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A Portrait of Pediatric Radiologists in The United States: Leonard Merewitz Jonathan H. Sunshine
A Portrait of Pediatric Radiologists in The United States: Leonard Merewitz Jonathan H. Sunshine
nd Sunshine
hortage of
ediatric
adiologists
A C E N T U
R Y O F
indicated by top leadership, and pretested in two • Respondents who reported in the 2003 survey
hard-copy version.) Throughout, comparisons large pretests conducted in autumn 2002, with re- having a certificate of added qualification
with other categories of radiologists are made. finements made after each pretest. (CAQ) from the American Board of Radiology
The Society for Pediatric Radiology (SPR) The survey sample, a stratified random sample in pediatric radiology.
has conducted a number of in-depth, highly in- composed of four strata, was taken primarily from • Respondents who reported they did a fellowship
formative surveys of its members and has pub- the American Medical Association’s (AMA) Phy- in pediatric radiology.
lished data from one ([13]; Jennifer Boylan, sician Masterfile [20], a reasonably complete list- • Respondents who reported that the SPR, the
personal communication, February 2005). Re- ing of all allopathic physicians in the United most prominent subspecialty society in the field,
searchers have also published results of sur- States, whether or not AMA members, but also in- is one of the two most important professional or-
veys of SPR members [14–16]. The advan- cluded a sample of osteopathic radiologists ob- ganizations to which they belong.
tages of this article relative to those studies are tained from the American Osteopathic College of • Respondents who reported that they subspecial-
that it has more recent information, contains Radiology. The sample included residents, fel- ize to at least a small extent and report that pedi-
systematic comparisons with other radiolo- lows, and retirees, not merely posttraining, profes- atirc radiology is their main or secondary sub-
gists, and is based on a systematic sample of all sionally active physicians. specialty.
radiologists in the United States, meaning that The survey was administered by our contractor, • Respondents who reported spending any of their
it includes radiologists active in the pediatric the Center for Survey Reasearch, University of Vir- clinical work time performing pediatric radiol-
field who are not SPR members. ginia, by mail between March and August 2003, ogy. Although this is obviously an overly broad
with nonrespondents being sent up to four remail- definition of pediatric radiologist, it is a category
Materials and Methods ings as necessary and other steps taken to boost the of interest.
Data Source and Survey Methods response rate. The response rate achieved was 63%, • Respondents who reported that they spend at least
Data are from the ACR’s 2003 Survey of Radiol- with 1,924 usable responses. Responses were a specified fraction of their clinical work time per-
ogists (hereinafter referred to as the “2003 survey”). weighted so that the weighted statistics would be forming pediatric radiology. Thresholds used for
The survey and its methods have been described in representative of the answers that would have been this criterion were 30%, 40%, 50%, and 70%.
detail elsewhere [17, 18]. In brief, the 2003 survey received if all physicians in the United States in the
was similar to its predecessor, the ACR’s 1995 Sur- four strata had been surveyed and had responded. Analysis Methods
vey of Radiologists and Radiation Oncologists Our leading tool to minimize data deficiencies All information presented in the remainder of
[1–5], but it incorporated important improvements was the designation of the 12 items on the ques- this article, unless otherwise noted, is based on
throughout the survey process. These ranged from tionnaire judged most crucial as core questions. weighted data and refers to physicians from all
more thorough canvassing of all ACR leadership to When questionnaires were returned, our contrac- strata combined. Where numbers of physicians are
identify issues of importance and ascertain priorities tor checked that these 12 items were indeed an- given (in Table 1), an adjustment was made for item
among them, through use of a multifaceted “tailored swered and made three designated consistency nonresponse— that is, for the failure of a limited
design method” [19] to maximize the response rate, checks involving them. If any problems were percentage of respondents to answer each ques-
to use of an expanded and more intensive array of found with the core items, the Center telephoned tion— so that the numbers are, as always, represen-
steps to improve data quality. the respondent to obtain the missing response(s) tative of what the answers would have been if all
The questionnaire for the 2003 survey consisted or to resolve the consistency problems. In addi- physicians of interest in the country had responded.
