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    Lorenzo-Fredy-Entregable Act1

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    fredddy
    Fredy Lorenzo is using exponential smoothing with a constant of 0.37, a 3-year moving average, and a weighted moving average (3,2,1) to forecast demand for fertilizer based on tabulated data. The demand for the year prior to year 1 was 4,750 sacks (50 lb). Exponential smoothing was applied to the historical demand data to generate forecasts for each year. The forecast for the unknown year is 6.96 thousand sacks.

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    Lorenzo-Fredy-Entregable Act1

    Uploaded by

    fredddy
    6 views1 page
    Fredy Lorenzo is using exponential smoothing with a constant of 0.37, a 3-year moving average, and a weighted moving average (3,2,1) to forecast demand for fertilizer based on tabulated data. The demand for the year prior to year 1 was 4,750 sacks (50 lb). Exponential smoothing was applied to the historical demand data to generate forecasts for each year. The forecast for the unknown year is 6.96 thousand sacks.

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    Fredy Lorenzo is using exponential smoothing with a constant of 0.37, a 3-year moving average, and a weighted moving average (3,2,1) to forecast demand for fertilizer based on tabulated data. The demand for the year prior to year 1 was 4,750 sacks (50 lb). Exponential smoothing was applied to the historical demand data to generate forecasts for each year. The forecast for the unknown year is 6.96 thousand sacks.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    6 views1 page

    Lorenzo-Fredy-Entregable Act1

    Uploaded by

    fredddy
    Fredy Lorenzo is using exponential smoothing with a constant of 0.37, a 3-year moving average, and a weighted moving average (3,2,1) to forecast demand for fertilizer based on tabulated data. The demand for the year prior to year 1 was 4,750 sacks (50 lb). Exponential smoothing was applied to the historical demand data to generate forecasts for each year. The forecast for the unknown year is 6.96 thousand sacks.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
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    of 1

    Fredy LORENZO

    Matrícula: 2016-1075
    Unidad 2, act. 1 – entregable

    U tilice el suavi zamie nto exp onencial co n u na con sta nte d e 0.37, e l
    . . . . . . . . . .

    p rom edio mó vil a tre s añ os y el promedio mó vil pond erado (3,2,1), p ara
    . . . . . . . .

    pronosticar la d eman da de ferti lizante de l os datos t abulad os. La d eman da d el


    . . . . . . . . .

    añ o ant erior al a ño un (1) es d e 4,750 sac os (50 lb.)


    . . . . .

    Añ o ------ dem and a en m iles------año-------d ema nda e n m iles-------añ o-------


    . . . . . . . . .

    dema nda E n m iles . . . .

    • 1 4 5 10 9 12
    • 2 6 6 8 10 14
    • 3 5 7 7 11 15
    • 4 4 8 9?
    D esarro llo:
    . .

    Valor de a 0.37

    Pe ríodos e n De mand as F ormul a P ronost ic o


    . .

    años
    . .
    . . . . .

    fe rt ilene ss
    . . .

    1 4 4
    2 6 4+0,37*4-4 4
    3 5 4+0,37*(6-4) 4.74
    4 4 4,74+0,37*(5-4,74) 4.84
    5 10 4,84+0,37*(4-4,84) 4.53
    6 8 4,53+0,37*(10-4,53) 6.55
    7 7 6,55+0,37*(8-6,55) 7.09
    8 9 7,09+0,37*(7-7,09) 7.06
    9 12 7,06+0,37*(9-7,06) 7.77
    10 14 7,77+0,37*(12-7,77) 9.34
    11 15 9,34+0,37*(14-9,34) 11.06
    ? ? 11,06+0,37*(15-11,06) 12.52
    6.96

    1|Page

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