Week 3 Multiple Regression Model

You might also like

Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 9

10 Piece

Total Home Total Home sales (millions)


month year sales (millions) Set sold
units 6.00
Jan-11 5.36 219
Feb-11 4.88 175 5.00

Mar-11 4.47 306


4.00
Apr-11 4.20 394
May-11 4.15 394 3.00
Jun-11 4.18 131
Jul-11 4.05 131 2.00

Aug-11 4.41 438


1.00
Sep-11 4.28 525
Oct-11 4.32 613 0.00
Nov-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12 O
Nov-11 4.40 657
Dec-11 4.38 394 1,800
Jan-12 4.51 354
1,600
Feb-12 4.52 706
1,400
Mar-12 4.46 603
Apr-12 4.53 603 1,200

May-12 4.59 367 1,000


Jun-12 4.41 328 800
Jul-12 4.60 509
600
Aug-12 4.84 429
400
Sep-12 4.78 417
Oct-12 1,553 200
4.83
Nov-12 4.96 1,670 0
Nov-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-
Dec-12 4.90 1,204
10 Piece Set sold units Total Home sales (millions)
ales (millions)

c-11 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

6.00

5.00

4.00

3.00

2.00

1.00

0.00
11 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13

Total Home sales (millions)


10-Piece 10-Piece
Total Home
month year Set sold Set sale sales (millions)
Time in
units month price SUMMARY OUTPUT
Jan-11 219 1 $949.98 5.36
Feb-11 175 2 $949.98 4.88 Regression Statistics
Mar-11 306 3 $949.98 4.47 Multiple R
Apr-11 394 4 $949.98 4.20 R Square
May-11 394 5 $949.98 4.15 Adjusted R Square
Jun-11 131 6 $949.98 4.18 Standard Error
Jul-11 131 7 $949.98 4.05 Observations
Aug-11 438 8 $949.98 4.41
Sep-11 525 9 $949.98 4.28 ANOVA
Oct-11 613 10 $949.98 4.32
Nov-11 657 11 $949.98 4.40 Regression
Dec-11 394 12 $949.98 4.38 Residual
Jan-12 354 13 $949.98 4.51 Total
Feb-12 706 14 $949.98 4.52
Mar-12 603 15 $949.98 4.46
Apr-12 603 16 $949.98 4.53 Intercept
May-12 367 17 $949.98 4.59 Time in month
Jun-12 328 18 $949.98 4.41 10-Piece Set sale price
Jul-12 509 19 $949.98 4.60 Total Home sales (millions)
Aug-12 429 20 $949.98 4.84
Sep-12 417 21 $949.98 4.78
Oct-12 1,553 22 $799.95 4.83
Nov-12 1,670 23 $799.95 4.96 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Dec-12 1,204 24 $799.95 4.90
Observation
1
2
300
3
4
200 5
6
100 7
8
0 9
10
-100
11
12
-200
13
14
-300
15
-400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
-200

-300

-400 16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
ssion Statistics
0.920742195
0.847766189
0.824931118
166.3488217
24

df SS MS F Significance F
3 3082012.7239 1027338 37.12561997 2.296E-08
20 553438.609434 27671.93
23 3635451.33333

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
6541.279287 1180.14967605 5.542754 2.000381E-05 4079.5302 9003.028373 4079.5302 9003.028373
12.48361405 6.01136158523 2.07667 0.050934688 -0.05586648 25.02309459 -0.055866481 25.02309459
-6.26591329 0.88689628207 -7.06499 7.519951E-07 -8.11594652 -4.415880063 -8.115946515 -4.41588006
-69.5000151 126.413581065 -0.549783 0.588555849 -333.194124 194.1940942 -333.1941245 194.1940942

Predicted 10-Piece Set sold Residuals


units
228.750513 -9.7505129997
274.5941343 -99.594134307 1,800
315.5727546 -9.5727545566 1,600
346.8213727 47.1786273093
Actual 10-piece set sold units

1,400
362.7799875 31.2200124995
373.1786011 -242.1786011 1,200
394.6972171 -263.69721712 1,000
382.1608257 55.8391742656
800
403.6794418 121.320558247
413.3830552 199.616944797 600

420.306668 236.693331952 400


434.1802824 -40.180282405 200
437.6288945 -83.628894494
0
449.4175084 256.582491602 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
466.0711234 136.928876642 Predicted 10-Piece set sold units
200

0
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
Predicted 10-Piece set sold units
473.6897364 129.310263645
482.0033495 -115.0033495
506.9969663 -178.99696628
506.2755775 2.72442254008
502.0791879 -73.079187888
518.7328028 -101.73280285
1467.816387 85.1836130469
1471.264999 198.735000957
1487.918614 -283.918614
Time in month Residual Plot
300
200
100
0
Residuals

-100
-200
-300
-400
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time in month

Time in month Line Fit Plot


1,800
1,600
1,400
10-Piece Set sold units

1,200
1,000 10-Piece Set sold units
800 Predicted 10-Piece Set sold
units
600
400
200
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time in month

45 degree line
Column B

1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800


set sold units
1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800
set sold units
Residual Analysis

The Residual plot indicates that


the residual is not linear and is
of equal variance , and it is not
independent

You might also like