Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2003 July Sep 57 63
2003 July Sep 57 63
2003 July Sep 57 63
Executive Summary In the nineties, Indias budgeting, fiscal deficits, and balance of payments problems kick
started the governments urge to unlock the huge investments chained in the state-
owned enterprises (SOEs). The blueprint was the successful global model of privatiza-
tion/divestment which was initiated by Margaret Thatcher in the eighties in the UK and
implemented by other countries including Unified Germany, former USSR, the erstwhile
socialist countries, Western Europe, Canada, Japan, and even China. The developed
nations attained a high level of success followed by the developing and the least
developed countries.
While developed and OECD countries opted for Initial Public Offerings (IPOs),
Russia adopted a system of vouchers for buying shares of public sector companies at
auctions, and smaller states in the former Soviet Union and East European countries
opted for trade and negotiated sales. Developing countries like Brazil and Chile made
principal divestments of significantly large government stakes with no reservations to
pass on control to foreign investors. Greece and Korea opted for convertible bonds.
Considering that the debate on the need for disinvestments is very old, the question
is: is there anything new and is there a game plan? Also, why is the media hesitant in
presenting analysis of the decision-makers mindset? It leads to the inference that the
implementers have perhaps little commitment to disinvestments which is in contrast to
what Hungary and China have achieved by their professional approach. Fortunately, the
efforts to pursue reforms have not openly been reversed or given up by any government
of the day.
The Four Ps of disinvestment Policy, Promise, Prognosis, and Performance look
grim. In the recent past, we have been witnessing a lot of debate on the disinvestments
scenario suggesting dynamic movement. In reality, the sale of equity of only 49
companies has so far been accomplished (a few only privatized). In comparison,
Hungary identified 1,288 SOEs, transformed them into companies for privatization, and
in 2002, only 79 companies were left for privatization.
Against a target of Rs 100 billion, the financial year 2000-2001 closed with a
collection of Rs 18.70 billion. Against a target of Rs 120 billion, the financial year 2001-
2002 closed with a collection of Rs 56 billion inclusive of special dividend of VSNL at
Rs 18.87 billion and Rs 11.54 billion of IBP bought by another public sector undertaking
(PSU). Against a target of Rs 120 billion, the financial year 2002-2003 closed with a
collection of Rs 33 billion. The target for financial year 2003-04 is Rs 132 billion (US$
2.87 billion).
To set things on the recovery path, introspection on what aberrations have entered
the system is necessary. In the words of the President to the Joint Session of Parliament
in February 2002,
.. The prolonged fiscal haemorrhage from the majority of these
enterprises cannot be sustained any longer.
.
KEY WORDS How do we ensure that the disinvestment process is on track? The following five-
Disinvestment point agenda would be useful for policy-makers:
Ø Trust the homegrown expert for implementation.
Privatization Ø Place administrative control in the hands of the Finance Minister.
Competitive Populism Ø Hand over companies that are a burden on the government to the employees.
Ø Do not involve a PSU/SOE in the bidding process.
Promise-Performance Gap Ø Manage revivals professionally.
• Recognition of the interest of foreign investors with Cases HUF US$ Share %
particular regard to strategic (professional) investors. billion million
• Promotion of acquisition of assets by employees and Germany 107 292.56 1303.20 24.80
USA 45 160.44 714.70 13.60
buy-out by managers.
France 43 103.25 459.90 8.80
• Support of acquisition of assets by domestic entrepre- Austria 117 60.91 271.30 5.20
neurs particularly in the agriculture and food indus- Belgium 11 53.45 238.10 4.50
try. The Netherlands 19 43.84 195.30 3.70
Italy 29 34.88 155.40 3.00
• Provision of appropriate policy for employment, com- UK 34 20.04 89.30 1.70
petition, and environment. Switzerland 18 18.39 81.90 1.60
CIS 17 10.23 45.60 0.90
Foreign Investments since 1990
Foreign
Sweden 13 5.74 25.60 0.50
Global investors joined the Hungarian privatization ef- Finland 2 6.30 28.10 0.50
fort between 1990-2000 to the tune of US$ 5.25 billion Ireland 2 5.60 24.90 0.50
Others 35 6.72 29.90 0.60
(January 2003 exchange rate) (Table 3). In the year 2000,
International shares 34 356.90 1589.80 30.30
the sales to all investors had been US $90.6 million in 43 Total 526 1179.25 5252.80 100.00
companies. The privatization proceeds from foreign in- GDP 2000 54500