Professional Documents
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2019 Rotman Management Spring 2019
2019 Rotman Management Spring 2019
MANAGEMENT
The Magazine of the Rotman School of Management
UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO
SPRING 2019
The
Art of
Change
Behavioural
Approaches
to Diversity
PAGE 26
The Fearless
Organization
PAGE 74
The Seeds
of Change
PAGE 80
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MANAGEMENT
SPRING 2019: THE ART OF CHANGE In your quest for change, you will encoun-
ter two kinds of people: goalkeepers
and gatekeepers. That according to
Beth Comstock, Nike board member
and former Vice Chair of GE Business
Innovations. Goalkeepers will help
you accomplish your goals, while gate-
keepers will stubbornly guard the status
quo. Comstock recently spoke at the
Rotman School about her book, Imagine
It Forward: Courage, Creativity and
the Power of Change . On page 56, she
describes The Age of Emergent Change,
providing advice and hard-earned
lessons for making change happen.
Features
6 20 26
Harnessing Behavioural In Defense of Troublemakers: Leadership Forum: Behavioural
Insights: A Playbook The Power of Dissent Approaches to Diversity
by B. Feng, J. Oyunsuren, M. Tymko, by Charlan J. Nemeth Compiled by Karen Christensen
M. Kim and D. Soman Consensus, while comforting The world’s leading thinkers on
Some of the smartest organizations and harmonious, often leads to diversity and inclusion recently
are moving behavioural insights up bad decisions. Authentic dissent converged at Rotman. Read highlights
the value chain, embedding them into can be a powerful antidote. from the ‘BAD’ Conference.
their design and delivery processes.
32 38 44
Changing Behaviour for Good The Origins of the Gender Gap How AI Will Affect Business:
by Angela Duckworth and by Ran Duchin, Mike Simutin What Leaders Need to Know
Katherine Milkman and Denis Sosyura by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans
and Avi Goldfarb
Habits are automatic, effortless A leader’s family background
and repeated. And they may be and early educational experiences Artificial intelligence will have
the most promising avenue for have a profound effect on their varied implications for the economy,
making behaviour change stick. later decision-making across but leaders should focus on three
a variety of contexts. key areas.
R AL
VIOU
BEHA
HTS
INSIG
YBOO
K
PLA
50 56 62
Using Behavioural Science The Age of Emergent Change The Future of AI: Proceed
to Improve Decisions by Beth Comstock With Caution
by M. Hallsworth, M. Egan, Futurists predict that we will Interview by Karen Christensen
J. Rutter and J. McCrae experience 20,000 years of progress NYU professor Amy Webb
When leaders learn how to mitigate in the course of the 21st century. warns that Silicon Valley
common biases, behavioural Are you ready for it? might be building AI without
insights can shape strategic decision inclusive human values.
making for the better.
68 74 80
Re-Framing Innovation: The Fearless Organization The Seeds of Change
Integrating Behavioural Interview by Karen Christensen by Jackie Vanderbrug
Science and Design Havard’s Amy Edmondson argues and Kathleen McLaughlin
by Sarah Reid and Ruth Schmidt that in every organization, Two leading corporations — Walmart
Behavioural science is unusually, countless moments of silence lead and Bank of America — are among
if not uniquely, qualified to shine to lost opportunities and errors. those taking decisive steps towards
a light on designing for the future. eradicating gender inequality.
Rotman Management
Spring 2019
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by the Rotman School of Management
at the University of Toronto, Rotman
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In Every Issue problem-solving tools from leading global
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MANAGEMENT
The Magazine of the Rotman School of Management
UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO
SPRING 2019
The
Art of
+
Change
Behavioural
Approaches
to Diversity HOW AI WILL AFFECT
PAGE 26 BUSINESS
The Fearless
MANAGEMENT
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PAGE 74
The Fearless
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The Seeds
of Change
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FROM THE EDITOR Karen Christensen
The Art
of Change
AT ITS CORE, EVERY ORGANIZATION is in the same business: be- the UK-based Behavioural Insights Team show how to mitigate
haviour change. Whether it’s a bank encouraging consumers common decision making biases on page 50.
to switch to their product, a government agency trying to get In our Idea Exchange, Dunkin’ Brands Chairman Nigel
citizens to pay taxes on time or a health agency interested in im- Travis argues that the best organizations run on pushback; Rot-
proving medication compliance, behaviour-change challenges man Vice Dean Brian Golden talks about the art of persuasion
abound. As a result, leadership itself is also about change. on page 92; Laura Methot describes how to deal with Citizens
In addition to facing external behaviour-change challeng- Against Virtually Everything (i.e. ‘CAVE people’) on page 96;
es, today’s leaders are also tasked with ensuring that change is tech entrepreneur Maayan Ziv shows that we have a ways to go
embraced internally. For example, if human capital is to be opti- in making the world inclusive on page 111; and George E. Con-
mized, biases must be tackled proactively. The problem is, most nell Chair in Organizations and Society Anita M. McGahan
people resist change. What is a leader to do? shows how to become part of the solution on page 123.
As indicated in this issue, wherever human behaviour is in- As indicated in this issue, shaping an organization — and
volved, there are opportunities for behavioural insights to influ- the world itself — for the better is a never-ending journey that
ence outcomes. In this issue we look at some of the key areas is filled with hard work. For each of us, there will always be a
that demand behaviour change and present some of the tools choice between the comfort of the old and the uncertainty of
and mindsets required to achieve it. the new. But in an age of emergent change, we must all make
Some of the smartest organizations are moving behav- embracing change — and enabling it — part of both our personal
ioural insights up the value chain and embedding them deeply and organizational DNA.
into their design and delivery processes, as Rotman Professor
Dilip Soman and his co-authors show in Harnessing Behav-
ioural Insights: A Playbook on page 6.
Last fall, two of the Rotman School’s research institutes
— the Institute for Gender and the Economy (GATE) and Be-
havioural Economics in Action at Rotman (BEAR) — convened
some of the world’s leading thinkers to present the Behavioural
Approaches to Diversity Conference. The goal was to develop
sustainable solutions for increasing diversity and inclusion by
applying insights from behavioural science. Highlights from the
day appear on page 26.
Elsewhere in this issue, we feature GATE’s founder Sarah
Kaplan in our Thought Leader Interview on page 14; UC Berke- Karen Christensen, Editor-in-Chief
ley Professor Charlan Nemeth describes the power of dissent editor@rotman.utoronto.ca
on page 20; and Michael Hallsworth and his colleagues from Twitter: @RotmanMgmtMag
rotmanmagazine.ca / 5
A Playbook for Organizations
Some of the smartest organizations are moving
behavioural insights up the value chain and embedding
them into their everyday processes.
by Bing Feng, Jima Oyunsuren, Mykyta Tymko, Melanie Kim and Dilip Soman
WHILE THEY GO ABOUT THINGS in very different ways, at their core, significantly from that of econs. Factors including context, cogni-
every organization is actually in the same business: behaviour tive laziness, procrastination and social pressure play key roles in
change. Whether it is a for-profit firm encouraging consumers to human decision-making. The emerging field of Behavioural In-
switch to its product; a government agency trying to get citizens sights works to connect the psychology of human behaviour with
to pay taxes on time; or a health agency interested in improving economic decision-making to explain these phenomena.
the consumption of medication, behaviour-change challenges Over the past 10 years, we have seen a great deal of progress
abound. in the application of behavioural insights (‘BI’). With thousands
Many organizations struggle to make behaviour change of trials being run by hundreds of public and private-sector orga-
happen due to a fundamental empathy gap. ‘Econs’ — as depict- nizations around the world, human behaviour has become a key
ed in Economics textbooks — are hypothetical individuals who focus of activity in the policy, welfare and business world.
have well-defined preferences, are able to accurately predict the Inspired by the growing interest in BI from all sectors—
future consequences of their actions, have immense compu- as well the absence of any formal guidelines for embedding
tational abilities and are unfazed by emotion. Humans, on the them within an organization — Behavioural Economics in
other hand, are cognitively lazy, impulsive, emotional and com- Action at Rotman (BEAR) has published a ‘playbook’ to help
putationally constrained. The empathy gap occurs when orga- interested leaders navigate the realm of BI. In this article we
nizations design products and services for econs, when in fact, will summarize its key messages, beginning with a description
the end-user is a typical human being. of the four roles that BI can play to create value for virtually
Not surprisingly, the day-to-day behaviour of humans differs every organization.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 7
We can proactively design a ‘choice context’
to nudge users in a particular direction.
ROLE 1: BI as Problem Solver architecture — registration rates increased by 143 per cent. The
Behavioural insights can enable an organization to address prob- organ donor registration process in Ontario was redesigned
lems arising at ‘the last mile’—those moments where an end-user based on the following choice architecture principles:
directly interacts with your organization or its product or service.
Whether your last-mile issue is a low take-up rate, poor sales or • Provide different versions of the donor registration form;
low conversion rates, BI can be harnessed to make subtle chang- • Change the timing of when the form is handed out; and
es to better align your product or service with human behaviour. • Offer additional information to help people make their
One of the key tools that enables problem-solving here is decision.
the concept of ‘choice architecture’, whereby organizations pro-
actively design the ‘choice context’ in such a way as to steer or ROLE 2: BI as Auditor
nudge users in a particular direction. Following are the four main At the end of every design process for products, services or pro-
types of decisions that choice architecture can influence: cesses, a behavioural scientist can be tasked with auditing the
outcome and evaluating it for human-centricity. In this role, BI
COMPLIANCE. Getting people to act in accordance with a regulation is used to evaluate and provide suggestions for further ‘human-
set by a government or agency (e.g., tax deadlines, regulatory pa- izing’ organizational outputs.
perwork requirements). The federal government’s Impact and Innovation Unit (IIU),
along with BEAR, recently worked with the Canadian Armed
SWITCHING. Getting people to convert from one choice to another Forces (CAF) on its goal to increase the percentage of women in
(e.g., brand switching, replacing soda with water at meals). its ranks from 15 to 25 per cent by the year 2026. The team used
a BI lens to audit the following stages of the recruitment process:
FOLLOWING THROUGH. Getting people to follow through on com-
mitments that they themselves have made (e.g., completing a THE APPLICATION PROCESS. BI-informed changes were made to the
weight loss regimen, or just acting on intentions). Armed Forces’ application form to increase clarity and under-
standing. Furthermore, the Department of National Defense
ACTIVE CHOOSING. Getting people to break undesired habits by (DND) made improvements to the appointment process and
converting passive, mindless decisions into active choices. recruitment follow-ups.
It is fair to say that the biggest successes for BI to date have RECRUITMENT MARKETING. The IIU conducted a social media mar-
come in the domain of choice architecture. For example, a few keting trial aimed at understanding ‘what works’ in engaging
years ago, Ontario’s Behavioural Insights Unit set out to increase Canadian women with a career in the Armed Forces.
organ donations in the province. Working closely with project
partners Service Ontario and Trillium Gift of Life Network, POLICY AREAS AND GUIDELINES WITHIN THE CAF.A number of policy
the team’s goal was to increase the number of people who regis- areas, including deployments and relocation, leave without pay,
ter as organ donors. childcare support and long-term commitments were identified
Initially, several ‘barriers to registration’ were identified, for consideration and BI-inspired improvements.
including the length and complexity of the registration form,
failure to ask every customer if they wanted to register and ask- The result: The collaboration was successful and has re-
ing customers to complete yet another transaction after they sulted in changes to the CAF’s marketing and recruitment efforts
had waited in line and completed other paperwork. The result: and an increased appetite for experimentation in these areas.
By removing these barriers — and thereby enhancing the choice Key success factors included buy-in from executives at both the
1. PEOPLE ARE ONLY RATIONAL TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. A psychological phenomenon relating to this is that people per-
We often assume—sometimes implicitly—that people bal- ceive a reward in the near future as more valuable than a reward
ance the pros and cons and assess risks on the basis of all the further in the future. This plays a role in trade-offs between pres-
available information, and thereby make well-considered and ent and future rewards, such as pensions and savings, but also
consistent choices. The behavioural sciences teach us that the with respect to health.
choices people make are only rational to a limited extent. One
example of this is that people are more sensitive to a loss than 3. PEOPLE ARE INFLUENCED BY THEIR ENVIRONMENT.
to a gain. As a result, they put in more effort and take greater In order to determine what the ‘right’ behaviour is, people often
risks to avoid loss than to win the same amount. look at the behaviour of others, particularly in new or uncertain
People also follow certain rules of thumb or shortcuts in situations. In a classic example of this, researchers conducted
processing information. One example of this is the availability a study in which a group of confederates unanimously gave the
heuristic: for events that we can recall more easily—for example wrong answer to a very simple question. The participant—who
because they were distinctive or emotional or recently in the was unaware of this— then conformed by also giving the wrong
news—we overestimate the likelihood that they will occur again. answer. The news and government communication often show
These deviations from rationality are partly predictable, which undesirable behaviour in order to stress its objectionable nature;
means we can take account of them in policy-making. however, often this actually gives the subconscious signal that
this is ‘normal’ behaviour.
2. PEOPLE HAVE LIMITED SELF-CONTROL. It takes It is not just the social environment but also the physical
effort to resist temptation and suppress impulses, and people environment that can have a major influence on behaviour. If fruit
have limited available resources for this. They want to eat more is within closer reach than chocolate, it makes it easier for can-
healthily, exercise more often or save for their retirement, but teen visitors to make a healthy choice. And optically narrowing
in practice it turns out to be harder than they thought. One stripes on the road prompt people to drive more slowly of their
consequence of this is that there is a major difference between own accord. The physical environment can also communicate a
planning to do something and actually doing it — between inten- particular social norm. An environment with a lot of litter on the
tion and action. Everyone has experienced this conflict at some street provides a lot of information about other people’s behav-
point: planning to do some chores but ending up slumped iour, and can therefore lead to more litter.
on the sofa; starting a diet but ending up in a burger bar after
just a week; wanting to save but still going out for dinner. -Courtesy of the Behavioural Insights Network Netherlands
rotmanmagazine.ca / 9
The website for this agency was also improved by using appro- • Telling people about positive, pro-social things that others
priate language to maximize engagement. For instance, making have done (as opposed to asking them to stop doing a certain
sure that the negative connotations of words such as ‘hazards’, negative thing) can produce a fourfold increase in the num-
‘risk’ or ‘unhealthy’ do not reduce attention by creating negative ber of people being more pro-social;
emotions; and testing the balance between visual and text infor- • Showing people smiling or frowning faces — a small emo-
mation to minimize the risk of information overload. The results tional trigger — on their electricity bills improves resource
were impressive and included increased traffic to the website; an conservation by 25 per cent; and
increase in public debate and discussions on the site; and greater • Exchanging similarity-identifying information before a
public reporting of marketplace frictions. negotiation can boost the successful outcome rate from 50
The following research findings indicate the breadth of op- to 90 per cent, with an average 18 per cent increase in per-
portunities in this domain: ceived final value across parties.
A: ATTENTION – Make it relevant, seize attention and suggests that researchers look into making preferable choices
plan for inattention more attractive, use framing of prospects and leverage social
Attention is the window of the mind. However, attention is identities and norms. The framing and arrangement of pros-
scarce, easily distracted, quickly overwhelmed and subject to pects is perhaps the most famous, but also the most techni-
switching costs. Practitioners will often find that attentional cal area of BI as applied to public policy. In facing a series of
issues have been overlooked in the design and implementation choice-options, a person also faces a series of possible futures,
of traditional public policies. For this reason, when practitioners i.e. prospects. While making it attractive provides reasons for
find a behavioural problem with attentional issues, it may prove choosing, the framing of prospects influences people to choose
more effective to design policy interventions that are more one or another option in subtle ways independent of what is
relevant, seize attention and, if this is not possible, think about chosen and why. That is, one option may be chosen over an-
how to plan for inattention. other simply due to the way that choices are presented – either
as a matter of arrangement or as a matter of formulation.
B: BELIEF FORMATION – Guide search, make inferences
intuitive and support judgment D: DETERMINATION – Work with friction, plans and
While there is no such thing as too much information in a tradi- feedback and create commitments
tional public policy perspective, information overload has be- Most people know that it is easy to form an intention of doing
come a serious problem for the people inhabiting the real world. something. It is much harder to get it done. However, we do
For that reason, problems in belief-formation usually go hand in not always anticipate this and tend to systematically overesti-
hand with the vast amounts of information and possibilities that mate our own ability in taking the small steps to accomplish
are put on offer. In this perspective, it is not surprising to find our goals. Thus, choosing to do something is not the same as
that some of the biggest companies today are companies built succeeding. The world is complex and when any one person
around information search engines and consumer comparison has to juggle multiple goals at once, even relatively small
platforms. What is perhaps more surprising is that traditional obstacles may become a reason for postponing taking action.
public policy interventions with regards to problems of belief- As a result people tend to procrastinate leading to inertia and
formation have been slow in copying what these companies do, staying with the status quo.
but instead often try to approach problems in belief-formation
by offering even more information.
Application
comparisons. For example, with a mandate to improve financial
Narrow
FOCUSED CAPACITY
literacy and facilitate positive behaviour change, the Financial BUILDING
Consumer Agency of Canada (FCAC) started offering finan-
cial tools and calculators to educate Canadian consumers and
help them make better financial decisions: Its Mortgage Calcu-
lator helps determine a mortgage payment schedule based on
user inputs and allows the user to input different pre-payment
options to show them how they can save money; its Budget Cal-
culator helps consumers get a portrait of where their money
Application BEHAVIOURALLY
Broad
comes from and where it is going; and its Financial Goal Calcu- INTERNAL INFORMED
CONSULTING
lator helps people figure out how to pay off their debts or reach ORGANIZATION
their savings goals.
Another example is Evree, whose app connects to your
bank account and helps you save money for things that really
matter to you. It basically employs many of the same behav-
ioural science tactics that other companies use to make you part FIGURE ONE
with your cash — but uses them to help you make smarter finan-
cial decisions instead.
All members of the Evree team, including management,
content designers and engineers, are trained to understand the
basic principles and applications of behavioural science. The location or department OR to use BI in broad applica-
objective is for the entire team to resolve problems using a sci- tions where it is applied across domains, geographies and
entific method and to approach daily operating roles with a BI departments.
lens. According to Stephanie Bank, a behavioural economist at These two decisions create four main approaches to embedding
Evree, “We look at behavioural science as our foundation, not BI in an organization.
just as a tool for a designer or a problem solver. All of our staff
members are trained to look at business problems and opportu- THE FOCUSED APPROACH. Employment and Social Development
nities through a behavioural lens.” Canada has its own Innovation Lab comprised of behavioural
scientists, data analysts, designers and policy analysts. The LAB
How to Get Started works on projects with internal partners to tackle problems us-
Before deciding which of the four domains can create the most ing a combination of human-centred design and BI methods. Its
value for your organization, there are two key decisions to full-scale design project for 2017 was the Canada Learning Bond,
be made: which found ways to increase uptake and better understand per-
ceptions of education and financial decision making among low
1. THE LOCUS OF EXPERTISE: whether to set up a concentrated income families.
team/unit within your organization OR to diffuse expertise
across the enterprise; and THE CAPACITY-BUILDING APPROACH. The federal government’s Im-
2. THE LOCUS OF APPLICATIONS: whether to use BI in a narrow pact and Innovation Unit (IIU) houses expertise in four areas:
application where they are applied to a specific geographic innovative finance, partnerships and capacity building, im-
rotmanmagazine.ca / 11
Four Roles for Behavioural Insights
In the Marketplace:
Pre-marketplace: Within the Organization The Last Mile
BI as Chief Strategist
FIGURE TWO
pact measurement and behavioural insights. It offers services acceptance, we expect organizations to start using it to tackle
through a core unit at the Privy Council Office and through more complex behavioural and policy challenges going forward.
the fellowship model, in which scientists are deployed to other In our view, BI can — and should — play a key role in important
Government of Canada departments and agencies to provide societal domains such as the environment, business sustainabil-
behavioural science expertise and run behavioural insights trials. ity, preventive health, and diversity and inclusion. Consider this
At press time it had deployed five behavioural scientists across article as a nudge to get you started.
the government.
In closing Editor’s Note: The BEAR Playbook has contributed to the thinking on behav-
iourally based efforts at various organizations, including the OECD, in their work
The early years of BI as a field were marked by a need to score
on the application of behavioural insights to public policy. The Western Cape Gov-
quick wins and find proof-of-concept for this approach to engi- ernment in South Africa and the Impact and Innovation Unit in the Government
neering behavioural change. Now that the field has gained broad of Canada aim to use its content to strategically embed BI into their work.
by Karen Christensen
How do you define a 360˚ Corporation? only deliver financial performance, but also show how it makes
Nine years ago, I created a course at the Rotman School called a positive contribution to society.”
“Corporation 360°”, because I wanted to take a hard look at the Today, we are no closer to a quick solution, but I have dis-
stakeholders that surround companies from every direction — all tilled some key principles for action. What I’m trying to point
Trade-offs aren’t always obvious. What is the best way to fig- the people for whom it is being made, making them feel like they
ure out which stakeholders are being disadvantaged? don’t belong. If you are a person of colour or a woman and people
In most cases, companies don’t even acknowledge that these are making a business case for diversity, it just highlights to you
trade-offs exist, which is why I came up with the Four Modes that you are not already part of the system; you are outside of
of Action Framework, to help people figure it out. Mode One it, and this makes lots of people check out. The same thing can
involves taking the required steps to understand the trade-offs be said for people who are advocating for environmental change.
within your business model, which as indicated, is a conversa- Any situation that demands that you make a business case for
tion that most leaders do not have. The only time it comes up is it implies that you and your ideas have no value on their own —
if a particular stakeholder becomes a ‘squeaky wheel’; suddenly, and that is very demotivating.
there is a Twitter storm because of something you did, or workers The third reason a business case doesn’t always work comes
are going on strike. Then, you pay attention to your stakeholders. from some new research that I am doing. I’ve been studying peo-
There is a more foresighted way to go about this, which is to ple who feel they need to make a business case to, for example,
take both an ‘inside-out’ and an ‘outside-in’ view of your busi- advocate for environmental improvement or for diversity. What
ness model. This entails first analyzing your model and thinking I am finding is that these advocates find it soul-crushing to have
about who is experiencing trade-offs; that’s the ‘inside-out’ part. to justify economically something that they view as an essential
Then, the ‘outside-in’ part involves bringing a variety of actual human right. So, no matter how you look at the business case,
stakeholders to the table — environmentalists, workers, people it might be getting in the way of effective action — and it may ac-
from the supply chain, etc. — and having a frank conversation tually be setting us back.
with them about their experience with your company. It is very
difficult for leaders to imagine what the needs of stakeholders Making a business case has had a particular impact on diver-
are. The only way to do this is to physically have them at the table. sity initiatives. Talk a bit about that.
Despite all the recent attention to inclusiveness and lots of cor-
People naturally resist change initiatives. Why is that, and porate activities around diversity, we continue to see discrimi-
what can be done about it? natory outcomes in organizations. In my view, that’s because
People are naturally resistant to all kinds of change, and the way we’ve been stuck in Mode Two — focusing on making a business
they try to overcome that in organizations is by making a busi- case — for 15 years now; and in those same 15 years, change
ness case for change. This is what I refer to as Mode Two Action: has stalemated.
If they can just prove, ‘this is going to be good for the business’ I don’t think people go to work saying, ‘I’m going to be super
— whether it be a diversity initiative that makes teams more inno- sexist today’, or ‘I’m going to be transphobic’ — yet we continue
vative or an environmental initiative that saves energy — people to see these things. Why? For one thing, we all have implicit bi-
go to great lengths to make a business case to overcome inertia. ases, but we have focused virtually all of our attention on trying
This is an important step, but it comes with a caution: The to fix people’s brains and make them unbiased through things
latest research shows that, in fact, making a business case may like ‘unconscious bias training’. Here’s a newsflash: We are never
not motivate action in the way we think. First, simply having a going to make people unbiased. Our biases are shaped from the
business case might not actually convince people to act, because moment we are born, right up to the day that we make corporate
in these situations, what really convinces people to act are things decisions. We see this with the recent research by my Rotman
like moral outrage or an emotional or ethical response. The prob- colleague Mikail Simutin, showing that CEOs who were raised
lem with a business case is that it deflects attention away from in less egalitarian settings (i.e. who went to an all-boys school,
these powerful motivators. or had a mother who didn’t work) are more likely to allocate re-
Second, especially when it comes to things like ‘a business sources to male executives than to female executives. [Editor’s
case for diversity’, the business case has the effect of ‘othering’ Note: See page 38 of this issue for more on this research.]
rotmanmagazine.ca / 17
This is a moment in time when corporations
really have to take the lead.
example of Mode Three action. Nike eventually got to a win-win, governments are going to be reliable in terms of creating regu-
but only after a whole lot of change. Today, Nike is considered lations or following through on commitments to the climate or
the gold standard in terms of how it deals with its global factories. inclusivity, so we are at a moment when corporations really have
It’s not perfect — but it’s much better because it chose to innovate to take the lead. In the U.S. right now, some leaders are saying, ‘I
instead of focusing on compliance. don’t care what the government says: We will not back off of our
climate change commitments’.
You indicated earlier that there are cases where innovation is We’re also seeing workers — whether it’s in the supply chain
not (yet) possible. How should leaders approach these situ- or in corporate headquarters — pushing back on all sorts of
ations? things, whether it’s working conditions in Amazon warehouses
I call these Mode Four situations. In these cases there is no ob- or discrimination at Google or Nike headquarters. Leaders are
vious win-win, and you don’t have an innovative solution yet, realizing that they’re going to get pressed more and more. The
either. The sad truth might be, ‘We can’t do anything about this expectation of workers and of society is that they can no longer
at the moment, so for now it is just a cost of doing business’. ‘look the other way’ on any of these issues. Whether they like it
Yet, more and more, companies are keeping their innovative or not, they’re going to be forced to do the right thing.
efforts alive in these cases. They might say, ‘Look, we can’t do
this across the entire company right now — but here is one area
where it is currently feasible. Let’s try it out there.’ Another ap-
proach is to say, ‘We can’t do this right now, but let’s set it as a
long-term goal and continue to invest in it.’
Again, Nike provides an example. It is famous for its Nike
Air shoes — which have air bubbles in them. A number of years
ago, it realized that the chemical it was using to create the air
bubbles was terrible for the environment. They tried to get rid of
it, but couldn’t find another gas that would maintain the bubbles’
appearance. Rather than giving up, they invested in a decade-
long project to create new air systems with less environmentally-
damaging gasses.
Eventually, they came up with a solution that entailed get-
ting rid of the big air bubbles and replacing them with smaller
bubbles throughout the entire sole of the shoe. That led to the Air
360, which was highly successful. By resolving to work hard on
the problem — not knowing the solution in advance, and holding
its intention firm for a period of time — Nike came up with an in-
novative solution.
