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The wealth effects of the USA Patriot Act: Evidence from the
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JMLC
10,3 The wealth effects of the USA
Patriot Act: evidence from
the banking and thrift industries
300
Burak Dolar and William F. Shughart II
Department of Economics, University of Mississippi,
Lafayette, Mississippi, USA
Abstract
Purpose – Title III of the USA Patriot Act obligated the private sector to take a more active role in
deterring money laundering and disrupting terrorist financing. Complying with the new law has
increased the cost of doing business dramatically for firms in the financial services industry. This
study aims to apply a heterogeneous-firm model of regulation to test whether the anti-money
laundering (AML) provisions of the Patriot Act redistributed wealth within the commercial banking
and thrift sectors.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper analyzes a dataset comprising more than 150,000
observations.
Findings – The empirical evidence suggests that, owing to scale economies in regulatory compliance,
the burden has fallen more heavily on smaller institutions. Moreover, the study does not find that the
rules written to implement Title III have differentially impacted banks and thrifts at greater risk of
being targeted by money launderers, as a public-interest theory of regulation would predict.
Originality/value – The paper focuses on the AML provisions of the USA Patriot Act.
Keywords United States of America, Money laundering, Legislation
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
The uniting and strengthening USA by providing appropriate tools required to
intercept and obstruct Terrorism Act of 2001, more commonly known as the USA
Patriot Act, is one of 9/11’s enduring legacies. At 125 pages, Title III is the most
extensive of the Patriot Act’s provisions. Under this title, private businesses, mostly in
the financial services industry, are required to take a more active role in deterring
money laundering and disrupting the flow of funds to terrorist networks.
Money laundering, which can be defined as the process of concealing the existence,
source, and usage of income acquired from criminal activities, is an essential
complement to almost all profit-generating illegal activities (United Nations
International Drug Control Program, 1997). According to International Money Fund
(IMF) estimates, cash and other liquid capital representing between 2 and 5 percent of
world gross domestic product (GDP) is laundered every year, percentages that
translate into US $600 billion to 1,500 billion (USA Patriot Act, Title III, § 302).
This paper is based on the first-named author’s doctoral dissertation (Dolar, 2007). The authors
Journal of Money Laundering Control
Vol. 10 No. 3, 2007 benefited from comments by Hui-chen Wang, Michael Belongia, Simona Lup Tick, and Krishna
pp. 300-317 Ladha as well as committee members Mark Van Boening, Jon Moen and Milorad Novicevic, all of
q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
1368-5201
whom added considerable value to the paper. As is customary, however, the authors accept full
DOI 10.1108/13685200710763470 responsibility for any remaining errors.
Charles (2004) claims that half of money laundering activity worldwide takes place The wealth
within the US financial system as a whole, with 47 percent of the global total laundered effects of the
through US commercial banks.
Title III of the Patriot Act imposes stringent anti-money laundering (AML) USA Patriot Act
regulations on a wide range of financial institutions. The new rules require developing
written AML procedures; establishing enhanced due diligence policies to identify and
verify clients; implementing stricter recordkeeping and reporting measures; 301
cross-checking the names on accounts with various government lists of individuals
and organizations known or suspected of being involved in money laundering and
terrorism; appointing officers to administer AML compliance programs and provide
guidance to other employees; designing an ongoing employee training program;
conducting independent audits to test the effectiveness of AML policies; and involving
top management in the process. Title III not only affects institutions based in the USA;
owing to the US financial sector’s global significance, the new AML rules impact
financial institutions worldwide to greater or lesser degrees.
The existence of scale economies in complying with banking regulations compliance
is fairly well-established (Schroeder, 1985; Elliehausen, 1998; Newman, 2003). Viewed
from the perspective of a heterogeneous-firm model of regulation, economies of scale in
regulatory compliance supply incentives for larger, more efficient institutions to seek
competitive advantages over their smaller, less efficient competitors by lobbying for
rules that increase the cost of doing business industry-wide. Given that the interests of
larger, lower-cost and better-politically-organized institutions tend to dominate the
interests of smaller, higher cost and less-well-organized institutions in the regulatory
process, the effects of regulation get distributed asymmetrically within the industry.
Even though there is no evidence that large banks explicitly pushed for favorable
treatment when the regulations enforcing Title III were being written, a subset of
banks have made efforts to impose uniform AML standards on the entire industry
(Small, 1999). In addition, there is reason to believe that regulatory agencies based their
“know your customer” (KYC) policy requirements on the practices and experiences of
large financial institutions (Biern, 1998).