of 36 items; many items in turn contained multiple tion, data used in this article have been cleaned Reported standard errors (SEs) and tests of
subitems. Questionnaire items and topics were elic- and edited to further minimize deficiencies. statistical significance are calculated taking into
account not only the weighted nature of the data but ical work time performing pediatric proce- The Work of Pediatric Radiologists
also the complex survey design— that is, the fact dures, and approximately half spend 70% or Pediatric radiologists average performing
that responses come from distinct strata. The SEs more of their clinical work time in the field. approximately four and one half of the seven
are calculated with the Statistical Analysis System But one sixth are not currently doing any pe- major types of procedures (mostly technique
software procedure “surveymeans” (SAS Institute). diatric radiology. Other highlights of the ta- categories) into which we have divided radi-
All data analysis was conducted with SAS soft- ble include the following: Of those who re- ology (Tables 4 and S2). This is about the
ware, release 9.0 (SAS Institute). Because most ported on the 2003 survey that pediatric same as for other radiologists. Pediatric radi-
comparisons are made between pediatric radiolo- radiology was their primary specialty, five ologists are more likely to perform CT than
gists and five comparison groups of radiologists sixths have a CAQ, four fifths did a fellow- other radiologists, more likely to perform ra-
(Tables 3 and S1), we use a two-tailed z-test with a ship in the field, four fifths spend 30% or diography or fluoroscopy and (to some ex-
p value of 0.01 or less as the criterion of statistical more of their clinical work time performing tent) sonography than other subspecialists,
significance, in keeping with the Bonferroni pediatric procedures, and two thirds spend and much less likely to do breast imaging.
inequality [21]. In two instances in which visual in- 70% or more of their clinical work time in Pediatric radiologists work at an average of
spection of the data showed relatively large differ- the field. Of those who spend 30% or more two distinct locations versus an average of al-
ences between pediatric radiologists and other radi- of their clinical work time in pediatric radi- most three for other subspecialists and for
ologists but the differences were not significant at ology, five sixths have the CAQ, 70% did a nonsubspecialists (Tables 5 and S3). On aver-
p ≤ 0.01, we applied the more common criterion of pediatric fellowship, and four fifths spend age, full-time radiologists who are pediatric
p ≤ 0.05; these instances are explicitly noted in the 70% or more of their clinical work time in specialists report working approximately
text. SEs for percentages in the tables can be ap- the field. Of the half dozen respondents who 56–57 hours in a typical full week, not signif-
proximated by the formula: reported pediatric radiology as their second- icantly different from other radiologists. Sim-
ary specialty, only one third reported spend- ilarly, the percentage of pediatric radiologists
p(1 – p)
SE = 1.2 × --------------------- ing as much as 30% of their clinical work who are part-timers is not significantly differ-
American Journal of Roentgenology 2006.186:12-22.
n
time in the field and none reported having ent from the percentage for other radiologists.
where p = percentage / 100 and n = unweighted done a fellowship, having the CAQ, or With an average of 25 or fewer vacation days
number of observations (from Table 1 or 3). The spending 40% or more of their clinical work by a number of definitions of who is a pediat-
factor of 1.2 approximates the effects of the com- time in the field. ric radiologist, full-time pediatric radiologists
plex survey design and item nonresponse. Tables 3 and S1 present the demographic have less vacation than other full-time radiol-
characteristics of pediatric radiologists and ogists, who average approximately 35 vaca-
Results the corresponding demographics of five com- tion days. In contrast, both full-time pediatric
Number, Characteristics, and parison groups of radiologists. Pediatric radi- radiologists and other full-time radiologists
Demographics of Pediatric Radiologists ologists in general are, on average, about average approximately 10 days annually for
Among useful definitions of who is a pe- 51–53 years old, not significantly different professional education and society meetings.
diatric radiologist, the highest estimate of from other specialists or radiologists overall. By most definitions of who is a pediatric
the number of pediatric radiologists, approx- But those practicing 70% or more of their radiologist, approximately 15% of pediatric
imately 950 or 3.5% of all radiologists, re- time in the field are significantly older (aver- radiologists would like less work, even
sults from defining as pediatric radiologists aging 55 years) than other subspecialists. though that means their income would de-
those who reported that pediatric radiology Also, although more than one third of all ra- crease proportionately, and a smaller percent-
is their primary or secondary subspecialty diology subspecialists are younger than 45 age would like more work with a correspond-
(Table 1). The lowest estimate, approxi- years, the fraction is considerably smaller for ing increase in income (Tables 5 and S4). In
mately 700 or 2.6% of radiologists, results pediatric radiologists. Specifically, the per- contrast, although the difference is not signif-
from defining pediatric radiologists as those centage of pediatric radiologists who are icant, largely because of the limited number
who spend 70% or more of their clinical 35–44 years old is generally smaller than for of pediatric radiologists in our survey, for
work time in the field. Those who report pe- comparison categories, but the difference is other radiologists, the percentages desiring
diatric radiology is their secondary specialty significant only at the level of p ≤ 0.05. more and less work are more even. Pediatric
are few—approximately 150 persons, or More than 40% of radiologists who spend radiologists are like other radiologists in re-
0.5% of all radiologists. more than 30% of their clinical work time in porting, on average, a level of enjoyment of
Table 2 shows the relationship between pediatric radiology are women, compared their work approximately halfway between
pairs of characteristics of pediatric radiolo- with half that percentage or less for other “enjoy very much” and “enjoy somewhat.”
