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PRIYAM INTERNSHIP Jmarathon Advisory
PRIYAM INTERNSHIP Jmarathon Advisory
PRIYAM INTERNSHIP Jmarathon Advisory
Submitted to
BY
1
DECLARATION
2
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
At the very outset, I would like to thank Mr. Megesh.M (Business Head) for
giving me an opportunity to work for the esteemed and reputed Jmarathon Advisory
company and guiding and motivating me through all the difficulties that came my way
and spending enormous amount of time discussing about the project. During this
period I experienced the real work environment the market situation the mannerisms,
etc. that are very much needed to sustain myself in this large and competitive
environment.
Last but not the least I thank each and every one who directly or indirectly helped me
in making my project successful and memorable one.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
2 DECLARATION
3 LITERATURE REVIEW
4 INTRODUCTION
5 INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES
10 CASE STUDY
11 CONCLUSION
12 REFRENCES
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Literature Review
1. Gupta (1972) in his book has studied the working of stock exchanges in
India and has given a number of suggestions to improve its working. The
study highlights the' need to regulate the volume of speculation so as to
serve the needs of liquidity and price continuity. It suggests the
enlistment of corporate securities in more than one stock exchange at the
same time to improve liquidity. The study also wishes the cost of issues
to be low, in order to protect small investors Panda (1980) has studied
the role of stock exchanges in India before and after independence. The
study reveals that listed stocks covered four-fifths of the joint stock
sector companies Investment in securities was no longer the monopoly of
any particular class or of a small group of people. It attracted the
attention of a large number of small and middleclass individuals. It was
observed that a large proportion of savings went in the first instance into
purchase of securities already issued.
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manipulations, etc. He concluded that such artificial prices are bound to
crash sometime or other as history has repeated and proved.
4. Nabhi Kumar Jain (1992) specified certain tips for buying shares for
holding and also for selling shares. He advised the investors to buy
shares of a growing company of a growing industry. Buy shares by
diversifying in a number of growth companies operating in a different but
equally fast-growing sector of the economy. He suggested selling the
shares the moment company has or almost reached the peak of its
growth. Also, sell the shares the moment you realise you have made a
mistake in the initial selection of the shares. The only option to decide
when to buy and sell high priced shares is to identify the individual merit
or demerit of each of the shares in the portfolio and arrive at a decision.
5. Pyare Lal Singh (1993) in the study titled, Indian Capital Market - A
Functional Analysis,depicts the primary market as a perennial source of
supply of funds. It mobilises the savings from the different sectors of the
economy like households, public and private corporate sectors.The
number of investors increased from 20 lakhs in 1980 to 150 lakhs in
1990 (7. 5 times). In financing of the project costs of the companies with
different sources of financing, the contribution of the securities has risen
from 35.01% in 1981 to 52.94% in 1989. In the total volume of the
securities issued, the contribution of debentures / bonds in recent years
has increased significantly from 16. 21% to 30.14%.
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are traded across the counters of a bank.OTC products (e.g. Options and
futures) are tailor made for the particular need of a customer and serve
as a perfect hedge. He emphasised the use of futures as an instrument of
hedge, for it is of low cost.
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he found asymmetric integration relationship; stock markets of developed
nations are more integrated than those of emerging nations.
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14. Madhusudan (1998) found that BSE sensitivity and national indices did
not follow random walk by using correlation analysis on monthly stock
returns data over the period January 1981 to December 1992.
15. Arun Jethmalani (1999) reviewed the existence and measurement of risk
involved in investing in corporate securities of shares and debentures. He
commended that risk is usually determined, based on the likely variance
of returns. It is more difficult to compare 80 risks within the same class of
investments. He is of the opinion that the investors accept the risk
measurement made by the credit rating agencies, but it was questioned
after the Asian crisis. Historically, stocks have been considered the most
risky of financial instruments. He revealed that the stocks have always
outperformed bonds over the long term. He also commented on the
'diversification theory' concluding that holding a small number of non-
correlated stocks can provide adequate risk reduction. A debt-oriented
portfolio may reduce short term uncertainty, but will definitely reduce
long-term returns. He argued that the 'safe debt related investments'
would never make an investor rich. He also revealed that too many
diversifications tend to reduce the chances of big gains, while doing little
to reduce risk. Equity investing is risky, if the money will be needed a few
months down the line. He concluded his article by commenting that risk is
not measurable or quantifiable. But risk is calculated on the basis of
historic volatility. Returns are proportional to the risks, and investments
should be based on the investors' ability to bear the risks, he advised.
16. Suresh G Lalwani (1999) emphasised the need for risk management in
the securities market with particular emphasis on the price risk. He
commented that the securities market is a 'vicious animal' and there is
more than a fair chance that far from improving, the situation could
deteriorate.
17. Bhanu Pant and Dr. T.R.Bishnoy (2001) analyzed the behaviour of the
daily and weekly returns of five Indian stock market indices for random
walk during April 1996 to June 2001.They found that Indian Stock Market
Indices did not follow random walk.
