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GLOBAL INSURANCE

MARKET REPORT
[GIMAR]

2021
About the IAIS
The International Association of Insurance Supervisors systems globally. In particular, the IAIS is a member
(IAIS) is a voluntary membership organisation of of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), member of
insurance supervisors and regulators from more than the Standards Advisory Council of the International
200 jurisdictions. The mission of the IAIS is to promote Accounting Standards Board (IASB), and partner in
effective and globally consistent supervision of the the Access to Insurance Initiative (A2ii). In recognition
insurance industry in order to develop and maintain of its collective expertise, the IAIS also is routinely
fair, safe and stable insurance markets for the benefit called upon by the G20 leaders and other international
and protection of policyholders and to contribute to standard-setting bodies for input on insurance issues
global financial stability. as well as on issues related to the regulation and
supervision of the global financial sector.
Established in 1994, the IAIS is the international
standard-setting body responsible for developing
principles, standards and other supporting material for About the GIMAR
the supervision of the insurance sector and assisting This is the ninth issue of the Global Insurance Market
in their implementation. The IAIS also provides a Report (GIMAR).
forum for Members to share their experiences and
understanding of insurance supervision and insurance This GIMAR reports on the outcomes of the IAIS’
markets. Global Monitoring Exercise (GME). The GME is the
IAIS’ framework for monitoring risks and trends in the
The IAIS coordinates its work with other international global insurance sector and assessing the possible
financial policymakers and associations of supervisors build-up of systemic risk. In 2020, it was repurposed
or regulators, and assists in shaping financial to assess the impact of Covid-19 on the sector.

Acronyms
CDS Credit default swap
CLO Collateralised loan obligation
GIMAR Global Insurance Market Report
GME Global Monitoring Exercise
GRMS Global reinsurance market study
IAIS International Association of Insurance Supervisors
IIM Individual insurer monitoring
MA Matching adjustment
MGVP Minimum guarantees on variable products
M&A Mergers and acquisitions
ORSA Own risk and solvency assessment
PE Private equity
P&C Property and casualty
SIFI Systematically important financial institution
SWM Sector-wide monitoring

This document is available on the IAIS website (www.iaisweb.org).


© International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS) 2021.
All rights reserved. Brief excerpts may be reproduced or translated provided the source is stated.

Design and layout by Clarity Global Strategic Communications.


CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1

1 INTRODUCTION 4

2 GLOBAL INSURANCE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS 5


2.1 Solvency 5
2.1.1 Developments 5
2.1.2 Measures taken by insurers 6
2.1.3 Outlook 6
2.2 Profitability 7
2.2.1 Developments 7
2.2.2 Measures taken by insurers 7
2.2.3 Outlook 8
2.3 Liquidity 8
2.3.1 Developments 8
2.3.2 Measures taken by insurers 9
2.3.3 Outlook 9
2.4 Assets and liabilities 10
2.4.1 Developments 10
2.4.2 Measures taken by insurers 11
2.5 Macroprudential themes 11
2.5.1 Low interest rate environment and private equity ownership 11
2.5.2 Credit risk 14
2.5.3 Cyber risk 16

3 INDIVIDUAL INSURER MONITORING 2021 20


3.1 Introduction 20
3.2 The aggregate totals (denominators) for each IIM methodology indicator 20
3.3 Formulas used for calculation of indicator scores 21
3.4 The absolute reference values used for the indicators and their monitoring 22
3.5 The IIM data template and technical specifications used 23
3.6 An analysis of aggregate trends in the insurer pool 23

4 GLOBAL REINSURANCE MARKET 25


4.1 Introduction: reinsurance data collection 25
4.1.1 Link to former Global Reinsurance Market Survey (GRMS) 25
4.1.2 Interplays with the SWM 26
4.2 Reinsurance premiums 27
4.2.1 Life and non-life sector, retention, developments 27
4.3 Regional distribution of the reinsurance market 28
4.3.1 Regional distribution 28
4.3.2 Regional premium transfers 29
4.4 Reinsurance asset allocation 29
4.5 Reinsurance solvency and capital 31
4.6 Reinsurance profitability 32

Endnotes 34
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY

T
he 2021 Global Insurance Market Report stimuli, resulted in insurers’ solvency ratios
(GIMAR) reports on the outcome of the continuing to improve in Q4 2020 compared
2021 Global Monitoring Exercise (GME), to Q2 2020. On aggregate, however, Q4 2020
the IAIS’ risk assessment framework to monitor solvency ratios were below the baseline of Q4
key risks and trends and to detect the potential 2019. Insurers’ profitability continued to be under
build-up of systemic risk in the global insurance pressure, recovering slightly over the course of
sector. This report also provides an update on the 2020. Liquidity positions remained stable overall.
outcome of the Covid-19 targeted assessment Insurers continued to implement several measures
based on year-end 2020 data. in response to the pandemic, such as reduced
shareholder dividends and share buy-backs,
The GME builds on data collected from increased solvency and liquidity monitoring, debt
approximately 60 of the largest international issuance and measures to support solvency and
insurance groups (individual insurer monitoring liquidity across different subsidiaries. For the
or IIM) and aggregate sector-wide data from non-life insurance sector, lower economic activity
supervisors across the globe (sector-wide increased underwriting profits in some lines of
monitoring or SWM), covering over 90% of global business, such as motor, property and casualty.
written premiums. The GME helps ensure that the Other lines of business such as event cancellation,
international coordination of supervisory responses travel, business interruption and credit insurance
to mitigate systemic risk is grounded in evidence. continued to be negatively affected. The life
insurance sector was mainly impacted by declining
Last year, the GME was repurposed to undertake interest rates in most regions, resulting in reduced
a targeted assessment of the impact of Covid-19 profits due to increasing liabilities and decreasing
on the global insurance sector, the results of which revenues, alongside heightened reinvestment risk.
were published in the 2020 GIMAR Covid-19
edition. The targeted assessment of the impact This year, for the first time, the regular GME has
of Covid-19 on the global insurance sector was been completed, covering two years of data.1 The
updated this year and is based on year-end GME process is set out in the GME document. The
2020 data. The data showed that in the face IAIS held collective discussions on the outcome of
of significant market movements and disrupted the GME, based on a defined scope of individual
economic activity, insurers remained operationally insurers and three sector-wide macroprudential
and financially resilient. Strong performance of themes, which were identified as supervisory
financial markets in the second half of 2020, priorities: (1) low yield environment and private equity
supported by unprecedented fiscal and monetary (PE) ownership, (2) credit risk and (3) cyber risk.

STRONG PERFORMANCE OF FINANCIAL MARKETS IN THE


SECOND HALF OF 2020, SUPPORTED BY UNPRECEDENTED
FISCAL AND MONETARY STIMULI, RESULTED IN INSURERS’
SOLVENCY RATIOS CONTINUING TO IMPROVE IN Q4 2020
COMPARED TO Q2 2020.
1
The outcome of the supervisory assessment and
discussion on supervisory response with respect
THREE MACROPRUDENTIAL
to individual insurers is not publicly disclosed for THEMES IDENTIFIED AS
confidentiality reasons. The key points from the SUPERVISORY PRIORITIES
collective discussion on the three macroprudential ARE (1) LOW YIELD
themes include: ENVIRONMENT AND
(1) Low interest rate environment and private
PRIVATE EQUITY OWNERSHIP,
equity (PE) ownership (2) CREDIT RISK AND
The low interest rate environment, which has (3) CYBER RISK.
continued though the pandemic, has had direct
effects on insurers (for example, strains on
profitability) as well as potential indirect effects (2) Credit risk
(for example, from associated management Sovereign and corporate debt reached
actions, such as a reach for yield or changing historically high levels, which could lead to
business models by altering life insurance credit spreads widening, defaults and ratings
product offerings, putting life portfolios in run- (outlook) changes. Insurers, as substantial
off, or transferring (parts of) the (re)insurance fixed-income investors, need to manage this
business). Relatedly, the PE industry’s growing risk in both their asset and liability portfolios.
interest in acquiring life (re)insurance assets has Most of the insurers assessed are not taking
been identified as an emerging trend in certain excessive credit risks, with high average
jurisdictions. credit quality of assets. However, in the
Supervisors note that it is a challenge for search for yield, some changes in insurers’
insurers to find assets with sufficient yield to asset allocations can be observed, leading to
match guaranteed life products and maintain increases in credit risk.
the asset-liability matching without taking on a In terms of supervisory measures, key
significantly higher level of risk.2 supervisory areas of focus are intensified
In terms of supervisory response, key monitoring of investment portfolios and
supervisory elements consist of intensified reinsurance positions, intensified onsite reviews
supervisory dialogue, updating supervisory and/or supervisory dialogues and reviews of
reporting, onsite reviews, quarterly monitoring risk management structures and processes.
exercises, stress testing and sensitivity analysis. Some supervisors limited or halted dividend
payments during the Covid-19 crisis, linked to
Regulatory measures relate to requirements
uncertainty around credit risk.
for additional interest rate reserving, capping
the maximum guaranteed interest rate, In terms of regulatory measures, firstly,
installing policyholder surrender and/or tax supervisors note that risk-based capital
penalties and changes to profit-sharing requirements (such as for spread and credit
regulations, among others. risk) discourage insurers from taking on
excessive risk in asset portfolios. Secondly,
Regarding PE ownership, supervisors are
some supervisors have put in place enhanced
continuing to fully evaluate the implications.
requirements regarding investments in their
Some acknowledge that PE-owned insurers
internal control procedures that they require
may pose unique risks, such as increased
of insurers. Thirdly, supervisors note that
exposures to private placements and private
requirements for public disclosure regarding
label asset-backed securities – notably
credit risk in insurers’ solvency reports similarly
collateralised loan obligations (CLOs). Others
discourage insurers from taking on excessive
note that PE-ownership may also bring
credit risk.
synergies, such as the investment expertise
that PE-owned firms provide, and indicate that
(3) Cyber risk
they have observed the same trend of lower
Supervisors are mindful of the increased
credit quality purported to be associated with
frequency and severity of cyber-attacks
PE-owned firms occurring elsewhere across
during the Covid-19 pandemic (in terms
the insurance industry.
of number, impact and sophistication).