THE POWER AND PULL OF THE MAJORITY is all around us, even if we enced one another, ten people might only have the accuracy of
are unaware of its potential influence. We may believe that we one. Herding behaviour and stock bubbles demonstrate that
generally ‘think for ourselves’ and are persuaded only by strong ‘many people doing the same thing’ is not necessarily an indica-
arguments; but the fact is, when faced with the opinions of oth- tion of accuracy or good judgment.
ARTWORK BY SUSAN HINOJOSA (MSUSANHINOJOSA@GMAIL.COM)
ers, we often agree without a good argument — or any argument The problem is not that the majority is wrong. Statistically
at all. We can even lose sight of what we believe in. speaking, it may be right, depending on the task and circum-
Books like The Wisdom of Crowds have reinforced the as- stances. Nor is it that the judgment of ‘the many’ is without value.
sumption that ‘the truth lies in numbers’. The book properly The problem is that we assume that they are right simply because
points out the value of judgments by ‘the many’ and their supe- they are ‘the many’ rather than ‘the few’.
riority over the judgments of experts. What may be lost on the What if everyone in your group expressed a judgment
reader, however, is that the majority opinion is superior only in that you knew was not true? You might think that you would not
certain circumstances. Accuracy is more likely found in numbers care what they said or did and that you would answer correctly,
if the judgment is a matter of common knowledge. For instance, especially if you could see the truth with your own eyes. How-
judging the number of jelly beans in a jar. Knowing who discov- ever, research stretching back more than half a century demon-
ered the transuranium elements is a different story. An expert in strates that the truth is no sure protection against the majority.
Chemistry is more likely to know the name of Glenn T. Seaborg In general, research shows that the more difficult or am-
than a dozen laypeople. biguous the task, the higher the degree of following. It is also
Independence of judgment is another critical element. The higher among individuals who have low self-esteem or who
average judgment of a large number of people can be accurate, are attracted to the group. Even the size of the majority has a
provided their judgments are independent. If they have influ- bearing on the degree to which we follow them. Most research
rotmanmagazine.ca / 21
If they have influenced one another, ten people
might only have the accuracy of one.
shows that conformity increases as the majority size increases views when we are in the majority. Dissenters are rarely liked,
from one to around three or four; thereafter, size corresponds and hence daring to dissent takes courage. But what is interest-
little to the amount of conformity. ing is that this courage, when summoned, is contagious: Dissent
The history of the financial industry reveals the power of the can actually increase the likelihood that others will also show
majority to shape judgment and behaviour. From the original in- courage when faced with consensus in another situation.
vesting bubble, the South Sea Bubble of the early 18th century, to The film Twelve Angry Men without Henry Fonda would
the NASDAQ and housing bubbles of the last 20 years, investors have been ‘Eleven angry men who rushed to the judgment that
have been known to herd — to put their money where others have the defendant was guilty’ — and, most surely, that verdict would
already put theirs. Empirical work by economists confirms that have taken them minutes to reach. The film shows the power
investors often follow the decisions of others instead of doing of dissent — of that one persistent minority voice. It turns out
their own due diligence. that dissent is useful not just in the realm of persuasion, but
The fear of being in the minority manifests itself in work- in stimulating divergent thinking — the kind of thinking that
places, as well. Researchers have found that around 70 per cent is necessary for good decision-making. Without dissent, that
of employees don’t speak up when they see problems, for two jury’s discussion would most likely have reflected convergent
reasons. First, employees think that speaking up won’t matter thinking and a rush to judgment — the kind of thinking that
and the company will ignore what they say; and second, they fear leads to bad decisions.
repercussions from the majority — those who remained silent The value of dissent for the quality of group decisions has
and did not report the problem. Silence thus becomes part of the also been studied in naturalistic settings. For example, Linn
power of the majority. Van Dyne of Michigan State and Richard Saavedra of Carn-
We see similar kinds of following in consumer behaviour. egie Mellon conducted a field study in which groups of four or
Why do we go into restaurants that are full and avoid those that five met over a ten-week period. Some groups included a person
are half empty? Why do we follow the star system on Yelp or who had been trained to be ‘a persistent minority voice’; while
Amazon, even if only 30 people have posted a rating? Why do the other groups had no such trained dissenter. Their finding:
we only buy books that are on the New York Times best-seller list? Groups that experienced dissent reported more divergent think-
We do all of these things because we believe that the majority ing. They “identified a large number of alternatives” and “iden-
of people are doing them, and we take that as a signal that a tified many advantages and disadvantages to each alternative.”
product, experience, or idea has value. The problem is, as indi- They also produced reports that were consistently rated as being
cated, the majority is often wrong. more original and of better quality by outside experts.
One ambitious study observed the value of dissent for
Daring to Dissent strategic decision-making in U.S. hospitals. The researchers
With all the power of the majority to get us to follow and agree, it surveyed the entire population of hospitals in three states, and
may seem that the majority has no weaknesses. But it does: con- found evidence that when members openly expressed a differ-
sensus. Unanimity is the most important variable affecting the ence of opinion, the quality of the decision was better. Such deci-
majority’s power, because just one person challenging the consen- sions were seen as more financially responsible and as contrib-
sus can break that power and increase group members’ ability to uting to the hospital’s overall effectiveness.
think independently and resist making erroneous judgments. The results of studies of top management teams by Kath-
Sadly, nearly all of us punish dissent. We don’t like disagree- leen Eisenhardt and her colleagues are consistent with these
ment and we often inflict punishment on those who oppose our studies, concluding that it is often valuable to ‘have a good fight’
rotmanmagazine.ca / 23
Daring to dissent takes courage. But once summoned,
this courage is contagious.
of these arguments had been pre-programmed. Each learned on Exhibit A: Finchwood Capital
the first ballot that two others agreed with her, favouring a po- Some firms have already embraced the concept of authentic dis-
sition of low compensation. What differed was whether a third sent by creating processes that build dissent into their various
individual, person B, agreed with her as well (the ‘no dissent’ stages of decision-making. Finchwood Capital, a hedge fund, is
condition) or took a different position of high compensation one such organization. I had the occasion to interview its founder
(being a dissenter). That dissent, however, was either authentic Ankur Luthra, who has thought very carefully about the firm’s
— that is, it was the true opinion of person B — or the result of decision-making processes and is especially attuned to the im-
person B being asked by the experimenter to play devil’s advo- portance of combating bias.
cate. The arguments were identical. On a regular basis, Finchwood has a ‘theme day’ when it
In general, the individuals who faced authentic dissent had focuses on an entire sector — for example, ‘Internet security’ —
the most internal thoughts, and they themselves were generating and considers which companies will be the likely winners and
the thoughts, rather than paraphrasing others or the case infor- losers in that sector. After researching the investment space as
mation. In short, they were really thinking. More important was well as specific stocks, a lead proponent writes a one-off paper
the direction of their thoughts: Those facing authentic dissent about the investments considered promising.
showed a balance in considering both sides of the issue; while The interesting part is that the proponent also formally ad-
those facing a devil’s advocate did not. Rather than stimulating dresses the downsides of their position, outlining the risks in a
thought on both sides of the issue, the devil’s advocate actually section known as the ‘Pre Mortem’. This section addresses how
stimulated more thoughts in the participants that defended their the firm could lose money on the investment. This is just the first
original position. It was not the kind of thinking that proponents step, however, in considering the downsides: Next steps include
of the devil’s advocate technique would have desired. defending the proposal with colleagues who have read the paper.
My colleagues and I have since identified the key problem This ‘deeper diligence’ stage involves two key items: an invest-
inherent in the devil’s advocate technique: Role-playing does not ment memo and a contra memo. The contra memo is a much
show the courage and conviction of authentic dissent. When a deeper examination of the risks associated with the investment,
person is role-playing, you don’t really know the relationship be- written from the perspective of someone who opposes the invest-
tween what they are saying and what they actually believe. Even ment. For example, if Finchwood wants to buy stock XYZ (a long
if their words are consistent with their beliefs, you are very aware position), this memo argues for ‘shorting’ that stock.
that they are acting. And since you are aware that they are play- This is more than an intellectual exercise: It is a mechanism
ing a role, you are likely to think and interact with them differ- for getting as close as possible to authentic dissent. In this case,
ently. After all, you can’t persuade someone who is role-playing the proponent is also the dissenter, and they are expected to
to change their position. write a thoughtful and persuasive paper arguing the contra posi-
It is only when you face a dissenter who truly believes their tion. Not just a couple of paragraphs after a half-hour of thought,
position, has the courage to say so, and does so persistently that or five bullet points on how the firm could lose money on the in-
you confront the possibility that you may be wrong. At the very vestment — but an eight- to nine-page position paper that others
least, you will start to investigate the complexity of the informa- will read and to which they will have to respond.
tion and the issue; seek information and consider alternatives, Finchwood’s process is of special interest here because it
much as you do when first forming an opinion; look at all sides; gives some evidence that confrontation with dissent leads to
and consider the cons as well as the pros. Put simply, you will be divergent thinking. In one example recounted by Luthra, the firm
really thinking. was considering an investment in a software company — let’s call
In closing
Consensus, while comforting and harmonious, often leads us Charlan Jeanne Nemeth is a Professor of Psychology
at the University of California, Berkeley. She is the author
to bad decisions. Authentic dissent is not about being rude or dis-
of In Defense of Troublemakers: The Power of Dissent in Life
respectful. It’s about speaking up when you have a position that and in Business (Basic Books, 2018).
you believe to be true. More of us need to applaud dissent — not
rotmanmagazine.ca / 25
Leadership Forum:
Behavioural
Approaches
to Diversity
Two of the Rotman School’s leading research institutes — the Institute
for Gender and the Economy (GATE) and Behavioural Economics
in Action at Rotman (BEAR) — recently hosted the world’s leading
thinkers on diversity and inclusion. Following are some highlights from
Behavioural Approaches to Diversity — aka the BAD Conference.
compiled by Karen Christensen
Dolly Chugh
Associate Professor, Management
and Organizations, Stern School of Business,
New York University; author, The Person
You Mean to Be: How Good People Fight Bias
(HarperBusiness, 2018)
rotmanmagazine.ca / 27
It is true that in the workplace, gender segregation has de-
creased over time, but it is still substantial. For one thing, we still
see plenty of vertical segregation — a concentration of men in the
most powerful and highest-paying roles—and there is also con-
siderable horizontal segregation. That is, men and women occu-
py roles that require different kinds of physical and psychological
attributes: Men tend to be in jobs favouring physical strength, ro-
bustness and interaction with ‘things’ — jobs requiring analytical,
mathematical and technical skills, and being competitive is often
part of the mandate. Meanwhile, women are concentrated in jobs
requiring social interactional skills and offering opportunities for
social contribution — jobs where you directly help others, like so-
cial work, nursing and teaching.
Segregation also occurs within occupations. People might
point out that ‘there are plenty of female physicians and lawyers’,
but the fact is, female physicians are concentrated in specialties
like pediatrics, family practice, gynecology and psychiatry — the
most socially-demanding work; and if you look at lawyers, lots
of women work in public interest law and family law.
There is still a belief that women are less assertive and
competitive than men, and this places women at a disadvantage
Alice Eagly for leadership roles. Because such ‘agentic behaviour’ is often
Professor of Psychology, Management disapproved in women, they experience backlash, which is
and Organizations, Northwestern University half of what I call the ‘double bind’ for female leaders. The oth-
er half comes from the belief that women should be selfless and
modest, but that such individuals are also weak and lack agency.
STEREOTYPES ARE NOT JUST MYTHS. They are grounded in everyday One solution to these problems is that women ought to ‘lean
experience, and they tend to take on a life of their own. If you in’ more. Sheryl Sandberg’s book on the topic sold over four mil-
think about a particular group in a certain way, it affects your be- lion copies, but the reaction to it in the feminist community has
haviour towards them. The roles we play in life also influence been quite negative. Many feminists feel, ‘We don’t need to be
stereotypes. Throughout the day, most people move between fixed!’ But in my view, to achieve equality in leadership, women
their family role and their employment role, and in general, do need to become more agentic — despite the possibility of
men and women are thought to have different traits as a result backlash. If more women take that message seriously and act on
of these roles. it, we will achieve gender parity faster.
Rony Hacohen
Advisor, UK Behavioural Insights Team
for men to that of women in an organization — and it is therefore someone, that is a great way to stop bias in its tracks.
more reflective of the overall power dynamics in an organization. The third challenge we are working on is that the evidence
The second challenge we are working on is that while most around ‘what works’ is patchy. To address this, we have been
employers are willing to submit their gender pay gap figures partnering with several large organizations to run our own
for public scrutiny, they aren’t sure where to begin in terms of field trials to improve the evidence base. We look at participat-
making positive change. That’s not surprising, because many ing organizations’ recruitment data, performance evaluation
companies haven’t even looked at their data to understand pre- data and promotion data, and wherever we find the most bi-
cisely where the problems lie. As with any kind of behavioural ases, we work with the company to create an intervention. The
change that you want to encourage, the key is to make it easy. good news is, the demand to participate in these creative in-
So, to make it easy for employers we’ve published a clear guide terventions has exceeded our expectations. More good news:
[available at https://gender-pay-gap.service.gov.uk/public/as- People from every country in the world (except North Korea)
sets/pdf/Evidence-based_actions_for_employers.pdf ]. In the have visited the Government Equalities Office’s gender pay
category of effective actions, it shows that most actions have gap website [https://gender-pay-gap.service.gov.uk/Viewing/
to do with transparency, accountability and structure, because search-results] to review the latest data, and many countries
a lack of formal structure is how bias often creeps in. If there is are considering introducing similar legislation.
a clear set of criteria and people must justify their decisions to
Humberto Carolo
Executive Director, The White Ribbon
Campaign
rotmanmagazine.ca / 29
Humberto Carolo, continued
and for everyone around them. anyone. When you combine these two stats, one of the conclu-
We have also done some research into men’s engagement sions we should consider is that many men are not coming for-
in the #MeToo movement, whose conversations men have been ward or participating in these conversations because they fear
mostly absent from. We invited 2,000 men to participate in a that what they have done in the past will come back to haunt
Campaign for Consent and Healthy Relationships, and as part of them, and that they might be called to task if they speak publicly.
that research we asked them whether they had concerns about These are just a few of the issues we face in addressing is-
their own past behaviour towards women. We weren’t surprised sues of masculinity. The work we do is about encouraging men
to find that 61 per cent of participants said they had concerns. to think about the actions they can take to promote positive
Couple that with the recent findings from GQ magazine, which values and to think about their own behaviour, actions and lan-
polled 1,000 men between 18 and 55 and found that 47 per cent guage as a starting point to becoming change agents in their own
of them had never talked about the #MeToo movement with sphere of life.
WHILE WE SELDOM THINK ABOUT IT, our life outcomes are powerfully at any age: attending classes, studying and engaging with chal-
determined by seemingly trivial, repeated acts. Our health, for lenge on countless occasions. Yet tellingly, 23 per cent of high
example, depends on thousands of daily choices — to eat well schoolers and 49 per cent of college students drop out before
and exercise regularly, to avoid smoking, and to take medica- earning diplomas. Sadly, all of these challenges to life outcomes
tions as prescribed. And yet, 40 per cent of premature deaths disproportionately harm disadvantaged members of society.
each year result from suboptimal behaviour in this domain: In recent years, behavioural scientists have learned a great
Tobacco is responsible for 435,000 of those deaths, while poor deal about the underlying situational and psychological factors
diet and physical inactivity account for 400,000. Cardiovascu- that determine our daily decisions, leading to many success-
lar disease — the leading cause of mortality — is largely treat- ful and scalable interventions to change short-term behaviour.
able with anti-hypertensive medicines; but just one year after The problem is this: behaviour change rarely endures. In this
receiving a prescription, only about half of patients are still tak- article, we will review a small but growing body of research sug-
ing their medication as directed. gesting the most promising approaches to changing behaviour
Our bad habits run the gamit from health to personal fi- — for good.
nances. One in three American families has no savings at all,
and 52 per cent are under-saving, even though most would The Power of Habits
need to save just 15 per cent of their earnings to prepare for Perhaps the most promising avenue for making behaviour
the future. Academic success requires an array of good habits change ‘stick’ is by changing our habits. Habits are automatic,
rotmanmagazine.ca / 33
Adding a desired behaviour onto the end of a routine that is already
habitual is an effective way to create a lasting habit.
effortless and repeated actions that develop when the following sustained behaviour change. One study found that teaching stu-
cycle is repeated multiple times: A situational cue triggers a be- dents goal setting and planning skills improves attendance and
haviour, and that behaviour triggers a reward. Exactly how many grades in the following marking period. Together, this research
repetitions of this cycle are required to generate a habit remains suggests that to facilitate durable behaviour change, it is helpful
an open question, and it is likely context-dependent. to coach people to make if-then plans that put cues in place to
Past research suggests that intervening to creating sus- trigger desirable behaviours.
tained behaviour change in the form of new habits requires the
deployment of two kinds of strategies: 2. PIGGYBACK CUES. Another way to ensure cues to trigger desired
behaviours are reliably present is by ‘piggybacking’ desired be-
Targeting the situation. Strategies targeting the situation insert haviours onto existing routines. For instance, adding a desired
behaviour-triggering cues that are both interesting and obvious, behaviour (e.g., flossing, eating an apple a day) onto the end of
making beneficial behaviours easier and more rewarding. a routine that is already habitual (e.g., brushing your teeth, hav-
ing a cup of coffee) can be an effective way to create lasting hab-
Shifting peoples’ cognition. The second type of strategy shifts its. In one study, flossing habits were more effectively generated
cognitions, equipping people, for example, with ‘beneficial be- by encouraging people to floss after brushing their teeth, rather
liefs’. This allows them to forecast the consequences of their than vice versa.
behaviours more accurately and act more adeptly.
Importantly, changing cognitions without changing the situ- 3. CHANGE BELIEFS ABOUT BENEFICIAL BEHAVIOURS. People will do
ation puts an inordinate burden on individual willpower—and as things that they believe to be valuable, and accordingly, one of
a result, there should be synergy in applying these approaches in the most powerful cognitive interventions available is to change
combination. We will now review some of the most promising beliefs about the likelihood of success. For example, teaching
research-based strategies for changing behaviour for good. students that their abilities — including their intelligence — can
improve with effort and experience has been shown to improve
1. TEACH PEOPLE TO CUE THEMSELVES. Ensuring that cues are estab- report card grades and course completion among at-risk groups.
lished to reliably trigger desired behaviours is key to creating And showing students that ‘deliberate practice is difficult, but
habits. One way to ensure cues are present when they are needed it is both doable and effective’ changes how they interpret the
is by teaching people to cue themselves. When people form ‘if- necessary frustration of attempting skills they have not yet
then’ plans about the behaviours they intend to engage in follow- mastered — particularly among low-achieving students.
ing a given cue, this robustly increases follow-through. An exam- Beliefs about ‘norms’ — the attitudes and behaviours of
ple of an if-then plan is: ‘If it is a weekday and I am about to leave other people — also powerfully influence behaviour. For exam-
the house for work, then I will make my own coffee instead of ple, in one study, learning that many people were reducing their
going to Starbucks.’ If-then plans reliably promote follow- consumption of meat prompted more cafeteria patrons to order
through on one-time behaviours, but they can also promote meatless meals.
(repeat) (repeat)
4. MAKE BEHAVIOUR CHANGE EASY. Making it as easy as possible to that persistence is increased on challenging-but-important goals
sign up for valuable programs that facilitate behaviour change by encouraging people to pursue those goals in fun ways. For
dramatically improves outcomes. For example, letting people instance, encouraging gym goers to choose a workout that is
enrol in a retirement savings program (so that a portion of fun (e.g., a dance class) rather than pursuing the workout that
every future paycheque is automatically directed to a retirement is most effective promotes more persistent exercise. Similarly,
account) via a stamped postcard increased participation by 20 playing music in a high school classroom to make studying more
percentage points, and allowing sign-ups after a future pay raise fun increased persistence on schoolwork. Overall, making good
produced a 78 per cent sign-up rate — boosting enrollees’ savings behaviour more enjoyable facilitates the association of a ‘reward’
by 388 per cent over 40 months. with the behaviour, and such repeated rewards are key to habit
In other studies, providing high school seniors’ parents with formation.
help completing the Free Application for Federal Student Aid
(FAFSA) while they receive assistance with tax preparation in- 6. REPEATEDLY REWARD GOOD BEHAVIOUR. Perhaps the most promis-
creased the rate at which those parents’ children completed two ing stream of research designed to promote habit formation has
years of college by eight percentage points over a three-year fol- shown that repeatedly paying people to engage in a valuable be-
low-up period; and providing community college freshmen with haviour or otherwise encouraging it (e.g., by conveying its popu-
reminders and encouragement to renew their FAFSA increased larity) for as little as a month can increase the target activity for
sophomore persistence by 14 percentage points. many months post-intervention. In one study, paying students
to visit the gym eight times over the course of a month rather
5. MAKE GOOD BEHAVIOUR MORE ENJOYABLE. Research suggests that than just once or not at all produced behaviour change that last-
finding ways to make beneficial — but often unpleasant — be- ed long after that month (and the intervention period) ended.
haviours (e.g., exercise, studying) more immediately enjoyable The students who had been rewarded for repeatedly visiting the
has the potential to promote sustained behaviour change. For gym worked out nine times, on average, in the following seven
instance, one study found that when people were only allowed weeks, while other students went roughly half as often.
to enjoy tempting audio novels while exercising at the gym, they Several follow-up studies have since replicated the find-
visited the gym more frequently than a control group over sev- ing that rewarding repeated exercise over a period as short
en weeks. This so-called ‘temptation bundling’ strategy helped as one month can lead to sustained habits detectable up to a
make the act of exercising more fun by pairing it with an engag- year later. Incentives aren’t the only reward that has yielded
ing audiobook. this result: Repeatedly alerting people to how their energy
More generally, combining good behaviours that can be un- usage compares to that of their neighbours in comparable
pleasant with enjoyable activities (e.g., scheduling get-togethers homes (‘social norms marketing’) also has sustained benefits
with a challenging relative at a favourite restaurant, doing house- after messaging is discontinued. Monthly energy reports with
hold chores while listening to a favourite podcast) can promote social norms information sent to residential homes for two
behaviour change for good. Complementary research has shown years continued to reduce energy consumption for years after
rotmanmagazine.ca / 35
discontinuation, with only a 10–20 per cent attenuation of their In closing
benefits per year. When our daily, routine choices are sub-optimal, they can under-
Finally, similar results have been generated by offering ‘re- mine just about every conceivable life outcome. And when poor
gret lotteries’ — lotteries requiring measurable behaviour change choices accumulate, they particularly harm populations with
by a given date to win. Regret lotteries have been effective at fewer resources and less ‘slack’ — for whom seemingly trivial
encouraging sustained weight loss and smoking cessation. mistakes can spiral with remarkable speed (e.g., a small ailment
goes untreated and becomes debilitating; the interest on small,
7. INTERVENE AT OPPORTUNE TIMES. Finally, the timing of an inter- unpaid debts accumulates to produce financial insolvency; a fail-
vention matters. Research on ‘the fresh start effect’ shows that ing grade makes it difficult to justify studying for a degree over
people are more prone to engage in beneficial behaviours like working full-time).
exercising, searching for information about dieting on Google, Sadly, adversity itself exacts a hefty physiological and psy-
and creating a commitment contract on the website Stickk.com chological toll: When individuals perceive that the future is un-
at the start of cycles like the beginning of a new week, month, certain and threatening, they become biased towards meeting
year or following birthdays and holidays. their short-term needs versus working towards long-term goals.
Present-bias, or the tendency to over-weigh immediate gratifica- INCLUDE A PRE-COMMITMENT. Because people tend to
tion while under-weighing the long-term implications of a choice, make more patient and reasoned decisions about the future,
is responsible for many errors in judgment. Specifically, present- providing opportunities for individuals to both choose in ad-
biased thinking has been blamed for societal problems ranging vance and make a binding decision (or at least decisions where
from obesity to under-saving for retirement. Following are a penalties will accompany reversals) can improve many choices.
series of nudges designed to promote future-focused thinking in Research has shown many benefits from pre-commitment.
order to reduce the pernicious effects of near-sightedness. For example, substantial savings increases result from provid-
ing individuals with access to bank accounts with commitment
CHOOSE IN ADVANCE. One means of reducing biases related features such as a user-defined savings goal (or date) such that
to near-sightedness is prompting individuals to make decisions money cannot be withdrawn before the pre-set goal (or date)
well in advance of the moment when those decisions will take is reached. Although only 28 per cent of those offered such
effect. This strategy is impactful because of people’s tendency to commitment accounts selected them when equivalent interest
make less impulsive, more reasoned decisions when contemplat- was available on an unconstrained account, average savings
ing the future than the present. Choosing in advance has been balances increased by 81 percentage points for those custom-
shown to increase support for wise policies requiring sacrifices, ers of a Philippine bank with access to commitment accounts.
to increase charitable giving, to contribute to increases in retire- Recent research has also shown that pre-commitment can help
ment savings, and to increase the healthfulness of consumers’ people quit smoking, exercise, achieve workplace goals and
food choices. resist repeated temptation in the laboratory. Pre-commitment
Another result of choosing in advance is that choices are is particularly valuable in settings where self-control problems
made in a higher construal level mindset, which means they focus pit our long-term interests against our short-term desires. When
more on abstract (e.g. why?) rather than concrete objectives it comes to food, for example, pre-committing to smaller plates
(e.g. how?). This has other by-products, however — for example, and glasses can reduce consumption.
higher construal leads to greater stereotyping. Therefore, an
important caveat to choosing in advance is that it may lead to BUNDLE TEMPTATIONS.. A new twist on pre-commitment
greater discrimination against women and minorities, as demon- called ‘temptation bundling’ actually solves two self-control
strated in a field study of decisions on whether to grant prospec- problems at once. Temptation bundling devices allow people
tive graduate students requests for meetings. to pre-commit to coupling instantly gratifying activities
(e.g. watching low-brow reality television, receiving a pedicure, adopted, and propagated.
eating an indulgent meal) with engagement in a behaviour One cognitive repair that has not only improved many organi-
that provides long-term benefits but requires the exertion of zational decisions, but saved lives, is the checklist. This tool could
willpower (e.g. exercising, reviewing a paper, spending time easily fit in many of our de-biasing categories. Like linear models,
with a difficult relative). Such pre-commitment devices can checklists are a potent tool for streamlining processes and thus
increase engagement in beneficial behaviours like exercise while reducing errors. A checklist provides a list of action items or cri-
reducing engagement in guilt-inducing, indulgent behaviours. teria arranged in a systematic manner, allowing the user to record
the presence/absence of the individual item listed to ensure that
ORGANIZATIONAL COGNITIVE REPAIRS. De-biasing can all are considered or completed.
also be embedded in an organization’s routines and culture. Checklists, by design, reduce errors due to forgetfulness
Researchers call these de-biasing organizational artifacts ‘cog- and other memory distortions (e.g. over-reliance on the availabil-
nitive repairs’. A repair could be as simple as an oft-repeated ity heuristic). Some checklists are so simple that they masquer-
proverb that serves as a continual reminder, such as the phrase ade as proverbs (e.g. emergency room physicians who follow
‘don’t confuse brains with a bull market’, which cautions inves- ABC — first establish airway, then breathing, then circulation).
tors and managers to consider the base rate of success in the External checklists are particularly valuable in settings where
market before drawing conclusions about an individual inves- best practices are likely to be overlooked due to extreme com-
tor’s skill. Other examples include institutionalizing routines in plexity or under conditions of high stress or fatigue, making them
which senior managers recount stories about extreme failures an important tool for overcoming low decision readiness.