18. Nath and Verma (2003) examine the interdependence of the three major
stock markets in south Asia stock market indices namely India (NSE-Nifty)
Taiwan (Taiex) and Singapore (STI) by employing bivariate and
multivariate co integration analysis to model the linkages among the stock
markets, No co -integration was found for the entire period (daily data
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from January 1994 to November 2002).They concluded that there is no
long run equilibrium.
19. Debjiban Mukherjee (2007) made a comparative Analysis of Indian stock
market with International markets. His study covers New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE), Hong Kong Stock exchange (HSE), Tokyo Stock
exchange (TSE), Russian Stock exchange (RSE), Korean Stock exchange
(KSE) from various socio- politico-economic backgrounds. Both the
Bombay Stock exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange of Indian
Limited (NSE) have been used in the study as a part of Indian Stock
Market. The main objective of this study is to capture the trends,
similarities and patterns in the activities and movements of the Indian
Stock Market in comparison to its international counterparts. The time
period has been divided into various eras to test the correlation between
the various exchanges to prove that the Indian markets have become
more integrated with its global counterparts and its reaction are in
tandem with that are seen globally. The various stock exchanges have
been compared on the basis of Market Capitalization, number of listed
securities, listing agreements, circuit filters, and settlement. It can safely
be said that the markets do react to global cues and any happening in the
global scenario be it macroeconomic or country specific (foreign trade
channel) affect the various markets.
20. Juhi Ahuja (2012) presents a review of Indian Capital Market & its
structure. In last decade orso, it has been observed that there has been a
paradigm shift in Indian capital market. The application of many reforms
& developments in Indian capital market has made the Indiancapital
market comparable with the international capital markets. Now, the
market features a developed regulatory mechanism and a modern market
infrastructure with growing market capitalization, market liquidity, and
mobilization of resources. The emergence of Private Corporate Debt
market is also a good innovation replacing the banking mode of corporate
finance. However, the market has witnessed its worst time with the recent
global financial crisis that originated from the US sub-prime mortgage
market and spread over to the e
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Trading in Stock Exchange:
A Great Gizmo of Investment
Introduction to the Topic
Purpose of Report
The report will give a complete analysis of how trading is carried out in
Indian stock markets. It will ensure and equip investors with tools and
techniques for intelligently investing in the equity segment of stock market
without taking any help of any expert or consultant.
This report would also help a general investor by providing analysis report
on market movement indicators and events of addition and removal of listed
shares and how to react in such a situation.
Hence the report will basically try to answer the following questions:
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1. Why stock market is one of the best options for long term
investment?
2. Which company’s stocks should one invest and when should one
invest?
3. How to keep a track of the market movement without going
through the price of each share in your portfolio?
4. How addition and removal of a company’s listed shares affects
one’s investment?
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Time Deposits: If we deposit our money has an FD in the bank it
becomes a Time Deposit on which NO cheque is drawn. They are paid on
maturity at a particular time.
On the other hand, Savings deposits, which are also demand deposits,
are subject to restrictions on the number of withdrawals as well as on the
amounts of withdrawals during any specified period. Further, minimum
balances may be prescribed in order to offset the cost of maintaining and
servicing such deposit.
4. Life Insurance:
They are one of the important parts of good investment portfolios. Life
insurance is an investment for security of life. The main objective of other
investment avenues is to earn return but the primary objective of life
insurance is to secure our families against unfortunate event of our death.
It is popular in individuals. Other kinds of general insurances are useful
for corporate. There are different types of insurances which are as follows:
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5. Real Estate:
Real Estate: Every investor has some part of their portfolio invested in
real assets. Almost every individual and corporate investor invests in
residential and office buildings respectively. Apart from these, others
include:
– Agricultural Land
– Semi-Urban Land
– Commercial Property
– Raw House
– Retail
– Industrial Property
• Manufacturing Only
• Warehousing
• Retail/Showroom/office
6. Precious objects:
* Gold
* Silver
* Precious stones
* Art objects
Equity Shares:
Preference Shares:
8. Bonds:
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Derivatives:
Forwards
Futures
Options
Swaps etc.
9. Mutual Fund:
• Mutual fund sells their share to the investors; invest the proceeds in a
wide choice of securities in the financial market.
• Thus a Mutual Fund is the most suitable investment for the common
man as it offers an opportunity to invest in a diversified, professionally
managed basket of securities at a relatively low cost.
Its 21st century the world has seen many revolutions but still India
lags behind when it comes to number of retail investors interested in
stock market instruments. The main cause behind such a drawback can
be manifold starting from severity of risk attached to fear of fraud and
cheating along with the lack of proper infrastructure also contributes a
little as a factor deterring full faith of retail investors. These all sum up to
the basic problem of low financial literacy among the potential investing
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population because of which they are ignorant of the techniques and
technology adopted by stock markets to eradicate fraud and scams and
ensure investor protection in the stock market.
The stock market always entails high risk, but one should always
remember that high risk brings in the scope of better returns and thus
justifies the risk and return trade-off as being used by financial
researchers and analysts. The Risk and Return trade-off states that
wherever there is high risk there is a probability of high returns too and
vice versa. The securities market also works on the same principle.
