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Observations and Modeling of Biomass and Soil Organic Matter Dynamics For The Grassland Biome Worldwide
Observations and Modeling of Biomass and Soil Organic Matter Dynamics For The Grassland Biome Worldwide
Observations and Modeling of Biomass and Soil Organic Matter Dynamics For The Grassland Biome Worldwide
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W. J. Parton,• J. M. O. Scurlock,'-
D. S. Ojima,• T. G.
Gilmanov, 3R. J. Scholes, nD. S. Schimel,sT. Kirchner,• J-C.
Menaut, • T. Seastedt,• E. GarciaMoya,s ApinanKamnalrut, 9
andJ. I. Kinyamario •ø
Abstract.Centuryis a modelof terrestrial biogeochemistry a diverseset of soils. Peak live biomassand plant
basedon relationships betweenclimate,humanmanagement productioncan be simulatedwithin+ 25% of the observed
(fire, grazing),soil properties,
plantproductivity,
and values(57 and 60% of the time, respectively)for burned,
decomposition. The grassland versionof theCenturymodel fertilized,andirrigatedgrassland siteswhereprecipitation
wastestedusingobserved datafrom 11 temperateand rangedfrom 22 to over 150 cm. Live biomasscanbe
tropicalgrasslands aroundthe world. The resultsshowthat generallypredictedto within + 50% of the observedvalues
soil C and N levels can be simulated to within + 25% of the (57% of the time). The modelunderestimated the live
observedvalues(100 and 75% of the time, respectively)for biomassin extremelyhighplantproductionyearsat two of
theRussiansites. A comparison of Centurymodelresults
with statisticalmodelsshowedthat the Centurymodelhad
slightlyhigherr• valuesthanthestatistical
models.Data
andcalibratedmodelresultsfrom this studyare usefulfor
•NamralResource
Ecology
Laboratory,
Colorado
State analysisanddescription of grassland
carbondynamics,and
University,Ft. Collins.
asa referencepointfor testingmorephysiologically based
ZDivision
of Life Sciences,
KingsCollegeLondon, modelsprediction's of netprimaryproductionandbiomass.
London.
Resultsindicatethatpredictionof plantand soil organic
3Departmere
of Vertebrate
Zoology
andEcology,
Moscow matter(C and N) dynamicsrequiresknowledgeof climate,
StateUniversity,Moscow.
soil texture,and N inputs.
4Forestek,
CSIR, Pretoria,SouthAfrica
5Climate
System
Modelling
Program,
NCAR,Boulder, INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES
Colorado.
CLabomtoire
D'Ecologie,
EcoleNormalSuperieure, Underthe aegisof the ScientificCommitteeon Problems
CNRS-URA, Paris. of the Environment(SCOPE)Projecton "Effectof climate
?Institute
of ArcticandAlpineResearch,
University
of changeon production anddecomposition in coniferous
Colorado, Boulder. forestsandgrasslands,"theCenturymodelfor plant-soil
SCentro
de Botanica,
Colegiode Postgraduados,
Chapingo, ecosystems hasbeenfurtherdeveloped by a Grasslands
Mexico.
ModellingGroupin orderto applyit to a wide rangeof
•Facultyof NaturalResources,
Princeof SongIda temperate andtropicalgrasslands
worldwide.This study
University,Hatyai,Thailand. was undertaken to meet the overall aims of the SCOPE
•øDepartment
of Botany,University
of Nairobi,Nairobi, Project,to reviewandidentifymodelswith wideapplication
Kenya. andpredictiveability,in orderto link plantandsoil
responses to the large-scale
modelingof globalchange
Copyright1993 by theAmericanGeophysical
Union. effects. Climatechanges are expectedto be manifestas a
risein meanannualtemperature, togetherwithperturbation
Papernumber93GB02042. of rainfallpatterns,alongsidea continuingrapidincreasein
0886-6236/93/93GB-02042510.00 atmospheric
CO,_. Othermodificationsto the environment
786 Parton
eta•14.