2
Also, supervisors have noted that malware • Reinsurance asset holdings mainly consist of
and phishing campaigns have become more equities and corporate bonds. The share of debt
common. The shift to remote working and investments held by reinsurers has remained
increased digitalisation combined with the rise relatively stable over time, while there has been
of new technologies has increased cyber risk, a slight decrease in the relative share of equity
including for the insurance sector. securities.
In response, supervisors are strengthening their • Reinsurance solvency ratios have been on a
own governance and building up expertise decreasing trend since 2014; however, the
on cyber issues, for example by establishing average solvency ratio is still well above 100%.
cyber-resilience committees. Supervisors • Retained earnings remain the main source of
stress the need for insurers to maintain their available capital. Changes in available capital are
cyber capabilities. Leveraging on- and off-site mainly driven by a decreasing share of paid-up
engagements with insurers, supervisors both capital, whereas the relative levels of retained
enforce prudential standards and encourage earnings and hybrid capital remained stable.
insurers to continuously improve their cyber risk Gearing ratios have been declining since 2008,
management. meaning that capital resources are growing more
In terms of regulation, some supervisors have rapidly than recoverables from retrocession. The
established requirements to embed cyber spread between the gross and net gearing ratio
defence policies within both risk management is declining, indicating that there is an increased
and governance. Further requirements relate use of collateral for retrocession.
to supervisory reporting on cyber incidents and • Non-life reinsurance profitability is slightly up; in
cyber-security measurement and testing. Finally, 2019–2020 there was a slight decrease in the
some supervisors note that they encourage average combined ratio of the global non-life
the financial institutions they supervise to buy reinsurance market. Combined ratios remain
cyber insurance coverage, which may help to below 100%, indicating profitable underwriting.
mitigate cyber risks both from a financial and an For both life and non-life reinsurance, the ratio
operational resilience perspective. of revenues to total assets, is about 15%, with
some regional differences.
Global reinsurance market
The GIMAR also includes an assessment of
developments in the global reinsurance market.
By embedding the data collection that formerly
took place through the IAIS’ annual Global
Reinsurance Market Survey into the SWM, the
IAIS has enhanced the global coverage and
representativeness of its analysis, adding 13
jurisdictions to the scope of the data collection. The
results of the reinsurance data collection indicate:
• The size of the global net reinsurance market
covered by the SWM was approximately $312
billion in 2020, accounting for approximately 7%
of all global net insurance premiums. Non-life
reinsurance premiums account for more than
50% of all global reinsurance gross premiums.
• From a regional perspective, the five largest
reinsurance markets based on the SWM
are Bermuda, the United States, Germany,
Switzerland and China. In terms of reinsurance
gross premiums based on SWM data, Bermuda
was the largest reinsurance market in the world
at year-end 2020. From the net reinsurance
premiums perspective, the United States was
the largest reinsurance market.

3
1. INTRODUCTION

T
his report is based on the outcome of the GME document. The criteria are designed
the GME, which is the IAIS’ framework to allow for broad coverage in terms of
for monitoring key risks and trends in global participation. In addition, jurisdictions
the insurance sector and assessing the build- not meeting the criteria may volunteer to
up of any potential systemic risk in the global participate in the SWM data collection.
insurance sector. The GME is a key element of
the IAIS’ Holistic Framework for the assessment The analysis in this report covers two years
and mitigation of systemic risk in the global of data. In 2020, in response to the Covid-19
insurance sector. pandemic, the GME was to repurposed to
undertake a targeted Covid-19 risk assessment.
The GME consists of two confidential data
The quantitative data set was tailored to focus
collections:
on information relevant to monitoring the
» Individual insurer monitoring (IIM) impact of Covid-19 on the global insurance
applicable to insurance groups meeting sector. This was complemented by qualitative
the Insurer Pool criteria,3 consisting of information. The Covid-19 data was collected on
approximately 60 of the largest international a quarterly basis (end-2019, Q1 2020, Q2 2020
insurance groups from 18 jurisdictions; and and Q4 2020). In 2021, the regular GME was
» Sector-wide monitoring (SWM) data undertaken, which collected data as at end-
collection covering aggregate insurance 2019 and end-2020 (where not already collected
market data collected from IAIS Members by the Covid-19 risk assessment). A total of 43
from 27 jurisdictions, comprising more than jurisdictions participated in the SWM Covid-19
90% of global gross written premiums. These and/or regular annual data collection. They are
jurisdictions meet the criteria as outlined in highlighted in blue on the following world map.4

Map 1: Jurisdictions that participated in the SWM data collection

4
2. GLOBAL
INSURANCE MARKET
DEVELOPMENTS

T
his section outlines the key global As shown in Figure 1, on aggregate, solvency
insurance market developments, covering ratios continued to improve at Q4 2020 compared
solvency (Section 2.1), profitability to Q2 2020, approaching 2019 Q4 levels. All
(Section 2.2), liquidity (Section 2.3), assets and reported solvency ratios were above 100%,
liabilities (Section 2.4) and macroprudential indicating that capital resources are above capital
themes (Section 2.5). requirements, with varying developments across
participating insurers.6 However, a majority of
2.1 SOLVENCY insurers still experienced lower solvency ratios at
2.1.1 Developments year-end 2020 compared to year-end 2019.
On aggregate, insurers’ solvency ratios as
reported in the IIM continued to improve in Q4 Figure 2 illustrates that, on aggregate, the
2020 compared to Q2 2020, as a result of strong excess of assets over liabilities ratio continued
performance of financial markets over the second to improve in Q4 2020 compared to Q2 2020,
half of 2020, supported by unprecedented fiscal exceeding Q4 2019 levels.
and monetary stimuli.5

Figure 1: Solvency ratios (per cent)

Solvency ratio (Q4 2019–Q4 2020) Solvency ratios (change between Q4 2019–
Aggregate Split by business type Split by region Q4 2020)
AggregateSplit by business type Split by region
Pred. Non-life

Europe & ZA
Composite

N-America

Pred. Non-life
Pred. Life

Europe & ZA

Absolute changes in solvency ratios


Relative changes in solvency ratios

Composite

N-America
Pred. Life
Asia

Asia

350%

300%
0% 0%
274% 272% 0,0%
-2%
250% -1%
219% 208% 214% -1,1% -4%
198% -2%
200% 174% -1,8% -6%
174%
150% -3% -2,4% -8%
-10%
100% -4%
-12%
-4,7% -4,3%
50% -5% -4,8% -14%
0% -6% -16%
2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 Solvency ratios (relative change)
Solvency ratios (absolute change)

Source: IIM Covid-19 Q4 2020

5
Figure 2: Excess of assets over liabilities (per cent)

Excess of assets over liabilities Excess of assets over liabilities (Relative change Q4
(Q4 2019–Q4 2020) 2019–Q4 2020)
Aggregate Split by business type Split by region Aggregate Split by business type Split by region
Pred. Non-life

Pred. Non-life
Europe & ZA

Europe & ZA
Composite

N-America

Composite

N-America
Pred. Life

Pred. Life
Asia

Asia
25% 4,0% 0,5%
3,5% 0,4%
20% 3,3%
20% 3,0%
2,5% 2,4% 0,3%
16% 1,6%
0,15965725 2,0%
14% 0,2%
15%
12%
1,5% 0,7% 0,8% 1,3% 0,1%
10% 1,0%
10% 9% 9% 0,5% 0,0%
0,0% -0,1%
-0,5% -0,5%
5% -1,0% -0,2%
-1,0%
-1,5% -1,5% -1,0% -0,3%
0% Excess of assets over liabilities (relative change)
2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 Excess of assets over liabilities (absolute change)

Source: IIM Covid-19 Q4 2020

2.1.2 Measures taken by insurers Other measures taken in the second half of the
Insurers continued to access capital markets year match those taken in the first half of 2020,
over the second half of 2020 (such as through including continued dynamic hedging, increased
debt issuance). Lower interest rates resulted in solvency monitoring, stress testing, and optimising
a reduction of future coupon payments for capital allocation through reinsurance.
floating rate instruments. Some insurers secured
funding out of precaution given the unpredictability 2.1.3 Outlook
of the current environment (for example by pre- In terms of outlook, insurers expect solvency
financing maturing debt earlier than planned). positions to remain stable, noting, however, the
Others issued debt to fund various corporate and high degree of uncertainty as solvency depends
M&A activities, also considering the favourable on the future path of financial markets and
terms during the period. interest rates, which in turn depends on further
government support measures and developments
Several insurers continued to halt or reduce with respect to the Covid-19 pandemic.
shareholder dividends and share buy-backs, under
supervisory guidance in certain regions. Others Insurers note that financial markets over the
continued dividend pay-outs based on strong second half of 2020 already reflected economic
capital positions. growth expectations, based also on successful
vaccination campaigns that may be unevenly
Asset-side measures to improve capital positions distributed across countries (and hence the
have continued, including de-risking over the heterogeneous impact across subsidiaries in
second half of 2020 and/or making improvements different countries).
to asset-liability duration matching. Liability-side
measures to improve capital positions mainly Certain insurers began to resume share buy-backs
include reduced sales of capital-intensive products as the economic outlook improves. Some insurers
to conserve capital. Some insurers performed expect further deterioration in credit quality in
further shifts in intra-group capital allocation to certain asset segments (such as bond portfolios),
strengthen subsidiaries’ capital positions. which would impact their solvency positions.

6
Figure 3: Return on assets (per cent)

Aggregate Split by business type Split by region

Pred. Non-life

Europe & ZA
Composite

N-America
Pred. Life

Asia
1,2%

1,0%

0,8%

0,6%
0,5%
0,4%
0,3%
0,2% 0,2% 0,2%
0,2%
0,2% 0,1%

0,0%

-0,2%

-0,4%

2019 Q4 2020 Q2 2020 Q4

Source: IIM Covid-19 Q4 2020

2.2 PROFITABILITY increasing underwriting profits due to decreases


2.2.1 Developments in motor and P&C insurance claims, offset by
Insurers’ profitability continued to be under decreasing profits due to losses from event and
pressure in the second half of 2020, recovering travel cancellation, business interruption, and
slightly over time. credit insurance business. For life insurance, the
overall impact on profitability depends on the
Lower interest rates in most regions resulted in extent of an insurer’s exposure to mortality or
declining profitability due to increasing liabilities longevity risk. For life and unit-linked business,
and decreasing interest rate revenues. profitability was mainly impacted through lower
asset-based fees, recovering over the second
Net operating results were impacted positively by half of 2020.
cost savings resulting from new ways of working,
such as extended remote working, reduced travel A substantial decrease in return on assets
expenses and reduced expenses for events. occurred during 2020 across all regions and
However, profitability was also negatively impacted businesses (see Figure 3). The decrease mainly
by increases in other expenses, such as IT. occurred over the first half of 2020 (sometimes
reaching negative returns), recovering partially
On the asset side, lower dividend income (notably over the second half of the year.
from corporate bonds) and decreases and/or
impairments in equities were reported. On the 2.2.2 Measures taken by insurers
liability side, the main impact was on claims, In order to strengthen profitability, insurers are
impacting underwriting profits to a varying undergoing a strong shift to digitalisation. For
extent. Premiums were mostly impacted through instance, digital technologies are being deployed to
lower new business volumes (such as due to allow for face-to-face client/policyholder meetings.
lockdown measures including travel restrictions).
In 2020, insurers undertook continued efforts to
To varying degrees depending on the mix of reduce expenses, such as reprioritising projects,
business lines, non-life insurers experienced reducing marketing and consulting expenses and