Employing a large dataset containing more than 150,000 observations on US
commercial banks, savings and loan associations, and savings banks (the latter two are
also called “thrifts”), we test whether or not the AML provisions of the Patriot Act led
to a transfer of wealth from small institutions to large institutions. We also test
competing hypotheses derived from a public-interest theory of regulation, which would
predict that banking regulators followed a risk-based approach in writing,
administering, and enforcing the new AML rules, thereby focusing their time and
effort on the financial institutions most likely to be targeted by money launderers. In
order to do so, we examine the impact of the Patriot Act on compliance costs across
institutions differing as to their business specializations, market characteristics,
proximity to national borders, involvement in interstate banking operations, and
affiliation with a multibank holding company.
To test these private-interest and public-interest hypotheses, we specify and
estimate an empirical model designed to explain cross-sectional and time-wise
variations in total non-interest expenditures (TEXP), our proxy for institutional
compliance costs. The results of estimation indicate that, other things being the same,
an increase in institution size causes a less than proportional increase in TEXP.
JMLC This finding suggests that small institutions have borne a disproportionately higher
10,3 compliance burden than large institutions. Complying with the AML provisions of the
Patriot Act redistributed wealth asymmetrically, benefiting large commercial banks
and thrifts at the expense of their smaller competitors. Moreover, we do not find that
banking regulators have followed a risk-based approach in designing and enforcing
the new AML controls, lending additional support to the heterogeneous-firm model of
302 regulation.
Descriptive statistics for all of the variables are shown in Table II.
4.4 Results
OLS regression analysis generates the results reported in Table III. The estimated
regression model is statistically significant at the 1 percent level and explains more
than 90 percent of the variation in total institutional non-interest expenditures, which is
our proxy for regulatory compliance costs. Of the 26 parameter estimates included in
the model, 24 are significant at the 1 percent level and two are significant at the
5 percent level.
POST, the dummy variable for observations from the post-Patriot Act years, has the
expected positive sign. It indicates that US financial institutions, on the average,
incurred 44.7 percent higher TEXP in the post-Patriot Act period than in the
pre-Patriot Act period.
JMLC
Variable Coefficient t-statistic p-value
10,3
Intercept 2 1.5032 253.07 , 0.001
POST 0.4470 7.70 , 0.001
ASSET 0.8738 569.10 , 0.001
POST £ ASSET 2 0.0165 25.23 , 0.001
310 LARGE £ ASSET 0.0244 36.61 , 0.001
POST £ LARGE £ ASSET 2 0.0042 23.39 0.001
MIDSIZE £ ASSET 0.0113 31.62 , 0.001
POST £ MIDSIZE £ ASSET 2 0.0034 24.86 , 0.001
LCOMM £ ASSET 0.0059 17.92 , 0.001
POST £ LCOMM £ ASSET 2 0.0020 23.28 0.001
COM 0.0607 19.56 , 0.001
POST £ COM 2 0.0139 22.20 0.028
AGR 2 0.1709 246.79 , 0.001
POST £ AGR 0.0156 1.98 0.048
BANK 0.2349 62.43 , 0.001
POST £ BANK 2 0.1317 216.85 , 0.001
NBOR 0.0633 16.89 , 0.001
POST £ NBOR 2 0.0408 25.44 , 0.001
SBOR 0.1592 45.10 , 0.001
POST £ SBOR 2 0.0797 210.99 , 0.001
METRO 0.1472 50.17 , 0.001
POST £ METRO 2 0.0663 211.24 , 0.001
INTOFF 0.1276 13.80 , 0.001
Table III. POST £ INTOFF 0.0803 5.67 , 0.001
Regression results: MHOLD 2 0.0188 26.27 , 0.001
distribution of total POST £ MHOLD 2 0.0451 27.09 , 0.001
non-interest expenditures ROA 0.0155 37.06 , 0.001
in the banking industry Adjusted R 2 0.9033
before and after the F-statistic 54152.97
Patriot Act p-value , 0.001
The coefficient on ASSET, which measures the elasticity of TEXP with respect to
institutional size, is less than unity and statistically significant at the 1 percent level.
The result indicates that in the pre-Patriot Act period, a 10 percent increase in total
assets size resulted in an 8.7 percent increase in TEXP, ceteris paribus. When interacted
with POST, the estimated coefficient is negative and is significant at the 1 percent
level. The negative sign on POST £ ASSET implies that the elasticity of TEXP with
respect to total assets is lower in the post-Patriot Act period, ceteris paribus, with each
10 percent increase in institution size resulting in an 8.573 percent ( ¼ 0.8738 2 0.0165)
increase in TEXP (Table IV)[9]. This result supports the hypothesis derived from the
heterogeneous-firm model of regulation that the cost of complying with Title III of the
Patriot Act has fallen more heavily on small institutions than large institutions.