(to correct for the underestimation of rare events) and present-
ing new ideas and plans to colleagues trained to criticize and
poke holes (to overcome confirmatory biases and generate
alternatives).
Many successful repairs are social, taking advantage of
word-of-mouth, social influence and effective group processes
that encourage and capitalize upon diverse perspectives. — From “A User’s Guide to Debiasing” by Jack B. Soll, Katherine Milkman
Although cognitive repairs may originate as a top-down interven- and John W. Payne in The Wiley-Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and
tion, many arise organically as successful practices are noticed, Decision Making.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 37
GENDER
A CEO’s family background and early education have a significant
effect on their later decision-making across a variety of contexts—
with profound economic implications.
by Ran Duchin, Mike Simutin and Denis Sosyura
THE OPTIMAL ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES across agents is critical for of other companies, with the median CEO holding two external
economic outcomes, both at the level of the individual firm and board seats.
of the entire economy. And yet, achieving this has proven elusive. In comparison with CEOs, division managers were young-
An ongoing debate revolves around the claim that male manag- er and significantly more diverse: The average manager in our
ers obtain more resources than their female counterparts — a sample was 50 years old, and about eight per cent were female.
pattern labelled ‘the gender gap’. Compared with CEOs, division managers were more likely to
Many attempts to narrow the gender gap — ranging from hold specialized graduate degrees (79%) and less likely to hold
greater disclosure to governance rules — assume that it reflects an MBA (39%). Division managers were also significantly less
the personal bias of senior decision-makers, in particular CEOs. likely to hold external board seats.
However, this premise has been difficult to test because it would To elicit CEO preferences, we relied on the evidence from
entail eliciting CEO preferences and making a reliable connec- social economics that an individual’s views on gender issues are
tion between resource allocations and subsequent outcomes. heavily influenced by familial, environmental and educational
We recently set out to tackle this challenge by studying and factors experienced until early adulthood — a period commonly
comparing two things: the personal backgrounds of CEOs and referred to as the individual’s ‘formative years’. Following is a
their allocation of capital budgets to male and female division summary of our approach and our findings under these three
managers at U.S. conglomerates. In this article we will summa- key headings.
rize our key findings.
FAMILY CHARACTERISTICS. To obtain information on CEOs’ fami-
Portrait of the CEO as a Young Man lies, we used several data sources, including federal and state
Our sample comprised 5,679 individuals: 596 CEOs, 1,819 divi- census records; state records of birth, marriage and death;
sion managers and 3,264 directors. The CEOs were almost ex- digital archives of white page directories; and obituaries. The
clusively male (98.5%) and, on average, 56 years old. Nearly 62 federal census form in our sample provided 41 standardized
per cent of them held graduate degrees, the majority of which variables on each member of the household, including educa-
were MBAs. The dominant majority also served on the boards tion (in years), occupation, employment status, the number
rotmanmagazine.ca / 39
Compared with the general population, CEOs are more likely to have
attended private educational institutions designated for males only.
of weeks worked during the year, annual income and place of We recorded the following characteristics for each CEO’s
birth, among others. high school: address, gender composition status (same-gender
or co-educational), religious affiliation (if any) and private/
KEY FINDINGS: First, CEOs’ parents are well educated. The father public status. For each school, we recorded this information for
and mother of the median CEO had 14 and 12 years of formal ed- the period of the CEO’s attendance (ages 14-18), using the history
ucation, respectively — approximately four years more than the section of the high school’s website. We also recorded the gender
median males and females in the general population in the same composition of the college where they earned their undergradu-
census. Approximately 56 per cent of CEOs’ fathers and 44 per ate degree by computing the average fraction of female students
cent of CEOs’ mothers attended college, while the fraction of in- during the period of CEO attendance (ages 18-22). We obtained
dividuals with college education in the general population in the this information from the U.S. Department of Education.
same census is only 10 per cent and eight per cent, respectively.
Second, CEOs come from well-to-do families with white- KEY FINDING: Compared with the general population, CEOs are
collar occupations. Nearly 71 per cent of their fathers held white- more likely to have attended private educational institutions
collar jobs, and 37 per cent were managers or business owners. designated for males only. Approximately one quarter of CEOs
Other frequent occupations among CEOs’ fathers were sales attended private schools, and 16.4 per cent of CEOs attended all-
(8%), engineering and research (8%), academia (5%) and medi- male schools; 49 per cent went on to attend private colleges, and
cine (4%). These occupations put the median CEO father in the 9.9 per cent attended colleges restricted to male students.
top quartile of the national income distribution. Moreover, a siz-
able fraction (16%) of CEOs grew up in ultra-wealthy families COMMUNITY CHARACTERISTICS. To study the effect of ‘community
with incomes in the top 1% of the national distribution. norms’, we obtained information on gender-related demograph-
Third, CEOs’ fathers typically have a higher economic sta- ic variables in the county where the CEO grew up. We identi-
tus than CEOs’ mothers, and these within-family differences fied the CEO’s home county based on the location of their high
exceed those in the general population. The father is the pri- school and parents’ home address. For each CEO, we collected
mary income earner in the dominant majority of CEOs’ fami- the following community-based information:
lies. In contrast, CEOs’ mothers are less likely to work outside • The labour force participation rate for adult males and fe-
their home (21%) than women nationwide (42%). When they males;
do, their median income is approximately one half (46%) of • The annual income for employed males and females;
CEOs’ fathers. The average difference in educational attainment • The number of years of education for males and females;
between the CEOs’ parents (1.6 years) exceeds the correspond- and
ing difference between males and females in the general popu- • The unemployment rate for males and females of working
lation (0.4 years). age.
The average (median) CEO had 2.8 children, slightly more
than the number of children for the average male of the same age This data came from an anonymized set of household census
(2.0), as would be expected for wealthy families. records known as the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series
(IPUMS). We measured the above community characteristics
HIGH SCHOOL AND COLLEGE EDUCATION. We constructed the first- as of the decennial census year closest to year when the CEO
ever dataset of CEOs’ high schools by using the digital archive of reached the age of 18. For example, for a CEO born in 1944 (who
high school yearbooks maintained by Ancestry.com. We supple- reached the age of 18 in 1962), we used the community character-
mented this resource with data from Boardroom Insiders, CEO istics from the 1960 decennial federal census.
biographies and high school publications that identify notable
alumni. When high school information was missing from these KEY FINDING: The data reveals a large difference in labour force
sources, we contacted the registrar of the university attended by participation between male residents (94%) and female resi-
the CEO and requested the information in writing. dents of working age (42%) in CEOs’ home communities. For
CEOs’ Parents
50%
All adults aged 21-45
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Middle school or lower 1-2 years of high school 3-4 years of high school College Postgraduate
(0-8 years) (9-10 years) (11-12 years) (13-16 years) (17+ years)
This figure compares the years of education attained by parents of CEOs and by all adults between 21 and 45 years of age.
The data is from decennial federal censuses.
FIGURE ONE
working adults, the average annual income for men ($5,726 in obtain about 90 basis points less in annual capital expenditures
1960 dollars) was more than twice as large as that of women than male managers — an economically important difference of
($2,846 in 1960 dollars). For those seeking employment, the $2.8 million per year for the median sample firm. Interestingly,
average unemployment rate was lower for men (4.8%) than for this gap in capital budgets expands if the CEO grew up in a com-
women (5.5%). Interpreted together, these statistics suggest that munity with larger differences in labour force participation,
CEOs grew up in communities where, at the time of their forma- education and income between male and female residents of
tive years, males were more likely to hold outside employment, working age.
and when they did, they earned higher incomes and faced lower Educational background had particularly important medi-
unemployment than their female counterparts. ating effects: The gender gap in capital budgets was greater for
In summary, CEOs come from white-collar, well-educated CEOs who attended all-male high schools. Similarly, using varia-
families with the typical incomes in the top quartile of the nation- tion in the gender composition of colleges (resulting from the
al distribution. In the majority of CEOs’ families, the father was opening of many U.S. colleges to women), we found that the gen-
the only income earner and the more educated spouse. Similar, der gap was higher for CEOs who attended same-gender rather
albeit smaller, differences in the socioeconomic status of men than co-educational colleges.
and women were observed in the communities where the CEOs Taken together, we estimate that the effects of familial,
spent their adolescence. environmental and educational factors from CEOs’ formative
years explain up to 70 per cent of the economic gap in capital al-
How CEOs Allocate Resources locations between male and female division managers. Further-
When we moved on to study resource allocation within organi- more, we found that two economic mechanisms contribute to
zations, our first key finding was that female division managers the gender gap in capital budgeting: the appointment of certain
rotmanmagazine.ca / 41
Female division managers obtained 150 basis points less in annual
capital in firms run by CEOs whose mothers did not work.
managers to capital-rich divisions; and extra capital allocations disappears in firms run by CEOs with a balanced number of sons
after the appointment is made. In our analysis of the first item, and daughters.
we found that male managers are assigned to divisions that his- To capture the overall effect of CEOs’ family backgrounds,
torically receive more capital and some evidence that male man- we calculated a comprehensive family index as the average be-
agers are assigned to larger divisions. tween the percentile rankings of each CEO’s working mother,
Our results are consistent with survey evidence that CEOs’ parents’ education imbalance, and children’s gender imbalance
personal attitudes towards division managers have profound ef- values. The result: Female managers obtain 170 basis points in
fects. For example, in a study of financial decision-making at S&P capital expenditure in firms run by CEOs with higher family-re-
500 firms, researchers found that the CEO’s opinion of a division lated gender imbalance. In contrast, there is no difference in allo-
manager is the second most important factor in capital budget- cation between male and female managers in firms run by CEOs
ing, after the NPV (net present value) rule. Our evidence suggests with low values on the family index.
that the gender gap in resource allocation is indeed related to the
decision maker’s gender attitudes, whether conscious or subcon- EDUCATION. Next, we considered the education of CEOs’ parents
scious, and that the origins of such attitudes can be traced to the with respect to capital allocation. The variable ‘parents’ educa-
CEO’s formative years. tion imbalance’ equalled the difference between the number
Following is a summary of our key findings regarding capital of education years for the CEO’s father and the CEO’s mother.
allocation when combined with family characteristics, education Higher values imply that the CEO’s father had a higher educa-
and community. tional attainment than his mother. The result: Female division
managers obtained less capital only in firms run by CEOs with
FAMILY CHARACTERISTICS. We defined the variable ‘working moth- a high ‘parents’ education imbalance’. In particular, female divi-
er’ as an indicator that equals ‘1’ if the CEO had a working moth- sion managers in such firms obtained about 120 basis points less
er and ‘0’ if she was a housewife, and compared the allocation of in annual capital than male managers.
capital to male and female division managers across firms run We defined ‘high school gender imbalance’ as an indica-
by these two types of CEOs. The result: Female division man- tor variable that equals ‘1’ if the CEO attended a single-sex high
agers obtain about 150 basis points less in annual capital in firms school and zero otherwise. University gender imbalance was
run by CEOs whose mother did not work. Conversely, there is defined as the fraction of female students in the university that
not a statistically significant difference between the allocation the CEO attended as an undergraduate student (as of the dates
to male and female managers in firms run by CEOs with a work- of attendance). The result: Female division managers obtained
ing mother. significantly less capital only in firms run by CEOs that attended
We also investigated whether parenting daughters affects gender-imbalanced educational institutions. A high gender im-
CEOs’ allocation of capital between female and male division balance in CEOs’ high schools corresponded to about 160 basis
managers. We defined ‘children’s gender imbalance’ as the dif- points less capital allocated to female managers, whereas a high
ference between CEOs’ number of sons and daughters, nor- imbalance in CEOs’ universities corresponds to about 120 basis
malized by their total number of children. The result: Female points less capital.
division managers obtain less capital in firms run by CEOs We also calculated a comprehensive index of education gen-
with a high children’s gender imbalance. However, the differ- der imbalance as the average percentile ranking of High School
ence in capital allocation between male and female managers Gender Imbalance and University Gender Imbalance, finding
that CEOs’ High School Gender Imbalance corresponds to a and Wang found that a decision-maker’s parenting of daughters
difference of 140 basis points in the allocation of capital to male leads to an increased propensity to hire female partners — re-
and female managers. sulting in better performance outcomes; and Cronqvist and Yu
found that CEOs who experience the birth of a daughter tend to
COMMUNITY WHERE THE CEO GREW UP. We focused on the gender increase spending on corporate social responsibility.
imbalance in labour force participation, income and education Other evidence suggests that gender and background influ-
in the county where the CEO grew up. ‘Labour force participa- ence the allocation of resources at a macro level by affecting na-
tion gender imbalance’ was defined as ‘the difference between tional legislation and federal courts. And the effects go beyond
male and female labour force participation rate’; while ‘income economics: Washington found that U.S. Congressmen’s expo-
gender imbalance’ was defined as ‘the difference between the sure to gender diversity via parenting daughters increases their
average income of men and women in the county where the propensity to support policies on women’s rights; and Glynn and
CEO grew up’ and ‘education gender imbalance’ was defined Sen showed that U.S. Federal Court judges with more daughters
as ‘the difference between the number of education years of are more likely to support women’s issues in their case decisions.
men and women in the county where the CEO grew up’. The Taken together, the evidence to date underscores the im-
result: High gender imbalances in CEOs’ communities cor- portance of an individual’s education and familial factors for
responded to 95 to 117 basis points less in annual capital being decision-making across a variety of contexts, and the potential
allocated to female division managers than male division man- for profound economic and societal implications.
agers. In contrast, the allocation to female and male managers
was not significantly different in firms run by CEOs who grew
up in communities with low gender imbalances. We also calcu-
lated a similar comprehensive index of community gender im-
Ran Duchin is a Professor of Finance and
balance and found that a high gender imbalance corresponds to
Business Economics and the William A. Fowl-
about 110 basis points less in annual capital obtained by female er Endowed Professor at the Foster School
division managers relative to their male counterparts. of Business, University of Washington. Mike
Simutin is an Associate Professor of Finance
and Associate Director of the International Centre for Pension
In closing
Management at the Rotman School of Management. Denis
The gender gap in capital allocations within organizations is Sosyura is an Associate Professor of Finance at Arizona State
a very real phenomenon, and our evidence indicates that it is University’s W.P. Carey School of Business. Their paper,
driven by CEO characteristics that can be traced to the leader’s “The Origins and Real Effects of the Gender Gap: Evidence
from CEOs’ Formative Years”, is available online. It won the Best Paper
formative years. Award at the University of Colorado’s 2018 Front Range Finance Seminar.
We are not the only researchers to study the effects of gen-
der and experience on leadership in organizations. Gompers Rotman faculty research is ranked #16 globally by the Financial Times.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 43
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) TECHNOLOGIES have advanced rapidly these pessimistic predictions cannot both be right; and the even
in recent years, and as the technology continues to improve, it better news is that they can both be wrong. If AI is so efficient
will very likely have a substantial impact on the economy with that it replaces humans, it will be transformative; and if it is not
respect to productivity, growth, inequality, market power, inno- transformative, then by definition, it will have little impact.
vation and employment. As a result, governments and organiza- Our view is that, to the extent that AI is likely to be a pro-
tions around the world have dedicated substantial resources to ductivity-enhancing technology, the worry is that it will diffuse
investing in the technology and preparing for its impact. too slowly, not too quickly. At the same time, the impact will not
Pessimistic views of AI’s impact on society are widespread. affect all people and organizations equally. The key issues can be
Public figures including Elon Musk and the late Stephen Hawk- summarized as two separate questions. With respect to employ-
ing have warned that AI could lead to a handful of companies ment, the fundamental question is, If robots take our jobs, can
dominating society, few jobs for humans and increasing inequal- we find fulfilling ways to spend our time? There is also an income
ity. Vladimir Putin ominously predicted, ‘Whoever becomes the question, which is, Can we find a stable and fair distribution of
leader in this sphere will become the ruler of the world’. income? We will now address some of the key issues surrounding
Among economists, Robert Gordon has a different view. these questions.
Rather than worrying about AI leading to rapid change and up-
ending society, he argues that the inventions of the future are AI AND JOBS. If a technology can do what a worker does, but bet-
unlikely to match the impact of the inventions of the period from ter, then what will that worker do? As MIT economists Daron
1870 to 1970. More optimistically, AI could enhance productivity Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo have shown, every job can
so dramatically that people will have plenty of income and little be decomposed into particular tasks, so the impact of AI on jobs
unpleasant work to do. depends on which tasks it replaces. They argue that this will cre-
Under either the optimistic or the pessimistic view, there is ate two effects: a ‘displacement effect’, as machines take over
no doubt that forthcoming policy will shape how AI impacts soci- human tasks; and an ‘expansion effect’, as growth leads to the
ety. In this article, we will discuss three areas that require particu- creation of new tasks in which labour has a comparative advan-
lar attention from leaders in all sectors. tage over machines.
These findings suggest an optimistic long-term message.
The Economic Discussion Around AI However, a key theme is that adjustment may be slow, so we will
There are two distinct elements of the pessimistic view about AI. likely see a short- and medium-term mismatch of skills and tech-
First, that it will replace jobs, leaving little for humans to do; and nologies. Thus, the key policy questions with respect to AI and
second, that it will not be as influential as the technologies that jobs relate to the business cycle and education policy. For coping
diffused between 1870 and 1970, and will have relatively little with the business cycle, AI-related policy is not likely to be no-
impact on society. As one researcher noted, the good news is that tably distinct. The potential for layoffs concentrated in location
rotmanmagazine.ca / 45
Ironically, many jobs of the future could be in the sectors
where AI has the least impact.
and time is not unique to AI; this was a feature of factory automa- Of course, it is not clear exactly how this will play out. Nobel
tion and the mechanization of farming—and may also apply to Laureate in Economic Sciences Daniel Kahneman has argued
other emerging technologies such as 3D printing. that machines are likely to be more emotionally intelligent than
In terms of education policy going forward, Tel Aviv Uni- humans, because it is relatively easy to predict human reactions
versity’s Manuel Trajtenberg has shown that three types of to certain stimuli — and because machines don’t get grumpy,
skills are likely to be needed as AI diffuses: analytical and cre- hungry or emotional. In this scenario, other skills would become
ative thinking, interpersonal communication and emotional key for humans.
control. In our own work we have emphasized the role of human A separate issue in education policy is whether the current
judgment, which we define as ‘the ability to identify what to do model — in which we front-load education early in the individu-
with a prediction’. Judgment is the skill of knowing the objec- al’s life — will remain optimal. If AI enables machines to ‘learn’
tives of an organization and translating that into data that can such that humans are faced with continual change in the skills
be collected. As indicated by Harvard Kennedy School Profes- required to be employable, then we may need to rethink the very
sor David J. Deming, an alternative possibility is social skills: If structure of education and consider a model of continuous learn-
machines are increasingly going to do prediction and technical ing throughout adulthood. One thing is certain: Education policy
tasks, what might be left for humans involves engaging, motivat- will need to adapt to AI both in terms of the skills taught and the
ing and comforting other humans. structure of delivery.
Other researchers have emphasized the important skill of As University of Michigan economist Betsey Stevenson
being able to tell the machines what to optimize. This will require has indicated, there is also a broader policy question around the
understanding both the capabilities of the machine and the goals meaning of work. Over the past century, many societies have cho-
of the organization, which represents a combination of technical sen to spend their increased wealth on leisure. Child labour and
skills and social science. Whether good jobs and continued eco- average hours worked per week were reduced, and retirement
nomic growth will require technical skills, social skills or some- became an expected and anticipated stage of life. If AI further
thing else depends on the sectors that make up the largest share increases wealth, it may open up the possibility of even further
of the economy. reductions in work and a corresponding increase in leisure that
To the extent that AI increases productivity, the late NYU is distinct from a loss of jobs. A key challenge for society might
economist William Baumol’s work on ‘cost disease’ provides therefore be to define ‘meaning’ in the absence of full-time em-
insight into the limits of growth: Economic growth is constrained ployment for many people.
by important things that are hard to improve, and so sectors that
see rapid productivity growth will see their share of GDP decline. AI AND INEQUALITY.Even if the long-term prospects for jobs
In other words, the sectors that adopt AI most quickly and effec- and overall growth are indeed positive, a number of econo-
tively may play a decreasing role in the economy over time. mists have emphasized that AI may still increase inequality.
As indicated, this raises the potential for short-term job loss- There are two broad reasons why. First, as Harvard economist
es and the question of what skills will be most needed for strong Jason Furman has emphasized, AI involving computers and
economic growth. The fastest growing sectors in terms of em- the Internet might very well be skill-biased in that it is likely
ployment may not be the sectors that use AI best, so ironically, to disproportionately increase the wages of highly educated
many jobs of the future could be in the sectors where AI has the people — and might even decrease the wages of the less
least impact. educated.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 47
AI is likely to disproportionately increase
the wages of highly educated people.
University of Chicago economist Austan Goolsbee has argued, It is possible that competing AIs — if given the goal of maxi-
a universal basic income might reduce labour market participa- mizing long-term profits — would learn to tacitly collude. We
tion among low-wage groups. stress, however, that this remains speculative. Current ‘game
playing’ AIs still operate in environments with a limited action
AI AND COMPETITION. Currently, the leading companies in AI are space — unlike the broad space that would cover pricing, let alone
large in terms of revenue, profits and especially market capital- multi-product pricing. A more likely application is that antitrust
ization (share price multiplied by the number of shares outstand- authorities might be able to deploy AI techniques to identify
ing). This has led to an increase in antitrust scrutiny of the leading collusive behaviour.
technology firms from governments (particularly the European
Commission) and in the popular press (e.g. The Economist’s cov- In closing
er story “How to Tame the New Titans”). Much of this antitrust The research summarized herein makes three things clear: As
scrutiny focuses on the role of these firms as ‘platforms’. Here, AI diffuses throughout our economy, it will have important con-
we will focus on the particular feature of AI that is most relevant sequences for jobs, inequality and competition. Going forward,
to antitrust: the role of data. both policy design and corporate strategy should focus on achiev-
Google Chief Economist Hal Varian has emphasized that ing the desired balance between encouraging diffusion without
data is a scarce resource that exhibits decreasing returns to scale compromising societal values.
in a technical sense: Prediction accuracy theoretically increases While addressing these consequences will be the role of ed-
in the square root of the number of observations, suggesting a ucation policy, the social safety net and antitrust enforcement,
concave relationship between the amount of data and its value organizational leaders must carefully consider their own impact
in improving predictions. Under this argument, as University of as they make decisions that will have long-term consequences
Washington Economist Patrick Bajari has argued, AI is unlikely for society.
to generate antitrust concerns.
A more dynamic perspective suggests that there may be
economies of scale in terms of the business value of data. In
particular, if a slight lead in quality leads to a large lead in the
number of consumers, it could create a circle in which a slight Ajay Agrawal is the Peter Munk Professor
lead in data allows a company to collect more and better data, of Entrepreneurship, Professor of Strategic
reinforcing that lead and generating dominance over time. Thus, Management and Founder of the Creative
Destruction Lab at the Rotman School
although there may be decreasing returns to scale in a technical
of Management (and seven other locations).
sense, there may be increasing returns to scale in the economic Joshua Gans is Chief Economist of the Creative Destruction
value of data. In such situations, the diffusion of AI may suggest Lab, the Jeffrey Skoll Chair of Innovation and Entrepreneur-
an increase in the importance of antitrust enforcement over time. ship and Professor of Strategic Management at the Rotman
School. Avi Goldfarb is Chief Data Scientist
Finally, a more speculative antitrust concern with respect at the Creative Destruction Lab and the Ellison Professor
to AI has been put forward by Oxford competition law expert of Marketing at the Rotman School. They are the co-authors of Prediction
Ariel Ezrachi and University of Tennesee antitrust expert Mau- Machines: The Simple Economics of Artificial Intelligence (Harvard Business
rice E. Stucke in their book Virtual Competition: The Promise and Review Press, 2018). This article has been adapted from their paper,
“Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence”, which was published in
Perils of the Algorithm-Driven Economy, which is that firms will Innovation Policy and the Economy (University of Chicago Press, 2019).
deploy algorithms programmed to learn to set prices in oligopo-
listic competition with other firms and their algorithms. Rotman faculty research is ranked #16 globally by the Financial Times.
www.rotman.utoronto.ca/GEMBA
OU R AL
BE HAVI
S
G HT
INSI BOOK
PLAY
As more leaders learn how to mitigate
common biases, behavioural science is helping to shape
strategic decision-making for the better.
by Michael Hallsworth, Mark Egan, Jill Rutter and Julian McCrae
AROUND THE WORLD, a growing number of organizations are em- CORE ACTIVITY 1: Noticing
bracing behavioural insights to design and enhance their prod- Noticing involves the varied ways that information and ideas en-
ucts, policies and services. The challenge is this: Their leaders ter the agenda for organizations. Two of the most significant ar-
and workers are human, too, and are therefore influenced by eas of bias and resulting behavioural insights in this area involve
the same heuristics and biases that they are attempting to ad- framing and confirmation bias.
dress in others.
In our work we have identified three core activities of poli- FRAMING EFFECTS. Framing effects refer to the fact that the
cymaking and strategy-making in any industry: noticing, delib- presentation of an issue, not its substantive content, often de-
erating and executing. In this article we will focus on the first termines whether it is noticed and how it is interpreted. Fram-
two stages — noticing and deliberating — and discuss some of ing is the process of selecting and highlighting some aspects or
the most important behavioural insights that have been discov- features of a situation at the expense of others. Adopting differ-
ered to date in each category. ent ‘frames’ can have powerful effects on how people perceive a
rotmanmagazine.ca / 51
Re-framing can help people adjust the presentation
of their position in order to find common ground.
problem and what they consider to be relevant facts. For example, just a pilot that will be evaluated for its impact (including on the
identical policies can be framed in terms of gains or losses, and environment). That move would allow the charity to incorporate
the research shows that even small changes along these lines can into its framing the idea that the development would target eco-
tap into deep feelings of loss aversion — the tendency to strongly nomic growth, but only in a provisional way.
prefer to avoid losses over acquiring gains. A simple example is
feeling more upset at losing $20 than feeling pleased at gaining TOOL 2: FRAME RECONNECTION. This is where both frames are re-
$20. One consistent finding associated with this tendency is that spected and preserved, but a new link is created between them,
when people are facing losses, they become more willing to toler- so they appear to be complementary rather than incompatible.
ate risk. An example is a gambler who, after losing money, begins In the example above, this would mean that one side would con-
taking bigger risks in an effort to recoup his losses. tinue to see the policy through an economic frame, and the other
an environmental frame. But economic development could be
HOW TO MITIGATE THEM. Re-framing can help people adjust re-framed as a means of improving the local environment – for
the presentation or substance of their position in order to find example, by making it easier for local people to invest in sustain-
common ground and break deadlocks. Understanding how able technologies. If the public agency needed to go further, they
others frame an issue differently can lead to changes in em- could promise that some form of ‘tourist tax’ was created and
phasis that make a proposal mutually acceptable, or highlight funnelled to a fund for this purpose.
actions that cost little to one side but appear important to the
other. TOOL 3: FRAME ACCOMMODATION. This is where one side changes
There are three main re-framing strategies. To illustrate its framing to accommodate aspects of the opposing frame. The
them, imagine that a public agency is proposing to develop an difference from frame incorporation is that the new element
area of woodland near a town that has suffered low economic is not watered down; instead, the existing frame is substan-
growth. The woodland is seen as an area of natural beauty. The tially changed as a result of the frame accommodation. In the
public agency’s main frame is one of economic stimulus: By above scenario, this could happen if the charity succeeded in
improving amenities, it may attract more people to the town, re-framing the idea of economic development to include wider
creating a multiplier effect. concepts of value.