7
limiting or delaying salary increases or variable affect certain subsidiaries, very low interest rates
remunerations. Travel expenses also decreased in certain markets, increases in non-performing
due to reduced travel. debt in lending businesses, higher claims in certain
lines of business (such as business interruption
To enhance profitability, certain insurers decreased insurance) and fixed distribution costs relative to
discretionary profit and dividend payments to lower expected new business volumes. Positive
policyholders (for example, for participating impacts on profitability are expected from economic
policies). Some insurers have undertaken recovery with the easing of lockdown measures.
commercial initiatives to retain policyholders (such
as by extending policy loans to policyholders in 2.3 LIQUIDITY
order to help customers in financial difficulty, by 2.3.1 Developments
granting fee/premium waivers and extending grace Overall, insurers report that liquidity positions
periods to mitigate surrenders, or by allowing have remained stable in 2020. The impact of
additional coverage for Covid-19 related claims). Covid-19 on the liquidity of insurers’ investments
was moderated by significant central bank
Finally, insurers note that continued hedging of interventions. Some insurers observed that
costs, mainly to stabilise solvency ratios, will liquidity positions were affected by the impact
affect profitability. of Covid-19 on some lines of business, such as
through premium deferrals and higher claims.
2.2.3 Outlook for profitability However, the overall impact on liabilities is
Several insurers indicate a high degree of assessed to be limited, due to the offsetting effect
uncertainty about profitability due to the ongoing of lower claims in other business lines.
Covid-19 pandemic. Insurers continue to monitor
fiscal and monetary stimuli and vaccination/ The group-level liquidity positions of some insurers
pandemic prospects, given the impact on were impacted, for example due to financing
financial markets and interest rate volatility. Future subsidiaries as part of capital management
government measures to contain the pandemic policies or from providing for subsidiaries’ liquidity
may also impact new business sales. guarantees. Some insurers note that liquidity
positions were affected by central clearing
Looking ahead, insurers expect continued collateral posting requirements, as a result of
strains on profitability due to a variety of factors, changes in financial markets (notably changes
including the risk of further credit downgrades to interest rates).
and impairments, exchange rate movements that

Figure 4: Share of cash on assets (per cent)


Share of Cash on Assets (Q4 2019, Q2
2020, Q4 2020)
Aggregate Split by business type Split by region
Pred. Non-life

Europe & ZA
Composite

N-America
Pred. Life

Asia

5% 4,4%
4% 3,6%
3% 2,7% 2,6% 2,5% 2,4% 2,4%
2%
1%
0%
2019 Q4 2020 Q2 2020 Q4

Source: IIM Covid-19 Q4 2020

8
Insurers’ cash positions, as a percentage of total 2.3.3 Outlook
assets, generally increased over 2020 (see Figure Based on internal liquidity metrics and monitoring
4). A comparable share of cash in balance sheets frameworks, insurers are generally confident in
can be observed across business types (2.6%– their ability to meet future payments and
2.9%). obligations. Insurers note that at end-2020, global
liquidity was abundant, supported by central
2.3.2 Measures taken by insurers bank measures. However, some note that as the
In 2020, insurers strengthened liquidity buffers economy recovers, there will be upward pressure
through a variety of measures, such as on commodity prices and inflation, which may
increasing cash buffers, extending terms of repo tighten monetary policy going forward. Some
transactions, raising short-term funds through insurers note that any need to increase the use
cash-secured bond lending, replacing less liquid of alternative sources of liquidity may result in
assets with more liquid ones, issuing additional increased balance sheet leverage, negatively
debt and postponing share buy-backs and impacting financial strength ratings and rating
dividend distributions. outlooks. Finally, some insurers expect the usual
seasonality in liquidity positions going forward,
Insurers also enhanced liquidity contingency related to recurring shareholder dividend payments.
planning, ensuring that liquidity sources are
accessible as back-up facilities, such as (central) 2.4 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
bank credit lines, access to capital markets (debt 2.4.1 Developments
issuance) and fund facility agreements. Derivatives Overall strong performance of financial markets
positions were closely managed to secure was observed over the second half of 2020. As
collateral positions. For insurers that provided per the right-hand side of Figure 5, on aggregate,
capital support to subsidiaries, cash upstreams insurers’ asset compositions remained stable
from local entities were closely monitored, and/or over 2020 compared to 2019. The left-hand side
intra-group dividend policies were updated. of Figure 5 shows that the majority of insurers’
assets is held in corporate bonds, sovereign
bonds, equities and loans and mortgages.

Figure 5: Asset composition (per cent)

Assets composition - General Accounts only (Q4 2020) Assets composition (Q4 2019–Q4 2020)
Aggregate Split by business type Split by region Aggregate Split by business type Split by region
Pred. Non-life

Pred. Non-life
Europe & ZA

Europe & ZA
Composite

N-America

Composite

N-America
Pred. Life

Pred. Life
Asia

Asia

100% 4,0%
Assets composition (in %)

Relative change (in %)

90% 3,0%
80% 2,0%
70%
60% 1,0%
50% 0,0%
40% -1,0%
30% -2,0%
20%
10% -3,0%
0% -4,0%
Equities Sovereign bonds
Equities Sovereign bonds
Corporate bonds Loans & mortgages
Corporate bonds Loans & mortgages
Real estate Cash
Real estate Cash
Other assets Other assets

Source: IIM Covid-19 Q4 2020

9
Figure 6 shows that, on aggregate, insurers’ factoring in seasonality in underwriting, with
equity and corporate debt exposure to the top five the majority of premiums being written in the
industries most negatively affected by Covid-19 first quarter.
represents approximately 2% of their total general
account assets.7 2.4.2 Measures taken by insurers
Insurers implemented varied investment portfolio
Looking at the composition of liabilities in the measures over the second half of 2020. Some
left-hand chart of Figure 7, technical provisions insurers further shifted their portfolios to higher
represent approximately 60% of total liabilities, yielding assets, for instance by increasing
consistent across all regions. From the right-hand investments in high-dividend assets and by
chart, on aggregate, a slight decrease in gross increasing investments in corporate bonds when
written premiums can be observed over 2020, credit spreads widened. Other insurers report

Figure 6: Exposure to industries most negatively affected by Covid-19 (per cent)

Aggregate Split by business type Split by region


Pred. Non-life

Europe & ZA
Composite

N-America
Aggregate

Pred. Life

Share of affected industries on equities or corporate bonds


Share of equities and corporate bonds in affected industries

Asia
3% 9,5% 10%
9%
3% 7,7% 8%
on total GA assets (in %)

6,7% 6,9%
6,4% 7%
2% 5,9% 6,3%
6%

(in %)
4,9%
2% 5%

4,0% 4,1% 4%
3,8%
1% 3,5%
2,8% 2,9% 3%
2%
1%
1%
0% 0%
Share of equities and corporate bonds in affected industries on total GA assets
Share on equities
Share on corporate bonds

Source: IIM Covid-19 Q4 2020

Figure 7: Liabilities composition (per cent) and Gross written premiums (USD million)

Liabilities – Composition (Q4 2020) GWP (Q4 2019 - Q4 2020)


Aggregate Split by business type Split by region Aggregate Split by business type Split by region
Pred. Non-life

Pred. Non-life
Europe & ZA

Europe & ZA
Composite
Composite

N-America
N-America

Pred. Life
Pred. Life

Asia
Asia
Liabilities - Composition (in %)

100% 500 000


90% 450 000
80% 400 000
70% 350 000
60% 300 000
50% 250 000
40% 200 000
30% 150 000
20% 100 000
10% 50 000
0% 0
Life Technical Provisions (Gross) Non-life Technical Provisions (Gross) 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q4
Short-term borrowing Other borrowing

Source: IIM Covid-19 Q4 2020

10
asset de-risking (for example, further deploying Additionally, and particularly relevant from a
capital on high-quality assets, decreasing credit financial stability perspective, the PE/life insurance
risk exposures and reducing equity exposures to partnership increases the overall importance and
volatile segments). Finally, some insurers indicated interconnectedness of the combined enterprise
that they maintained a steady asset allocation to the financial system, as it expands PE’s role in
strategy. In terms of liability-side measures, a non-bank credit intermediation and deepens its
key observation relates to life insurance business linkage with key market participants.
transformation and repricing due to the low
interest rate environment, as outlined in more 2.5.1.2 Supervisory assessment
detail in the next section. Supervisors assess low interest rates as a factor
that will significantly impact insurers’ profitability
2.5 MACROPRUDENTIAL THEMES and solvency. Life insurers holding large amounts
In this year’s GME, the IAIS identified three of long-term liabilities with investment return
macroprudential themes based on supervisory guarantees8 are especially impacted, as low
priorities identified by the annual SWM. The interest rates increase long-term liabilities and
highlights of these macroprudential themes are decrease investment and fee income. This impact
structured as follows: (1) theme description; is the strongest in the case of large gaps in asset-
(2) supervisory assessment; (3) measures taken liability duration matching.
by insurers; and (4) supervisory measures.
Supervisors note the challenge for insurers to find
2.5.1 Low interest rate environment and assets with a sufficient yield to match guaranteed
private equity ownership life products and to maintain asset-liability
2.5.1.1 Theme description matching without taking on a significantly higher
Covid-19 has triggered unprecedented monetary level of risk, leading to the risk of underperforming
policy interventions, further lowering interest rates. the guaranteed return. To a certain extent, this
This has both direct effects on insurers (such as challenge also applies to non-life insurers, as lower
profitability strains) and potential indirect effects investment profits decrease overall profitability,
(for example, from associated management notably in case of weaker underwriting results.
actions, such as a reach for yield or changing
business models by altering life insurance product From the quantitative sector-wide analysis (2021
offerings, putting life portfolios in run-off, or SWM), there is reported pressure on investment
transferring (parts of) the (re)insurance business). returns, with the main trends being decreasing
returns on assets and equity, in excess of the
Relatedly, an emerging trend in certain jurisdictions decrease in average guaranteed rates.
is the PE industry’s growing interest in acquiring
life (re)insurance business. Over the last On the asset side, in general supervisors have not
decade, PE firms have been increasingly active yet observed large increases in risk-taking. At an
participants in life insurance M&A as they seek aggregate level, asset allocation is stable, yet a shift
permanent capital vehicles to complement their can be observed towards for example infrastructure
existing portfolio or fund offerings. This trend has and real estate investments. Supervisors are
accelerated considerably over the last two years. mindful of the potential impact of Covid-19 on
commercial real estate prices, for instance. Also,
PE ownership in the life insurance sector may an increase in interest rates derivatives can be
pose potential risks. For example, PE-owned observed, mainly for hedging purposes.
life insurers typically have complex group
structures and may take on risks that could On the liability side, supervisors note increases in
leave policyholders more vulnerable to financial liabilities due to the discounting of expected cash
loss. This includes engaging in riskier capital, flows at lower interest rates (larger increases in
liquidity and investment strategies. Supervisors liabilities than in assets, due to the duration gap).
should consider whether such potential risks are Also, lower new business volumes and increased
adequately captured in their supervisory practices lapses for traditional life insurance products can
and under current capital frameworks. be observed.

