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    Laury Vittini
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    The document contains information about monthly and weekly demand data over multiple years. It discusses using a seasonal index to adjust forecasts based on average demand patterns. Formulas are provided for calculating a new forecast using a weighted average of previous demand and forecast, as well as calculating expected quarterly demand using seasonal factors. Graphs and tables of demand data over time are also presented.

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    Book1

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    The document contains information about monthly and weekly demand data over multiple years. It discusses using a seasonal index to adjust forecasts based on average demand patterns. Formulas are provided for calculating a new forecast using a weighted average of previous demand and forecast, as well as calculating expected quarterly demand using seasonal factors. Graphs and tables of demand data over time are also presented.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    14 views5 pages

    Book 1

    Uploaded by

    Laury Vittini
    The document contains information about monthly and weekly demand data over multiple years. It discusses using a seasonal index to adjust forecasts based on average demand patterns. Formulas are provided for calculating a new forecast using a weighted average of previous demand and forecast, as well as calculating expected quarterly demand using seasonal factors. Graphs and tables of demand data over time are also presented.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 5

    8.

    Mes Demanda Pronostico


    1 102
    2 91
    115
    3 95
    110
    4 105 96
    5 94 97 105

    6 100 98 100
    7 109 99.6666666666667 95
    8 92 101 90
    9 101 100.333333333333 85
    10 98 100.666666666667
    80
    11 97 0 1 2 3

    8.4

    Mes Demanda Pronostico


    Febrero 135 122
    Marzo 123.95

    New forecast = (a)(Lastest demand) + (1-a)(previous forecast)

    8.5
    Mes Demanda Pronostico
    1 85 100
    2 97

    8.8

    Semana Demanda Pronostico


    1 103 100 De
    2 112 103 S
    3 113 105.25 150
    4 120 107.1875
    5 126 110.390625 100
    6 128 114.29296875
    50
    7 138 117.7197265625
    8 141 122.789794921875 0
    9 0 1 2 3
    8.9
    Demanda Cuatri Promedio Demanda

    140 175 Seasonal index =

    8.1

    Demanda Annual 800


    Numero de Periodos 4
    Expected quarter demand = (Factor
    demanda desacionalizada 200

    Pronostico primer Cuatri 0

    8.12

    Mes Average Demad Seasonal Index


    January 30 0.275862068965517
    February 50 0.459770114942529
    March 85 0.781609195402299
    April 110 1.01149425287356
    May 125 1.14942528735632
    June 245 2.25287356321839
    July 255 2.3448275862069
    August 135 1.24137931034483
    September 100 0.919540229885057
    October 90 0.827586206896552
    November 50 0.459770114942529
    December 30 0.275862068965517
    AVERAGE 108.75

    8.13

    Mes Seasonal Index Forecast


    January
    February
    March
    April
    May
    June
    July
    August
    September
    October
    November
    December
    AVERAGE
    Demanda
    115
    110
    105
    100
    95
    90
    85
    80
    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

    Demanda
    Semanal

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
    Seasonal index = quarter average
    average demand for all quarters

    quarter demand = (Factor estacional)(pronostico desestacionaizada)

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