ßModeling
Grassland
Biomes
(1-Fm)
STRUCTURAL
• •k, Fm
=.85
-.018
*L/N STRUCTURAL
(1
-Fm
)••Fm
i METABOLIC I METABOLIC
IC C i ¸ C
LIGNIN I CELLULOSE LIGNIN I CELLULOSE
CO
•6
A
Lc
C• K2 CO2 Lc
• Lc .55
.3
.c I "c;
ø"" CsA=(1 - Csp-.55). SOIL
MICROBE
C
A CO2 , ,
CO2
.3 Tm=(1-.75' T)
CAS= (1 - CAp-CAL-Ft) K3
A
j cø2
SLOW Ft =,85-.68'T
C CAL=
(H2030/18)*(.01+ .04' Ts)
L/N = Ligninnitrogenratio
CO2
A = Abioticdecomposition factor .55
T = Siltplusclaycontent(fraction)
Ts= Sandcontent(fraction)
Tc= Claycontent(fraction) Csp=.003 ' 're
Ls = Faction
ofstructural
C thatislignin CAp=
.003+ .032' C
LEACHED
Lc = Exp( -3' Ls )
H203o=H20 leachedbelow30 m(cmm'1) PASSIVE C
KL= Maximumdecayrate(y-l)
C
Fm= Fractionof litterthatis metabolic
Ki = 3.9,4.8,7.3,6.0,14.8,18.5,.2,.0045y -1
:
Fig. 1. Flow diagramfor theCenturysoilorganicC model.
i .00
0.75
0.50
0.25
0 10 20 30 40 50
SOILTEMPERATURE(øC)
1.0 -b /!
n' 0.8
• 0.6
0
• 0.4
o
LU 0.2
I I I I •/ I I I
0 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 '1.00 2.00 3.00
belowthe30 cm soildepth(cmmonth'x),
S is thesand andPET. Interceptionwater lossis a functionof
content(fraction),T• is the clay content(fraction). Q, is the aboveground biomass(increaseswith biomasslevel),
fractionof slow C allocatedto passivepool,and Cs is the rainfall,and PET. Transpirationwaterlossis functionof the
fractionof slowallocatedto the activepool (55% of the C is live leaf biomass(exponentialfunctionof leaf biomass),
lostdue to microbialrespiration). rainfall, and PET. Interceptionof water and bare soil water
lossesare calculatedas fractionsof the monthlyprecipitation
and are subtractedfrom the total monthlyprecipitation,with
(11) the remainder of the water added to the soil.
Water is distributedto the differentlayersby addingthe
water to the top layer (0-15 cm) and then drainingexcess
water (waterabovefield capacity)to the next layer.
(12)
c a -- (t - -0.55) Transpirationwater lossoccursafter the water was addedto
the soil. Water lossoccursfu-stas interception, followedby
baresoil evaporation and wanspirafion(the sumdoesnot
exceedthe PET rate). The field capacityand wiltingpoint
The formationof passiveSOM is a functionof clay for the differentsoil layersis calculatedas a functionof the
content(higherfor clay soils)and is primarilycontrolledby bulk density,soil texture,and organicmattercontentusing
the stabilizationof activeSOM in microaggregates. Some an equationdevelopedby Guptaand Larson[1979]. The
passiveSOM is alsocremodby the decomposition of slow numberof soil layersis an input variablein the model,and
SOM, and includesa similareffectof clay. The effectof we used15-cmincrements for eachlayer up to the 60-cm
clayon theseflowsis basedon soilx4Cdata[Becker- soil depthand 30-cm incrementsbelow the 60-cm depth.
Heidman1985]whichshowthatthepercent of modemx4C Water leachedbelow the last soil layer is not availablefor
decreaseswith clay content,suggesting
thatclay soilshavea evapotranspirafion and is a measureof interflow,runoff,or
higherfractionof passiveSOM. This is alsoconsistentwith leachinglossesfrom the soilprofile. Watergoingbelowthe
the way thatJenkinson[1990] includedthe impactof clay proffiecanbe lost as streamflow or leachedinto the subsoil
on SOM dynamics. where it can accumulate or move into the stream flow.