11
Figure 8: Return on assets, return on equity and average guaranteed rate (per cent)

Return on Assets (YE19–YE20) Return on Equity (YE19–YE20)


1,6% 0% 14% Return on Equity (YE19–YE20) 0%
14% 0%
12% -5%
1,4% -5% 11,24%

YE19/YE20 change in %
-6,9% -8,15% -5%

Return on Equity in %
12% 11,24% -10%

YE19/YE20 change in %

YE19/YE20 change in %
1,2% -10% 10% -8,15%
Return on Assets in %

Return on Equity in %
-13,30% -10%
10% -15,54% 7,52% 7,83% -15%
1,0% 0,9% -15% 8% -13,30%
0,9% 6,77% -15%
0,8% -15,54% 7,52% 7,83% -20%
8%6%
0,8% -19,3% 0,7% -20% 6,77%
-20%
-21,6% -25%
6%4%
0,6% -25% -25%
-30%
4%2% -33,35%
0,4% -30% -35%
-30%
2%0% -33,35% -40%
0,2% -35,5% -35% -35%
World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas
0,0% -40% 0% Return on Equity YE19 Return on Equity YE20 Relative YoY ΔYE19/YE20 -40%
World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas
Return on Equity YE19 Return on Equity YE20 Relative YoY ΔYE19/YE20
Return on Assets YE19 Return on Assets YE20 Relative YoY ΔYE19/YE20

Average guaranteed rate (YE19–YE20)


400% 0%
Average guaranteed rate in percentage points

3,62
350% -1% -1%
3,09 -2%

YE19/YE20 change in %
300% -3%
-3% -3%
2,57
250% -4%
200% -5%

150% -6%
1,26
-7%
100%
-8%
50% -9%
-9%
0% -10%
World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas
Average guaranteed rate (AGR) YE19 Average guaranteed rate (AGR) YE20
YoY ΔYE19/YE20

Source: SWM 2021

Regarding PE ownership of insurers, some as the investment expertise PE firms provide, and
supervisors note an increase in the number of indicate that they have observed the same trend
life insurers being purchased or entering into of lower credit quality purported to be associated
strategic partnerships with PE firms. Others note with PE-owned firms also occurring across the
PE ownership of insurers is not yet significant in insurance industry.
their markets but note this is an area that is being
closely monitored. Some supervisors observe PE 2.5.1.3 Measures taken by insurers
ownership of run-off platforms for life insurance In response to the low interest rate environment,
(consisting mainly of savings products) and note a key observed trend is that insurers are changing
that life insurers are increasingly considering the their business models.
transfer of less profitable insurance portfolios to
run-off platforms due to the ongoing low interest In particular, insurers have implemented changes
rate environment. in their product mix, shifting towards more capital
light products such as biometric risk and unit-
Supervisors are continuing to fully evaluate the linked business. Supervisors observe that the
implications of PE ownership. Some supervisors range of products with interest rate guarantees
acknowledge PE-owned insurers may pose unique has been considerably reduced by insurers.
risks, such as increased exposures to private In certain regions, insurers have discontinued
placements (direct lending) and private label asset- underwriting long-term products such as annuity
backed securities (notably CLOs). Others note plans and guaranteed rates business, putting
that PE ownership may also bring synergies, such existing business in liquidation (run-off).

12
Other observed business model changes include: and to limit income statement volatility.
Repricing of existing business: adjustment of
»  Solvency measures, such as injecting capital,
» 
guaranteed rates (both in life retail and in life increasing reinsurance (for example, to reduce
group insurance) to reflect changes in expected interest rate sensitivity of long-term liabilities) or,
investment returns in some cases, issuing intragroup guarantees
Decreasing profit sharing to policyholders
»  Profitability measures, such as cost savings
» 
and shareholders (dividends), loadings and (operating/administrative expense cuts, bonus
commission structures cuts), further outsourcing and digitalisation and
Expanding the fee business (including through
»  an adjustment of discount rates for reserving
partnerships and acquisitions) (such as for health insurance).
Increased sectoral consolidation through M&A.
» 
2.5.1.4 Supervisory measures
Supervisors across the globe have taken a broad
SUPERVISORS NOTE THAT range of measures in recent years relating to the
low interest rate environment.
IT IS A CHALLENGE FOR
INSURERS TO FIND ASSETS In terms of supervision, key measures taken
WITH A SUFFICIENT YIELD TO include:
MAINTAIN ASSET-LIABILITY Intensified supervisory dialogue on this topic,
» 
MATCHING WITHOUT TAKING including in regular supervisory engagements
with the board of directors and senior
ON A SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER management (such as monthly interviews)
LEVEL OF RISK. Updating supervisory reporting to include more
» 
detailed information on alternative investments
Onsite reviews (requiring action plans for
» 
These changes have led to increased competition
supervisory findings), with key examples
in business lines less sensitive to the interest rate
of areas of focus being reserve adequacy
environment, such as non-life, mortality, unit-linked
(technical provisions, especially for life
and variable interest rate products.
business), asset and liability management
reviews and assessments of balance sheet
In addition to changes in business models, other
exposure to market risks
measures taken by insurers to cope with the low
interest rate environment include: Undertaking stocktakes to identify PE-owned
» 
insurers and to monitor the investment
Closer monitoring of interest rate developments
» 
management fees and complex ownership
and their impact on investment portfolios,
structures of these insurers
insurance product mix, the duration gap and
cash-flow gap Quarterly monitoring exercises, with key
» 
examples of areas of focus being:
Reviewing asset allocations:
» 
- Assessing changes in interest rate modelling
- Decreasing liquid fixed income securities and
assumptions and reserve strengthening
fostering new sources of income in asset
classes such as real estate, mortgages, - Reviewing investment allocations, with
securitisations and alternative (illiquid) particular attention paid to any increases
investments (like infrastructure projects, in risk-taking and levels of duration
private credit and equity) mismatches

- Efforts to reduce duration gaps, lengthening - Assessing earnings performance and the
asset durations (for example, by purchasing use of leverage (as a potential strategy to
ultra-long-term bonds) combined with moves boost yield).
to diversify risk assets, including overseas Stress testing and sensitivity analysis, with key
» 
credit assets and alternative investments in examples of areas of focus being:
some regions - Impact of interest rates on solvency and
- Shifts in hedging strategies to enhance profitability (such as “low-for-long” interest
interest rate, duration and cashflow matching rate environment scenarios or multi-period

13
macro-financial stress tests) 2.5.2 Credit risk
- L
 iquidity stress tests to assess the impact 2.5.2.1 Theme description
that low interest rates may have on liquidity Sovereign and corporate debt levels reached
- R
 eviewing dynamic hedging modelling historically high levels, which could lead to credit
assumptions (such as those around hedging spreads widening, defaults and rating (outlook)
costs – considering speed and volatility of changes. Relatedly, some insurers may be taking
rates, as dynamic hedging can be complex on more credit risk following a search for yield
and costly, requiring significant hedges to be in the current low interest rates environment. As
managed very quickly). substantial fixed-income investors, insurers need
to manage this risk in their asset and liability
Thematic research into the consequences of low
» 
portfolios.
interest rates for investment and capital policy
Assessment of dividend policies in relation to
» 
the low interest rate environment
Facilitating innovative product developments
» 
SOME INSURERS MAY
while securing policyholder interests. BE TAKING ON MORE
CREDIT RISK IN THE
In terms of regulation, key focus areas have SEARCH FOR YIELD.
included:
» Issuing requirements for additional interest rate
2.5.2.2 Supervisory assessment
reserving for life insurers to cover guarantees
From the feedback received from supervisors and
in life insurance contracts
the SWM analysis, the overall assessment is that
» Capping the maximum guaranteed interest most insurers are not taking on excessive credit
rate for life insurance (applying a fixed rate risks, with the average credit quality of assets
maximum rate in some regulation, or a remaining high.
maximum rate as a function of the average
government bond yield in others) However, in the search for yield, some changes
» Installing policyholder surrender and/or tax in insurers’ asset allocations can be observed,
penalties when life insurance contracts are leading to increases in credit risk. Notably, there is
surrendered with a certain time period a trend towards increased alternative investments
Updating solvency frameworks to better
»  such as mortgages, structured securities, private
capture interest rate risk (such as updates to placements, private equity and hedge funds.
capture the risk of negative interest rates in the
capital requirements) Figure 9 shows that, as reported in the SWM,
Allowing matching adjustment (MA)
»  there is a high credit quality of corporate debt
mechanisms9 for certain product portfolios, overall. However, increasing amounts of non-
subject to eligibility criteria investment grade corporate debt investments
can be observed across all regions.
Changing profit-sharing regulations, allowing
» 
insurers to distribute discretionary profits over a
At year-end 2020, increases in credit risk can
longer period
be observed within investment portfolios as a
Issuing supervisory recommendations on how to
»  result of downward credit rating migrations and
perform interest rates sensitivity analysis, or how increased defaults, which was material in certain
to assess risk in complex/illiquid assets markets. On aggregate, insurers do not have high
Considerations on additional disclosures around
»  exposures to sectors most strongly affected by
ownership and fee structures. Covid-19, however other corporate sectors and
real estate may be impacted indirectly, notably
Finally, some supervisors note that they have a when government and central bank support
broad range of powers of intervention10 as well as measures are unwound.
macroprudential tools11 in place to further counter
the impact of low interest rates if need be. 2.5.2.3 Measures taken by insurers
Supervisors note that credit risk is a central

14
Figure 9: Corporate debt structure and change in non-investment grade (per cent)

Structure of corporate debt (GA only) per credit steps (YE20) Non-investment grade corporate debt investments (YE19–YE20)
World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas 6% 45%

Shares on corporate debt investment in %


42,35% 5,67%
100% 6%

Share of non-investment grade on corp.debt in %


Shares on corporate debt investments in %

5,7%
90% 40%
5%
5%
80% 35%

YE19/YE20 change in %
31,31% 32,15%
70% 4% 27,78% 30%
4% 3,56%
60% 3,6% 25%
50% 3% 3%
2,58% 20%
2,6%
40%
2% 2% 15%
30%

20% 10%
1% 1% 0,89%
0,9%
10% 5%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Credit Rating Step 1 Credit Rating Step 2 Credit Rating Step 3 Credit Rating Step 4 World Asia & Oceania Europe & Asia Americas
Credit Rating Step 5 Credit Rating Step 6 Credit Rating Step 7 Unrated Non-investment grade share on corporate debt - YE19 (in %)
No information provided Non-investment grade in % Non-investment grade share on corporate debt - YE20 (in %)
Non-investment grade corporate debt investments (ΔYE19/YE20)

