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Systems Design
Systems Design
RECAP
FORECAST “Usually wrong”
OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
MBA 623-24
OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
SYSTEM DESIGN
RACELIS, GLOMARIE
ERAZO, MARIA FE
SAZON, EMARIE
YAMBAO, REGINA
GREGORIO, JOCELINE
ERAZO, Maria Fe
RACELIS, Glomarie
SAZON, Emarie
YAMBAO, Regina
Decision Theory
Is there a
demand for Can we do
it? it?
Reasons for Product and Service Design
What level of quality is Does it make sense from an
appropriate and Redesign economic standpoint?
• Economic • Competitive
• Social Demographic • Cost or Availability
• Technological
Manufacturability • Political, Liability, or Legal
Serviceability
Reverse Engineering
Product Liability
• The responsibilty of a manufacturer for any
injuries or damages caused by a faulty product
Commercial Law
Consumer Act of the Philippines
Remanufacturing
• Refurbishing used products by
replacing worn-out or
defective components.
Growth Decline
-> Obtaining accurate projection of -> Discontinue a product or service
demand growth rate -> Replacing it with new ones
-> Ensuring the length of increasing -> Finding new users
demand
-> Higher reliability and lower cost
3 Phases 100% Beginning of Life -> Middle of Life -> End of Life 0%
Degree of Standardization
Advantage Disadvantage
• Identical items are made in large numbers. • Competitive struggles
• Immediately available to customers. • Reduction of variety
• Low cost of production and increase in productivity • Resistance to modification for freezing designs
• Reduce time and lower cost to train employees
Robust Design Fairly quick and easy transition Slower and more difficult in
transition
More Costly
• Design that results in products or
services that can function over a
broad range of conditions
Market
Low-Level of Newness High-Level of Newness
Little difficulty with market More difficulty with acceptance
acceptabiltiy
Low profit potential High potential for profits
Production Requirements
• Design for Manufacturing (DFM)
• Design for Assembly (DFA)
• Manufacturability
RAW
FINISHED
MATERIALS
GOODS
Problems Solutions
Control
-Accurate
-Easy to Understand
-Economical
-Designer
-Engineers
-Draughtsman
Necessary to plan
Planning of materials
Purchase procedure
Transportations
Without specifying
Assignment when work need to
be done
Involve long
term More
commitment important
of resources complex due to
globalization
Can affect also
competitiveness
Revenue
1. Measure aggregate
demand and capacity
Working
Capital
AGGREGATE DEMAND
Speed
"TOTAL"
Flexibility
Seasonality or
SUBSTITUTES cyclical
DEMAND Products
Government Policy
Economic Change
Changes
-is defined as a certain time series with repetitive or predictable patterns of demand due
to re-occurring seasonal events.
INPUT
MEASURE OUTPUT
CAPACITY MEASURES
CAPACITY Input capacity
Process Output capacity measure
measure
Number of festival
Music festival Square meters of land
attendees
-it is the most -It is best used Number of guests per
Hotel Rooms available
appropriate for where there is low week
Number of seats
customized. customization Lecture theatre
available
Students on courses
Wedding planning
Consultants available Weddings per season
service
A service provider works an eight-hour day, takes two fifteen-minute coffee breaks
and has a half hour lunch break. The time available for work is seven hours per
The Formula for capacity : worker per day.
Capacity=Time available/ Time of task A worker was a fitness instructor, and he spends 70 minutes with each customer (10
minutes for the consultation and booking and 1 hour for the gym session), how many
clients could the instructor process during a five-day week?
-the maximum output of a system or facility or process and the likes under ideal condition in each period
Equipment changeover or
Customer's request
maintenance
Design
Effective Capacity
Capacity
Actual
Output
Design
Capacity
63 Beds
Effective
Capacity Design
20 Beds Capacity
63 Beds
Effective
Capacity Design
20 Beds Capacity
63 Beds
Actual
Output
10 Beds
Efficiency Rate
* After choosing the best location of , Liza Cross must determine between two machines in
which product could be manufactured to ensure that EMV would achieve
*Machine 1 would be able to produce 5 metric tons of product, but due to scheduled
preventive maintenance and holidays, it would be able to prepare 4.5 tons, past demands
suggest 3 metric tons is the safest assumption to avoid fast wear and tear
*Machine 2 would be able to produce 8 metric tons of product, but due to scheduled
preventive maintenance and holidays, it would be able to prepare 7 metric tons, past
demand suggest 5.8 metric tons is the safest assumption to avoid wear and tear.