On the other side is a national environmental charity that
has a strong presence in the region. Its frame is environmental: CONFIRMATION BIAS. This includes the tendency to notice, in-
It wants the development to protect the quality of the woodland terpret, judge and remember information in a way that supports
against pollution and decay, so residents can continue to enjoy one’s pre-existing views and ideas. This means that people often
it for longer. It is concerned that privileging economic growth practise ‘selective exposure’, choosing and focusing on informa-
will harm the local environment. The two frames are in conflict tion that confirms their positions, and ignoring or withdrawing
and are leading to a dispute that seems intractable. from that which rejects them. The evidence confirms that people
prefer to be exposed to information that supports their views —
TOOL 1: FRAME INCORPORATION. This is where one side incorporates and that this preference strengthens the more firmly we hold an
a challenging element into their own frame by creating a ‘wa- opinion. The obvious problem is that important facts may never
tered down’ version of it. In our example, an important part of even be registered. People may actively reject information that
the environmental frame is the charity’s concern that this will conflicts with their prior position, which can make it difficult
set a precedent for future developments in the region: Concern for others to shift their views by presenting them with evidence
for economic growth, not the environment, would become the and reasoned arguments. Indeed, studies show that people’s
guiding principle. If the public agency began to understand this positions may become even more extreme and entrenched after
concern, it could emphasize the fact that this development is reading opposing arguments.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 53
When groups interact with each other, they are less cooperative and
more competitive than when individuals interact with each other.
HOW TO MITIGATE IT: Following are three helpful tools. solving, as long as interpersonal tensions can be minimized.
Managers should be helped to identify how team members dif-
TOOL 1: CREATE WAYS FOR DIVERSE VIEWS TO BE FED IN BEFORE, DURING fer in their problem-solving approaches and look for a variety of
AND AFTER GROUP DISCUSSIONS. Majority influence is easier to re- these approaches when composing teams, wherever possible.
sist outside group discussions — especially in organizations with
a culture of deference. Therefore, policy teams could pose a set INTER-GROUP OPPOSITION
of questions anonymously through a Google Forum or similar This occurs when members of one group reject the arguments
before and after policy discussions, giving a chance for diver- coming from another, even if they are good ones. This can
gent views to be captured and acted on with minimum loss of happen when group reinforcement and the illusion of similarity
face. A more developed form of this idea was the UK’s Contest- strengthen an individual’s sense that their proposal and perspec-
able Policy Fund, which provided matched funding to try to give tives are right. If someone disagrees, it must be because they are
ministers direct access to external policy advice. incompetent, biased or malicious—and it is particularly easy to
The Behavioural Insights Team (BIT) has developed a think this if they are seen as belonging to a different group. Even
ThinkGroup process, whereby participants all silently contrib- strong arguments can get dismissed as a result, making the ensu-
ute to a single online document at once. This allows people both ing policy weaker.
to interact and to pursue their own trains of thought. Research Underpinning this problem is the way that we identify our-
shows that our inability to do so in traditional brainstorming selves with ‘in-groups’ in contrast to ‘outgroups’. Put simply, we
meetings is why they produce poor results. believe that the groups we identify with are better than other
groups. That is the case even if a) there is strong evidence they
TOOL 2: INVEST MORE IN OTHER OPTIONS TO PERMIT CHALLENGE WITHIN are not, or b) they have only just been created, and we therefore
MEETINGS. There is a clear case for exploring alternatives to con- have no prior attachment to them.
ventional chaired meetings. The UK’s Ministry of Defence, ad- This strong identification means that, when groups have
mitting that ‘groupthink’ has afflicted past military plans, has to co-operate, people are biased towards their in-group. In fact,
published a Guide to Reasonable Challenge that helps dissent to evidence shows that when groups interact with each other, they
take place in a constructive way. In addition, many governments are less cooperative and more competitive than when individuals
still expect decisions to be made in formally chaired meetings interact with each other.
with set agendas and processes. This can close down debate in Another cause of these group dynamics is the way we view
order to get through an agenda—and gives undue weight to those our own opinions. As noted earlier, people often believe that
who control the agenda. they are unbiased, and that others will think the same way if they
are given the facts. If another party does not think the same way
TOOL 3: COGNITIVELY DIVERSE TEAMS. Another idea is to assemble we do, our preferred reaction is not to reassess our own opinion,
teams that are cognitively diverse. Teams whose members ap- but to denigrate the opposition. This happens because we find it
proach problems in different ways do better — particularly at hard to simultaneously maintain both a positive image of our-
tasks requiring creativity. Many organizations are already in- selves and a positive image of someone who disagrees with us.
vesting in increasing the diversity of their teams in terms of race,
gender and socio-economic status. There is still a tendency to HOW TO MITIGATE IT: One approach that works here is ‘col-
recruit people with similar ways of thinking, particularly since laborative red teaming.’ ‘Red teams’ are groups that are tasked
many public sector organisations recruit using a single process with finding weaknesses in a proposal or system. The UK military
that privileges certain approaches to problems. There is evidence defines the work of red teams as ‘the independent application of
that introducing a diversity of perspectives improves problem- a range of structured, creative and critical thinking techniques to
In closing
We are learning more each day about how behavioural science
can shape strategic decision-making in government organiza-
tions for the better, and we believe that our findings can be ap-
plied to organizations of all types.
Importantly, reforms to a decision-making process cannot
focus on individuals in isolation: They must incorporate how sys-
tems, processes and institutions combine to create behaviours. If
we truly care about improving decision-making, sustained effort
will be required from politicians, officials and leaders generally.
The good news is that we now have a clear guide as to where to Dr. Michael Hallsworth is Managing Director,
focus our efforts. North America of the Behavioural Insights
Team (BIT), based in Brooklyn, New York.
Dr. Mark Egan is an Advisor working across
BIT’s Health and Research teams, based in
BIT’s London office. Jill Rutter is Program
Director at the Institute for Government,
based in London. Julian McCrae is an Associ-
ate at the Institute for Government. The
complete paper on which this is based,
“Behavioural Government: Using Behavioural Science to Improve How
Governments Make Decisions”, is available online.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 55
EMERGENT
CHANGE
Futurists predict that we will experience 20,000 years of progress
in the course of the 21st century. Are you ready for it?
by Beth Comstock
I WOULD LIKE TO BEGIN THIS ARTICLE with a thought exercise. Think ule. Today, thanks to Netflix, Hulu and others, you can watch
about something that you consider to be a constant in your life. an entire season of your favourite show in a weekend, if you so
It could be related to your business or your personal life, but it desire. For many years I also worked in the energy space, and
should be something that you almost take for granted because the concept of ‘centralized energy’ was a constant. We amassed
you know it’s always going to be there. Now imagine that you the energy, and it had to be distributed in a certain way; until
wake up tomorrow morning, grab your device to read the head- suddenly — or not so suddenly — it didn’t.
lines, and this ‘constant’ has totally vanished from the world. This thought exercise is important because it touches on
It’s gone. Poof. And without it, there will be something very dif- your ability to adapt to change. The fact is, when you think you
ferent about your day today. know what is going to happen next, that is when you are most
What does this little exercise do to you? Does it excite ripe to be surprised.
you? Does it instill panic? One thing is certain: This is happen-
ing more and more, and the examples span industries. I myself Change Is No Longer Linear
have seen it happen first-hand more than once. When I worked As intersections of technology and humanity continue to pro-
in the media business, everyone believed beyond a shadow of a liferate, there will be even more opportunities for change —
doubt that television programming had to have a strict sched- and yes, chaos — to emerge and surprise us. While it sounds
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You will encounter two kinds of people in your quest for change:
goalkeepers and gatekeepers.
impossible, experts tell us that the world is never going to move parts of the world, and said to us, ‘We are going to go broke be-
as slowly as it is right now. We are living in an age of emergent cause we don’t know how to solve this problem. Help us!’ We
change that is based on principles from science and economics. took their concerns to heart and started working on solutions.
A strongly ‘emergent’ system is one in which higher levels of Of course, not every customer thought this was a good idea.
complexity possess genuine causal powers that are absent from Many of them fought it. They would say, ‘Hey, don’t get ahead
the constituent parts. That is, ‘wholes’ may exhibit properties of us!’ There was also a lot of resistance internally, with people
and principles that cannot be reduced to the cumulative effect asking, Why are you doing this? But, as we progressed into the
of the properties and laws of the components. If it sounds com- discovery phase, we started to realize that not only did we have
plicated, it is. the capability and the capacity to make clean tech happen—the
The problem is this: We are not prepared to handle emer- outside world was also moving in this direction. We said to our-
gent change. For generations, we have insisted that our busi- selves, you know what? We can do this.
nesses and institutions operate like fine-tuned machines. Our We launched an effort that would see us invest billions of
focus on constantly improving our current systems has created an dollars in new tech to sell our products differently. We said to
imagination gap — a dark place where possibility and options for the world, ‘We are going to hold ourselves accountable, and
the future go to die. The result: Everyone wants to already know we want you to hold us to a standard that makes our technol-
the answer. They want proof. The problem is, ‘the numbers’ can ogy both economically and ecologically sound’. To achieve this,
only add up in the past; they can’t reflect the future, because it we had to open ourselves up to partnerships and to external
hasn’t happened yet. As people continue to seek certainty and advice. And, in the process, we grew our brand value by 35 per
perfection, they become less and less willing to try new things. cent over the course of a five-year period. Over a decade, we
And organizations aren’t helping: most do not encourage cre- unlocked $30 billion of new revenue on an annual basis. We cre-
ativity or reward people for problem-solving and taking risks. ated a mission that employees could rally around. Even our nay-
Of course, we can’t just get rid of our legacy systems, and as saying customers started to say, ‘You were right. This is the way
a result we are currently in an in-between space where the old things are moving’.
is going away (albeit slowly) and the new is emerging — and we
need to spend our energy on both. GE was my training ground Three Pillars of Embracing Change
for developing this mindset. My team and I created the Eco- Based on my experience, three things are critical to achieving
magination program, and through it, we were able to imagine the positive change that I witnessed at GE.
a clean-tech revolution that was just starting to come together
at the periphery. 1. GIVE YOURSELF PERMISSION TO IMAGINE. As my story indicates,
It all began when we realized we were hearing the same positive change — in your business or personal life — only hap-
message over and over from a number of customers in different pens when you give yourself permission to imagine a better
industries — not just energy, but rail, aviation and others. They future for yourself, your customers, your company — even the
were all having to face new environmental regulations in some world. You will always encounter two kinds of people in your
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If everyone thinks your idea is great, maybe
you’re asking the wrong people.
swear by the 70/20/10 rule: 70 per cent of the time, resources different from our own, who bring a different point of view.
and people should be focused on the now, the core part of your With Ecomagination, we created an advisory board of our
business; 20 per cent should be focused on what’s next — the biggest critics — people from NGOs who had been doing fund-
next three to five years, depending on your business; and 10 per raising campaigns against this type of thing and who wanted to
cent should be spent thinking about and imagining the truly bring our company down. We invited them to help develop our
new and different. scorecard and tell us how to make things better. We also part-
My guess is that at least 10 per cent of your time is current- nered with innovative start-ups. The idea is to be asked some
ly being spent on things that you already know how to do and really tough questions — what I call, ‘agitated inquiry’. You need
questions you know the answers to. In meetings, the next time to beat your own ideas up to make sure they’re sturdy enough to
you ask yourself, Why am I here, again?, take control of your stand the test of time. How often do we spend time fighting and
schedule and give yourself back 10 per cent of your time. Get out arguing over something when we’ve lost sight of what the actual
there and see the world. Make room for discovery. problem is? My favourite thing to say to a stakeholder is, ‘Tell
me one thing that I don’t want to hear’.
3. MAKE THE CHANGE HAPPEN. A vision is worthless unless it is acted
on. Companies are hiring a lot of Chief Transformation Officers EXPERIMENTATION. The next part of making change happen in-
today, and that can be helpful, because it drives momentum and volves experimenting: test, learn, repeat, test, learn, repeat. This
gives someone accountability. But it will not be helpful if all you’ve requires a lot of failing, learning and re-framing. The best thing
done is delegated change to someone else and said, ‘You figure you can do is test an early idea with a customer. Find customers
it out’. We all have to be involved in making change happen. who are open to this and get their feedback earlier rather than
Here are some of the most important tools to embrace. later. And make sure to involve some tough customers. When we
did our dreaming sessions with users, we didn’t only pick those
FEEDBACK. In an age of emergent change, you will have to continu- who were open to it; we also included people who thought it was
ally adapt your story, and that means keeping up with new facts a really bad idea.
and shifting landscapes. The faster you get feedback, the faster Next, you’re launching, and starting to prove that you ac-
you’ll be able to change. Think about how, in most companies, tually have a business model, that you might be able to make
people receive feedback once a year. That is so outdated. Going a profit doing this. The problem is, many businesses hold their
forward, we need to be open to live feedback, even if it involves seed-stage ideas to the same metrics as their growth and fully
criticism. The fact is, if everyone thinks your idea is great, then scaled ideas. When you don’t even know if you have any custom-
maybe you’re asking the wrong people. We have to invite crit- ers yet people will ask, ‘What’s your profit going to be?’, That’s
ics to the table — people whose judgment and perspective is very why making new things happen takes courage and resilience.
Resistance to change manifests itself in many ways, from familiar. Remain focused on the important things and avoid
foot-dragging and inertia to petty sabotage to outright rebel- change for the sake of change.
lion. The best tool for leaders of change is to understand the
universal sources of resistance in each situation and then Loss of face. By definition, change represents a departure
strategize around them. Here are seven that I’ve found to be from the past, so the people associated with the previous
very common. iteration —the one that is being superseded — are likely to
be defensive about it. Leaders can help people maintain their
Loss of control. Change interferes with autonomy and can dignity by celebrating those elements of the past that are
make people feel that they’ve lost control over their territory. worth honouring, and making it clear that the outside world has
It’s not just political, as in ‘who has the power?’ Our sense of changed. That makes it easier to let go and move on.
self-determination is often the first thing to go when faced with
a potential change coming from someone else. Smart leaders Concerns about competence. Change is resisted when it
leave room for those affected by change to make choices. makes people feel stupid. They might express skepticism about
They invite others into the planning, giving them ownership. whether the new software will work or whether the change truly
represents an improvement, but down deep they are worried
Excess uncertainty. If change feels like walking off a cliff that their skills will be obsolete. Leaders should over-invest in
blindfolded, then people will reject it. People will often prefer to structural reassurance, providing abundant information, educa-
remain mired in misery than to head towards an unknown. As tion, training, mentors and support systems. In my experience,
the saying goes, “Better the devil you know than the devil you a period of overlap—i.e. running two systems simultaneously—
don’t know.” To overcome inertia requires a sense of safety as can help to ease transitions.
well as an inspiring vision. Leaders should create certainty of
process, with clear, simple steps and timetables. More work. Change is indeed more work. Those closest to
the change in terms of designing and testing it are often over-
Surprise, surprise! Decisions imposed on people suddenly, loaded, in part because of the inevitable unanticipated glitches
with no time to get used to the idea or prepare for the con- in the midst of it. Leaders should acknowledge the hard work
sequences, are generally resisted. Leaders should avoid the of change by allowing some people to focus exclusively on it,
temptation to craft changes in secret and then announce them or adding extra perqs for participants.
all at once. It’s better to plant seeds — that is, sprinkle hints
of what might be coming and seek input.
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Proceed with Caution
An NYU professor warns that Silicon Valley might be building
AI to make decisions without inclusive human values.
An interview with Amy Webb by Karen Christensen
Karen Christensen: You have said that the future of AI is is, Who exactly is the ‘we’ that these systems are being modelled
being built “by a relatively few like-minded people within on? Whose values, ideals and worldviews are being taught?
small, insulated groups.” Why is that such a big problem?
Amy Webb: In any field, if you have a homogenous group of In recent years, Google launched unconscious bias train-
people making decisions that are intended to benefit everyone, ing for its employees; yet at the same time, it was rewarding
you end up with a narrow interpretation of both the future itself bad behaviour among its leadership ranks. Talk a bit about
and the best way to move forward. When we’re talking about a this paradox.
transformational technology like AI, it involves systems that will A single training program cannot solve the bias problem — just
be making decisions on behalf of everyone, so it follows that a as an MBA program offering a mandated ethics class doesn’t
lot of people are going to be left out of those decisions. The way stop unethical behaviour. When information gets siloed in that
that these systems behave and make decisions and choices is way and is not more deeply integrated throughout a company,
going to exclude a lot of people. people tend to dismiss what they learn as something to ‘tick off ’
on a checklist to meet requirements.
What is an artificial narrow intelligence system (ANI)? I do think the American members of the Big Nine — Ama-
This is what AI’s various ‘tribes’ are building. ANI’s are capable zon, Apple, Google, Facebook, Microsoft and IBM — recog-
of performing a singular task at the same level or better than we nize that there are problems with diversity and inclusivity in
humans can. Commercial ANI solutions — and by extension, the their ranks, which is why, in recent years, many have launched
tribe — are already making decisions for us in our email inboxes, unconscious bias training. Hopefully the goal of these programs
when we search for things on the Internet, when we take photos is not just to deal with employee behaviour — but to recog-
with our phones, when we drive our cars and when we apply for nize that biases are also creeping into the AI systems that they
credit cards or loans. are building.
They are also building artificial general intelligence (AGI) It’s great to have these training programs, but wherever they
systems, which will perform broader cognitive tasks because they exist, we should expect to see substantive change throughout
are machines that are designed to think like we do. The question the organization — not just changes in personnel, but also
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The G-MAFIA is deciding the future of AI — and by extension,
what the future of humanity will look like.
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What I’m talking about entails structural, systems-level
change over many years.
10 per cent chance of the optimistic scenario happening; a 50 You note in the book that we, as individuals, also need to
per cent chance for the pragmatic scenario; and a 40 per cent change. In what way?
chance for the catastrophic scenario. As more and more people begin to understand exactly what AI
That doesn’t mean we can’t reshape things to change these is, what it isn’t and why it matters, by default, they become mem-
odds; that’s exactly why I wrote the book. I am hopeful about the bers of AI’s tribes, and that means they have no more excuses.
optimistic scenario, but the key to achieving it will be widespread From that day forward, you should learn about how your data
collaboration — not just amongst the G-MAFIA but throughout is being mined and refined by the Big Nine. You can do this by
society, and that is no small feat. The future of AI is not just a digging into the setting of all the tools and services you use: your
technological question or a business question; it is also a geopo- email and social media, the location services on your phone, the
litical and geo-economics question. permission settings on all of your connected devices. The next
One tangible way forward would be to turn AI on itself and time you see a cool app that compares something about you
evaluate all of the training data that is currently in use. I believe (your face, body or gestures) with a big set of data, stop for a mo-
this can be done, and here’s why: As a side project, IBM’s India ment to investigate whether you are helping to train a machine
Research Lab analyzed entries shortlisted for the Man Booker learning system. When you allow yourself to be recognized, ask
Prize for literature between 1969 and 2017. The analysis revealed where your information is being stored and for what purpose.
the pervasiveness of gender bias and stereotypes in the books Read the terms of service agreements; if something seems off,
themselves regarding basic features like occupation and behav- show restraint and don’t use the system.
iour associated with the characters. For example, male charac- Also, in the workplace, we must ask a difficult but impor-
ters were more likely to have high-level jobs, while female char- tant question: How are our own biases affecting those around
acters were likely to be described as ‘teacher’ or ‘whore’. If it’s us? Have we unwittingly supported or promoted only those who
possible to use natural language processing, graph algorithms look like us and reflect our worldviews? Are we unintentionally
and other basic machine learning techniques to ferret-out biases excluding certain groups? It is time for all of us to open our eyes
in literary awards, those can also be used to find biases in popular and take part in shaping the future.
training data sets. Once problems are discovered, they should be
published and then fixed. The Big Nine—or the G-MAFIA at the
very least — could share the costs of creating new training sets.
In addition, universities could redouble their efforts by col-
laborating with public and private organizations, taking some
chances on their curriculum and making sure that there is a
broader representation of people involved — not just among stu-
dents, but among people who are being promoted through the
tenure system.
What I’m talking about here entails structural, systems-level
change over many years. But the longer we wait to get started
on it, the worse off we’re all going to be — and the closer we will
come to the catastrophic scenario. Also, leaders must recognize
that China is not backing down. It has strategic alignment and
a top-down management plan in place, as well as access to the Amy Webb is an American futurist, founder of the Future
Today Institute and Professor of Strategic Foresight at New
data of 1.3 billion citizens. And it’s about to get data from other
York University’s Stern School of Business. She is the author
countries. In short, China is moving full steam ahead, while we of The Big Nine: How the Tech Titans and Their Thinking
risk getting lost trying to figure this all out. Machines Could Warp Humanity (PublicAffairs, 2019).
NUDGING HAS RIGHTFULLY EARNED ITS PLACE in public policy as an This led us to wonder: To what extent is a focus on evi-
effective, efficient and relatively low-cost lever for addressing dence-based solutions of testable hypotheses contributing to a
knotty challenges grounded in very human ‘irrational’ behav- form of confirmation bias — inadvertently limiting our sense of
iour: Which message will encourage citizens to get out the vote which problems and spaces are ripe for behavioural attention
or pay their taxes on time? What mix of social norms, commit- and confining our ability to imagine new applications and defi-
ment devices and prompts increases medication adherence? nitions for what ‘good’ could look like? Nobel Laureate Richard
These kinds of behavioural interventions are primarily designed Thaler and his co-author Cass Sunstein have recognized that
to achieve efficiency and cost savings within current processes nudges are just one piece of the behaviour-change puzzle. So,
and structures, through solutions to known, discrete behavioural what’s missing?
challenges. Think of it as ‘process improvement’, nudge-style. Part of the solution, we suspect, is hiding in plain sight: Be-
Life, however, is full of complexity and adaptation that can’t havioural science can and should continue to make important
be tested with a randomized control trial. While field experi- contributions through nudges and its other methods, but we
ments and pre-tests can bring us closer to the intricacies of real believe it can contribute at an even greater scale by turning out-
life, nudging’s natural habitat of well-defined, present-tense in- ward to partner with other disciplines — in particular, with the
puts and processes may be at odds with the introduction of new- field of design.
to-the-world contexts or the ambiguity of the future. Nudges — Design is a strategic lens with a history of grappling with
and behavioural science more generally — can absolutely help ambiguity and embracing user context, recognizing the need to
people save more for tomorrow, today; but the fact is, tomorrow solve at the level of systems while also keeping one eye on the
may be characterized by a completely different set of life-stage future by building solutions that are designed to adapt. To do
or employment norms and conditions that upend our current this, design uses a combination of generative, participatory and
conceptions of retirement above and beyond the mechanics of evaluative modes to expand our notions of what we should even
RRSPs and 401(k) accounts. be solving for, as well as how to solve for it — with outcomes that
rotmanmagazine.ca / 69
Nudges are just one piece of the behaviour-change puzzle.
are viable and sustainable, desirable for all stakeholders and This visual representation and line of thinking has helped
technologically feasible to build. companies re-frame innovation in two important ways. First, it
Organizations as diverse as the Mayo Clinic, Procter & provides a new language to describe the nature of innovative so-
Gamble, IBM and the U.S. government have successfully inte- lutions as core (optimizing current processes and offerings), ad-
grated a design mindset into how they conceive of, build and de- jacent (reaching adjacent customers, developing incrementally
liver services and experiences. There is already significant buzz new offerings) and transformational (achieving market disrup-
around applying Design Thinking to add value to behavioural tion), according to their position within the matrix.
interventions; but the value of applying behavioural insights to Second, the model introduces a way to re-conceptualize
design problems is equally clear. Struggles with uncertainty, innovation as a ‘landscape’ in which one can gauge how the in-
helping users achieve what they value, confirmation bias, time dividual innovation initiatives within a company sit relative to
discounting — all of these concepts are inextricably embedded one another — in other words, taking a portfolio or systems view.
in the challenges that design sets out to solve. By coming in to a This allowed organizations to clarify their innovation goals more
situation fully armed with a knowledge of behavioural tenden- holistically and helped them better plan and measure the collec-
cies and levers, we can vastly improve our chances of designing tive success of innovations.
more robust and effective solutions. Borrowing the language of [former Rotman School Dean]
Consider Figure One. In this conception, the bottom left Roger Martin and [former Procter & Gamble CEO] A.G. Lafley
corner is where behavioural science thrives and design plays a from their best-selling book Playing to Win, the frames of ‘where
supporting role. This is where understanding behavioural chal- to play’ and ‘how to win’ provide businesses with new ways of
lenges and pitfalls helps us improve existing choice architecture describing and thinking about innovation — thinking that allows
— like redesigning forms and setting smart defaults. Here, design them to be both more precise and more strategic. Transplanted
ensures that the behavioural solutions are focused on helping (or into a behavioural context, this structure has the potential to help
redirecting) people to complete particular actions by taking their us imagine a broader landscape of challenges to address.
context into account.