Source: SWM 2021

focus of insurers’ group-level risk management, - Search for yield behaviour, by looking at the
embedded in group-wide governance (for example composition of the assets portfolio by type
through credit risk committees). of security, rating, sector, or issuer
- Exposures to alternative assets and
To manage credit risk, insurers have concentration mortgage portfolios
limits in place on asset, sectoral, geographic,
- The sovereign-insurer nexus, by assessing
currency, maturity and counterparty level. Risk-
insurers’ credit risk link to the home country
return frameworks set the overall risk appetite,
risk, which may have deteriorated due to
and insurers’ own risk and solvency assessment
increases in sovereign debt (particularly
(ORSA) reports include detailed information on
from Covid-19 relief measures)
credit risk exposures and the impact of credit
stress scenarios. - Interconnectedness with the banking
industry, especially where banks are
Supervisors note insurers have intensified credit affiliated with insurers (bank-affiliated
risk monitoring during the pandemic (for example, insurers underwrite a substantial proportion
to a monthly basis). Some insurers undertook of private pension assets; and large banks
additional mitigating measures, such as increased own fund managers).
derivatives hedging (for example, spread locks) » Intensified onsite reviews and/or supervisory
and increased collateral requirements to mitigate dialogues on this topic (such as monthly
credit risk for reinsurance transactions. interviews)
» Performing supervisory reviews of the
Some supervisors note changes in asset allocation effectiveness and appropriateness of the risk
to diversify credit risk assets (geographically), management structures and processes
including alternative investments. » Undertaking stress tests and sensitivity
analyses, focusing on market and credit
2.5.2.4 Supervisory measures risk (using a forward-looking supervisory
Supervisors across the globe have implemented a approach). For example, “fallen angel”12
broad range of measures in recent years relating scenarios have highlighted the vulnerability
to credit risk. of some insurers, leading to intensified
supervisory activity, sometimes triggering
In terms of supervision, key measures taken include: capital increases
» Intensified monitoring of investment » Some supervisors limited/halted dividends
portfolios and reinsurance positions, including payments during the Covid-19 crisis, linked to
monitoring of: the uncertainty around credit risk

15
» Some supervisors granted flexibility during the loss of information (including personal data
pandemic, such as: breaches), discontinuity of operations or financial
- Easing requirements in some of the limits or reputation loss. Cyber risk may also affect
of representative investments aimed at insurers through cyber insurance underwriting
avoiding fire sales as a result of ratings and through non-affirmative cyber risk coverage
downgrades (for example, flexibility in insurance contracts.
associated with liquidity limits)
- Allowing exceptional replacement of part 2.5.3.2 Supervisory assessment
of the assets assigned to hold-to-maturity Supervisors have observed an increase in the
portfolios number of malware and phishing campaigns
during the Covid-19 pandemic and are concerned
- Facilitating credit risk management by
about the increased frequency and severity of
making the provisions associated with
cyber-attacks, boosted due to remote working,
premiums receivable more flexible.
digitalisation, increased use of third-party services
» Publication of supervisory reports on aggregate and digital infrastructure (such as cloud services
trends in insurers’ exposures to different asset and data providers). Given current trends,
types, which include an analysis of asset class some supervisors note that insurers are likely
allocation and trends in credit quality. to experience material cyber incidents in the
foreseeable future.
In terms of regulatory measures, supervisors have
noted the general adequacy of risk-based capital Some supervisors consider cyber risk to be a
requirements (such as for spread and credit risk) in systemic risk, which has led them to monitor
preventing insurers from taking on excessive risk cyber risk within the framework of systemic risk
in asset portfolios. Some supervisors assessed committees, establishing prudential expectations
insurers’ risk profiles against credit capital regarding operational business continuity and
requirements, and they are updating regulatory security for systematically important financial
models as a result. institutions (SIFIs).

Some supervisors who do not have risk-based A key vulnerability is the growing dependency
capital requirements in place have made plans on third parties, with a small number of critical
to introduce economic value-based solvency service providers presenting an ever-increasing
requirements based on the global Insurance Capital concentration risk. The potential for aggregated
Standard (ICS) being developed by the IAIS. Others losses that could occur via attacks on cloud
intend to improve the design of the credit risk service or software providers may have a system-
standard model in their solvency regimes. wide impact in the case of dysfunctions or
breaches.
Some supervisors have enhanced requirements on
internal control procedures for insurers regarding A second vulnerability is the risk of IT performance
investments, so as to assess and monitor the declining as technology becomes obsolete,
market risks to which an insurer is exposed. with weaker cyber protection. Supervisors note
Other supervisory requirements include public that mitigation of these vulnerabilities is not
disclosure of solvency reports, including a straightforward.
statement of investment orientations (such as in the
investment plan and performance objectives); limits In terms of impact assessment, some supervisors
on volatility and sensitivity of financial instruments; assess the ultimate materiality of such cyber-
minimum required diversification of investments; attacks as generally being low to moderate, due
and the reinsurance strategy (describing how to their historically limited financial impact. Others
reinsurance policies must consider diversification note a very large potential impact on the financial
and the financial rating of reinsurers). sector as a whole; for example, cyber incidents
might lead to significant operational risks (such
2.5.3 Cyber risk as service disruption) and reputational risks
2.5.3.1 Theme description affecting customer trust (such as theft or ransom
Cyber risk entails information security risk or risk of sensitive client data, the corruption of insurers’
of cyber-security attacks, leading to misuse or

16
databases, fraud or the theft of intellectual
property). Potentially severe financial implications
A KEY VULNERABILITY IS THE
may also arise if accounting or customer records GROWING DEPENDENCY
are irretrievably lost. ON THIRD PARTIES,
WITH A SMALL NUMBER
In terms of exposure, supervisors note that all OF CRITICAL SERVICE
entities are exposed. Smaller insurers may have
greater relative exposure due to lower cyber-
PROVIDERS PRESENTING
security capabilities. Large insurance groups AN EVER-INCREASING
might be more exposed due to their larger CONCENTRATION RISK.
digital footprint.

Cyber risk may also impact insurers’ liabilities, not


only of those directly underwriting cyber insurance,
but also through silent or non-affirmative cyber
risk exposure, which occurs when cyber risk is
not explicitly excluded and is therefore potentially 2.5.3.3 Measures taken by insurers
covered by non-life insurance policy contracts. Insurers increasingly embed cyber risk into their
group-wide governance and risk management,
In terms of cyber insurance underwriting, this involving dedicated board responsibilities (for
remains a relatively small portion of overall example, by appointing information security
business volumes, but significant growth rates officers, establishing IT security departments,
have been observed in certain markets. Some and ensuring dedicated committees are in place
smaller underwriters may have large relative that are responsible for establishing cyber-
concentrations. Supervisors also observe a resilience plans).
significant increase in ransomware attacks and
cyber-security claim counts (some supervisors Insurers have developed cyber-security strategies,
note a doubling in 2020 compared to 2019) and which consist of testing methods, vulnerability
elevated loss ratios, which could result in further and patch management, incident response and
premium increases and coverage restrictions.

Finally, supervisors note that significant cyber


events affecting multiple policyholders can
adversely affect cyber insurers, especially where
there is insufficient reinsurance coverage. This is Figure 10: Cyber underwriting market (per cent)
exacerbated by a lack of historical data, leading
to the potential for mispricing. BEL AU SG BR HK MY ES AT
DE
JP 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
3%
The cyber underwriting market is limited in market CN
size, estimated at approximately $6 billion for a 4%

subset of 13 jurisdictions that completed the SWM


cyber risk data request. The data indicated that
the market is concentrated in two jurisdictions,
being the US and the UK. US
53%
UK
34%
In terms of jurisdictional approaches and
frameworks, a cyber incident reporting framework
is in place in most participating jurisdictions.
However, data on cyber exposures of insurers is
limited, while there is even less quantitative data on
accumulation risk related to cyber underwriting. US UK CN JP DE BEL AU SG BR HK MY ES AT

Source: SWM 2021

17
Figure 11: Cyber data availability (per cent)

Quantitative data on cyber exposure of insurers: Quantitative data on accumulation risk related to
Cyber incident reporting framework in place for
measured or collected cyber underwriting: measured or collected
insurers
70% 60%
60% 80%80%
55%
61% 70%
60% 70%70%
50%
50%
60%60%
50%
40%
40%
33% 50%50%
40%
30% 30%
30% 40%40%
30%
30%30% 24%
20%
20%
20% 15%
20%20%
9% 10%
10%
10% 10%10%
3%
0% 0% 0%
Yes No No,No,
but but
it isitplanned
is planned Yes No No,No,
but but
it isitplanned
is planned Yes Yes, only affirmative No
in the near future in the near future cyber exposures

Source: SWM 2021

recovery plans, and measures regarding data terrorism, and putting limits on business
security and encryption. As part of business interruptions in terms of insured amount or
continuity plans, processes and controls have third-party cover).
been put in place, such as crisis communication
processes consisting of responses to cyber Future business plans of insurers tend to include
incidents (for example, playbooks and testing). further digitalisation of their business and the
Examples of IT controls are multifactor logins, removal of legacy systems (which are prone to
email scanning, restricted network access and obsolescence in IT assets). Some supervisors
malware protection. note that insurers are experimenting with
new technological solutions, such as artificial
In terms of monitoring, supervisors note that intelligence technologies. Insurers are also shifting
insurers have improved oversight and risk to increased remote working capabilities, with
assessment of third-party suppliers (for example, connectivity solutions that enable staff to work and
of software and cloud services), including access critical data remotely.
vulnerability assessments and security testing. The
most critical data and systems are identified, in 2.5.3.4 Supervisory measures
order to manage exposure with a particular focus Supervisors stress the need for insurers to maintain
on accumulation risks (such as cloud outages). their cyber capabilities (including cyber resources,
skills and controls that provide the ability and
Insurers increasingly develop technical tools capacity to maintain information security) in a
to identify compromised data/breaches. Some manner that adapts to changing threats.
supervisors refer to ISO norms and assessments
from independent firms and/or auditors to Also, supervisors are strengthening their own
measure cyber-security maturity levels. governance and expertise on cyber issues, for
example through establishing cyber-resilience
In terms of cyber insurance underwriting, key committees charged with mapping local financial
measures being put in place by insurers to limit industry infrastructure, liaising with industry
risks include: bodies and enhancing cyber-simulation exercises.
» Adding cyber risk exemption clauses to limit Some supervisors note they are working with
silent (non-affirmative) cyber risk exposure in government agencies to improve the cyber-
traditional insurance products, such as property resilience of the financial system more broadly,
insurance focusing on improving incident response and
regulatory harmonisation.
» Conservative underwriting, in parallel with
improving underwriting standards (for example,
Off-site reviews include surveys (such as those on
excluding elements such as cyber war and
cyber exposures and governance), industry trend

18
analysis and technology-focused data collections Finally, some supervisors note that they encourage
to identify cyber weaknesses warranting further the financial institutions they supervise to purchase
scrutiny. Some supervisors have performed cross- cyber insurance coverage, which may help to
sectoral cyber-security exercises or cyber drills mitigate cyber-security risks from both a financial
for financial institutions, to assess the industry’s and an operational resilience perspective given the
readiness for effectively detecting and responding expertise in cyber recovery measures that cyber
to cyber incidents. Findings from cyber and cloud underwriters may be able to provide to clients.
maturity level assessments are incorporated into Supervisors note that cyber underwriters may
the risk scorings. Cyber-security self-assessment also help encourage sound cyber-security
tools allow institutions to conduct an evaluation of hygiene, which can help to further mitigate
their cyber-security level. cyber-security risks.  