However, one should always keep in mind the risk affordable should not
be crossed in the greed of higher returns as is seen many times in these
markets which gives these markets the face of gambling arena. But it is
not the complete story the securities market can prove to be very
beneficial for any investor if invested wisely and after thorough research
which is not a very complicated task.
Investing in a securities market, also called investing in stocks and bonds,
is one of the primary ways to build wealth through capital appreciation --
an increase in the securities’ value over time.
Investors in stocks can earn money two ways: capital gains and
dividends. Savings account holders just earn interest. Many corporations
pay cash dividends, usually quarterly, to shareholders. The big payoff for
stock investors is the capital gain, which is the difference between the
value of the stock when it is sold and the value when it was purchased.
Flexible Objectives:
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the investment world is like a giant supermarket, with choices to fit every
financial objective. Of course, in this supermarket it’s not easy to spot
the potentially rotten eggs. Mutual funds are considered excellent ways
for the beginning investor to get started. These are professionally
managed funds that select groups of securities. The investor purchases
shares of the overall fund, not the individual stocks. If you want a
combination of current income and growth, certain funds are designed to
accomplish that objective. If you want a riskier portfolio with the
potential for faster growth, you can choose from among the “aggressive
growth” mutual funds. Savings accounts provide just one major objective:
a stress-free way to earn a modest return.
Investors are the backbone of the securities market. They not only
determine the level of activity in the securities market but also the
level of activity in the economy. The growth in the numbers of
investors in India is encouraging.
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investment. As all investment has some risk element, this risk
factor should be borne in mind by the investors and they should
take all precautions to protect their interest in the first place. If
caution is thrown to the winds and they invest in any venture
without a prior assessment of the risk, they have only to blame
themselves. Investors are a heterogeneous group, they are large or
small, rich or poor, expert or lay and not all investors need equal
degree of protection for their invested amount from the corporate
securities.
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On the other end of the investment spectrum, ultra-conservative
investors avoid any type of risk to principal whatsoever. These
types of investors seek safety and insured holdings such as bank
certificates of deposits (CDs), whose one-year interest rate
averages approximately 1.25% as of June 2016. Bank deposits are
also insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC),
an agency created to maintain consumer confidence in the U.S.
banking system.
U.S. Treasury's, backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S.
government, also appeal to risk-averse investors. The three-month
Treasury bill is considered a riskless security and is measured
against securities that hold higher measures of volatility. As of July
1, 2016, the 91-day T-bill, purchased at a discount to par value,
has a yield to maturity of 0.27%.
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For medium risk and returns, one can invest in equities, preferred
stocks (hybrid securities which have a stated dividend rate around
2% higher than that of treasuries. They have low liquidity and
qualify for capital gains.), utility stocks (they come with voting
rights and price is generally stable and non-cyclical and have
slightly higher market risk than preferred stocks) and blue chip
stocks. For speculative risk and aggressive returns, oil and gas
investments, penny stocks etc. can be an option.
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Functions of Money Market
Money market is an important part of the economy. It plays very
significant functions. As mentioned above it is basically a market
for short term monetary transactions. Thus it has to provide facility
for adjusting liquidity to the banks, business corporations, non-
banking financial institutions (NBFs) and other financial institutions
along with investors.
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important aspect of any business and it is how to enhance revenue,
reduce losses and to arrange and manage capital.
Setting up of a business requires huge capital investment both long
term and short term. This capital investment process in a business
may be divided into different stages, first it is required for
incorporation of a company and then for investment in the business
as per the objectives of the company. So, every business venture
needs long term as well as short term capital. Long term capital is
essentially required for investment in fixed assets such as land,
building, plant & machineries, vehicles etc. It also includes core
working capital and pre-operative and preliminary expenses
incidental to setting up of a business. Short-term capital or working
capital on the other hand, is required essentially for financing the
requirements of day to day operations of the business such as raw
materials, work-in-progress, finished goods, trade debtors, etc.
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while in the secondary market, one purchases securities from other
investors willing to sell the same.
Equity shares, bonds, preference shares, treasury bills, debentures,
etc. are some of the key products available in a secondary market.
SEBI is the regulator of the same.
Thus, secondary market is a trading platform where the shares and
securities are bought and sold which are previously issued in the
primary market. This is the most active segment and nerve centre
of capital market. Further, more and more new products and by-
products of securities have been introduced for trading in the
secondary market to make it more attractive and particularly to
enhance liquidity in the underlying securities in the interest of the
investors as well as of the economy. Thus, without an active
secondary market, the capital market cannot have a good primary
market.
The primary market and the secondary market are not physically
segregated. Both are inseparable and inter-dependent segments of
capital market which is popularly known as stock (securities)
market. Securities market, while helping economic growth of a
country facilitates internationalization of an economy by linking it
with the rest of the world. This linkage helps inflow of capital in the
form of portfolio investment. Further, a vibrant domestic stock
market performance forms the basis for well performing domestic
corporates to raise capital in the international market. This implies
that the domestic economy is opened up to international
competitive pressure which helps to increase efficiency in the
domestic corporate sector. It is also likely that existence of a
domestic securities market discourages capital outflow by providing
attractive investment opportunities within the domestic economy.
