Table 7.

6
Demand for Roses

YEAR = Year and Quarter

Y = Quantity of RosesSold, Dozens
X2 = Average WholesalePrice ofRoses, $Per Dozen
X3 = Average WholesalePrice ofCarnations, $ Per Dozen
X4 = Average Weekly Family Disposable Income, $ Per Week
X5 = Trend Variable Taking Values of 1, 2, and so on, for the Period
1971.3 to1975.3in the Detroit Metropolitan Area

YEAR Y X2 X3 X4 X5
1971.3 11484 2.26 3.49 158.11 1
1971.4 9348 2.54 2.85 173.36 2
1972.1 8429 3.07 4.06 165.26 3
1972.2 10079 2.91 3.64 172.92 4
1972.3 9240 2.73 3.21 178.46 5
1972.4 8862 2.77 3.66 198.62 6
1973.1 6216 3.59 3.76 186.28 7
1973.2 8253 3.23 3.49 188.98 8
1973.3 8038 2.6 3.13 180.49 9
1973.4 7476 2.89 3.2 183.33 10
1974.1 5911 3.77 3.65 181.87 11
1974.2 7950 3.64 3.6 185 12
1974.3 6134 2.82 2.94 184 13
1974.4 5868 2.96 3.12 188.2 14
1975.1 3160 4.24 3.58 175.67 15
1975.2 5872 3.69 3.53 188 16
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación 0.88200293
Coeficiente de determina 0.77792918
R^2 ajustado 0.72241147
Error típico 1076.29087
Observaciones 16

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 3 48695531.62276 16231843.9 14.0122716 0.00031644
Residuos 12 13900824.37724 1158402.03
Total 15 62596356

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción 13354.6016 6485.418972632 2.05917331 0.06186118 -775.912436
X2 -3628.1859 635.6282479284 -5.70803125 9.78845E-05 -5013.10089
X3 2633.75482 1012.63668351 2.60088822 0.02318791 427.40902
X4 -19.2539446 30.69464708855 -0.62727369 0.54223133 -86.1318355

Ῠ 13354.6016 -3628.18590451 2633.75482 -19.2539446

r 0.88200293
r2 0.77792918
r2 ajustado 0.72241147
r crítico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
27485.1157 -775.912436 27485.1157
-2243.27092 -5013.10089 -2243.27092
4840.10062 427.40902 4840.10062
47.6239462 -86.1318355 47.6239462
YEAR = Year and Quarter
Y = Quantity of RosesSold, Dozens
X2 = Average WholesalePrice ofRoses, $Per Dozen
X3 = Average WholesalePrice ofCarnations, $ Per Dozen
X4 = Average Weekly Family Disposable Income, $ Per Week
X5 = Trend Variable Taking Values of 1, 2, and so on, for the Period
1971.3 to1975.3in the Detroit Metropolitan Area

YEAR Y X2 X3 X4 X5
1971.3 11484 2.26 3.49 158.11 1
1971.4 9348 2.54 2.85 173.36 2
1972.1 8429 3.07 4.06 165.26 3
1972.2 10079 2.91 3.64 172.92 4
1972.3 9240 2.73 3.21 178.46 5
1972.4 8862 2.77 3.66 198.62 6
1973.1 6216 3.59 3.76 186.28 7
1973.2 8253 3.23 3.49 188.98 8
1973.3 8038 2.6 3.13 180.49 9
1973.4 7476 2.89 3.2 183.33 10
1974.1 5911 3.77 3.65 181.87 11
1974.2 7950 3.64 3.6 185 12
1974.3 6134 2.82 2.94 184 13
1974.4 5868 2.96 3.12 188.2 14
1975.1 3160 4.24 3.58 175.67 15
1975.2 5872 3.69 3.53 188 16
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de 0.913618809876706
Coeficiente d 0.834699329760529
R^2 ajustad 0.774589995127995
Error típico 969.874387431341
Observacione 16

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 4 52249136.4 13062284.1 13.8863512 0.00028054
Residuos 11 10347219.6 940656.327
Total 15 62596356

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción 10816.0432549849 5988.34844 1.80618135 0.0982963 -2364.22279
X2 -2227.7043597538 920.465717 -2.42019265 0.03399528 -4253.63574
X3 1251.14120215394 1157.02064 1.08134734 0.30267935 -1295.44407
X4 6.28298627947471 30.621656 0.20518114 0.84117813 -61.1148242
X5 -197.399939590046 101.561228 -1.94365452 0.07795526 -420.934695