Cyber-security onsite inspections and/or audits


are aimed at identifying deficiencies, notably SUPERVISORS STRESS
in the areas of information risk management,
detection of security events, user access rights
THE NEED FOR INSURERS
management and outsourcing. The scope of
TO MAINTAIN THEIR
onsite inspections often includes group level CYBER CAPABILITIES IN A
cyber-security governance (competencies and MANNER THAT ADAPTS TO
responsibilities), existence and appropriateness of CHANGING THREATS.
measures and controls for protection of (customer)
data, and internal processes and infrastructure to
ensure the availability, confidentiality and integrity
of critical functions in case of cyber-attacks.
Inspections sometimes involve both supervisory
and IT risk divisions.

Some supervisors note that they have taken


measures to promote technological innovation
in the insurance sector, including regulatory
sandboxes.

In terms of regulation, some supervisors have


established governance requirements to embed
cyber defence policies within insurance groups’
risk management and governance, including
with respect to outsourcing and external
service providers. More detailed examples are
requirements to establish key functions of cyber-
resilience (identify, protect, detect, respond, and
recover) in internal control systems.

Further requirements relate to supervisory reporting


of cyber incidents and security measurement and
testing requirements (for example, establishing
a cyber testing ground to assess security and
ability to resist attacks). Supervisors note that local
cyber and/or data security regulations are in place,
which often fall under the purview of cyber-security
authorities. For supervising the application of cyber-
security regulations in the financial sector, cyber-
security authorities often cooperate with financial
sector supervisors.

19
3. INDIVIDUAL INSURER
MONITORING 2021

3.1 INTRODUCTION 3.2 THE AGGREGATE TOTALS


In addition to the monitoring of potential (DENOMINATORS) FOR EACH IIM
systemic risk arising from sector-wide trends
METHODOLOGY INDICATOR
According to paragraph 108 of the GME
related to specific activities and exposures,
document, the aggregate totals for each
the GME includes an assessment of the
indicator, the formulas used for calculation
possible concentration of systemic risks at
of indicator scores and the ARVs used for
an individual insurer level arising from these
the indicators are disclosed in the following
activities and exposures. The IIM is applicable
subsections.
to insurance groups meeting the insurer pool
criteria, consisting of approximately 60 of the
Three types of denominators are calculated
largest international insurance groups from
using no sample controls (meaning that all
18 jurisdictions. This section covers public
provided data is included after considering the
disclosure on specific aspects of the IIM.
data validation outcomes) as shown in Table 1:

As outlined in paragraphs 107–109 of the 1. 


Denominators – Absolute approach: These
GME document, public reporting on the GME are the denominators used to calculate the
will contain both a general description of IIM systemic risk scores using the IIM 2019
developments in the global insurance sector Absolute methodology13
and the outcomes of the GME as a whole. 2. 
Denominators – Relative approach using
Public disclosure related to the IIM includes year-end 2019 data: These are the insurer
information on: pool aggregates at year-end 2019
» The aggregate totals for each indicator 3. 
Denominators – Relative approach using
Formulas used for calculation of indicator
»  year-end 2020 data: These are the insurer
scores pool aggregates at year-end 2020.
Absolute Reference Values (ARVs)
» 
The data template and instructions used
» 
in the assessment process
An analysis of aggregate trends in the
» 
insurer pool.

20
Table 1: IIM 2021 denominators

Denominators: Denominators:
Indicator (USD million, except Denominators:
Relative approach Relative approach
indicator 4) Absolute approach
YE19 YE20
1 Total assets 18,027,170 19,053,450 21,362,222
2 Total revenues 2,517,164 2,655,448 2,679,580
3 Revenues outside of home country 901,436 887,732 859,595
4 Number of countries14 1,144 1,148 1,199
5 Intra-financial assets 3,861,401 4,268,171 4,660,847
6 Intra-financial liabilities 1,719,091 1,699,906 2,007,452
7 Derivatives 4,162,248 5,337,560 5,969,702
8 Derivatives Trading 52,703 53,109 50,804
9 Financial guarantees 20,715 14,049 11,617
10 MGVP – Denominator A 1,374,140 1,102,634 1,227,737
MGVP – Denominator B 5,116,697 6,284,688 7,232,547
11 Short term funding 671,449 703,604 836,627
12 Level 3 assets 541,186 634,696 884,329
13 Liability liquidity 4,838,260 4,789,087 5,481,087
14 Premiums for specific LoB – A 5,065 758 735
Premiums for specific LoB – B 3,274 5,507 5,337
Premiums for specific LoB – C 6,204 7,255 7,970
Premiums for specific LoB – D 22,539 26,788 28,536

3.3 FORMULAS USED FOR CALCULATION OF


INDICATOR SCORES
Formulas used for the calculation of indicator
scores are listed in Table 2:

Table 2: IIM 2021 formulas used to calculate indicator scores

Indicator Formulas15
1 Total assets (9 – 9.3) / (Denominator 1)
2 Total revenues MAX(((15 – 15.3) / (Denominator 2)), 0)
3 Revenues outside of 16 / (Denominator 3)
home country
4 Number of countries 17 / (Denominator 4)
5 Intra-financial assets (20.2 + 21.2 + 22.1 – 22.1.P + 23.2 + 27.1.B + 27.1.C + 39.3.a.1 + 43.A + 40.B.1.a.1) /
(Denominator 5)
6 Intra-financial (24 – 24.3.b – 24.3.d – 24.4.b – 24.4.d + 24.D.c + 27 + 27.1.A + 39.4.a.1 + 40.B.2.a.1
liabilities + 43.B + 12.1.c) / (Denominator 6)
7 Derivatives (40.A.1.a) / (Denominator 7)
8 Derivatives Trading 41.1 / (Denominator 8)
9 Financial guarantees (28.1.b) / (Denominator 9)
10 MGVP MAX(((31.1 + 31.2) / (Denominator 10A) – (40.A.H) / (Denominator 10B)), 0)
11 Short term funding {25 + 24.3 + (42.4 – 42.4.d) + (43.4 – 43.4.d) + (40.B.1 – 40.B.1.a + 40.B.2 – 40.B.2.a)
 √ (252 / 10)}) / (Denominator 11)
12 Level 3 assets 30.3 / (Denominator 12)
13 Liability liquidity (100%  33.A.1.1 + 50%  (33.A.1.2 + 33.A.2.1) + 25%  33.A.2.2 + 2.5%  (33.A.1.3
+ 33.A.3.1)) / (Denominator 13)
14 Premiums for 25%  (45.1 + 45.2) / (Denominator 14A) + 25%  (47.1 + 47.2) / (Denominator 14B) +
specific LoB 25%  (48.1 + 48.2) / (Denominator 14C) + 25%  (49.1 + 49.2) / (Denominator 14D)

21
3.4 THE ABSOLUTE REFERENCE VALUES the respective years to establish the reference
USED FOR THE INDICATORS value by using the data as an approximation
According to paragraph 50 of the GME document, for the global market for CDS.
the ARVs for the indicators on Financial Guarantee
and Derivatives Trading are fixed during IIM $9,354bn
ARVCDS = = 16,06%
2020–2022 and correspond to year-end 2017 $58,244bn
values based on the following:
Financial Guarantee: This ARV is the ratio of the
»  Data used to establish the ARVs reflect the result
current par value of structured finance bonds of a best effort search for an approximation of the
(as of year-end 2017) insured relative to the respective markets. In selecting data to calculate
average annual total from 2005 to 2007. an ARV, the IAIS researched a broad range of
$67bn available sources and used the most suitable
$868bn + $1,074bn +$1,360bn 6,09%
ARVFC = = approach for the GME. ARV for reinsurance is no
3 longer used and monitored in the GME.

Derivatives Trading (CDS or similar derivatives As mentioned in paragraph 50 of the GME


instrument protection sold) document, the IAIS continues to monitor both
ARVs. The ARVs were relatively stable in the last
This ARV is the ratio of the total current global
» 
four years as seen in Figure 12.
CDS market (as of year-end 2017) to the
total global CDS market in 2007. The IAIS
used the Bank for International Settlements
statistics on derivatives (D10.1, Total CDS
Contracts – Notional amounts outstanding) for

Figure 12: IIM absolute reference values (ARVs)

ARVs (YE14–YE20)
30%
28,2%

25%

21,1%

20%

16,9%
16,1%

14,0% 14,4%
15%
15,7% 13,0%

11,9%
10%

8,3%

5% 6,1% 5,7%
5,1%
4,6%

0%
YE14 YE15 YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20

FG ARV CDS ARV

22
3.5 THE IIM DATA TEMPLATE AND sample fluctuations. Trend analysis also covers a
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS comparison of individual insurers versus insurer
In line with paragraph 108 of the GME document, pool developments. Sample controls are applied
the IIM data template and technical specifications to keep the sample stable over time.
are disclosed in Annex 1 and 2 of this report.
For the insurer pool, the aggregate systemic risk
3.6 AN ANALYSIS OF AGGREGATE TRENDS score has been on an increasing trend over the
IN THE INSURER POOL last four years (see Figure 13).
In accordance with paragraph 56 of the GME
document, the IAIS performed trend analysis on Taking a closer look at the systemic risk categories
data from the Insurer Pool and used the outcomes and indicators, there has been notable growth
for the overall assessment. Trend analysis in the interconnectedness and assets liquidation
includes developments of denominators (for categories (see Figure 14). Looking at the indicator
each quantitative indicator used in the IIM 2019 level, a growing trend in most indicators can be
Methodology), drivers of those developments, observed, except for derivatives trading, numbers
identification of outliers and data issues, and of countries, financial guarantees and minimum
impact analysis of foreign exchange rates or guarantees on variable products (MGVP).

Figure 13: IIM 2021 total systemic risk scores

Total scores YE16–YE20 (abs. approach &


sample controls)
10 000 10%
9,0%
Aggregate total scores (sample control) in bps

9 000
8 000 7,1%
9%

8%
THE AGGREGATE SYSTEMIC
7 000 7% RISK SCORE HAS BEEN
YoY changes in %

6 000
5 000 4,3%
6%

5%
INCREASING, WITH
4 000 4% NOTABLE GROWTH IN THE
3 000
2 000 1,1%
3%

2%
INTERCONNECTEDNESS
1 000 1% AND ASSETS LIQUIDATION
0
YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20
0%
CATEGORIES.
Aggregate indicator scores (sample control) YoY changes

Figure 14: Systemic risk scores by category and indicator

Category scores: Sample controls, ARVs and Indicators scores: Sample controls and ARVs applied, before
indicator weights
Aggregate category scores in bps

ind.weights applied
Aggregate indicator scores in bps

YE15 YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20


YE15 YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20
14 000
4 500
4 000 12 000
3 500
3 000 10 000
2 500 8 000
2 000
1 500 6 000
1 000
500 4 000
0 2 000
0

23
Looking at the trend of the top four indicators,
outlined in Figure 15, there have been increasing
scores for all of the top four indicators over the
last four years, except for the liability liquidity
indicator which slightly decreased at year-end
2018.

