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The Function and Methods of Electoral Geography
The Function and Methods of Electoral Geography
J. R. V. PRESCOTT
Unioersitp Collège, J6odon
was a geographical study of elections in the ligion. These studies indicated that while
Ardéche region of France by André Siegfried. Coguel may have been correct in denying any
All the other French authors have acknowl- correlation between specific industries and
edged and stressed the importance of this political parties, he underestimated the sig-
work. In it, an examination of the physical nificance of industrialization in accounting
and human geography of Ardéche in the first for electoral patterns. This point was further
half of the book suggests two distinct regions. illustrated by Thiervoz who examined the
The first is a lowland valley where the ma- influence of the silk industry on the evolution
jority of the inhabitants are Protestants; the of electoral patterns in the relatively remote
second is a less fertile region of high relief Bas Dauphiné of Savoy. He found that as the
populated mainly by Roman Catholics. The industry developed so the left-wing strength
second half of the book demonstrates that this in the area also increased, although, since
geographical division accorded with the divi- mainly local labor was employed, the degree
s’ion of the Ardéche between the right and of radicalism was less than in the more acces-
left flanks of French political life during the sible areas where heavier industries were
period considered. established.
Siegfried’s study considerably helped Co- Billet’s paper is probably the most interest-
guel who reviewed the French elections over ing since he defines the work of the geog-
a sixty-year period commencing in 1890. He rapher in electoral geography. After stating
was able, in the same way as Wright, to indi- that it is not the work of the geographer to
cate the areas of constancy and change in explain, or catalogue, or formulate laws
party preponderance; he found that positive about the election results, he goes on to say
correlations existed between religious and that the main task of the geographer is to
political groups while there was no uniform assess the economic, historical, sociological,
correlation between the occupation structure political, psychological, and demographic fac-
of the areas and the party supported. tors, which together shape public opinion. He
One of the areas of political stability out- believes that only this assessment will enable
lined by Coguel was the Savoy region of the geographer to understand “/n reality pofl-
southeast France, which had a continuous tique” of the region. While denying deter-
record of left-wing support. Three micro- minism he avers that the social milieu and
studies within this region, by Hugonnier, Bil- spiritual atmosphere in which individuals are
let, and Thiervoz, provide interesting correla- reared mould their political predilections.
tions with, and divergencies from, Goguel’s This concept seems to be a sophisticated ver-
conclusions. The first two writers, studying sion of Krebheil’s original idea, and, many
the evolution of political opinion in two sepa- will think, is further away from geography.
rate areas, discovered the same dichotomy as Postwar American contributions are repre-
Siegfried between the interfluve and valley sented by two papers.6 The first, by Dean,
zones. The dichotomy was evident in respect examines the pattern of voting in respect of
of occupation, religious profession, age struc- the Newfoundland referendum to decide
ture, and population trends. They further whether the territory should have a confed-
agreed that this division was the product of eral or responsible form of government. The
the present century and that the motive force division between the supporters of these two
was industrialization. The industries were forms seemed to accord with the religious
established on the valley floor and attracted cleavage on the island between Roman Cath-
both local and outside labor. The immigrants olics and Protestants. This cleavage was
were largely young people with radical ideas made deeper by the greater industrial inter-
and frequently an indifferent attitude to re- est of the Roman Catholics and their fear of
competition from Canadian firms. The sec-
Verner, “Quelques Réflexions sur la Géographie Poli-
tique des Alpes du Nord et leur Avant-pays,” Rntie Vera K. Dean, “Geographic Aspects of the
Ile Géographie Alpine, Vol. 42, Part l ( 1954 ) , pp. 107— Newfoundland Referendum,” Annals, Association of
110; Jean Billet, “L’Expression Politique en Gresivaudan American Geographers, Vol. 39 ( March 1949 ) , p. 70;
et son Interprétation Géographique,” Revue de George Kish, “Some Aspects of the Regional Political
Géographie Alpine, Vol. 46, Part 1 ( 1958 ) , pp. 97— Geography of Italy,” Annals, Association of American
128. Geographers, Vol. 43 ( June 1953 ), p. 178.
298 J. R. V. PRESC1O"U1“ September
'° The Antrim Plateau is also a Nationalist area but " J. R. V. Prescott, “A Geographical Analysis of
it does not appear on the map due to the arrange- Elections to the Eastern Region of Nigeria, House of
ment of the boundaries. Assemblies,” Research Notes, ibodon, No. 10 (June
1957), pp. 8—15.
