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Chapter 1 (L-1)
Chapter 1 (L-1)
Drainage
(CEng 4402)
Course Outline
Chapter 1 – Water Demand and Quantity
System planning, population forecasting, components of
water Demands and design period
Chapter 2 – Sources of Water Supply
Course Outline
GARG
- Any other related books
Assessments (Tentative)
- Group work / Project ------------------- 30 %
- Assignments/activity----------------------- 20 %
- Final Exam ------------------------------- 50 %
-
Chapter - 1
Water Demand and Quantity
1.1 General Introduction
1.2 Water Supply system planning
Chapter 1
systems.
international concern.
Rural community
challenge
General Introduction
Access to water:
means the availability of water at least 20 litres per
person per day from an “improved” source within one
kilometre of the user’s dwelling
General Introduction
The estimated water coverage of Ethiopia;
Chapter 1
- household connection
- public standpipe
- borehole
- protected dug well
- protected spring
- Rainwater collection
General Introduction
Water supply system Components
The system comprises the following
main components
- Source (either groundwater or
Chapter 1
surface water)
- Raw water collection structures
(intake structures, transmission
line ...)
- Treatment plant
Water supply system planning
Water supply system planning involves
- Identification of service needs
- Evaluation of options
- Determination of optimal strategy to meet
services
Chapter 1
- Hydrology
- EIA
- Geology and Geotechnical Investigation
- Operation and Managment
Water supply system planning
Factors should be Considered
Population – the increment in the future
Per capita requirement – depend on the living
standard, number and type of industries,
Chapter 1
Population Forecasting
Chapter 1
Population Forecasting
Population Forecasting
Definitions
Estimate – is an indirect measure of a present or
past condition that can be directly measured
4. Curvilinear Method
5. Logistic curve method
6. Declining growth method
7. Ratio and correlation method
8. Graphical extension method
9. Master plan or zoning method
Population Forecasting
Methods
Arithmetic method – the rate of growth is
constant
dp
k
dt
Chapter 1
dp
dt
Where - the rate of population growth
K - constant
K is determined graphically or from consideration
of actual populations in successive census
Population Forecasting
Methods
Arithmetic method –
p
K
t
The population in the future is then estimated
Chapter 1
from
Pt = Po + tK
Where Pt = the population at some time in the
future
Po = the present population
Population Forecasting
Example 1.1
The population of Dukem town for the last 5
decades (1970 to 2010) are given in the Table
below. Find out the population after one, two and
Chapter 1
kP
dt
on
197 25,000
0
198 28,000 3,000 (3000/25000)x100 =
0 12%
199 34,000 6,000 (6000/28000)x100 =
0 21.4%
Population Forecasting
Psat 2
Po P2 P1
Chapter 1
Psat Po
a
Po
2.3 P0 Psat P1
b log10
n P1 Psat P0
Where n is the time interval between successive
census.
Population Forecasting
Example 1.3
In two periods of each 20 years, a city has
growth from 30,000 to 170,000 and then to
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300,000. Determine;
a. The saturation population
b. The equation of logistic curve
c. The expected population after the
next 20 years
Population Forecasting
Solution
P0 = 30,000 t = 0
P1 = 170,000 t1 = 20 yrs
Chapter 1
P2 = 300,000 t2 = 40 yrs
i. The saturation population
2 Po P1 P2 P1 Po P2
2
Psat 2
Po P2 P1
= 326,000 population
Population Forecasting
Psat Po
a
Po
= 9.87
2.3 P0 Psat P1
Chapter 1
b log10
n P1 Psat P0
= -0.119
substituting the values of Psat, a and b
gives
Population Forecasting
ii. substituting the values of Psat, a and b
gives Psat
p
1 a log e bt
1
326,000
p
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= 323,000