Figure 15: IIM 2021 top four indicator systemic risk scores

Indicator: Level 3 Assets Indicator: Liability liquidity


14 000 25% 12 000 7,3% 8%
6,7%
Aggregate indicator scores (sample

21,2% 7%

Aggregate indicator scores (sample


12 000 10 000
20% 6%
16,8% 4,9%

YoY changes in %
10 000
YoY changes in %
5%
8 000
control) in bps

13,1% 15% 4%

control) in bps
8 000
6 000 3%
6 000 1,7%
10% 2%
4 000
4 000 1%
4,8%
5% 0%
2 000 2 000
-1,5% -1%
0 0% 0 -2%
YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20 YE15 YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20
Aggregate indicator scores (sample control) YoY changes Aggregate indicator scores (sample control) YoY changes

Indicator: Derivatives Indicator: Intra-financial assets


14 000 15,2% 14,7% 16% 12 000 14,7% 16%
Aggregate indicator scores (sample
Aggregate indicator scores (sample

12 000 14% 14%


10 000
12% 12%
10 000

YoY changes in %
YoY changes in %

8 000
control) in bps
control) in bps

10% 8,7% 10%


8 000
7,4%
8% 6 000 8%
6 000 6,0%
6% 6%
4 000
4 000
4% 2,8% 4%
2,2% 2,5%
2 000 2 000
2% 2%

0 0% 0 0%
YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20 YE15 YE16 YE17 YE18 YE19 YE20
Aggregate indicator scores (sample control) YoY changes
Aggregate indicator scores (sample control) YoY changes

24
4. GLOBAL
REINSURANCE MARKET

4.1 INTRODUCTION: REINSURANCE DATA Secondly, some of the nine original GRMS
COLLECTION participating jurisdictions expanded the
4.1.1 Link to former Global Reinsurance number of reporting insurers to capture more
Market Survey insurers and reinsurers providing reinsurance or
From 2003 to 2019, the IAIS collected data on retrocession services. For example, Bermuda
the global reinsurance market through its annual expanded its coverage from three insurers in
Global Reinsurance Market Survey (GRMS). 2018 to over 300 insurers in 2020. As a result,
The GRMS covered about 50 reinsurance the reinsurance data collection now covers
companies based in nine jurisdictions: Bermuda, to a greater extent the significant amount of
France, Germany, Japan, Luxembourg, Spain, reinsurance written by composite insurers that
Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the also provide direct (primary) insurance.
United States. The participating reinsurers have
remained largely consistent throughout the The impact of the expanded scope can be seen
years. The GRMS survey captured data from in Figure 16. Light blue bars show the increase
reinsurers with gross unaffiliated reinsurance in gross premiums included in the exercise due
premiums of more than $800 million or to the expanded scope. Dark blue bars plot
unaffiliated gross technical provisions of more developments of the original GRMS sample.
than $2 billion. The enhanced reinsurance data collection has
increased the amount of reinsurance gross
The GRMS was discontinued with the adoption written premiums covered by the analysis by
of the Holistic Framework in 2019, when the more than 80%.
IAIS decided to include the reinsurance data
collection under the SWM as a part of the GME Keeping the sample stable, an increase in
(SWM Reinsurance Component). Including the reinsurance net written premiums can be
reinsurance data collection in the SWM has observed over the last two years, whereas
enhanced the global coverage and completeness looking at the broader sample shows a decrease
of the reinsurance data collection in two ways. in the last year (see Figure 17).
Firstly, the following 13 IAIS Members have
been added to the reinsurance data collection,
improving data coverage in the Asia, Africa,
Oceania and Latin America regions:
» A
 sia and Oceania: Australia, China, China
Hong-Kong, Chinese Taipei, Malaysia,
Singapore
Europe and Africa: Portugal, Russia, South-
» 
Africa, The Netherlands
Americas: Argentina, Brazil, Canada.
» 

25
Figure 16: Reinsurance gross written premiums (USD billion)
Gross Reinsurance Premiums Written (2003-2020)
600

500
Premiums in bil. USD

400

300

200

100

0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011 2012e 2013e 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Gross Reinsurance Premiums (original GRMS scope) Gross Reinsurance Premiums (updated SWM scope)

Source: SWM 2021

Figure 17: Reinsurance net written premiums (USD billion)

400

350

300
Premiums in bil. USD

250

200

150

100

50

0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011 2012e 2013e 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Net Reinsurance Premiums (original GRMS scope) Net Reinsurance Premiums (updated SWM scope)

Source: SWM 2021

4.1.2 Interplays with the SWM


In this section, the size of the global insurance $483 billion, with more than two-thirds written in
and reinsurance market is estimated. The estimate the Americas. In total, reinsurance accounts for
covers both primary (direct) and secondary about 7% of all global gross insurance premiums
(reinsurance) written premiums. Reinsurance covered by the SWM.
premiums are a subset of global (sector-wide)
insurance premiums. The global net insurance market is approximately
$4.5 trillion (see Table 4). The size of the global
As shown in Table 3, the global gross insurance net reinsurance market covered by the SWM is
market covered by the SWM is approximately approximately $312 billion. In total, reinsurance
$6 trillion, with approximately half located in the accounts for around 7% of all global net insurance
Americas. The size of the global gross reinsurance premiums covered by the SWM.
market covered by the SWM is approximately

26
Table 3: Gross reinsurance premiums
Total gross Retention
Gross insurance ratio total
Share of
reinsurance Regional premiums Regional insurance
Segmentation reinsurance
premiums share (including share premiums
(gross)
(million USD) reinsurance) (including
(million USD) reinsurance)
World 483,407 6,019,738 8.0% 74.8%
Asia & Oceania 61,488 13% 1,318,166 22% 4.7% 86.0%
Europe & Africa 138,252 29% 1,634,890 27% 8.5% 85.7%
Americas 283,667 59% 3,066,682 51% 9.2% 64.1%
Source: SWM 2021

Table 4: Net reinsurance premiums


Total net
Net insurance Retention
Share of
reinsurance Regional premiums Regional ratio
Segmentation reinsurance
premiums share (including share reinsurance
(net)
(million USD) reinsurance) premiums
(million USD)
World 312,108 4,500,370 6.9% 64.6%
Asia & Oceania 39,370 13% 1,133,705 25% 3.5% 64.0%
Europe & Africa 102,657 33% 1,400,391 31% 7.3% 74.3%
Americas 170,081 54% 1,966,274 44% 8.6% 60.0%
Source: SWM 2021

Retention ratios indicate the percentage of gross a reinsurer buys insurance).


premiums that is not reinsured or retroceded
(namely, the ratio of net premiums to gross 4.2 Reinsurance premiums
premiums). Reinsurance retention ratios are slightly 4.2.1 Life and non-life sector, retention,
lower than overall insurance retention ratios. The developments
highest reinsurance retention ratios reported Figure 18 shows a decline in reinsurance retention
were in Europe and Africa. Reinsurance retention ratios at year-end 2020 compared to year-end
ratios indicate the extent of retrocession, which 2019, mainly driven by declining retention ratios in
represents secondary reinsurance (that is, when part of the expanded sample in 2020.

Figure 18: Reinsurance retention ratio (USD billion)

600 90%
78%
74% 73% 75% 76% 76% 80%
73% 72% 73% 65%
500 69% 69% 69% 69% 67%
65% 70%
62% 60%
Premiums in bil. USD

400 60%

50%
300
40%

200 30%

20%
100
10%

0 0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011 2012e 2013e 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Gross Reinsurance Premiums (original GRMS scope) Gross Reinsurance Premiums (updated SWM scope) Retention ratio

Source: SWM 2021


27
Figure 19: Composition of reinsurance gross written premiums (per cent, 2012–2020)

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Life Insurance Property Liability Financial Lines
Source: SWM 2021

In Figure 19, the structure of reinsurance gross 4.3 REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF THE
written premiums in the last nine years is shown. REINSURANCE MARKET
Non-life premiums account for more than 50% of 4.3.1 Regional distribution
all reinsurance gross premiums. However, the share Figure 20 shows the regional distribution of
of life reinsurance premiums has been increasing reinsurance net and gross premiums. Based
over the last three years, driven by, for instance, the on the SWM data collection, the five largest
private equity-owned life insurance model, which is reinsurance markets are Bermuda, the United
built around reinsurance vehicles. States, Germany, Switzerland and China.

Figure 20: Share of reinsurance net and gross premiums (per cent by market)

Share of the reinsurance net premiums (YE20) Share of the reinsurance gross premiums (YE20)
Share ofCA,
the1,1% ES,net
reinsurance 1,3% Others, (YE20)
premiums 1,5% Share ofES,
CA, 1,5%
HK, JP, 0,9%Others,
the reinsurance gross2,9%
premiums (YE20)
HK, 2,0% AU, 1,4% 1,4% 1,5%
CA, 1,1% ES, 1,3% Others, 1,5% ES, HK, JP, 0,9%Others, 2,9%
HK, 2,0% FR, 3,1%
AU, 1,4%
LU, 1,8% CA, 1,5%
AU, 1,6%
1,4% 1,5%
UK, 3,4% FR,
LU, 2,3%
1,8%
FR, 3,1% AU, 1,6%
UK, 3,4%
SG, 3,4% FR, SG,
2,3%2,9%
SG, 3,4% SG, 2,9%
UK, 3,3%
BM, 31,3%
US, 32,9% UK, 3,3%
CN, 5,5% US, 32,9% BM, 31,3%
CN, 5,5% CN, 5,4%
CN,
CH, 5,4%
6,0%
CH, 8,8%
CH, 8,8%
CH, 6,0%

DE, 12,1%

DE, 15,7% DE, 12,1% US, 25,1%


DE, 15,7%
BM,19,8%
BM, 19,8% US, 25,1%

BM US DE CH CN UK SG FR
USUS BM
BM DE
DE CH
CH CN
CN SG
SG UK FR
FR HK AU
HK AU ES
ES CACA Others
Others LUBM AUUS CADE ESCH HKCN JPUK Others
SG FR
LU AU CA ES HK JP Others

Source: SWM 2021

28
Figure 21: Reinsurance gross assumed premiums by region (per cent, 2003–2020)

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011 2012e 2013e 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Europe North America Asia and Australia Africa, Near and Middle East Latin America No information available

Source: SWM 2021

Figure 22: Reinsurance risk transfers between regions (per cent)

Premium origin (reinsurance sector) - YE20


Premium origin (reinsurance sector) - YE20
Premium destination (reinsurance sector) - YE20
Premium destination (reinsurance sector) - YE20
100% 100% 100% 100%