gists. Each row of the table refers to those ra- subspecialists and for nonsubspecialized ra- Virtually all pediatric radiologists report
diologists with the characteristic listed at the diologists. As is true for radiologists in gen- spending part of their work time in clinical
left of the row, and each cell tells what per- eral, more than 95% of pediatric radiologists practice at hospitals, although only about
centage of these radiologists also have the are board-certified. The proportion of pedi- 90% of subspecialists who are not pediatric
characteristic listed at the top of the column atric radiologists in the Northeast is some- radiologists and 86% of nonsubspecialists do
in which the cell appears. For example, the what lower than the proportion of nonpedi- so (Tables 6 and S5). Conversely, only ap-
table shows, in its third row, that of those atric radiologists, and the proportion of proximately one fourth of pediatric radiolo-
who did a fellowship in pediatric radiology, pediatric radiologists in the Midwest is cor- gists do clinical work at nonhospital sites
approximately 70% have the CAQ, a similar respondingly elevated (results significant compared with half of other subspecialists
percentage spend 30% or more of their clin- only at p ≤ 0.05). and half of nonsubspecialists.
67.1 86.4 73.6 57.2 84.8 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 94.4 81.8
Pediatric is ≥ 50% of clinical time 68.2 85.6 72.1 57.8 83.9 0.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 86.7
100.0a,b,c,d,e
100.0a,b,c,d,e
100.0a,b,c,d,e
Fluoroscopy
95.8b,c,d
95.3b,c,d
90.5
82.0
19.7a,b,c,d,e
15.5a,b,c,d,e
12.6a,b,c,d,e
32.1a,b,d,e
39.2a,b,d,e
36.7a,b,d,e
45.2
76.6
63.4
89.6b,c,d
88.8b,c,d
91.4b,c,d
90.1b,c,d
83.9
74.0
69.0
69.6
63.5
52.1
70.1
63.7
62.8
65.6
62.8
67.6
66.6
69.0
96.4a,b,c,d,e
95.8a,b,c,d,e
100.0a,b,c,d,e
95.3a,b,c,d
95.3a,b,c,d
83.4
81.5
CT
35.1
39.3
33.4
29.3
45.4
42.4
34.3
44.4
35.3
39.7
47.8
52.2
56.4
41.1
42.3
34.8
52.3
49.4
54.4
48.6
59.9
50.3
4.8c
4.8c
4.7
4.3
4.3
4.0
4.7
4.5
4.8
4.4
5.0
4.7
Nonsubspecialists
For approximately 25 years, surveys of
All radiologists
SPR members have been providing informa-
tion about pediatric radiologists. Because
these surveys included only pediatric radiolo-
gists, they could, unlike our survey, easily ask
numerous pediatric-radiology-specific ques-
16 AJR:186, January 2006
American Journal of Roentgenology 2006.186:12-22.
Shortage of Pediatric Radiologists
tions, and thus they have additional detail that
Enjoyment
Score
Mean
1.4
1.5
1.4
1.6
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.5
1.6
1.5
Desired
More
Work
27.6
24.4
35.1
41.5
39.9
41.5
41.5
41.5
26.4
26.4
27.2
Work
16.5
15.3
10.0
11.7
15.4
7.8
10.6
11.8
13.6
15.9
19.3
17.1
Desired
19.4
23.0
18.7
22.9
16.6
20.9
20.5
20.5
20.5
21.2
21.3
19.4
Work
14.9
19.1
11.1
15.3
11.5
17.6
14.7
16.2
18.8
16.5
11.7
14.8
2.0a,b,d,e
2.1a,b,d
No. of
Mean
2.2
2.9
2.6
2.8
2.9
10.3
9.8
10.7
10.2
9.4
9.9
9.4
9.9
8.7
9.1
9.8
22.9a,b,c,d,e
Vacation
24.9a,b,d,e
24.2a,b,d,e
24.0a,b,d,e
Days of
26.0e
27.8
34.1
30.3
35.3
25.8
33.9
24.4
23.3
31.3
27.6
18.4
21.0
23.1
23.5
17.2
15.9
TABLE 5: Work Arrangements and Work Satisfaction of Radiologists
57.8a,e
Weekly
Mean
53.0
52.7
53.4
52.4
57.5
56.2
56.3
57.0
57.2
56.6
52.8
Nonsubspecialists
pediatric radiology.