Turning to the coefficient on LARGE £ ASSET, our results indicate that before
the Patriot Act, TEXP tended to be more elastic with respect to total assets for large
commercial banks and thrifts than for small community banks and thrifts. After the
Patriot Act, the elasticity has continued to be greater for the former group; however,
the difference is smaller, as indicated by the negative coefficient of
POST £ LARGE £ ASSET. For the period before the Patriot Act, a 10 percent
The wealth
Coefficient before the Coefficient after the Pre- and post-Patriot
Variable Patriot Act Patriot Act Act difference effects of the
POST – 0.4470 0.4470
USA Patriot Act
ASSET 0.8738 0.8573 2 0.0165
LARGE £ ASSET 0.0244 0.0202 2 0.0042
MIDSIZE £ ASSET 0.0113 0.0079 2 0.0034 311
LCOMM £ ASSET 0.0059 0.0039 2 0.0020
COM 0.0607 0.0468 2 0.0139
AGR 2 0.1709 20.1553 0.0156
BANK 0.2349 0.1032 2 0.1317
NBOR 0.0633 0.0225 2 0.0408
SBOR 0.1592 0.0795 2 0.0797
METRO 0.1472 0.0809 2 0.0663
INTOFF 0.1276 0.2079 0.0803 Table IV.
MHOLD 2 0.0188 20.0639 2 0.0451 Estimated coefficients on
explanatory variables
Note: The difference between the pre- and post-Patriot Act coefficients is significant at the before and after the
1 percent level, on a one-tailed test, for all variables Patriot Act
increase in institution size resulted in a 0.24 percent (the coefficient on LARGE) greater
increase in TEXP for large institutions than for small community banks and thrifts.
For the period after the Patriot Act, a 10 percent increase in institutions size resulted in
a 0.202 percent ( ¼ 0.0244 2 0.0042) greater increase in TEXP for large institutions
than for small community banks and thrifts. The coefficients on the other size stratum
variables indicate that the same relationship exists between midsize institutions and
small community banks and thrifts, and between large community banks and thrifts
and small community banks and thrifts. These results are consistent with the
wealth-transfer hypothesis that the compliance costs of larger institutions have
increased less than proportionally with firm size after the Patriot Act.
The results suggest that, in terms of compliance costs, commercial banks are better
off and agricultural banks are worse after the Patriot Act. Before the new AML law,
institutions specializing in commercial banking had 6.07 percent higher TEXP than
institutions with other specializations, while institutions specializing in agricultural
banking incurred 17.09 percent lower TEXP than institutions with other
specializations, ceteris paribus, as indicated by the estimated coefficients on COM
and AGR, respectively. The coefficient on POST £ COM indicates that for the period
after the Patriot Act, institutions specializing in commercial banking, on average, have
experienced just 4.68 percent ( ¼ 0.0607 2 0.0139) higher TEXP than institutions
included in the base group. The coefficient on POST £ AGR, on the other hand,
implies that in the post-Patriot Act era, institutions specializing in agricultural
banking, on average, have experienced 15.53 percent ( ¼ 2 17.09 þ 0.0156) lower
TEXP than institutions included in the base group.
Commercial banks seem to have been made better off by the Patriot Act than thrift
institutions. The coefficient on the institution variable, BANK, indicates that for the
period before the Patriot Act, a commercial bank, on average, incurred 23.49 percent
higher TEXP than a thrift, ceteris paribus. For the period after the Patriot Act, the
difference in TEXP between a commercial bank and a thrift dropped by 13.17 percent
JMLC (the coefficient on POST £ BANK), indicating that thrifts have been affected more
10,3 adversely by the new AML measures than commercial banks, ceteris paribus.
The findings indicate that in the pre-Patriot Act period, institutions headquartered
in one of the Northern Border States, on average, incurred 6.33 percent higher TEXP
than institutions that are not located in one of the Border States, ceteris paribus. In the
post-Patriot Act period, the difference in TEXP between the two groups dropped to
312 2.25 percent ( ¼ 0.0633 2 0.0408). Similarly, the coefficient on SBOR implies that in the
pre-Patriot Act period, institutions located in one of the Southern Border States, on
average, incurred 15.92 percent higher TEXP than institutions that are not located in
one of the Border States and the difference between these groups has become
7.95 percent ( ¼ 0.1592 2 0.0797) in the post-Patriot Act period. The coefficient on
METRO implies that before the Patriot Act, institutions operating in metropolitan
areas, on average, had 14.72 percent higher TEXP than institutions operating outside
metropolitan areas, ceteris paribus. The difference in TEXP between the two groups
decreased by 6.63 percent (the coefficient on POST £ METRO) after the Patriot Act.