Machine 1 Machine 2
Where:
• F= Fixed Cost
• V= Variable Cost
• P= Proce per unit ( After all discount)
• Level Capacity strategy: a constant regular time output rate is maintained while meeting the demand
variations by a different combination of options.
•Chase demand strategy: the capacity is A period's planned quantity of output is equal to that period's
expected demand.A period's planned quantity of output is equal to that period's expected demand.d
demand.
•Advantage of the level capacity strategy: •Disadvantage of the level capacity strategy:
LOCATION PLANNING.
1. SET OF POSSIBLE FUTURE CONDITIONS THAT WILL HAVE A BEARING ON THE RESULTS OF THE
DECISION
2 A LIST OF ALTERNATIVES FOR THE MANAGER TO CHOOSE FROM.
3. A KNOWN PAYOFF FOR EACH ALTERNATIVE UNDER EACH POSSIBLE FUTURE CONDITION.
BOUNDED RATIONALITY -
THE LIMITS IMPOSED ON DECISION MAKING BY COSTS, HUMAN ABILITIES,TIME, TECHNOLOGY, AND
THE AVAILABILITY OF INFORMATION
SUBOPTIMAZATION -
THE RESULT OF DIFFERENT DEPARTMENTS EACH ATTEMPTING TO REACH A SOLUTION THAT IS
OPTINUM FOR THAT DEPARTMENT
OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT | SYSTEM DESIGN
DECISION ENVIRONMENTS
CERTAINTY
Relevant parameters such as costs, capacity, and
demand have known values.
Risk
Certain parameters have probalistic outcomes
Uncertainty
Impossible to assess the likelihood of various
possible future events
MAXIMIN
DETERMINE THE WORST POSSIBLE PAYOFF FOR EACH
ALTERNATIVE, AND CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE THAT HAS THE
"BEST WORST"
MAXIMAX
DETERMINE THE BEST POSSIBLE PAYOFF, AND CHOOSE THE
ALTERNATIVE WITH THAT PAYOFF
LAPLACE
DETERMINE THE AVERAGE PAYOFF FOR EACH ALTERNATIVE
AND CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE WITH THE BEST AVERAGE.
MINIMAX REGRET
DETERMINE THE WORST REGRET FOR EACH ALTERNATIVE,
AND CHOOSE THE ALTERNATIVE WITH THE " BEST WORST"
possible consequences
• Capital intensity: The mix of equipment and labor that will be used by the
organization
• Process flexibility: the system can be adjusted to changes in processing
requirements (due to changes in product or service design, changes in
volume processed, and changes in technology)
- Volume and variety are inversely related; a higher level of one means a lower
level of the other
- However, the need for flexibility of personnel and equipment is directly related
to the level of variety the process will need to handle:
• the lower the variety, the less the need for flexibility, while
• the higher the variety, the greater the need for flexibility.
Batch • used when a moderate volume and moderate variety of products or services
- Some situations are not ongoing but instead are of limited duration. The work is often
organized as a project.
V
O
L
U
M
E
For example, if the goal is to be able to process a small volume of jobs that will involve high variety, job shop processing is most appropriate. For less variety
and a higher volume, a batch system would be most appropriate, and so on.
The need for layout planning arises both in the process of designing new facilities and
in redesigning existing facilities
CASH CENTER WORK DESIGN – updated report from Brinks (real time
report) for ATM Replensihment & Loading; sending
SOUTH advices to servicing hubs
LAYOUT – scheduled ATM replenishment and ATM
Loading, changing cassets
FACILITIES & EQUIPMENTS – Armored Cars w/ fully
armed escorts, Brinks Servicing Hubs, Cassets w/ Cash
BANGKO SENTRAL NG
PILIPINAS (BSP) - deposit
note bills, coins & cash
withdrawals as per request
HOW? /
WHAT? HOW MUCH? WHERE?
