration requirements. says that approximately 70000 cruise
The Indian Air Force will be equipped And finally, while ballistic missiles missiles are operational worldwide.
with the first operational models of the are essentially fitted with high- seventy-five different types of sys-
missile by 2012 by modifying the fifth- range nuclear weapons, cruise mis- tems are currently in service and over
generation fighters and Su-30MKI. This siles can carry both nuclear and 40 additional cruise missiles are
would prove to be a ‘force multiplier’ to conventional warheads. reportedly under development.
the Air Force to engage all types of The importance of cruise missiles However, existing literature only
land/sea targets. It is quite likely that the in the recent wars has been clearly highlights the “tipping point”
126 medium-multirole fighters for which discernible. Their frequent use by assumption, identifying their
India has announced contracts, will also the United States since the end of spread mainly to the developing
be fitted with BrahMos missiles. The F/A- the Cold War has been noteworthy countries while overlooking the ver-
18 Super Hornet, Rafale and Typhoon in this regard. The spectacular tical proliferation in the case of the
fighters can all serve as carriers. demonstration of the US Toma- developed countries.
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COVERSTORY
id propellant ramjet to propel the missile Bhabha Atomic Research Center for the
to its supersonic speed. But solid ram- robotic system and Hindustan Aeronau-
jet has limits in the Mach number tics Ltd. (HAL) for engines. The Phase-II
that can be attained, whereas a expansion will begin after we get addition-
kerosene-based ramjet can al land and the Phase-III thereafter. The
reach up to Mach 7. first fully-integrated BrahMos missile is
We have our own func- expected to roll out from BATL by 2012.
tional navigation systems,
along with excellent expe- On retrofit of BrahMos on submarines
rience in onboard com- The missile is already ready and the Amur
puters through the design with vertically-launched BrahMos
Indian Prithvi and missile has been designed jointly with
Agni ballistic missile Russian Institutes. We are also looking at
programmes. Fortu- Air Independent Propulsion for Amur to
nately, our friends at make it more versatile, so that Amur will
NPO Machinos- be a class superior in performance com-
troyenia were pared to the diesel submarines, which
working with us as can fire only tube-launched missiles or
consultants. torpedoes. I am certain that given the
speed with which we work, Amur can be
On the role of pri- built faster with BrahMos integrated. We
vate sector in Brah- are hoping to get a decision soon.
Mos * Dr Pillai’s reactions are based on
published interviews in the media.
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COVERSTORY
PIB
FORCE MULTIPLIER: With multi-platform, multi-mission and multi-target capabilities, the BrahMos can be used across a variety of
scenarios
missile technology the BrahMos Aero- would be reinforced by the large kinetic ic hardware and systems. While Godrej
space has unveiled a plan for developing energy of the impact, much more than Aerospace produces the airframe,
hypersonic version (BrahMos-II) of the that of the supersonic versions. The entire wings, as well as the pneumatic and
missile. The project, centred round the process would take around five years from hydraulic systems, Larsen and Toubro
scramjet engine technology, has kick- now and support from Russia is crucial. (L&T) makes the composites and Hin-
started with a team of defence scientists dustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) makes the
at the Hyderabad-based Defence Diversified Production Line inertial navigation system and missile
Research and Development Laboratory While the entire project is a joint ven- checkout system. BrahMos Aerospace
(DRDL), a constituent of the DRDO. ture between the DRDO of India and the has also set up a second assembly line at
Looking beyond the basic version in NPO Mashinostroyenia of Russia, many its newly-created facility in India. On
operation with a speed of Mach 2.8, the private agencies are integrally involved November 8, 2011, the company also
hypersonic version will have a velocity of in the production of specific software opened a centre of excellence for devel-
up to Mach 7. The scramjet technology, and hardware components of the mis- oping hypersonic aerodynamic vehicles
in which the DRDL has a good degree of sile. Around sixteen companies in India and engines at the Indian Institute of
expertise, will be used in the hypersonic are involved in the production of specif- Science (IISc) in Bengaluru.
version with kerosene as a fuel to attain
stability and storage safety.
According to Dr Pillai, the focus of the Advantage BrahMos
hypersonic programme would be on zero- ¾ World leader for supersonic cruise develop, produce and market ad-
ing in on the optimum technological ele- missile vanced defence systems
ments for realising on operationally viable ¾ Multi-platform, multi-mission, ¾ First joint venture with equity
scramjet system, which could ultimately multi-target capability share ratio of 50.5 per cent (India)
be accelerated to attain Mach 7 velocity. ¾ Most cost-effective weapon com- and 49.5 per cent (Russia) between
This version will carry a conventional plex government funded private sectors
weapons payload weighing around 200 ¾ Ultimate force multiplier for armed ¾ First joint venture to integrate
kg. To withstand high temperature and forces public-private industries
pressure during the trans-atmospheric ¾ First joint venture between India ¾ Role model for future joint ven-
flight, high performance materials will be and foreign partners to design, tures
used. Overall, the destructive capability
(51)
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www.geopolitics.in January 2012
geopolitics
INTERNAL SECURITY
ARDUOUS PEAKS
Indo Tibetan Border Police DG Ranjit Sinha on the challenge of
guarding India’s borders with China
ITBP
IS
INTERNAL SECURITY B R I E F S g
MHA: The year in review
Gelatin trouble! ¤P Chidambaram
What have been the achievements of
the Union Home Ministry? With
The mines may still be in Odisha because of
¤politics but the explosives are sure being put to completing three years
as Union Home Minister, the ministry
good use. put out its annual list of achievements
Recently, Odisha
PIB
under his leadership
police recovered a Here they are:
huge cache of Significant decline in violence and infiltration in
explosives Jammu and Kashmir and North-Eastern states.
including gelatin No major communal conflagration during last three
sticks years.
manufactured by
3.BP.BLOGSPOT.COM
WIKIMEDIA.ORG
investigator—the National COMMERCIAL CAPITAL ARE now face stiff competition from superior
Investigation Agency (NIA), BEING EYED BY THE MAOISTS Israeli weapons with raids producing Uzi subma-
Delhi is the hub of all WHO HAVE FORMED A ‘GOLDEN chine guns apart from the Chinese variant of the AK-47
Lashkar operations in the CORRIDOR COMMITTEE’ TO and AK-56 assault rifles. In percentage terms, the Israeli
country. Its latest is a ENHANCE OPERATIONAL; catch is small, but officials believe that these are slowly
trickling in from Myanmar and Bangladesh.
well-oiled and complexly- CAPABILITY AND CAPACITY IN
networked financial machine INDUSTRIAL AREAS OF
that brings in obver `100 GUJARAT AND MAHARASHTRA.
crore by hawala for distribu-
tion across the nation to
THERE ARE ALSO PLANS TO
MOVE INTO NAGPUR, WARDHA, Mujahideens targeting tourist areas
families of terrorists killed in
the country. In other words: a
BHANDARA AND YAVATMAL
DISTRICTS OF MAHARASHTRA. ¤ Tourists beware, the Muja-
haideens are looking! This was
sort of terrorist benevolence THEY ARE ALREADY A the finding after the recent
busting of an Indian Mujahideen
fund underwritten by the POTENT FORCE IN
PANORAMIO.COM
atists in Kashmir and the rest INFORMATION IN RESPONSE areas surveyed by him were high-value tourist zones like Dilli Haat
and the Paharganj area, which are frequented by budget tourists.
to the terrorists families.
TO A PARLIAMENT QUESTION.
(54)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
g B R I E F S IS INTERNAL SECURITY
MAPSOF.NET
¤ Union Home
Minister
rashtra could be the first
state in the country to Bihar, Jharkhand
P Chidambaram
recently
implement the CCTNS.