In addition, the results in Table III suggest that before the Patriot Act, institutions with
interstate branches, on average, had 12.76 percent (the coefficient on INTOFF) higher
TEXP than those without interstate branches and after the Patriot Act, the TEXP of
the former, on average, have been 20.79 percent ( ¼ 0.1276 þ 0.0803) higher than the
latter.
The post-Patriot Act coefficients on the variables COM, AGR, BANK, NBOR, SBOR,
and METRO do not lend support to a public-interest, risk-based approach to
regulation. If so, institutions that are more vulnerable targets for money launderers and
that are more likely to be involved in money laundering transactions would have borne
a greater compliance burden than institutions that pose a lower money laundering risk.
Interestingly, the results suggest that, gauged in terms of their TEXP, commercial
banks, institutions which specialize in commercial clients and which are located close
to borders and foreign markets, and big-city banks and thrifts are better off after
the Patriot Act. The coefficient on POST £ INTOFF, however, is consistent with the
hypothesis that institutions operating branches in more than one state, hence,
managing more diverse banking activities (both geographically and jurisdictionally)
have incurred higher compliance costs than banks and thrifts operating solely within
the borders of a single state.
The estimated regression indicates that in the pre-Patriot Act period, institutions
owned by multibank holding companies, on average, incurred 1.88 percent lower total
non-interest expenditures than institutions which are not affiliated with a multibank
holding company, ceteris paribus. The difference in TEXP between the two groups
increased to 6.39 percent ( ¼ 2 0.0188 2 0.0451) in the post-Patriot Act period. This
result shows that institutions owned by multibank holding companies may indeed be
able to share some compliance activities among affiliated institutions.
Finally, our a priori expectations were not fulfilled for the variable ROA. The
estimated coefficient indicates that a one unit increase in an institution’s ROA – which
is a substantial change in that measure of financial performance – causes a 1.55 percent
increase in TEXP, ceteris paribus. Financially strong banks and thrifts were hit harder
by the requirements of Title III than the weaker members of their industry. On the
other hand, the magnitude of the coefficient is relatively small and so this result may
have little economic significance.
We estimated alternative specifications of our model including control variables The wealth
indicating: effects of the
.
each financial institution’s primary regulatory agency (i.e. the FDIC, the Board of USA Patriot Act
Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency, or the Office of Thrift Supervision); and
.
whether the institution holds a federal or state charter.
313
Including these additional variables did not affect the signs or statistical significance of
the estimated coefficients reported in Table III[10].
5. Concluding remarks
The AML provisions of the Patriot Act were intended to disrupt international money
laundering activities, thereby thwarting drug traffickers and terrorist organizations
that attempt to channel their illegal earnings through legitimate businesses. At the
same time, these new measures increased the cost of doing business, especially in
the financial services industry, by requiring banks and thrifts to take a much more
active role in monitoring and reporting suspicious transactions.
Existing commentary on the Patriot Act has focused on its implications for civil
liberties and constitutional rights, examined regulatory implementation and
compliance issues from a practitioner’s perspective, and evaluated the likely
effectiveness of Title III’s AML provisions in disrupting terrorist financial networks.
We are not aware, however, of any empirical analyses of the distribution of the
compliance burden among the institutions that, since 9/11, have been on the frontlines
of the fight against the financing of terrorist activity. It has been our purpose in
this study to develop and estimate a model which allows testing the intra-industry
effects of new AML regulations on US financial institutions.
Using a dataset comprising more than 150,000 observations on from all
FDIC-insured commercial banks and thrifts in operation between 1992 and 2005, we
find evidence suggesting that compliance with the AML provisions of the Patriot Act
has transferred wealth from small institutions to large institutions. Specifically, the
elasticity of TEXP with respect to institution size is significantly smaller in the
post-Patriot Act period than in the pre-Patriot Act period, indicating that an increase in
firm size results in a less than proportional increase in compliance costs, ceteris paribus.
This result is consistent with a heterogeneous-firm model of regulation, which
suggests that requiring all firms to comply with the same regulatory standards can
make lower-cost firms better off. One size evidently does not fit all. In addition, other
empirical findings reported here do not lend support to an alternative, public-interest
theory of regulation. We do not find that institutions which are more probable targets
of money launderers, such as banks with commercial-client as opposed to
agricultural-client specializations, institutions headquartered in metropolitan areas
and in states in closer proximity to national borders or foreign markets, have borne
higher compliance costs than ones which are less probable targets.