WHEN?
PRODUCT PRICE PLACE PROMOTION
COMPETITIVE
MARKET REVENUE ADVANTAGE
HOW? /
WHAT? HOW MUCH? WHERE?
WHEN?
PRODUCT PRICE PLACE PROMOTION
COMPETITIVE
MARKET REVENUE ADVANTAGE
VARIABLE
LOCATION FIXED COST
COST/UNIT
A 250,000 11
B 100,000 30
C 150,000 20
D 200,000 35
VARIABLE
LOCATION FIXED COST TOTAL VC TOTAL COST
COST/UNIT
A 250,000 11 110,000 360,000
B 100,000 30 300,000 400,000
C 150,000 20 200,000 350,000
D 200,000 35 350,000 550,000
VARIABLE
LOCATION FIXED COST TOTAL VC TOTAL COST
COST/UNIT
A 250,000 11 110,000 360,000
B 100,000 30 300,000 400,000
C 150,000 20 200,000 350,000
D 200,000 35 350,000 550,000
VARIABLE
LOCATION REVENUE FIXED COST
COST
A 52,800 8,000 44,000
B 52,800 9,400 35,200
Price: 6 / unit
Location A:
VC: 5 / unit
Location B:
VC: 4 / unit
VARIABLE MONTHLY
LOCATION REVENUE FIXED COST
COST PROFIT
A 52,800 8,000 44,000 800
B 52,800 9,400 35,200 8,200
Price: 6 / unit
Location A:
VC: 5 / unit
Location B:
VC: 4 / unit
VARIABLE MONTHLY
LOCATION REVENUE FIXED COST
COST PROFIT
A 52,800 8,000 44,000 800
B 52,800 9,400 35,200 8,200
Price: 6 / unit
Location A:
VC: 5 / unit
Location B:
VC: 4 / unit LOCATION B yields the highest monthly profit
RELEVANT FACTORS
WEIGHT
COMPARE
DECISION
RELEVANT FACTORS
FACTORS
WEIGHT
Proximity
Volume
MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE SCORE Rental
Size
ASSESS & SCORE Layout
Operating costs
COMPARE
DECISION
RELEVANT FACTORS
FACTORS WEIGHT
WEIGHT
Proximity 10%
Volume 5%
MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE SCORE Rental 40%
Size 10%
ASSESS & SCORE Layout 20%
Operating costs 15%
COMPARE
DECISION
FACTORS WEIGHT
WEIGHT
Proximity 10%
Volume 5%
MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE SCORE Rental 40%
Size 10%
ASSESS & SCORE Layout 20%
Operating costs 15%
COMPARE
DECISION
COMPARE
DECISION
DECISION
DESTINATION x y ẋ= 18
D1 2, 2 4
D2 3, 5 = 4.5
D3 5, 4
D4 8, 5 ỷ= 16
18 16 4
= 4
DESTINATION x y ẋ= 18
D1 2, 2 4
D2 3, 5 = 4.5
D3 5, 4
D4 8, 5 ỷ= 16
18 16 4
= 4
EQUAL SHIPMENT
ẋ= 2(800)+3(900)+5(200)+8(100)
2,000
= 3.05 or 3.0
ỷ= 2(800)+5(900)+4(200)+5(100)
2,000
= 3.7
HEALTHCARE SERVICE
TRENDS PRODUCT FACILITY
DEMAND
PRICE THAT MAY BE
EXPANSION PRICE ACCEPTABLE TO THE
MARKET*
PLACE ?
PROMOTION
NEXT STEPS:
1. Market insights
2. Competitor scan
3. Financial projections
/ viability
4. Project Proposal
Capacity Planning
Decision Theory
CLARIFICATIONS?
SYSTEM DESIGN
RACELIS, GLOMARIE
ERAZO, MARIA FE
SAZON, EMARIE
YAMBAO, REGINA
GREGORIO, JOCELINE