In that direction, the institutions of stock exchanges play an
instrumental role. Among modern service institutions, stock
exchanges are the most crucial agents and facilitators of
entrepreneurial progress and are also key promoters of spreading
equity culture and campaigning financial literacy for financial
inclusion. Therefore, it may not be wrong in terming the stock
exchange as one of the barometers of an economy.
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2.3 STOCK EXCHANGE
A Stock Exchange also called Stock Market or Share Market is a
convenient place providing necessary market infrastructure for trading in
securities in systematic manner i.e. as per certain rules and regulations.
Objectives
Capital Formation
The primary function of a stock exchange is to help companies
raise money. To accomplish this task, ownership in a private
corporation is sold to the public in the form of shares of stock.
Funds received from the sale of stock contribute to the firm's
capital formation. Companies plan to use the newly-raised funds to
invest in productive business assets and grow revenues and profits.
This positive business expansion then may be reflected in a higher
stock trading price.
Facilitate Trading
An organized and regulated stock exchange facilitates the
efficient trading of stock and other investment vehicles. Without
this highly controlled and coordinated stock exchange, the global
trading of stock would not be possible. Through the stock exchange,
any individual or company may buy or sell shares in another
company. In fact, at any one time, there are thousands of company
shares being traded through millions of individual transactions. The
stock exchange, particularly the high volume electronic
computerized trading platform, serves as the infrastructure
required to connect both buyers and sellers efficiently around the
globe.
Security
The legitimate sale of stock on any exchange requires reliable and
accurate information. By requiring a high level of transparency
from all trading companies, the stock exchange creates a more
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secure environment for investors, which helps them to
determine the risks of investing.
Regulation
A stock exchange works in close cooperation with government
agencies and officials. Unregulated markets can have a negative
impact on capital formation. Close regulation of stock
exchanges allows strangers from all parts of the world to honor
contracts executed in the daily trading of shares. A goal of stock
market regulations also is to prevent criminal activity in financial
markets. By protecting investors, and fostering transparency, the
stock market promotes capital formation.
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6. Recognition from Central Government: Stock exchange is an
organised market. It requires recognition from the Central
Government.
Evolution
On Global Front:
Coming back to evolution theory of stock exchanges, world’s oldest
stock exchange was probably dates back to 1460 in Antwerp,
Belgium. Although trading in financial instruments existed much
before, it was probably the first time that a magnificent monument
of gothic structure was built for trading of stocks. It was simply
known as a “bourse” derived from the Latin word “burse”, meaning
“purse”. In fact, the gothic structure was so magnificent that Queen
Elizabeth-I had copied it when the Royal Exchange of London was
built. However, in the later part of the fifteenth century, Antwerp’s
role as a leading stock trading centre declined for various reasons
and Amsterdam emerged as the new hub for financial securities
trading. Many consider Amsterdam Stock Exchange, established in
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1602, as the oldest in the world because of its uninterrupted
continuity. The Dutch East India Company had established this
stock exchange for dealings in their own stocks and bonds. In due
course, bonds and shares of other companies started trading in this
stock exchange.
On Domestic Front:
As regards the story of Indian stock market, the journey started
probably in the mid nineteenth century in erstwhile Bombay. A
group of people used to trade in different stocks under the shadow
of a banyan tree. Subsequently, that group formed an Association,
namely Native Share Brokers’ Association which took the shape of a
formal stock exchange in 1875 i.e. the present Bombay Stock
Exchange.
Cash Market
A cash market is a place where financial instruments like securities
and commodities, i.e. precious metals or agricultural produce are
bought and sold for immediate delivery (on a spot date). It is also
referred as a spot market. In the cash market, there are two
sections, equities – where equities like shares are traded and
debts – where debts like government bonds and mortgage bonds
are traded.
The cash market may be an exchange or an OTC – Over The
Counter. The exchange is a place where the general public,
government, firms, etc. can mutually by and sell their securities
and other financial instruments. It can be a Stock Exchange like
BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) or NSE (National Stock Exchange)
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or a Commodity Exchange or a Foreign Exchange Market. Over The
Counter is a trading made between two parties without the help of
exchange.
Day Trading
Day trading is defined as the buying and selling of a security within
a single trading day. This can occur in any marketplace, but is most
common in the foreign-exchange (forex) market and stock market.
Typically, day traders are well-educated and well-funded. They
utilize high amounts of leverage and short-term trading strategies
to capitalize on small price movements in highly-liquid stocks or
currencies. Day traders serve two critical functions in the
marketplace: they keep the markets running efficiently via
arbitrage and they provide much of the
markets' liquidity (especially in the stock market).
Margin Trading
Definition: In the stock market, margin trading refers to the
process whereby individual investors buy more stocks than they
can afford to. Margin trading also refers to intraday trading in India
and various stock brokers provide this service. Margin trading
involves buying and selling of securities in one single session. Over
time, various brokerages have relaxed the approach on time
duration. The process requires an investor to speculate or guess
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the stock movement in a particular session. Margin trading is an
easy way of making a fast buck. With the advent of electronic stock
exchanges, the once specialised field is now accessible to even
small traders.