Leaching
of soluble
organic
matter
outofthetop30-cm AppendixB givesall the equationsusedin the waterflow
of the soil is calculatedasa functionof thedecayratefor modeland detailedvalidationand descriptions are presented
activeSOM (D,), the sandcontentof the soil,and the water by W. J. Partonet al. (manuscriptin preparation,1993).
flow belowthe 30-cmsoil depth. The parametervaluesfor Averagemonthlysoil temperature nearthe soil surfaceis
formationof passiveSOM weredetermined by fittingthe calculatedusingequationsdevelopedby Parton[1984].
model to observed soil C data at the U.S. Great Plains sites Theseequations calculatenearsurfacemaximumsoil
(Konzaand CentralPlainsExperimental Range(CPER))and temperature as a functionof the maximumair temperature (2
while the organicleachingparmmeters werederivedby m heigh0and the canopybiomass(lowerfor highbiomass)
fitting the modelto observedwaterchemistrydatafrom a while the minimumsoil temperature is a functionof the
watershedin PuertoRico (W. H. McDowel and C. E. minimumair temperature (2 m heigh0and canopybiomass
Asbury,Export of carbon,nitrogenand majorions from (higherfor higherbiomass).The actualsoil temperature
threetropicalmontanewatersheds, submiuedto Journalof usedfor decomposition andplantgrowthrate functionsis
Limnologyand Oceanography, 1993) (hereinafterreferredto the averageof the minimumand maximumsoil
as McDowel and Asbury,submittedmanuscript,1993). A temperatures.
morecompletedescription andjustificationfor the C flows Leachingof labilemineralN (NO3'andNH[) occurs
is presented by Partonet al. [1993]. ' when saturatedwater flows betweensoil layers. The
fractionof mineralN thatflows from the upperlayer to the
BIOPHYSICAL SUBMODELS lowerlayer(F=;0-1) is calculated asa functionof the sand
contentof the soil (Ts;0-1), andthe amountof saturated
The Centurymodelincludesa simplifiedwaterbudget waterflow betweenlayersusingthe followingequation:
modelwhichcalculatesmonthlyevaporation and
(13)
transpiration
waterloss,watercontentof the soil layers, (0.2+0.7
snow water content and saturated flow of water between soil
layers(AppendixB). If the averageair temperature is less
than0øC monthlyprecipitation occursas snow. Sublimation whereH20•0is thesaunated
waterflow(cmH20 permonth)
andevaporation of waterfrom the snowpackoccursat a from layeri to layeri+ 1. Parametervaluesin 13 were
rateequalto thepotentialevapotranspirafion rate. Snow determined by fittingthe modelto observed waterchemistry
melt occursif theaverageair temperature is greaterthan datafrom PuertoRico 0VIcDoweland Asbury,submitted
0øC andis a linearfunctionof the averageair temperature. manuscript,1993).
The potentialevapotranspirafionrate (PET) is calculatedas a
functionof the averagemonthlymaximumand minimumair NITROGEN SUBMoDEL
temperature usingthe equationsdevelopedby Linacre
[1977]. Bare soil waterlossis a functionof standingdead The N submodelhasthe samegeneralstructureas the soil
andlitter biomass(lowerfor highbiomasslevels),rainfall, C model(Figure3). The organic-Nflowsfollow the C
790 Parton
etal.' Modeling
Grassland
Biomes
x
z
'•z
z o.
z
uJ z
z
0
Partoneta!.' Modeling GrasslandBiomes 791
flows and are equalto the productof the carbonflow and passivepoolsgenerallyresultsin net mineralization
of N,
the N:C ratio of the state variable that receives the C. The while decomposition of strucawalmaterialimmobilizesN.