Ῠ 10816.0432549849 -2227.70436 1251.1412 6.28298628 -197.39994

r 0.913618809876706
r2 0.834699329760529
r2 ajustado 0.774589995127995
crítico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
23996.3093 -2364.22279 23996.3093
-201.772977 -4253.63574 -201.772977
3797.72647 -1295.44407 3797.72647
73.6807967 -61.1148242 73.6807967
26.1348162 -420.934695 26.1348162
YEAR = Year and Quarter
Y = Quantity of RosesSold, Dozens
X2 = Average WholesalePrice ofRoses, $Per Dozen
X3 = Average WholesalePrice ofCarnations, $ Per Dozen
X4 = Average Weekly Family Disposable Income, $ Per Week
X5 = Trend Variable Taking Values of 1, 2, and so on, for the Period
1971.3 to1975.3in the Detroit Metropolitan Area

YEAR Y X2 X3 X5
1971.3 11484 2.26 3.49 1
1971.4 9348 2.54 2.85 2
1972.1 8429 3.07 4.06 3
1972.2 10079 2.91 3.64 4
1972.3 9240 2.73 3.21 5
1972.4 8862 2.77 3.66 6
1973.1 6216 3.59 3.76 7
1973.2 8253 3.23 3.49 8
1973.3 8038 2.6 3.13 9
1973.4 7476 2.89 3.2 10
1974.1 5911 3.77 3.65 11
1974.2 7950 3.64 3.6 12
1974.3 6134 2.82 2.94 13
1974.4 5868 2.96 3.12 14
1975.1 3160 4.24 3.58 15
1975.2 5872 3.69 3.53 16
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación 0.91327252
Coeficiente de determinac 0.83406669
R^2 ajustado 0.79258336
Error típico 930.359275
Observaciones 16

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 3 52209535.4 17403178.5 20.10607 5.66907E-05
Residuos 12 10386820.6 865568.381
Total 15 62596356

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción 11894.9436 2748.70084 4.32747845 0.00098307 5906.03899
X2 -2250.1328 876.715363 -2.56654884 0.02470201 -4160.33148
X3 1265.44196 1107.86514 1.14223467 0.27563588 -1148.38881
X5 -188.458935 88.0000565 -2.14157743 0.05344049 -380.194587
crítico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
17883.8483 5906.03899 17883.8483
-339.934118 -4160.33148 -339.934118
3679.27274 -1148.38881 3679.27274
3.27671758 -380.194587 3.27671758
YEAR = Year and Quarter
Y = Quantity of RosesSold, Dozens
X2 = Average WholesalePrice ofRoses, $Per Dozen
X3 = Average WholesalePrice ofCarnations, $ Per Dozen
X4 = Average Weekly Family Disposable Income, $ Per Week
X5 = Trend Variable Taking Values of 1, 2, and so on, for the Period
1971.3 to1975.3in the Detroit Metropolitan Area

YEAR Y X2 X5
1971.3 11484 2.26 1
1971.4 9348 2.54 2
1972.1 8429 3.07 3
1972.2 10079 2.91 4
1972.3 9240 2.73 5
1972.4 8862 2.77 6
1973.1 6216 3.59 7
1973.2 8253 3.23 8
1973.3 8038 2.6 9
1973.4 7476 2.89 10
1974.1 5911 3.77 11
1974.2 7950 3.64 12
1974.3 6134 2.82 13
1974.4 5868 2.96 14
1975.1 3160 4.24 15
1975.2 5872 3.69 16
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múl0.90334135
Coeficiente de determinació 0.81602559
R^2 ajustado 0.78772183
Error típico 941.199221
Observaciones 16

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
Regresión 2 51080228.3 25540114.2 28.8310006
Residuos 13 11516127.7 885855.974
Total 15 62596356

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

Intercepción 14494.0901 1559.87658 9.2918185 4.18984E-07
X2 -1509.26104 596.725977 -2.52923636 0.0251612
X5 -254.118197 67.4073845 -3.76988662 0.00233736
Valor crítico de F
1.66312E-05

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
11124.1816 17863.9985 11124.1816 17863.9985
-2798.40913 -220.112938 -2798.40913 -220.112938
-399.742998 -108.493396 -399.742998 -108.493396