Derivative Market
A derivative market trades in the security or contract that has no
intrinsic value of its own but derives its value from an underlying
asset or security. There are many types of derivatives based
underlying asset type etc.
Product lines
NSE and BSE provide following products for investment to retail
investors
a) Equities
c) Indices
d) Mutual Funds
e) Bonds/Debentures
a) Equity Derivatives
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b) Currency Derivatives
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Members are admitted in the following categories:
(Categories of intermediaries)
Futures Currency
Types of Cash Debt WDM
& Option Derivatives
Membership Segment Segment Segment
Segment Segment
Trading Member - -
Professional Clearing
- -
Member
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(Member trading capabilities)
Functions
Investors
Types of investors
Retail investor
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Individual investors (including trusts on behalf of individuals, and
umbrella companies formed by two or more to pool investment
funds)
Institutional investor
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TRADING SYSTEM (SBTS) where a member can type into the
computer quantities of securities and the prices at which he likes to
transact and the transaction is executed as soon as it finds a
matching sale or buy order from a counter party.
Features:
Depository System
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As per the available statistics at BSE and NSE, 99.9 per cent
transactions take place in dematerialised mode only2. Therefore, it
is advisable to have a beneficial owner (BO) account for trading at
the exchanges.
Tick Size
Tick size is the minimum value by which the price of a stock moves.
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Order Types
An investor can place various types of orders depending upon
his/her requirements. These orders are broadly classified into three
categories: time related orders, price-related conditions and
quantity related conditions.
A. Time Conditions
B. Price Conditions
c. Stop Loss (SL) Price/Order – The one that allows the Trading
Member to place an order which gets activated only when the
market price of the relevant security reaches or crosses a threshold
price. Until then the order does not enter the market.
C. Quantity Conditions
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on till the full order is executed. The Exchange may set a minimum
disclosed quantity criteria from time to time.
Activity Day
T+1 working
Clearing Custodial Confirmation days
T+1 working
Delivery Generation days
T+2 working
Settlement Securities and Funds pay in days
T+2 working
Securities and Funds pay out days
T+2 working
Valuation Debit days
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T+3 working
Auction settlement days
T+4 working
Bad Delivery Reporting days
T+6 working
Rectified bad delivery pay-in and pay-out days
T+8 working
Re-bad delivery reporting and pickup days
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All active members of the Exchange are required to maintain a
Base Minimum Capital of Rs.1 million with the Exchange.
As per directions of SEBI, the stock broker and trading members
shall be required to provide BMC deposit based on their profiles i.e.
whether trading on proprietary account only, or trading on behalf of
clients only, or both including with or without algorithmic trading.
The BMC deposit requirement prescribed for the different profiles
ranges from Rs.10 Lacs to Rs. 50 Lacs for members of stock
exchanges have nation-wide trading terminals. For members of
other stock exchanges the requirement would be 40%.3
The members may also deposit additional capital over and above
their base minimum capital with the Exchange for availing of the
higher intra-day trading limit and gross exposure limit. The
valuation of the securities deposited by the members towards the
base minimum and additional capital is done by the Exchange
weekly, since September 1999, as against monthly intervals earlier.
This exercise is carried out to ensure that depreciation in the value
of securities due to fall in prices can be collected from the members
within the shortest possible time and the base minimum capital is
kept intact.4
C. Surveillance
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Technologies implemented by stock exchanges for the purpose of
surveillance are as follows:
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public through electronic display, as soon as possible, as may be
provided in the relevant Regulations from time to time.
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3.If a company fails to resolve the complaint within 30 days, stock
exchange sends a reminder to the company.
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1.The reason of making case study is to make analysis of some stocks and to
recommend for investment in those stocks considering the current market
situation.
2.Preparation of line charts of flagship indices of BSE and NSE from 1st
April, 2018 to 31st May, 2019 and making analysis of the same.
Hence, we can see that from 1st April, 2018 to 31stMay, 2019 we found that the
fluctuations in BSE SENSEX are within 6,200. It started with the value of
25,269.64 and ended with the closing value of 31145.8.The data in the above
table is taken on weekly basis. At the initial stage, the value got down by around
600 points and went up by around 1,100 points. Again in the 9th week, it went
through a steep rise of 1,350 points and 750 and 700 points in the 14th and 16th
44
week respectively. In the 23rd week the value gained about 750 points but went
down by 800 points in the 27th week. After crossing 30 weeks the value went
drastically down in 4 consecutive weeks grossing depletion of about 2,000 points.
From 37th week to 40th week there was major fluctuations in the value i.e. firstly
it rose by 500 but depreciated in the next two weeks by 700 and again rising by
600. Then the value again started growing after the 40th week rising from
26,626.46 to 30,464.92 in the 60th week showing an appreciation of around
3,800 and making the value cross the historic 30,000 mark. In the mean while
there were also some downs in the value but those were not very much
significant
Hence, we can see that from 1st April, 2018 to 31st May, 2019 we found that the
fluctuations in NSE NIFTY are around 2,000. It started with the value of
7,713.05and ended with the closing value of 9,621.25.The data in the above
table is taken on weekly basis. At the initial stage, the value got down by about
150 points and then rose by about 350 points. Again in the 9th week, it went
through a steep rise of 400 points and 240 and 220 points in the 14th and 16th
week respectively. In the 23rd week the gain in the value was about 240 points
but went down by 220 points in the 27th week. After crossing 30 weeks the
value went drastically down in 4 consecutive weeks grossing depletion of about
620 points. But in the 41st week it again rose by 215 points. From 44th week to
45
48th week there was a continuous growth in its value, rising up by around 580
points. Also there were major positive fluctuations in the value in the 51st, 57th
and 59th weeks by 225, 185 and 115 respectively.