What this will do is help
and West Bengal.
inaugurated a police stations track That apart, the
regional hub of information about any criminal registered in any part of the state. railways are also
the elite anti-terror National 60,000 policemen and women have been trained across the state running security
Security Guard (NSG) which to implement the CCTNS. The project is expected to commence in trains on a regular
now has a new hub at Hyder-
abad. The hub has come up at a
March 2012. The initiative has been launched under the e-gover-
nance project of MHA and National Crime Records Bureau. The
basis to survey
cost of `37.96 crore on 22 acres project will connect 14,000 police stations and 6,000 administra- tracks. Last year,
of land at Tirmulghery in tive offices in the country. East Central
Secunderabad and was inaugu- Railway
rated in December by Home
(that bears the brunt
Minister P Chidambaram.
Chidambaram said on the Terror money of the Maoists
insurgency) had 18
occasion that the NSG was
being provided modern for stocks attacks. The major
one included the
weapons and the world-class
training to thwart terrorist
attacks and hijacking of air-
¤ “Suspicious transactions linked to
terrorist financing were received from
intermediaries of stock market such as
derailment of 10
planes. He said that NSG com- brokers, asset management companies coaches of a
Rajdhani Express,
PANORAMIO.COM
(55)
g
GEOPOLITICS
INTERVIEW
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www.geopolitics.in January 2012
g
INTERVIEW
going? What challenges are you facing? Most ITBP jawans are exposed to high
RS: The process is going well. The main
ON THE LOOKOUT: Starting out as a
challenges are acquisition of land, timely specialised border guarding force, the ITBP
construction of infrastructure, recruit- is now also involved in anti-Naxal operations
ment and training. The state governments
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INTERVIEW
ITBP
GUARDING THE HIMALAYAS: The ITBP has extensive training and experience in guarding the mountainous borders of the country
altitudes, extremely low temperatures establishing other specialised centres for part of the basic training of each rank. Till
and mountainous terrains. Staying for a jungle warfare, mountain-driving school now we have climbed more than 187
longer duration at these heights poses the and weapons-training school. national and international peaks. Our
risk of physical and mental problems. To team is going to ski down Mt Everest dur-
neutralise the adverse effects of a pro- Anti-LWE and Counter-Insurgency (CI) ing our Golden Jubilee Year in 2012.
longed stay at high altitudes, subzero operations have forced CAPFs to change
temperatures and mountainous terrain, it their training manuals. What are the new The Army is trying for the operational
becomes necessary to move our jawans things that have been incorporated in control of ITBP. How do you see this?
to the plains. the ITBP training? RS: The matter is under consideration
The other assignments being per- RS: A new standard operating procedure with Government of India and no final
formed by our jawans in the plains not (SOP) has been made for ITBP personnel decision has been taken.
only provides a much-needed period of deployed in these areas. Case studies and
rest and recuperation but also give our training modules have been modified, ITBP is the lead intelligence agency on
jawans a variety of professional opera- which have become an integral part of the Indo-China border. Your force is rais-
tional experiences. the training programmes. ing an intelligence branch. How much
has been achieved in this regard? How do
The operations against Left-wing extrem- Some experts believe that due to a single you see this new responsibility?
ists require subordinate officers like Sub- -mountaineering school, ITBP has not RS: Intelligence has always been a part of
Inspectors and Inspectors to take on lead- been able to keep up to its standards. Do our basic structure. Now we are restruc-
ership roles. How well- equipped are the you agree? Do you see scope for turing and strengthening it. We have
officers for these challenges? improvement? made good progress on this front and it is
RS: Before induction in the ANO opera- RS: It is not that we run mountaineering yielding excellent results.
tions, our men undergo pre-induction courses only at the mountaineering
training at institutes and to make them school at Auli. The ITBP Academy (Mus- Tell us about the Sikkim-relief operation.
fully aware of the local terrain, demogra- sourie), Counter Insurgency and Jungle RS: We were the first ones to respond after
phy and practical problems. In addition, Warfare (CIJW) School (Mahidanda) and the earthquake, in spite of the fact that
the intermediate officers and senior offi- all the battalions situated in the border there was damage to ITBP assets. ITBP
cers always accompany patrol parties and areas run mountaineering courses. All personnel braved the inclement weather
lead them in operations. battalions have their own mountaineering and commenced relief and rescue mis-
teams and each year they scale one peak sion immediately after the earthquake.
Which are the new institutions coming in their area of responsibility. We organise About 500 people were brought to our
up for your force? unit-level, sector-level and frontier-level camps and provided with necessary med-
RS: We are coming up with three recruit mountaineering competitions. We have ical and other aid. Hundred blankets and
training centres at Karera in Madhya established artificial climbing walls in our 200 tents were distributed. Rescue and
Pradesh, Sivganga in Tamil Nadu and training institutions situated in the plains. relief work has been well appreciated by
Kimin in Arunachal Pradesh. We are also Mountaineering and rock climbing are the Prime Minister and Home Minister.
(58)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
D E F E N C E D I P L O M A C Y S E C U R I T Y
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STRATEGIC LOSS: The death of Maoist leader Kishenji has broken the back of the Left-wing extremist movement
PLATYPUS1917.ORG
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INTERNALSECURITY
S
QUEEZED BETWEEN Palamau convening meetings on the West Bengal-
in the north and Gumla in the Jharkhand border.
south, Latehar district in the
eastern Indian state of Jhark- Fake or Real Encounter
hand is strategically located. After his targeted killing, allegations of a
Carved out of the old Palamau district, fake encounter were levelled from many
Latehar was created on April 4, 2001. quarters, some expected and one quite
Nearly half of its area is under dense astonishing. Maoist ideologue and Tel-
forests. Furthermore, it abuts Chhattis- ugu poet Varavara Rao, the family mem-
garh to the west and is hence a fertile bers of Kishenji and the human rights
region for the Maoist infiltrators. Late- activists raised the banner of protest by
har’s hilly terrain makes it a perfect des- alleging a fake encounter. Quite stun-
tination for a Maoist stronghold. ningly, Communist Party of India (CPI)
It was no wonder that within 24 hours, MP Gurudas Dasgupta was obdurate
the Maoists claimed, with considerable enough to call up Union Home Minister
equanimity, the responsibility of in this regard.
ambushing the convoy of independent A similar hue and cry had taken place
Member of Parliament (MP) Inder Singh in July 2010 at the time of CPI-M
Namdhari at Latehar on December 3, spokesperson Azad’s targeted killing.
2011. Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF)
Though such attacks were highly Director-General K Vijay Kumar was visi-
expected, still a validation came from bly angry with such malice being heaped
Sudhir, the Maoist spokesperson for the on the paramilitary forces. Interestingly,
local committee. He said: “We own the the autopsy report confirmed Vijay
responsibility for the attack on the police Kumar’s assertion. According to it, bul-
party to avenge the killing of our leader lets hit Kishenji in the chin, chest and
Kishan Da.” head. One bullet was fired from a dis-
tance of around 500 metres. A team of
Who was Kishenji? forensic experts also found some gun-
By all means, he meant Kishenji instead powder in his hand.
of Kishan-da. Mallojula Koteswara Rao, However, from the policy perspective
alias Kishenji alias Prahlad alias many of targeted killings as a veritable compo-
more, was a top-rung policy-maker- nent of counter-insurgency operations,
cum-military leader of the ultra-left whether the Kishenji encounter was
rebels. He was media-savvy. His popu- staged or real, is probably insignificant.
larity could be gauged when one finds an Nevertheless, the following reasons may
obituary-cum-analysis of this rebel be elucidated to have brought about his
leader in Foreign Policy, the US political undoing.
magazine which hardly takes cognizance First, he was recovering from an
of India’s internal matters. injury suffered last year from an attack
At 56 years of age, he was a senior by the security forces at Jangalmahal.
Politburo member and part of Central Hence, his physical fitness was under the
Military Commission of the Communist scanner.