The top right corner is where design takes the lead and be- Where to Play
havioural science plays a supporting role. Here, the landscape Nagji and Tuff ’s ‘where to play’ axis focused on the ‘stretchiness’
consists of larger, more complex systems and scenarios, some of of potential audiences and markets in the context of gaining a
which may not even exist yet. This is where design can help us competitive advantage. In our reimagined behavioural version,
envision what could be, while behavioural science provides in- we translate this strategic focus on audience as ‘in whose best in-
sights into cognitive shortcuts and tendencies that might derail terest’ the behavioural interventions are designed — individuals,
people from acting in their own best interests. Solutions in this multiple stakeholders or entire systems.
space might take shape as a new welfare system like universal
basic income or a new way to choose, negotiate and manage INDIVIDUALS. Examples where nudges focus on an individual’s
health insurance. best interest abound. Richard Thaler and Shlomo Benartzi’s
This new model draws its inspiration from Bansi Nagji and Save More Tomorrow plan — which in its initial rollout nearly
Geoff Tuff’s Innovation Ambition Matrix, which they introduced quadrupled 401(k) contributions compared to prior rates—is a
in 2012 as a means to guide organizational investments in innova- classic case; healthcare interventions aimed at habit formation
tion. The matrix was itself a riff on a framework by management such as medication adherence also fall into this category.
theorist H. Igor Ansoff, consisting of a simple 3×3 matrix defined
by two axes: Where to play, defined as a continuum of playing in MULTI-STAKEHOLDER. These interventions multiply the impact of
existing markets with existing customers on one end, to creat- solutions by solving simultaneously for multiple answers to ‘in
ing entirely new ones at the other; and How to win, which ranged the best interest of x’. As an example, consider blind auditions,
from existing products up to entirely new offerings. in which orchestras improved the gender balance of their hires
informed by
behavioral ing used, to the benefit of the entire system.
insights Voting is another arena in which behavioural insights have
had a significant systems-level impact. Oregon’s automatic
voter-registration system, launched in 2016, uses motor vehicle
registration information to auto-register citizens to vote. This
Stakeholders
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Behavioural science is uniquely qualified to shine
a light on designing for the future.
blood clot prevention protocols turned a 50 per cent disparity in conditions for large-scale impact and long-term change.
the treatment of men versus women into an even playing field. In fact, Nagji and Tuff ’s article suggested that only 10 per
By simply externalizing personal judgment, treatment became cent of innovation efforts should aim for transformation, com-
far more equitable. pared to a whopping 70 per cent in the core and 20 per cent to-
Streamlining processes to remove even small points of fric- wards adjacent efforts in between. Nudges that focus on inputs
tion has also proven fruitful, especially with low-frequency, low- and target individual behaviours, like process improvement
motivation tasks like filing taxes. The UK-based Behavioural efforts, are and will continue to be critically important tools in
Insights Team nudged better tax filing behaviour by sending a public policy. Our argument is that, in the same way that many
form directly to participants rather than sending them to a web- individual adjustments to the hotel experience would never
site to download the form. Removing this one click increased use have yielded Airbnb, expanding room for behavioural design
of the form from 19 to 23 per cent, at virtually no cost. to inform new policy may yield other benefits, and a focus on
aggregated small wins may be insufficient if it is the only model
CREATE NEW SOLUTIONS. The insurance product Lemonade flips we rely on.
traditional business models and customer experience on their A recently published book [Detonate: Why - And How - Cor-
head by realigning incentives for action. With flat fees, quick porations Must Blow Up Best Practices (And Bring a Beginner’s
payouts and unused premiums going to the social cause of one’s Mind) To Survive] co-authored by Geoff Tuff, bolsters the case
choice, solutions like this suggest an exciting direction for prod- for stretching beyond ‘core’ behavioural interventions. His up-
ucts and services that incorporate behavioural insights into their dated model parallels the structure of our proposed bottom-left
design, rather than creating interventions to address strictly and top-right triangles, labelling them ‘known/knowable op-
behavioural challenges. Other familiar examples include Uber portunities’ and ‘unknown/unknowable opportunities’, respec-
and Amazon Prime’s One-Click. These leverage behavioural tively. The former is the terrain of ‘identified challenges’, which
insights within broader offerings by reducing user uncertainty, can be addressed with known insights and tools. This is largely
providing immediate feedback and simplifying actions to make where behavioural science has played so far. The latter, by con-
their services almost too easy to not use. trast, requires new approaches to identify those challenges, let
In a public-policy vein, recent experiments in universal basic alone solve for them and gauge the success of solutions — ex-
income provide an illustration of the potential for new systems- actly the conditions that play to the strengths of design.
level solutions that could have profound effects on health and It’s also worth noting that the 70-20-10 ratio offered in Nagji
well-being, financial stability, entrepreneurship and even social and Tuff ’s initial model has been updated to 50-30-20 today,
inclusion. As our colleagues Johnny Hugill and Matija Franklin with the recommendation of using 50 per cent of innovation bud-
have noted, embracing a universal basic income could dimin- gets for core improvements, 30 per cent towards adjacent areas,
ish the social stigma that makes people less likely to use other and 20 per cent towards transformation. While the worlds of in-
income-benefits programs. novation and behavioural design are not precisely equivalent, we
can’t help but agree that it’s valuable to look beyond traditional
Putting the Model to Use problem-solving boundaries when it comes to behaviour.
Expanding the terrain of behavioural problems to solve is not
the same as advocating to only swing for the fences. On the con- In closing
trary, its intent is to broaden our view of what is possible rather Framing the power of behavioural insights within a design-led
than declaring what is in or out, good or bad. So-called ‘small’ perspective amplifies our ability to navigate complexity and un-
interventions can be enormously powerful in their own right, certainty and create effective and adaptive public policy at scale
and in some cases a cluster of individual efforts can create the with the future, as well as the present, in mind. Of course, the
Delicious, perfectly portioned and ready-to-cook meals cations to the company’s employees were falling on deaf ears.
delivered to your doorstep. Easy-to-use tools to significantly A member of our team came up with a hypothesis: The recipients
increase your retirement savings. Systems for de-biasing your had no idea who we were and thought we were spam. Ouch.
hiring process. These ideas might seem unrelated, but in fact To test this, we ran a simple randomized control trial
they are tied together by a common thread: they were all made (RCT). Some employees got the same letters as before, while
possible by insights from behavioural science. others received the communication with their company’s logo
positioned right next to ours. The result? Simply adding the
Such innovations are possible when behavioural science employer’s familiar logo boosted uptake of our product by
is applied to companies’ three primary functions: 300 per cent.
• creating the best product or service; Consider one of the most important and frequent deci-
• reaching users who want that product or service; and sions companies make: hiring new employees. Typically,
• managing an efficient and ethical organization. candidates are evaluated through interviews, where they show,
well, how good they are at interviewing. That’s not a super
In each of these processes, smart companies are infusing relevant skill for most jobs. Daniel Kahneman recognized this
behavioural science to improve their bottom lines. It only took during his time in the Israeli army and proposed a new process.
Blue Apron about three years to join the ranks of the rarefied, Instead of interviews that rely on intuitions or gut feelings, sim-
so-called ‘unicorns’ — start-ups valued at over a billion dollars. ply select key traits or skills needed for the role (no more than
Driving this success is a simple, smart business idea: Send six) and then grade candidates using questions that evaluate
people everything they need to cook tasty, healthy recipes those traits and skills. After interviews are completed, add
right to their doorsteps. up the scores for each trait and select the candidate with the
The vast majority of millennials—80 per cent—think highest score.
cooking meals at home is a good thing to do; and yet they eat Organizations — like the UK’s Behavioural Insights
out more than any previous generation. Why? Cooking can be Team (BIT) —are offering platforms that make these more
intimidating, hard to plan, and it can just feel like too much work objective hiring practices easier to implement. For example,
after a long day. Whatever the obstacle, millennials have a hard since we know names can bias our perception of candidates,
time turning their good intentions into, say, fontina-stuffed pork the BIT’s hiring platform makes it easy to anonymize résumés.
chops with potatoes and pizzaiola sauce. By making cooking They also allow blind scoring of different candidates’ respons-
easy, Blue Apron makes cooking at home an intention people es to the same question at once, ensuring candidates are not
will actually follow through on. judged differently on the second question because of their
Another behavioural insight baked into the Blue Apron busi- response to the first.
ness model is that it removes the temptation to eat out by nudg- Although managers may be reluctant to surrender a part
ing its subscribers to plan ahead. You subscribe to Blue Apron of their hiring autonomy to a platform, these tools can remove
when you are motivated to follow through on your intentions, and bias and help them hire people with the skills their organization
groceries arrive when your motivation to shop may have been really needs.
waning: when you get home from work, tired and hungry.
Great companies know how to get their customers’ atten-
tion. At Morningstar, we partnered with a company to provide Erik Johnson is the Marketing Optimization Manager on Morningstar’s
a tool to help its employees plan and save for retirement. We Behavioural Insights Team, where he applies behavioural science prin-
liked the tool, but the problem was that our direct mail communi- ciples and experimentation to marketing processes and communications.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 73
Organization
In every organization, moments of silence lead to lost opportunities
and errors. In her new book, Harvard Professor Amy Edmondson
argues that encouraging ‘voice’ has become mission-critical.
Interview by Karen Christensen
Karen Christensen: How do you define a psychologically safe they have something to offer, and they are equally problematic
workplace? for organizations. First, silence creates the risk of safety prob-
Amy Edmondson: Psychological safety is the belief that the lems that could have been averted. In high-risk settings like hos-
environment is safe for interpersonal risk taking. In a psycho- pitals and manufacturing plants, people get hurt — sometimes
logically-safe workplace, people know that their voice is both fatally — when someone who is aware of the potential for harm
welcomed and expected. They know that they won’t be penalized remains silent. Second, when people are reluctant to share their
for speaking up with work-relevant content of any kind — even improvement ideas or suggestions, organizations lose valuable
if it entails bad news, a request for help or an admission of error. opportunities for innovation.
More often than most managers realize, people are not
You have found that even in strong corporate cultures, pock- speaking up when they could and should. Of course, when people
ets of both high and low psychological safety tend to exist. are absolutely confident that what they are about to say will be
Why does that happen? well received, they will speak up. It’s when they are not sure that
AE: I think it’s because psychological safety is fundamentally an they remain silent. In my research I’ve seen numerous instances
attribute of work groups — any interdependent unit that works in hospital settings where nurses have held back on pointing out
together over time. The interpersonal climate in these groups is a possible error or problem because they questioned themselves.
a very ‘local’ phenomenon: It emerges as people work together, As the moment for speaking up passes by, the nurse might think,
and it is highly influenced by the individual at the centre of the ‘Should I really be challenging what the doctor said?’ The most
group, whether it be a project leader, a branch manager or a unit important thing about these moments of silence is that they
director. These people powerfully influence what is deemed are invisible. The physician in this example has no idea that he
to be appropriate and how people behave and interact with was deprived of the nurse’s voice — and possibly, of an opportu-
each other. nity to catch an error in time to reverse it.
The fact is, we often err on the side of silence because it keeps
When people choose to remain silent rather than speak up, us safe in the moment. People are reluctant to stand out or to be
what tends to happen? thought badly of by peers and bosses, so they take only the safest
AE: There are two types of risk when people remain silent when risks — which, of course, aren’t really risks at all.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 75
In situations we haven’t faced before, it is simply
not possible to have all the answers.
they think, ‘Hey, I’m in charge here; I’ve got expertise and wis-
Building Psychological Safety dom, so it seems inauthentic for me to be humble’. That’s why
I use the term ‘situational humility.’ The term reminds us that
Default Frame Re-frame a truly wise person knows that they must be humble at least
The Boss • Has answers • Sets direction some of the time, depending on the situation. For instance, in
• Gives Orders • Invites input to situations we haven’t faced before — and there are more of them
• Assesses others’ clarify and improve than ever before — we simply cannot have all the answers. The
performance • Creates conditions fact is, we’re living in a volatile uncertain, complex and ambigu-
for continued ous (VUCA) world, so regardless of our experience or position,
learning
there are many situations characterized by immense uncertainty
Others Subordinates who Contributors with about what’s coming next. In this environment, if you’re not
must do as they are crucial knowledge appropriately humble about what could go wrong or how you
told and insight might fail, you’re not being realistic. So, situational humility is
actually realism.
The second, related skill is ‘humble listening’. If I’m always
reminding myself that I have to be humble about the challenges
Can you say a bit more about the relationship between psycho- ahead, then the obvious next thing to be passionate about is lis-
logical safety and innovation? tening. Humble listening is a phrase from MIT Professor Emeri-
AE: Most leaders recognize by now that innovation requires tus Ed Schein, and it’s a stance that says, ‘When I’m listening,
people to engage in experimentation—and that experiment- I am truly listening’. I’m not listening to see where you’ve got it
ing always entails some failures along the way, whether you’re wrong or why my idea is better; I’m listening with a stance of
working on new products and services or trying to create pro- genuine curiosity, interest and absorption, because I want to un-
cess innovations. Everyone wants the results of innovation — derstand what you are saying and what the implications might be
but most people aren’t terribly enthusiastic about experiencing for us going forward.
the risks of innovation. We know intellectually that it will
require failure, but emotionally, we would rather only experience What does a fearless organization look like in practice?
success. AE: A completely fearless organization is an aspiration that will
When mistakes do occur, I have found that the most innova- always remain slightly out of reach. It will never be the case that
tive teams are much more willing to talk about them. Over time, every single person shows up at work with a fearless stance that
they are consistently catching and correcting mistakes and fail- looks outward and forward, and that everyone is more interested
ures before they can cause real harm. In every workplace, some in contributing to shared goals than in staying personally safe.
degree of human error is inevitable — so if you’re not hearing Having said that, a ‘mostly fearless’ organization is one in
about it at all, that’s a problem. That means that people are un- which people feel truly engaged, inspired and willing to take the
willing to speak up about the things that are going wrong. And interpersonal risks of speaking up and experimenting that are
worse yet, it means they’re not learning from it. necessary, so as to gain the shared rewards of making a differ-
ence — of creating great products and services that help custom-
Tell us about the increasingly valuable skills of ‘humble listen- ers and change the world in some small way for the better. In
ing’ and ‘situational humility’. such organizations, people share a sense of what is at stake, why
AE: Many leaders balk at the idea of being humble, because it matters — and why every one of us is needed to make progress.
Leadership Tasks Frame the work: Set expecta- Demonstrate situational Express appreciation: Listen,
tions about failure, uncertainty humility: Acknowledge gaps acknowledge and thank
and interdependence to clarify
the need for voice
Emphasize purpose: Identify Practice Inqury: Ask good Destigmatize failure: Look
what’s at stake, why it matters questions; model intense forward; offer help; discuss, con-
and for whom learning sider and brainstorm next steps
How can a leader set the stage for psychological safety? — for example, by talking about how the work is uncertain, chal-
AE: The most important skill to master is that of ‘framing’ the lenging or interdependent — helps to paint reality in ways that
work. For example, if ‘near-perfection’ is what is required to sat- emphasize that no one is supposed to have all the answers. This
isfy demanding car customers, leaders must know to frame the lowers the hurdle for speaking up and reminds people that their
work by alerting workers to catch and correct even the tiniest of input is welcome — and needed.
deviations before the car proceeds down the assembly line. If dis- Here are a few simple but powerful phrases that anyone
covering new cures for disease is the goal, leaders must motivate can utter to make the workplace feel just a tiny bit more psycho-
researchers to generate smart hypotheses to drive experiments logically safe:
and to feel okay about being wrong far more often than being
right. Framing the work includes two key elements: re-framing • I don’t know.
failure and clarifying the need for voice. • I need help.
• I made a mistake.
Can anyone drive psychological safety, or just team leaders?
AE: While it is true that bosses play an outsized role in shaping Each is an expression of vulnerability. By being willing to ac-
behaviour in the workplace, anyone can help create psychologi- knowledge that you are a fallible human being, you give permis-
cal safety. Sometimes, all you have to do is ask a good question. sion to others do likewise. Removing your mask helps others
This is truly a great place to start. A good question is one moti- remove theirs. Sometimes you have to take an interpersonal
vated by genuine curiosity or by a desire to give someone a voice. risk to lower interpersonal risk. Similarly powerful are words of
Good questions cry out for an answer; they create a vacuum that interest and availability; most of us face many opportunities to
serves as a voice opportunity for someone. say things like these:
Additionally, you can create psychological safety by choos-
ing to listen actively to what people say and responding with • What are you up against?
interest, building on their ideas or giving feedback. True listen- • What can I do to help?
ing conveys respect — and in subtle but powerful ways, reinforces • What are your concerns?
the idea that a person’s full self is ‘welcome here’. You don’t have
to agree with what the person said; you don’t even have to like The personal challenge for all of us lies in remembering, in the
it. But you do have to appreciate the effort that it took for them moment, to be vulnerable, interested and available. Give it a try:
to say it. Pause; look around. Whom can you invite into the safe space for
Saying things to frame the challenge you see ahead is another learning and contributing to the shared goal? Anytime you play a
helpful practice. Reminding people of what the team is up against role in doing that, you are exercising leadership.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 77
Although diversity can be created through deliberate hiring
practices, inclusion does not automatically follow.
WHAT DO WE DO?
x Corporate Planning & Development
x Performance Improvement
x Marketing Strategy
rotmanmagazine.ca / 79
How
o Companies are Moving
the Needle
e on Gender Equality
Bank of America and Walmart are just two of a growing number of
companies taking decisive steps towards eradicating gender inequality.
by Karen Christensen
IMAGINE A WORLD WHERE EVERY LEADER in every organization takes for hiring, evaluating and investing, we can find ways to change
concrete steps to address the issue of gender inequality. That’s the system itself.
the world that Sarah Kaplan, founding director of the Institute
for Gender and the Economy at the Rotman School of Manage- Gender Lens Investing
ment, is working towards with her team. In an increasingly complex world, the definition of ‘invest-
When asked what it will take to fix the current situation — ing with a gender lens’ is deceptively simple: The deliberate
in which only 22 per cent of senior executives are female (many integration of gender analysis into investment analysis and
fewer are CEOs) and only six to seven per cent of venture capital decision-making. By asking deeper questions about inclusive-
funding goes to woman-owned businesses — Prof. Kaplan has ness in the enterprises in which they invest, gender lens inves-
a one-word answer: innovation. It will be next to impossible, she tors believe they will get better outcomes — both financial and
says, to make any further progress if we continue to do the same societal.
old things within the same old system. “We need to approach According to Bank of America executive Jackie Vander-
diversity — of all kinds, not just gender diversity — as an innova- Brug — who pioneered the approach — two trends have con-
tion problem,” she says, “and make this challenge as exciting as verged to accelerate broad acceptance of gender-lens invest-
every other innovation challenge out there.” ing. “First, investors — even mainstream institutional investors
The good news is that many organizations have taken this — are taking sustainable and responsible investing (SRI) much
challenge to heart. In this article we highlight two of them, show- more seriously,” she says. “The 2015 publication of the Black-
ing that, once we admit that biases are built into our systems Rock-Ceres guide to incorporating environmental, social and
rotmanmagazine.ca / 81
Financial services have not traditionally been marketed well to women.
governance (ESG) considerations into corporate interactions The team recognized that, to define ‘gender-lens investing’
for institutional investors was a notable milestone, pairing the as a new field, they needed to get some academic rigour behind
expertise of the largest money management firm in the world them. “So, we started working with [Rotman School Professor]
and the oldest shareholder engagement advocacy group.” Sarah Kaplan to get the ball rolling.” One of the first articles the
Secondly, a new type of investor has emerged in recent duo wrote was for the Stanford Social Innovation Review [“The
years: The impact investor, who considers the social impact of Rise of Gender Capitalism,” available online] — and it helped
their investment alongside the calculation of risk and return. to define this emerging field. However, even after that, things
“The convergence of these two trends is driving innovation in didn’t improve.
investment strategy and capital markets, and as the shift accel- “As soon as we said the words ‘gender lens’, investors be-
erates over the next decade, the use of gender factors will grow lieved that we were taking half of the population off the table,
with it,” says VanderBrug. and that this approach was therefore limiting.” She and her team
A gender lens might seem like an obvious tool for an impact argued that a gender lens allows investors to see the realities and
investor, but many early social impact finance pioneers didn’t see the needs of women and men, and that this would make them
it that way. As far as they were concerned, their focus on things better investors. “Our job was to shift the view of a gender lens
like poverty and education already supported women. away from being limiting to being something that helps you see
“Back in 2008, I was working with a team at the Criterion new opportunities.”
Institute to better understand the link between female philan- VanderBrug notes that there are many different types of
thropists and impact investors” she explains. “At the time, we felt lenses that help to improve peoples’ vision, and likewise, there
that the philanthropic world and the world of impact investing are different ways to approach gender-lens investing. “In our
were very separate — but that bridging them could create great work, we focus on three approaches: improving access to capital;
value.” promoting equity along the entire value chain; and creating prod-
The problem VanderBrug et al. wanted to solve was this: ucts and services that drive gender equality.”
How could they get female philanthropists to bring their exper- In her experience, financial services have not tradition-
tise and interests to the emerging impact investing space? She ally worked very well for women — or been marketed well to
and her colleagues started talking to these philanthropists about them. For one thing, in her research over the past decade, she
the idea, and right away they asked a question that the team has found that women are disproportionately interested in the
couldn’t answer: ‘What will the impact of these investments be impact of their investments. “One-third of female investors say
on women and girls?’ they want to make investments that have both financial returns
“Our inability to provide a clear answer led us to focus on and positive social environmental impact.” And yet surprisingly,
mapping-out an entirely new sub-field in financial services,” she many of these women have yet to act on this interest. “This as-
says. When VanderBrug and her team started talking to early pirational gap presents significant opportunities,” notes Vander-
impact investors and traditional investors, virtually all of them Brug. “Women tell us that they want to focus on issues that they
said the same thing: ‘You can’t do this. You don’t have any data’; feel strongly about. It might be supporting female entrepreneurs,
or ‘If you do this, you will lose money — and even if you don’t lose education for women globally, or something to do with the en-
money, it won’t make a difference’. “Suffice to say, there was not vironment. Some proactively avoid or embrace certain types of
a lot of momentum behind our efforts”, she says. companies — for instance, those who don’t have any women on
rotmanmagazine.ca / 83
Walmart has a number of mechanisms designed to attract their first job in organized retail. “In Kenya, we worked with
women to become our suppliers. “We do ‘open calls’, where Samasource and women in villages, literally teaching them to
we ask people to come and pitch their product. Working with code product descriptions for the Internet. These employees can
WBENC and WeConnect International, organizations that cer- work from home and participate in global e-commerce retail.
tify women’s businesses, we have found many woman-owned For others, the program might have helped them get a job at their
companies to join forces with. One woman who started out sell- local bodega.”
ing tortillas on a street corner in Atlanta now sells her products Along the way, McLaughlin and her team have learned a few
at Walmart; and there is a woman-owned business that makes key lessons. “Obviously, the first challenge was getting our own
popsicles who is now one of our largest suppliers.” leadership to agree to our sourcing commitments. To do that, you
The second aspect of WEE involves providing training need to gather the results around innovation, perception of the
for women to help elevate their livelihoods. A few years back, customer and higher growth rates. We ended up having higher
Walmart committed to training one million women — 800,000 margins in many of these categories, primarily because the wom-
in emerging markets and 200,000 lower-income women in the en-owned businesses tended to produce more innovative and
U.S. — to help them secure better jobs. In emerging markets, the interesting products.”
program included 131,000 women in factories in China, India, Second, as indicated, they did lots of partnering with
Bangladesh, Central America and South America. different groups to bring the initiative to life. “In China, it took
“We worked with different partners in different countries, us several years just to figure out which businesses were wom-
including BSR (Business for Social Responsibility) and World en-owned because there is no simple directory where you can
Vision. In the agriculture realm, we did a different kind of train- look at ownership structure and leadership and so on. We had
ing, working with women around productivity and yield sus- to build that fact-base from the ground-up by meeting people
tainability. For this, our partners included Mercy Corp, Tech- and companies.”
noserve’s One Acre Fund and the Gates Foundation.” Third, every market is different. “Ironically, Canada, was
The retail-focused training was split between the U.S. and one of the hardest markets to get going because its legal frame-
emerging markets, and its goal was simple: To help women get work is such that you don’t really ask, ‘Is this a woman-led busi-
FOCUS #1: Improve access to capital. Consistently, women ing this target will require a lot of behavioural interventions in
receive six to seven per cent of available venture capital, and terms of networks, changing the process for reviewing deals
the story is even worse for women of colour. The problem is not and much more.
restricted to the U.S. The data indicates a $320 billion gap in
terms of funding for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) FOCUS #2: Promote equity along the entire value chain.
who have a woman on their founding team. We refer to this as Some investors use a lens where they look across a company’s
‘capital punishment’, and as a result of it, the World Bank and entire value chain to gauge whether it is valuing women and
other developmental finance institutions have started to proac- men equally. To do this, they might look at the composition of
tively move capital in this direction. the board and senior management, at promotion processes and
Not surprisingly, as a result of the reality faced by women even at the supply chain. The news on this front is encouraging:
entrepreneurs, the goals in this arena are very conservative: We McKinsey & Company has found that companies with more
are hopeful that by 2025, one-quarter of all venture deals in the women in leadership are 21 per cent more likely to deliver finan-
U.S. will have at least one woman on the founding team. Achiev- cial returns above industry means. And quantitative analysts
at the Bank of America recently wrote a piece called, “Women, that is going to solve a challenge for women, like women’s
the X Factor,” showing that companies with women on boards, safety? Has it taken women into consideration in its offerings?
women in leadership roles and progressive inclusion policies Recent research shows that software design, for example, has
have lower price and earnings volatility. Year-over-year numbers predominantly addressed male patterns of problem-solving.
from two years ago vs. last year indicate that the deliberate Thinking about how to de-bias software design could open up
integration of gender-based data makes a difference in terms of a whole new set of product offerings. I sometimes ask people,
long-term performance. All of these findings are very important ‘When do you think we started to mandate the use of female
to investors, and Wall Street is waking up—if slowly. crash test dummies in the driver’s seat in the U.S.?’ The answer
shocks them: 2011. In general, the design process for new prod-
FOCUS #3: Create products and services that drive ucts and services contains significant gender gaps—and at the
gender equality. Some investors focus on an enterprise’s same time, huge opportunities.
products and services, and how they might improve gender
equality in their markets. Does the company have a product - Jackie VanderBrug
rotmanmagazine.ca / 85
Atif Zia, mba candidate ‘20
www.rotman.utoronto.ca/GEMBA-HLS President, Novocol Healthcare
Idea Exchange
88 NIGEL TRAVIS why the best organizations run on pushback
Q
&A The former CEO of
Dunkin’ Brands explains
the importance of
creating a ‘challenge
How do you define a ‘challenge culture’—and why is it so
important to have one?
In a challenge culture, people are encouraged — even ex-
pected — to question the status quo and push back on long-
held assumptions. Employees are not afraid to speak up or to
question their bosses and peers, and they feel confident that
they won’t face repercussions if they do. In today’s world,
such a culture is essential to every organization’s survival.
Only through questioning, pushback and debate can you
remain relevant.
culture’ in every organization.
Many people view ‘challenge’ as a negative word. What
Interview by Karen Christensen
do you say to them?