In the mean while there were also some downs in the value but those were not
very much significant.
From the above analysis we can conclude that there was some relationship
between the fluctuations happening in the value of BSE SENSEX and NSE NIFTY
i.e. their fluctuations in values were directly proportional to each other.
Reasons behind the fluctuations in the value of the flagship indices of BSE and NSE from 1st
April, 2016 to 31st May, 2017 are discussed below:-
• Undisclosed income: April 2018
The Ministry of Finance announced that all tax payers or person* not coming under any tax
slabs have the option to give information about their undisclosed income on or before
30th September otherwise heavy penalty would be imposed on them if found guilty.
• Brexit vote: June 2018
Britain voted to exit the EU with the 'Leave' camp winning with 51.9 per cent votes in a historic
referendum, which was followed by the resignation of David Cameron as Prime Minister.
It may take years of negotiations for the UK to disentangle from the EU law, finance,
trade, foreign policy, say experts. The immediate impact was felt across currency
markets with major equity indices losing 2-10 per cent. If Brexit is a precursor to a
tectonic shift in the euro zone, it could eventually disintegrate the entire European
Union. Then, it may impact India in the short term. But in the long run, it will help India
attain prominence in the global landscape, as we would emerge as a safe haven in such
times of turmoil, attracting global funds. This caused the rise of the value of the indices.
• Surgical strike on Pakistan: Sept 2018
The domestic equity market went into a tailspin after the Director General of Military
Operations said that Indian Army carried out surgical strikes on terror launch pads in
Pakistani soil. Analysts feared that a series of such strikes in near future could rekindle
tensions between the both nations, roiling markets. Some analysts on D-Street were
factoring in a 10 per cent fall if the geopolitical tensions between the two nations were
to escalate. However, Pakistan dismissed India's claim of 'surgical strike' as an illusion,
and termed the incident as 'cross-border fire'. This led to fall in the value of indices.
• Demonetisation: Nov 2018
The most effective event that risk to hit market sentiment was Prime Minister Narendra Modi's
surgical strike on black money. Demonetisation has been the boldest reform of this
government, which has the potential to bring long-term structural benefits to the
economy, while causing pain in the short term due to a cash crunch. Demand in the
consumer sector and sectors associated with it are likely to take a hit in the near term,
but once the cash situation normalises, demand should bounce back, experts said. This
was the reason for the steep fall in the value of the indices.
• Arrival of Trump: Nov 2018
Republican Donald Trump surprised experts by beating Democrat Hillary Clinton in the US
presidential election, which gave way to 'Trumponomics'. The word 'Trumponomics'
refers to the bold economic plans such as cuts in personal and corporate taxes and
restructuring of bilateral trade deals, as well as protectionism that can not only impact
the US but economies across the world, including India. There was a threat on the
Indian IT companies after the selection of Trump as the President. This resulted in the
decline of the indices.
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• Rupee at new low: Nov 2018
The rupee collapsed to a fresh life-time low of 68.86 against the dollar amid sustained foreign
capital outflows. Foreign portfolio investors retreated from emerging markets like India
towards US dollar on hopes of protectionist measures by President-elect Donald Trump.
Expectations that Trump will adopt an expansionary fiscal measure lifted US bond yields
and fuelled a rally in the US dollar. This has prompted FPIs to offload some of their
holdings in India market.
• Inflows from Foreign and Domestic investors: April 2019
The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net buyers in the Indian equity market on April
25, helping the major indices hit their respective record highs. The domestic institutional
investors have been pouring funds in the markets for past many trading sessions. As
per the data available at the NSE, FIIs poured in Rs 178.82 crore in the markets in the
month of April while DIIs also bought shares worth 998.26 crore. Thus resulted in the
growth of the indices.
• Monsoon: May 2019
This year there is as estimation that the monsoon will reach India early. Also India is supposed
to have an excellent monsoon this year. This news will increase the expectations of the
investors and hence, it led to the heavy rise in the indices in mid May.
• Relief from French polls : May 2019
Relief rally was triggered in the global markets after pro-centrist and market favourite
Emmanuel Macron won the first round of French Presidential elections. Macron won first
round vote with 23.91%. Far-right nationalist and anti-euro candidate Marine Le Pen
came in second with 21.42%, almost exactly as earlier polls predicted. Later, the French
far-right presidential hopeful Marine Le Pen stepped down as leader of her National
Front (FN) party to focus on gathering a large number of voters ahead of the decisive
round, to be held on May 7. This resulted in appreciation in the value of the indices.