C:N ratiosof the soil statevariablesreceivingthe flow of C The modelalsousessimpleequations to represent
N inputs
area functionof the mineralN pool(NO3'plusNI-!•+) and dueto atmospheric depositionandN fixationandcalculates
vary within the ranges3-15, 12-20,and7-10, respectively, N lossesdueto N2, NO, N20, andNH3gasfluxes(see
for active,slow and passiveSOM (Figure4). The C:N ratio Figure3) andNO• leaching.A morecomplete description
of newlyformedsurfacemicrobialbiomassis a linear andjustificationfor the N submodelis presented
by Parton
functionof the N contentof the materialbeingdecomposed, et al. œ1987,1988].
and increases from l0 to 20 as the N content decrea•s from
2.0% to 0.01% (,seeFigure3). The C:N ratio of slow SOM PLANT PRODUCTION SUBMODEL
materialformedfrom surfacemicrobesis equalto the C:N
ratioof the microbesplus5.0. N associmed with carbonlost Centurysimuhtesplantproduction for grasslands,
in respirationis assumedto be minemlized.Given the C:N agricultural
crops,forests,andmixedtree-grass(savanna)
ratioof the statevariablesandthe microbialrespirationloss, systems.The grassland submodel (Figure5) simulates
grass
decomposition of metabolicresidue,active,slow,and growthandincludesthe impactof grazingandfire on plant
a 20
!5
o SLOWSOM (Ns)
1-
<•
n- lO
o
:•'•,"•.•.
PASSIVE
SOM
(Np)
••OM (N)
0 , I • I ., I [ I ,
0 o.• •.o •.• a.o a.•
b 2o
SOIL NO• + NH4(gm -•)
15
SURFACE
MICROBE(N SM)
n- lO
O
o
0 , I , I , I • I ,
0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
GRASS MODEL
C C
PPT
PLANT
PRODUCTION SURFACE
LI-I-I'ER
PPT = MonthlyPrecipitation
TEM = MonthlySoilTemperature
BIO = Plant Biomass
GRZ = Grazing Rate
FIRE = Fire Frequency
DESCRIffHON OF SITES
0.6
The grassland studysitesusedfor the modelingwork (see
0.4 Figure7) reportedherecovermostof the world's major
grassland types,rangingfrom the continentalplainsof the
0.2 United Statesand Russia(22 to 81 cm per year
precipitation)to bothnaturaland convertedgrasslands in wet
0 and dry regionsof the tropics(59 to 154 cm per year
O0 04 08 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44
precipitation).Soil tyw• covera wide rangeof textures:20-
Soil T (øC) 85% sand,10-40% silt, and 2-70% clay. Six of the
importantbiogeographic regionsidentifiedby the
InternationalGeosphere-Biosphere Programme(IGBP) for
1.OFC • •/.•--- globalchangeresearchare included:temperate northern
hemisphere, centralarid Asia, Caribbean,northernAfric•
(includingWest Africa), southernand easternAfrica, and the
tropicalAsianMonsoonRegion[Eddyet al., 1991]. Site
descriptionsare summarized in Table 1. The diversityof
• 0.5 soils,climaticconditions andplantgrowthpatternsof these
sitesprovidea robusttestof Centuryfor globalgrasslands.
While the sitespermita generalglobalintercomparison,each
sitehasmadea uniquecontribution to the analysispresented
here.
0 I I I
0 1 2 3 The largegrasslandregionof theU.S. CentralPlains
Live/Dead represents
a naturalwest-to-east
moisturegradient.The
Fig. 6. The effectof (a) moisture,(b) soil temperature,
and CentralPlainsExperimentalRange(CPER)at thearidend
(c) shadingon potentialgrassgrowth. of thegradient
is a shortgrass
steppeexperiencingwide
diurnal,seasonal,and annualvariationin temperature
and
precipitation.
Vegetation
thereis dominated
by C4
shortgrasses.