All radiologists Goske et al. [13] and Forman et al. [16]
both report, as we do, that a relatively large
fraction of pediatric radiologists—about one
third—are women. Goske et al. find that the
women are, on average, younger than the
AJR:186, January 2006 17
American Journal of Roentgenology 2006.186:12-22.
Merewitz and Sunshine
men, and Forman et al. report that the younger
Report > 0
for Those
Mean %
Who
10.1
10.9
8.6
10.7
9.3
9.3
9.3
9.0
11.6
32.5a,e
36.0a,e
41.7a,e
23.2e
30.3e
32.6e
2.6
15.7
% of Time in
12.1
12.2
14.1
14.4
11.7
14.1
13.8
15.4
16.4
16.6
12.2
12.1
80.8a,b,c,d,e
81.9a,b,c,d,e
84.2a,b,c,d,e
68.7a,b,c,d,e
Report > 0
59.8a,b,d,e
60.8a,b,d,e
% Who
14.2
34.9
Professional Society
Work, and so forth
12.1
12.6
13.1
13.8
13.8
11.5
15.3
16.2
16.2
16.2
10.9
12.4
Management,
55.0e
32.6
36.9
34.9
46.4
44.5
39.4
40.1
44.4
51.4
26.1
36.7
Nonhospital Sites
Who
36.9
35.1
30.9
36.4
30.5
30.5
51.6
48.1
44.8
26.4a,b,d,e
26.3a,b,d,e
21.0a,b,d,e
% Who
35.3
29.6
39.8
51.8
49.3
Substantive Findings
Our best estimate is that about 800–900 ra-
Report > 0
for Those
67.0a,e
Mean %
67.4e
66.5e
76.6
73.8
73.4
73.2
70.3
69.7
73.2
80.6
73.8
small subspecialty.
Report > 0
% Who
86.4
90.5
Nonsubspecialists
ogists than of other subspecialists or nonsub-
All radiologists
specialists [23]. However, because of the
small sample size, the differences generally
were not statistically significant.
More troubling, we find indications that
this problem is likely to become worse in the
18 AJR:186, January 2006
American Journal of Roentgenology 2006.186:12-22.
Shortage of Pediatric Radiologists
future. The workload of the radiology pro-
Nonhospital
Hospital &
66.9
60.6
71.1
70.0
67.8
61.8
62.1
56.1
63.9
62.4
59.2
66.9
7.9
9.8
7.9
11.9
8.4
25.3
36.7
28.9
30.0
32.2
38.2
43.9
37.9
26.3
29.6
28.8
24.8
12.1a,b,c,d,e
Multispecialty
20.1
22.6
19.7
26.0
10.4
27.8
26.7
26.7
28.5
0.0a,b,c,d,e
0.0a,b,c,d,e
0.0a,b,c,d,e
0.0a,b,c,d,e
2.2
5.0
2.2
0.0
9.1
2.4
Locum Tenens
0.0a,b,d,e
0.0a,b,d,e
0.0a,b,d,e
0.0a,b,d,e
0.0a,b,d,e
1.2
0.0
6.3
1.5
18.0a,b,d,e
17.9a,b,d,e
15.5a,b,d,e
28.6
16.6
43.9
40.6
60.5a,b,c,d,e
68.7a,b,c,d,e
53.0a,b,c,d,e
43.5a,b,d,e
45.5a,b,d,e
Academic
33.5
62.5
20.4
Nonsubspecialists
more years ago, and a considerable number of
All radiologists radiologists change their field of emphasis
over a time span that long. We found a broadly
similar fraction not practicing at all in their
fellowship field for radiologists who trained
as interventionalists [18].
AJR:186, January 2006 19
American Journal of Roentgenology 2006.186:12-22.