• Rupee below 64/$: May 2019
Rupee strengthened past the 64 mark against the US dollar for the first time since in over an
year, tracking the gains in the global equity markets. The currency opened at 64.16 a
dollar and touched a high of 63.96, a level last seen on 10 August 2015. It gained 6.4%
in last 3 month becoming the best performing currency in Asia. Hence, there was steep
rise in the value of the indices.
3. Listing out the stocks separately that currently represent flagship indices such as NSE
Nifty50 and BSE SENSEX.
47
6. AXIS BANK 6. CIPLA LTD.
31. L&T
33. M&M
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36. ONGC
38. RELIANCE
39. SBI
3.1 List of stocks which are included both in NSE Nifty50 and BSE SENSEX.
Sl. No.
6. CIPLA LTD.
49
10. HDFC
3.2 Fundamentals of those stocks to be sorted out under Item no. 3.1 above on the basis of
last financial statement (As on 31.03.2017) and also trading history of those stocks in
the following manner:
Trading History
ADANI PORTS & SEZ 2 14.97 24.03 61.36 65 20.85 368.75- 282.05
50
195.35
ASIAN PAINTS LTD. 1 18.80 61.20 14.25 200 25.94 1230.00- 1040.05
850.1
AXIS BANK LTD. 2 15.36 33.03 20.06 250 15.46 638.30- 531.35
424.40
BAJAJ AUTO LTD. 10 132.27 21.37 16.09 550 29.71 3122.00- 2816.00
2510.00
COAL INDIA LTD. 10 23.36 11.14 9873. 11.5 105.2 349.95- 303.025
45 1 256.10
DR. REDDY’S LABS 5 83.48 31.46 13.26 400 11.67 3689.85- 3035.1
2380.35
HDFC BANK LTD. 2 56.78 29.40 20.41 550 16.91 1691.90- 1418.075
1144.25
ICICI BANK LTD. 2 16.82 18.77 18.09 125 10.11 327.50- 274.30
221.10
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MARUTI SUZUKI 5 242.97 30.38 7.91 1500 16.92 7480.90- 5673.75
3866.60
POWER GRID CORP. 10 14.37 14.33 28.97 33.5 14.1 214.00- 182.15
150.30
TATA STEEL LTD. 10 35.46 14.31 12.82 100 6.95 520.65- 408.475
296.30
3.3 Selecting 5 different stocks from the above table under Item No. 3.2 on the basis of
their fundamental soundness and trading history for the purpose of detailed analysis
and to ascertain growth rate before recommending investment.
Ratio Analysis
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Operating profit per share (Rs.) 140.9 140.3 162.3 116.9 90.95
1 4 5 2
Book Value per share (Rs.) 680.2 624.1 548.4 458.2 396.1
4 3 1 9 9
Net operating income per share (Rs.) 598.3 587.5 571.8 496.6 397.4
1 6 7 0 8
Profitability Ratio
Liquidity Ratio
Payout Ratio
Dividend payout ratio (Net profit) 25.13 20.29 15.84 20.13 25.54
Dividend payout ratio (Cash profit) 16.99 15.70 13.23 16.14 19.20
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(b) Name of the stock: LUPIN LTD.
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Particulars March, March, March, March, March,
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Operating profit per share (Rs.) 89.67 75.05 64.95 42.10 26.01
Book Value per share (Rs.) 257.2 200.8 155.6 108.3 83.61
8 4 5 0
Net operating income per share (Rs.) 250.3 216.9 199.3 159.1 120.5
4 7 7 5 6
Profitability Ratio
Liquidity Ratio
Payout Ratio
Dividend payout ratio (Net profit) 11.71 14.06 11.57 14.20 17.76
Dividend payout ratio (Cash profit) 10.59 12.33 10.79 12.69 15.26
55
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(c) Name of the stock: MARUTI SUZUKI
Operating profit per share (Rs.) 297.22 222.22 168.69 140.02 86.98
Book Value per share (Rs.) 894.04 784.70 694.45 615.03 525.68
Net operating income per share (Rs.) 1,911.6 1,654.2 1,446.6 1,442.9 1,231.7
2 2 6 3 7
Profitability Ratio
Liquidity Ratio
Payout Ratio
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Dividend payout ratio (Net profit) 23.12 20.34 13.02 10.10 13.25
Dividend payout ratio (Cash profit) 14.29 12.21 7.44 5.68 7.81
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(d) Name of the stock: HUL
Operating profit per share (Rs.) 27.94 26.48 24.07 20.69 18.51
Book Value per share (Rs.) 29.99 17.04 17.22 15.15 12.37
Net operating income per share (Rs.) 147.3 147.8 142.3 129.5 119.3
4 2 9 6 6
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Profitability Ratio
Liquidity Ratio
Payout Ratio
Dividend payout ratio (Net profit) 79.53 84.80 75.20 72.69 105.3
5
Dividend payout ratio (Cash profit) 73.08 78.63 70.52 68.10 99.18
60
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(e) Name of the stock: HDFC BANK LTD.