The KonzaPrairieResearch
NaturalAreaat
= o.2o [xp //,O(D] (z?) the moremesicendof the moisturegradient,is characterized
by warm-season (Cn)tallgrass
prairiespecies.Dataavailable
where1• andSaare the fractionof rootsandshoots, at CPERincludea 5-yeartimeseries(1971-1975)of
respectively,
whichdie per month. Shootdeathalsooccurs aboveground live biomass andplantproduction,for control,
whenliveplantbiomass
exceeds
400g m'2at a rateof 10% irrigated,
fertilized,andbothirrigatedandfertilizedplots.
permonth.Thisdeathrateis designedto simulate
deathdue Konzadataincludeestimatesof aboveground
plant
to shading
of lowerleavesin thecanopy. production
(1976-1990)andseasonality
of aboveground
live
The model calculatesroot/shootratios as a function of the biomass(1984-1990)for annuallyburnedandunburned
annualrainfallusingequations presented in the original plots. Noneof thedatafromKonzawereusedto develop
descriptionof Century[Partonet al., 1987]. The effectof the model. Soil data from the CPER was used in model
fire andgrazingon plantproduction arebasedon datafrom development;
CPERlive biomass
datawasnotusedin
Hollandet al. [1992] andOjima et al. [1990],respectively. modeldevelopment.
The impactsof fire are to increasetheroot/shoot ratio,and The five sitesin the Commonwealth
of Independent
States
to increasethe C:N ratio of live shoots(plus 10 for (CIS; formerlyRussia)characterize
the"continentality"
temperate sites;0 for tropicalsites)androots(plus30 for all climategradientfromtheEuropean temperate
meadows of
sites),removingvegetation andreturninginorganic nutrients. KurskandOtradnoyein westernRussia,throughthe typical
794 Partonet al.' ModelingGrassland
Biomes
SITE NAME
3 MONTECILLOS CHAPINGO
MEXICO
4 LAMTO
IVORY COAST
5 CPER PAWNEE
COLORADO U.S.A
6 KONZA PRAIRIE
KANSAS U.S.A
7 KHOMUTOV
UKRAINE
8 KURSK
RUSSIA
90TRADNOYE 1
RUSSIA
10 SHORTANDY
RUSSIA
11 TUVA
KAZAKHSTAN
o -i- o o o
o -i- , o o
o -i- o o o
o -i- o o o
o o o o , -i-
o o o o
, o o o , -i-
o o o o ,
, , , + •
,
Partonet al.' ModelingGrassland
Biomes 797
8OO
600
4oo ...............................................
j,-..,--
e.•......•................................................
ß.........................
2OO
..................•o
e/•eeeee .....
i
' .....
' ''.....ß...................................................................................
I
y=88 +.67x,
I
r2=.70 I
0 200 400 600 800 1,000
Simulated
Fig. 8. Comparison
of observed
andsimulated
aboveground
plantproduction
for all theCPERtreatment
andburned
and unburned sites at Konza.
Partonet al.' ModelingGrasslandBiomes 799
8OO
6OO
ß ß
ß
ß ß
4OO oA ........... •A
ß
ß
ß ß
ß e• oo e•
ß Russian Sites
2OO
ß ß ß
ß
ß ß y = 78 + .80x,r2=.45
y-R=
48+ .83X,r2=.65
o I I I I
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Simulated
Fig. 9. Comparison
of observedandsimulatedpeaklive biomassfrom all of the sites. The Kurskand Khomutov
site data are shown with a.
• 80
-• .
• 400 ...........
(• 60
g 40 •D..300
• ß i,,•, ..................
ß
•o ..................................
200 ..........
• 20 • 100 .........
o 0
1973 1974 1975 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990
Year -- Simulated
Year --- Simulated
ß Observed ß Observed
0 o
1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982
Time Year
-- Simulated ---- Simulated
ß Observed ß Observed
350
500 ............. e..........................................................
ß,.., 300 ........................... ß ............ ß ß................... •
•D 250
ß . •)
• 400
• 200 • 300
u• 150
E 200
50
('• 100
ß
0 0
1984 1985 1986 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Year Year
• Simulated • Simulated
ß Observed ß Observed
ß 600
o 1984 1985
• 1986 1987
• 1988
• 1989
• 199o
o 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990
Year Year
• Simulated • Simulated
ß Obse•ed ß Observed
Live Biomass
Observsd vs Simulated
5OO ...............