300 J. R. V. PRESCOTT September
Thus in these two studies an examination which finds much confirmation in Wright’s
of electoral material provided the clue to the map of voting habits.1°
political regions of the state and their degree While the foregoing paragraphs have
of cohesion. While two cases are not enough shown the use political geographers might
on which to base generalizations it seems make of election statistics, it seems probable
likely that they represent three of the situa- that social geographers might use the same
tions in which a study of elections might technique in drawing socio-economic regions,
repay the political geographer. The basic when the election issues concern these mat-
requirement is that the election issues should ters. Krebheil’s map of British elections was
concern the rniron d’étre of the state. We can as much a map of sociological regions as polit-
classify the states which are likely to satisfy ical regions. Thi.s would be less true of the
this requirement into four groups. The first recent pattern of British elections due to the
group includes those states which have been blurring or eradication of social and economic
recently created, for election issues in such class divisions.
states are generally simple and often funda- However, one cannot advocate the use of
mental. Chana, Nigeria, and Indonesia are electoral material without making some refer-
typical examples of this group. The second ence to its characteristics and limitations.
group consists of states which are multi-
racial, multi-national or multi-tribal, where BACKGROUND KNOWLEDC•E FOR THE INTERPRETA-
integration has made little progress. Exam- TION OF ELECTION' STATISTICS
ples of this group are provided by the Union
of South Africa, Malaya, and Nigeria. The Probably the greatest objection which geog-
third group comprises states which contain raphers have to using election returns is the
two or more militant religious groups. Pre- need to acquire background political knowl-
1946 India was the best representative of this edge. This information can be divided into
two distinct parts. First there is the need to
group; current examples are provided by
understand what the various political parties
Northern Ireland and Cyprus. The fourth
represent and the issues on which the elec-
group is a joint subgroup of the second and
tions are contested. Second there is the need
third groups. This subgroup includes states
for the more practical knowledge concerning
where the intransigence of national or reli-
the mechanics of the elections.
gious sections is encouraged by other states.
The information collected about political
Cyprus, Kashmir, and Korea offer the best parties and election issues should indicate
examples of this subgroup. whether there is any value in studying the
The preceding paragraph poses the ques- election. For example, knowing that in
tion, “Can electoral material be used when Northern Ireland the political division coin-
the issues do not bear on the state’s raison cides with religious cleavage, and that the
d’ctre?” It is usually difficult to determine election issue is always the partition of Ire-
the raison d’ñ tre of long-established states, land, one could be confident about the geo-
where election issues are often complex and graphical value of making the electoral study.
varied. In such instances it is probable that On the other hand, in the rest of the United
electoral material can best be used as a cross- Kingdom the basis of political allegiance
check on other methods of delimiting the shows no direct relation with religious or eco-
integral political regions of the state. This use nomic groups. Further, the electoral issues
of election statistics is possible because there change frequently and include such matters as
is often a measure of electoral inertia, and colonial policy, the need for conscription, and
people continue to vote on parochial matters the use of nuclear power. A frequent change
in election issues is no less bewildering than
as they did on fundamental matters, which
the frequent change of political parties. The
touched, to some extent, upon the state-idea.
emergence of so many splinter groups in
As an example we may consider Whittlesey’s
France since the last war has rendered the
interpretation of the regional evolution of the interpretation of the electoral pattern of that
United States of America based on physio-
graphic and anthropogeographic material,
2
° W. Gordon East and A. E. Moodie, op. cit., pp. 264—
82.
1959 FUNCTION AND JIETHODS o ELECTORAL CEOGRAPH 301
land’s elections, and distinguishes the central was successful and shaded according to the
Nationalist constituencies near the docks from percentage of votes gained by the elected
the surrounding Unionist areas. candidate. Such a map makes the political
Secondly, all maps use the choropleth strength of the parties clear, and, since the
method in which the whole area of the con- constituencies frequently contain similar num-
stituency is shaded. Now such a map illus- bers of voters, illustrates the relationship be-
trates the relationship between the political Pe tween
rce n t age of sote s for elected par ty
party and population. Should there be
party and the land it represents, whereas the large discrepancies in the population of the
30 - 5O50 I -7070 1-1 OO
primary relationship is between the party and constituencies the symbols could be made
the people it represents. Further, such maps proportional in size to the number of voters.
make no distinction between a cluster of Figures 5 and 6 are included to demonstrate
small, densely populated constituencies which the difference between the two methods.