Party of India-Maoist (CPI-M). He was Second, the penetrative intelligence
reportedly killed in a mammoth opera- network of the police (across states) was
tion by Indian security forces in the Jan- tracing him and the moment he came
galmahal area in West Bengal on Novem- out of his hideout, he became vulnera-
ber 24, 2011. The operation, which ble. In fact, after the close shave last
hemmed in Kishenji, was planned in year, he had cocooned himself.
concentric circles. A group of 1000 joint Third, he was technology-savvy and
forces (paramilitary and state police that could have helped the police track
combined) encircled Kishenji and his his position. He used to scan newspa-
HEMANT RAWAT
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INTERNALSECURITY
What Next? jail. Telugu Deepak and Kanchan are also points out in the daily Hindustan Times:
Kishenji’s demise would be a big jolt to incarcerated. Hence, Ganapthy now has “The blow will be more for their eastern
the rebels. It would be hard to find a to work with second-rung leaders. regional bureau of which Kishenji was
replacement soon as he had become As Snigdhendu Bhattacharya aptly the spokesperson and the top-most
almost indispensable in the eastern leader. His boss in the eastern bureau
region. However, there is no reason to Saheb-da, alias Jhantu Mukherjee, was
expect a sudden spate of sporadic TRIBAL MILITIAS arrested a few months back.”
reprisals from the Maoists. Neither can
the annihilation of Kishenji be seen as ARE EXTREMELY Second, by the very principle of guer-
rilla warfare tactics, the rebels would
the demise of the insurrection. Their
General-Secretary, Ganapathy, is still at
SIGNIFICANT FOR retaliate; albeit in a different venue, dif-
ferent time and different occasion. That
large. However, what could be expected ACQUIRING is exactly what happened at Latehar on
in the near future?
First, the Maoists would re-group and KNOWLEDGE OF December 3, 2011, when the landmine
planted by the ultras exploded. Ten secu-
Ganapathy must be extremely cautious
now. They lost Azad in 2010 and now
THE LOCAL rity personnel and an eight-year-old boy
succumbed to the injuries. Namdhari, a
Kishenji. Senior leaders Narayan Sanyal TERRAIN former Speaker of the Jharkhand Assem-
and Kobad Ghandy are languishing in bly, escaped unhurt.
(62)
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CRPF
CALCULATED APPROACH: India has kept the option of talking to the Maoists open but is moving to a position of strength first
The Battle Ahead altogether. Tribal militias need to be Martha Crenshaw observes that rebel-
Kishenji’s elimination signified that, at upheld. But, they must be provided legit- lions may systematically decline
last, the CI/CT (counter-insurgency/ imacy through the process of official because of three features: physical
counter-terrorism) policy of the Indian recruitment. Tribal militias are extremely defeat, decision of the group to abandon
security forces seems to work fine vis-a- significant for acquiring knowledge of terrorist strategy and organisational dis-
vis the Maoists. The recent success of the the local terrain and for useful ground integration.
forces in the Saranda forests in Jhark- intelligence. Moreover, consistent In the Indian context, it may be
hand coupled with the annihilation of attempts must be made to dissect the hypothesised that some or all the above
Cherukuri Rajkumar alias Azad and now political unity of the ultras. features may be achieved through talks.
Kishenji speaks of the Indian CI/CT pol- The path of ‘talks’ needs to be kept However, if talks do not provide the way
icy as toeing the line of Winning Hearts open as a viable option, but only when out, then TK/TI along with WHAM-
and Minds (WHAM)-based counter- the government would be sure that the based CI operations must be employed.
insurgency policy plus Targeted Killings Maoist guerillas are in an awkward posi- After all, the demise of the Maoist insur-
and Incarcerations or TK/TI approach. tion to continue their present phase of gency should be an acceptable endgame
The latter suitably bolsters the WHAM- ‘strategic defence’. Mere proclamations for the Adivasis, the government, the
based CI/CT. of ‘ceasefires’ by the Maoists should not police and the paramilitary; apart from
At the other end, the Indian State has be taken as pre-conditions for opening the core Maoist leadership.
kept the options of ‘talking to the talks as these temporary cessation of If talks work, then fine. Otherwise, to
Maoists’ an open agenda and is quite hostilities are used by the rebels to quote notable military strategist Luttwak,
rightly moving to a position of strength regroup, rearm, revitalise and recruit. there would probably be no harm if “war
before they ‘talk’ to the rebels. Talks can only be initiated if the govern- is given a chance”. It is true that develop-
It may be recommended that a care- ment is in a ‘position of strength’. And ment and governance are the keys to
fully orchestrated dual-strategy of TK-TI this could be achieved through sus- long-term tranquility, but the ‘small war’
compounded with population-centric, tained implementation of a strategic must be won as a prerequisite.
WHAM-based CI operations, needs to be framework, which houses TK-TI-plus
implemented. The direct deployment of WHAM-based CI operations. (Dr Uddipan Mukherjee is an Asstt. Prof.
the Army may be kept on hold. However, at BPPIMT, Kolkata, India and a Strate-
future prospects of the Army being put Talks? Not Always gic Analyst at ITS,Landshut, Germany &
into effect should not be ruled out While researching on insurgency, Gais, Italy)
(64)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
geopolitics
DIPLOMACY
STILWELL IMPACT
It is like a rattlesnake’s zig-zzag trespass but the Stilwell Road is
actually a life-ssaver and can have a huge role to play in India’s
Look-EEast policy
US AIR FORCE
WILL THE
YO-YO PHASE
AMIR H. MAHMOODI PANORAMIO.COM
OF INDIA-IRAN
RELATIONS INDIA-RUSSIA
REACH A SUMMIT: AGE
MORE STABLE OLD TIES
PLANE? REAFFIRMED
PIB
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DIPLOMACY
W T
ith the first high-level Myanmarese visit to India in he economic gains that can be accrued from the reopening
many decades, witnessed in President Thein Sein’s of the Stilwell ‘Road’ cannot be denied. However, atmos-
trip to the country this year, Indo-Myanmarese rela- pheres of goodwill have a sense of immediacy and are time-
tions seem to be going from strength-to-strength. In this bound, and much more needs to be done to exploit the present
context, and in the perspective of development, the reopen- momentum in Indo-Myanmarese relations. For this, the atten-
ing of the Stilwell route as a trade road is important for the tion on Stilwell Road could quite possibly overshadow the con-
overall trade benefit and commercial development of the sideration that ought to be given to the maintenance and regula-
North-Eastern region (NER) of India. tion of projects and cross-border routes already in existence.
There are, therefore, some crucial points that merit attention.
Economic Implications
The Stilwell Road connects Ledo in Assam through Stilwell or Moreh?
Arunachal Pradesh with Yunnan Province in China, through The Stilwell Road was used as a supply line for military troops
Myitkyina in Myanmar. The 632-kilometre stretch in China during World War II, after which it became redundant. It has
and 60-kilometre in Assam have been constructed; however, never been used for trade purposes and to ask for its ‘reopening’,
a major section of the road lies in Myanmar, stretching 1,033 in that context, is a fallacy. The currently operating border point
kilometres, and until this year, Myanmar was reluctant to is at Moreh in Manipur, which connects with Tamu in Myanmar.
develop its side of the road. This year, it awarded the contract It has been recorded that a significant amount of illegal trade
for the construction of the 312-kilometre portion linking occurs across the border. Although the list of tradable items
Myitkyina in Kachin State to Pangsau Pass on the Arunachal across the North-Eastern border was recently expanded from 22
Pradesh border, to the Yunnan Construction Engineering to 40 items, border trade is still wanting in various aspects, such
Group of China. Both India’s North-East and China’s Yunnan as infrastructure and security mechanisms. Working on the
province are landlocked, and while China has had successes assumption that this pattern is likely to be replicated in the case
in implementing sub-regional growth in Yunnan, economic of Stilwell, it can be said that its operationalisation is not a short-
development in the North-East leaves a lot to be desired. term goal. Therefore, while discussion in policy circles about the
This road carries viable economic importance for Indo- enormous gains to be had from the reopening of this route in the
Myanmarese and Sino-Indian trade. absence of any official undertaking is all very well, steps must
Most significantly, this road will reduce transportation also be taken to ensure that they do not cloud the work that
costs between India and China by around 30 per cent or needs to be done in strengthening the point at Moreh, and oper-
more, compared to the current trade value. Beijing recently ationalising agreements made on other border points, such as
hosted the first-ever India-China special talks on strategic Zowkathar (Mizoram)-Rhi (Myanmar).