ß ß ß ß
ß
4O0
. * •"0 .d** * ß oo
ß
* *
ß ß ß
(D 300 ß .,.*..o,..............*.............,.......................
***%*
*. *'ß
o
200
$o •'
ß1"eeee
..........
' .......
; .............
R:•'•ifi'•i•6'd"::'0'.'5•
...............
,....... y = 0.76x + 40.73
100
•''t'O"
'O..........................................................................................
o
o lOO 200 300 400 500 600 700
Simulated
Fig.12.Comparison
ofsimulated
andobserved
livebiomass
forallofthesites
andtreatments
except
Khomutov
and
Kursk.
Parton et al.' Modeling GrasslandBiomes 801
A comparison
of observed
versus
simulated
liveplant showthatthe modelsimulatespeaklive biomassand
biomass for aH of the sites and different treatmentsshowed abovegroundplantproductionbetterthanlive biomass.
r• = 0.39. Again,themodeltended
to underestimate
live
biomassfor highproduction
yearsat the Kurskand SOIL C AND N
Khomutovsites. Removingthe datafrom the Kurskand
Khomutov
sitesincreased
therato 0.56(Figure12), SoilC andN levelsarefairlywell simulated(ra = 0.93
suggesting
thattheerrorsfor theRussianhighplant and0.89, respectively
for C andN) acrossa rangeof soilC
production
yearsgreatlyreduce
ther•. Thirty-one
percent
of levelsrangingfromlessthan2000g C m'2at Lamtoto
the Centurypredictionshad errorslessthan+ 25% of the greaterthanthe10,000g C m'2at theKursksite(Figure
observed
data,while57% of Centurypredictions
haderrors 13). The assumptions usedto controlsoilC stabilityand
less than + 50% of the observed data. These results decomposition(clay impacton passiveSOM and silt plus
a
12,000
Soil C (0-20 cm)
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
.•'
2,000 y=.93x-7.84
I I ! I
r2=,93!
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Simulated(gm-2)
800
E
6OO
4OO
• y=.73x-78.84
200 r• 88
I I I I
00 200 400 600 800 1,000
Simulated (gm-2)
Fig. 13. Comparison
of simulated
andobservedsteadystatesoil(a) C andCo)N for 9 of the 11 sites. Mexicoand
Thailandsiteswerenotusedbecausetheyarenotat equilibrium
withtheirpresentlanduses.
802 Partonet al.' ModelingGrassland
Biomes
clay on slow SOM) seemto work acrossa diversesetof soil modelswhichsimtfiatephotosynthesis andrespiration.
texturesand soil mineralogies.One hundredpercentfor C Physiologicalmodelsrequiredetailedclimaticinformation,
and75% for N of the modelpredictions had errorslessthan suchashourlyincomingsolarradiationrelativehumidity
:t: 25% of the observed values. Soil C data from the CPER andwind speeds,that are not widelyavailablefor
and Konza site were used to fit some of the model retrospectiveanalysessuchas arepresented here.
parameters in the SOM model. Burkeet al. [1989]have Physiological modelsmay alsobe sensitiveto species-
developeda regression modelfor predictingsoil C and N dependent traits,thoughthissensitivitymaybe tractablefor
levelsin grasslands as a functionof climateandsoil texture. large-scalecalculations[Schimelet al., 1990; McGuire et al.,
We usedthe Burkeet al. [1989] modelto predictsoil C and 1992]. The extensivebodyof NPP dataover time,
N levelsat the differentsites(excludingThailandand reflectingbothgeographic variabilityand the effectsof
Mexico),andr2between
observed
andsimulated
soilC and climatevariabilityallowsthe development of powerful
N levelswere0.89 and0.90, respectively. calibratedmodelslike Century. Suchdataand modelsare a
AppendixA showsthe equilibriumsoilC level for the crucialbenchmarktestfor predictedtime integralquantifies
differentsoil pools(presentedas initial valuesfor model (e.g., NPP, biomasslevels)from modelsbasedon
runs). The datashowthat the fractionof soil C in active calculationof instantaneousexchanges of CO,..