return many representatives, and one large, Both maps show the results of the 1955 par-
sparsely populated constituency which returns liamentary elections in Wales. This year was
only one representative. This weakness arises selected since it is typical of postwar elections
because the constituency boundaries are often in Wales. Figure 5, using the choropleth
masked by the shading, or omitted except method, reveals the main areas of party rep-
between different shadings. These twin de- resentation but gives only a poor impression
fects can be overcome if a different symbol of the relative strength of parties or their
is used for each party. This symbol is then importance. Visually there is very little to
placed in the constituency where the party choose between the central Liberal party area
304 J. R. V. PRES€'Od”l’ September
and the southern Labor party area. Figure 6, to the rotsoii d’etre of the state, and secondly
using the symbol method, gives an immedi- the electoral system should be free from bias.
ate impression of the relative strength of the If the second condition is absent then no use
parties, and, since the cr›nstituencies have can be made of the statistics except to illus-
equivalent populations, indicates the main trate the biased nature of the system. If the
outlines of population distribution in Wales. first is absent then it will not be possible to
This map suggests that there are three politi- deduce political regions, but the electoral
cal regions in \Va1es. In the center there is a pattern may provide useful correlations with
Liberal area which becomes stronger as the other phenomena, and cross-cheeks on re-
constituencies become more remote. This is gional concepts based on other criteria, due
flanked on the south by a densely popul‹ited to electoral inertia.
area which returns mainly Labor represent.i- Once the political regions have been de-
tives. Only in some of the ports and in the fined, their degree of cohesion can be assessed
less inclustrial areas of Monmouth to the east and a measure of the political reality of the
are there iireas of Conservative represents- state grasped. Clearly the main contribution
tion. Throughout this region opinions tend to of electoral geography is to the regional,
be definite and majorities high. North of the political geography of the state. Its value to
central Liberal area lies a region of mixed global studies is limited by the difficulty of
Labor and Conservative representation, but correlating different electoral methods and
here many of the candidates have been political parties.'" This characteristic, how-
elected by a minority of the population due ever, is probably a strength rather than a
to the prevailing electoral system. weakness in view of the recent appeals by
No maps so far published have represented Scholler and Jackson for more detailed stud-
the election results of proportional systems. ies of states and fewer general analyses of
There is, however, no reason why such elec- international relations and foreign affairs.1 '
tions, together with those conducted under
the block vote, should not be represented lay There is a temptiition to apply electoral studies
shaded pie-graphs. to international re1‹itions by plotting votes t‹iken in
governing assemblies on relevant issues, similar to
the recent study on the Arrlcrican t‹iriff. ( Howard R.
CONCLUSION Smith and John F. Hart, “The American Tariff Map,”
7"/ie C.eographicat Review, Vol. 45 [July 1955], pp. 327
Electoral maps show the territorial varia —46. ) Such stttdies, however, assume that repre-
tion of the way in which people think about »t tives vote according to the rnajority opinion of
certain, usually secular, matters. Such maps, tlicir constituency. This assumption is dangerous on
at first sight, might appear to be remote from two grounds. First, under certain clectoral Systems it
is possible for a representative to be elected by a
geography. Yet for many years geographers minority of the voters. Second, the issue is often one
have drawn maps showing the way in which wlJich was ncver raised during the election eampaign.
people think about spiritual matters and dis- Furtlier, party discipline is usually too strong, and
cussed the relevance of these maps to geog- constituency consultative inachinery too weak, to
allow the representative always to be in harmony
raphy. Thus this paper suggests no departure with the opinion of his electors. Van den Bergh
from established geographical principle, but ivrites, “... the majority system with its representa-
it does suggest a change in method. To date tive of each constituency is based on the idea ref
electoral studies have been self-contained and local representation which has been out of date for a
ccntury ... it . . represents a cliunsy attenipt at
have led only to the partial explan.ation of
l uilcling a 20th century political system on mcdieviil
election results in terms of geographical fac- foundations.” ( Van den Bergh, oy. cit., p. 45. )
tors. These studies may be the springboard " Peter Schö ller, “Wcge und Irrwege der Polit-
for further research into social and political isclien Geographie und Geopolitik,” Erclkuncle, Vr›1.
problems, but they do not lead back to geog- 11 ( February 1957 ) , pp. 1-20, especially pp. 14-15;
W. A. Douglas Jackson, “Whitlacr Political Cieog-
raphy. It is suggested here that under certain raphy?” Annals, Association of American Cieogrii-
conditions electoral studies might be the start- phers, Vol. 48 ( June 1958 ) , pp. 17h—83. In atltlition,
ing point for research in political geography Jackson calls for “a sincè re study of po1itic‹i1 science
by geographers in an effort to gain insight into i›r›1it-
—by providing the criterion for the regional
ical reality ... ” ( c.f. Jean Billet ). Electoral stuclies
division of the state. The conditions are two- rnay be as far as many political geograplicrs are pre-
fold. First the election issues must be related pareil to go in this direction.