economic cooperation, which is a step forward for bilateral
cooperation. In terms of India’s trade with Myanmar, Political Dimensions
although bilateral trade has increased, there are still gaps The primary importance for this renewal of interest is due to the
that need to be addressed. passage it provides to Yunnan in China. This could potentially
One tends to ignore the border trade potential between assign secondary importance to Myanmar, which would serve as
India and Myanmar. To correct this, Stilwell Road could the transit country. Although there are no reports on whether
RENEWING BONDS: The Stillwell Road could prove to be a major conduit for India’s Look-East Policy
CHAPATIEXPRESS.FILES.WORDPRESS.COM
(67)
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DIPLOMACY
INDIA
ARUNACHAL
LEDO PRADESH
CHINA
KUNMING
MYANMAR
AMBER KUMAR
EPIC PROJECT: Although daunting, the Himalayas have not proved to be an insurmountable obstacle in the face of strategic concerns
Recently, the former Director-General of the Border Security projects would help accomplish the very same developmental
Force (BSF) Prakash Singh stated that the western border of goals that are trumpeted as the prizes to be won from the open-
India had been given far more attention than the northern ing of Stilwell Road. The Kaladan Multimodal Transit Transport
border areas, which showed the lack of a uniform policy of Project, for instance, comprises road and water corridors, and
the Government of India (GoI) towards the country’s bor- amongst others, is anticipated to act as a direct agent of trade
ders. Negligent border management has resulted in illegal between the Myanmarese port of Sittwe and ports on the east-
trade and consistent security threats in the region. Therefore, ern seaboard of India. Its inadequate implementation, however,
while considering the importance of Stilwell, adequate demonstrates a gap that needs urgent attention; progress thus
attention must also be given to security threats which hinder far has been inadequate. It could play a catalytic role in trans-
investments in the region. For this, joint cross-border securi- forming the North East, thereby aiding the fulfilment of the
ty mechanisms are essential, and the operationalisation of Vision 2020.
Stilwell Road can be a first step in the direction of making It must be noted that in this anointing of Stilwell Road
Indo-Myanmarese linkages secure. because of the provision it makes for trade with China, Myan-
The rugged topography of the region and lack of connec- mar could be very easily ignored. Trade between India and
tivity have always been major hindrances in the economic as Myanmar is still small compared to Myanmar’s other major
well as infrastructural development of the Northeast of trade partners — China and Thailand — and demands dynam-
India. The reopening of the road will diminish the remote- ic investments and development. Stilwell Road can most cer-
ness of sections of the border area, reducing the threat posed tainly be prioritised as is the current trend, as long as the routes
by insurgent elements. in existence and the additional assistance they require is not
neglected at the expense of it.
Jayasree Nath
Formerly with Institute of Peace Ruhee Neog
and Conflict Studies (IPCS) Research Officer, Institute of Peace
and Conflict Studies (IPCS)
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GEOPOLITICS
DIPLOMACY
LINKAGES
accounts of India, authors Alain
Daniélou and Kenneth Hurry, in
their book A Brief History of India,
trace the origin of India-Iran relations
since the time “when the Iranian and
Indo-Aryan tribes had separated, about
2500 B.C.E”. It was this constant interac-
tion that established a profound relation-
ship between the two culturally-rich and
historically-diverse civilisations: India
and Iran. For centuries, religion, history
Despite civilisational ties between the two, the recent relations and culture have been the most distinc-
between India and Iran have been marked by more downs tive elements of this strong and vibrant
link and have played a pivotal role in
than ups, writes YAMINI CHOWDHURY maintaining the strength of bilateral ties
RENEWING BONDS: A profound relationship between India and Iran — two culturally till this day. Besides, the strategic dimen-
rich and historically diverse civilisations exists sion of the relationship is another aspect
that merits attention. Iran’s size,
favourable geographical location — pro-
viding unbridled access to Central Asia —
and significant energy resources have
enabled this large Persian Gulf nation to
acquire a more commanding presence in
India’s strategic calculus.
Talking of recent times, the visit of for-
mer Prime Minister PV Narasimha Rao
to Tehran in 1993 heralded a new chap-
ter in bilateral relations. Iran under-
scored the importance of the relation-
ship when, just a year later, it prevented
a Pakistan-sponsored resolution of the
Organisation of the Islamic Conference
(OIC), condemning human rights viola-
tions in Kashmir, from being tabled at
the UN Human Rights Council. Com-
mon concerns, like the rise of the Tal-
iban, and common causes, like extend-
ing support to the Northern Alliance in
Afghanistan in collaboration with Rus-
sia, added greater substance and
strength to this rapport.
All this culminated in the “New Delhi
Declaration”, the most significant out-
come of the January 2003 visit of Iranian
President Mohammad Khatami. It
enabled the regional powers to augment
their strategic partnership. It was a part-
nership that held out tremendous prom-
ise, as Iran had emerged as India’s key ally
in the Muslim world.
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Towards Intransigent Postures environment, stresses Ambassador Moreover, as the deadline for the with-
If 2003 was the high point in India-Iran Arundhati Ghose, Former Chairperson, drawal of US troops from the region
relations, then 2006 can be described as UN Secretary-General’s Advisory Board draws closer, it becomes imperative to
the nadir. Three years and two votes later, on Disarmament. “Further,” she adds, deploy a comprehensive strategy.
the relationship had undergone a dra- “any action taken by the US and its allies Both India and Iran are important
matic reversal. India’s vote against Iran at would have a calamitous impact on stakeholders, who have an enormous
the International Atomic Energy Agency India’s commercial interests.” strategic imperative to institute a demili-
(IAEA) in 2005 was welcomed by unremit- tarised environment of peace in
ting displeasure. A year later, India joined Afghanistan, asserts Satish Chandra, for-
the United States and 26 other nations in IRAN HAS GREAT mer Deputy National Security Advisor.
a scathing attack on Iran’s nuclear pro-
gramme, and voted in favour of referring
STRATEGIC “Despite a trust deficit between Iran and
India arising primarily on account of our
the state to the UN Security Council for SIGNIFICANCE having voted against it at the IAEA and its
violating international obligations. One perception that we are cosying up to the
of the factors that explained India’s voting FOR INDIA, AS IT USA, we share a common interest in
was the pressure from the United States.
As enmeshed in the Hyde Act, the US
IS AN IMPORTANT Afghanistan as both of us would not like to
see a Taliban regime in that country. Coop-
demanded a clear linkage between the SOURCE OF eration possibilities on this score exist and
voting against Iran and the conclusion of we should work on them,” he insists.
the India-US civilian nuclear deal. ENERGY But, as Dr Pant points out, the possibil-
Commenting on the India-Iran stand- ity of the Taliban coming back to power
off, Dr. Harsh V Pant, Reader in Interna- It is a view shared by Rejaul Laskar, an with Pakistani help may not be persua-
tional Relations at the Department of expert on International Relations, who sive enough for the two important players
Defence Studies in King’s College, Lon- articulates, “India’s position on Iran’s to join hands. “India and Iran will have to
don, maintains, “I am sure Iran must have nuclear programme has been consistent, coordinate their responses, particularly
liked India to support its case. But India principled and balanced, and makes an since there are fundamental differences.
has its own interests to preserve. How endeavour to reconcile Iran’s quest for While Iran wants to see the US out of
could India have supported Iran’s defi- energy security with the international Afghanistan lock, stock and barrel, India
ance of the global nuclear order at a time community’s concerns on proliferation. feels the US presence in the region is
when India was trying to become a part of So while India acknowledges and sup- good for its interests,” he maintains.