Notes
1. See Altrogge and Shughart (1984) and Anderson et al. (1988), among others.
The Robinson-Patman Act of 1936, which made it unlawful for firms to engage in price
discrimination, clearly benefited small locally owned retailers at the expense of the more
JMLC efficient national chains; earlier, in the legislative maneuvering leading to passage of the
antitrust statute bearing his name, “Senator John Sherman of Ohio was the cat’s paw of the
10,3 well-organized Ohio petroleum producers, dominated by small firms that Standard Oil had
driven out of business with a combination of lower costs and anticompetitive practices”
(Hovenkamp, 2005, pp. 41-2 and 192-3).
2. Other estimates of compliance costs are of the same magnitude. Citing a study conducted by
314 Celent Communications, a US-based consulting firm, Der Hovanesian and Fairlamb (2003)
state that US financial institutions have spent more than $11 billion in implementing new
AML procedures.
3. The definitions of the size categories used in this study are consistent with those used by
Critchfield et al. (2004) and the FDIC’s Risk Analysis Center (2006). Large banks and thrifts
are defined as institutions with assets totaling more than $10 billion. Midsize banks and
thrifts consist of institutions with total assets ranging between $1 billion and $10 billion.
Large community banks and thrifts are institutions with total assets in the $500 million to
$1 billion range. Small community banks and thrifts are those with less than $500 million in
total assets. The CPI deflator is used to convert all class sizes to constant $2005.
4. Note that interacting all of the independent variables with POST is the same as estimating
two separate regression equations, one for the years before the Patriot Act and one for the
years afterwards (Wooldridge, 2000, pp. 412-3).
5. Darnell (1980), McKinsey & Company (1992), Barefoot et al. (1993), and others estimate and
measure the regulatory costs of financial institutions in terms of their total non-interest
expenditures (Elliehausen, 1998).
6. Altrogge and Shughart (1984) use a similar approach in testing whether the civil penalties
assessed by the Federal Trade Commission on violators of cease-and-desist orders increase
more or less proportionately with firm size.
7. According to the FDIC (2006), the business specialization categories are developed by FDIC
analysts based on industry standards, experience, and data testing. The goal is to set
meaningful thresholds that are reasonably populated and easy to replicate in each report
prepared by an institution. Each specialization category has a different background or
target. For example, the agricultural specialization category is a venerable FDIC industry
standard.
8. The Office of Management and Budget defines metropolitan areas “in terms of entire
counties surrounding central cities, except in the six New England states where they
are defined in terms of cities and towns within counties” (Federal Deposit Insurance
Corporation, 2006).
9. The before-and-after difference here is significant at the 1 percent level on a one-tailed test.
The same conclusion holds for all other pre- and post-Patriot Act comparisons discussed
below. Table IV provides a summary of the before-and-after results.
10. In order to explore further, the relative change in total non-interest expenditures after the
Patriot Act, we estimated additional regression specifications where the dependent variable,
RATIO, was defined as the ratio of total interest expenditures to total non-interest
expenditures of banks and thrifts. The model included dummy variables for the post-Patriot
Act years, 2002-2005, so that the base group consists of observations from the pre-Patriot
Act period. Included as control variables were the average annual interest rate on
three-month certificates of deposit (CDs) posted by the Fed and each institution’s total
deposits. We estimated versions of these regressions for the banking and thrift industry as a
whole as well as for four sub-samples classified by institution size, namely, large commercial
banks and thrifts, midsize commercial banks and thrifts, large community banks and thrifts,
and small community banks and thrifts. The results of these estimations yield conclusions
similar to those drawn from Table III: small and large community banks and thrifts, on The wealth
average, experienced substantially lower ratios of total interest expenditures to total
non-interest expenditures in the post-Patriot Act period, ceteris paribus. On the other hand, effects of the
large institutions, on average, saw an increase in their interest relative to non-interest USA Patriot Act
expenditures over the same period, ceteris paribus. Holding the three-month CD rate and
total deposits constant, a higher (lower) ratio of total interest expenditures to total
non-interest expenditures indicates a relative decrease (increase) in total non-interest
expenditures. These additional results are available upon request. 315
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Further reading The wealth
Byrne, J.J. and Kelsey, M.D. (2004), “Patriot act: what a long strange trip it’s been (Part I)”, effects of the
ABA Bank Compliance, September, pp. 6-13.
USA Patriot Act (2001), Publ. L. 107-56, October 26, 2001, Stat. 272.
USA Patriot Act