That is true, and it’s the reason I always put the term togeth-
er with ‘culture’. In a challenge culture, questioning some-
one is intended to be a positive thing and discourse is always
civil. Challenge is very different from confrontation: It does
not involve attack, intimidation or bullying. Questioning,
discourse and pushback are intended to generate learning, level workers. The culture of fear ran so deep that just a year
stimulate ideas, foster innovation and build healthy rela- later, Wells Fargo was found to be up to the same old tricks.
tionships. Shortly after being interrogated by the U.S. Senate Banking
There was an article in the Wall Street Journal recently Committee, then-CEO John Stumpf retired and vanished
about the book about Netflix [Powerful: Building a Culture of from the public eye, and the company was seriously dam-
Freedom and Responsibility by Patty McCord]. As indicated aged by the experience.
in the book, Netflix takes the concept of a challenge culture The lesson is this: If you don’t allow enough challenge
to an extreme. I actually think you need to be more balanced within your organization, someone else may very well end
about it: If you are challenging people more than 10 per cent up doing the questioning for you. You may not have to face
of the time, it becomes counterproductive. a congressional committee, but it is likely that you will find
As leaders, we need to set up opportunities and encour- yourself dealing with other outsiders — such as activist in-
age our people to challenge things. In my own organizations, vestors. Furthermore, with unemployment at historically
I set the ball in motion by organizing ‘Coffee Chats’ for em- low rates, companies are in a war for talent, and culture is
ployees, including people from all levels. I’ve found that if more important than ever. Making your culture positive and
you give people examples of topics they can bring up in these safe has become a critical element for success.
sessions, they realize that nothing is taboo and that it is a
safe environment for frank discussion. When you joined Dunkin’ Brands in 2009, it did not yet
have a robust challenge culture. What steps did you take
Describe the other end of the spectrum—the ‘you’re to change that?
fired!’ culture that has prevailed at some companies. In my first senior management meeting, I realized that I was
Trump and The Apprentice epitomize the ‘you’re fired’ cul- doing most of the talking. Everyone appeared to be stuck in
ture as a competitive workplace that rewards results and their silos: The general counsel was only thinking about le-
where leaders are bold and decisive. But Trump hardly in- gal issues, and the marketing VP was only thinking about
vented the concept. The notion that one’s connection to an marketing. That is why everyone who has ever joined my
organization can be severed at any time is very bad for the management team has heard me say, ‘I encourage you all
stability of any organization. Wells Fargo was an extreme to speak about and challenge our entire business — not just
example of this type of culture. Over a period of years, it parts of it’. I make it clear that I want people to be outspo-
engaged in a variety of dubious practices designed to bring ken, to take risks and say things that they may feel uncom-
in more customers and sell more products. The pressure on fortable saying.
employees to meet sales targets — especially at lower levels To encourage this, I might say to my finance execu-
of the organization — was so great that they began to engage tive, ‘Hey, what do you think about this new marketing
in questionable practices such as signing up customers for idea? Do you think it’s going to resonate?’ I have reinforced
services without their approval. this mindset over time — and in truth, I did have to change
Employees were reluctant to speak up for fear of losing some people on the senior team, because they just weren’t
their jobs, and rightly so: When these practices came to light, comfortable with it. But before long, one of my senior vice
the company failed to admit its mistakes and fired 5,300 low- presidents openly challenged me in a meeting. Once you get
rotmanmagazine.ca / 89
People get defensive when they perceive something
as criticism, and that needs to be trained away.
@utpress
Nigel Travis is the Chairman of Dunkin’ Brands and was CEO from
2009 through 2018. He was previously CEO of Papa John’s and
President and Chief Operating Officer of Blockbuster. He is the
utorontopress.com
author of The Challenge Culture: Why the Most Successful Organizations
Run on Pushback (PublicAffairs, 2018).
rotmanmagazine.ca / 91
FACULTY FOCUS Brian Golden, Sandra Rotman Chair in Health Sector Strategy, Rotman School of Management
The Psychology
of Influence
Interview by Karen Christensen
Change is one of the few constants for every organization it teaches us a lot about how groups interact with each other
today. What are some of the key challenges it presents? — and to face the fact that many groups are dysfunctional.
One of the challenges — especially for I’ve also used it with boards, including one that I chaired.
organizations that have been successful The film provides wonderful examples of ‘small p’ poli-
— is just that: they have been successful. tics in groups — from coalition building to framing ideas to
They’ve learned certain routines and they showing respect for others, even when you disagree with
continue to go back to them. As a result, them. The main character, played by Henry Fonda, is an
they engage only in incremental change. architect, which is a beautiful metaphor because he becomes
That works well when the world itself is changing incre- the architect of that team. He builds it from a group of 12
mentally, but in many industries today, that is not the case. individuals who seemingly have very little in common into
As a result, we’ve got to un-learn what has worked for us in a cohesive group that comes together to do the right thing.
the past, and that requires developing new mental models
and an understanding of how the world works — how all the Talk a bit about the Fonda character’s approach to deal-
pieces fit together. ing with opposition from the other jurors.
The core of the challenge is getting away from a mind- Throughout the film, Fonda is extremely thoughtful and
set of inertia and recognizing that, while tomorrow might calm. He is not a charismatic leader in any way. Instead,
look similar to today, 10 days from now, 100 days from now he takes his time to size up the different decision makers
and 1,000 days from now will certainly not look the same in the group, one by one. Because this is a jury, he knows
in most sectors. We have to be prepared to work differently, nothing about them. In order to understand them, he has
think differently and develop new models. to sit back and observe what they care about, what they re-
spond to, when they engage, and how they respond to the
For many years you have used the film Twelve Angry Men framing of issues.
as a case study in your classes. What are some of its key For instance, one character is incredibly emotional.
lessons? He’s dealing with personal issues unrelated to the trial, and
This is a wonderful film from 1957 that was written by we see Fonda helping him understand his past. He also notes
a starving playwright who had sat on a jury for a few days that one of the jurors cares a lot about justice, so he frames
and this cemented his incredible insights into how people the challenge before them as one of justice and equity to
influence each other. I use the film in my classrooms because appeal to that individual. Another character happens to be
Research indicates that across cultures, genders and 3. Authority We believe what trustworthy and
levels of intelligence, about 30 per cent of us are highly credible experts say.
influenced by those around us— —to the point where we
4. Commitment We are most likely to do what
will agree with things that we know to be wrong. What are is consistent with what we have
the implications in an organization? done in the past.
This is one scenario where leadership is especially impor-
tant. One of my collaborators, Harvard Business School 5. Consensus We trust the power of the crowd
Professor Amy Edmondson has done a lot of work on ‘psy- and like to be associated with
chological safety’ [Editor’s Note: read our interview with popular things.
Prof. Edmondson on page 74.] One of the key elements of
6. Likeability We say Yes to people that we like.
psychological safety is providing an environment where Similarity, compliments and coopera-
the less powerful and more junior members of a team feel tive efforts help.
safe and protected to stand up and say, ‘The emperor has no
clothes on’ — that the data are arguing for something very
different from what the group is saying. Particularly when
there is a ‘numerical minority’ in a group situation — i.e.,
when there is one person or very few with a different posi-
tion from the majority — creating a structure where every-
one has a voice is critical. were afraid to say ‘This is wrong’. I spent a good deal of time
In one case, I was working with a CEO who was a bit of coaching him after that experience, and I’m happy to say
a bully. His team was afraid to tell him he was wrong, and that he changed, because he was so disturbed by the culture
they were very rational in that fear: He had punished peo- he had created.
ple who had taken contrary positions to him. In one case,
he misspoke during a key corporate presentation, telling Tell us more about the dynamics between the minority
the audience, ‘This is the time to introduce our products in and the majority in a group interaction.
the East’ — when he meant to say, ‘This is not the time to If you are in the minority, my advice is to take it slowly. Get
introduce our products in the East’. For the first 14 minutes a foot in the door. Ask your questions and make your argu-
of his presentation, everything he said had argued against ments in a very particular way. Four magic words that I love
this. He ended his presentation without recognizing his are, ‘Is it possible that…?’ This is not an assertion, it’s an in-
error. When he asked his people, ‘What did you think?’, they quiry, and I have found that it opens up the group to consid-
all said, ‘Bob, (I’m making up his name), I agree with you. ering alternatives.
This is the year to bring our products to the East’. You also have to recognize that coalitions are critical
Later, when he realized his error, it was a truly eye- and you’ve got to build support. I tell people to always look
opening experience for him. He recognized that he had for the easy wins first, because numbers matter. Returning
created a culture where the less influential and more junior to the jury example, it’s very difficult for any person to join
rotmanmagazine.ca / 93
A Framework for Transforming Organizations
FIGURE ONE
me if I’m one person and they’re part of a group of 11; but is looking for a job, and I know a former graduate who is
it’s a lot easier for a third person to join two of us, and for a looking to hire someone with her skills. Without her ask-
fourth person to join three of us. ing, I will go ahead and bring them together. I’ve just done a
favour for both of them that was easy for me to do and valu-
Social psychologist Robert Cialdini has developed six able for both of them, and it’s going to make it a lot easier for
principles of persuasion (see previous page). In your me to call on either one of them for a favour someday. I don’t
experience, which is the most important principle and do the deed with the intention of calling in that favour —
which is the most difficult to embrace? because I don’t know if I’ll ever need to.
It’s hard to say which is most important, but in my experi- One of the challenges with using any of Cialdini’s prin-
ence, the principle of liking is absolutely critical. The idea ciples of persuasion is that, whether you’re using praise
behind it is that the others in the group have to recognize or making deposits in the favour bank, you can be viewed
that you have something in common with them. This can as a bit Machiavellian. We have this view that acting in
be achieved in a couple of different ways. You can show ap- a political way is a bad thing; but the reality is, if you’re
preciation for them and use praise, but beware: There are going to be an effective leader, you have to use your influ-
some interesting gender differences around using praise. ence. I would characterize that as the political reality of
Research suggests that praise has to be considered sincere organizations.
in order for it to be effective — but that this is more true for The first course I ever taught, 30 years ago, was called
women. It turns out that men, on averge, are much more “Power and Politics”. At the time, I was interviewed by Busi-
needy of praise. Even when we know it’s not sincere or genu- nessWeek, because it was an unusual course in a business
ine, it still has a positive effect. The key is to find a connec- school. The interviewer said to me, “Teaching ‘Power and
tion to someone so that you’re not just a business colleague, Politics’ to MBA students seems a lot like sharpening the
but you have something in common. teeth of sharks. How do you feel about that?” My response
Another important principle is reciprocity. Personally, was, “Politics is a reality in every organization. If you aren’t
I always try to make ‘deposits’ in the ‘favour bank’ in advance effective at it, you can’t be an effective leader.” One of the
of ever having to call on them. Say a student tells me she challenges of using these principles is making sure that you
never cross your own ethical line. You must be comfort- contrary to what we would like. Then we get upset with peo-
able in your purpose and ensure you are not hurting others ple — when we really ought to be looking at ourselves and
through your persuasive tactics. asking, ‘Have we designed a reward system that encourages
people to do what we want them to do?’ A classic example
As we strive to observe people more closely, what should is rewarding for individual performance and wondering
we be looking out for? why some people act like mercenaries and are unwilling to
Many readers of this magazine are likely very action-orient- help others.
ed — and that’s a bit of a problem if you’re trying to read a As another example of poor design, we may inadver-
group. One of the most important skills you can work on is tently create an environment where people lack sufficient
listening — just shutting up and listening in the early stag- information about why they are doing what they are do-
es of a group interaction, so you know who you’re dealing ing and how it impacts others. If people don’t understand
with, what is important to them, and how to frame the issue the purpose of their work, they are very likely to underper-
at hand. Influence is all about the interpersonal. It is about form and act in ways that frustrate their colleagues. But
putting yourself in other peoples’ shoes. they shouldn’t be blamed for that, because leaders haven’t
If you watch the film, you see that the jury was there properly designed the environment. In my view, the leader’s
that day to convict someone — not to determine the truth. job is to very clearly articulate the strategy and the goals of
Fonda reframes their task as ‘understanding all the informa- the organization; and then, to design an environment that
tion we have, making sense of it, and then determining the makes it easy for people to know what the right thing to do
truth’ — as opposed to selectively picking information that is, to have the skills and tools to do it, and to benefit in some
confirms peoples’ prior beliefs. One thing we know about way — whether it be intrinsically or extrinsically.
mental models is that we give far more attention to informa- I always tell my students, when someone isn’t perform-
tion that confirms our beliefs, and we often discount other ing in the way you want them to, it usually comes down to
information. We need to be aware of this bias and innocu- three things: One, they don’t know what you want from
late ourselves so we can open our minds to information that them; two, there is nothing in it for them; or three, they’re
contradicts our beliefs. unable to do it, either because of a skill deficit or organiza-
tional impediments. If you address these three things, you
Stage Three of your model for change (see Figure One) will create an environment where you get what you need
involves organizational redesign. Could you talk a bit from people.
about the role of the leader as architect and how to bring
that to life?
Too often, when organizations or groups are not performing
at the level we expect, the default is to think there is some-
thing wrong with the people — that they’re not motivated,
or they’re not sufficiently skilled. But that is often an easy,
but wrong attribution. In my experience — and this is sup-
ported by decades of research — people respond in large part
Brian Golden is the Sandra Rotman Chair in Health Sector Strategy at
to their social setting. If you start out with that assumption,
the University of Toronto and the University Health Network; Academic
the question becomes, ‘What levers are available to me as Director of the Sandra Rotman Centre for Health Sector Strategy;
a leader to create an environment that is conducive to high Professor of Strategic Management; Co-Academic Director of the Global
performance?’ Executive MBA for Healthcare and the Life Sciences program; and Vice
Dean of MBA Programs at the Rotman School of Management.
For example, there is a classic article by Steve Kerr
called “The Folly of Rewarding A While Hoping for B.” The Rotman faculty research is ranked #16 worldwide by the Financial
idea is that our incentive systems often encourage behaviour Times.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 95
QUESTIONS FOR Laura Methot, Psychologist
Q
&A
What is a CAVE person?
The acronym stands for Citizens Against Virtually Every-
thing. It’s a term I first heard in the 1990s while consulting
with a group of supervisors at a manufacturing plant. Meta-
phorically, it refers to people who resist any kind of change.
These people bypass the ‘wait and see how it goes’ step and
position themselves right away as anti-change advocates.
As employees, they can have a toxic effect, poisoning the at-
titudes of co-workers and building a wall of resistance. For
a change program to succeed, leaders have to address them
and neutralize their negativity.
status, or even their job; and fear of losing face and looking and destroy’ mission to uncover troublemakers, or it will
incompetent. That typically shows up in people who have a wind up instilling fear and reinforcing mistrust in an al-
history of performance problems. ready-nervous group of employees.
Mistrust is the other common root of negativity. In
times of change, you will often hear grumbling such as, Have you ever seen a case where the CAVE person is a
‘Management is always looking for ways to squeeze more widely respected high performer?
out of us’. Sometimes, the CAVE person is struggling with I’ve never run across a true CAVE person who is a high
issues at home or has other problems that affect his/her be- performer — but I’m sure they exist. However, I have seen
haviour. These people may not even realize that they are be- plenty of high-performing individuals who are very nega-
ing so negative and affecting their co-workers. As a result, tive about a specific impending change initiative. The best
sometimes, just speaking frankly with the person will help. way to approach them is with a frank and direct conversa-
tion. In my experience, their negativity usually comes from
Research indicates that employees who exhibit these damaged relationships, or the person has a difference of
negative mindsets have four to seven times as much im- opinion and feels like they haven’t been heard. In many
pact as positive employees. Is this a losing battle? cases, their opinions are quite valid. The key is to learn why
Not at all. Many CAVE people act this way because of a the person is so against the change, and what you can glean
history of reinforcement. Over time, they learn that when from that to approach the initiative in a more inclusive way
they speak out in resistance, a couple of things happen. moving forward.
First, they get left alone. They aren’t asked to be on change
teams, which typically means extra work. Second, they learn You have identified five behaviours that a leader can ex-
that they draw followers: Other employees pay attention to hibit to achieve more positive reactions to change. What
them, and that lends credence to their negative talk. Once are they?
we understand what is driving this behaviour, we can take The most important thing is to be clear and unwavering
measures to change it. about expectations. People need to know that their negative
behaviour is not going to get them out of participating in the
You have found that sometimes, CAVE people are quiet change initiative. Second, listen to peoples’ concerns. Show
and do their damage behind the scenes. How can this be- dissenters respect, and keep your own temper in check. By
haviour be handled? listening, you may uncover the root of the problem and en-
I suggest proactively talking to people, especially those on able dissenters to push through to a more productive stance.
the front lines and the supervisors and employees who will I would also say, always focus on the behaviour, not the
be most affected by the pending change. Also, talk to HR individual. Be very specific about the person’s words and
and bring groups of employees together for conversations actions. For example, you could start by asking, ‘why is this
about change. Resisters will often make themselves known idea so bad?’ rather than, ‘why are you being so disruptive?’
in these forums — as will positive opinion leaders and early Using such labels can feel like an accusation and sets the
adopters, who can help to counter the resistance. stage for an argument.
A word of caution: Setting up dialogues needs to be If you are unable to come to a solution through dia-
done with full transparency. It can’t come across as a ‘seek logue, I suggest acting very quickly and moving the person to
rotmanmagazine.ca / 97
There are far too many examples of leaders modelling intolerance.
a role where they can’t do any more damage — or terminat- revealed by the way people speak and act, which indicates
ing them. That sends a clear message about the expectations what is acceptable in that environment. Inclusion is about
of your culture, and early adopters and high performers will shaping our culture to a point where all members can feel
appreciate that you’ve enabled them to get on with things. accepted and be treated fairly and equitably, where they are
Overall, I advise looking at change in the context of inspired to participate at all levels. An inclusive culture is the
your organizational culture. Cultures are revealed by how key to unlocking the value that diversity brings to our work-
people speak and act, reflecting organizational norms as places and communities.
to what is acceptable. When leaders set clear expectations, Having said that, I think ‘leaning in’ to make sure we’re
observe employees in action and give and receive feedback, helping more people succeed is only half of the solution.
people have an easier time making change happen, and Leaders also need to figure out where and how the words
norms gradually shift to reflect the new reality. and actions of people within the organization are creating an
exclusionary environment. It’s not just about creating new
For readers who have a change initiative coming up or policies or training more people; those are necessary but
want to propose one, what can they do to keep negativity not sufficient. Changing from intolerance to tolerance and
at bay? from exclusion to inclusion involves changing how people
I would advise them to start with the assumption that most think and act from day to day, and it’s up to leaders to model
people come to work wanting to do the right thing. Change that change. There are far too many examples of leaders
is the hardest on people when they aren’t given the whys, the modelling intolerance. We need to see more modelling of
whats and the hows. It’s very important to engage early and positive change in our communities and workplaces.
often with the affected population — to help them anticipate
what is going to happen and what it will mean for them per-
sonally. Include people in designing solutions rather than
having a small group of experts create the change some-
where else, announcing it at the last minute, and then plunk-
ing it into the organization. That is a recipe for disaster.
Q
&A
Why is it such a great time to be a cognitive scientist right
now?
More than ever, people are talking about how the brain
works, and everyone wants to understand how to change be-
haviour. As a result, the inner workings of the brain are no
longer the purview of those trained in Neuroscience. Terms
that were once considered esoteric, like amygdala and
prefrontal cortex have become as commonplace as inflation
and sustainability. Put simply, cognitive science has become
accessible.
This is a beautiful moment in time where the bridge
between academia and the private sector is stronger than
ever — where we can translate a theoretical understanding
of the nuances of human behaviour into implementable
solutions that influence how our society operates. As a sci-
entist, it doesn’t get any better than that.
A cognitive scientist PwC has its own Behavioural Science practice. Why is
the firm investing in this, and what is your role?
describes the increasing As a firm, PwC fosters a culture of collaborative ideation
value of behavioural and celebrates collective diversity of thought. It is with this
mindset that the firm was able to see and nurture the natural
insights for business. alignment between cognitive neuroscience, psychology and
social influence with the traditional consulting toolkit. We
Interview by Karen Christensen
are now systematically incorporating behavioural science
into the way we both understand and solve our clients’
most important problems.
I joined the firm with a mandate to build and lead the
practice, and almost three years later, I am happy to report
that the PwC Behavioural Insights team has trusted clients
across the banking, insurance, utilities, retail, government
rotmanmagazine.ca / 99
DID YOU KNOW? Gallup research shows that companies
applying behavioural economics principles outperformed
their peers by 85 per cent in sales growth and more than
25 per cent in gross margin during a one-year period.
and non-profit sectors. I work with an incredible team us — sometimes in significant ways. When we start think-
— most notably James Morrison, Mohsin Bin Latheef, ing about this nuance within the context of leadership and
Sarah Khan and Matthew Satterthwaite. They are all bril- organizational behaviour, it becomes clear that sentiment
liant, curious and inspired, and they make my job easy. and attitude can spread like a contagion throughout the
workforce — and that is not always a good thing. The onus
In your experience, which industries/sectors can benefit is on leadership — and its reinforcement of and care for
the most from behavioural insights? team culture — to harness and balance collective energy
In my opinion, the behavioural toolkit has its greatest ap- for the betterment of the whole.
plication in sectors where there is a significant gap between
peoples’ intentions and their actual behaviour. We call this Many of your clients are in financial services. As we all
‘the intention/action gap’, and it often has a significant know, the process of building financial well-being over
impact on the financial, social, mental and physical well- time is riddled with biases. Describe a few of the key cul-
being of stakeholders — whether it be employees, customers prits.
or citizens. It is important to note that biases are not distinct operations
This means that our Behavioural team spends a con- within the brain. Rather, they tend to ebb and flow depend-
siderable amount of time helping stakeholders make the ing on the context. When it comes to any future-based de-
right decisions for them — from saving more for the future cision, we are generally at a disadvantage because of our
and making informed decisions with their investments, to brain’s data-processing capabilities. ‘Present data’ — the
putting their paper in the recycling bin and riding public data that we are crunching in the here and now to make a
transit, to avoiding chronic diseases and sticking to treat- decision in the moment — are very concrete and available.
ment regimens. These problems naturally align to finan- But when it comes to thinking about the future, the data we
cial services and healthcare markets broadly, but they are use to build our mental model is ambiguous. Combined
also ripe for organizations that operate within the public with the fact that we tend to overestimate our capabilities
and social-good markets. and underestimate the likelihood of negative events, our
brains like to fill in the gaps with best-case scenarios: ‘I
The majority of the human brain is built around social will spend less in the future’; ‘I will get a promotion’; or ‘I
connections. What are the implications for behaviour? will stick to my new years’ resolution of packing a lunch’.
One of my favourite theories of Neuropsychology is that the This decision-making process makes it very easy to justify
human brain has evolved over time due to the pressures of spending money today.
social contract and connectivity. I love this theory because
it acts as a consistent reminder that as a species, we are truly Which key principles of choice architecture do financial
better when we act together. advisors need to understand?
However, this natural knack for social connectivity Financial advisors have a really tough job: They have to
means that whether we mean it to or not, our behaviour somehow distill the incredibly complex and esoteric world
influences other people and others’ behaviour influences of finance into simple explanations that enable their clients
BIAS 1: LOSS AVERSION. Some investors focus more 3. Overload: Providing too much information can have an
on losing money even if the rest of their portfolio is up. impact on the decision-making process, as your clients
This can result in your clients either taking on too much might have a difficult time discerning the most important
risk to recover losses or seeking an overly conservative elements. To the extent possible, limit the number of
investment strategy. decisions the client needs to make in a single session.
Solution: Risk tolerance questionnaires can help you BIAS 3: ANCHORING. First impressions are hard to
gather information about your client’s ability to deal with shake — especially for investors who rely on the first piece
losses. Focusing on your clients’ investment goals can of information they receive to make future decisions.
help manage risk without succumbing to the fear of loss.
Solution: Anchoring does not have to be a bad thing. Use
BIAS 2: DECISION FRAMING. Framing impacts deci- it to your advantage by helping clients set an anchor based
sions based on how information is presented. How a ques- on their financial goals. For example, this can be useful
tion is presented, the language used and amount of infor- when trying to determine how much they will spend in
mation can cause an investor to change their decision. retirement. A good approach is to set an anchor based on
how much they are spending today and adjusting it based
Solutions: on how their lifestyle may change in retirement.
1. Choice architecture: The order and layout of the
options presented influences decision making. Simplify TEST YOUR OWN COGNITIVE BIASES:
the presentation of options to make it easy for clients www.pwc.com/ca/en/services/consulting/behavioural-
to understand — for example: Arrange options from economics/cognitive-biases-in-action.html
lowest to highest risk.
to understand risk and reward. In particular, advisers need sign and deliver their products and services, the way they
to be aware of a few things: That their customers can be par- interact with and motivate employees, and the way they
alyzed by too many options; anchored by the order of infor- make decisions.
mation; disproportionately dissuaded by salient information Looking ahead, I see a bright future where our public
like fees; overly attached to investment strategies they have and private organizations weave behavioural insights into
held for a long time; asymmetrically influenced by news and the core of their processes and procedures — in particular,
information that confirms their beliefs of the world; and can at the competitive edge, where shared value can be cre-
be influenced by waves of influence or trends. It is so impor- ated between citizens and government, and between cus-
tant for financial advisors to keep the action/intention gap tomers and companies.
at the forefront of their conversations with clients.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 101
QUESTIONS FOR C.J. Pascoe, Sociologist and Gender Expert, University of Oregon
Q
&A A sociologist who studies
masculinity talks about
‘the gender of Trumpism’’.
Describe the ‘modes of masculinity’ that have been at the
heart of President Trump’s rise to power in the U.S.
In recent years we have been witnessing a sense of entitle-
ment among white American men — especially working-
class evangelical Christians. These men have been assert-
ing a brand of masculinity that they feel has been under
attack for the past 40 years, as we have seen increasing gains
socially, legally and in terms of policy for groups that were
historically disenfranchised. While many people under-
stand these gains as necessary improvements towards
equality, this group of men has experienced them as an at-
tack on their traditional role in society. I call it ‘the gender
of Trumpism’.
Interview by Karen Christensen You have said that for these men, certain global econom-
ic shifts have been particularly painful. Please explain.
You only have to follow the news to know that the West is
declining in power, while we are seeing increasing power
from nations like China. This has been felt on the ground —
again, mostly by white working-class men — as a decline in
union power. Stable manufacturing jobs have disappeared
and real wages have declined, and they feel like the basis of
their identity is being eroded.
In the West, the expectation has always been for men You believe that we need to redefine gender norms that
to be ‘powerful’ and ‘dominant’, and these shifts in the are damaging to both young boys and girls. Please de-
global economic system have taken away some of the ways scribe these norms.
in which they exhibit dominance and competence. As UC Since the mid 1970s, we have seen an increasing discourse
Berkeley Sociologist Arlie Hochschild has said, this has around the evolving notion of ‘what it means to be a girl’.
been an era of numerous challenges to masculinity, espe- While we haven’t yet reached equality for women, we are at
cially white working-class masculinity. least sending messages to girls about how strong, powerful
and smart they are.