that order via the US-India civilian ports Iran’s ambitions to achieve energy Despite the inherent differences, there
nuclear cooperation agreement? Iran security and, in particular, its quest for are many ways in which India and Iran
itself has not supported India on crucial peaceful use of nuclear energy, it is also could co-operate politically in stabilising
issues that matter to New Delhi, so I don’t India’s principled position that Iran Afghanistan, as highlighted by S Samuel C
think there is any question of reciprocity.” must meet all its obligations under the Rajiv, an Associate Fellow at the Institute
After India’s vote, Iran blocked the con- international law, particularly its obliga- for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA),
tracted shipments of liquid natural gas tions under the Nuclear Non-Prolifera- New Delhi. “India and Iran could also
(LNG). The energy relationship with this tion Treaty (NPT) and other such cooperate in crucial economic projects
crucial partner sunk to an even lower treaties, to which it is a signatory.” It may by adding value to Afghanistan’s econo-
plane, only to be replaced with a strong be noted that like China and Russia, my as well as catering to India’s own
partnership with Saudi Arabia. India too, has opposed sanctions on Iran requirements of minerals like iron ore,
by individual countries, as it precludes which are reportedly found in abundance
Targeting ‘Nuclear’ Iran foreign investments in its energy sector, in areas like Hajigak, north of Kabul. The
In November 2011, the perennial prob- ultimately affecting the people of that possibility of connecting Hajigak to
lem concerning Iran’s nuclear edifice trig- country. “The international community Chahbahar port through a 900-km rail-
gered off acrimonious reactions yet must engage with Iran through dialogue. way line, from where the minerals can be
again. The latest IAEA report on the coun- Military action in this unstable region shipped to Surat or Mumbai, must be
try’s nuclear programme has brought this would have a catastrophic impact on explored. This may seem daunting con-
contentious issue into sharp focus, as it world oil prices,” suggests Ambassador sidering the worrisome security situation,
contradicts Iran’s contention of running Ghose. but India has been able to deliver on cru-
an entirely peaceful enterprise. The reac- cial infrastructure projects like the 215-
tion from the West followed predictable Crucial Issues km Delaram-Zaranj highway in the past,”
lines — imposing sanctions and ordering There are several critical issues in the concludes Rajiv.
the closure of embassies, without the region that require India and Iran to elu- The development of the Chahbahar port
slightest hesitation. cidate a comprehensible blueprint for the and the construction of the railway line
Though India articulated its concerns future. The most contentious of these have the potential to be a game-changer,
about this grim development, it adopted issues is the restoration of peace and sta- believes Dr M Mahtab Alam Rizvi, Associ-
a more mature and responsible approach bility in Afghanistan, which, as articulat- ate Fellow at IDSA. “The port is in the
guided by its own interests. “India defi- ed in the New Delhi Declaration, mutual interest of India, Iran, Afghanistan,
nitely does not want another nuclear “requires the two states to broaden their as well as Central Asia. It would provide an
weapons state destabilising a precarious strategic collaboration in third countries”. entry point into Afghanistan and Central
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PLINE\WIKIMEDIA
LIQUID GOLD: With 10 per cent of the world’s proven oil reserves, it is not surprising that energy security has always dominated the
discourse on India-Iran relations
Asia”, he emphasises. Considering the companies with regard to the legal inter- officers are, on occasions, present along
import that these infrastructure projects pretation of the contact”. The conclusion with many other nationalities, especially
have on the economic and security archi- of the Iran-Pakistan pipeline deal in 2009 from the neighbourhood.”
tecture of the region, India must leverage and the rise of China as Iran’s largest trad-
Iran’s support and pursue the same with ing partner have underscored the The Way Forward
greater vim and vigour. urgency for India to intensify its energy Analysing the future of Indo-Iran ties,
engagement with Iran. Ambassador Chandra maintains, “Iran is
Energy Security and shall remain an important regional
With India’s energy consumption expect- player. Apart from the shared cultural and
ed to gallop to 27.1 quadrillion BTUs by ENGAGING WITH historical linkages, Iran has enormous
2025 and Iran recognised as OPEC’s sec- strategic significance for India, as it is an
ond-largest oil producer with 10 per cent A RISING GLOBAL important source of energy and a gate-
of the world’s proven oil reserves, it is not
surprising that energy security has always
POWER LIKE way to Central Asia. It is imperative that
we engage actively with Iran, irrespective
dominated the discourse on India-Iran INDIA WILL LEND of a Western-driven sanctions regime
relations. India’s oil imports from Iran are against it.” From Iran’s standpoint, engag-
approximately 400,000 barrels per day, IT A MODICUM OF ing with a rising global power like India
almost 12 per cent of the country’s total
import, making Iran the second-largest
LEGITIMACY TO will lend it a modicum of legitimacy.
Ambassador Ghosh believes: “India’s
oil supplier to India after Saudi Arabia. INDIA engagement with Iran in the future will
At the core of India’s energy equation continue to be determined by our core
with Iran lie two important but arduous interests in the region, namely oil and
projects — the Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) Defence natural gas, stability in the Gulf and the
gas pipeline project and the LNG deal. India’s defence ties with Iran, restricted acceptance of Iran as a regional power.
Commenting on the challenges facing by the burgeoning Indo-Israel defence Strong, steady bilateral relations, despite
both these projects, Professor PR partnership, have comprised naval exer- political upheavals in Iran, will play a
Kumaraswamy, Chairperson, Centre for cises conducted in 2003 and 2006, and pivotal role in the geo-politics of the
West Asian Studies (CWAS), School of Iran’s participation in the Indian Ocean region.”
International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru Naval Symposium, an annual initiative In addition to developing a robust rela-
University, says, “The 1,700-mile, $7-bil- organised by the Indian Navy to enhance tionship with one of the biggest suppliers
lion IPI gas pipeline project has failed to maritime cooperation among the naval of energy to India, Dr Rizvi believes:
take off primarily due to security con- forces of the Indian Ocean littoral states. “High-level visits and track-II level dia-
cerns in Pakistan. The other project, Though the presence of an armed Iranian logues would add substance to bilateral
which involves the export of LNG from ship, MV Assa, in India’s Exclusive Eco- ties.” However, Iran’s international isola-
Iran, has not materialised even though it nomic Zone (EEZ) near Lakshadweep tion could be a major stumbling block,
was signed in 2005, even before the elec- over a month ago did cause a flutter in thinks Dr Pant. “India has a huge stake in
tion of President Ahmadinejad, due to a South Block, the defence relationship has maintaining stability in West Asia but
multiplicity of reasons. It requires India been largely intermittent. According to unless Iran brings itself back into the
to construct an LNG plant using Western Samuel Rajiv, “I do not see any prospect global mainstream, the Indo-Iran part-
technology, which would be in violation or requirement for any defence engage- nership will be remain largely circum-
of the Iran Sanctions Act. Matters ment beyond training programmes con- scribed,” he analyses.
are exacerbated by the lack of consensus ducted by Indian defence establishments
between Indian and Iranian oil for foreign officers, in which Iranian (The author is a journalist)
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GEOPOLITICS
GLOBALWATCH
I
T IS WRONG to view the proposed Australia-India relations.
India-Australia-US cooperation Given the amount of groundwork
agreement as a military pact being already done on the Japan dialogue, it is
planned to contain the rising influ- understandable that policy-makers want
ence of China. to focus their attention there first. But the
The proposal seeks to enhance the lev- concept of an India-US trilateral with
els of security cooperation, along with Australia has a very similar logic to it. It is
working on other issues of mutual inter- an idea whose time is now.
est and concern, among the three coun- Each side of the triangle is already in
tries. One such issue of common interest development. On the strongest side, the
is maritime security whose dynamics are US and Australia have a robust security
rapidly changing. Such an alliance would alliance, involving joint military facilities,
serve India’s interests major multi-service combined exercises,
As advocates of trilateral cooperation co-development of weapon systems and
among the US, Australia and India, we joint strategic planning. As for the US and
have watched with interest the attention India, in 2005 they signed a 10-year
given to the issue in the Indian media. We defence framework agreement, and
released a report on the topic in Novem- today, India conducts more military exer-
ber in New Delhi and Sydney. The pri- cises with the US than any other nation.
mary goal of our report, authored by On the India-Australia side, the parties
scholars from Australia’s Lowy Institute issued the 2009 Joint Declaration on
and India’s Observer Research Founda- Security Cooperation and have proceed-
tion, entitled Shared Goals, Converging ed with bilateral talks between service
Interests: A Plan for US-Australia-India chiefs and security advisers.
Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, is to One of the most promising areas for Three years ago, India convened the Indian
encourage cooperation across a broad trilateral cooperation is enhancing mar- Ocean Naval Symposium, inviting partici-
range of shared interests, from maritime itime security and maintaining freedom pants from the littoral states — including
security to counter-terrorism to non-pro- of navigation in the Indo-Pacific. Two- Australia - to discuss maritime security.
liferation, and many other areas. thirds of Indian oil and gas imports tran- India, the US and Australia should
The idea is being floated just as the sit the Indian Ocean waters, and most of begin discussing a code of conduct for
new US-Japan-India trilateral initiative is Australia’s resource exports transit East naval vessels and other maritime activi-
about to be formally launched in Wash- Asian waterways to China, Japan, South ties in the region and an action plan for
ington later this month (December). It Korea and Taiwan. dealing with violations of such a code.
also comes amidst a decision by Aus- India is steadily building up its naval The three powers should consider what
tralia’s Labour Party to lift its ban on ura- capabilities, giving particular attention to would be the best forum for managing
nium exports to India — a major gesture its Eastern Naval Command’s role in its this code: Perhaps an enhanced version
by Australia’s ruling party in the future of overall naval strategy and foreign policy. of IONS or a new forum with conditions
US-AUSTRALIA-INDIA:
A POSSIBLE NEW ALLIANCE
For peace and stability in the region, it will be good if three democratic regimes in the
“Indo-Pacific” work together, argues LISA CURTIS and WALTER LOHMAN
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DIPLOMACY
I
NDIA AND RUSSIA, two genuine
and special strategic partners,
recently concluded yet another reg-
ular bilateral summit at Moscow.
This had been the 12th India-Rus-
sia Annual Summit meeting since the
declaration of the Indo-Russia Strategic
Partnership in 2000. It once again under-
scored why Indo-Russian strategic part-
nership is special and unique. In the
entire history of international relations,
India and Russia are the only two major
countries which never had any conflict
of interest, let alone military conflict.
There is a continuity in the time-tested
bilateral relationship, which does not get
affected by political fluctuations in
either country. One does not perceive
CONSOLIDATING A
any threat from the growing strength of
the other, rather gains more confidence
SPECIAL
from the elevation of the other’s status.
India has many strategic partners, and
so has Russia. However, Delhi and
Moscow are ‘special and privileged
strategic partners’ for each other.
Because, Russia is the only strategic
partner with which India holds a regular
annual summit.
Indian Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh held substantive talks with both
RELATIONSHIP
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin during
the last summit held at Moscow. While
ALL-WEATHER FRIENDS: India and
Russia have identical positions on all major
global and regional issues of mutual
concern
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DIPLOMACY
this was President Medvedev’s last sum- inked in the course of the last Moscow detriment of other states’ security, inad-
mit with the Indian Prime Minister, Rus- summit that included an agreement for missibility of preservation and creation
sia would be represented most likely by production of 42 SU-30 MKI multi-func- of new dividing lines. The sides
Vladimir Putin, widely believed to be the tional jets in India, agreement on coop- acknowledged the necessity of address-
architect of our strategic partnership, in eration in the sphere of education, Mem- ing both traditional and new security
the next Indo-Russian summit in Delhi. orandum of Understanding (MoU) for threats — terrorism, extremism,
Russia’s ruling party might have taken a establishing ties between anti-monopoly weapons of mass destruction (WMD)
beating in the last Duma elections com- agencies of both countries, MoU for proliferation, illicit drug trafficking,
pared to its showing in the Parliament cooperation in the pharmaceutical field organised crime and maritime piracy.
poll held in 2007, it nevertheless for overseeing safety and quality issues. They expressed readiness to work close-
received almost 50 per cent of the votes. However, the outcome of the summit ly within the framework of the East Asia
In spite of some decline in Putin’s popu- must be judged not by the number of Summit, which they regard as a leaders-
larity, nothing can prevent him from documents signed but by the depth and led forum for dialogue on broad strate-
winning the forthcoming presidential range of understanding that emerged in gic, political and economic issues of
polls. The stage is set for Putin to be the course of an unprecedented six common interest and concern with the
Russian President at least for the next 12 hours of interaction that leaders of both aim of promoting peace, stability and
years, which augurs well for the Indo- countries had. President Medvedev and economic prosperity in East Asia.
Russian relationship, as he is considered Prime Minister Singh signed a joint While emphasising the importance of
to be the architect of our strategic part- statement on further strengthening the the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation
nership. One should not be worried Russian-Indian strategic partnership in (SCO) in fostering regional security and
about poll results in Russia in terms of the face of the challenges of the chang- cooperation, Russia welcomed India’s
its relationship with India as a broad ing world in course of the summit. That intention to join the organisation as a
consensus across political parties in that full-fledged member and expressed the
country on the issue of developing a belief that its participation would signifi-
strategic partnership with India exists. THE BILATERAL cantly increase the political weight of the
Both sides had wide-ranging discus-
sions at the Moscow summit on a host of
RELATIONSHIP SCO and give new quality and dimension
to cooperation within its framework.
global as well as regional issues of mutu- DOES NOT GET Russia firmly said that it stood for joint
al concern and deliberated on ways to efforts with other SCO members to accel-
further enhance our consultations in AFFECTED BY erate the process of India’s full member-
international forums such as the United
Nations Security Council (UNSC), G20, POLITICAL ship of the organisation.
While expressing interest in strength-
Brazil Russia India China South Africa FLUCTUATIONS IN ening multilateral export control regimes
(BRICS) as well as the East Asia Summit, as an important component of the global
which Russia has recently joined. EITHER COUNTRY non-proliferation regime, the Russian
The Indian PM is on record that he is side reiterated readiness to assist and
convinced that the India-Russia consul- India and Russia have identical positions promote a discussion and positive deci-
tation on global issues is more necessary on all major global and regional issues of sion in the Nuclear Security Group (NSG)
today than ever before. The summit mutual concern is vividly demonstrated on India’s full membership in the NSG,
reasserted the special and privileged in the joint statement issued at the end and welcomed India’s intention to seek
nature of the Indo-Russian strategic of the summit. The Moscow summit full membership. India underscored its
partnership, which Indian Prime Minis- demonstrated the meeting of minds of determination to actively contribute to
ter aptly described as an anchor of peace the two strategic partners on a host of international efforts aimed at strength-
and stability in a world of strategic flux burning international issues that includ- ening the nuclear non-proliferation
and shifting global power equations. “It ed Syria, Iran, Afghanistan, situation in regime. The Russian Federation also took
is impossible to draw any parallels or the Middle-East and North Africa, ter- into consideration India’s interest in full
compare the relations between India rorism, security in Asia, Indian and membership in Missile Technology Con-
and Russia and our relations with some Asia-Pacific regions. trol Regime (MTCR) and the Wassenaar
other countries. We [India and Russia] On the issue of security and coopera- Arrangement.
have a specially privileged strategic part- tion in Asia, Delhi and Moscow reiterat- The sides recalled the bilateral
nership,” said the Prime Minister, stress- ed their support to the creation of a Moscow Declaration between India and
ing the unique nature of our tested and transparent, open, comprehensive, and Russia on International Terrorism signed
tried relationship. balanced architecture of security and on November 6, 2001, in Moscow. Point-
Indo-Russian summits are always cooperation in the region based on the ing fingers at Pakistan, they strongly
known for the impressive number of doc- recognised principles of international condemned the existence of safe havens
uments signed in course of the high-level law as well as respect for the legitimate and sanctuaries for terrorism, and reiter-
interaction. For example, the 11th Indo- interests of all states. ated that states that aided, abetted or
Russian summit held in 2010 at Delhi They emphasised their commitment sheltered terrorists were as guilty of acts
witnessed the signing of 30 documents to the principle of indivisibility of secu- of terrorism as their actual perpetrators.