90% 90%
90% 90%
80% 80%
80% 80%
70% 70%

70% 60% 70% 60%

50% 50%
60% 60%
40% 40%
50% 50%
30% 30%

40% 20% 40% 20%

10% 10%
30% 30%
0% 0%
20% World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa 20%
Americas World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas
from Europe from North America to/in Europe to/in North America
10% from South America from Asia excluding Japan and Western Asia10% to/in South America to/in Asia excluding Japan and Western Asia
from Japan from Africa and Western Asia to/in Japan to/in Africa and Western Asia
0% from Oceania No information available 0% to/in Oceania No information available
World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas
from Europe from North America to/in Europe to/in North America
from South America from Asia excluding Japan and Western Asiato/in South America Source:
to/in Asia excluding JapanSWM 2021Asia
and Western
from Japan from Africa and Western Asia to/in Japan to/in Africa and Western Asia
from Oceania No information available to/in Oceania No information available

4.3.2 Regional premium transfers Figure 22 shows the reinsurance risk transfers
Figure 21 presents the gross assumed reinsurance between regions, namely the premium origins and
premiums by the region of the ceding insurer. In destinations by region. The shaded grey bar areas
2018, the North America region accounted for a indicate the percentage of premiums for which
majority of reported gross reinsurance premiums. there is limited information available.
The shaded grey bar areas for 2019–2020 relate
to the change of scope of the data collection; 4.4 REINSURANCE ASSET ALLOCATION
for some jurisdictions there is limited information Figure 23 illustrates the regional split of reinsurers’
available on the origins of reinsurance premiums. asset allocations. The distribution is roughly similar
across regions. Key asset classes are equities and
corporate bonds in all regions.

29
Figure 23: Reinsurance asset allocation (per cent, YE20)
Assets allocation (reinsurance sector) - YE20
100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas
Equities Corporate debt Alternative RI Sovereign debt
Real estate Loans & mortgages Securitizations DAC
Gross recoverables Other rein. assets Cash Other assets

Source: SWM 2021

The largest relative shares of sovereign debt Figure 24 shows that the share of debt investments
securities are held in the Europe and Africa region. held by reinsurance remained relatively stable over
Overall, reinsurers hold limited investments in time. A slightly decreasing trend in the relative share
loans and mortgages and real estate. of equity securities can be seen. The increasing
proportion of invested assets for which no
information is available in 2019–2020 relates to the
expanded scope of the data collection.

Figure 24: Trend of reinsurance asset allocation (per cent, 2003–2020)

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011 2012e 2013e 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Debt Securities Sovereign debt
Corporate debt Equity Securities
Loans, mortgages and real estate Reinsurance related alternative investments
Securitizations Other

Source: SWM 2021

30
4.5 REINSURANCE SOLVENCY AND CAPITAL The time series in Figure 26 shows that changes in
Figure 25 shows a decreasing trend in solvency available capital are mainly driven by a decreasing
ratios in the global reinsurance sector since 2014; share of paid-up capital, whereas retained
however, the average solvency ratio is still well earnings and hybrid capital remained stable
above 100%. The decline in reinsurance solvency overall. Retained earnings remain the main source
ratios in 2019–2020 is consistent with a decline in of available capital. The growing significance of
general insurance solvency ratios in 2019–2020. contingency reserves in 2019–2020 is mainly
driven by the change in the sample.

Figure 25: Reinsurance solvency ratios (per cent, 2014–2020)

400%
356%
350% 341%

300%
Solvency ratio in %

250% 236%
217% 217%
198%
200% 183%

150%

100%

50%

0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Solvency ratio

Source: SWM 2021

Figure 26: Composition of reinsurance capital resources (per cent, 2014–2020)

100%
100%
90%
90%
80%
80%
70%
70%
60%
60%
50%
50%
40%
40%
30%
30%
20%
20%
10%
10%
0%
0%
2014
2014 2015
2015 2016
2016 2017
2017 2018
2018 2019
2019 2020
2020

RetainedEarnings
Retained Earnings Paid-upCapital
Paid-up Capital
UnrealisedGains/Losses
Unrealised Gains/Losseson
onPotential
PotentialSales
Sales ContingencyReserves
Contingency Reserves
HybridCapital
Hybrid Capital OtherItems
Other Items

Source: SWM 2021

31
Figure 27 illustrates declining gearing ratios16 since 4.6 REINSURANCE PROFITABILITY
2008, meaning capital resources are growing A slight decrease in the average combined ratio17
more rapidly than recoverables from retrocession. of the global non-life reinsurance market covered
Gearing ratios remained relatively stable over by the SWM can be seen in 2019–2020. Combined
the last three years, fluctuating around the 40% ratios remain below 100%, indicating profitable
level. The sample excludes jurisdictions for which underwriting. The highest combined ratio was in
there is a lack of data on recoverables. The 2005, driven by Hurricane Katrina in the US, which
spread between the gross and net gearing ratio is caused losses of $82 billion.18 The second worst
declining, indicating that there is an increased use was in 2011, driven by the severe tsunami in Japan
of collateral for retrocession. and flooding in Thailand.

Figure 27: Reinsurance gearing ratios (per cent, 2004–2020)

100
90 87

80 75
70 65
60 58 56
55
Ratios in %

50 52
49
50
42 40 40 42 40
40 38 37
35
30

20
10

0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011 2012e 2013e 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Gross Gearing Ratio Net Gearing Ratio
Source: SWM 2021

Figure 28: Non-life reinsurance combined ratios (per cent, 2003–2020)

120 113
106
102 99
98 99 99 97 97
100 93 96 95 93 94
91 92
87 89

80
Ratios in %

60

40

20

0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e 2011 2012e 2013e 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Loss Ratio Expense Ratio Combined Ratio

Source: SWM 2021

32
For both life and non-life reinsurance, the ratio of
revenues to total assets is around 15%, with some
regional differences.

Figure 29: Reinsurance revenues (per cent)

Revenues Total assets (life) (YE19–YE20)


45% 35%
40%
40% 30,7% 30%
Revenues / Total assets (life) in %

35%
25%

YE19/YE20 change in %
30%
21,2%
25% 23% 20%

20% 15%
15%
15% 13%
10%
10%
6,6%
5%
5%

0% 0,3% 0%
World Asia & Oceania Europe & Africa Americas
Revenues / Total assets (life) YE19 Revenues / Total assets (life) YE20 Relative change YE19/YE20

Revenues
Revenues/Total
/ Total assets (non-life)
(non-life) (YE19–YE20)
(YE19 - YE20)
35% 35,0%
35%

30%
30% 30,5%
30,5% 30,0%
30%
30%
Revenues / Total assets (non-life) in %

25,0%
25%
YE19/YE20 change in %

25%
20,0%
20%

20% 15,0%
15%
11,8%
11,8% 16%
16% 16%
16%
15%
15% 10,0%
10%
15%

5,0%
5%
10%
0,0%
0%
-1,2%
-1,2%
5%
-5,0%
-5%
-7,2%
-7,2%
0% -10,0%
-10%
World
World Asia
Asia&&Oceania
Oceania Europe
Europe&&Africa
Africa Americas
Americas
Revenues / Total assets (non-life) YE19 Revenues / Total assets (non-life) YE20
Relative change YE19/YE20

Source: SWM 2021

33
ENDNOTES
1 More specifically, end-2019 and end-2020 data.
2 Including market, credit and/or liquidity risk.
3 The Insurer Pool criteria are outlined in the GME document: Total assets of
more than $60 billion and a ratio of premiums from jurisdictions outside
the home jurisdiction to total premiums of 5% or more; or total assets of
more than $200 billion and a ratio of premiums from jurisdictions outside
the home jurisdiction to total premiums greater than 0%; or jurisdictional
discretion.
4 Argentina; Australia; Austria; Belgium; Brazil; Bulgaria; Canada; Chile;
China; Colombia; Croatia; Czech Republic; Finland; France; Germany;
Hong Kong, China; Hungary; Iceland; Israel; Italy; Japan; Korea;
Luxemburg; Malaysia; Malta; Mexico; Morocco; Netherlands; New
Zealand; Philippines; Poland; Portugal; Romania; Russia; Singapore;
Slovak Republic; Slovenia; South Africa; Spain; Switzerland; Taiwan, China;
United Kingdom; United States of America.
5 Reported according to the jurisdictional capital standard.
6 Reinsurers are not highlighted as a specific category in the 2021 GIMAR
due to the limited number of reinsurers in the Insurer Pool and in order
to keep consistency with previous IAIS reports. Moreover, there was no
special focus on reinsurers in the 2021 GIMAR (in contrast to the public
consultation document on the Developments of Liquidity Metrics – Phase
2). Reinsurers may be presented as a separate category in future GIMAR
reports.
7 For this analysis, the top five industries most negatively affected by
Covid-19 are: (1) airlines, including plane producers; (2) tourism, travel,
restaurants and hospitality; (3) leisure facilities, including casinos and
casino gaming; (4) auto parts and equipment; and (5) oil and gas drilling.
8 Such as whole life insurance with guaranteed rates, fixed-rate annuities,
variable annuities or unit-linked products with minimum guarantees.
9 MA allows insurers to add a premium to the risk-free rates used to
discount liabilities, which enhances solvency positions and incentivises
asset-liability management and hold-to-maturity.
10 Examples of powers of intervention: limit or ban activities, including the
acceptance of deposits or premiums; temporarily suspend or restrain
free disposal of assets; suspend, delay or limit all or part of the payment
of surrenders; ban or limit the distribution of dividends to shareholders;
require the sale/business transfer of some activities.
11 Examples of macroprudential tools: measures to prevent risks that pose
a serious threat to financial stability (such as halting surrenders); modify
provisions for profit distribution to policyholders and/or shareholders;
require insurance business transfers.
12 Investment-grade debt that is downgraded to a below-investment-grade
rating.
13 As mentioned in paragraph 48 of the GME document, the base year for
the IIM 2019 Absolute methodology is set using denominators from the
data exercise year 2018. This will be reviewed during the next regular
review.
14 Number of countries where insurance groups operate with branches and/
or subsidiaries outside of the respective home countries.
15 The number codes refer to the data rows in the IIM 2021 data template
(see Annex 1).
16 Gross gearing ratio = Gross recoverables from reinsurance and
retrocessions / Total capital resources.
Net gearing ratio = Net recoverables from reinsurance and retrocessions /
Total capital resources.
Net recoverables means net of collateral and offsetting items.
17 Combined ratio = Loss + Expense ratio.
Loss ratio = Incurred claims including loss adjustment expenses (LAE) /
Net earned premiums.
Expense ratio = Other expenses than LAE / Net earned premiums.
18 https://www.reinsurancene.ws/insurance-industry-losses-events-data/

34
International Association of Insurance Supervisors
c/o Bank for International Settlements
CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland
Tel: +41 61 280 8090 Fax: +41 61 280 9151
www.iaisweb.org

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