‘Masculinity as dominance’ doesn’t just entail dominance The problem is, we haven’t seen a similar shift for
over women—it also entails dominance over other men. boys. There has been no widespread discussion about
How does this manifest itself? how boys can be more empathetic and sensitive, and how
One of the most interesting things about watching the rise to value things like cooperation. Instead, we continue to
of Trump and his beliefs has been the gender discourses give boys the message that ‘being a real man’ means be-
displayed both by the President and his supporters — as well ing dominant over others; and if they slip up at any time,
as by those who are opposed to Trump and what he stands they are subject to emasculating insults or homophobic
for. When Trump speaks, we very often see discourses of epithets.
dominance over other men. He emasculates people on a This mindset sends really scary messages to young
regular basis, talking about Mexican immigrants as ‘failed men, and they take a toll not just on them, but also on
men’ who are violent sexual predators. He has even called young women. While we are telling young women, ‘You
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau ‘weak’. Much to can be anything you want to be’, at the same time, they
his credit, Trudeau didn’t take the bait. continue to be used as resources by young men to shore
None of this is new for Trump. This is something he up their own masculinity. When young men enact what I
was doing way back in the 1980s, when he said similar call ‘compulsive heterosexuality’, they are not expressing
things about the Central Park Five [the case where five care or love for young women; they are using their bod-
teenagers were wrongfully convicted of raping a woman]. ies as props to build up their own masculinity and showing
We also see him constantly challenging the masculinity how much more powerful they are.
of the men who oppose him — but we see the same thing
with the groups who oppose Trump. They also use emas- What’s the best way to deal with ‘compulsive heterosexu-
culating language, making fun of Trump’s ‘tiny hands’ or ality’?
talking about how he is Putin’s ‘wife’, to put it nicely. We One thing we need to do with young people of all genders
are seeing these discourses emerge on both sides, in a way is to talk about desire and love and affection, and equip
that indicates how powerful insults around masculinity them with language about their emotions. If you talk to
are in our culture. young men about what it means to be in a relationship, or
rotmanmagazine.ca / 103
President Obama personified a new way to be a man: calm,
self-assured, thoughtful, intellectual and gentle.
what it means to be heterosexual, you find that they don’t dominance — putting people down and being very antago-
necessarily have a language for these things. And when they nistic. Basically, we have these two visions of masculinity
do enact romantic behaviour — for instance, if they are seen competing for America’s soul. That’s the scary moment in
being tender or caring — they are often mocked by their which we find ourselves, and I think it’s part of what’s fuel-
peers for not being masculine enough. As adults, we need ing the political rancor we see at the moment.
to help shift these norms.
Are you hopeful that things will get better?
How is social media affecting all of this? I am an optimist and I believe that humans are, by nature,
On the one hand, social media is amplifying all of these good; but the truth is, I think things are going to get worse
negative affects. When someone uses an emasculating in- before they get better. I do think we will end up in a place
sult against Trump or a Trump supporter uses one against where we embrace a variety of gendered expressions that
someone else, the message spreads quickly and gets ampli- can reflect the whole of humanity. But it will take some
fied. However, at the same time, social media is having a time and plenty of effort from all of us.
secondary effect that is more positive: It is providing infor-
mation to young people about alternative ‘ways of being’
in this world. For the first time ever, young people have
almost as much access to information as adults; there
aren’t really any gatekeepers anymore. If a young person
is seeking, say, resources around homophobia or what it
means to be masculine, they can go online and quickly find
things like the Good Men Project or the White Ribbon
Campaign, where they will learn that not everyone acts in
these problematic ways. They can quickly learn that there
are other ways for them to behave, and that there are re-
sources out there to show them how to do that.
Given all of the above, what does a ‘real man’ look like
today?
At the moment we have competing visions of what a real
man looks like, and those visions — at least in the U.S. —
have played out on the political stage, where they are epito- C.J. Pascoe is an Associate Professor of Sociology, the David and Nancy
mized by President Barack Obama and President Trump. Petrone Faculty Scholar and Director of Undergraduate Studies at the
Obama personified a new way to be a man: He was calm, University of Oregon. She is the author of Dude, You’re a Fag: Masculin-
ity and Sexuality in High School (University of California Press, 2007)
self-assured, thoughtful, intellectual and gentle. Then, with
and co-author of Exploring Masculinity: Identity, Inequality, Continuity
Trump, we have seen a harkening back to an outdated form and Change (Oxford University Press, 2016). Her paper, “The Gender of
of masculinity that was all about bluster and bravado and Trumpism: Who Is A Real Man?” is available on her website: cjpascoe.com
Financing
Sustainability:
A Market Emerges
FOR YEARS, sustainability professionals — pense budgets. However, when they pitch the longer-term
and the academics who study their work capital requirements to access internal pools of capital, we
— have been answering some tough ques- have seen them thwarted time and time again by otherwise
tions. Is there a business case? (Yes). Can typical features of many socially-responsible investments:
we determine which social and environ- complexity, long-term payoff, and modest or moderate fi-
mental issues are most important to our nancial returns. In other words, these initiatives often fail
business? (Yes). Is it possible to measure and report on sus- the test for internal capital allocation.
tainability practices credibly? (Yes). Can we deliver value to Some companies simply do it anyway, typically with the
business and society? (Yes). Simply put, the evidence shows leadership of key executives. For instance, Walmart’s lead-
that companies generally perform better if they’re more sus- ership invested in a massive sustainable supply-chain man-
tainable. agement initiative that has had global reach and helped it
However, despite this progress, many sustainability manage risks and establish a new narrative with consumers;
professionals still struggle to access budgets internally — in and under Paul Polman, Unilever repositioned itself as ‘the
particular, long-term funding for big, multi-year projects. sustainable living company’ and consistently outperformed
The fact is that they may know where they want to go, but its rivals in the public markets for more than 10 years.
they’re short on capital — the fuel needed to achieve greater But in the absence of such clear executive commitment,
social and environmental benefit. how can sustainability professionals get further down this
In our research and consulting work at the Lee-Chin road? How can we fund projects with long(er) time horizons
Institute and through our networks, we have seen a number and lower rates of return but also with important long-term
of major corporations develop a bold sustainability strategy, payoffs for the company and the world? How can we better
map out breakthrough programming to support it, and gain leverage the capital markets and the finance capabilities of
support for the intent of the project and its initial costs — our companies in support of social, environmental — and
often from annual philanthropy, sponsorship or other ex- business — benefits?
rotmanmagazine.ca / 105
Unilever,
r Apple and Toyota Finance have issued
bonds worth billions for their own green projects.
The answer may be in the burgeoning market for sus- Caroline Flammer recently noted that corporate green
tainable and responsible investments (SRI). Worldwide, bonds “yield a positive stock market reaction, improve-
more and more investments have been made with regard ments in financial and environmental performance, an in-
for sustainability. In 2015, the market for all types of SRI of- crease in green innovations, and an increase in stock own-
ferings reached US$ 22.90 trillion (26.3 per cent of all global ership by long-term and green investors.”
capital markets) according to the Global Sustainable In- Companies can also access funds raised by govern-
vestment Alliance (GSIA). Specifically, two approaches ments, municipalities and a range of private players through
may be the most relevant to sustainability practitioners green bonds. Examples include green bonds worth more
within companies: green bonds and impact investments. than US$4.35 billion by Bank of America, and in Canada,
the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB)
1. GREEN BONDS raised over $3 billion for investments.
Green bonds (publicly or privately issued) raise and deploy However, there remains a risk that such funds are not
funds for environment-beneficial projects (retrofits, clean consistently ‘green’. To overcome this, financiers appear to
energy, pollution mitigation, etc.), offering a safe and pre- be increasingly making use of the ‘Green Bond Principles’
dictable rate of return for investors often at a rate slightly (GBPs) or the Climate Bond Certification (CBCs), as well as
lower than more traditional bonds. Remarkably, green bond third party verification.
issuance grew more than 100 times between 2012 and 2017,
from US$3 billion to US$389 billion (according to the Cli- 2. IMPACT INVESTMENTS
mate Bond Initiative). Impact investing is another type of SRI investing that seeks
For sustainability professionals and their companies, both measurable social and environmental impact along-
there is a clear opportunity here to get past the capital road- side financial returns. Between 2013 and 2017, the global
block. The cost of capital of green bonds can sometimes be impact investing market grew almost tenfold from US$ 25.4
lower than that from other sources, even internal sources. to US$ 228 billion. As the market continues to grow, more
In this case, external capital could be more attractive than and more major financial institutions like BlackRock and
internal capital. Companies that access funds through green UBS are joining pioneers like Bridges and Calvert.
bonds could potentially be able to allocate funds to their With all of these funds seeking investments, sustain-
highest-potential capital projects and — at the same time — ability professionals may be able to access external funds
fund more activities with environmental benefits. that align with their environmental and social benefit initia-
There are two principal ways for practitioners to use tives. This may be most compelling for companies that have
green bonds: raising your own funds by issuing a corpo- a tangible environmental or social purpose — for example,
rate green bond; or accessing green bonds raised by oth- renewable energy or education. However, even more tra-
ers. More and more companies are issuing their own green ditional companies could potentially seek investments for
bonds. There are plenty of examples: Unilever, Apple and specific projects.
Toyota Finance have issued bonds worth billions for their Clearly, the type and the stage of an organization plays
own green projects. Best of all, companies issuing green a role in determining how to access these markets. For start-
bonds appear to be paying both environmental and finan- ups or social enterprises (businesses with a specific social or
cial dividends. Boston University Professor of Strategy environmental purpose), there are a range of fast-growing
networks of angel or early-stage investors, including Angel. reporting and ultimately, how to deliver both business and
co and F6S. social value.
Another option for social enterprises is social impact These are all powerful advances. However, the better
bonds (SIBs), increasingly known as pay-for-performance we get, the more it becomes apparent that we need more fuel
contracts. This is a complex investment vehicle in which a — that is, more financial resources — for our sustainability
principal (often a government funder) invests in an organiza- initiatives than is easily accessible in internal pools of capi-
tion or program that is expected to have a social or environ- tal. To overcome this challenge, we can access new pools of
mental benefit. A third party is typically engaged to verify external capital, but we will need to learn and engage in an-
achievement of the benefits, which triggers payment to the other set of capabilities: finance and investment.
principal. However, the benefits of SIBs may be outweighed
by the complexities. In closing
For more established companies, issuing a green bond Happily, the investment market is looking for good work to
is one possibility that could be targeted to impact investors fund. Many of our companies — especially the larger, estab-
with an interest in environmental benefit. But there are oth- lished, publically-traded ones — have strong finance capa-
er ways to structure deals to support projects with environ- bilities that we have only tangentially leveraged.
mental or social benefit. Perhaps the time has come for us to reach out to our
Companies with advanced finance capabilities might finance colleagues, connect our work with the capital mar-
consider more complex instruments like real options or spe- kets, and potentially have a greater positive environmental
cial purpose vehicles. Real options allow an investor to partici- and social impact than ever before.
pate in an investment in a tangible (real) asset. For example,
a company could offer an investor greater access to a promis-
ing green or social benefit project for a small upfront invest-
ment with the right to choose to expand their involvement
later, wait, or abandon the project.
There are also special purpose vehicles in which a par-
ent company places an asset in a subsidiary and securitizes
it or otherwise offers it to investors. This approach is already
used to manage billions and possibly trillions in public-pri-
vate partnerships involving governments, multilateral orga-
nizations and lenders/investment banks. However, in strict-
ly private markets, this promising approach may have been
destroyed by Enron, which made extensive use of them.
Sustainability professionals have come a long way in
understanding how to manage risk and add value to their Rod Lohin is Executive Director of the Michael Lee-Chin Family Insti-
tute for Corporate Citizenship at the Rotman School of Management.
companies. At each stage, we have had to learn or otherwise This essay was first published on the website for the Network for Busi-
access new capabilities, including making a stronger busi- ness Sustainability (NBS), which is headquartered at the Ivey School
ness case, understanding materiality, measurement and of Business. For more on this and related topics, visit https://nbs.net
rotmanmagazine.ca / 107
POINT OF VIEW Janet A. Schwartz, Professor of Marketing, Tulane University and Dan Ariely, Behavioural Economics Expert
The Problem
with Self-Control
OVEREATING, UNDER-SAVING, One of the most important lessons from the social and
over-borrowing and un- behavioural sciences over the past few decades is that our
der-exercising are just a surroundings influence our behaviour to a much greater
few of the short-sighted degree than we realize. Of course, some people and institu-
behaviours that we are tions do care about our long-term interests — our spouses,
often guilty of. Now the friends and families, perhaps our religious organizations,
bad news: Acting in our own long-term interest is only maybe even life insurance companies — but most of these
getting more and more difficult. Why? Because our world entities are not part of our moment-to-moment environ-
has become more hostile to our ability to make decisions. ment. That is made up largely of entities who want us to be
It is a world in which everyone wants something from us — impulsive and to live in the here and now. Facebook up-
our money, our attention, our time — and they are armed dates, Google alerts, and Gilt flash sales are their ammuni-
not with guns, but with our vices. tion; and by making us feel good in the moment, they make
Adding to the challenge is the sad fact that the way we us focus on what is good for them in the short term instead of
have designed the world around us does not help us fight what’s good for us in the long term.
temptation or think long term. In fact, if an alien were to ob- In essence, our behaviour is being shaped by people
serve the way we have designed the world, the only sensible who are banking on how easily we will give in to temptation.
conclusion would be that human beings are determined to We may think that once we know that these commercial in-
create more and more temptations that make us think more terests are after us, our time, money and attention, there is
and more myopically and make more and more mistakes. something we can do about it. After all, we often believe our-
Think about it: Will the next version of the donut (donut selves to be rational beings. We just need to have the right
2.0) be more or less tempting? Will the next version of the information available, and we will immediately make the
smartphone get us to check it more or less throughout the right decisions. We eat too much? Just provide us with calo-
day? And will the next version of Facebook tempt us to up- rie information. We don’t save enough? Just give us a retire-
date our status more or less frequently? ment calculator and watch our savings grow. Texting while
driving? Just tell everyone how dangerous it is. Kids drop out like doing in the moment and how we ought to behave for the
of school and doctors don’t wash their hands before check- long term, but that this is a deeply personal space. Who pos-
ing their patients. Just explain to the kids why they should sibly has the right to tell us how many donuts is enough, or
stay in school and tell the doctors why they need to wash whether a soda is too big? If we ate too many donuts this
their hands. time, it’s easy to trick ourselves into thinking that in the fu-
Sadly, life is not that simple, and most of the problems ture, we won’t do it again. And eating too many donuts is
we have are not due to lack of information — which explains certainly not the same as mindlessly wandering into the next
why our repeated attempts to improve behaviour by provid- lane of traffic. Or is it? How do we balance our personal free-
ing additional information often do so little to make things dom and desire to enjoy life’s pleasures in moderation with
better. If problems of self-control are indeed central to our our inability to moderate?
long-term well-being as individuals and as a society, then we Society offers both soft and hard approaches to being
must think of counter-measures to offset the constant and paternalistic. Paternalistic policies, in their strictest form,
increasing pressure to live in the moment. If information is decide what is best for us, regardless of whether we agree.
good at changing attitudes and intentions but isn’t good at Seatbelt and anti-texting laws are good examples. Even if
changing behaviour, what can we do? How can we make the you think you won’t get in an accident, you risk a steep fine if
environment better so that we behave in healthier, wealthier you get caught unbuckled or reminding your beloved it’s his
and safer ways? turn to pick up the milk. And even though car crashes may be
If we believe (and not all of us do) that people are fal- rare, imagining them is very vivid: You can easily visualize
lible and can be overtly tempted or even gently misguided the wreckage and the injuries as a direct result of one bad de-
into doing what others want, then we have to think about cision. This ability to ‘imagine the worst’ makes paternalism
paternalism. Why are we so averse to such paternalism? In more tolerable; we can see how everyone benefits from it,
some cases, we see the value in it, especially when we think even if some disagree. But what about eating too many do-
of ways in which human beings make physical mistakes. nuts or splurging on a new pair of jeans? Here, the negative
Let’s return to driving. Accidents and collisions are of- effects accumulate little by little, and it is harder to connect
ten caused by human error such as distractions and drowsi- any one instance of overindulgence or poor self-control to a
ness. As a society, we recognize that we aren’t perfect, and specific health or financial outcome; and this lack of a clear
so we get better and better at designing roads with reflectors, connection makes restrictive policies less tolerable.
guardrails and built-in rumble strips that jolt us back into our Softer paternalistic approaches can help align our
lane. We recognize that these measures don’t solve all the good intentions with our desire to behave well, but they
problems, so we go a step further to make cars that sound an also give us great flexibility. They provide us with easy ways
alarm or even take control if we drift between lanes or are to act on information in the form of calorie labels, retire-
about to collide with the car in front of us. Designing roads ment savings calculators, or credit-card interest disclo-
and cars that accommodate our inevitable mistakes seems sures. Softer approaches take the position that we know,
sensible; after all, we are human, and we can’t be perfect all in principle, what is in our best interest and that once we
the time. However, designing fast-food restaurants, malls are properly informed and guided, our behaviour will fall
and credit cards to intentionally prevent (rather than ex- into line. If we want to be wealthy in retirement, we know
ploit) our unavoidable mistakes feels wrong. that saving is better than buying donuts or ringtones right
One problem with such a paternalistic approach to en- now. But how often does knowing this really lead us to put
gineering environments is our discomfort with the idea of away money for the rent, food and electricity we will be
someone trying to restrict our free will — that someone else using 30 years from now? This probably doesn’t happen
is deciding what is best for us and forcing us to go along, very often because our good intentions face fierce compe-
even if we disagree. It’s not that we don’t recognize that tition from the world around us — from the entities who
a terrible tension exists in the space between what we feel want our money or time or attention right now. And they
rotmanmagazine.ca / 109
We must embrace counter-measures to offset the constant
and increasing pressure to live in the moment.
are very good at getting it, in part because they create the In closing
physical and virtual environments in which we live, in part Given what we know about how people really behave, how
because they know precisely how to tempt us, and in part much freedom should we have?
because we don’t fully understand or acknowledge some We are quick to develop strategies for making cars and
of the most basic aspects of our nature. roads safer because we know that even careful, attentive
Somewhere in between soft and hard paternalism is a drivers can make mistakes. We can acknowledge that fail-
more libertarian approach. This approach recognizes that ures to regulate behaviour can be disastrous, so there are
big obstacles block our good intentions from becoming ac- fines and penalties for not wearing seatbelts and for texting
tual behaviours, but it stops short of imposing inflexible re- or drinking while driving. But we really have to think about
strictions or penalties. In the libertarian approach, instead of whether it should remain okay to sell 600-calorie sodas to
giving people lots of information about retirement savings our increasingly overweight children or to continue to give
and letting them decide on the right mutual fund, we can credit to people who can’t afford to pay back their loans or
automatically put them into a good mutual fund that per- save for retirement.
forms well for most people and then let them opt out if they Once we can acknowledge that self-control failures are
want something different. inevitable and that we are far too optimistic about our abil-
Here we can tolerate a little paternalism in choosing ity to overcome them, we can — and must — design envi-
what that default is, because most people both wish they ronments that help us work towards our own goals rather
were better at saving for retirement and tend to stick to the than someone else’s. Until then, corporations and other
default option. If people are further unsure of how much commercial interests who think it’s best for us to live in the
to save, we can suggest a default amount — say, seven per moment and be unprepared for the future will determine
cent of their income — and let them adjust according to their the environment in which we live — and by extension, im-
needs. Again, because most people stick to the default, the portant life outcomes.
social planner can assume that seven per cent is a reason-
ably good estimate of the savings rate moving forward. The
social planner can take even further steps towards a pater-
nalistic approach by making it hard but not impossible to dip
into that money in case of an emergency. Of course, these
one-time decisions may be challenging to set up at first, but
they are easy to keep going once they are in place — precisely
because they capitalize on our tendency to do nothing.
The real question is, What can we do about the situa-
tions that require ongoing effort and long-term self-control?
Eating well, exercising, driving safely, avoiding distractions
and the temptation to overspend are all things that are good
for us in the long term but difficult to achieve in any one
moment — let alone the string of moments that make up
daily life. If we stop for a minute to think about the future Janet A. Schwartz is an Assistant Professor of Marketing at Tulane
— where it will likely be even harder to resist temptation — University. Dan Ariely is the James B. Duke Professor of Psychology
and Behavioral Economics at Duke University and the founder of the
a central aspect of designing what that future environment
Center for Advanced Hindsight. This essay has been adapted from
should look like must incorporate a framework for neces- a longer article that appeared in The Independent Review, published
sary paternalism. by the Independent Institute. For more visit www.independent.org
Q
&A A leader in the realm of
accessibility discusses
progress on making
cities—and the world—
In a recent presentation you said: “I live in a world that
wasn’t built for me.” What you did you mean by that?
Basically, the world we live in — and most of the products
and technology that we use — are built with a specific user
in mind: The able-bodied individual. When I’m traveling or
navigating physical environments, I am constantly encoun-
tering barriers because city planners or designers didn’t
prioritize the inclusivity of these spaces for everyone. For
example, I’ve seen elevators that are not designed to accom-
modate a wheelchair user because they’re either so tiny that
I can’t even fit in or the buttons are so high that I can’t reach
accessible to all. them. I always think, ‘How did someone believe that this
was the right way to design this?’
Interview by Victoria Heath
How do you plan to make accessibility a forethought
rather than an afterthought?
I see our app, AccessNow, as a vehicle to not only generate
conversations but to also lead to real impact and change.
Rather than creating an awareness campaign that would
rotmanmagazine.ca / 111
I always think, ‘How did someone believe
that this was the right way to design this?’
have limited reach and sustainability, I wanted to flip that shouldn’t be the only one. There are so many voices and per-
concept on its head and create a platform that generates spectives missing that should be included.
actual information about physical accessibility that is valu- As someone working in tech, I’m excited because there
able to the people who need it. Hopefully, through this ac- are lots of opportunities to create new things and to help
tion-oriented approach, broader conversations will happen people expand their understanding of the world. In that
that will lead to changes in how we think about design and sense, I’m happy to be present in those rooms and in those
accessibility. conversations — but I also recognize that a lot of work needs
to be done before we get to a place where we can truly say
You have talked in the media about how you’ve been that everyone has an equal opportunity to participate.
‘siloed’ into one of two identities: either you’re a woman
or you’re a person with a disability. Why is this so prob- From the time you had your epiphany about AccessNow,
lematic for diversity and inclusion? what has changed about the accessibility conversation?
It’s really important to recognize that people are not born I can tell you that when I was studying for my master’s de-
into these little ‘identity check boxes’ that we’ve created. gree in 2014, we were not having conversations about inclu-
You shouldn’t have to identify with one group or another sion and diversity like we are today. I’m not implying that I
in order to raise your voice and share your perspective. We am the reason things have changed — but I do hope that Ac-
need to acknowledge that all of the different identities and cessNow has contributed to the growing acknowledgement
perspectives we hold are an important part of truly realizing that accessibility matters.
diversity and inclusion. To date, we have received over 16 million hits online.
I’ve been to lots of events and conferences lately where That’s 16 million instances where someone who either iden-
inclusion and diversity are the buzz words. Although every- tifies with a disability (or not) had an opportunity to learn
one has good intentions, when diversity and inclusion are about the importance of accessibility and has been invited
discussed, individuals with disabilities are often left out. to contribute. The goal is to make this a global movement:
That means that the 15 per cent of the population that iden- We want AccessNow to reach every household and every
tifies with a disability in some form is completely missing person, and invite them to be a part of the inclusive future
from the conversation. we’re building.
What’s it like for you being a tech entrepreneur today? Data is integral to AccessNow. As Torontonians and the
Tech is a hard industry to be in for any entrepreneur, but rest of the world debate the concept of ‘smart cities’—
for women in particular, there are major issues regarding as well as the broader impact of data collection, sharing,
equal access to funding. Representation is also a major is- utilization and privacy—what are your thoughts about
sue. Almost 99 per cent of the time, I am the only person in the future of data? Are peoples’ concerns misguided, or
the room who looks like me and who has my perspective. should we be talking about this?
For example, last week I was at a tech conference with over We should absolutely be talking about it. Data is powerful
1,000 people, and I was the only person there with a visible because it can help us gain insight in order to make better
disability. decisions; but it should not be the primary mechanism that
Statistically, one in seven people identify with some changes the way we treat people, provide services or build
type of disability. Although I am very grateful to be able our cities. My hope is that we use it as an informant and as
to represent the disabled community at these events, I a tool for decision-making. With AccessNow for example,
data is used to help us understand what is missing in terms of ies across the world. We’re also looking into really exciting
accessibility, and how we can design better spaces and com- possibilities in artificial intelligence (AI), which is the next
munities. In my mind, data is a tool that should be owned frontier for us.
by the people who generate it — and therefore it should be When the app was launched, a lot of our visibility was
transferable and transparent so that we can all benefit from reflected onto me personally — not just because I’m the
what we’re contributing to. founder, but because I’m a user, as well. As a result, a lot of
my work involves reaching out to other people and inviting
Have you and your team been able to sit down and reflect them to be a part of what we do — whether that’s a commu-
on the profound impact that AccessNow has had to date? nity member, a citizen, or someone in the government or
There are definitely moments when we can see that we’re the private sector. I hope that by raising my voice and am-
actually having an impact. For example, when a city that has plifying the importance of diversity in tech — and by simply
no accessibility data — almost a sort of black hole where we existing within it — other people will be empowered to be a
have no understanding of what access is like there — starts part of the conversation, as well.
to become populated with ‘pins’ (data points), that’s amaz-
ing. It lowers the level of anxiety for people with disabili-
ties and allows them to make their own decisions based on
credible, crowdsourced information. I often think of how
we started out with a blank canvas that had no pins, no
users and no community. Now, every time I pull up the map,
I think, ‘Wow; we’re really doing something here’.
People actually write to us about their experiences,
their stories, or the places they’ve gone. It’s pretty amazing
to think that we started from nothing and have been able
to reach so many people on a deeply personal level. That’s
the magic for me; it’s not about convincing people that they
need to buy something or that some specific product is going
to make their life 200 times better — it’s about recognizing
people’s actual needs, and hopefully changing their quality
of life for the better.
AccessNow started because I needed to solve my own
problem (navigating spaces), and from that, it has given oth-
er people an opportunity to vocalize their experiences and
contribute to making change. This has been done in all kinds
of communities in the past, but in the disability community,
it is finally happening now. Maayan Ziv is an activist, photographer and entrepreneur based in
Toronto. She is the Founder of AccessNow, an app that uses crowdsourc-
ing to pin-point the accessibility status of locations around the world
What is next for AccessNow—and for you? on an interactive map. She also sits on the boards of The Toronto Arts
We’re looking at a bunch of things, such as working with Council and the Centre for Independent Living. Her 2017 JEDx talk
municipalities to build more inclusive and accessible cit- can be viewed on YouTube. For more visit: www.maayanziv.com
rotmanmagazine.ca / 113
QUESTIONS FOR Aneeta Rattan, Professor, London Business School
Q
&A
Describe how mindsets affect our everyday behaviour.
Mindsets are our fundamental understanding of how hu-
man attributes like intelligence and personality work. The
specific mindsets that I study fall along two dimensions. The
first is ‘malleability’ — whether people believe that things
like intelligence and personality are stable or fluid. Stanford
Professor Carol Dweck’s terms for this are a ‘fixed mindset’
vs. a ‘growth mindset’. The second dimension of mindsets
that I study involves how people think potential is distrib-
uted across the general population — whether they believe
high levels of potential are constrained among a select few
or are distributed more widely.
who expressed the bias — and because of that, they are more that the psychology of the student him or herself is just as
satisfied with their workplace and have a greater sense of critical to achieving academic success.
belonging.