for promoting ties in different areas. rity, unacceptability of attempts Reaffirming the need for all states to
However, only five documents were to enhance their own security to the combine efforts to defeat terrorism,
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HEMANT RAWAT
RUSSIAN SUPERFIGHTER: An agreement for production of 42 more SU-30 MKI multi-role fighters in India has been signed
Delhi and Moscow agreed that there was missiles and supplies of Mi-17 helicop- Indo-Russian high-tech cooperation.
no justification whatsoever for any act of ters. Both countries are working for joint Construction of two nuclear reactors at
terrorism, and that India and Russia production of the Fifth Generation Kudankulam in Tamil Nadu has been on
being pluralistic states were especially Fighter Aircraft (FGFA) and Multirole the verge of completion but face prob-
vulnerable to acts of terrorism, which Transport Aircraft (MTA). Indo-Russian lems due to protest demonstrations by
are attacks against the values and free- defence cooperation over the years has locals, bringing clouds over our coopera-
doms, enshrined in their societies. Both entered a qualitatively new stage from a tion in this sensitive sector. While the
sides reaffirmed that international ter- buyer-seller relationship to a partner- third and fourth reactors would be built
rorism was a threat to peace and securi- ship in joint research, development , there with Moscow’s assistance, 16 new
ty, a grave violation of human rights and production, technology transfer, etc. and reactors are planned to be built in India
a crime against humanity. They reaf- even joint marketing. with Russian technical knowhow. How-
firmed the central role of the United The military and technical coopera- ever, no new contract could be signed
Nations, in which Moscow reiterated its tion programme envisages 10-year lease for construction of the third and fourth
support for India’s permanent member- of the nuclear submarine “Nerpa” by the reactors at Kudankulam, belying expec-
ship in the Security Council, in the com- Indian Navy, modernisation of the air- tations.
bat against international terrorism and craft carrier “Admiral Gorshkov”, supply- Another sensitive area of our high-
in this context called for an early adop- ing of a new set of three frigates. It is reli- tech bilateral cooperation is space. India
tion of the UN’s draft. ably learnt that the Russian Nerpa-class is the only country which has been per-
Expectedly, while discussing issues of nuclear submarine would join the Indi- mitted to be Russia’s partner in the high-
bilateral ties, defence cooperation occu- an Navy in January 2012. According to profile GLONASS project, an alternative
pied the centre-stage in the Moscow the agreement, the submarine, which is to US-controlled Global Positioning Sys-
summit agenda. A protocol to the inter- on a 10-year lease by the Indian Navy, tem (GPS) and would receive high preci-
governmental agreement of 2000 on ren- will be transported to India soon. sion signals from it for civilian as well as
dering technical support in the organisa- Nuclear-powered submarines require military use. India’s quest for strategic
tion of the Su-30 MKI aircraft production special skills to operate compared to autonomy in advanced technology
was signed during the summit. The doc- conventional diesel-powered sub- would be served with the pact on preci-
ument envisages supplying additional 4 marines, which is why Indian Navy staff sion signals from GLONASS.
components for the licensed assembling have been training on the nuclear sub- The Indian security establishment
of Su-30 MKI aircraft — multifunctional marine for the past several months. has set its eyes on GLONASS after it con-
fighter jets, which became the flagship of It may be noted that both countries ducted a post-mortem of the US inva-
the Indian Air Force. Now India would are currently developing their mutually sion on Iraq. It was discovered that the
have 42 more of such jets increasing its beneficial defence cooperation on the US had blocked GPS signals to Iraq dur-
total strength to 272 in the IAF. basis of a ten-year-long framework ing the war and then inserted erroneous
India and Russia have large-scale joint agreement worth $20 billion covering signals that rendered Saddam Hussain’s
projects that include licensed assem- the period up to 2020. military officers virtually blind as far as
bling of the Su-30 MKI fighter jets , T-90S Similarly, bilateral relations in the visual-range sighting and targeting were
tanks, aircraft engines, production of vital and sensitive areas like nuclear and concerned. It was established that Iraqi
“BrahMos” stealth supersonic cruise space fields constitute the backbone of Army was trapped, misled and its
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DIPLOMACY
PIB
STRATEGIC PARTNERS: President Medvedev and Prime Minister Singh signed a joint statement on further strengthening the Russian-
Indian strategic partnership
weapons went awry. Given the love-hate in Russian oil and gas through joint- 30 per cent global resources. India, being
relationship between India and the US, ventures with energy majors like Moscow’s most-trusted strategic partner,
receiving precision signals from Gazprom and Novatek. Steel, diamonds, has the privilege to have access to them
GLONASS of Russia, our time-tested pharmaceuticals and hydrocarbons and should try to take advantage of it. The
friend, is of great strategic importance. have been identified as new thrust areas obsession of India’s political elite as well
However, the weakest link in the of bilateral economic cooperation. Yet as the media, with our relationship with
growing Indo-Russian relationship is another pillar of our strategic partner- the US contributes to drawing attention
trade and economic ties, which are not ship is cooperation in science and tech- away from our relationship with Moscow.
commensurate with the high level of nology. Scientists from both countries Last year, all the leaders of P-5 had visited
political cooperation and do not reflect have been successfully conducting joint Delhi, and if one carefully analyses results
the potential of the two large economies. research for decades in hundreds of of those summits, one will find that Indo-
The bilateral trade turnover barely projects under a Complex Long-Term Russian summit with 33 documents
touches the $10 billion-level and the Programme and nearly five hundred signed during President Medvedev’s visit
mutual investments are at low levels. projects have been successfully com- to Delhi was the most productive and
While discussing the issue at the pleted so far. However, the problem in impressive.
Moscow summit, India and Russia reaf- the sphere lies in the fact that the results Russia might have lost its super-pow-
firmed their resolve to achieve the bilat- of the research projects do not find er status as a result of the disastrous
eral trade turnover of $20 billion by 2015. industrial application. That is why the market reforms of the 1990s, but now it
Both sides agreed on four important vec- establishment of a Science and Technol- is on a resurgent path. The long-term
tors to galvanise bilateral trade and for ogy Centre with offices in Moscow and development strategy under implemen-
fructifying cooperation, including cre- Delhi would enormously help in com- tation in Russia would make it the fifth-
ation of the Joint Study Group ( JSG) to mercialising the results of the research largest economy in the world. Russia
prepare a Comprehensive Economic projects undertaken by two countries with its huge natural resources, vast sci-
Cooperation Agreement (CECA), with during the past two decades. entific potential, impressive technical
the Custom Union, which unites Russia, But then, a perception among certain knowhow and tremendous goodwill for
Kazakhstan, Belarus, enhancing connec- sections of our policy-makers is growing us can still cater to a lot of India’s devel-
tivity through the International North- that Russia’s relevance for India is losing opment needs. The deep mutual trust,
South Corridor and Joint Public-Private ground in the changed global context and time-tested and civilisational nature of
Investment Fund for investments in against the backdrop of Moscow’s our long ties would contribute to our
India and Russia. It has been decided to declined status both as military and eco- mutual prosperity as well as help build a
create a new Working Group (WG) on nomic power. Some go to the extent of multi-polar, just, democratic global
modernisation in addition to the nine asking what Russia can offer us in terms order for the benefit of every nation
Working Groups already functioning of meeting our growth requirements. under the sun.
within the framework of Indo-Russian However, one should not lose sight of the
Intergovernmental Commission (IRIGC). fact that Russia remains a power-house of (The author is Professor at School of
The Moscow summit firmed up high-tech; it still has world’s most devel- International Studies, JNU and Director,
prospects for India to expand its presence oped fundamental science and controls Eurasian Foundation)
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EXCERPTS
LESSONS IN DIPLOMACY
Diplomacy Indian Style by KP FABIAN is a riveting account of the course of Indian
diplomacy down the ages. The following excerpts exhibit two divergent actions performed
by India on the international stage. The first instance is from the 1962 War and how India
‘sleepwalked’ into the conflict with China. In the second excerpt, we learn about Swaran
Singh’s skilful manoeuvring in the United Nations during the 1971 war when the tide in
the Security Council was turning against India. His marathon speech, which had continued
for over two days, gave the Indian soldiers enough time to wrap up the Pakistanis, ending
in their surrender
accepted the task — both having based had met Kaul during a visit to India in
their decision on the unwise assumption 1957. Even though Kaul had apparently
that the enemy would not react strongly served in World War 2 in Burma, Ye said,
and mere starting of military activity by the Indian commander had no actual
India would make the Chinese vacate combat experience. He also seemed to
the Thagla Ridge.68 Clashes occurred in be a very rigid, if impressive looking sol-
Dhola on 20 and 24 September. dier. Still, he was one of India’s outstand-
Mao started to consider administer- ing commanders. “Fine,” Mao interject-
ing a “painful” military rebuff to India. ed, he’ll have another opportunity to
Mao declared himself for war. “We shine. (Emphasis added.) Did Mao
fought a war with old Chiang (Kai shek). assess Kaul more accurately than his
We fought a war with Japan and with superiors in Delhi?