Merewitz and Sunshine
Speculation suggests two reasons relatively
Nonmetropolitan Area
14.2
6.3
3.4
26.9
6.7
9.0
6.6
35.8
38.1
32.6
33.8
33.4
36.9
32.1
29.9
26.3
31.8
16.4
16.3
19.1
19.0
17.9
18.8
18.9
7.8
63.8a,b,d,e
63.1a,b,d,e
59.6a,e
45.1e
41.6e
47.0e
42.8
17.8
34.7
Nonsubspecialists
zation of radiation dose, is also a problem.
All radiologists
40.9a,b,d,e
41.3a,b,d,e
33.9a,b,d,e
31.4a,b,d,e
32.7a,b,d,e
65.0
69.4
51.2
96.6a,b,c,d,e
89.4a,b,d,e
87.7a,e
72.8
50.1
84.0
22.3e
28.1e
28.2e
28.1e
23.1
21.8
12.5
25.2
64.1a,b,c,d,e
52.4a,b,c,d,e
59.2a,b,c,d,e
54.7a,b,c,d,e
47.1a,b,c,d,e
67.8a,b,d,e
65.8a,b,d,e
91.4
91.8
84.1
d Statistically significantly different from subspecialists I except pediatric radiologists, p < 0.01.
6.6c,e
6.2
6.4
6.4
6.2
6.4
6.2
6.1
6.3
6.3
Nonsubspecialists
All radiologists such as pediatric radiology. Respondents were
instructed that the reported percentages should
total 100. If there had been one question for
techniques and another for organ systems and
patient categories, with directions that each
was to total 100%, then the number of radiolo-
AJR:186, January 2006 21
American Journal of Roentgenology 2006.186:12-22.
Merewitz and Sunshine
gists reporting time spent in any field and the References do. Pediatr Radiol 2000; 30:581–586
reported amounts of time spent would have 1. Deitch C, Chan W, Sunshine J, Shaffer K. Profile of 14. Leonidas JC, McCauley RGC, Faerber BN. Pediat-
been larger. This is unlikely to have produced U.S. radiologists at mid-decade: overview of find- ric radiologists in the United States and Canada: in-
substantial bias with respect to radiologists ings from the 1995 survey of radiologists. Radiol- volvement with newer imaging modalities. Radiol-
who spend large amounts of time in a field, and ogy 1997; 202:69–77 ogy 1981; 138:235–237
these are the radiologists on whom this study 2. Deitch C, Sunshine J, Chan W, Shaffer K. Women 15. Forman HP, Leonidas JC, Kirks DR. Clinical activ-
concentrates. However, the number of radiolo- in the radiology profession: data from a 1995 na- ities of pediatric radiologists in the United States
gists who, in fact, perform small amounts of tional survey. AJR 1998; 170:263–270 and Canada: 10-year follow-up. Radiology 1990;
pediatric radiology may be twice or more the 3. Chan W, Sunshine J, Kunkle L, Shaffer K. Charac- 175:127–129
number reported [18]. teristics of radiology groups and of diagnostic radi- 16. Forman HP, Traubici J, Covey AM, Kamin DS, Le-
The involvement of representatives of indi- ologists and radiation oncologists in different types onidas JC, Sunshine JH. Pediatric radiology at the
vidual subspecialties in the design of the sur- of practices. Radiology 1998; 207:443–453 millennium. Radiology 2001; 220:109–114
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a survey of all types of radiologists, it neces- U.S. radiologists during a period of uncertainty. Ra- ologists in the United States in 2002-2003 and
sarily had fewer questions relevant only to pe- diology 1999; 213:2:589–597 trends since 1991-1992. Radiology 2005;
diatric radiology than a survey of only pediat- 5. Crewson P, Sunshine J. Diagnostic radiologists’ 236:920–931
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174:5:1203–1209 interventional radiologists in the United States. AJR
Conclusions 6. Hogan C, Sunshine J, Schepps B. Hiring of diag- 2006 (in press)
Our detailed portrait of pediatric radiolo- nostic radiologists in 1998. AJR 2001; 176:307–312 19. Dillman DA. Mail and Internet surveys: the tai-
gists shows that theirs is a small subspecialty 7. Sunshine JH, Cypel YS, Schepps B. Diagnostic ra- lored design method, 2nd ed. New York, NY:
and that most practitioners of this subspecialty
American Journal of Roentgenology 2006.186:12-22.
F O R YO U R I N FO R M AT I O N
A data supplement containing Tables S1–S10 can be viewed in the online version of the article at
www.ajronline.org. These more detailed tables have been designed to augment the tables in the article.