SOM generallyrangedfrom 2% to 4%, and 35-60% for
passiveSOM. Siteswith highclay (>35%) contenthadhigh SUMMARY
amountsof passiveSOM andlessslowSOM. For example,
the sandysoilsat CPER had61% slowSOM and 36% The comparison
of observedand simulatedlive peak
passive,while the clay loam soilsat Konzahas41% slow biomass
andplantproduction
hadr2 valuesof 0.45and0.70,
and55% passiveSOM. respectively;
Centuryerrortermsfor thesevariableswere
generallylessthan:t:25%of the observed
data. Seasonal
livebiomass
wasnotaswellrepresented
by themodel(xa --
DISCUSSION 0.39) and had errorslessthan:t:50% of the observedd_a_m_:
The modelsimulated
differences
bet/veenwet anddry years
We thinkthatdifficultyin simulatinglive plantbiomassis well, but was unable to simulatemore subtledifferences
primarily
a resultof thefacttliatplantspecies
changes
are betweenyearswith similarprecipitation.The model
not considered in the model. Changesin species substantiallyunderestimatedlive biomassfor unusuallyhigh
composition from Ca andC4 vegetationor structural changes production yearsat the KurskandKhomutovsites.
resultingfrom shiftsbetweengrasslands and savannas affect A comparison of the Centurymodelpredictionsfor plant
nutrientdynamics,waterutilization,biomassallocation,and production andpeaklive biomasswith empiricalregression
othercharacteristics whichmodifyplantproductionand equationsfit to observeddatashowedthat the Century
seasonality of plantgrowth. Numerousgrassland studies modelwas slightlymoresuccessful thanthe regression
haveshownthatshiftsin CaandC4grassdominance canbe equations.SteadystatesoilC andN levelswerewell
inducedby drought[AlbertsonandWeaver,1944],grazing simulated
by themodel(r2 = 0.93and0.89)fora setof sites
andfire regime[Owensbyet al., 1970;TowneandOwensby, with differingclimateand soil textures.The modelwasable
1984;Braggand Hulbert1976], or nitrogenadditions to predictsoil C andN levelsto within:t:25% of observed
[Owensbyet al., 1970;Dodd andLauenroth,1978;Wedin data.Globally,
keycontrols
overC storage,
NPP,and
and Tilman 1990; Seastedtet al., 1991]. Modificationsof biomassincludeclimate,N inputsandlosses,andsoil
resourceuseefficiencyamongvariousvegetation particlesizedistribution.This model,rigorouslycalibrated
communitiesare importantto projectinghow an ecosystem againsta largebodyof observations, is usefulbothas a
will respondto increased atmospheric
CO,.,changein descriptiveandanalyticaltool,andasa baselinetestfor
climate,or increases in atmospheric
depositionof N [W• time-integratedpredictions(e.g.,of NPP or biomass)for
andTilman, 1990]. Studiesof N additionsto grassland physiologicallybasedmodels,explicitlysimulating CO,.
ecosystems indicatethatgrasslandcommunities are sensitive exchange[e.g.,Coughenour, 1984;Hunt et al., 1991].
to the soil nitrogenstatus[DoddandLauenroth,1978;
Wedin and Tilman, 1990; Seastedtet al., 1991]. These
shiftsin plantcommunities havepotentiallymajorimpacts APPENDIX A
on soilorganicmatterdynamicsvia controlsof nitrogen
immobilization and storage,however,our abilityto predict Site-specificparameters foundin the SITENAME.DAT
changesin plantspeciescomposition is limited. file may be dividedinto a numberof categories (seeFigure
Additionalfactorscontributing to thesesubtleinterannual A1): (1) Basicsiteidentification(e.g., SITLAT, SIllgqG);
differencesmay restfitfrom (1) interannualvariationsin (2) "minimuminput"datarequiredto mn the Centurymodel
incidentPAR, not includedin the model,(2) effectsof ((a) environmentalinformationsuchas PRECIP, TMN2M,
timingof rainfallnot capturedwith a monthlytime step,or TMX2M; and Co)physicalfeaturessuchas sand,silt, clay);
(3) lag effectsof nutrientor photosynthate storagein plants. (c) parameters relatingmostlyto plantand soilphysiology.