Diplomacy Indian Style America. With none of these did we fear. Mao recognized many difficulties and
Author: KP Fabian Now the Indians want to fight with us. dangers in going to war with India. Nehru
Publisher: Har-A
Anand Naturally, we don’t have fear. We cannot enjoyed high international prestige. India
Pages — 260 Price — `595 give ground, once we give ground it was the leader of the non-aligned move-
would be tantamount to letting them ment and was courted by both US and
Year of Publication — 2012
seize a big piece of land equivalent to USSR. India’s military inferiority to China
Fujian province.... (according to China’s analysis Indian mil-
INDIA SLEEPWALKS INTO WAR Since Nehru sticks his head out and itary forces were about 1/6th of China’s)
As the Indian official history puts it, insists on us fighting him, for us not to would enable India to play “victim.”
“The Indian Government in its fond fight with him would not be friendly There would be “misunderstanding”
belief did not expect serious retaliation enough. Courtesy emphasizes reciprocity.” among some Afro-Asian countries. How-
from the Chinese and it assumed that We can leave the chronology here as ever, Mao concluded, these costs were
whatever mild reaction came from the what happened later is well known. more than off set by the long term gains
Chinese, the Indian Army would be To continue with Carver’s account. At of inflicting a severe if limited “war of
capable of neutralising it.” Thus, “the one meeting held after the basic deci- extermination” on India.
Government of India ordered the Army sion was taken to strike hard at India, Even as PLA moved toward war, Mao
to rid the Thagla Ridge of the Chinese as Mao called on General Ye Jinaying to asked himself whether it was worth let-
early as possible to do so and the Army give his assessment of General Kaul. Ye ting Indian forces advance un-resisted
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g
EXCERPTS
further in order to build up a better case Khrushchev stated that it “would be a aggressive designs on the Western front.
for China. Mao had to choose the loca- betrayal to declare neutrality” if China It is obvious that Swaran Singh was
tion of the strike. Aksai Chin was what were attacked. right, prudent, and wise. His advice
counted the most for We do not know whether Mao had holds good still. When we hear aggres-
China. But the approach roads “were advance knowledge of the Cuban missile sive talk from India’s officials or the
not convenient” for the PLA. India will crisis. It is possible that Moscow might media one is reminded of Swaran Singh.
not be able to send a big force to Aksai have thrown a hint. Mao might have Take the case of President Obama’s suc-
Chin, A big batt!e was required to teach a complimented himself on his excellent cess in catching and killing Osama bin
lesson. A big Chinese offensive met by a timing for teaching a lesson to India. Laden in Abbottabad. Presumably, he
small Indian force will not do. India There was one more factor for the deci- was staying in a safe house provided by
could move its forces in the eastern sec- sion on timing: the weather. The best the ISI (Inter-Service Intelligence
tor. It was in the east that Nehru had time is July-September. Action should Agency) of Pakistan. US carried out the
insisted that the McMahon Line was “an start soon or be postponed till mid-1963. operation without any support from
established fact.” Hence the choice of But by then Indians will be better Pakistan and without telling that coun-
Tawang for a big attack. mobilised. Indian forces were short of try. In India some commentators started
According to the Chinese account, on winter clothing and food and given time airing the view that India should con-
October 9, over a hundred Indian sol- they will be better equipped. Formal, duct a similar operation on Daud
diers crossed the stream flowing along final order to start a “self-defensive Ibrahim. In response to a question from
the base of Thagla and closed in on a counter attack” was given on October 18. the media the Army Chief replied that
Chinese out post. The next morning The attack was set for October 20. India could do it. Pakistan reacted by
Indian forces opened fire. In response a issuing a stiff warning to India. A more
full battalion, about a thousand, fired SWARAN SINGH’S SUPERB mature, capable, and self-confident
back. The war began. DIPLOMATIC STYLE India would have carried out the opera-
India still did not wake up. On Octo- A word about the diplomatic coup by tion and talked about it afterwards.
ber 12, on his way to Colombo, Nehru Foreign Minister Swaran Singh is in Talking about in advance showed imma-
told the press that the Indian army had order. India’s military action in East Pak- turity and in any case such talk does not
orders to clear the Chinese out from all istan commenced on December 4, 1971. carry much conviction of India’s ability
“Indian territory.” It was almost like knife going through to undertake the task.
On October 16, Mao got a report on butter. Pakistan Army was not able to A word more on Swaran Singh. He
the reasons for India’s “expanded offen- put up any serious went to Sri Lanka in 1971. He was being
sive” against India. Lei Yingfu made the resistance. India was able, as we have briefed by the High Commissioner and
following points: seen, to disregard calls for cease-fire, the Deputy High Commissioner. He
thanks to the veto of USSR. Yet, the asked only three questions:
(1) Nehru wanted to turn Tibet into “a trend in the Security Council was going
colony or protectorate” for India. against India and USSR signaled around (1) What is the mood in Colombo?
(2) A desire to gain increased US sup- December 10 that it would find it diffi- (2) What do they want from us?
port and military assistance from cult to hold on for much longer. Swaran (3) What can India offer them?
USSR by joining their anti-China Singh made a marathon speech lasting When Swaran Singh met Prime Minis-
campaign. for two days to give the Indian military ter Sirima Bandaranaike, she asked him
(3) A desire to “achieve hegemony in more time to complete the task and to start first. The Sardar adjusted his tur-
Asia.” arrange for surrender by the Pakistan ban and said softly: In diplomacy, I have
(4) A desire to divert attention from Army. Swaran Singh at times insisted on been taught to say, “Ladies first.” The
class contradictions in India. sequential as opposed to simultaneous Prime Minister burst out laughing. Later,
(5) Last and the most important, a belief interpretation in order to prolong his the Prime Minister said that her “elder
that China was “bluffing” and will speech. sister” should visit Sri Lanka at an early
not retaliate. After announcing the surrender and as date. The Sardar once again readjusted
Lei repeatedly drew attention to Nehru’s the Security Council proceedings were his turban and said, “Between two beau-
belief that “China was too weak and about to end, Swaran Singh passed a tiful ladies, it is so difficult to say who is
could be taken advantage of.” note to Foreign Secretary TN Kaul to ask younger or older.” The Prime Minister
On October 16, China reconfirmed its all the members of the Indian delegation almost got out of her chair laughing. Sar-
decision to go to war. But, before that to meet him outside the Security Council dar Swaran Singh had the ready wit, so
China wanted assurances from USSR. chamber. He told them that he did not essential for a good diplomat.
On October 14, Ambassador Lin Shao want any of them to go the bar at UN for
met Khrushchev. If there is a war the next 48 hours; there should be no (KP Fabian, a career diplomat with
between India and China, the ambassa- expression of triumphalism; we should the Indian Foreign Service for 36 years,
dor was told, “USSR would stand by say that the dismemberment of Pakistan retired as Indian Ambassador to Italy)
China.” Though Carver does not say it, it was a tragedy; but add that it occurred
is worth adding that the ambassador did because of the wrong policies of the —Excerpted with permission
say that India was about to attack China. Pakistan Government; India had no from the publisher
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GEOPOLITICS
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Right Angle
(82)
www.geopolitics.in January 2012
RNI No. DELENG/2010/35319
Posting Date. 8-9/01/2012
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