Do the mindsets of teachers also influence educational
How can organizations embrace these findings to reduce outcomes?
experiences of prejudice in the workplace? Teachers and faculty truly are the gatekeepers to industry.
First of all, I want to emphasize that it is every organization’s In my work with Nanyang Technological University Profes-
responsibility to create an institutional culture that prevents sor Krishna Savani and our collaborators, we theorized
bias. It is not up to employees. That being said, I think the real that when students perceive their teacher as holding the
takeaway is that employees will cope better if and when they belief that ‘intellectual potential is widespread’, they feel
encounter bias only if they hold growth mindsets in an orga- more of a sense of belonging with respect to subjects such
nizational context where they feel that they can confront. as science, technology, engineering and math, and therefore
Put simply, organizations will only get people to con- show more interest in them and get better grades compared
front bias if they feel that they can. The organization can to when they perceive their teacher as holding the belief that
play a real role in saying, ‘This is a behaviour that we value; ‘not everyone has equal potential’. The more students see
here are some norms and productive practices that you can their teacher as endorsing the ‘universal’ mindset — the idea
engage in if you encounter bias and want to address it’. Or- that intellectual potential is widespread — the stronger their
ganizations that want to encourage these types of interac- sense of belonging, regardless of their gender or race.
tions should also encourage growth mindsets among their
employees. Could you talk a bit about how a growth mindset can help
someone entering a context that is highly stereotyping?
Social theorists argue that the most important predic- I have been really interested in understanding the subjec-
tors of academic achievement for students are their par- tive experience of individuals who enter into organizational
ents’ education and their socio-economic status. But you contexts knowing full well that their group membership is
believe the psychology of the student is equally critical to stereotyped. When these people look around, they don’t
academic success. Please explain. see people like them at their level or at the next level — and
I would start off by saying that it is absolutely the case they very rarely see anyone like them at the highest level of
that your parents’ education and socio-economic status the organization. In my research, I have thought about the
strongly predict your academic outcome — and there is a lot linkage between this scenario and stereotypes about com-
of work to be done to address the underlying social struc- petence — beliefs or generalizations that some groups have
tures that foster this. But I would also say that it is not a less competence than others. For example, ‘women are less
perfect correlation. By understanding the role of mindsets, competent in math and science than men’ or ‘certain ra-
we can start to promote positive educational outcomes de- cial minorities are less competent in academics’. These are
spite socio-economic background. I make the argument very broad generalizations about large groups, and certain
rotmanmagazine.ca / 115
Mindsets about ability—even those reflected in policies—
shape performance in real ways.
mindsets are more conducive to such stereotypes than other about the conditions these people are fleeing, I believe most
mindsets. people feel a sense of empathy and understanding. But at
What we found is that women who considered their the same time, we are seeing a very strong wave of anti-
math course in university to be highly stereotyping showed immigrant and anti-refugee sentiment. Many people strong-
less of a decline in their sense of belonging over the term ly oppose the resettlement of refugees within their nations
of the course if they also perceived people around them for a variety of reasons that have to do with the economy,
as endorsing a growth rather than a fixed mindset. Even overt biases and stereotypes.
though these women were well aware that the environ- In recent research, my colleagues and I were interested
ment was very stereotyping, when they perceived that the in understanding whether a person’s general mindset around
belief around them was that ‘intelligence can grow’, some- ‘whether people can change or not’ might also play a role in
how, that reduced the power of the stereotype. It meant the extent to which they support refugee resettlement. The
that women retained more of their sense of belonging with question we asked was, Does believing that people are mal-
respect to math, and that, in turn, predicted their desire to leable rather than fixed make someone more supportive of
pursue math in higher grades. resettling refugees?’ We found that indeed, people with a
growth mindset believe that refugees will be able to assimi-
How can policymakers leverage the science of mindsets late into the host society and thus they supported their re-
to advance educational outcomes? settlement. We documented this among both liberals and
The way policymakers craft policies could definitely be bet- conservatives, among people in the U.S. and UK, and for
ter informed by a consideration of mindsets. Policymak- Americans in response to both Obama and Trump policies.
ers who are making decisions about how education should At the same time, people who held a growth mindset
operate could ask themselves, Does this policy treat them also thought immigrants should not to be obligated to as-
as though they can learn and grow at any age? Does it treat similate into the host society. Therefore, in a really inter-
students as though they all have high intellectual potential? esting way, a growth rather than fixed mindset creates the
As indicated, mindsets about ability — even those reflected conditions under which people view refugees as being able
in policies — shape performance in real ways. to adapt — without placing an obligation upon them to shed
Another thing is to carefully consider what is actually their home culture and traditions. Given their many posi-
being implemented in schools, in terms of procedures and tive attributes, we ought to be doing whatever we can to en-
practices. It is one thing to have a lot of schools start talking courage growth mindsets.
about, teaching and endorsing a growth mindset. That’s a
great thing, but it is important to scientifically and rigorous-
ly study whether it is being effectively implemented — and
whether it is having the effects that we would expect, given
the research.
&A
to be committed to evolving and changing over time. The
other thing is that many people think it’s about assimilating
into what they already have in place, in terms of structure.
Though some trans people will be able to — and want to —
assimilate into that structure, there are a lots who won’t want
to or can’t, for a variety of reasons. That’s why the assimila-
tion and accommodation strategy is a very limited one.
rotmanmagazine.ca / 117
experience trans discrimination, and certain trans people Many organizations have worked tirelessly to change
don’t, based on their appearance and how they sound when their administrative policies to make it easier for trans-
they speak. There are also a lot of people who are not trans- gender people to change their names and gender and/or
gender who encounter transgender discrimination, like sex classifications. Why do you caution against this as a
masculine-appearing women or feminine-appearing men. primary strategy?
The term ‘sex identity’ is more accurate, because what You could interpret the title of my book as saying that we
we’re really talking about is whether or not an individual should move beyond gender altogether, but that’s not actu-
belongs within the existing sex binary, and if they are be- ally true. My position is the opposite: Because gender is so
lieved when they state where they belong. Sex-identity important to a lot of us personally, I believe we should be
discrimination happens when somebody challenges that very careful about the instances in which we cede authority
statement. over our gender identities to somebody else (like govern-
ment administrators, etc.) We’re better off having the default
In your book [Beyond Trans: Does Gender Matter?] you be not to invoke gender, because then we force ourselves to
discuss four cases of sex-classification policies: iden- make the case for when gender matters, and how.
tity documents, bathrooms, educational institutions Gender policing in our society is a problem. When you
and sports. What are some other cases? give that kind of power to an administrative agent, there can
I’ve been working with a student group at Yale University be serious repercussions. In my book, I discuss the case in
called Engender, which is tackling the issue of fraternities Philadelphia, where we used to have sex classification stick-
and other sex-segregated organizations on campus. This ers on our monthly transit passes. This prohibited certain
gets to the issue of the power imbalances between frater- people from being able to board the bus or use a bus pass,
nities and sororities. There is a big question about the sex because some bus drivers looked at their pass, and said, ‘You
segregation between fraternities and sororities: Is it related don’t look like a woman, so I’m going to use my power to kick
to a legitimate organizational goal, especially when it’s con- you off the bus’. It was actually in the employee handbook
nected to a university or college? Engender’s answer is No. that each bus driver had to examine each pass and confirm
They’ve been pushing for a rush process that is open to the commuter’s sex, as a fraud prevention measure. Obvi-
everybody, and they’ve been successful in getting at least ously not every administrative agent is going to wield their
one fraternity chapter to embrace this. power in a transphobic way, but some will, and that discre-
I think we should question any aspect of our society that tionary leeway can put trans people in a precarious position.
is sex segregated or invokes gender, because the segregation
may or may not be warranted. Does it make sense to have What’s your take on why organizations drag their feet on
women’s affinity groups, for example, within a company? If addressing their administration of sex classifications?
so, how do you define the category of ‘woman’? One of the I think it’s because of fear. When I transitioned, one of my
more difficult cases would be certain kinds of support groups mentors — an older trans man — gave me some advice. He
around survivors of sexual abuse. We have to ask some really said my biggest obstacle was going to be that people don’t
tough questions about what we want to say about boys and want to be wrong. Transgender inclusion is a new concept
men who have experienced sexual abuse and assault. for many people. They hear the terminology, but they don’t
know what it means for them and their behaviour. They but it won’t work for everybody. So, if the goal is to provide
don’t know what they’re being asked to do differently. Fear, good individual healthcare, why not ask about specific body
not wanting to be wrong, and not wanting to offend people parts? If you want to evaluate the risk of prostate cancer, why
means that many organizations drag their feet and wait for not ask if the patient has a prostate? That’s where I’d like
best practices to come out, or for peer institutions to make a to see the healthcare industry move, because it’s in their
move before they do. best interest, and it’s often in a business’s best interest as
well to use alternative means to get to the information that
What’s your greatest hope for what gender-inclusive they actually want.
organizations might look like in the future?
There are some organizations that are really doing the right
things. The Leeway Foundation in Philadelphia is one of
those places that is really walking the talk about this, and
they just came out with a trans inclusion organizational
guide. They’re a foundation that funds artists, women, and
trans artists, and what they’re doing right, I think, is they
don’t assume that they’ve ever reached the end-point with
trans inclusion. They know it’s an ongoing process. Also,
they recognize that gender inclusion means that everybody
in the organization has to do things differently. So, they’re
not just asking, ‘How do we fit this trans person into the
existing structure?’ (accommodation strategy) but, they’re
asking, ‘How do we change our structure in order to think
about these things differently?’
rotmanmagazine.ca / 119
POINT OF VIEW Rumeet Billan, Chief Learning Architect, Viewpoint Leadership
TALL POPPY SYNDROME (TPS) is a term re- More than 81 per cent said they had experienced direct
ferring to flowers that grow higher than hostility or had been penalized because of their success. Said
those around them and as a result, are cut one respondent: “Looking over my answers increased my
down to size. Apparently, this is a fitting own awareness around exactly how deeply my toxic work-
analogy for the Canadian workplace. A place has affected me. I have needed to seek both medical
recent study by Thomson Reuters, Ca- and psychological services to endure my workplace.”
nadian HR Reporter, Viewpoint Leadership and Women Another told us that, “The negative emotions and all
of Influence reveals the true scope of the issue of women the memories that I have experienced were beyond over-
being ‘cut down’ at work — and the results should be a wake- whelming. This isn’t just a small impact, it is deep, emotion-
up call for companies across the country. al and its effect, I don’t think, can be recovered from at this
The Tallest Poppy report shows, in unprecedented detail, point in my life.”
that many women are suffering severe psychological and At a high level consultant meeting, one respondent had
emotional damage from their treatment in the workplace. the courage to (constructively) suggest that the team might
The data is deeply troubling: Of the 1,501 respondents, 87.3 be able to make better progress by considering some round-
per cent felt that their achievements at work were under- table reporting changes. “My boss flew into a rage, berating
mined by colleagues or superiors. me in front of my predominantly male colleagues and label-
Respondents came from many different professions ing me as a negative influence on the group. My male col-
and all levels of seniority. They reported that those attack- leagues said nothing in my defense.”
ing them were split almost evenly between men and wom- TPS has become so widespread in the workplace that
en, and that both co-workers and superiors were at fault. even among respondents, more than 40 per cent said
These attacks included bullying and cyberbullying, down- they had witnessed examples and had done nothing in
playing or dismissal of achievements, having others take response; and 10 per cent admitted to undercutting co-
credit for their work and being ignored or silenced. Some workers themselves.
respondents even said they had been fired for essentially “In my first few weeks at my new job, I received praise
being too successful. for something I had done in a weekly e-mail from the boss,”
said another. “Co-workers openly stated their jealousy and dent, while another told us “I just want to blend in [and]
talked about it all week. It ended up being embarrassing work behind the scenes.” Such employees have little incen-
rather than rewarding. This has set the tone for me not want- tive to maintain or increase their productivity — or to inno-
ing to declare any achievements or try to move ahead in this vate. If an employee just wants to get through the day and get
role. I know I will be cut down.” home, advancement and growth — both individual and or-
Many respondents indicated they felt shame about not ganizational — will suffer. As one respondent said, “I no lon-
speaking up. “I’ve observed this behaviour towards others ger wish to have any role other than [that of] a worker bee.”
and I didn’t step in to defend them. I chose to sit silent rather Not surprisingly, nearly 60 per cent of respondents said their
than being confronted myself,” said one. “I have hated my- experience with TPS had led them to actively seek a new job.
self when I sensed I may have fallen victim to participating Is there hope for change? According to respondents,
in this deplorable behaviour and realize I have done it be- there is no magic answer. Most felt it necessary to change the
cause it’s prevalent in organizational culture,” said another. system itself—to move away from a corporate culture that
TPS can have a devastating effect on psychological well- pits employees against one another towards one where em-
being: Among respondents, 64.7 per cent reported lowered pathy and support are valued. That shift is required to build
self-esteem; 60.3 per cent reported downplaying or not shar- employee trust, especially among potential high achievers —
ing their achievements; and 46.2 per cent reported negative the ones every company should want to keep.
self-talk. Clearly, there should be a deep concern about the The first step is for company leaders to recognize the
connection between TPS and mental health. reality of TPS. “Accept without question that this is real,”
In addition to the impact of TPS on the individual, said one respondent, “and that people are suffering. Also,
whenever employees are forced to struggle to maintain their that an organization is less than it should be for allowing this
emotional resilience, their productivity and desire to stay to occur or ignoring its existence. If leadership (at all levels)
with their employer is impacted. And that is not only un- does not accept it as real, does not examine the roots and
healthy for the individual, but also for the bottom line. processes that allow it to flourish and grow, then they are
Our study clearly demonstrated the effect on produc- the ones empowering this widespread, debilitating ‘disease’
tivity. Among respondents, 69.5 per cent felt that TPS had a to spread.”
negative effect on their productivity; 69.2 per cent reported Respondents stressed the importance of such change
a lack of trust among co-workers; and 59.2 per cent reported coming from the very top. With the right people in place at
feeling disengaged from their work. “I try hard not to stand the top, they said, it is possible to change company culture.
out,” said one respondent. “It’s really a basic principle: Another person’s success is no
The study also revealed that 48.9 per cent of respon- threat to your own,” said one. “Stop cultivating the idea that
dents were less likely to apply for promotions and that many the success of one person means the failure of someone
feel ostracized for their achievements. When employees feel else,” agreed another respondent. “My current employer
they have less to work for, they are less likely to set ambitious is motivating workers to constantly report on each other
goals, and as a result, TPS will impact every business, espe- and place blame — which opens the door for jealous people
cially those relying heavily on employee innovation. or employees with personal agendas to get ahead by disen-
“I feel like hiding most of the time,” shared one respon- gaging more successful peers.”
rotmanmagazine.ca / 121
TPS damages both psychological capital and
the capital reported on a balance sheet.
Based on our study, the top three ways to address Tall Poppy sometimes too far removed from the culture of their compa-
Syndrome are as follows. nies and need to spend real time in conversation and obser-
vation. Unless, of course, they are the root of the problem;
1. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT then perhaps boards of directors need to engage.”
Respondents identified several areas that could be offered,
including training in sensitivity, leadership, cultural safety, In closing
gender bias, diversity, emotional intelligence and an overall As The Tallest Poppy study conclusively demonstrates, TPS
general awareness of what TPS is, and its impact. There was is very real, affecting productivity, engagement, morale and
also a call for more diversity among executive teams, bet- retention at countless organizations. And it is an issue that
ter-crafted policies, transparency in paths for promotions, damages capital — both psychological capital and the capital
building safe and supportive environments and an overall reported on a balance sheet.
cultural shift within organizations. Many organizations strive to be known as top employ-
ers that care for their employees, because they know this is
2. LEADING BY EXAMPLE one sure way to attract the best talent. But what happens
Not surprisingly, it all starts at the top. “Accept without ques- when top talent joins the organization? Our study demon-
tion that this is real, it is happening,” said one respondent. If strates that, like overgrown poppies, it is often cut down.
leadership, at all levels, does not accept it as real and does Companies with the vision to actively tackle TPS will be
not examine the roots and processes that are allowing it to gifting themselves a huge advantage. If treating employees
flourish and grow, then they are the ones empowering this as human beings isn’t enough motivation, perhaps econom-
widespread, debilitating ‘disease’ to spread.” Another im- ic reality will be.
plored leaders not to be bystanders and to address TPS when As indicated herein, immediate change is needed to
it happens. “Similar to harassment, racism and exclusion, support women in the workplace and to encourage their ac-
it has to be addressed, highlighted and brought up at staff complishments — and not incidentally, to increase corpo-
meetings to demonstrate how to lead by example.” rate productivity.
3. SPEAKING UP
There were clear calls for zero tolerance of this kind of be-
haviour and a broader desire to eliminate bullying in the
workplace. Encouraging the ‘echo effect’ was identified as
an effective strategy that could be used to manage TPS. One
respondent shared exactly how this can be done: ‘Name and
echo’ means naming the achiever and echoing what she has
achieved, including the process she followed to get there.”
It was heartening to see so many solutions provided by
respondents on the table — including exit interviews, cel-
Dr. Rumeet Billan is the President and CEO of ViewPoint Leadership,
ebrating achievements and mentorship opportunities.
whose clients include CAMH, Purolator, BMO Financial and Refugees
One respondent suggested that CEOs should personal- & Citizenship Canada. The Tallest Poppy white paper is available for
ly do exit interviews. “Even in large organizations, CEOs are download at: www.hrreporter.com/tallest-poppy
Tackling Inequality:
The Role of Business
Interview by Karen Christensen
Increasing economic inequality has Researchers have demonstrated that it is not income lev-
emerged as one of the defining issues els per se that predict health and social problems. What
of our time. Describe how it is affecting is it, then?
people. Differences within countries are as important as levels of
Inequality polarizes populations and con- income. In other words, there are two major ways for health
centrates power, threatening social stabil- and social problems to deepen. The first is poverty; and
ity and democracy in both direct and subtle ways. Oxfam the second is inequality. This means that, even in relatively
recently reported that 42 individuals now have the same wealthy countries such as Canada, big differences in wealth
wealth as the bottom 50 per cent of the world’s population. between the rich and the poor can cause societal distress
Furthermore, 82 per cent of all economic growth created and unrest.
in 2017 went to the richest one per cent of the population,
while the poorest 50 per cent saw no increase at all. In the You believe that businesses and other institutions play a
U.S., things have been even more extreme, with 95 per cent key role in perpetuating inequality. How so?
of the income growth between 2009 and 2012 going to the In any organization — whether it is public, private or not-
wealthiest one per cent. for-profit — internal processes create power dynamics,
The U.S. is not even the most unequal country: Chile and those dynamics foster cultures where gender-based
and Mexico having the highest levels of inequality in the discrimination, racial discrimination, and discrimination
world, while Estonia has shown the most rapid recent in- towards other vulnerable populations proliferate. Organi-
crease. Societies with higher levels of inequality have higher zational practices — many of which have become taken-
levels of both social and health problems, including higher for-granted — perpetuate inequality by privileging some
crime and violence rates, greater degrees of mistrust and in- groups over others in hiring, promotion, reward and oth-
creased levels of obesity and mental illness. er decisions. This is only being amplified in the current
rotmanmagazine.ca / 123
Organizations have started to treat people who are not
in the dominant power group as somehow not fully human.
environment as new technologies make our systems more to earn many times what a nurse, teacher or retail associ-
efficient, effective and stronger. For example, artificial-in- ate makes. Recent trends in the private sector that reward
telligence algorithms derived from big data only reinforce large cash holdings have also played a role in exacerbating
the biases that are baked into old ways of doing things, inequality, as they result in larger dividends to shareholders
because all data is about the past. at the expense of other claimants — especially employees.
Similarly, corporate tax-avoidance strategies lessen the re-
In your work you have argued that four sets of contempo- distribution of wealth in societies, effectively reducing fund-
rary practices increase inequality. Please describe them. ing to education, health and the social safety net.
In the paper you are referring to (co-written with John Amis,
Kamal Munir, Tom Lawrence and Paul Hirsch), the four Describe how inequality has created ‘hourglass organi-
practices are shown to be compensation arrangements, divi- zations’.
dend payments to shareholders, avoidance of tax payments, Inequality has only been deepened by outsourcing and cost
and philanthropic choices. But, as we reported, the first of reductions, as well as the broader transformation of many
these, compensation, has the biggest direct impact. Western economies from a basis in manufacturing to servic-
With the emphasis on shareholder return and distrib- es. Cost reduction strategies worsen inequality because low-
uted ownership across many shareholders, many firms use er paid employees face stagnating wages and the prospect of
stock options and performance-related compensation to job loss. These disparities have been exacerbated by the shift
resolve the principal-agent problem. As a result, we have from manufacturing to services, resulting in ‘hourglass or-
seen extraordinary growth across industries in salaries ganizations’: Large numbers of high-status professional and
and bonuses for senior executives. This was once associ- managerial jobs requiring formal credentials and qualifica-
ated predominantly with executives in financial services, tions occupy the top half of the structure and equally large
but managers in other types of organizations are now being or larger numbers of uncredentialed, low-status occupations
compensated on a similar scale. UK house-builder Persim- inhabit the bottom half, with relatively small numbers of
mon, for instance, paid its Chief Executive a £110 million technical jobs in between.
bonus in 2017. Put simply, contemporary organizations have become
I don’t believe that such extraordinary incentives make bifurcated systems in which senior managers and some jobs
any sense. After all, who would want to hire someone into a requiring professional expertise are well-rewarded while
CEO role if that person was motivated only by money to do those on the front lines, such as nurses, retail assistants and
the job? I do think, though, that there is a market for CEOs, call-centre operatives, are not.
and that companies must be competitive to attract talent in
some situations. Even if one believes these extraordinary What are the implications for society?
payments generate shareholder wealth by aligning incen- When we treat people like robots and lose a sense of the
tives, these practices still create dramatic inequality, with whole person — when there is no sense of humanity in our
CEOs being paid up to 300 times more than some of their interactions with each other and we just view each other in
firms’ employees. analytical terms — the very legitimacy of the corporation in
society comes into question.
You have found that these economic inequalities exacer- What was the original purpose of the corporation in
bate social and occupational inequalities. How so? society? It was to allow people to come together to ac-
Women and ethnic minorities, for instance, are less likely complish things that they couldn’t accomplish apart, and
to occupy lucrative positions; and investment bankers tend to allow for risk sharing and coordination of activity that
rotmanmagazine.ca / 125
The challenge for every leader is to act with the kind of humanity,
responsibility and integrity that aligns with their personal values.
On the one hand, the depth of inequality has been increas- local communities where the company has operations. In
ing, but on the other hand, there has never been a greater this mindset, the key challenge for executives is to create
opportunity for leaders to intervene and do something as much value as possible for stakeholders without resort-
about it. ing to trade-offs. In the book, Prof. Kaplan argues that great
I am so inspired by my students. Most of them are in companies endure because they manage to get stakeholder
their mid to late 20s, and they truly do not care about ‘con- interests aligned.
suming stuff ’ as much as my generation did. They care When you look at strategy through the lens of ‘co-creat-
much more about things like equity and humanity and qual- ing value with our stakeholders’ and tackle it as an innova-
ity of life, and they are only interested in working for compa- tion problem, you get to really tap into the unique identities
nies that seek to do something important and valuable and of the people who engage with your company and unleash
constructive for society. their creativity and capabilities. And when you do that, you
can pay everyone decently.
You believe that a big part of the answer is for organiza-
tions to embrace Stakeholder Theory. Please explain. Can the average company really influence the practices
In the traditional view of a company — the shareholder view of, say, its suppliers?
— only the owners or shareholders are important, and the I would argue that there is no such thing as an average com-
company has a binding fiduciary duty to put their needs first pany anymore. We are living on a planet where we are con-
and increase value for them. Stakeholder Theory instead suming something like eight times more than what is sus-
argues that there are multiple parties involved, including tainable, and as a result, leaders who seek to represent the
employees, customers, suppliers, financiers, communities, next generation of corporate activity will have to take on the
governmental bodies, political groups, trade associations, most important challenges of our time.
and trade unions. Even competitors are sometimes counted This is a significant opportunity for leaders every-
as stakeholders. Stakeholder Theory stresses the intercon- where to ask, What is our aspiration? How are we creating
nected relationships between a business and all of these prosperity for society? And, Is this framing of ‘what we
groups, arguing that a firm should create value for all stake- aspire to accomplish’ satisfactory, given what we know to
holders, not just shareholders. be true about the world around us? The challenge for every
Cornell Professor Lynn Stout is considered the pioneer leader today is to act with the kind of humanity, responsi-
of modern Stakeholder Theory, but the ideas are develop- bility and integrity that aligns with their personal values
ing fast. For example, Utah Professor Jay Barney argues as human beings.
that seeking to maximize shareholder value in the short run
is guaranteed not to maximize it in the long run because
workers and other stakeholders won’t contribute their best
efforts if they’re not part of the system of rewards.
The idea here — and Rotman Professor Sarah Kaplan
(who is also my partner) has written a book about it called
The 360˚ Corporation — is to think of social responsibility
as a massive opportunity for innovation. She argues that Anita M. McGahan is a Professor of Strategic Management and the
George E. Connell Chair in Organizations & Society at the Rotman
massive breakthroughs can arise from creating value col-
School of Management, with cross-appointments to the University
laboratively with stakeholders of all kinds, including, for of Toronto’s Munk School of Global Affairs and Faculty of Medicine.
example, distributors and suppliers in the value chain and She is a past-President of the Academy of Management (2016-17).
Highlights
april 24, 5:00-6:00 pm may 30, 5:00-6:00 pm
The Honourable Kevin Rudd Tomas Chamorro-Premuzic
President, Asia Society Policy Institute; 26th Prime Minister Chief Talent Scientist, ManpowerGroup; Professor,
of Australia University College London; Author
Topic: “China-Canada-U.S. Relations: What Happens Next?” Topic: Why Do So Many Incompetent Men Become Leaders?
(And How to Fix It) (HBR Press, 2019)
april 29, 5:30-6:30 pm
Francis Fukuyama may 31 19, 9:00am-5:00 pm
Professor & Mosbacher Director – Center on Democracy, 21st Annual Rotman Lifelong Learning
Development & Rule of Law, Stanford; Author Conference for Leaders
Topic: Identity: The Demand for Dignity and the Politics of Theme: “Creating a Culture Where Innovation Can Flourish”
Resentment (Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2018)
may 31, 3:00-4:00 pm
april 30, 5:00-6:00 pm
Cass R. Sunstein
Soraya Chemaly Robert Walmsley University Professor, Harvard Law School; Author
Director, Women’s Media Center Speech Project; Author Topic: On Freedom (Princeton, 2019)
Topic: Rage Becomes Her: The Power of Women’s Anger
(Atria Books, 2018) june 5, 5:00-6:00 pm
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