Operating profit per share (Rs.) 44.77 36.16 29.65 21.97 18.11
Book Value per share (Rs.) 287.4 247.3 181.2 152.2 127.5
7 9 3 0 2
Net operating income per share (Rs.) 238.2 193.3 171.4 147.3 116.2
0 8 7 7 8
Profitability Ratio
Liquidity Ratio
Payout Ratio
Dividend payout ratio (Net profit) 19.53 19.62 19.38 19.46 19.52
Dividend payout ratio (Cash profit) 18.47 18.44 17.96 17.74 17.67
62
63
4. Technical analysis of the selected stocks from 1st April,2018 to 31st May,2019
64
The above graph has been plotted showing the price fluctuations of the RIL stock from
01/04/2018 to 31/05/2019. The open price of the stock was 1464.8 on 01/04/2016 and
the price on the last day was 1161. It was at its trough point on 29th May, 2019 and
peak point on 29th July, 2018.
The above graph has been plotted showing the price fluctuations of the RIL stock from
01/04/2018 to 31/05/2019. The open price of the stock was 1064.4 on 01/04/2018 and
the price on the last day was 1636.2. It was at its trough point on 07th April, 2018 and
peak point on 31stMay, 2019.
65
The above graph has been plotted showing the price fluctuations of the RIL stock from
01/04/2018 to 31/05/2019. The open price of the stock was 867.8 on 01/04/2018 and
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the price on the last day was 1067. It was at its trough point on 22nd December, 2018
and peak point on 30thMay, 2019.
Conclusion:
You can make a lot of money investing in stocks or trading in the stock market, but it is not
something for the new investors. Care must be taken when it comes to stock
investments. The investor must have a solid understanding of stocks and how they
trade in the market or risk losing money in a volatile type of investment.
Having stock in a company means you are an owner. How many shares of stock you
have determines the extent of that ownership. As part owner, you receive dividends and
have voting rights.
A stock represents equity, while are bonds a debt. bonds are low-risk investment
vehicles with guaranteed returns, while stocks involves more risk. This is why stocks
have a higher rate of return compared to bonds.
In investing, the riskier the investment the bigger the chance of making more money.
Investing in stocks can make you lots of money if you invest in the right company.
However, you can lose all of it too.
There are two main types of stocks: common and preferred. Stocks can be further
classified into different classes depending on the company.
The stock market is a place where people go to trade stocks. Two of the most important
stock exchanges in the United States are the NYSE and Nasdaq.
Purchase of stocks are commonly done through a brokerage. You can also get a
dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP).
Stocks are volatile. Prices change according to supply and demand. Many people have
different opinions on why stock prices move the way they do. One of the most important
factors that influence prices is earnings.
Learning how to read stock tables or a stock quote is a must if you are planning to be a
serious investor in stocks. It is not hard to read a stock quote once you know what the
different terms and symbols stand for.
Always remember the old stock market saying: “Bulls make money, bears make money,
but pigs get slaughtered!”. This will perhaps save you many times from losing on your
investment.
Refrences:
http://www.moneycontrol.com/planning_desk/fininvoption.php
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2 Bennett, Coleman & Co. Ltd, Glossary: Money Market
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/definition/money-market
4 Kalyan city life (Maharastra, India). Functions of Stock Exchange. Retrieved from
http://kalyan-city.blogspot.com/2010/11/what-is-stock-exchange-its-definitions.html
7 Regional stock exchanges have lost relevance: Sebi chief March 26, 2013. Retrieved from:
http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/regional-stock-exchanges-have-lost-
relevance-sebi-chief-113032600228_1.html
8 National Stock Exchange, Products available to investors for trading. Retrieved from
http://www.nse-india.com/products.htm
68
15 NSE, Categories of Membership. Retrieved from
http://www.nse-india.com/membership/content/cat_of_mem.htm
17 Indian express, Depository System, Express News Service : Mon Mar 14 2019. Retrieved from:
http://archive.indianexpress.com/news/depository-system/761907/
22 Equitymaster.com, Pharmaceutical Sector Analysis Report, April 10, 2014. Retrieved from:
http://www.equitymaster.com/research-it/sector-info/pharma/Pharmaceuticals-Sector-
Analysis-Report.asp
26 Investopedia, http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/ddm.asp
69
27 Wikipedia. Retrieved from: www.wikipedia.org
70
http://www.millenniumfxtrading.com/index.php/2019S-01-07-20-38-12/technical-analysis
44 Equitymaster.com (2011, April 13) Why do MNCs want to delist from India? Retrieved
from : http://www.equitymaster.com/detail.asp?date=04/13/2011&story=4&title=Why-do-
MNCs-want-to-delist-from-India
46 Economic Times online news, JSPL Share Buyback Ends. Retrieved from:
http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2018-08-30/news/41619242_1_jspl-offer-
price-share-buy
48 http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/buzzing-stocks/crompton-greaves-shares-gain-3-as-
buyback-offer-begins_918396.html?utm_source=ref_article
71
50 Published in money control, Crompton Greaves shares gain 3% as buyback offer begins, Jul
16, 2013.Retrieved from: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/buzzing-stocks/crompton-
greaves-shares-gain-3-as-buyback-offer-begins_918396.html?utm_source=ref_article
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