Invest:.::;•,:z•&•n
of the aboveeffectsis ongoing. FigureA1 showsthe parameters from categories 2b and 3
M• :•Je•s
'•.'keCenturywhichsimulateNPP form an for all the grasslandsitesreportedhere,with noteson the
;m•no:;am complement to morephysiologically oriented differences between sites.
Partonet al.' Modeling
Grassland
Biomes 803
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• Z *• •w- ^ v
o•. A A
, 0•1--*•
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o • •
o u_•
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808 Partonet al.: ModelingGrassland
Biomes
Acknowledgements.
Measurement of monthlybiomass Christie,E. K., andJ. K. Detling,Analysisof interference
dynamics,
NPP,andsoilorganic
matterat thetropical betweenC3andC4grasses in relationto temperatureand
grassland
sitesin Kenya,Thailand,andMexicowascarded soilnitrogensupply,Ecology,63, 1277-1284,1982.
outunderUnitedNationsEnvironment Programme (UNEP) Coughenour, M. B., A mechanistic simulationanalysisof
ProjectFP/6108-88-01(2855)"Environment
Changes and wateruse,leaf angles,andgrazingin eastAfrican
Productivity
of TropicalGrasslands"
(1989-1992),andmore graminoids, Ecol. Model.,26, 203-230, 1984.
recentlyat theKenyaandMexicositesundertheUK Dodd,J. L., andW. K. Lauenroth,Analysisof the response
Overseas
DevelopmentAdministration
(ODA)ProjectR4744 of a grassland ecosystem to stress,in Perspectives
in
"Productivity
of TropicalGrasslands"
(1991-1994).Analysis GrasslandEcology,editedby N. French,pp. 43-58,
of da_tofrom the sitesin the former USSR was carried out
Springer-Verlag,New York, 1978.
under the RussianNational Scientific and Technical
Eddy,J. A., T. F. Malone,J. J. McCarthy,andT. Rosswall
Programme18 "Changes of NaturalEnvironmentand (Eds.)GlobalChangeSystems for Analysis,
Researchand
Climate." Data synthesis
andmodelvalidationwasmade Training(START) Rep. 15, IGBP, Stockholm,Sweden,
possibleby the SCOPE(ScientificCommitteeon Problems 1991.
of theEnvironmen0
Project"Effects
of ClimateChange
on Esser,O., The carbonbudgetof thebiosphere--structure
and
Production
andDecomposition
in Coniferous
Forestsand preliminaryresultsof the OsnabruckBiosphereModel,
Grasslands"
(1989-1992).Modeldevelopment
wasprimarily Veroff.Naturf. Ges.Emdenvon 1814, 7, 1-160, 1986.
fundedby theU.S. NationalScience
Foundation
(NSF) Gupta,S. C., andW. E. Larson,Estimating
soilwater
projectBSR 9013888"Coupling Ecosystem
Processes
and retentioncharacteristics
fromparticlesizedistribution,
VegetationPatternsAcrossEnvironmentalGradients"and organicmattercontentandbulkdensity,WaterResour.
theU.S. NASA EarthObserving SystemprojectNACW- Res. 15, 1633-1635, 1979.
2662 "UsingMulti-Sensor
Datato ModelFactorsLimiting Hall, D. O., andJ. M. O. Scurlock,
Climatechangeand
CarbonBalancein Global Grasslands,"and U.S. NSF productivity of naturalgrasslands,
Ann.Bot.67 (suppl.),
projectBSR 9011659"LongTerm EcologicalResearch 49-55, 1991.
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annualandregionalreleasesof CO: andothertracegases
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